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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 613 records · Page 34

Machine learning to generate gridded extreme precipitation data sets for global land areas with limited in situ measurements

There is a strong need for gridded observational data sets that describe the climatology of extreme precipitation across the globe; such data sets are critical for quantifying precipitation extremes and their corresponding influence on large perturbations on surface and groundwater systems and flooding. Machine learning (ML) methods can be used to generate pseudo in situ measurements of the climatology of extreme precipitation for land regions with poor sampling by matching relevant geographic (e.g., orography) and atmospheric (e.g., surface temperature, precipitation, and pressure) variables for densely sampled regions and those with limited geographic sampling.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Approximation of ice phenology of Maine lakes using Aqua MODIS surface temperature data

Studies of lake ice phenology have historically relied on limited in situ data. Relatively few observations exist for ice out and fewer still for ice in, both of which are necessary to determine the temporal extent of ice cover. Satellite data provide an opportunity to better document patterns of ice phenology across landscapes and relate them to the climatological drivers behind changing ice phenology. We developed a model, the Cumulative Sum Method (CSM), that uses daytime and nighttime surface temperature observations from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensor on board the Earth-observing Aqua satellite to approximate ice in (the onset of ice cover) and ice out from training datasets of 13 and 58 Maine lakes, respectively, during the 2002/2003 through 2017/2018 ice seasons. Ice in was signaled by reaching a threshold of cumulative negative degrees following the first day of the season below 0°C. Ice out was signaled by reaching a threshold of cumulative positive degrees following the first day of the year above 0°C. The comparison of observed and remotely sensed ice-in dates showed relative agreement with a correlation coefficient of 0.71 and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 9.8 days. Ice-out approximations had a correlation coefficient of 0.67 and an MAE of 8.8 days. Lakes smaller in surface area and nearer the Atlantic coast had the greatest error in approximation. Application of the CSM to 20 additional lakes in Maine produced a comparable ice-out MAE of 8.9 days. Ice-out model performance was weaker for the warmest years; there was a larger MAE of 12.0 days when the model was applied to the years 2019–2023 for the original 58 lakes. The development of this model, which utilizes daily satellite data, demonstrates the promise of remote sensing for quantifying ice phenology over short, temporal scales, and wider geographic regions than can be observed in situ, and allows exploration of the influence of surface temperature patterns on the process and timing of ice in and ice out.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

SVM-Based Synchronized Fault Detection for 100% Renewable Microgrids

Traditional protection schemes face significant challenges when applied to microgrids with high penetrations of renewables with inverter-based resources (IBRs). The proliferation of advanced sensing and communication technologies has generated copious data, offering an opportunity to overcome these limitations using data-driven machine learning approaches. This work proposes a novel approach based on a support vector machine (SVM) for detecting faults within a 100% renewable microgrid. The approach encompasses a systematic offline training stage for the development of a linear SVM-based fault detection algorithm. This process covers offline data collection from the microgrid under study, the extraction of features such as positive- and negative-sequence components and the total harmonic distortion of the voltage and current measurements of the relays, and the design of the linear SVM-based classifier. During the online implementation, however, different classifiers can exhibit asynchronicity in detecting the fault inception at different subcycle-to-cycle period-level delays. To circumvent this asynchronicity issue, a separate algorithm is developed for each relay to estimate the fault inception time as close to the real fault time. The performance of the proposed SVM-based synchronized fault detection method is evaluated using online time-domain simulation studies on a microgrid test system. The results corroborate the reliability of the fault detection scheme when tested under various fault cases (fault types, locations, and impedances) and non-fault cases during both grid-tied and islanded operation modes.

100% microgrid↗

Chain Information Table Format (Version 1.1)

Materials present in a radiation environment typically undergo transmutation. The process whereby the material is transmuted is known by many terms including production-depletion, radiochemistry, activation and burn-up. In nature, this process is not limited and may encompass the entire table of isotopes. In the finite world of computer simulation, this process is bounded by the limitations of the data whereby isotopes are transmuted and the limitations of the physics, i.e. particle transport, used by the simulation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

SVM-Based Synchronized Fault Detection for 100% Renewable Microgrids: Preprint

Traditional protection schemes face significant challenges when applied to microgrids with high penetrations of renewables with inverter-based resources (IBRs). The proliferation of advanced sensing and communication technologies has generated copious data, offering an opportunity to overcome these limitations using data-driven machine learning approaches. This work proposes a novel approach based on a support vector machine (SVM) for detecting faults within a 100% renewable microgrid. The approach encompasses a systematic offline training stage for the development of a linear SVM-based fault detection algorithm. This process covers offline data collection from the microgrid under study, the extraction of features such as positive- and negative-sequence components and the total harmonic distortion of the voltage and current measurements of the relays, and the design of the linear SVM-based classifier. During the online implementation, however, different classifiers can exhibit asynchronicity in detecting the fault inception at different subcycle-to-cycle period-level delays. To circumvent this asynchronicity issue, a separate algorithm is developed for each relay to estimate the fault inception time as close to the real fault time. The performance of the proposed SVM-based synchronized fault detection method is evaluated using online time-domain simulation studies on a microgrid test system. The results corroborate the reliability of the fault detection scheme when tested under various fault cases (fault types, locations, and impedances) and non-fault cases during both grid-tied and islanded operation modes.

100% microgrid↗

PPI DataHub Project Data Package: S. elongatus PCC 7942 Limited Proteolysis and Thermal Proteome Profiling Structural Proteomics (JM-PB-DP3)

The purpose of this experiment was to investigate structural alterations in proteins involved in central carbon metabolism and photosynthetic electron transfer pathways in Synechococcus elongatus PCC 7942. Sample data was obtained from S. elongatus cell lysates using three complementary mass spectrometry (MS) techniques using limited proteolysis (LiP-MS), thermal proteome profiling (TPP-MS), and redox enrichment (Redox-MS) in evaluating alterations solvent accessibility and structural stability caused by light perturbation at the molecular level. Experimentally processed sample data for LiP and TPP proteomic datasets were derived from the same cell culture stock, prepared simultaneously in parallel, and acquired by mass spectrometry. Processed datasets are openly accessible from the download button and contain secondary processed proteomic results files, computed outputs, and supporting metadata materials. Experimental samples processed for LiP-MS label-free quantification (LFQ) or TPP-MS tandem mass tag (TMT) 10-plex were acquired using a Q-Exactive HF-X mass spectrometer and processed/compiled using either MSGF+ (v2024.03.26) or ​​​​PlexedPiper for proteome evaluation. Additional software supporting downstream proteomic analysis include FragPipe (v.4.0), MSFragger (v.22.1), and an adapted Microbial Isolate LiP Analysis Workflow (located at Zenodo). Processed proteomic data downloads include a sample naming key, normalized quantification results files, and processed protein annotated abundance files.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Synthetic method of analogues for emerging infectious disease forecasting

The Method of Analogues (MOA) has gained popularity in the past decade for infectious disease forecasting due to its non-parametric nature. In MOA, the local behavior observed in a time series is matched to the local behaviors of several historical time series. The known values that directly follow the historical time series that best match the observed time series are used to calculate a forecast. This non-parametric approach leverages historical trends to produce forecasts without extensive parameterization, making it highly adaptable. However, MOA is limited in scenarios where historical data is sparse. This limitation was particularly evident during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, where the emerging global epidemic had little-to-no historical data. In this work, we propose a new method inspired by MOA, called the Synthetic Method of Analogues (sMOA). sMOA replaces historical disease data with a library of synthetic data that describe a broad range of possible disease trends. This model circumvents the need to estimate explicit parameter values by instead matching segments of ongoing time series data to a comprehensive library of synthetically generated segments of time series data. We demonstrate that sMOA has competitive performance with state-of-the-art infectious disease forecasting models, out-performing 78% of models from the COVID-19 Forecasting Hub in terms of averaged Mean Absolute Error and 76% of models from the COVID-19 Forecasting Hub in terms of averaged Weighted Interval Score. Additionally, we introduce a novel uncertainty quantification methodology designed for the onset of emerging epidemics. Developing versatile approaches that do not rely on historical data and can maintain high accuracy in the face of novel pandemics is critical for enhancing public health decision-making and strengthening preparedness for future outbreaks.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

End-Use Load Profiles for the U.S. Building Stock: Practical Guidance on Accessing and Using the Data

This report describes example applications and considerations for using the National Renewable Energy Lab’s ResStock and ComStock end use load profiles (EULP). The report begins with an introduction to the three year project, and then provides instructions on accessing the EULP data and considerations for using the EULP and limitations of the data. The remainder of the report is on EULP use cases, including a variety of electricity planning use cases.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Best-estimate Modeling of the High Temperature Test Facility with RELAP5-3D

Prismatic HTGRs are a concept of interest for near-term deployment. While plenty of validation data exist for standalone neutronics or multiphysics modeling, the availability of integral effects thermal hydraulics validation data is more limited. The High Temperature Test Facility provides such data and is used as the basis for the High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactor Thermal Hydraulics Benchmark. This presentation presents results of best-estimate modeling of HTTF experiments PG-27 and PG-29 using the RELAP5-3D ring model developed at Idaho National Laboratory.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Data-driven organic solubility prediction at the limit of aleatoric uncertainty

Abstract Small molecule solubility is a critically important property which affects the efficiency, environmental impact, and phase behavior of synthetic processes. Experimental determination of solubility is a time- and resource-intensive process and existing methods for in silico estimation of solubility are limited by their generality, speed, and accuracy. This work presents two models derived from the FASTPROP and CHEMPROP architectures and trained on BigSolDB which are capable of predicting solubility at arbitrary temperatures for a wide range of small molecules in organic solvent. Both extrapolate to unseen solutes 2–3 times more accurately than the current state-of-the-art model and we demonstrate that they are approaching the aleatoric limit (0.5–1$$\log S$$ log S ) of available test data, suggesting that further improvements in prediction accuracy require more accurate datasets. The FASTPROP-derived model (called FASTSOLV) and the CHEMPROP-based model are open source, freely accessible via a Python package and web interface, highly reproducible, and up to 2 orders of magnitude faster than current alternatives.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Characterization of throughput on the AXI DMA bus for burst data transfer over Ethernet

cThe Xilinx AXI Direct Memory Access (AXI DMA) module is an efficient solution for medium-speed data transfer in Xilinx SoC FPGAs, supporting data rates greater than 1000 Gbps even in very suboptimal operating modes. It facilitates direct transfer of AXI stream data into processor memory without constant software intervention, which reduces overhead and ensures consistent data logging. By utilizing the FPGA's available memory, large circular buffers (1-5 GiB) are used to buffer data and accommodate network limitations, enabling high-rate data bursts. In this study, we measured the performance of AXI DMA under conditions simulating its lowest practical data transfer speeds. The Arbitrary Length Data Sender was used to transmit AXI stream packets at 32-bit width and 100 MHz frequency, a narrow width and slow speed. Results show that the AXI DMA can transfer up to 3192.76 Mbps with large packet sizes but experiences reduced performance for smaller packets, as low as 2.6 Mbps for 4-byte packets. For Ethernet-limited applications, packet sizes between 8,000 and 16,000 bytes provided optimal transfer speeds of 874 to 1600 Mbps. These findings suggest that the AXI DMA is not the limiting factor in systems where packet sizes exceed 8,000 bytes.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Analysis of PV Fleet Performance in Western United States During August 2020 Extreme Heat Wave

Starting in June 2020 through the end of that year, the western and central United States experienced a widespread heat wave and drought, which resulted in US$5.44 billion (CPI-adjusted) worth of damages. The ongoing heat and drought produced record large wildfires across the region, responsible for an additional US$19.9 billion in damage. These natural disasters directly impacted the energy system in the western US, leading to power blackouts in August 2020. In this work, we analyze the NLR PV Fleets data set, focusing on the geographic area covered by the Western Coordinating Council (WECC). We find that over the 10-day period from August 14 through 24, the median PV system produced 12% lower energy than expected, with some locations experiencing total losses of around 30%. Analyzing the spatial-temporal structure of the data and supplementing with limited operational current and voltage data where available, we find that system underperformance was more strongly impacted by irradiance reduction from wildfire smoke rather than by the high heat itself.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Developing a Prototype Methodology to Rank CO2-EOR Wells and Assess Their Reuse Potential for Geologic Carbon Storage

This paper presents a prototype methodology to assess the possible transition of Class II carbon dioxide-enhanced oil recovery (CO2-EOR) wells to Class VI wells. The focus is on wellbore construction materials—casing, cement, tubing, and the packer—and includes comprehensive workflows to evaluate these materials, with primary emphasis on compliance with Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Class VI well construction and conversion guidelines. These workflows systematically assess material properties and performance criteria to ensure regulatory compliance and optimize long-term wellbore integrity and functionality. Utilizing Python scripts and JavaScript Object Notation (JSON) representations, the study automates checks on digitized Texas Railroad Commission (TRRC) data to rank wells based on workflow criteria. By emphasizing critical factors such as casing integrity, cementing techniques, tubing compatibility, and packer selection, the methodology helps well owners and operators prioritize wells for potential reuse as CO2 injection wells. Given limitations in digitized data, manual user verification is required in some sections. Future improvements include integrating non-digitized data through web scraping and machine learning techniques. This research serves as a practical guide for stakeholders, supporting environmental compliance and sustainable well operations.

geologic carbon sequestration↗

Offshore Wind Composite Siting Exclusions Scenarios

This dataset consolidates criteria that restrict the siting of offshore wind energy installations, an update from Zuckerman et al. (2023). All scenarios exclude area from wind energy development due to legal or administrative restrictions (e.g., Marine Protected Areas), existing infrastructure, and technical constraints (e.g., 1,300 m bathymetry limit). A TIF data file and a PNG cartographic map of the data are provided for three scenarios ("Open", "Reference", and "Limited"), showing areas where offshore wind energy is restricted across the contiguous United States. The "Open" scenario only excludes areas with known preclusions for offshore wind deployment. The "Reference" scenario excludes all areas from the "Open" scenario, as well as additional best management practices such as known proposed protected areas, and state waters. The "Limited" scenario excludes all area from the "Reference" scenario. Additionally, it has more stringent siting criteria such as larger setbacks from shore and infrastructure, as well as shallower depth limits on floating technology. For further details and citation, please refer to the publication linked below: Zuckerman, Gabriel R., Anthony Lopez, Travis Williams, Rebecca Green, and Grant Buster. 2023. Impacts of Siting Considerations on Offshore Wind Technical Potential in the United States. Golden, CO: National Renewable Energy Laboratory. NREL/TP-6A20- 85088.

Array↗

Scaling CFB risers: Beyond the data using microstructure similarity

Scaling circulating fluidized bed risers has been a point of contention for nearly a century. There have been numerous attempts to define various methodologies. These have all fallen short of providing a robust approach, primarily due to a lack of maintaining microstructure dynamics – a key factor in maintaining interphase heat and mass transfer. Recent work by the author put forward an approach based upon preserving dynamic similarity at different scales by ensuring that the microstructure remained similar by maintaining statistical and chaotic parameters across the scale. That work relied on a dimensionless regime map in which the x-axis was defined by the ratio of the solids flux to the saturation carrying capacity. This latter property was only good within the range of the data, and it became evident that extrapolation beyond the limits of the data could induce unrealistic conditions. Therefore, literature was reviewed to develop a better correlation for the saturation carrying capacity. In doing so, a critical riser diameter concept was developed and applied to the correlations for both Geldart Group A and B materials. The critical diameter for Geldart Group A and B materials is 0.2 m and 0.3 m, respectively. Here the paper then gives three examples on how to use the scaling approach to maintain dynamic similarity across the scales.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Maintaining Microstructure – The Path to Successful Technology Maturation in Fluidized Systems

Scaling circulating fluidized bed risers has been a point of contention for nearly a century. There have been numerous attempts to define various methodologies. These have all fallen short of providing a robust approach, primarily due to a lack of maintaining microstructure dynamics – a key factor in maintain interphase heat and mass transfer. Recent work by the author put forward an approach based up maintaining dynamic similarity at different scales by ensuring that the microstructure remained similar by maintaining statistical and chaotic parameters across the scale. That work relied on a dimensionless regime map in which the x-axis was defined by the ratio of the solids flux to the saturation carrying capacity. This latter property was only good within the range of the data and it became evident that extrapolation beyond the limits of the data could induce unrealistic conditions. Therefore, literature was reviewed to develop a better correlation for the saturation carrying capacity. In doing so, a critical diameter concept was developed and applied to the correlations for both Geldart Group A and B materials. The critical diameter for Geldart Group A and B materials is 0.2 m and 0.3 m, respectively. The paper then gives examples on how to use the scaling approach to maintain dynamic similarity across the scales.<br>

Breault, Ronald↗

BEYONDPLANCK XIII. Intensity foreground sampling, degeneracies, and priors

We present the intensity foreground algorithms and model employed within the BEYONDPLANCK analysis framework. The BEYONDPLANCK analysis is aimed at integrating component separation and instrumental parameter sampling within a global framework, leading to complete end-to-end error propagation in the Planck Low Frequency Instrument (LFI) data analysis. Given the scope of the BEYONDPLANCK analysis, a limited set of data is included in the component separation process, leading to foreground parameter degeneracies. In order to properly constrain the Galactic foreground parameters, we improve upon the previous Commander component separation implementation by adding a suite of algorithmic techniques. These algorithms are designed to improve the stability and computational efficiency for weakly constrained posterior distributions. These are: (1) joint foreground spectral parameter and amplitude sampling, building on ideas from MIRAMARE; (2) component-based monopole determination; (3) joint spectral parameter and monopole sampling; and (4) application of informative spatial priors for component amplitude maps. We find that the only spectral parameter with a significant signal-to-noise ratio using the current BEYONDPLANCK data set is the peak frequency of the anomalous microwave emission component, for which we find $ν$ p = 25.3 ± 0.5 GHz; all others must be constrained through external priors. Future works will be aimed at integrating many more data sets into this analysis, both map and time-ordered based, thereby gradually eliminating the currently observed degeneracies in a controlled manner with respect to both instrumental systematic effects and astrophysical degeneracies. When this happens, the simple LFI-oriented data model employed in the current work will need to be generalized to account for both a richer astrophysical model and additional instrumental effects. This work will be organized within the Open Science-based COSMOGLOBE community effort.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗