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At least 613 records · Page 34

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NASA NTRS2017

Experimental Verification of Buffet Calculation Procedure Using Unsteady Pressure-Sensitive Paint

Typically, a limited number of dynamic pressure sensors is employed to determine the unsteady aerodynamic forces on large, slender aerospace structures. This paper describes a robust calculation procedure based on frequency-specific correlation lengths and validation from an experiment conducted on a flat panel coated with fast response pressure-sensitive paint. The first part of the paper describes the procedure used to analyze the pressure sensitive paint images and a calibration method using dynamic pressure transducers. Excellent comparison in spectra, coherence, and phase, measured via pressure-sensitive paint and dynamic pressure sensors, validates the pressure-sensitive paint data. The second part of the paper describes the buffet validation process, the first step of which was to use pressure histories from all pixels to determine the true force fluctuations. In the next step, only a selected number of pixels was chosen as virtual sensors, and a correlation-length-based buffet calculation procedure was applied to determine modeled force fluctuations. By progressively decreasing the number of virtual sensors, it was observed that the present calculation procedure was able to make a close estimate of the true unsteady forces only from eight sensors. It is believed that the present work provides the first validation of a buffet calculation procedure.

Buffet↗

NASA NTRS2019

Comparison of Integrated Digital Radiometer with Concurrent Water Vapor Radiometer using the Alphasat Receivers in Milan, Italy

In June 2014, NASA Glenn Research Center (GRC) and the Politecnico di Milano (POLIMI) jointly deployed a pair of coherent 20 GHz and 40 GHz beacon receivers to the POLIMI campus in Milan, Italy to characterize the atmospheric channel at Ka- and Q-band within the framework of the Alphasat experiment. The Milan receivers observe the continuous-wave beacons broadcast over Europe by the Aldo Paraboni Technology Demonstration Payload (TDP #5), and, in September 2017, both channels were upgraded to incorporate a novel digital radiometer (DR) measurement which NASA has recently employed in other propagation measurement campaigns. In November 2016, a co-located water vapor radiometer (WVR) was also installed at POLIMI, and the concurrent data from both the WVR and DR thusly enables validation of this new DR technique against the established WVR. Herein, we preliminarily investigate the calibration of the DR measurements using the WVR data and also assess a calibration method that may be implemented where WVR data is not readily available.

Zemba, Michael J.↗

NASA NTRS2019

Comparison of Integrated Digital Radiometer with Concurrent Water Vapor Radiometer Using the Alphasat Receivers in Milan, Italy

Zemba, Michael↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Developing A Continuous Ozone Record Through the SAGE and Aura Missions With NASA Reanalysis Products

During the last quarter of the 20th century, the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE) missions were crucial in monitoring the loss and the subsequent recovery of the stratospheric ozone layer. Due to the employed solar occultation and self-calibration method, the SAGE monitors have produced stable data throughout the lifetime of each instrument. However, over ten years passed between the end of the SAGE II and SAGE III/M3M missions in 2005 and the launch of SAGE III/ISS instrument in 2017, leaving a gap in the data that much be bridged in order to assess the trends in the ozone record. Reanalysis products, such as the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2), are attractive candidates for trend analysis due to the statistically optimized combination of multiple observing systems and the regular temporal and spatial coverage. In this study, we explore using the SAGE records to develop a stable reanalysis data product, suitable for trend analysis, from the start of the SAGE II record in 1984 through the present. Changes in the assimilated observation systems can introduce discontinuities within the MERRA-2 ozone record, such as in 2004 when the MERRA-2 system shifted from assimilating ozone retrievals collected by SBUV instruments to those collected by instruments onboard the Aura satellite. We follow the radiative transfer procedure outlined by Wargan et al. (2018) to address discontinuities in the MERRA-2 ozone dataset at the 2004 transition and during the Aura record. SAGE II ozone profiles are used to address discontinuities in upper stratospheric ozone associated with changes in the MERRA-2 meteorological observing system in 1998 and 1995. Lastly, we will use the resulting bias-corrected MERRA-2 ozone fields to assess the relative performance of the data from different SAGE sensors.

SAGE↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Developing A Continuous Ozone Record Through the SAGE and Aura Missions With NASA Reanalysis Products

During the last quarter of the 20th century, the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE) missions were crucial in monitoring the loss and subsequent recovery of the stratospheric ozone layer. Due to the employed solar occultation and self-calibration method, the SAGE monitors have produced stable data throughout the lifetime of each instrument. However, over ten years passed between the end of the SAGE II and SAGE III/M3M missions in 2005 and the launch of SAGE III/ISS instrument in 2017, leaving a gap in the data that must be bridged in order to assess trends in the ozone record. The Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2) reanalysis product, with output available starting in 1980, is an attractive candidate for trend analysis due to the statistically optimized combination of multiple observing systems and the regular temporal and spatial coverage. However, changes in the assimilated observation systems can introduce discontinuities within the MERRA-2 ozone record, such as in 2004 when the MERRA-2 system shifted from assimilating ozone retrievals collected by SBUV instruments to those collected by instruments onboard the Aura satellite. In this study, we explore using the SAGE II record as a transfer function to develop a stable reanalysis data product, suitable for trend analysis, from the start of the SAGE II record in 1984 through the present. We follow the procedure outlined by Wargan et al. (2018) to address discontinuities in the MERRA-2 ozone dataset at the 2004 transition and during the Aura record. SAGE II ozone profiles are used to correct discontinuities in upper stratospheric ozone associated with changes in the MERRA-2 meteorological observing system in 1998 and 1995. We will then assess the relative performance of the data from different SAGE sensors using the resulting bias-corrected MERRA-2 ozone fields.

Pamela Wales↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Estimating Bidirectional Reflectance and Monitoring Stability of SNPP-VIIRS Reflective Solar Bands Using A Deep Neural Network

The NASA Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System project provides the scientific community with observed top-of-atmosphere shortwave and longwave fluxes for climate monitoring and climate model validation. To provide consistent VIIRS cloud retrievals, the CERES Imager and Geostationary Calibration Group (IGCG) must understand and quantify the stability of the VIIRS instruments. To achieve this, the IGCG utilizes tropical deep convective clouds (DCCs) as invariant targets. Proper seasonal characterization of the DCC bidirectional reflectance distribution function (BRDF) is key to the success of DCC-based calibration methods, particularly for shortwave infrared (SWIR) bands. This article proposes the use of a deep neural network (DNN) to characterize VIIRS solar reflective band BRDF reflectance, with which individual channel trends are isolated by manipulating the DNN time input. Initial results show that the DNN method can extract statistically significant SNPP-VIIRS band trends, using only SNPP-VIIRS inputs, that are correlative to and match the magnitude of significant trends determined using methods that rely on an external angular distribution model. It may be possible to apply this approach to actively monitor the stability of new instruments without the need for predetermined seasonal BRDF corrections.

Benjamin Scarino↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

High-Temperature MEMS Based Venus Seismometer

Seismology is the method of choice for studying a planet’s interior and assessing current tectonic activity. With a single strategically placed seismometer, or preferably a network of seismometers, a variety of key aspects of a planet can be evaluated. The level and nature of seismicity observed provides a gauge of current geologic, especially tectonic, activity. Where tectonic activity is and is not occurring illuminates what regions and geologic features on the planet are currently active, thus, constraining global geodynamics. Larger distal earthquakes can be used to determine major compositional and structural boundaries within a planet’s interior, providing major constraints on planet formation and interior evolution. Seismometers have been deployed successfully on the Moon and Mars. Only small subsets of the scientific knowledge that can be gained from seismology can be obtained from alternative scientific approaches, such as global gravity solutions or repeat-pass interferometry. By virtue of its similar size to Earth, Venus is likely to be highly seismically active (Fig. 1). Even at Earth-like levels of seismology, returning meaningful data would require observation over a period that is at least 2–3 orders of magnitude longer than the 1–2 h lifetime of previous Soviet landers. Clever insulation could extend the lifetime of standard electronics in a modern lander to perhaps 24 h. While active cooling of electronics for a Venusian lander is plausible, this approach would require considerable technological advancement and will likely come at a high monetary and mass cost. The high density of the Venusian atmosphere at the surface should mean that there is good coupling of seismic energy into the atmosphere, such that seismology using infrasound from a balloon platform is currently being explored, and observations of the upper levels of the atmosphere from orbit has also been proposed [3]. Besides losing all shear wave information with these two methods, calibrating and interpreting seismic information that has been distorted by, and convolved with, atmospheric phenomena will be challenging without existing seismology data collected through surface seismometers (optimally, simultaneous surface seismological observations would be made).

silicon carbide↗

DOE OSTI2019

Complex Sources and Impacts on Remediation and Monitoring Approaches

Remedy selection, implementation, and coordination with tank farm activities for adjacent waste sites need to be facilitated by a technically defensible description of sources and their relative strength and temporal contributions to groundwater contamination. Detailed data describing contaminant source releases are typically not available, so source locations are highly uncertain. Furthermore, data on sources and model parameters are not readily available through direct measurements. Instead, source data are often derived by extrapolation from a few direct and/or indirect measurements, while model parameters are commonly estimated using inverse modeling or calibration methods. Because the conceptual model of sources will influence the mass and timing of the flux of contaminants to groundwater, uncertainty in the source terms should be considered. Even though a best-fit model can often be identified, it may not be the best representation of the sources given the sparse, uncertain nature of the data used for estimating source terms. To support future feasibility studies, a systematic approach is needed for identifying remediation and monitoring activities appropriate under conditions of uncertainty. In this study, an integrated assessment of alternative conceptual model elements has been examined using the B-Complex site in the Hanford Central Plateau to demonstrate how multiple sources in a waste management complex can be described to identify their relative contributions to groundwater. The heterogeneous structure of the system is modeled based on available field information on the lithological data for both the vadose zone and aquifer. The approach includes a simulation assessment and linkages to site data, with an uncertainty analysis applied to evaluate the effects of source term uncertainty on contaminant mass flux to groundwater. An integrated assessment of alternative conceptual model elements was evaluated to identify how parameter uncertainty impacts both temporal and spatial uncertainties associated with vadose zone source terms. Modeling scenarios identify important characteristics of remediation target zones to provide context for how surface barriers, in situ remedies, and water-table treatment zones can be designed to account for source dynamics. Ramifications for remediation and monitoring are discussed within the context of the source term uncertainty. The described approach facilitates systematically addressing alternative conceptual model questions in relation to remediation and monitoring and supports the remedial investigation/ feasibility study process and the remediation strategy development for the Hanford Central Plateau.

Rockhold, Mark L.↗

DOE OSTI2021

VERIFICATION MEASUREMENTS OF THE MASS AND ENRICHMENT OF URANIUM OXIDE CARD SOURCES

Measurements were performed to determine the mass and enrichment of 10 uranium oxide (U3O8) card sources. The measurements and analysis were completed as a verification of the card sources in support of Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s nuclear material control and accountability program. Although these cards are not nationally accredited as a nuclear standard, they are used as a working reference for measurements, such as holdup. The uranium card source measurements were taken with a broad energy germanium detector and the Genie 2000 Gamma Acquisition and Analysis software. A complete characterization of each of the 10 uranium card sources was performed using the 4 characteristic full energy peaks of 235U. Using the In Situ Object Counting System software to determine the mathematical efficiency of the measurement, the mass of 235U in each card was determined. The 235U mass in each card ranged from 10.42 to 12.63 g with a systematic error between 0.76 and 0.95 g and a random error of 0.01 g for each card source. The Multi-Group Analysis for Uranium (MGAU) software and the Fixed-Energy, Response Function Analysis with Multiple Efficiency (FRAM) isotopic analysis software were used to determine the isotopic composition of the uranium cards. The measured enrichment was compared to the declared enrichment for each card, with uncertainties ranging from 2.7% to 4.3% for the MGAU analysis and 2.3% to 4.1% for the FRAM analysis. This is a good example of how a well-benchmarked mathematical calibration method can be useful in characterizing uranium sources.

Hunneke, Rachel↗

DOE OSTI2022

The WRF-Solar Ensemble Prediction System: Development, Test, and Validation

Providing reliable probabilistic solar radiation information is needed to improve management of the uncertainty and variability of solar generation. Thus, guidance on how to develop skillful and accurate ensemble forecasts is essential and it will ultimately contribute to integration of high amounts of solar energy on the grid. A team from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory and the National Center for Atmospheric Research had been collaborating to develop the WRF-Solar ensemble prediction system (WRF-Solar EPS) in the past three years to produce probabilistic solar irradiance forecasts and better predict solar energy by quantifying forecast uncertainty. The WRF-Solar EPS basically generates ensemble members for solar irradiance based on stochastic perturbations to provide intraday and day-ahead probabilistic forecasts. This study will present main research steps in developing the WRF-Solar EPS including: (a) tangent linear analysis for identifying key input variables of six WRF-Solar modules significantly related to predicting of cloud and solar irradiance, (b) combining stochastic perturbation technique with the WRF-Solar model, and (c) ensemble calibration method to decrease error and uncertainty of ensemble-based solar forecasts. The capability of WRF-Solar EPS is now updated to the most recent version of standard WRF model. This presentation will summarize comprehensive results from the evaluation of forecasts against the National Solar Radiation Data Base as well as ground-measured observations. Moreover, we will introduce the user's guide for WRF-Solar EPS (e.g., parameters to configure stochastic perturbations) and future extension of this research.

day-ahead forecast↗

DOE OSTI2025

The ICEBERG Test Stand for DUNE Cold Electronics Development

ICEBERG is a liquid argon time projection chamber at Fermilab for the purpose of testing detector components and software for the Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE). The detector features a 1.15m x 1m anode plane following the specifications of the DUNE horizontal drift far detector and a newly installed X-ARAPUCA photodetector. The status of ICEBERG is reported along with analysis of noise, pulser, and cosmic ray data from the ninth run beginning May 2024 with the goal of advising the DUNE collaboration on the optimal wire readout electronics configuration. In addition, development of an absolute energy scale calibration method is currently underway using known sources such as cosmic ray muon Michel electrons at the ~10 MeV scale and $^{39}$Ar decay electrons at the ~100keV scale. Research into AI-based identification of such events at the data acquisition level is introduced.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2015

STELLAR COLOR REGRESSION: A SPECTROSCOPY-BASED METHOD FOR COLOR CALIBRATION TO A FEW MILLIMAGNITUDE ACCURACY AND THE RECALIBRATION OF STRIPE 82

In this paper we propose a spectroscopy-based stellar color regression (SCR) method to perform accurate color calibration for modern imaging surveys, taking advantage of millions of stellar spectra now available. The method is straightforward, insensitive to systematic errors in the spectroscopically determined stellar atmospheric parameters, applicable to regions that are effectively covered by spectroscopic surveys, and capable of delivering an accuracy of a few millimagnitudes for color calibration. As an illustration, we have applied the method to the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) Stripe 82 data. With a total number of 23,759 spectroscopically targeted stars, we have mapped out the small but strongly correlated color zero-point errors present in the photometric catalog of Stripe 82, and we improve the color calibration by a factor of two to three. Our study also reveals some small but significant magnitude dependence errors in the z band for some charge-coupled devices (CCDs). Such errors are likely to be present in all the SDSS photometric data. Our results are compared with those from a completely independent test based on the intrinsic colors of red galaxies presented by Ivezić et al. The comparison, as well as other tests, shows that the SCR method has achieved a color calibration internally consistent at a level of about 5 mmag in u – g, 3 mmag in g – r, and 2 mmag in r – i and i – z. Given the power of the SCR method, we discuss briefly the potential benefits by applying the method to existing, ongoing, and upcoming imaging surveys.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

NASA NTRS1972

Molecular branching ratio method for intensity calibration of optical systems in the vacuum ultraviolet

A state-of-the-art review is given of the molecular branching ratio method for intensity calibration in the vacuum ultraviolet. Ways are described for determining both relative and quantitative responses in the wavelength range 1000 A to 3000 A. The molecular band systems which are discussed are the following: H2(B 1 Sigma u +)-(X 1 Sigma g +), H2(C 1 Pi u)-(X 1 Sigma g +), N2(A 1 Pi g)-(X 1 Sigma g +), CO(A 1 Pi)-(X 1 Sigma +), NO(A 2 Sigma +)-(X 2 Pi r), and NO(+) (A 1 Pi)-(X 1 Sigma +).

Mumma, M. J.↗

DOE OSTI2016

Sci-Thur PM - Colourful Interactions: Highlights 06: Patient-specific calibration of cone-beam computed tomographic (CBCT) image sets for on-line dose tracking and plan assessment

Purpose: To develop a radiotherapy dose tracking and plan evaluation technique using cone-beam computed tomography (CBCT) images. Methods: We developed a patient-specific method of calibrating CBCT image sets for dose calculation. The planning CT was first registered with the CBCT using deformable image registration (DIR). A scatter plot was generated between the CT numbers of the planning CT and CBCT for each slice. The CBCT calibration curve was obtained by least-square fitting of the data, and applied to each CBCT slice. The calibrated CBCT was then merged with original planning CT to extend the small field of view of CBCT. Finally, the treatment plan was copied to the merged CT for dose tracking and plan evaluation. The proposed patient-specific calibration method was also compared to two methods proposed in literature. To evaluate the accuracy of each technique, 15 head-and-neck patients requiring plan adaptation were arbitrarily selected from our institution. The original plan was calculated on each method’s data set, including a second planning CT acquired within 48 hours of the CBCT (serving as gold standard). Clinically relevant dose metrics and 3D gamma analysis of dose distributions were compared between the different techniques. Results: Compared to the gold standard of using planning CTs, the patient-specific CBCT calibration method was shown to provide promising results with gamma pass rates above 95% and average dose metric agreement within 2.5%. Conclusions: The patient-specific CBCT calibration method could potentially be used for on-line dose tracking and plan evaluation, without requiring a re-planning CT session.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

An empirical method for geometric calibration of a photon counting detector-based cone beam CT system

BACKGROUND: Geometric calibration is essential in developing a reliable computed tomography (CT) system. It involves estimating the geometry under which the angular projections are acquired. Geometric calibration of cone beam CTs employing small area detectors, such as currently available photon counting detectors (PCDs), is challenging when using traditional-based methods due to detectors’ limited areas. OBJECTIVE: This study presented an empirical method for the geometric calibration of small area PCD-based cone beam CT systems. METHODS: Unlike the traditional methods, we developed an iterative optimization procedure to determine geometric parameters using the reconstructed images of small metal ball bearings (BBs) embedded in a custom-built phantom. An objective function incorporating the sphericities and symmetries of the embedded BBs was defined to assess performance of the reconstruction algorithm with the given initial estimated set of geometric parameters. The optimal parameter values were those which minimized the objective function. The TIGRE toolbox was employed for fast tomographic reconstruction. To evaluate the proposed method, computer simulations were carried out using various numbers of spheres placed in various locations. Furthermore, efficacy of the method was experimentally assessed using a custom-made benchtop PCD-based cone beam CT. RESULTS: Computer simulations validated the accuracy and reproducibility of the proposed method. The precise estimation of the geometric parameters of the benchtop revealed high-quality imaging in CT reconstruction of a breast phantom. Within the phantom, the cylindrical holes, fibers, and speck groups were imaged in high fidelity. The CNR analysis further revealed the quantitative improvements of the reconstruction performed with the estimated parameters using the proposed method. CONCLUSION: Apart from the computational cost, we concluded that the method was easy to implement and robust.

Instruments & Instrumentation↗

DOE OSTI2021

Discrete-Direct Model Calibration and Uncertainty Propagation Method Confirmed on Multi-Parameter Plasticity Model Calibrated to Sparse Random Field Data

A discrete direct (DD) model calibration and uncertainty propagation approach is explained and demonstrated on a 4-parameter Johnson-Cook (J-C) strain-rate dependent material strength model for an aluminum alloy. The methodology's performance is characterized in many trials involving four random realizations of strain-rate dependent material-test data curves per trial, drawn from a large synthetic population. The J-C model is calibrated to particular combinations of the data curves to obtain calibration parameter sets which are then propagated to “Can Crush” structural model predictions to produce samples of predicted response variability. These are processed with appropriate sparse-sample uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods to estimate various statistics of response with an appropriate level of conservatism. This is tested on 16 output quantities (von Mises stresses and equivalent plastic strains) and it is shown that important statistics of the true variabilities of the 16 quantities are bounded with a high success rate that is reasonably predictable and controllable. The DD approach has several advantages over other calibration-UQ approaches like Bayesian inference for capturing and utilizing the information obtained from typically small numbers of replicate experiments in model calibration situations—especially when sparse replicate functional data are involved like force–displacement curves from material tests. The DD methodology is straightforward and efficient for calibration and propagation problems involving aleatory and epistemic uncertainties in calibration experiments, models, and procedures.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2013

Transconvolution and the virtual positron emission tomograph-A new method for cross calibration in quantitative PET/CT imaging

Purpose: Positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT) measurements on small lesions are impaired by the partial volume effect, which is intrinsically tied to the point spread function of the actual imaging system, including the reconstruction algorithms. The variability resulting from different point spread functions hinders the assessment of quantitative measurements in clinical routine and especially degrades comparability within multicenter trials. To improve quantitative comparability there is a need for methods to match different PET/CT systems through elimination of this systemic variability. Consequently, a new method was developed and tested that transforms the image of an object as produced by one tomograph to another image of the same object as it would have been seen by a different tomograph. The proposed new method, termed Transconvolution, compensates for differing imaging properties of different tomographs and particularly aims at quantitative comparability of PET/CT in the context of multicenter trials. Methods: To solve the problem of image normalization, the theory of Transconvolution was mathematically established together with new methods to handle point spread functions of different PET/CT systems. Knowing the point spread functions of two different imaging systems allows determining a Transconvolution function to convert one image into the other. This function is calculated by convolving one point spread function with the inverse of the other point spread function which, when adhering to certain boundary conditions such as the use of linear acquisition and image reconstruction methods, is a numerically accessible operation. For reliable measurement of such point spread functions characterizing different PET/CT systems, a dedicated solid-state phantom incorporating {sup 68}Ge/{sup 68}Ga filled spheres was developed. To iteratively determine and represent such point spread functions, exponential density functions in combination with a Gaussian distribution were introduced. Furthermore, simulation of a virtual PET system provided a standard imaging system with clearly defined properties to which the real PET systems were to be matched. A Hann window served as the modulation transfer function for the virtual PET. The Hann's apodization properties suppressed high spatial frequencies above a certain critical frequency, thereby fulfilling the above-mentioned boundary conditions. The determined point spread functions were subsequently used by the novel Transconvolution algorithm to match different PET/CT systems onto the virtual PET system. Finally, the theoretically elaborated Transconvolution method was validated transforming phantom images acquired on two different PET systems to nearly identical data sets, as they would be imaged by the virtual PET system. Results: The proposed Transconvolution method matched different PET/CT-systems for an improved and reproducible determination of a normalized activity concentration. The highest difference in measured activity concentration between the two different PET systems of 18.2% was found in spheres of 2 ml volume. Transconvolution reduced this difference down to 1.6%. In addition to reestablishing comparability the new method with its parameterization of point spread functions allowed a full characterization of imaging properties of the examined tomographs. Conclusions: By matching different tomographs to a virtual standardized imaging system, Transconvolution opens a new comprehensive method for cross calibration in quantitative PET imaging. The use of a virtual PET system restores comparability between data sets from different PET systems by exerting a common, reproducible, and defined partial volume effect.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

DOE OSTI2016

A Method to Test Model Calibration Techniques

This paper describes a method for testing model calibration techniques. Calibration is commonly used in conjunction with energy retrofit audit models. An audit is conducted to gather information about the building needed to assemble an input file for a building energy modeling tool. A calibration technique is used to reconcile model predictions with utility data, and then the 'calibrated model' is used to predict energy savings from a variety of retrofit measures and combinations thereof. Current standards and guidelines such as BPI-2400 and ASHRAE-14 set criteria for 'goodness of fit' and assume that if the criteria are met, then the calibration technique is acceptable. While it is logical to use the actual performance data of the building to tune the model, it is not certain that a good fit will result in a model that better predicts post-retrofit energy savings. Therefore, the basic idea here is that the simulation program (intended for use with the calibration technique) is used to generate surrogate utility bill data and retrofit energy savings data against which the calibration technique can be tested. This provides three figures of merit for testing a calibration technique, 1) accuracy of the post-retrofit energy savings prediction, 2) closure on the 'true' input parameter values, and 3) goodness of fit to the utility bill data. The paper will also discuss the pros and cons of using this synthetic surrogate data approach versus trying to use real data sets of actual buildings.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗