DOE OSTI2018
The accuracy of the safety analysis of Nuclear Power Plants, in general, and the High Temperature Reactors, in particular, is driven by several factors, among which the accuracy of decay heat curves or calculation. This paper is aimed to present a methodology based on the usage of the RAVEN code for the construction of a multi-dimensional decay heat curve for High Temperature Reactors, via calculations performed by ORIGEN. The main goal of this activity has been the identification of a model able to surrogate the phenomenology of the decay heat after shutdown, satisfying the following requirements: 1) Reasonable prediction accuracy till 1 month after the shutdown, 2) Ability to capture the main deviation effects determined by field conditions (e.g. burn-up, fuel temperature, fissile enrichment, etc.), 3) As easy as possible formalism in order to possibly allow the implementation of the curve into system codes (e.g. RELAP5-3D) inputs exploiting, for example, control variable capabilities. Three surrogate models (also known as decay heat curves in the safety analysis nomenclature) have been identified: 1) Spline Exponential surrogate model, 2) A Support Vector Regression model and, 3) A Dynamic Mode Decomposition model. The aim of this paper is to present the mathematical background of the identified surrogate models and their performance in the prediction of decay heat evolution for High Temperature Reactors. A preliminary comparison of the surrogate model performances is finally reported.
73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗