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At least 613 records · Page 34

Error field predictability and consequences for ITER

Abstract ITER coil tolerances are re-evaluated using the modern understanding of coupling to least-stable plasma modes and an updated center-line-traced model of ITER’s coil windings. This reassessment finds the tolerances to be conservative through a statistical, linear study of n = 1 error fields (EFs) due to tilted, shifted misplacements and nominal windings of central solenoid and poloidal field coils within tolerance. We also show that a model-based correction scheme remains effective even when metrology quality is sub-optimal, and compare this to projected empirical correction schemes. We begin with an analysis of the necessity of error field correction (EFC) for daily operation in ITER using scalign laws for the EF penetration threshold. We then consider the predictability of EF dominant mode overlap across early planned ITER scenarios and, as measuring EFs in high power scenarios can pose risks to the device, the potential for extrapolation to the ITER Baseline Scenario (IBS). We find that carefully designing a scenario matching currents proportionally to those of the IBS is far more important than plasma shape or profiles in accurately measuring an optimal correction current set.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Bridging the Gap on Data, Metrics, and Analyses for Grid Resilience to Weather Events: Information that utilities can provide regulators, state energy offices, and other stakeholders

A growing number of states require regulated utilities to file resilience plans to improve the electric grid’s ability to anticipate, withstand, adapt to and recover from increasingly severe weather events. This report aims to help state regulators identify and request data, metrics, and analyses from utilities and use it in decisions on utility resilience plans and investments. The report reviews state requirements and utility plans focused on overall grid resilience, climate change resilience and vulnerabilities, infrastructure modernization, storm protection, and wildfire mitigation. It details types of data, metrics, and analyses across five categories--and provides examples of each from the utility plans. The first category is vulnerability assessments, or evaluations of the susceptibility of systems, communities, or assets to potential harm from identified hazards. The second is data on hazards and the exposure of utility assets and customers to these hazards. The third is attribute metrics, or system characteristics that contribute to or describe the resilience of a system. The fourth is performance metrics, which are impacts of resilience investments on system performance--typically a reduction of negative impacts from hazard events. Finally, evaluation and prioritization are analyses that utilities conduct to estimate impacts from resilience measures (evaluation) and prioritize measures based on costs and estimated impacts (prioritization). The report concludes with examples of key trends and emerging best practices for states and utilities, and identifies areas for further research.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Validation of wind resource and energy production simulations for small wind turbines in the United States

Abstract. Due to financial and temporal limitations, the small wind community relies upon simplified wind speed models and energy production simulation tools to assess site suitability and produce energy generation expectations. While efficient and user-friendly, these models and tools are subject to errors that have been insufficiently quantified at small wind turbine heights. This study leverages observations from meteorological towers and sodars across the United States to validate wind speed estimates from the Wind Integration National Dataset (WIND) Toolkit, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Reanalysis v5 (ERA5), and the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2), revealing average biases within ±0.5 m s−1 at small wind hub heights. Observations from small wind turbines across the United States provide references for validating energy production estimates from the System Advisor Model (SAM), Wind Report, MyWindTurbine.com, and Global Wind Atlas 3 (GWA3), which are seen to overestimate actual annual capacity factors by 2.5, 4.2, 11.5, and 7.3 percentage points, respectively. In addition to quantifying the error metrics, this paper identifies sources of model and tool discrepancies, noting that interannual fluctuation in the wind resource, wind speed class, and loss assumptions produces more variability in estimates than different horizontal and vertical interpolation techniques. The results of this study provide small wind installers and owners with information about these challenges to consider when making performance estimates and thus possible adjustments accordingly. Looking to the future, recognizing these error metrics and sources of discrepancies provides model and tool researchers and developers with opportunities for product improvement that could positively impact small wind customer confidence and the ability to finance small wind projects.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Interannual variability of spring and summer monsoon growing season carbon exchange at a semiarid savanna over nearly two decades

Eddy covariance measurements of land-atmosphere energy, carbon, and water exchange now span multiple decades at some sites, supporting an improved understanding of flux interannual variability (IAV) and its ecophysiological and physical controls. Most eddy covariance IAV studies have focused on temperate forest ecosystems, where carbon fluxes are large and flux records are longest – but also where IAV is much lower than in dryland regions, which have been identified as an essential driver of the trend and variability in the global terrestrial carbon sink. In this study, we leveraged 19 years of continuous micrometeorological measurements at the AmeriFlux US-SRM mesquite savanna site in southern Arizona, USA to quantify the IAV, trends, and drivers of carbon fluxes during the distinct spring and summer growing seasons. We also assessed the ability of modern satellite and land surface models to capture the IAV of seasonal water and carbon fluxes. Annual net ecosystem production (NEP) was small and highly variable (23 +/- 64 gC m –2 yr –1 ). Precipitation and associated measures of water availability determined most of the variability in NEP, largely through their influence on annual and seasonal gross ecosystem productivity (GEP) as opposed to ecosystem respiration (ER). Root-zone soil moisture captured between 73% (spring) and 85% (summer) of GEP variability and between 73% (spring) and 58% (summer) of ER variability. Throughout the study period, soil moisture and greenness increased with associated increases in GEP, ER and NEP. These trends were strongly influenced by very productive and wet summer growing seasons during the last two years, which were characterized by abundant understory grass cover. Typically, less than half of the variability in growing season GEP and evapotranspiration was captured by satellite-based estimates and land surface model simulations with local site forcing and calibration, highlighting the ongoing utility of long-term datasets to support careful model testing and improvement.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The Ground State Electronic Energy of Benzene

We report here on the findings of a blind challenge devoted to determining the frozen-core, full configuration interaction (FCI) ground-state energy of the benzene molecule in a standard correlation-consistent basis set of double-ζ quality. As a broad international endeavor, our suite of wave function-based correlation methods collectively represents a diverse view of the high-accuracy repertoire offered by modern electronic structure theory. In our assessment, the evaluated high-level methods are all found to qualitatively agree on a final correlation energy, with most methods yielding an estimate of the FCI value around -863 mE H . However, we find the root-mean-square deviation of the energies from the studied methods to be considerable (1.3 mE H ), which in light of the acclaimed performance of each of the methods for smaller molecular systems clearly displays the challenges faced in extending reliable, near-exact correlation methods to larger systems. While the discrepancies exposed by our study thus emphasize the fact that the current state-of-the-art approaches leave room for improvement, we still expect the present assessment to provide a valuable community resource for benchmark and calibration purposes going forward.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Crystal Chemistry and Thermodynamics of HREE (Er, Yb) Mixing in a Xenotime Solid Solution

Rare earth elements (REEs), the 15 naturally occurring lanthanides plus yttrium and scandium, are ubiquitously used in modern life as they are critical components of many advanced devices and technologies. However, the demand for REEs is not equal, with the heavy rare earth elements (HREEs) having a higher demand. Xenotime (HREEPO 4 ) is an important HREE ore mineral and globally is an economical source of HREE. Most of the crystallographic and thermodynamic properties of xenotime endmembers have been elucidated by calorimetric, solubility, and high-pressure studies. Yet, in natural systems, endmembers are rarely encountered, and instead, REE solid solutions are more commonly observed. Here, we characterize the crystal chemistry, thermodynamics of HREE mixing, and high-temperature material behaviors and thermochemistry of a synthetic erbium (Er)-ytterbium (Yb) binary xenotime solid solution (Er (x) Yb (1-x) PO 4 ) using a suite of experimental techniques, including X-ray fluorescence spectroscopy, synchrotron X-ray powder diffraction implemented with Rietveld analysis, Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy coupled with attenuated total reflectance, Raman spectroscopy, thermogravimetric analysis coupled with differential scanning calorimetry, and high-temperature oxide melt drop solution calorimetry. Our results shed light on the formation of natural xenotimes and lay the foundation for their industrial applications as thermal coating materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Business Plan for a Domestic Supply of Superconducting Radiofrequency Cavities

Superconducting radiofrequency (SRF) cavities are critical components of modern particle accelerators. The industrialization of SRF technology in the U.S. has a long history, with several companies becoming interested in the technology in the past 30 years. However, there is currently no U.S. manufacturer with the capability to produce fully assembled, ready-to-test SRF cavities. A majority of these companies have either left the field or shut their doors. As a result, government-sponsored SRF accelerator projects in the U.S. largely rely on European vendors for the cavity supply. This presents not only a supply chain risk for scientific use cases, but also severely limits the commercialization of accelerator-based technologies. SRF accelerators have a range of strategic applications, including environmental remediation, semiconductor lithography, medical isotope production, and irradiation/sterilization. The nurturing of a domestic SRF industry is critical to maintaining U.S. economic competitiveness.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Elucidating Pore Network Evolution in Laboratory‐ and Shaft‐Furnace Hydrogen‐Reduced Iron Pellets Using Nanotomographic Characterization

Direct reduced iron (DRI) is an increasingly important feedstock for modern steelmaking. Fundamental research into DRI properties is limited by the discrepancy between the behavior of industrially produced pellets and laboratory‐produced pellets, leading to nongeneralizable conclusions from laboratory work. Here, in this study, a detailed nano‐computed tomographic characterization of ore pellets, hydrogen DRI reduced in a pilot‐scale shaft furnace, and laboratory‐reduced DRI is presented to better understand the microstructurally influenced property differences between the two. The shaft‐furnace‐reduced pellets show lower overall porosity but larger average pore volume thickness and solid volume thickness than the laboratory‐reduced pellets. This effect is attributed to increased sintering behavior in the shaft furnace case. All pellet types show almost entirely connected pore volumes. The tortuosity of the pores is shown to increase with a degree of reduction, though the shaft furnace pellets show lower tortuosity than the laboratory‐reduced pellets. Again, this difference is attributed to the larger pore volume thickness for shaft‐furnace‐reduced pellets.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Economic Evaluation of Modernization Expenditures for Electric Utility Distribution Systems: A Guide for Utility Regulators

Cost-effectiveness evaluation of potential grid modernization solutions is integral to integrated distribution system planning (IDSP). This report synthesizes and updates prior cost-effectiveness approaches identified by the U.S. Department of Energy for grid modernization investments, incorporating multi-objective decision-making. The structure of the report follows the IDSP process, from identifying objectives and priorities to prioritizing grid solutions. The report details two methods for conducting initial cost-effectiveness screening of individual and interdependent grid components: (1) Lowest Reasonable Cost and (2) Benefit-Cost Analysis. Drawing on solutions that passed the initial cost-effectiveness screen, the utility prioritizes grid solutions based on policy objectives and priorities, regulatory compliance, operational efficiencies, and other factors to develop a portfolio of distribution solutions. The utility uses multi-objective decision-making to assess each proposed expenditure against each objective and respective metric. The utility applies a weighting factor, reflecting the priority ranking of the objective, to the total numerical “score” based on the contribution of the proposed solution to addressing each objective. Ultimately, the utility ranks each expenditure from highest to lowest priority using the final score for each solution as well as its cost. The report includes examples of emerging best practices for states and utilities and a cost-effectiveness process checklist.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Deep learning for NLTE spectral opacities

Computer simulations of high energy density science experiments are computationally challenging, consisting of multiple physics calculations including radiation transport, hydrodynamics, atomic physics, nuclear reactions, laser–plasma interactions, and more. To simulate inertial confinement fusion (ICF) experiments at high fidelity, each of these physics calculations should be as detailed as possible. However, this quickly becomes too computationally expensive even for modern supercomputers, and thus many simplifying assumptions are made to reduce the required computational time. Much of the research has focused on acceleration techniques for the various packages in multiphysics codes. In this work, we explore a novel method for accelerating physics packages via machine learning. The non-local thermodynamic equilibrium (NLTE) package is one of the most expensive calculations in the simulations of indirect drive inertial confinement fusion, taking several tens of percent of the total wall clock time. We explore the use of machine learning to accelerate this package, by essentially replacing the physics calculation with a deep neural network that has been trained to emulate the physics code. Overall, we demonstrate the feasibility of this approach on a simple problem and perform a side-by-side comparison of the physics calculation and the neural network inline in an ICF Hohlraum simulation. We show that the neural network achieves a 10× speed up in NLTE computational time while achieving good agreement with the physics code for several quantities of interest.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Superallowed 0 + → 0 + nuclear β decays: 2020 critical survey, with implications for V ud and CKM unitarity

A new critical survey of all half-life, decay-energy and branching-ratio measurements related to 23 superallowed 0 + → 0 + β decays is presented. Included are 222 individual measurements of comparable precision obtained from 174 published references. Compared with our last survey in 2015, we have added results from 28 new publications and eliminated an approximately equal number whose results have been superseded by much more precise modern data. We obtain world-average ft values for each of the 21 transitions that have a complete set of data, then apply radiative and isospin-symmetry-breaking corrections to extract “corrected” Ft values. Fifteen of these Ft values now have a precision of 0.3% or better and all take the same value within statistics, as expected from conservation of the vector current. Their average, Ft¯, when combined with the muon lifetime, yields the up-down quark-mixing element of the Cabibbo-Kobayashi-Maskawa matrix, V ud = 0.97373 ± 0.00031. This is lower than our 2015 result by one standard deviation and its uncertainty is increased by 50%. This is a consequence, not of any shifts in the experimental data, but of new calculations for the radiative corrections. The lower V ud value now leads to greater tension in the top-row test of unitarity in the CKM matrix. Updates in experimental data have independently led to a factor-of-two tighter limit being set on the possible existence of a scalar interaction. In conclusion, the new limit on Fierz interference is b F ≤ 0.0033 at the 90% confidence level.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

The Compelling Need for a Mid-Scale Stellarator Facility

In the pursuit of the goal of commercial fusion as an abundant and safe source of energy, the stellarator is a leading concept with compelling attractiveness and demonstrated performance. A new mid-size stellarator is needed to retire risks and innovate towards a high performance, economically attractive, stellarator Fusion Pilot Plant. In this presentation we, as a community of US researchers from Universities, National Laboratories, and Private Industry, involved in studying the stellarator concept, lay out the programmatic and technical motivation for a new and modern mid-size stellarator research facility. A new mid-scale stellarator is needed to realize the potential predicted by a solid body of theory and simulation along with advances in computational tools for optimization and non-linear turbulence modeling. Notably, it is possible to combine the advantages of the stellarator (steady state, no current drive, no disruptions) with the good confinement regularly achieved in tokamaks. The top priorities for experimental work, and the motivation for a mid-scale stellarator experiment are: turbulence control, non-resonant divertor, MHD stability at large beta, confinement of fast particles, and coil simplification. A new mid-size quasi-symmetric stellarator, built as a user facility, would complement existing research at Wendelstein 7-X and LHD and strongly augment private industry. It would provide a program of innovative research, concept validation, theoretical advancement, and workforce development. Growing support and interest for stellarators by the fusion community and private industry affirms this rationale.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Generation of the TSL for Zirconium Hydrides from Ab Initio Methods

Zirconium hydride (ZrHx) is a moderator material used in TRIGA and other reactors that may exist in multiple phases with varying stoichiometry, which include the δ phase and the ϵ phase. Current ENDF/B-VIII.0 ZrHx thermal scattering law (TSL) evaluations do not distinguish between phases. These sub-libraries were generated with the LEAPR module of NJOY using historic phonon spectra derived from a central force model and assume incoherent elastic scattering for both bound hydrogen and zirconium, which neglects the effects of crystal structures important for scattering from zirconium bound in ZrHx. In this work, the TSLs for hydrogen and zirconium bound in δ-ZrHx and ϵ-ZrH2 were generated from phonon spectra derived from modern ab initio lattice dynamics methods and ab initio molecular dynamics. Subsequently, TSLs for hydrogen and zirconium in ZrHx and ZrH2 were generated using the Full Law Analysis Scattering System Hub (FLASSH) code. The built-in generalized coherent elastic routine was used to generate the previously neglected elastic contribution from zirconium for this material. The present TSLs provide both a re-evaluation of the current ZrH sub-libraries and expansion of the set of TSLs available for the examination of neutrons in systems with zirconium hydride, permitting explicit treatment of δ and ϵ phases.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

High Statistics Measurements of $ν_μ$ Charged-Current Single $π^{+}$ Production with Zero Pion Kinetic Energy Threshold in MINERvA

This Letter presents measurements of single-differential cross sections of $ν_μ$-induced charged-current 1 $π^{+}$ production on scintillator using the MINERvA detector at Fermilab. These measurements use traditional track-based pion reconstruction as well as pions identified solely via Michel electron decays, allowing measurement of kinetic energies from 0 to 350 MeV. In total, 91,843 events were selected with $W_{exp}$$<$ 1.4 GeV/c. Differential cross sections as a function of pion and muon kinematic variables are presented and compared with the predictions of several neutrino event generators. Overall, modern pion production models tend to agree with data at the ends of the kinematic regions probed, but are discrepant with the main regions of the phase space probed by up to 15% in muon observables and up to 20% in pion observables. No model describes any of the variables well, and this result highlights model areas that require improvement for the next generation of neutrino oscillation experiments.

Granados, E. [Guanajuato U.]↗

J-PLUS: Support vector machine applied to STAR-GALAXY-QSO classification

Context. In modern astronomy, machine learning has proved to be efficient and effective in mining big data from the newest telescopes. Aims. In this study, we construct a supervised machine-learning algorithm to classify the objects in the Javalambre Photometric Local Universe Survey first data release (J-PLUS DR1). Methods. The sample set is featured with 12-waveband photometry and labeled with spectrum-based catalogs, including Sloan Digital Sky Survey spectroscopic data, the Large Sky Area Multi-Object Fiber Spectroscopic Telescope, and VERONCAT – the Veron Catalog of Quasars & AGN. The performance of the classifier is presented with the applications of blind test validations based on RAdial Velocity Extension, the Kepler Input Catalog, the Two Micron All Sky Survey Redshift Survey, and the UV-bright Quasar Survey. A new algorithm was applied to constrain the potential extrapolation that could decrease the performance of the machine-learning classifier. Results. The accuracies of the classifier are 96.5% in the blind test and 97.0% in training cross-validation. The F1-scores for each class are presented to show the balance between the precision and the recall of the classifier. We also discuss different methods to constrain the potential extrapolation.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Examining the effects of chemical cleaning, leaching, and partial dissolution on zinc and cadmium isotope fractionation in marine carbonates

The application of zinc (Zn) and cadmium (Cd) isotopes as palaeo-proxies in carbonate sediment is rapidly expanding due to their potential for tracing changes in biological productivity in the modern and past oceans. However, there are limited investigations into the chemical cleaning methods required to produce the most consistent and accurate data for these novel isotope systems. This could impact their use as palaeo-proxies to reconstruct ocean-atmosphere-climate interactions throughout Earth's history. To address this concern and expand the utility of the Zn and Cd stable isotope systems as palaeo-productivity tracers, the performance of two standard chemical cleaning protocols for acquiring robust and reliable Zn and Cd isotope datasets were assessed. These include (i) the Cd-cleaning method that uses a reductive step to selectively leach contaminating secondary iron (Fe)-manganese (Mn) (oxyhydr)oxide coatings from the carbonate surface, and an oxidative step that is used to remove post-depositional organic matter and sulphide precipitates; and (ii) the magnesium/calcium cleaning protocol that includes an oxidative step only, leaving secondary Fesingle bondMn (oxyhydr)oxide coatings largely intact. Well-preserved Holocene-, and Mesozoic-aged carbonate sediments were used to test the reliability of these two chemical cleaning methods. The Holocene samples comprised not only aliquots of bulk sediment, but also individual species of planktic and benthic foraminifera. Our results show that the best practice chemical cleaning method for retrieving consistent and accurate Zn and Cd isotope, and Zn/Ca and Cd/Ca datasets for carbonate sediments, requires both reductive and oxidative cleaning following the Cd-cleaning method. This differs from most methodological approaches applied to date that remove the reductive step from the chemical cleaning protocol and apply an oxidative step only, or no chemical cleaning at all. Inclusion of the reductive step in the chemical cleaning method typically shifts δ 66 Zn by ~0.1‰ lower and δ 114 Cd by 0.3‰ higher in the solid phase, while Zn/Ca and Cd/Ca typically decrease 2-fold. The benthic foraminifera, C. wuellerstorfi, that live in ocean bottom waters where the seawater Zn and Cd isotope composition is homogeneous display evidence of Zn and Cd isotope fractionation between seawater and carbonate on the order of 0.08 ± 0.08‰ (2SE, n = 4) and -0.25 ± 0.13‰ (2SE, n = 4), respectively, in agreement with experimental constraints. Furthermore, evidence of Zn isotope fractionation effects are recorded in a naturally-dissolved carbonate sediment, together with laboratory-controlled carbonate dissolution experiments. Based on these results, we recommend the Cd-cleaning method and the application of Zn and Cd isotope fractionation factors to accurately reconstruct past seawater Zn and Cd isotope compositions from carbonate sediments.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Confinement performance predictions for a high field axisymmetric tandem mirror

This paper presents Hammir tandem mirror confinement performance analysis based on Realta Fusion's first-of-a-kind model for axisymmetric magnetic mirror fusion performance. This model uses an integrated end plug simulation model including, heating, equilibrium, and transport combined with a new formulation of the plasma operation contours (POPCONs) technique for the tandem mirror central cell. Using this model in concert with machine learning optimization techniques, it is shown that an end plug utilizing high temperature superconducting magnets and modern neutral beams enables a classical tandem mirror pilot plant producing a fusion gain Q > 5. The approach here represents an important advance in tandem mirror design. The high fidelity end plug model enables calculations of heating and transport in the highly non-Maxwellian end plug to be made more accurately. The detailed end plug modelling performed in this work has highlighted the importance of classical radial transport and neutral beam absorption efficiency on end plug viability. The central cell POPCON technique allows consideration of a wide range of parameters in the relatively simple near-Maxwellian central cell, facilitating the selection of more optimal central cell plasmas. These advances make it possible to find more conservative classical tandem mirror fusion pilot plant operating points with lower temperatures, neutral beam energies, and end plug performance requirements than designs in the literature. Despite being more conservative, it is shown that these operating points have sufficient confinement performance to serve as the basis of a viable fusion pilot plant provided that they can be stabilized against MHD and trapped particle modes.

FOS: Physical sciences↗

3D Modeling of Safety-Related Upgrade Pilot Project

Constellation Energy and the United States Department of Energy (DOE) have established a public/private partnership to implement a pilot digital upgrade to replace legacy analog, safety-related reactor protection and emergency safety feature actuation systems (RPS/ESFAS) with modern digital systems. This effort is occurring at Constellation’s Limerick Generating Station. This project is being performed in accordance with industry processes that have been adapted to better support digital upgrades. These processes include IP-ENG-001, Standard Design Process, NISP-EN-04, Standard Digital Engineering Process and Electric Power Research Institute Report 3002011816, Digital Engineering Guide. The Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) Program at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) has been supporting this effort. Latest INL HFE efforts in support of this project have focused on definition and implementation of the Human Factors Engineering (HFE) Program in support of Constellation design and related licensing efforts. This paper will present the development of the HFE 3D modeling execution of the Main Control Room safety upgrades. New equipment and modifications are planned for upgrading the new safety systems. 3D modeling allows for visualization of the new equipment and modifications to be shared with engineering and design teams for evaluation and review. Anthropometric considerations such as sight lines and functional reach can be evaluated directly using the 3D model. This effort has helped to provide visualizations for additional review with operations personnel and project stakeholders.

3D Modeling↗