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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 613 records · Page 34
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Impact of Storage Conditions on the Quality and Viability of Switchgrass as a Bioenergy Crop

With growing energy demands and climate concerns, advancements in bioenergy have become imperative. Biofuels promote energy independence, reduce fossil fuel reliance, and cut greenhouse gas emissions. Switchgrass (Panicum virgatumis) is an ideal bioenergy crop due to its ability to thrive on marginal lands unsuitable for food crops and its drought tolerance, rendering it a low-maintenance, high-yield option. In the bioenergy industry, energy crops are typically stored to facilitate supply chain management and ensure a continuous supply despite seasonal availability. However, the effective utilization of bioenergy crops is typically contingent upon addressing the challenges associated with biomass storage. These challenges include high moisture content that promotes biological degradation of the biomass leading to increased risk of pathogenic microbes, and chemical degradation that increases the ratio of inconvertible, inorganic materials. These issues lead to a reduction of feedstock value, diminishing the biomass-to-biofuel conversion efficacy, making switchgrass and other bioenergy crops less effective as fuel sources. This project aims to improve the storage of purpose-grown energy crops. Aerobic storage trials were conducted under varying moisture contents to stimulate real-world environmental exposure. Switchgrass samples were rewetted to 30% or 35% and stored in a bioreactor for approximately one month, or until cellular respiration ceased. Degradation indicators, such as dry matter loss, temperature changes, and cellular respiration, were measured throughout this process. Samples for compositional analysis, 16S, and ITS were taken at three different time points: before, during, and after storage, to monitor changes in biomass, microbial communities, and metabolites over time. Preliminary data indicate that dry matter loss is proportional to cellular respiration, with higher moisture content (35%) leading to higher temperatures and elevated dry matter loss. Compositional analysis and microbial community analysis are in progress. This research will provide a comprehensive understanding of storage, helping to identify stability factors in energy crops and improve best management practices for biomass producers.

09 - BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Genome‐wide quantitative trait loci detection for biofuel traits in switchgrass ( Panicum virgatum L.)

Abstract Switchgrass ( Panicum virgatum L.) has been identified as a potential feedstock for cellulosic ethanol production in United States for its high biomass yield and adaptation to marginal lands. Composition of the cell wall plays an important role in bioethanol conversion. A total of 209 pseudo‐F 1 testcross progenies obtained from a biparental cross, AP13 × VS16, were grown at three locations from 2008 to 2011. Near‐infrared spectroscopy was used to estimate cell wall composition from biomass harvested at maturity. A linkage map of the pseudo‐F 1 testcross was constructed with 8,757 SNPs developed by genotyping‐by‐sequencing. Quantitative trait loci (QTL) analysis was performed on eight lignocellulosic traits, namely, klason lignin, sugar, glucose, xylose, hexose, ethanol, hexosoic ethanol, and cell wall ethanol conversion percentage. A total of 327 QTL were recorded for the eight lignocellulosic traits. We have identified 111 major regions in the switchgrass genome that underlie these lignocellulosic traits. Scanning of the genome sequence for genes flanking the QTL peaks, we identified 45 important genes that are involved in lignin biosynthesis, carbohydrate and sugar metabolism, and other biological and cellular functions. Identification of valuable genes associated with QTL along with pleotropic effects of the significant number of QTL suggests that simultaneous selection and genetic improvement of these traits are possible using marker‐assisted selection.

Ali, Shahjahan↗
DOE OSTI2025

Acetate as a Platform for Carbon-Negative Production of Renewable Fuels and Chemicals (Final Technical Report)

This project was an industrial-academic collaboration between experts at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, the University of Kentucky, and LanzaTech, a world leader in the use of gas fermentation to sustainably produce fuels and chemicals. The project developed technologies to create an integrated process for converting carbon dioxide and renewable hydrogen into molecules that can be blended with liquid transportation fuels or used in an array of chemical applications. The project was motivated by the Program Objectives of eliminating carbon dioxide release in the production of chemicals by integrating the unique and efficient capabilities of two microorganisms into a single process. The first microbe, an acetogen, produces acetate from carbon dioxide and hydrogen while the second microbe upgrades acetate from acetogen fermentation permeates to higher-value chemical products. The carbon dioxide released in the upgrading process is recycled internally to produce more acetate. As such, the process can be designed to operate with zero carbon dioxide release and net positive carbon dioxide capture. The process has the potential to provide an alternative paradigm to the current bioeconomy – one in which acetate is the primary energy carrier instead of sugars. Our process by-passes photosynthesis and the barriers created by biomass as primary chemical feedstock. As such, the process can be scaled to meet existing sources of carbon dioxide emissions and located anywhere renewable hydrogen can be provided. Our work developed microorganisms with optimized metabolism for producing acetate and other microorganisms with improved conversion of acetate to dodecanol and dodecyl-acetate. We developed synthetic biology tools for a promising non-model bacterium that could enhance metabolic engineering efforts to convert acetate to chemical products. We conducted protein engineering studies to improve the activity of key enzymes involved in our metabolic pathways. We conducted a full technoeconomic analysis that set technical targets for each strain to meet economic goals. We identified key technical barriers in our process and proposed strategies to overcome them.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Data for Robust Paths to Net Greenhouse Gas Mitigation and Negative Emissions via Advanced Biofuels

This zip file contains a UNIX-format DayCent model executable, input files, automation code, and associated directory structure necessary to re-produce the DayCent analysis underlying the manuscript. The main script “autodaycent.py” (written for Python 2.7) opens an interactive command line routine that facilitates: Calibrating the DayCent pine growth model; Initializing DayCent for a set of case studies sites; Executing an ensemble of model runs representing case study site reforestation, grassland restoration, or conversion to switchgrass cultivation; and Results analysis & generation of manuscript Fig. 3. Note that the interactive analysis code requires that all input files to be contained in the directory structure as uploaded, without modification. Executable versions of the DayCent model compatible with other operating systems are available upon request.

Feedstock Production↗
DOE OSTI2024

Dissolution zone model of the oxide structure in additively manufactured dispersion-strengthened alloys

The structural evolution of oxides in dispersion-strengthened superalloys during laser-powder bed fusion is considered in detail. Alloy chemistry and process parameter effects on oxide structure are assessed through a parameter study on the model alloy Ni-20Cr, doped with varying concentrations of Y 2 O 3 and Al. Small angle neutron scattering measurements of the dispersoid size distribution show the dispersoid size increases with higher laser power, slower scan speed, and increasing Y 2 O 3 and Al content. Complementary electron microscopy measurements reveal reactions between Y 2 O 3 and Al, even in nanoscale dispersoids, and the presence of micron-scale oxide slag inclusions in select specimens. A scaling analysis of mass and momentum transport within the melt pool, presented here, establishes that diffusional structural evolution mechanisms dominate for nanoscale dispersoids, while fluid forces and advection become significant for larger slag inclusions. These findings are developed into a theory of dispersoid structural evolution, integrating quantitative models of diffusional processes – dispersoid dissolution, nucleation, growth, coarsening – with a reduced order model of time-temperature trajectories of fluid parcels within the melt pool. Calculations of the dispersoid size in single-pass melting reveal a zone in the center of the melt track in which the oxide feedstock fully dissolves. Within this zone the final Y 2 O 3 size is independent of feedstock size and determined by nucleation and growth kinetics. If the dissolution zones of adjacent melt tracks overlap sufficiently with each other to dissolve large oxides, formed during printing or present in the powder feedstock, then the dispersoid structure throughout the build volume is homogeneous and matches that from a single pass within the dissolution zone. Gaps between adjacent dissolution zones result in oxide accumulation into larger slag inclusions. Predictions of final dispersoid size and slag formation using this dissolution zone model match the present experimental data and explain process-structure linkages speculated in the open literature.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Regionalized Life-Cycle Water Impacts of Microalgal-Based Biofuels in the United States

While algal biofuels have the potential to reduce the national reliance on fossil fuels, high water consumption associated with algal biomass cultivation represents a major concern potentially compromising the sustainable commercialization of this technology. This study focuses on quantifying the water footprint (WF) and water scarcity footprint (WSF) of renewable diesel derived from algal biomass and provides insights into where algal cultivation is less water-intensive than traditional ethanol and biodiesel feedstocks. Results are generated with an engineering process model developed to predict the life-cycle water consumption, considering green, blue, and gray water, of algae facilities across the United States at a high spatiotemporal resolution. The total WFs for Florida and Arizona are determined to be 13.1 and 17.6 m 3 GJ –1 , respectively. The blue WF in Arizona is shown to be 8.5 times larger than in Florida, while the green WF is 4.5 times smaller, but when combined into a total WF, there is just a 26% difference between the two locations. The analysis reveals that the total life-cycle WFs of algal renewable diesel are smaller than the optimal WFs of corn ethanol and soybean biodiesel. Algal systems benefit from higher growth rates and offer the opportunity to manage wastewater streams, therefore generating smaller green and gray WFs than those of conventional biofuels. Here, the WSF analysis identifies the Gulf Coast as the most suitable region for algal cultivation, with cultivation in the western US shown to exacerbate local water stress levels.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Whole Algae Hydrothermal Liquefaction and Upgrading: A review of progress and challenges and insight into the future

This report summarizes the research at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) to evaluate the economic viability and environmental impact of using microalgae to produce fuels and other products via hydrothermal liquefaction (HTL). Over the past several years, PNNL has examined key aspects of feedstock cost and availability, formatting and conversion techniques, and the utilization of all HTL products. Investigations of feedstock cost led to opportunities to work with cost-advantaged algal feedstocks that can be provided at minimal cost for HTL processing. Cost-advantaged algae include wastewater-grown algae and harvested algal blooms. Although farm-cultivated algae offer the best possible biomass composition and scalability for HTL processing, the cost of the feedstock is too high to yield an economically competitive biofuel. Processing cost-advantaged feedstocks creates other unique challenges in adapting HTL to upgrade biomass with higher than typical ash content and less preferred composition (low lipid). Despite the challenges, HTL of cost-advantaged algae results in economically competitive pricing scenarios and significant advantages in reducing net emissions below 70% of the petroleum baseline. The utilization of a variety of potential non-fuel products from algal HTL, such as the use of HTL solids as a cement additive, provides a significant reduction in net emissions by offsetting emissions from other carbon-intense products. This report presents an analysis of the research conducted at PNNL to develop an economically and environmentally beneficial process for algae HTL.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Discrete-Element and Material-Point Method (DEM and MPM) Based Solvers for Sustainable Technologies

We present the use of discrete element method (DEM) and material point method (MPM) in three relevant green technology applications that include biomass feedstock handling, lithium-ion battery manufacturing, and high-pressure reverse osmosis. Our open-source DEM and MPM solvers are developed using performance portable grid and particle management library, AMReX, thus enabling superior performance on NVIDIA and AMD GPUs with > 100 million particles. Our DEM solver resolves the motion of individual particles in a granular system and includes a bonded sphere method for modeling non-spherical particles along with Hertzian and liquid bridge-based contact models. We simulate highly variable biomass feedstock flows in large-scale hoppers for biofuel production and electrode calendering in battery manufacturing using DEM. Our simulations predict flow blockage in large scale biomass hoppers and electrode microstructure variations, thus providing valuable information for biofuel and battery manufacturers, respectively. The second half of the talk will be on MPM and its application towards pore resolved simulations of reverse osmosis membranes under compressive loads. We present a validation study of our MPM simulations with membrane microscopy imaging thus providing useful insights on membrane stability under high pressure conditions. We also present a spectral stability analysis of using linear hat, quadratic and cubic spline basis in MPM indicating regions of numerical stability.

BIOMASS FUELS,MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Perovskite Photocatalytic CO 2 Reduction or Photoredox Organic Transformation?

Abstract Metal‐halide perovskites have been explored as photocatalysts for CO 2 reduction. We report that perovskite photocatalytic CO 2 reduction in organic solvents is likely problematic. Instead, the detected products (i.e., CO) likely result from a photoredox organic transformation involving the solvent. Our observations have been validated using isotopic labeling experiments, band energy analysis, and new control experiments. We designed a typical perovskite photocatalytic setup in organic solvents that led to CO production of up to ≈1000 μmol g −1 h −1 . CO 2 reduction in organic solvents must be studied with extra care because photoredox organic transformations can produce orders of magnitude higher rate of CO or CH 4 than is typical for CO 2 reduction routes. Though CO 2 reduction is not likely to occur, in situ CO generation is extremely fast. Hence a suitable system can be established for challenging organic reactions that use CO as a feedstock but exploit the solvent as a CO surrogate.

San Martin, Jovan↗
DOE OSTI2022

Perovskite Photocatalytic CO 2 Reduction or Photoredox Organic Transformation?

Abstract Metal‐halide perovskites have been explored as photocatalysts for CO 2 reduction. We report that perovskite photocatalytic CO 2 reduction in organic solvents is likely problematic. Instead, the detected products (i.e., CO) likely result from a photoredox organic transformation involving the solvent. Our observations have been validated using isotopic labeling experiments, band energy analysis, and new control experiments. We designed a typical perovskite photocatalytic setup in organic solvents that led to CO production of up to ≈1000 μmol g −1 h −1 . CO 2 reduction in organic solvents must be studied with extra care because photoredox organic transformations can produce orders of magnitude higher rate of CO or CH 4 than is typical for CO 2 reduction routes. Though CO 2 reduction is not likely to occur, in situ CO generation is extremely fast. Hence a suitable system can be established for challenging organic reactions that use CO as a feedstock but exploit the solvent as a CO surrogate.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Improving knife milling performance for biomass preprocessing by using advanced blade materials

Mechanical preprocessing of biomass, including size reduction, is a crucial step in converting biomass into biofuel. However, feedstock inevitably contains abrasive intrinsic and extrinsic inorganics that may cause excessive tool wear in preprocessing. Here, this work demonstrates that performance of a knife mill can be significantly improved by applying a more wear-resistant blade material. A series of full-scale knife mill tests were performed for size reduction of forest residue using blades of tungsten carbide (WC–Co), iron-borided tool steel, and diamond-like carbon (DLC) coated tool steel. Blade material loss was quantified in correlation to the amount of feedstock processed and wear mechanisms were investigated via worn surface characterization. While the thin DLC coating was removed quickly, the WC-Co and iron-borided blades improved the tool life by 8X and 3X compared with the M2 tool steel blades (baseline), respectively. The in-situ throughput and power consumption measurements provided additional insights. The WC-Co and iron-borided blades had ~3X higher throughput than the baseline blades by the end of the test with lower normalized power consumption. The experimental results were then used as input for a techno-economic analysis, which suggested that the more wear resistant blades could cut the knife milling cost by $2–3 per ton of biomass processed with downtime reduced by 65–85%.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Particle Scale Impacts on Deconstruction Energy of Pine Residues

The goal of this Case Study was to quantify the impacts of variable moisture and ash on hammer mill throughput and energy consumption and on generation of fines that are not able to be fed to conversion, as compared to a status quo Base Case system. Also considered was convertible carbon content (minimum carbon specification) and maximum ash content and the delivered feedstock cost impacts of not being able to feed residue not meeting both specifications to the conversion reactor. Laboratory data on the impacts of input particle size and moisture content on the exit particle size were received from FCIC Subtask 5.2: Preprocessing, High Temperature Conversion Preprocessing from their single particle impact population balance modeling study (Tiasha Bhattacharjee, INL). Additional throughput and energy consumption data were obtained from FCIC Subtask 5.2 (Jordan Klinger, INL) for the same grinder with a 6 mm screen in place. These data were utilized to develop the necessary response surface equations to perform throughput analysis using discrete event simulation. Because the ash contents in the separated fines had not been analyzed in the laboratory at the time of the model runs, we chose to assume that the ash distributed proportionally with total mass into the overs and unders in the disk screen following grinding.

energy consumption↗
DOE OSTI2020

Evolution of AISI 304L stainless steel part properties due to powder recycling in laser powder-bed fusion

Selective laser melting (SLM) is a powder-bed fusion process in Additive Manufacturing (AM) that uses a laser beam to selectively fuse layers of powder into near net-shape components with little porosity. However, inconsistencies in the part properties due to the presence of defects in as-built components has hindered the widespread adoption of SLM for industrial applications forcing researchers to study the sources of variation for quality control purposes. A critical area suspected of creating variation in the part properties is the feedstock, where batch-to-batch differences as well as changes in the powder properties with reuse have the potential to affect performance. During processing, laser spatter and condensate eject from the melt pool and deposit into the powder-bed surrounding the parts. These particulates, more commonly known as ejecta, differ morphologically and chemically from the virgin powder compromising its reusability. In this study, 304L stainless steel powder was recycled for a total of 5 times through a systematic approach aimed at accelerating powder degradation to reveal the influence on both the tensile and impact toughness properties. Through analysis of variance (ANOVA), it was found that tensile properties did not change with reuse, while the impact toughness showed a steady decline illustrating the differences in static and dynamic part properties due to powder recycling.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Microchannel reactive distillation for the conversion of aqueous ethanol to ethylene

Here we demonstrate the proof-of-concept for microchannel reactive distillation for alcohol-to-jet application: combining ethanol/water separation and ethanol dehydration in one unit operation. Ethanol is first distilled into the vapor phase, converted to ethylene and water, and then the water co-product is condensed to shift the reaction equilibrium. Process intensification is achieved through rapid mass transfer—ethanol stripping from thin wicks using novel microchannel architectures—leading to lower residence time and improved separation efficiency. Energy savings are realized with integration of unit operations. For example, heat of condensing water can offset vaporizing ethanol. Furthermore, the dehydration reaction equilibrium shifts towards completion by immediate removal of the water byproduct upon formation while maintaining aqueous feedstock in the condensed phase. For aqueous ethanol feedstock (40% w ), 71% ethanol conversion with 91% selectivity to ethylene was demonstrated at 220 °C, 600 psig, and 0.28 h -1 wt hour space velocity. 2.7 stages of separation were also demonstrated, under these conditions, using a device length of 8.3 cm. This provides a height equivalent of a theoretical plate (HETP), a measure of separation efficiency, of ~3.3 cm. By comparison, conventional distillation packing provides an HETP of ~30 cm. Thus, 9.1× reduction in HETP was demonstrated over conventional technology, providing a means for significant energy savings and an example of process intensification. Finally, preliminary process economic analysis indicates that by using microchannel reactive distillation technology, the operating and capital costs for the ethanol separation and dehydration portion of an envisioned alcohol-to-jet process could be reduced by at least 35% and 55%, respectively, relative to the incumbent technology, provided future improvements to microchannel reactive distillation design and operability are made.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Cold-Sprayed NMC622 Composite as a Cathode for Lithium-Ion Batteries

The growing demand for high-energy, low-cost lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) to power electric vehicles (EVs) necessitates advances in both materials and manufacturing processes. Conventional cathode fabrication methods, such as slurry casting and drying, are energy-intensive and pose challenges for scalability and environmental compliance. In this study, we propose cold-spray (CS) deposition as a solvent-free approach for fabricating LiNi 0.6 Mn 0.2 Co 0.2 O 2 (NMC622) composite cathodes. Powder blends of NMC622, poly(vinylidene fluoride) (PVDF), and carbon black (CB) are directly deposited onto stainless steel and Inconel substrates under varied gas temperatures, pressures (and thus velocities), and standoff distances. The effects of temperature on the deposit morphology, coating density, and volume are systematically investigated. Computational fluid dynamics simulations reveal that increasing the gas temperature enhances the particle velocity, narrows the spray angle, and reduces the mass concentration radially at the nozzle outlet. CS deposition results in a dense cathode microstructure, accompanied by fracture in polycrystalline NMC622 particles. X-ray diffraction analysis further verifies that there are no phase changes during the deposition process. The electrochemical performance of the cold-sprayed cathodes reveals an initial capacity of approximately 96 mAh g –1 for single-crystal NMC622 and 167 mAh g –1 for polycrystalline NMC622. While these values are modest compared to state-of-the-art slurry-cast cathodes, which typically exhibit 180–200 mAh g –1 under optimized conditions. The results demonstrate a competitive performance given the solvent-free nature of the CS process and compare favorably with tape-cast samples made from identical feedstock. In conclusion, he CS process enables the formation of dense, binder-integrated cathode coatings without the need for solvent processing, offering a promising pathway for scalable, energy-efficient dry electrode manufacturing of next-generation LIBs.

Batteries↗
DOE OSTI2020

Microanalytical Approaches to Characterizing REE in Appalachian Basin Underclays

The search for a reliable U.S. domestic source of rare earth elements (REE) is necessary to support the demand of advanced energy applications (e.g., catalysts, electronics, magnets). Sedimentary deposits may be sources for selectively recovering REE and critical metals—specifically the interbedded seat rock, or underclay, that underlies or forms the floor of a coal seam. This material is often a major component of coal waste fines and refuse and thus readily available. This study examines several Appalachian Basin underclays associated with actively mined coal seams as potential feedstocks for the REE. Multimodal microanalytical electron microscopy (SEM, FIB-SEM, EMPA) synchrotron-based µXRF, and image processing techniques are coupled with detailed elemental and mineral data to classify the 2D and 3D petrophysical properties of the materials. The REE contents of Appalachian Basin underclays were measured from 235–399 ppm and predominantly observed as discrete REE-bearing minerals such as monazite and xenotime on the order of 10–100 µm in size. These REE-bearing minerals typically accounted for less than 1% of the scanned areas and volumes under SEM and FIB-SEM analysis, with the exception of regions enriched in crandallite. Synchrotron-based µXRF elemental maps further identified several REE deposition environments in different underclays, including micro-scale (10–100 µm) light REEs co-localizing with Ca and P, micro-scale heavy REEs with Fe, and large-scale light REEs (>200 µm) co-localizing with Sr, Ba, Ca and P.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
NASA NTRS1992

Lunar Resource Assessment: an Industry Perspective

The goals of the U.S. space program are to return to the Moon, establish a base, and continue onward to Mars. To accomplish this in a relatively short time frame and to avoid the high costs of transporting materials from the Earth, resources on the Moon will need to be mined. Oxygen will be one of the most important resources, to be used as a rocket propellant and for life support. Ilmenite and lunar regolith have both been considered as ores for the production of oxygen. Resource production on the Moon will be a very important part of the U.S. space program. To produce resources we must explore to identify the location of ore or feedback and calculate the surface and underground reserves. Preliminary resource production tests will provide the information that can be used in final plant design. Bechtel Corporation's experience in terrestrial engineering and construction has led to an interest in lunar resource assessment leading to the construction of production facilities on the Moon. There is an intimate link between adequate resource assessment to define feedstock quantity and quality, material processing requirements, and the successful production of lunar oxygen. Although lunar resource assessment is often viewed as a research process, the engineering and production aspects are very important to consider. Resource production often requires the acquisition of different types, scales, or resolutions of data than that needed for research, and it is needed early in the exploration process. An adequate assessment of the grade, areal extent, and depth distribution of the resources is a prerequisite to mining. The need for a satisfactory resource exploration program using remote sensing techniques, field sampling, and chemical and physical analysis is emphasized. These data can be used to define the ore for oxygen production and the mining, processing facilities, and equipment required.

Feldman, S. C.↗
DOE OSTI2020

Supporting Bioproducts Industry Growth with a System Dynamics Decision-Support Tool

A bio-based economy requires chemical products as well as fuels to be produced from biomass. Although a variety of universities, government agencies, start-ups and established firms have engaged in bioproduct development, many projects have failed to reach the point of commercialization and commercialized bioproducts struggle to capture and maintain market share. To date, there has been no general research into the factors that contribute to bioproduct failure or success. This work presents the Bioproduct Transition Dynamics (BTD) system dynamics model, a decision-support tool that simulates the bioproduct development process from pre-piloting research through construction of the first commercial-scale plant, as well as the processes of obtaining funding from investors and government agencies. The core of the BTD is a feedback loop between bioproduct developers and funders, which relates development progress measured with indicators such as net present value to funders’ decisions to continue investing. External factors such as feedstock prices, market size and growth, and the existence of bioproduct consumers also influence a development project’s chances of receiving follow-on funding. Virtually any bioproduct can be represented with the BTD: direct replacements, performance-advantaged products, niche and commodity markets can all be modeled. The goal of the BTD project is to inform decisions made by developers in both established firms and start-ups, investors, government agencies, and other stakeholders interested in growing the nascent U.S. bioproducts industry. This talk will cover the general structure and functionality of the BTD, and present results from an analysis performed with the BTD to demonstrate its use as a decision-support tool and the insights it can provide. The goal of the analysis is to identify the most critical factors that lead to direct replacement and performance-advantaged bioproduct projects emerging successfully from the “Valley of Death”, and to determine if these factors differ between the two bioproduct types.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗