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At least 613 records · Page 34

Probabilistic Methods for Cyclical and Coupled Systems with Changing Failure Rates

Advancements in nuclear system designs with automated control features provide many benefits, but can lead to complex coupled systems and dynamic failure scenarios. This is especially true for microreactor designs where components are not expected to be replaced during the reactor’s lifetime. Hence, the life of the system, in addition to the safety, needs to be evaluated. Modeling these sequences of time-dependent events requires addressing cyclical processes and changing failure rates in ways that represent the actual system dynamics in contrast to a single sampling for a component’s time to failure. This research presents two distinct analytical methods for several failure distributions that evaluate a final time to failure used for different scenarios where the time to failure must be sampled multiple times. The first method is used when evaluating a component whose failure rate increases due to an outside event after the initial sampling but before the initially sampled time to failure. The second method is used when evaluating multiple identical components or a component that has been replaced with a new identical version before the second sampling. The two methods were implemented in a few representative case studies developed in the dynamic probabilistic risk assessment tool Event Modeling Risk Assessment using Linked Diagrams. Overall, this paper provides guidelines on how these approaches give a more realistic and accurate dynamic probabilistic risk assessment of complex systems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Spacetime pq theory for AC and DC electric power systems

The 50/60 Hz alternating current (AC) electric power has been the standard and most flexible energy source powering our modern societies for one and a half centuries since the war of the currents: AC versus direct current (DC). A reactive power concept that was introduced at the beginning of the AC power was very useful for circuit/system analysis, design, control, optimization, and ultimately for more efficient and stable generation, transmission, distribution, and consumption. The initial reactive power theory was based on single-phase sinusoidal AC power to capture inductive and capacitive power that yields to net-zero average power over one fundamental cycle. Soon it was expanded to non-sinusoidal AC power and finally to instantaneous three-phase AC power. However, these reactive power theories remain separate and limited to special cases and have never been consolidated and made valid to all cases. Today, more widespread adoption of power electronics and renewable energy is bringing back DC power into the electric grids. The reactive power concept has never been applied to DC power systems. There is no reactive power in DC power systems according to the existing reactive power theories. Do DC power systems really have no reactive power? Capacitors and inductors are widely used in DC just like in AC power systems. Are they not reactive power components? Why are they different from their AC counterparts? Furthermore, are batteries active or reactive power components? What about active devices like power converters (or inverters) with AC (or DC) on one side and DC (or AC) on the other? Do they generate or consume reactive power? Finally, what about AC and DC hybrid power systems? How to define reactive power in such a complex power system that has a multitude of loads, buses, and sources? Is there reactive power between any two loads, any two buses, or any two sources in a power system and what is the total reactive power in such a complex power system as a whole? As the motivation and goal of this paper to answer the above basic questions, to unify the existing AC reactive power theories and to ultimately provide theoretical and insightful guidance for system analysis, design, control, efficiency, optimization, and operation of complex power systems, a concept of spacetime (both spatial and temporal) active and reactive power (pq) theory—the spatiotemporal aspect of active and reactive power—is developed for both AC and DC power systems. The theoretical definitions and physical meanings of the spacetime reactive power will be developed, and real applications and thought experiments/cases/exercises will be explored and discussed. The developed mathematics to define the active (or real) and reactive (or imaginary) power— p and q respectively by dot (scalar) and cross (vector) products of multi-dimension spacetime vectors and time-space mapping principle/law can have some fundamental implications as well.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Reimagining pH Measurement: Utilizing Raman Spectroscopy for Enhanced Accuracy in Phosphoric Acid Systems

Measurement of pH is an integral component of chemical studies and process control; however traditional pH probes are difficult to utilize in harsh or complex chemical systems. Optical spectroscopy-based on-line monitoring offers a powerful and novel route for characterizing system parameters, such as pH, and is well adapted to deployment in harsh environments or chemically complex systems. Specifically, Raman spectroscopy combined with chemometric analysis can provide an improved method of on-line pH measurement. Therefore, multivariate curve resolution analysis of Raman spectra can be utilized to determine speciation as a function of pH and subsequent chemometric modeling can be used to correlate spectral response to pH. This was demonstrated with phosphoric acid, a chemical system known to challenge traditional pH probes. Raman spectra exhibit clear changes with pH due to changing speciation, and chemometric modeling can be successfully utilized to correlate those fingerprints to pH. Using this approach, true pH of the phosphoric acid system can be measured with greater accuracy than with traditional pH probes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The Minos Computing Library: Efficient Parallel Programming for Extremely Heterogeneous Systems

Hardware specialization has become the silver bullet to achieve efficient high performance, from Systems-on-Chip systems, where hardware specialization can be ``extreme'', to large-scale HPC systems. As the complexity of the systems increases, so does the complexity of programming such architectures in a portable way. This work introduces the Minos Computing Library (MCL), as system software, programming model, and programming model runtime that facilitate programming extremely heterogeneous systems. MCL supports the execution of several multi-threaded applications within the same compute node, performs asynchronous execution of application tasks, efficiently balances computation across hardware resources, and provides performance portability. We show that code developed on a personal desktop automatically scales up to fully utilize powerful workstations with 8 GPUs and down to power-efficient embedded systems. MCL provides up to 17.5x speedup over OpenCL on NVIDIA DGX-1 systems and up to 1.88x speedup on single-GPU systems. In multi-application workloads, MCL dynamically resource allocation provides up to 2.43x performance improvement over manual, static allocation of computing resources.

Gioiosa, Roberto↗

Bioenergy cropping systems shape ant community composition and functional roles

The adoption of biomass crops grown for energy is a likely source of major landscape change in coming decades during the transition from fossil fuels. There are a wide range of cropping systems that have not been widely deployed yet but could become commonplace, and our knowledge of their ecological attributes and biodiversity impacts is limited. Ants are prominent and functionally important components of grassland and agricultural ecosystems. Given their outsized influences on ecosystem structure and function, we sought to understand how ant communities are likely to be shaped by a range of bioenergy cropping systems. We characterized ant communities in a long-term experimental array in Michigan, USA containing ten dedicated bioenergy crops including annual monocultures, simple monoculture or near-monoculture perennial grasses, and complex polyculture systems. Community composition differed strongly among cropping systems, and ants were more abundant, species-rich, and functionally diverse in complex systems than in simpler systems, particularly annual crops. Our results illustrate the divergent effects that bioenergy crop adoption could have for ant communities and the important functions they carry out in agroecosystems.

Haan, Nathan L.↗

Low‐dimensional manifold learning for uncertainty quantification in complex multi‐scale stochastic systems

Broadly speaking, the goals of the project are to develop techniques to use manifold learning to develop reduced‐order and surrogate models for "hyper‐reduction" of very high‐dimensional complex multi‐scale systems. This is being achieved by employing a newly proposed form of manifold projection and learning that leverages recent advancements in computational geometry and data‐driven modeling. In particular, we are applying a manifold projection technique to project the solutions of very high‐dimensional systems onto the so‐called Grassmannmanifold, a Reimannian manifold comprised of orthonormal matrices. We then apply data‐driven machine learning techniques to classify the solutions on the manifold (e.g. clustering techniques) according to their proximity on the manifold and leverage a further nonlinear dimension reduction to organize the structured data on the manifold. Finally, we are developing novel techniques that enable us to directly interpolate the hyper‐reduced data such that we can predict the solution of the complex, high‐ dimensional system without need to call the full expensive computational model. Given their adherence to the underlying structure of the solution of the physical system, it is expected that these approximate solutions will be sufficiently constrained so as to (approximately) adhere to physical principles.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

System Engineers and Decisions: It?s All about Knowledge

In order to guarantee that a system meets adequate levels of reliability and availability, system performances are continuously monitored and analyzed thanks to the technological advancements driving the Industry 4.0 revolution. An Industry 4.0 approach is typically based on advanced statistical, big data mining, machine learning, and internet-of-things methods designed to detect anomalies in the behavior of system, detect the most likely failure modes, and provide indications to system engineers on when maintenance activities should be performed before system performance are deemed unacceptable (which can be generated by diagnostic and prognostic methods). However, these analyses, which are designed to automatize and increase the efficacy of the system maintenance program, require large amount of data which can come in various forms: numeric, textual, images, sounds etc. Such data constitutes the historic knowledge benchmark to track system performances and support system engineer decisions. Here we claim that data is not sufficient to support this kind of analyses when applied to systems characterized by complex architectures and behaviors. Robust system engineer decisions require the ability to understand the system operational context that lies behind the observed data elements. In this respect, system models are in fact necessary to “put data in context” and capture relationships between data elements. Industry 4.0 methods require in fact contextual knowledge as a basis upon which hypotheses can be generated and assumptions tested. In our view, for complex systems, model-based system engineering (MBSE) models can afford this contextual knowledge, as they are typically used to describe systems architecture and dynamic behaviors. System knowledge is here intended as the blending of collected data and system architecture which takes the form of a “knowledge graph”. A knowledge graph is a database which consists of a large set of nodes (in our case an entity can be either a data or an MBSE element) which are linked to each other. The types of nodes and links follow a pre-defined topology, sometimes also refers as an ontology, that is designed to fit the actual decisions that needs to be performed. We show here how a knowledge graph can be defined to support system engineer maintenance decisions and how the same graph can be built based on system MBSE models and pre-processed data from numeric (through anomaly detections and diagnostic methods) and textual elements (through technical language processing TLP).

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A Step-by-Step Protocol from METASPACE to Biological Interpretation

Mass spectrometry imaging (MSI) represents an exceptional tool for exploring complex biological systems spatially at the molecular level. However, due to its multidimensional nature and large-scale data output, it presents considerable challenges when it comes to extracting meaningful biological insights. Recent advancements, such as the METASPACE platform, have enabled researchers to efficiently process, annotate, and interpret MSI datasets by leveraging machine learning and cloud-based infrastructure. In this tutorial, we present a detailed and user-friendly R-pipeline designed to help METASPACE users navigate untargeted metabolomic annotations and transform them into practical insights about their biological systems. By combining METASPACE annotations with rapid R-based screening, this workflow not only streamlined the analytical process but also enhanced the understanding of spatial molecular distribution, especially for complex systems. Here, this easy-to-follow approach has the potential for applications in diagnostics, drug discovery, environmental and ecological processes, and more. We envision this pipeline to be particularly useful for newcomers to the field of MSI and

Moreno Pedraza, Abigail↗

A framework for calibrating and validating an air loop dynamic model in an HVAC system in Modelica

The use of Modelica for simulating the dynamic behaviors of building heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems has gained popularity. Calibration of a model that represents large and complex HVAC systems in Modelica involves the determination of hundreds of parameters using real-world operation data. Considering the coupling effects among various components, such a calibration process is complex and time-consuming. In this study, we propose a systematic framework to efficiently calibrate and validate a complex HVAC system model in Modelica. The framework includes strategies to solicit real-system operation data and to decouple the model. The goal of this calibration framework is to accurately and efficiently determine a set of Modelica model parameters that provide a good match between the simulated and real system behaviors. To demonstrate the validity of the framework, it was applied to calibrate the parameters of a Modelica model of the air loop subsystem of a real AHU-VAV system. The results show that the calibrated model can generate simulated results, including VAV air flow rate, outdoor air flow, and fan power consumption, that match well with the operational data of the real system. The coefficient of the variation of the root mean square error, CV(RMSE), of the air flow rate and power consumption are 14.6 % and 11.5 %, respectively. The results prove that the framework is valid and effective, and it can be used to calibrate other complex HVAC system Modelica models in the future.

Li, Yicheng↗

Radiation-induced transients on solid and molten Li and K iodides

The study, quantification, and monitoring of iodine in nuclear power generation systems have been paramount due to its environmental and health implications. Thorough speciation and transport studies strengthened the development and deployment of water reactors, which are now required for the new generation of Molten Salt Reactors (MSR), where the fuel and coolant are a complex liquid system of suitable halides. The speciation, radiation-induced chemistry, and transport of iodine (I-127, I-129 and I-131) under extreme conditions of temperature and ionizing radiation are among the challenges for the future implementation of MSR’s. In aqueous systems, the triiodide-iodine-iodide (I3--I2-I-) equilibrium is strongly dependent on the conditions of the medium. In molten iodides and chlorides, the triiodide detection (and its disproportionation) poses challenges due to the extreme conditions of temperature and radiation, but studies have shown a dependence on temperature, absorbed dose and salt composition. Through absorption spectroscopy techniques (diffuse reflectance and high-temperature UV-Vis), as well as resonance (Electron Paramagnetic Resonance) it is possible to identify primary transients induced by ionizing radiation trapped in the solid phase (Solid-state radiolysis), and steady-state main absorption components with a fast-acquisition real-time spectroscopy. The presence of heterogeneous phase (colloids), viscosity changes, and gas evolution are among the observed processes. A specific case of study is speciation in the presence of Ni. A corrosion product with magnetic properties due to unpaired electrons in its electronic structure. Ferromagnetic materials are monitored in solidified salts to identify aggregation and phase separation. Comparative studies of eutectic mixtures of LiI-KI and LiCl-KCl with known addition of dopants will be presented, with a perspective of radiation chemistry and its possible implications in complex systems.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Machine Learning-Based Regression Models for Ironmaking Blast Furnace Automation

Computational fluid dynamics (CFD)-based simulation has been the traditional way to model complex industrial systems and processes. One very large and complex industrial system that has benefited from CFD-based simulations is the steel blast furnace system. The problem with the CFD-based simulation approach is that it tends to be very slow for generating data. The CFD-only approach may not be fast enough for use in real-time decisionmaking. To address this issue, in this work, the authors propose the use of machine learning techniques to train and test models based on data generated via CFD simulation. Regression models based on neural networks are compared with tree-boosting models. In particular, several areas (tuyere, raceway, and shaft) of the blast furnace are modeled using these approaches. The results of the model training and testing are presented and discussed. The obtained R 2 metrics are, in general, very high. The results appear promising and may help to improve the efficiency of operator and process engineer decisionmaking when running a blast furnace.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Interface learning in fluid dynamics: Statistical inference of closures within micro–macro-coupling models

Many complex multiphysics systems in fluid dynamics involve using solvers with varied levels of approximations in different regions of the computational domain to resolve multiple spatiotemporal scales present in the flow. The accuracy of the solution is governed by how the information is exchanged between these solvers at the interface and several methods have been devised for such coupling problems. In this article, we construct a data-driven model by spatially coupling a microscale lattice Boltzmann method (LBM) solver and macroscale finite difference method (FDM) solver for reaction-diffusion systems. The coupling between the micro-macro solvers has one to many mapping at the interface leading to the interface closure problem, and we propose a statistical inference method based on neural networks to learn this closure relation. The performance of the proposed framework in a bifidelity setting partitioned between the FDM and LBM domain shows its promise for complex systems where analytical relations between micro-macro solvers are not available.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Record-quality GaAs two-dimensional hole systems

The complex band structure, large spin-orbit induced band splitting, and heavy effective mass of two-dimensional (2D) hole systems hosted in GaAs quantum wells render them rich platforms to study many-body physics and ballistic transport phenomena. Here we report ultra-high-quality (001) GaAs 2D hole systems, fabricated using molecular beam epitaxy and modulation doping, with mobility values as high as 5.8 × 10 6 cm 2 /(V s) at a hole density of p = 1.3 × 10 11 /cm 2 , implying a mean free path of ≃ 27 μm. In the low-temperature magnetoresistance trace of this sample, we observe high-order fractional quantum Hall states up to the Landau level filling ν = 12/25 near ν = 1/2. Furthermore, we see a deep minimum develop at ν = 1/5 in the magnetoresistance of a sample with a much lower hole density of p = 4.0 × 10 10 /cm 2 where we measure a mobility of 3.6 × 10 6 cm2/(V s). Finally, these improvements in sample quality were achieved by the reduction of residual impurities both in the GaAs channel and in the AlGaAs barrier material, as well as optimization in the design of the sample structure.

2-dimensional systems↗

Extreme-scale stochastic optimization and simulation via learning-enhanced decomposition and parallelization (Final Technical Report)

Stochastic optimization and simulation models ubiquitously arise in designing and operating complex service/engineering systems. They can be extreme in scale due to high-dimensional data and decisions, and can also involve decisions made sequentially in response to newly revealed data, both causing significant computational challenge. The objective of this research is to explore a unified framework that integrates machine learning with discrete optimization and risk-averse modeling, to improve the efficiency of decomposition paradigms for stochastic optimization and simulations at extreme scale. The models we consider represent a broad class of complex decision-making problems, where 0-1 or continuous decisions are made before and/or after knowing multiple sources of uncertainties that could be correlated. We will employ machine learning methods to dynamically decide and prioritize computational procedures, including cut generation, branching, and bounding of the optimal objective. Furthermore, the research will shed new lights on the traditional decomposition algorithms for extreme-scale computing. Deliverables of the research include new modeling and computational methods for advancing the state-of-the-art research in optimization and simulation, bringing many relevant risk-averse, data-driven optimization problems in practice within the range of tractability. Examples include distributed computing server scheduling and sensor deployment for monitoring critical infrastructures. Success in this effort will enable progress in solving multiple extreme-scale problems in the complex system design and operations arising from DoE missions in energy, environment, and national security.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Neural message-passing for objective-based uncertainty quantification and optimal experimental design

Various real-world scientific applications involve the mathematical modeling of complex uncertain systems with numerous unknown parameters. Accurate parameter estimation is often practically infeasible in such systems, as the available training data may be insufficient and the cost of acquiring additional data may be high. In such cases, based on a Bayesian paradigm, we can design robust operators retaining the best overall performance across all possible models and design optimal experiments that can effectively reduce uncertainty to enhance the performance of such operators maximally. While objective-based uncertainty quantification (objective-UQ) based on MOCU (mean objective cost of uncertainty) provides an effective means for quantifying uncertainty in complex systems, the high computational cost of estimating MOCU has been a challenge in applying it to real-world scientific/engineering problems. In this work, we propose a novel scheme to reduce the computational cost for objective-UQ via MOCU based on a data-driven approach. We adopt a neural message-passing model for surrogate modeling, incorporating a novel axiomatic constraint loss that penalizes an increase in the estimated system uncertainty. As an illustrative example, we consider the optimal experimental design (OED) problem for uncertain Kuramoto models, where the goal is to predict the experiments that can most effectively enhance robust synchronization performance through uncertainty reduction. We show that our proposed approach can accelerate MOCU-based OED by four to five orders of magnitude, without any visible performance loss compared to the state-of-the-art. The proposed approach applies to general OED tasks, beyond the Kuramoto model.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Disorder-Induced Suppression of Superconductivity in Infinite-Layer Nickelates

The pairing symmetry of superconducting infinite-layer nickelates is a fundamental yet experimentally challenging question. We employ high-energy electron irradiation to induce disorder in superconducting Nd 0.825 ⁢Sr 0.175 ⁢NiO 2 thin films, examine the impact of pair-breaking defects on superconductivity, and elucidate the nature of the superconducting gap. Our measurements reveal a complete suppression of superconductivity with increasing disorder, suggesting an unconventional, sign-changing order parameter.

Ranna, Abhishek [Max Planck Society, Dresden (Germ↗