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At least 595 records · Page 33

A web-based decision support system for collaborative mitigation of multiple water-related hazards using serious gaming

The paper presents a web-based application developed as a medium for executing a serious game to enhance multi-jurisdictional collaborative planning and decision making for mitigation of multiple hazards related to water (i.e., floods, soil erosions, water quality). The gaming application is integrated into the Iowa Watershed Decision Support System (IoWaDSS) designed to serve as a comprehensive multi-sectoral data repository along with the simulation results of process modeling to educate and inform communities on the status of their watersheds during extreme conditions. The interactive serious gaming application was devised to encourage public engagement, facilitate communication and positive relationship between watershed communities, and make the decision process more attractive and transparent for the stakeholders. The web environment offers easily-accessible, user-friendly interfaces that match the skills and knowledge level of a non-technical user. Developed with adaptive design and flexible architecture, the gaming application is generalizable and extendable to support hazard mitigation in other watersheds.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Evidence-based indicator approach to guide preliminary environmental impact assessments of hydropower development

Global expansion of hydropower resources has increased in recent years to meet growing energy demands and fill worldwide gaps in electricity supply. However, hydropower induces significant environmental impacts on river ecosystems - impacts that are addressed through environmental impact assessment (EIA) processes. The need for effective EIA processes is increasing as environmental regulations are either stressed in developing countries undertaking rapid expansion of hydropower capacity or time- and resource-intensive in developed countries. Part of the challenge in implementing EIAs lies in reaching a consensus among stakeholders regarding the most important environmental factors as the focus of impact studies. To help address this gap, we developed a weight-of-evidence approach (and toolkit) as a preliminary and coarse assessment of the most relevant impacts of hydropower on primary components of the river ecosystem, as identified using river function indicators. Through a science-based questionnaire and predictive model, users identify which environmental indicators may be impacted during hydropower development as well as those indicators that have the highest levels of uncertainty and require further investigation. Furthermore, an assessment tool visualizes inter-dependent indicator relationships, which help formulate hypotheses about causal relationships explored through environmental studies. We apply these tools to four existing hydropower projects and one hypothetical new hydropower project of varying sizes and environmental contexts. We observed consistencies between the output of our tools and the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission licensing process (inclusive of EIAs) but also important differences arising from holistic scientific evaluations (our toolkit) versus regulatory policies. The tools presented herein are aimed at increasing the efficiency of the EIA processes that engender environmental studies without loss of rigor or transparency of rationale necessary for understanding, considering, and mitigating the environmental consequences of hydropower.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Re-evaluating probable maximum precipitation estimates: sensitivity to transposition domains and storm rotation using modern datasets

This study examines the sensitivity of Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) estimates to key methodological decisions embedded in the legacy approach adopted in the U.S. National Weather Service Hydrometeorological Reports No. 51 and No. 52. Although widely used for infrastructure design and risk regulation, fundamental aspects of PMP estimation—such as storm sample size, transposition domain, maximization procedures, and storm rotation—remain poorly constrained and lack formal guidance. Using the Red Rock watershed in Iowa as a case study, and leveraging the 2002–2023 NOAA Analysis of Record for Calibration (AORC) precipitation dataset, we systematically evaluate how each methodological choice, individually and in combination, influences PMP estimates. Our findings demonstrate that PMP is not a fixed physical upper bound but rather a modeling construct shaped heavily by user-defined assumptions. Notably, PMP values derived from modern gridded rainfall datasets can be substantially higher than the legacy estimate used in the original spillway design for Red Rock Dam. Decisions regarding storm sample size, domain extent, climatological window, and particularly storm rotation all contributed to higher PMP estimates. Storm rotation alone—a loosely constrained element in the current PMP practice—can amplify PMP by more than 25%. These results reveal the lack of standardized bounds in current PMP workflows and the need for systematic sensitivity and uncertainty analysis. As PMP estimation shifts toward probabilistic approaches, incorporating physically meaningful storm attributes will be key to developing more transparent, defensible methods for dam safety and climate-resilient infrastructure.

Probable maximum precipitation↗

Spherical Indentation and Implementation of S 3 /P for yield stress determination of brittle materials

Here, a mathematically transparent and robust experimental method has been developed to estimate the yield stress of brittle materials through the analysis of depth-sensing spherical indentation. Employing Hertzian contact mechanics, an elastically invariant ratio based on the simple equation S 3 / P = 6RE r 2 , (where S and P are contact stiffness and indentation load, respectively) has been derived that enables more accurate and confident determination of the transition from elastic to inelastic deformation; a transition that the yield stress dictates and represents. Using two diamond spheres with radii of 3.2 and 8.6 μm, the indentation test method and analyses are applied to two vitreous silicates: Corning's HPFS 7980® fused silica and Vitro's Starphire® soda lime silicate. The estimated yield strengths are 8.15 GPa ± 2.5% for the fused silica and 6.1 GPa ± 3.3% for the soda-lime silicate, and both were independent of indenter radius. Verification of this new experimental method is demonstrated with an as-drawn titanium by showing equivalence of measured yield stress by its spherical indentation and that from uniaxial compression testing. This method will enable easier and more confident estimation of yield stress in brittle materials - a property that historically has been elusive to measure for these materials using common laboratory mechanical test methods.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Leveraging Open-Source Tools for Collaborative Macro-energy System Modeling Efforts

The authors are founding team members of a new effort to develop an Open Energy Outlook for the United States. The effort aims to apply best practices of policy-focused energy system modeling, ensure transparency, build a networked community, and work toward a common purpose: examining possible US energy system futures to inform energy and climate policy efforts. Individual author biographies can be found on the project website: https://openenergyoutlook.org/.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Highly efficient bifacial single-junction perovskite solar cells

Bifacial photovoltaics (PV) harvest solar irradiance from both their front and rear surfaces, boosting energy conversion efficiency to maximize their electrical power production. For single-junction perovskite solar cells (PSCs), the performance of bifacial configurations is still far behind that of their state-of-the-art monofacial counterparts. Here, in this paper, we report on highly efficient, bifacial, single-junction PSCs based on the p-i-n (or inverted) architecture. We used optical and electrical modeling to design a transparent conducting rear electrode for bifacial PSCs to enable optimized efficiency under a variety of albedo illumination conditions. The bifaciality of the PSCs was about 91%–93%. Under concurrent bifacial measurement conditions, we obtained equivalent, stabilized bifacial power output densities of 26.9, 28.5, and 30.1 mW/cm 2 under albedos of 0.2, 0.3, and 0.5, respectively. We further showed that bifacial perovskite PV technology has the potential to outperform its monofacial counterparts with higher energy yields and lower levelized cost of energy (LCOE).

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Grid connection barriers to renewable energy deployment in the United States

Bulk-power grid connection is an emerging bottleneck to the entry of wind, solar, and storage but has been understudied due to a lack of data. We create and analyze two novel interconnection datasets with more than 38,000 project-level observations that provide new information documenting interconnection challenges in the United States. Active grid connection requests are more than double the total installed capacity of the US power plant fleet (2,600 vs. 1,280 GW). The time required to secure a connection has increased by 70% over the last decade, and withdrawal rates remain high at 80%, suggesting a constrained transmission system that jeopardizes energy transition targets. Wide distributions of interconnection costs indicate the inherent uncertainty of the interconnection process. Interconnection requests that identify large transmission upgrades tend to withdraw from the process. These findings suggest the need for interconnection reforms, tighter links between long-term transmission planning and project-level interconnection processes, and more interconnection outcome transparency.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Electrochemical Reactions Under Reverse Bias Create Additional Mobile Ions That Enable Hole Tunneling in Metal Halide Perovskite Diodes

Gradual reverse-bias breakdown in metal-halide perovskite diodes and solar cells is thought to originate from hole tunneling through steep bands in an ionic depletion region near the electron-transport layer after positively charged iodine vacancies accumulate near the hole-transport layer (HTL). However, typical reported mobile-ion concentrations near 1 x 10^17 cm-3 are too small to quantitatively explain significant tunneling-current densities and (Zener) breakdown observed near -5 V. Here, we show that inferred mobile-ion concentrations increase by more than 100x, to over 1 x 10^18cm-3 , within just 3 min of reverse bias at -6.0 V in p-i-n perovskite diodes. We attribute this increase to iodide oxidation and coupled iodine vacancy creation that must be balanced by reduction reactions near the HTL. Sub-optimal HTL coverage leads to direct contact between the transparent conducting electrode and perovskite, facilitates reduction events, enables the creation of even larger inferred mobile-ion concentrations (~1 x 10^19cm-3 ), and leads to faster degradation under reverse bias. This explains previous work that showed increased breakdown voltages and improved reverse-bias stability by implementing thick, uniform HTLs.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

El Agente: An autonomous agent for quantum chemistry

Computational chemistry tools are widely used to study the behavior of chemical phenomena. Yet, the complexity of these tools can make them inaccessible to non-specialists and challenging even for experts. In this work, we introduce El Agente Q, an LLM-based multi-agent system that dynamically generates and executes quantum chemistry workflows from natural language user prompts. The system is built on a novel cognitive architecture featuring a hierarchical memory framework that enables flexible task decomposition, adaptive tool selection, post-analysis, and autonomous file handling and submission. El Agente Q is benchmarked on six university-level course exercises and two case studies, demonstrating robust problem-solving performance (averaging >87% task success) and adaptive error handling through in situ debugging. It also supports longer-term, multi-step task execution for more complex workflows, while maintaining transparency through detailed action trace logs. Together, these capabilities lay the foundation for increasingly autonomous and accessible quantum chemistry.

agentic systems↗

Making the most of your electrons: Challenges and opportunities in characterizing hybrid interfaces with STEM

Inspired by the unique architectures composed of hard and soft materials in natural and biological systems, synthetic hybrid structures and associated hard-soft interfaces have recently evoked significant interest. Soft matter is typically dominated by structural fluctuations even at room temperature, while hard matter is governed by rigid mechanical behavior. This dichotomy offers considerable opportunities to leverage the disparate properties offered by these components across a wide spectrum spanning from basic science to engineering insights with significant technological overtones. Such hybrid structures, which include polymer nanocomposites, DNA functionalized nanoparticle superlattices, and metal organic frameworks to name a few, have delivered promising insights into the technologically relevant applications such as catalysis, environmental remediation, optoelectronics, and medicine. The interfacial structure between the hard and soft phases demonstrates features across a variety of length scales and often strongly influence the functionality of hybrid systems. While scanning/transmission electron microscopy (S/TEM) has proven to be a valuable tool for acquiring intricate molecular and nanoscale details of these interfaces, the unusual nature of hybrid composites presents a suite of challenges that make assessing or establishing structure–property relationships especially difficult. There are additional considerations at all stages of sample analysis from preparing electron-transparent samples to obtaining sufficient contrast to resolve the interface between dissimilar materials given the dose sensitivity of soft materials. Here, we discuss each of these challenges and supplement a review of recent developments in the field with additional experimental investigations and simulations to present solutions for attaining a nano or molecular-level understanding of these interfaces. These solutions present a host of opportunities for investigating the role interfaces play in this unique class of functional materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Modeling plasticity-mediated void growth at the single crystal scale: A physics-informed machine learning approach

Modeling the evolution of voids during plastic flow as well as their effects on plastic dissipation is critical for both component manufacturing and lifetime estimation purposes. To this end, we propose a rate-dependent constitutive model to homogenize the effects of semi-randomly distributed voids on single crystal plasticity whilst capturing void interaction and plastic anisotropy. Here, this present work focuses on the case of face centered cubic crystals to introduce an anisotropic gauge function applicable within the crystal plasticity formalism. The approach combines analytical methods to describe the micromechanics of the system in combination with symbolic regression to capture analytically intractable mechanisms from data. The hybrid framework uses a physics-informed genetic programming-based symbolic regression algorithm to solve a multiform optimization problem simultaneously producing a new gauge function and a new strain rate equation. This is also a multi-objective optimization problem with many competing objectives. A new search and selection step is introduced to the genetic algorithm that promotes convergence toward a global solution that better satisfies all the objectives. Overall, the symbolic equations produced leverage data-driven methods to achieve greater accuracy than comparable alternatives on an analytically intractable problem while maintaining model transparency.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Explaining drivers of housing prices with nonlinear hedonic regressions

Housing markets play a critical role in shaping the spatial and demographic evolution of urban areas. Simulating housing price dynamics can enhance projections of future urban development outcomes. However, traditional hedonic regressions for housing prices, which neglect nonlinear interactions among explanatory variables, often exhibit limited predictive performance. While machine learning (ML) methods can provide a more flexible representation of the relationships between predictors, they are often regarded as “black boxes” due to their complexity and lack of transparency. Interpretable ML techniques provide a promising route by combining the flexibility of ML methods with approaches to analyze the relationships between inputs and outputs. In this study, we employ interpretable ML to analyze the patterns driving the housing market in Baltimore, Maryland, USA. We train an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to predict Baltimore housing prices based on structural characteristics (e.g., home size, number of stories) and locational attributes (e.g., distance to the city center). We then conduct sensitivity and Partial Dependence Plot (PDP) analyses to interpret the fitted ANN model. We find that the ML model achieves higher predictive accuracy and explains 16 % more of housing price variance than a traditional linear regression model. The interpretable ML model also reveals more nuanced and realistic nonlinear relationships between housing sales price and predictors as well as interactive effects underlying Baltimore home price dynamics. For instance, while the linear model indicates a steady housing price increase over time, our interpretable ML model detects a post-2008 decline, with smaller properties experiencing the sharpest drop.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

In situ indentation and high cycle tapping deformation responses in a nanolaminate crystalline/amorphous metal composite

The incorporation of nanostructured and amorphous metals into modern applications is reliant on the understanding of deformation and failure modes in constrained conditions. To study this, a 105 nm crystalline Cu/160 nm amorphous Cu 45 Zr 55 (at.%) multilayer structure was fabricated with the two crystalline layers sputter deposited between the top-middle-bottom amorphous layers and prepared to electron transparency. The multilayer was then in situ indented either under a single load to a depth of ~ 100 nm (max load of ~ 100 μN) or held at 20 μN and then repeatedly indented with an additional 5 μN up to 20,000 cycles in a transmission electron microscope to compare the deformation responses in the nanolaminate. For the single indentation test, the multilayer showed serrated load-displacement behavior upon initial indentation inductive of shear banding. Additionally, at an indentation depth of ~ 32 nm, the multilayer exhibited perfect plastic behavior and no strain hardening. Both indented and fatigue-indented films revealed diffraction contrast changes with deformation. Subsequent Automated Crystal Orientation Mapping (ACOM) measurements confirmed and quantified global texture changes in the crystalline layers with specifically identified grains revealing rotation. Using a finite element model, the in-plane displacement vectors under the indent mapped conditions where ACOM determined grain rotation was observed, indicating the stress flow induced grain rotation. Furthermore, the single indented Cu layers also exhibited evidence of deformation induced grain growth, which was not evident in the fatigue-indented Cu based multilayer. Finally, the single indented multilayer retained a significant plastic crater in the upper most amorphous layer that directly contacted the indenter; a negligible crater impression in the same region was observed in the fatigued tested multilayer. These differences are explained by the different loading methods, applied load, and deformation mechanisms experienced in the multilayers.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Diamond under extremes

Diamond is, by virtue of the covalent bonding between atoms and the very strong carbon to carbon bonds, the hardest natural material. It has been a fascinating material since its discovery, first as a decorative gem and more recently, for its numerous industrial uses because of its extreme hardness, elastic modulus, and optical transparency. In recent years, it has become a preferred ablator for laser shock experiments, and this has led to its choice as the capsule material for fusion experiments at the National Ignition Facility. Further, this review covers both experimental and computational (including machine learning) advancements in research on diamond subjected extreme conditions of temperature and pressure. The synergy between shock and ramp loading experiments and atomic level simulations is proving to be powerful in advancing our understanding of diamond under extremes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Eco-friendly passive radiative cooling using recycled packaging plastics

Passive daytime radiative cooling, requiring zero external energy consumption, is a promising cooling strategy achieved by simultaneously reflecting solar irradiance and thermally radiating heat into the cold outer space (~3 K) through the atmospheric transparency window. However, current materials for passive radiative cooling face huge challenges, such as complicated fabrication approaches, expensive raw materials, and environmental requirements for practical applications. In line with the urgent need for plastic recycling to curb global environmental pollution, the recycled plastics are used to fabricate a passive radiative cooling material. Herein, the foam-paper composite (FPC) with excellent self-cooling capability is fabricated by a simple crushing-and-mixing procedure using recycled polystyrene (PS) foam and printer paper. The superhydrophobic PS foam particles not only protect the FPC from water damage for field applications but also reinforce its solar reflectivity via their porous structure. The cellulose fibers in printer paper can efficiently emit infrared thermal radiation into the cold outer space and bond dispersed PS foam particles together, further increasing its mechanical strength. The combination of highly diffusely reflective PS foam particles and fiber-based printer paper results in a reflectivity of 96% in the solar spectrum, a sub-ambient cooling performance of 8.4 degrees C, and a maximum radiative cooling power of 90 W/m2 during a 24-h cycle. Meanwhile, the FPC with high humidity can maintain its high solar reflectivity, which promotes its application in humid subtropical areas. Further, the low material cost and ease of fabrication will provide a path for effective daytime radiative cooling, especially in less developed areas.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Plastic scintillators stable for operating in wide ranges of humidity and temperature variations

To provide efficient and reproducible response to nuclear radiation, scintillating plastics should be prepared as materials of high optical transparency and homogeneity that should remain intact during the lifetime of their operation. A problem with traditionally used polyvinyltoluene (PVT) or polystyrene (PS) plastic scintillators arises from their exposure to repeated large temperature swings that cause surface and volume defects, resulting in decreased sensitivity of the detection properties. We find that the problem can be avoided by composition modifications that enable preparation of plastics with properties that are resistant to the continuous variations in environmental conditions. This paper describes improvements in physical properties that can be achieved by the addition of crosslinkers (such as divinylbenzene, DVB) and oxygen-containing compounds or copolymers (e.g. polymethylamethacrylate, PMMA) to the traditional PVT or PS polymer matrices. Results of characterization show that the new materials can be prepared with the scintillation performance equal to that of commercial plastic scintillators, such as EJ-200.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Nondestructive measurements of residual 235 U mass of Israeli Research Reactor-1 fuel using the Advanced Experimental Fuel Counter

In 2018, a measurement campaign took place with participants from Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), the Nuclear Research Centre-Negev (NRCN) and Soreq Nuclear Research Center (SNRC) at the Israeli Research Reactor-1 (IRR-1) in which 14 of the reactor’s used fuel assemblies (FAs) with varied amount of depletion were measured with the nondestructive assay instrument Advanced Experimental Fuel Counter (AEFC). Designed for safeguards purposes, the AEFC measures both neutrons emitted from the FA (passive neutrons) and fission neutrons induced by an external neutron source (in this experiment, 252 Cf). Signals recorded with the AEFC include total neutron count rates (Singles), time-correlated neutron count rates (Doubles), and total gamma-ray count rates. The 235 U content of the FAs was previously assessed by two independent methods: (1) measurement of the transparency of the FA to low-energy gamma rays from an activated rhenium source (rhenium gamma transmission, or the RGT method) and (2) calculation of the 30-year burnup history of the core using detailed three-dimensional Monte-Carlo core depletion calculations. The results from the FAs that had been measured via the RGT method were used to construct the calibration curves, which translate the AEFC count rates to 235 U mass. Then, the calibration was evaluated using AEFC measurements of six additional FAs that were not measured via the RGT method. From the results, it was determined the Doubles calibration curve was more reliable than that of the Singles and follows a simple second-order polynomial fit for the whole range of residual 235 U mass content, albeit with larger statistical uncertainty. Detailed uncertainties quantification was conducted for both the AEFC Singles and Doubles. This includes the analysis of statistical uncertainties, calibration uncertainty, and random uncertainties due to the sensitivity of the AEFC to several sources of uncertainty, namely the FA position, FA orientation, interrogation source position, and ambient pool temperature. Finally, an overall total uncertainty of 6 g of 235 U is estimated for the Singles and Doubles, which is mainly due to calibration uncertainty (for the Singles) and statistical uncertainty (for the Doubles), and which constitutes 3%–6% of the 235 U total mass in the FAs, depending on their level of depletion.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Measurements of electron transport in liquid and gas Xenon using a laser-driven photocathode

Measurements of electron drift properties in liquid and gaseous xenon are reported. The electrons are generated by the photoelectric effect in a semitransparent gold photocathode driven in transmission mode with a pulsed ultraviolet laser. The charges drift and diffuse in a small chamber at various electric fields and a fixed drift distance of 2.0 cm. At an electric field of 0.5 kV/cm, the measured drift velocities and corresponding temperature coefficients respectively are 1.97 ± 0.04 mm/µs and (-0.69 ± 0.05)%/K for liquid xenon, and 1.42 ± 0.03 mm/µs and (+0.11 ± 0.01)%/K for gaseous xenon at 1.5 bar. In addition, we measure longitudinal diffusion coefficients of 25.7±4.6 cm2/s and 149±23 cm2/s, for liquid and gas, respectively. The quantum efficiency of the gold photocathode is studied at the photon energy of 4.73 eV in liquid and gaseous xenon, and vacuum. These charge transport properties and the behavior of photocathodes in a xenon environment are important in designing and calibrating future large scale noble liquid detectors.

Njoya, Oumarou↗