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At least 595 records · Page 33

An Assessment of Multimodel Simulations for the Variability of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones and Its Association with ENSO

An assessment of simulations of the interannual variability of tropical cyclones (TCs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) and its association with El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), as well as a subsequent diagnosis for possible causes of model biases generated from simulated large-scale climate conditions, are documented in the paper. The model experiments are carried out by the Hurricane Work Group under the U.S. Climate Variability and Predictability Research Program (CLIVAR) using five global climate models (GCMs) with a total of 16 ensemble members forced by the observed sea surface temperature and spanning the 28-yr period from 1982 to 2009. The results show GISS and GFDL model ensemble means best simulate the interannual variability of TCs, and the multimodel ensemble mean (MME) follows. Also, the MME has the closest climate mean annual number of WNP TCs and the smallest root-mean-square error to the observation. Most GCMs can simulate the interannual variability of WNP TCs well, with stronger TC activities during two types of El Niño-namely, eastern Pacific (EP) and central Pacific (CP) El Niño-and weaker activity during La Niña. However, none of the models capture the differences in TC activity between EP and CP El Niño as are shown in observations. The inability of models to distinguish the differences in TC activities between the two types of El Niño events may be due to the bias of the models in response to the shift of tropical heating associated with CP El Niño.

climate models↗

Finite Element Simulations of Two Vertical Drop Tests of F-28 Fuselage Sections

In March 2017, a vertical drop test of a forward fuselage section of a Fokker F-28 MK4000 aircraft was conducted as part of a joint NASA/FAA project to investigate the performance of transport aircraft under realistic crash conditions. In June 2017, a vertical drop test was conducted of a wing-box fuselage section of the same aircraft. Both sections were configured with two rows of aircraft seats, in a triple-double configuration. A total of ten Anthropomorphic Test Devices (ATDs) were secured in seats using standard lap belt restraints. The forward fuselage section was also configured with luggage in the cargo hold. Both sections were outfitted with two hat racks, each with added ballast mass. The drop tests were performed at the Landing and Impact Research facility located at NASA Langley Research Center in Hampton, Virginia. The measured impact velocity for the forward fuselage section was 346.8-in/s onto soil. The wing-box section was dropped with a downward facing pitch angle onto a sloping soil surface in order to create an induced forward acceleration in the airframe. The vertical impact velocity of the wing-box section was 349.2-in/s. A second objective of this project was to assess the capabilities of finite element simulations to predict the test responses. Finite element models of both fuselage sections were developed for execution in LS-DYNA(Registered Trademark), a commercial explicit nonlinear transient dynamic code. The models contained accurate representations of the airframe structure, the hat racks and hat rack masses, the floor and seat tracks, the luggage in the cargo hold for the forward section, and the detailed under-floor structure in the wing-box section. Initially, concentrated masses were used to represent the inertial properties of the seats, restraints, and ATD occupants. However, later simulations were performed that included finite element representations of the seats, restraints, and ATD occupants. These models were developed to more accurately replicate the seat loading of the floor and to enable prediction of occupant impact responses. Models were executed to generate analytical predictions of airframe responses, which were compared with test data to validate the model. Comparisons of predicted and experimental structural deformation and failures were made. Finally, predicted and experimental soil deformation and crater depths were also compared for both drop test configurations.

Jackson, Karen E.↗

Shaped Pupil Coronagraphy for WFIRST: High-Contrast Broadband Testbed Demonstration

The Shaped Pupil Coronagraph (SPC) is one of the two operating modes of the WFIRST (Wide-Field InfraRed Survey Telescope) coronagraph instrument. The SPC provides starlight suppression in a pair of wedge-shaped regions over an 18 percent bandpass, and is well suited for spectroscopy of known exoplanets. To demonstrate this starlight suppression in the presence of expected on-orbit input wavefront disturbances, we have recently built a dynamic testbed at JPL (Jet Propulsion Lab.) analogous to the WFIRST fight instrument architecture, with both Hybrid Lyot Coronagraph (HLC) and SPC architectures and a Low Order Wavefront Sensing and Control (LOWFS/C) subsystem to apply, sense, and correct dynamic wavefront disturbances. We present our best up-to-date results of the static SPC mode demonstration from the testbed, along with model comparisons and performance under realistic dynamical conditions. HLC results will be reported separately.

Cady, Eric↗

Modeling Mg II During Solar Flares. II. Nonequilibrium Effects

To extract the information that the Mg II NUV spectra (observed by the Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph) carry about the chromosphere during solar flares, and to validate models of energy transport via model–data comparison, forward modeling is required. The assumption of statistical equilibrium (SE) is typically used to obtain the atomic level populations from snapshots of flare atmospheres, due to computational necessity. However, it is possible that relying on SE could lead to spurious results. We compare solving the atomic level populations via SE versus a non-equilibrium (NEQ) time-dependent approach. This was achieved using flare simulations from RADYN alongside the minority species version MS_RADYN from which the time-dependent Mg II atomic level populations and radiation transfer were computed in complete frequency redistribution. The impacts on the emergent profiles, light curves, line ratios, and formation heights are discussed. In summary we note that NEQ effects during flares are typically important only in the initial stages and for a short period following the cessation of the energy injection. An analysis of the timescales of ionization equilibrium reveals that for most of the duration of the flare, when the temperatures and densities are sufficiently enhanced, the relaxation timescales are short (τrelax < 0.1 s), so that the equilibrium solution is an adequate approximation. These effects vary with the size of the flare, however. In weaker flares, effects can be more pronounced. We recommend that NEQ effects be considered when possible but that SE is sufficient at most stages of the flare.

Kerr, Graham S.↗

The GGCMI Phase 2 emulators: global gridded crop model responses to changes in CO2, temperature, water, and nitrogen (version 1.0)

Statistical emulation allows combining advantageous features of statistical and process-based crop models for understanding the effects of future climate changes on crop yields. We describe here the development of emulators for nine process-based crop models and five crops using output from the Global Gridded Model Intercomparison Project (GGCMI) Phase 2. The GGCMI Phase 2 experiment is designed with the explicit goal of producing a structured training dataset for emulator development that samples across four dimensions relevant to crop yields: atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations, temperature, water supply, and nitrogen inputs (CTWN). Simulations are run under two different adaptation assumptions: that growing seasons shorten in warmer climates, and that cultivar choice allows growing seasons to remain fixed. The dataset allows emulating the climatological-mean yield response of all models with a simple polynomial in mean growing-season values. Climatological-mean yields are a central metric in climate change impact analysis; we show here that they can be captured without relying on interannual variations. In general, emulation errors are negligible relative to differences across crop models or even across climate model scenarios; errors become significant only in some marginal lands where crops are not currently grown. We demonstrate that the resulting GGCMI emulators can reproduce yields under realistic future climate simulations, even though the GGCMI Phase 2 dataset is constructed with uniform CTWN offsets, suggesting that the effects of changes in temperature and precipitation distributions are small relative to those of changing means. The resulting emulators therefore capture relevant crop model responses in a lightweight, computationally tractable form, providing a tool that can facilitate model comparison, diagnosis of interacting factors affecting yields, and integrated assessment of climate impacts.

James A Franke↗

Investigation of Longitudinal Aero-Propulsive Interactions of a Small Quadrotor Unmanned Aircraft

This paper presents recent results studyingthe influence of aero-propulsive interactioneffects on a small quadrotor vehicle using isolated rotor, bareairframe,andpoweredairframe static wind tunnel test results.Aerodynamic interaction model development was explored utilizing system identification tools and incorporatedintoa previously developed NASA quadrotor flight dynamic simulation.The aerodynamic interaction model improvedtheaccuracyof the simulation in comparisonto free-flight and static wind tunnel resultswithheld from model development. Comparisons between models of different fidelity were completed to demonstrate the effects of aerodynamic interactionson model accuracy and provide recommendations for modeling requirements.

George Altamirano↗

Development of a Daily GRACE Mascon Solution for Terrestrial Water Storage

The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE-Follow On missions have provided a global history of terrestrial water storage changes since 2002. Traditional GRACE products resolve monthly time-variable gravity at spatial resolutions of 300-500 km, with many recent efforts focusing on regularized mass concentration (mascon) solutions to better resolve signals spatially. However, monthly resolution inhibits the applicability of GRACE to investigations of sub-monthly signals. This study presents a new daily mass change solution estimated as deviations from the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) converged monthly mascon product and quantifies the fundamental trade-off between temporal and spatial resolution in GRACE-only solutions. As an iteration of the GSFC product, this daily solution represents a mixing of monthly information at higher relative spatial resolution with daily information at lower relative spatial resolution, resolving each temporal scale at the best resolution achievable without requiring hydrological model dependencies in the estimation. The resolution of the daily mascons is 300-400 km at high latitudes and 600-1,000 km lower, depending on each daily orbital track and the proximity of each mascon to constraint region boundaries (e.g., coastlines). Through simulations and model comparisons, we demonstrate that daily signals over areas larger than 400,000 km(2) are recoverable, with basins larger than 800,000 km(2) exhibiting strong signal recovery relative to leakage. This analysis establishes baselines for daily signal recovery from GRACE in the context of longer time scale solutions, characterizes leakage inherent in daily GRACE information, and creates new opportunities for applying GRACE to investigations of sub-monthly signals.

M. J. Croteau↗

Integral Velocity Sampling for Unsteady Rotor Models on Cartesian Meshes

An unsteady body-force rotor model utilizing integral velocity sampling is developed for Cartesian meshes with a focus on accurate performance predictions. In this approach, the rotors are modeled as body-force source terms, and integral sampling is used to define the local freestream velocity vector. The method is verified in two dimensions for airfoils, providing accurate angle of attack and freestream Mach number estimates even on relatively coarse meshes, and demonstrating excellent mesh convergence across a variety of source region thicknesses. Extensions of the model to three dimensions for both fixed and rotating wings are considered, with numerical experiments demonstrating the need for a spanwise-continuous representation of the induced velocity or angle of attack. The model provides reasonable spanwise lift distributions without any explicit tip-loss model. Comparisons to high-fidelity simulations and experimental data show excellent agreement for predictions of an isolated DJI Phantom 3 propeller in hover. Finally, simulations of the full aircraft in edgewise forward flight also compare well with wind tunnel data across a variety of pitch angles and propeller speeds.

ARMD↗

Heliospheric energetic particle transport: Analysis of near-field-aligned particle propagation for SEP events observed by Wind and MAVEN

Magnetic field alignments of spacecraft over large distances in the heliosphere are rare and are usually very limited in duration. Cruise phases of planetary transfers, however, are an exception to this rule, given the Hohmann-Parker effect. The transfer of the MAVEN s/c in 2014 is one such example. Multiple (~10) solar particle events occurred and were detected at both MAVEN and the Wind s/c, originating from solar activity near the foot points of both s/c. We show initial analysis results of the data collected by the solar wind and energetic particle instruments on both s/c while they were more than 0.2 AU apart, but practically Parker field aligned. Using a 1D model, we present initial simulations in qualitative agreement with energetic electron measurements. Next step is to implement the 2D model with approximate particle release from the Sun, and transport durations between Sun, Earth, and MAVEN. We will discuss implications for this data-model comparison, including the possibility to constrain particle scattering inside 1 AU, as well as its radial dependence between Earth and MAVEN.

Solar Energetic Particles↗

Science Workflows using Kamodo

Kamodo is a powerful python software package based on data functionalization. Once a given data set is functionalized, a large variety of capabilities are easily accessible in Kamodo, including unit conversions, custom analysis via function composition, interactive publication quality visualizations, and LaTeX encoding. The entirety of capabilities available in Kamodo are easily applied to both simulated and observed data across the multiple domains of Heliophysics and even in other disciplines. This work includes a variety of science workflows using Kamodo in combination with other resources, including with other python software packages, that expand the utility of Kamodo even further. These workflows include model-data comparisons, ensemble modeling examples, satellite mission planning examples, and other applications, all of which are freely available on CCMC’s Kamodo Github page for the community to adapt to their own uses (https://github.com/nasa/Kamodo). We invite the community to use these workflows and to contribute their own to share.

software↗

NAIRAS Model Nowcasting and Forecasting of the Aviation Radiation Environment

The Nowcast of Aerospace Ionizing RAdiation System (NAIRAS) predicts dosimetric quantities for quantifying human radiation exposure and differential/integral flux/fluence quantities for assessing single event effects (SEE) in avionic systems from galactic cosmic rays (GCR), trapped inner belt protons, and solar energetic particle (SEP) events from the Earth’s surface to the space environment. Real-time predictions of the aviation radiation environment are available at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center’s Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC) integrated Space Weather Analysis (iSWA) data feeds and cygnets, and a run-on-request (RoR) capability has also been deployed at CCMC. Recent model improvements include a more accurate atmospheric ionizing radiation transport methodology and more robust and reliable SEP nowcast dose predictions. In addition, preliminary results of SEP dose forecasts are shown by coupling the University of Malaga Solar Energetic Particle (UMASEP) model of integral proton flux forecasts with the NAIRAS model. These model updates and improvements are presented, and results are shown for aircraft, high-latitude balloon, and low-Earth orbit flights during quiescent and solar-geomagnetic disturbed conditions. Model comparisons with flight measurements are also shown.

NAIRAS↗

Science Workflows using Kamodo

Kamodo is a powerful python software package based on data functionalization. Once a given data set is functionalized, a large variety of capabilities are easily accessible in Kamodo, including unit conversions, custom analysis via function composition, interactive publication quality visualizations, and LaTeX encoding. The entirety of capabilities available in Kamodo are easily applied to both simulated and observed data across the multiple domains of Heliophysics and even in other disciplines. This work includes a variety of science workflows using Kamodo in combination with other resources, including with other python software packages, that expand the utility of Kamodo even further. These workflows include model-data comparisons, ensemble modeling examples, satellite mission planning examples, and other applications, all of which are freely available on CCMC’s Kamodo Github page for the community to adapt to their own uses (https://github.com/nasa/Kamodo). We invite the community to use these workflows and to contribute their own to share.

python↗

Impedance Measurements of Motor Drives and Supplies in NASA NEAT Facility

Many electrified aircraft configurations consist of a number of power components operating on the same shared electrical bus. Understanding the impedance performance of electrical loads and sources is key to understanding, and designing for, acceptable overall vehicle power quality and power system stability. This paper discusses impedance measurements made on the NASA Electric Aircraft Testbed (NEAT) Electrical Power System (EPS) at NASA Glenn Research Center. First, an overall discussion of the NEAT facility configuration during testing is presented. Then, details of the impedance measurement approach and the various testing configurations are discussed. Next, input impedance measurements at NEAT, including sources (DC supplies) and loads (multiple motor drives, electric machines, and resistive load banks, with long interconnecting cable leads), are performed under a number of conditions, and results, including load model comparisons and stability analysis, are presented and discussed.

electrified aircraft propulsion↗

Impedance Measurements of Motor Drives and Supplies in NASA NEAT Facility

Many electrified aircraft configurations consist of a number of power components operating on the same shared electrical bus. Understanding the impedance performance of electrical loads and sources is key to understanding, and designing for, acceptable overall vehicle power quality and power system stability. This paper discusses impedance measurements made on the NASA Electric Aircraft Testbed (NEAT) Electrical Power System (EPS) at NASA Glenn Research Center. First, an overall discussion of the NEAT facility configuration during testing is presented; then details of the impedance measurement approach and the various testing configurations are discussed. Next, input impedance measurements at NEAT, including sources (DC supplies) and loads (multiple motor drives, electric machines, and resistive load banks, with long interconnecting cable leads), are performed under a number of conditions, and results, including load model comparisons and stability analysis, are presented and discussed.

electrified aircraft propulsion↗

A Sensitive Search for Supernova Emission Associated with the Extremely Energetic and Nearby GRB 221009A

We report observations of the optical counterpart of the long gamma-ray burst GRB 221009A. Due to the extreme rarity of being both nearby (z = 0.151) and highly energetic (E ϒ,iso ≥ 10 54 erg), GRB 221009A offers a unique opportunity to probe the connection between massive star core collapse and relativistic jet formation across a very broad range of γ-ray properties. Adopting a phenomenological power-law model for the afterglow and host galaxy estimates from high-resolution Hubble Space Telescope imaging, we use Bayesian model comparison techniques to determine the likelihood of an associated supernova (SN) contributing excess flux to the optical light curve. Though not conclusive, we find moderate evidence (K Bayes =10 1.2 for the presence of an additional component arising from an associated SN, SN 2022xiw, and find that it must be substantially fainter (<67% as bright at the 99% confidence interval) than SN 1998bw. Given the large and uncertain line-of-sight extinction, we attempt to constrain the SN parameters (M Ni , M ej and E KE ) under several different assumptions with respect to the host galaxy's extinction. We find properties that are broadly consistent with previous GRB-associated SNe: M Ni = 0.05–0.25 M ⊙ , M ej = 3.5–11.1 M ⊙ , and E KE = (1.6–5.2) × 10 52 erg. We note that these properties are weakly constrained due to the faintness of the SN with respect to the afterglow and host emission, but we do find a robust upper limit on M Ni of M Ni < 0.36 M ⊙ . Given the tremendous range in isotropic gamma-ray energy release exhibited by GRBs (seven orders of magnitude), the SN emission appears to be decoupled from the central engine in these systems.

Core-collapse supernovae↗

Comparison of Acoustic Models and Trajectory Generation Methods for an Acoustically-Aware Aircraft

This paper presents a comparison of trajectory generation methodologies using acoustic source noise models of different fidelity for motion planning for an acoustically-aware aircraft subject to constraints on the vehicle dynamic performance, mission, and acoustic footprint of the vehicle at a set of (three-dimensional) observer locations. The performance of a pre-mission Bézier curve-based planner and a (near) real-time stochastic model predictive control planner are compared. Additionally, a comparison is made between the motion planning performance using a lower-fidelity acoustic model based on propeller tip Mach number and omni-directional sound power radiation, and a hemisphere-based higher-fidelity acoustic model. It is demonstrated that the asymmetry in hemisphere-based acoustic model can be exploited for improved flight path planning and trajectory-tracking performance in the presence of acoustic constraints.

Kasey A Ackerman↗

Isothermal Versus Sensible Cold Storage: A Model-Based Performance Comparison for Pumped Thermal Electricity Storage

Pumped-thermal energy storage (PTES) systems consume and produce electrical energy using thermal storage media as an intermediate stage. PTES lends itself to long-duration energy storage to facilitate high penetration of intermittent electricity generation. This study presents a model-based comparison of two thermal storage types within a PTES system: a conventional, single-phase, stratified water-glycol sensible storage system (SGS), and an ideal isothermal, two-phase heat exchanger that freezes a water reservoir (isothermal heat exchanger (IHEX)). The SGS thermal storage capacity is based on the liquid’s sensible heat change with temperature, whereas the capacity of the IHEX is based on the latent heat of isothermally freezing and melting water. The idealized IHEX modeled here undergoes steady-state melting and freezing (in contrast to transient rates, as observed with ice-on-coil storage). A computational model of a complete PTES system is presented and used to evaluate the PTES system-level performance with each type of cold storage. Compared to SGS-based PTES, under nominal operating conditions, the IHEX-based PTES increased electrical round-trip efficiency from 61% to 82% and increased energy density from 1.13 to 8.09 kWh/m 3 In conclusion, the performance of the PTES configured with IHEX storage was also analyzed under varying operating parameters.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Horizontal and Vertical Velocities Derived from the IDS Contribution to ITRF2014, and Comparisons with Geophysical Models

In the context of the 2014 realization of the International Terrestrial Reference Frame (ITRF2014), the International DORIS Service (IDS) has delivered to the IERS a set of 1140 weekly SINEX files including station coordinates and Earth orientation parameters, covering the time period from 1993.0 to 2015.0. From this set of weekly SINEX files, the IDS Combination Center estimated a cumulative DORIS position and velocity solution to obtain mean horizontal and vertical motion of 160 stations at 71 DORIS sites. The main objective of this study is to validate the velocities of the DORIS sites by comparison with external models or time series. Horizontal velocities are compared with two recent global plate models (GEODVEL 2010 and NNR-MORVEL56). Prior to the comparisons, DORIS horizontal velocities were corrected for Global Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) from the ICE-6G (VM5a) model. For more than half of the sites, the DORIS horizontal velocities differ from the global plate models by less than 2-3 mm/yr. For five of the sites (Arequipa, Dionysos/Gavdos, Manila, Santiago) with horizontal velocity differences wrt these models larger than 10 mm/yr, comparisons with GNSS estimates show the veracity of the DORIS motions. Vertical motions from the DORIS cumulative solution are compared with the vertical velocities derived from the latest GPS cumulative solution over the time span 1995.0-2014.0 from the University of La Rochelle (ULR6) solution at 31 co-located DORIS-GPS sites. These two sets of vertical velocities show a correlation coefficient of 0.83. Vertical differences are larger than 2 mm/yr at 23 percent of the sites. At Thule the disagreement is explained by fine-tuned DORIS discontinuities in line with the mass variations of outlet glaciers. Furthermore, the time evolution of the vertical time series from the DORIS station in Thule show similar trends to the GRACE equivalent water height.

DORIS↗