Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “data conversion”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 595 records · Page 33

Voltage cycling as a dynamic operation mode for high temperature electrolysis solid oxide cells

Solid Oxide Electrolysis Cells (SOECs) have emerged as a promising technology for the efficient production of H2 via high-temperature electrolysis. However, power input from dynamic energy sources remains a significant challenge for their long-term stability. It is important to analyze the tolerance of cells under dynamic operation conditions. This study focuses on evaluating the impact of voltage cycling on the performance and durability of electrode-supported SOECs. We explore the operational limits and degradation mechanisms of SOECs subjected to various voltage conditions and find that the cells have high tolerance for dynamic voltage. Voltage cycling between 1.3 V and 1.5 V for 9000 cycles does not damage the cell. Conversely, cycling to higher voltages (≥1.7 V) results in accelerated degradation. Advanced characterization is used to screen for various degradation modes post operation. Within the oxygen electrode, XRD and STEM EDS find compositional and phase evolution in all voltage cycled samples including increased decomposition of the air electrode resulting in cation migration. Microstructural analysis of the fuel electrode from nano-CT data shows minimal change throughout the sample set and no evidence of Ni migration, indicating the fuel electrode is stable and not impacted by cycling to higher voltages within the timeframe studied.

Zhu, Zhikuan↗

Life-cycle Analysis of Conversion of Post-Use Plastic via Pyrolysis with the GREET Model

In this report, we present an updated LCA of the PTF pathway developed at Argonne. Benavides et al. (2017) analyzed the environmental impact of producing ultra-low sulfur (ULS) diesel fuel from PUP via pyrolysis (the most common PTF technology). We used the Greenhouse gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy use in Technologies (GREET®) model and collected data from eight PTF companies to assess the potential energy and environmental benefits associated with this technology (Argonne, 2020). We conducted a survey and aggregated the dataset based on the different responses, which included plant capacity, process yields, feedstock composition, material and energy inputs, and outputs, and other parameters. We calculated the energy, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and water consumption of its intermediate product pyrolysis oil and final product PUP-derived ULS diesel and compared the results to those metrics for their conventional counterparts (crude naphtha and petroleum ULS diesel fuel).

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗

Theory and Simulation of Metal–Insulator–Semiconductor (MIS) Photoelectrodes

A metal–insulator–semiconductor (MIS) structure is an attractive photoelectrode-catalyst architecture for promoting photoelectrochemical reactions, such as the formation of H 2 by proton reduction. The metal catalyzes the generation of H 2 using electrons generated by photon absorption and charge separation in the semiconductor. The insulator layer between the metal and the semiconductor protects the latter element from photo-corrosion and, also, significantly impacts the photovoltage at the metal surface. Understanding how the insulator layer determines the photovoltage and what properties lead to high photovoltages is critical to the development of MIS structures for solar-to-chemical energy conversion. Herein, we present a continuum model for charge-carrier transport from the semiconductor to the metal with an emphasis on mechanisms of charge transport across the insulator. The polarization curves and photovoltages predicted by this model for a Pt/HfO 2 /p-Si MIS structure at different HfO 2 thicknesses agree well with experimentally measured data. The simulations reveal how insulator properties (i.e., thickness and band structure) affect band bending near the semiconductor/insulator interface and how tuning them can lead to operation closer to the maximally attainable photovoltage, the flat-band potential. This phenomenon is understood by considering the change in tunneling resistance with insulator properties. The model shows that the best MIS performance is attained with highly symmetric semiconductor/insulator band offsets (e.g., BeO, MgO, SiO 2 , HfO 2 , or ZrO 2 deposited on Si) and a low to moderate insulator thickness (e.g., between 0.8 and 1.5 nm). Beyond 1.5 nm, the density of filled interfacial trap sites is high and significantly limits the photovoltage and the solar-to-chemical conversion rate. These conclusions are true for photocathodes and photoanodes. This understanding provides critical insight into the phenomena enhancing and limiting photoelectrode performance and how this phenomenon is influenced by insulator properties. The study gives guidance toward the development of next-generation insulators for MIS structures that achieve high performance.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Challenges and strategies for probing the composite interface of PEM electrolyzers and fuel cells using operando AP-XPS

Left: cross-section schematic of a membrane electrode assembly, the working electrode changing state with applied potential. Center: the operando cell design that enables snapshot data acquisition during trajectory movement. Right: resulting spectra. Understanding the surface chemistry of electrocatalyst systems under operando conditions is central to revealing the electrocatalytic cell's working mechanisms. Determination of these catalytic processes on a molecular scale and the involved components is fundamental to streamlining material design for energy conversion and storage applications. X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) is an established technique used to study the chemical and electronic states of materials. While the surface sensitivity of XPS is typically high, use of tender X-ray energies and technical advancements have allowed for the direct probing of solid–vapor and solid–liquid interfaces. However, protocols and documentation of experimental considerations for operando XPS probing of working electrolyzers and fuel cells remain scarce. Herein, we report an approach for the study of working polymer electrolyte membrane (PEM) electrolysis cells using ambient pressure X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (AP-XPS). This approach directly probes the composite electrode surface on the membrane electrode assembly (MEA) in 100% relative humidity to establish a meaningful liquid layer for electrocatalysis. We carry out a systematic investigation from the cell constituent components to a fully assembled working operando electrolytic system and establish a method for AP-XPS study of the complex composite MEA, providing recommendations for data acquisition and component analysis.

Hamlyn, Rebecca↗

Search for low-energy neutrinos from astrophysical sources with Borexino

We report on searches for neutrinos and antineutrinos from astrophysical sources performed with the Borexino detector at the Laboratori Nazionali del Gran Sasso in Italy. Electron antineutrinos ( $\bar{ν}_e$ ) are detected in an organic liquid scintillator through the inverse β -decay reaction. In the present work we set model-independent upper limits in the energy range 1.8-16.8 MeV on neutrino fluxes from unknown sources that improve our previous results, on average, by a factor 2.5. Using the same data set, we first obtain experimental constraints on the diffuse supernova $\bar{ν}_e$ fluxes in the previously unexplored region below 8 MeV. A search for $\bar{ν}_e$ in the solar neutrino flux is also presented: the presence of $\bar{ν}_e$ would be a manifestation of a non-zero anomalous magnetic moment of the neutrino, making possible its conversion to antineutrinos in the strong magnetic field of the Sun. We obtain a limit for a solar $\bar{ν}_e$ flux of 384 cm -2 s -1 (90% C.L.), assuming an undistorted solar 8 B neutrinos energy spectrum, that corresponds to a transition probability pνe→$\bar{ν}_e$< 7.2 ×10-5 (90% C.L.) for E $\bar{ν}_e$ > 1.8 MeV.At lower energies, by investigating the spectral shape of elastic scattering events, we obtain a new limit on solar 7 Be- ν e conversion into $\bar{ν}_e$ of pνe→$\bar{ν}_e$< 0.14 (90% C.L.) at 0.862 MeV. Last, we investigate solar flares as possible neutrino sources and obtain the strongest up-to-date limits on the fluence of neutrinos of all flavor neutrino below 3–7 MeV. Assuming the neutrino flux to be proportional to the flare’s intensity, we exclude an intense solar flare as the cause of the observed excess of events in run 117 of the Cl-Ar Homestake experiment.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Investigation of methane and ethane pyrolysis with highly active and durable iron-alumina catalyst to produce hydrogen and valuable nano carbons: Continuous fluidized bed tests and reaction rate analysis

The goal of this research work was to evaluate a novel iron-alumina catalyst for methane and ethane pyrolysis with high conversion rates to H 2 with a long life time to address two major issues reported with previous catalysts. Fluidized bed tests demonstrated continuous hydrogen production while collecting carbon containing fines. During the 230 h fluid bed test the methane conversion rate to hydrogen at 700 °C remained above 80% for 160 h while creating valuable nano carbons. Similarly high catalyst lifetimes with high methane conversions have not been reported before. Ethane was more active than methane for pyrolysis with 100% conversion to H 2 . Transmission electron microscopy and Raman analysis of the carbon showed single and multiwall nanotubes and conglomerate nano-fibers. Ethane did not impact the allotrope of carbon formed. TGA was used to create a data array that was used for kinetic analysis and reaction model parametric regressions. Ethane had a higher rate of pyrolysis that was 2.3–2.8 times that of methane. Ethane pyrolysis was found to be more sensitive to temperature with a higher activation energy of 62 kJ/mol as compared to methane at 43 kJ/mol. The frequency factor, A i , was significantly higher for ethane at 0.73 [[kmol/m 3 -sec]/[N/m2] n ] compared to 0.03 for methane on the same basis. Both gases had a functional partial pressure order dependence of ~0.6 based on the regression analysis.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Effect of cold cap coverage and emissivity on the plenum temperature in a pilot-scale waste vitrification melter

Integrated computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models are being developed to model the complex physics occurring within the high-level waste melter for vitrification of legacy tank waste at the Hanford site. Here, we present a validation of the integrated CFD model by using data from two experimental runs in a pilot-scale melter. While the model uses several simplifying assumptions (such as constant heat sinks from a cooling jacket and inleakage of ambient air, steady state feed-to-batch conversion heat, and a cold cap model with a simplified shape), it closely predicts the molten glass (1150°C and 1175°C) and plenum temperatures (550°C) obtained from thermocouples during two pilot-scale tests, with an average cold cap coverage of 80%. Additional simulations were performed to explore the sensitivity of the predicted plenum temperatures to variations in cold cap coverage (fraction of melt surface covered by the glass batch) and batch emissivity. The plenum temperature was found to be in the range of 606°C when cold cap coverage decreased from 95% to 70%. Cold cap emissivity had a smaller effect, increasing the plenum temperature by as much as 179°C when cold cap emissivity increased from 0.2 to 0.8. Maintaining a high cold cap coverage without overfeeding is important for a sustained melter operation with high glass throughput. This work provides a tool for achieving that goal in terms of correlating the plenum temperature with the cold cap coverage.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

PASSAT: particle accelerator helioScopes for Slim Axion-like-particle deTection

We propose a novel method to search for axion-like particles (ALPs) at particle accelerator experiments. ALPs produced at the target via the Primakoff effect subsequently enter a region with a magnetic field, where they are converted to photons that are then detected. Dubbed Particle Accelerator helioScopes for Slim Axion-like-particle deTection (PASSAT), our proposal uses the principle of the axion helioscope but replaces ALPs produced in the Sun with those produced in a target material. Since we rely on ALP-photon conversions , our proposal probes light (slim) ALPs that are otherwise inaccessible to laboratory-based experiments which rely on ALP decay, and complements astrophysical probes that are more model-dependent. As a first application, we reinterpret existing data from the NOMAD experiment in light of PASSAT, and constrain the parameter space for ALPs lighter than $$\sim 100~\mathrm{eV}$$ ~ 100 eV and ALP-photon coupling larger than $$\sim 10^{-4}~\mathrm{GeV}^{-1}$$ ~ 10 - 4 GeV - 1 . As benchmarks of feasible low-cost experiments improving over the NOMAD limits, we study the possibility of re-using the magnets of the CAST and the proposed BabyIAXO experiments and placing them at the proposed BDF facility at CERN, together with some new detectors. We find that these realizations of PASSAT allow for a direct probe of the parameter space for ALPs lighter than $$\sim 100~\mathrm{eV}$$ ~ 100 eV and ALP-photon coupling larger than $$\sim 4\times 10^{-6}~\mathrm{GeV}^{-1}$$ ~ 4 × 10 - 6 GeV - 1 , which are regions that have not been probed yet by experiments with laboratory-produced ALPs. In contrast to other proposals aiming at detecting single or two-photon only events in hadronic beam dump environments, that rely heavily on Monte Carlo simulations, the background in our proposal can be directly measured in-situ , its suppression optimized, and the irreducible background statistically subtracted. Sensitivity evaluations with other beams will be the subject of a future paper. The measurements suggested in this paper represent an additional physics case for the BDF at CERN beyond those already proposed.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

MCP-eGridGPT (MCP-Enabled Chatbot with Electrical Power System Analysis and Interactive Visualization Tool) [SWR-25-126]

This software is an advanced chatbot system that integrates the Model Context Protocol (MCP) to provide intelligent electrical power system analysis and automated visualization generation. The system enables users to interact with complex electrical engineering tools through natural language, automatically analyzes power system data for voltage violations and grid health assessment, and generates professional interactive HTML dashboards and reports. Key features include dynamic tool discovery from MCP servers, multi-LLM provider support, intelligent data interpretation using large language models, automated chart generation, and a web-based interface for real-time analysis. The software bridges sophisticated electrical engineering analysis with user-friendly interfaces, making power system diagnostics accessible through conversational AI.

Choi, Seong [National Laboratory of the Rockies (N↗

Establishment of a Vertically Integrated Domestic Manufacturing Process for Production of Substrates Needed for Manufacture of Gas Diffusion Layers

In this project, AvCarb, LLC evaluated the baseline performance metrics of commercial carbon veils and their corresponding Gas Diffusion Layers (GDLs) with the goal of establishing an optimized, vertically integrated production system for wet-laid nonwoven substrates used in gas diffusion media for electrochemical energy storage and conversion devices. Mechanical testing and microstructural characterization were conducted and used to develop a multiscale computational model capable of simulating and predicting the performance of GDLs in fuel cells. Although the project successfully generated foundational transport and modeling data, it was terminated prior to identifying the critical GDL design parameters necessary for full optimization. The program aimed to improve carbon veil fabrication through enhanced fiber dispersion, fiber-fiber adhesion control, and improved web formation, enabling the production of high-quality, uniform substrates. Simulations were intended to guide mixing and solution delivery system design and process conditions, followed by production-scale trials to evaluate fiber dispersion, web uniformity, and mechanical robustness. At full deployment, the proposed production line would have been capable of producing approximately 650,000 m² of carbon veil annually. This capability remains strategically important, as the United States currently lacks a domestic source of wet-laid nonwoven carbon substrates that satisfy the stringent quality requirements for fuel-cell GDLs and electrolyzers representing an ongoing supply-chain vulnerability. Beyond supply-chain benefits, the project established a robust benchmarking dataset for existing commercial carbon veils while advancing next-generation material concepts targeting improved performance and manufacturing consistency.

Olson, Cynthia Lemay↗

Effect of hydrothermal synthesis conditions on up-conversion luminescence intensity of β-NaYF{sub 4} : Er{sup 3+}, Yb{sup 3+} submicron particles

The differences in the luminescence intensities of up-conversion β-NaYF{sub 4} : Er{sup 3+}, Yb{sup 3+} particles synthesised by the hydrothermal method under various synthesis conditions are studied. The results of the study lead to the conclusion that in order to achieve the maximum luminescence intensity in such particles, it is necessary to use ammonium fluoride and a medium with pH = 3. In this case, the length of the particles increases, up to the formation of rod-shaped particles. Based on the data on the size of the coherent scattering region and on microstresses, we can assume that the particles are polycrystals. At the same time, limiting the size of the coherent scattering region is possible due to the defective structure. When the nanoparticles are synthesised in a medium with pH = 3, hydrolysed regions containing OH groups are formed on the crystallite surface. The presence of these groups does not affect the intensity of up-conversion luminescence of submicron-size particles. (paper)

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Role of Bifunctional Ru/Acid Catalysts in the Selective Hydrocracking of Polyethylene and Polypropylene Waste to Liquid Hydrocarbons

Hydrogenolysis of C–C bonds over Ru-based catalysts has emerged as a deconstruction strategy to convert single-use polyolefin waste to liquid alkanes at relatively mild conditions, but this approach exhibits limitations, including methane formation resulting from terminal C–C bond scission. In this study, a variety of catalysts were investigated for the reductive deconstruction of polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) to identify supports that promote nonterminal C–C bond scission. We found that Ru nanoparticles supported on Brønsted-acidic zeolites with the faujasite (FAU) and Beta (BEA) topologies were highly active for the cleavage of C–C bonds in PE and PP, exhibiting improved liquid yields and suppressed methane formation. For the deconstruction of PE, supporting ruthenium nanoparticles (5 wt %) on FAU increased the yields of liquid alkanes to 67% compared to 33% over an inert silica support (5 wt % Ru/SiO 2 ) at 200 °C, 16 h, under 30 bar of H2. A dramatic selectivity enhancement toward liquid hydrocarbons was also observed for PP over Ru/FAU and Ru/BEA compared to Ru/SiO 2 . To understand the origin of this selectivity improvement, a combination of ex situ and operando characterization techniques were used to reveal that both catalyst structure and acidity play key roles in PE and PP conversion. Operando X-ray absorption spectroscopy studies with model polyolefins over Ru-supported catalysts with varying acidity levels revealed that the local chemical environment of Ru [0] during the reaction is consistent across multiple acidic supports, although the onset of reduction during synthesis of the nanoparticles varies across different supports. These results, combined with reactivity data, demonstrate the importance of the acid-noble metal cooperativity in promoting selective C–C bond scission toward liquid alkanes that shifts the mechanism from hydrogenolysis to ideal hydrocracking.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Comparative Analyses of Bioequivalence Assessment Methods for In Vitro Permeation Test Data

ABSTRACT For topical, dermatological drug products, an in vitro option to determine bioequivalence (BE) between test and reference products is recommended. In particular, in vitro permeation test (IVPT) data analysis uses a reference‐scaled approach for two primary endpoints, cumulative penetration amount (AMT) and maximum flux ( J max ), which takes the within donor variability into consideration. In 2022, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) published a draft IVPT guidance that includes statistical analysis methods for both balanced and unbalanced cases of IVPT study data. This work presents a comprehensive evaluation of various methodologies used to estimate critical parameters essential in assessing BE. Specifically, we investigate the performance of the FDA draft IVPT guidance approach alongside alternative empirical and model‐based methods utilizing mixed‐effects models. Our analyses include both simulated scenarios and real‐world studies. In simulated scenarios, empirical formulas consistently demonstrate robustness in approximating the true model, particularly in effectively addressing treatment–donor interactions. Conversely, the effectiveness of model‐based approaches heavily relies on precise model selection, which significantly influences their results. The research emphasizes the importance of accurate model selection in model‐based BE assessment methodologies. It sheds light on the advantages of empirical formulas, highlighting their reliability compared to model‐based approaches and offers valuable implications for BE assessments. Our findings underscore the significance of robust methodologies and provide essential insights to advance their understanding and application in the assessment of BE, employed in IVPT data analysis.

Leon, Sami↗

Soil Carbon Dynamics Following Land Use Changes and Conversion to Oil Palm Plantations in Tropical Lowlands Inferred From Radiocarbon

We measured the 14C and 13C isotopic values of soil organic carbon in mineral soil from lowland tropical forests to provide insight into how quickly carbon is turning over in the soil following conversion of primary forests to oil palm plantations. In addition to areas converted to oil palm plantations in Peru, Indonesia, and Cameroon, we examine pastures and secondary forests in Peru as a comparison to the carbon cycling processes operating in the oil palm plantations.This dataset includes radiocarbon (Δ14C) and stable carbon (δ13C) isotopes of soil organic carbon in mineral soils from natural lowland forests and oil palm plantations in Peru, Indonesia, and Cameroon. We additionally examine plots of secondary forests following agricultural use and pastures on cleared natural forest in Peru. In addition to isotopic data, this dataset includes soil carbon and nitrogen concentrations and stock, soil texture (percent sand, silt, and clay), pH, ECEC (effective cation exchange capacity), base saturation, and bulk density. Soils were sampled in 4 depth increments to 100 cm depth.This dataset supports the publication Finstad et al., 2020. Finstad, K., van Straaten, O., Veldkamp, E., & McFarlane, K. (2020). Soil carbon dynamics following land use changes and conversion to oil palm plantations in tropical lowlands inferred from radiocarbon. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 34, e2019GB006461. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GB006461

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Unsupervised Azimuth Estimation of Solar Arrays in Low-Resolution Satellite Imagery through Semantic Segmentation and Hough Transform

This paper explains the use of a convolutional neural network (CNN) to segment solar panels in a satellite image containing solar arrays, and extract associated metadata from the arrays. A novel unsupervised technique is introduced to estimate the azimuth of each individual solar panel from the predicted mask of the convolutional neural network. This pipeline was developed with the aim of extracting necessary metadata for a solar installation, using only a set of latitude–longitude coordinates. Azimuth prediction results for 669 individual solar installations associated with 387 sites located across the United States are provided. A mean average error and median average error of 21.65 degrees and 1.0 degrees were obtained, respectively, when predicting the azimuth of the solar fleet data set, with about 80% of the results within an error of zero degrees of the ground truth azimuth value and about 85% within an error of 25 degrees. The predicted azimuth was then used to estimate the energy conversion of the solar arrays. Results show a 90.9 and 90.6 R-squared value for estimating alternating current (AC) and direct current (DC) energy, respectively, and a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 1.70% in estimating the alternating current (AC) energy using the fully automated algorithm.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Deep neural operators can predict the real-time response of floating offshore structures under irregular waves

The use of neural operators in a digital twin model of an offshore floating structure holds the potential for a significant shift in the prediction of structural responses and health monitoring, offering valuable real-time control insights. In this work, we investigate the effectiveness of three neural operators, namely the deep operator network (DeepONet), the Fourier neural operator (FNO), and the Wavelet neural operator (WNO), to accurately capture the responses of a floating structure under six different sea state codes (3 − 8) based on the wave characteristics described by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). To further enhance the accuracy of the vanilla architecture of the neural operators, novel extensions, such as wavelet-DeepONet and self-adaptive WNO, are proposed in this paper. The results demonstrate that these high-precision neural operators can deliver structural responses more efficiently, up to two orders of magnitude faster than a dynamic analysis using conventional numerical solvers. Additionally, compared to gated recurrent units (GRUs), a commonly used recurrent neural network for time-series estimation, neural operators are both more accurate and efficient, especially in situations with limited data availability. Taken together, our study shows that FNO outperforms all other operators for approximating the mapping of one input functional space to the output space as well as for responses that have small bandwidth of the frequency spectrum. Conversely, DeepONet, with historical states, proves most accurate in learning the mapping of multiple input functions to the output space and capturing responses within a broad frequency spectrum.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Ln 10 S 14 O (Ln = La, Pr, Nd, Sm) Oxysulfides: A Series of Direct n-Type Semiconductors

Lanthanoid oxysulfides are promising materials for technological applications owing to their magnetic, photoluminescent, catalytic, and optoelectronic properties. In this work, we report the solid-state synthesis and structural characterization of Ln 10 S 14 O (Ln = La, Ce, Pr, Nd, Sm) oxysulfides. Then, we present a thorough discussion on their electronic and photophysical properties. Through Tauc plot analysis and the derivation of the absorption spectrum fitting method (DASF), we determine that all oxysulfides have direct band gaps with energies of 2.84 eV (La), 2.02 eV (Ce), 2.56 eV (Pr), 2.64 eV (Nd), and 2.41 eV (Sm). Furthermore, surface photovoltage spectroscopy (SPS) shows photovoltage (ΔCPD) values of –0.4 to –1.1 V for La-, Pr-, Nd-, and Sm-containing compounds when illuminated near the optical band gap, indicating that these oxysulfides are n-type semiconductors, which is consistent with Mott–Schottky analysis. Photovoltages under sub-band gap illumination energy and photovoltage decay data suggest mid-band gap states possibly arising from the lanthanoid 4f orbitals and/or defects within the crystal structure or at the particle surfaces. These photophysical properties suggest possible applications of the oxysulfides in photoelectrochemical and photovoltaic energy conversion.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A trade-off between plant and soil carbon storage under elevated CO 2

Terrestrial ecosystems remove about 30 per cent of the carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emitted by human activities each year, yet the persistence of this carbon sink depends partly on how plant biomass and soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks respond to future increases in atmospheric CO 2 . Although plant biomass often increases in elevated CO 2 (eCO 2 ) experiments, SOC has been observed to increase, remain unchanged or even decline. The mechanisms that drive this variation across experiments remain poorly understood, creating uncertainty in climate projections. In this study we synthesized data from 108 eCO 2 experiments and found that the effect of eCO 2 on SOC stocks is best explained by a negative relationship with plant biomass: when plant biomass is strongly stimulated by eCO 2 , SOC storage declines; conversely, when biomass is weakly stimulated, SOC storage increases. This trade-off appears to be related to plant nutrient acquisition, in which plants increase their biomass by mining the soil for nutrients, which decreases SOC storage. We found that, overall, SOC stocks increase with eCO 2 in grasslands (8 ± 2 per cent) but not in forests (0 ± 2 per cent), even though plant biomass in grasslands increase less (9 ± 3 per cent) than in forests (23 ± 2 per cent). Ecosystem models do not reproduce this trade-off, which implies that projections of SOC may need to be revised.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗