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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 595 records · Page 33

Calculating Behind-the-Meter Energy Storage Incentives on an Avoided Cost Basis

Behind-the-meter (BTM) energy storage offers the potential for shared investment by utilities and their customers, in which both parties share in the costs and benefits of battery investment. Several utilities and a handful of states have begun providing incentives to help customers purchase BTM energy storage, and in exchange, operate that battery on behalf of the customer to realize grid benefits such as meeting peak capacity needs. But there is wide variation in the value and structure of these incentives, suggesting a lack of clarity on the value of BTM storage to the grid and to non-participating customers who fund the incentives for participating customers. This paper provides an objective framework for establishing BTM energy storage incentives based on the avoided cost of generation from a marginal, gas-fired peaking plant. It also conducts several sensitivity analyses to see how those avoided costs vary with emissions pricing, gas prices, plant heat rates, and utility capital structures. This work may be of use to utilities, regulators, and energy system stakeholders in providing a value-based framework for BTM incentive programs that can be used in the absence of policy guidance.

Twitchell, Jeremy B.↗

Using Mobile Charging Drones to Mitigate Battery Disruptions of Electric Vehicles on Highways

Our research explores innovative solutions to address the challenge of battery disruptions in electric vehicles (EVs) on highways. We propose a centralized fleet ownership model where a company manages a fleet of Mobile Charging Drones (MCDs) guided by a k-VRP (Vehicle Routing Problem) framework. This model is designed to tackle a multi-objective optimization issue with three primary goals: reduction of the overall operating costs, decrease in the cumulative waiting time, and minimization of the combined operating costs and waiting times. This approach extends beyond the usual VRP constraints, encompassing specific limitations for both MCDs and disrupted EVs (DEVs). Additionally, our study delves into the concept of decentralized fleet ownership through the lens of crowdsourcing. Preliminary numerical analyses indicate that the capital cost of MCDs is a significant factor on the charging service, and the system performance is sensitive to DEV owner's value of time (VOT) when VOTs are relatively low.

battery disruption↗

Disruptive Photovoltaic Technologies Can Accelerate Global Decarbonization

This contribution explores PV manufacturing capacity expansion trajectories needed to achieve the goal of global decarbonization assuming that investors make financially rational decisions avoiding stranded production assets while still effectively exploiting experience curve benefits in both manufacturing process and product design. Substantial production cost savings and timely decarbonization risk mitigation could accrue by adoption and scaling of high efficiency multijunction device architectures and thin film direct bandgap semiconductor technologies that provide lower manufacturing capital intensity. We demonstrate that there is a $1-2 trillion market opportunity for such disruptive technologies while also providing hundreds of billions of dollars of cost savings to reach total decarbonization.

decarbonization↗

Selective Sampling for Sensor Type Classification in Buildings

A key barrier to applying any smart technology to a building is the requirement of locating and connecting to the necessary resources among the thousands of sensing and control points, i.e., the metadata mapping problem. Existing solutions depend on exhaustive manual annotation of sensor metadata --- a laborious, costly, and hardly scalable process. To reduce the amount of manual effort required, this paper presents a multi-oracle selective sampling framework to leverage noisy labels from information sources with unknown reliability such as existing buildings, which we refer to as weak oracles, for metadata mapping. This framework involves an interactive process, where a small set of sensor instances are progressively selected and labeled for it to learn how to aggregate the noisy labels as well as to predict sensor types. Two key challenges arise in designing the framework, namely, weak oracle reliability estimation and instance selection for querying. To address the first challenge, we develop a clustering-based approach for weak oracle reliability estimation to capitalize on the observation that weak oracles perform differently in different groups of instances. For the second challenge, we propose a disagreement-based query selection strategy to combine the potential effect of a labeled instance on both reducing classifier uncertainty and improving the quality of label aggregation. We evaluate our solution on a large collection of real-world building sensor data from 5 buildings with more than 11,000 sensors of 18 different types. The experiment results validate the effectiveness of our solution, which outperforms a set of state-of-the-art baselines.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗

Simulation-Guided Decision-Making for Enhancing Energy Resilience in a Remote Alaskan Community

The increasing frequency and severity of extreme weather events underscore the need to bolster the resilience of energy infrastructure in remote coastal communities exposed to climate hazards. In recent years, considerable effort has been made to harden the grid infrastructure of remote communities through investment in energy storage, advanced metering, renewable generation and energy-efficient loads. However, simulation-based studies are still needed to identify appropriate locations for investment and determine the adequacy of existing infrastructure in supporting new resources. Preparing the required models may often be challenging due to insufficient metering, disparate data sources and workforce limitations. This paper describes modeling efforts undertaken to represent, within a unified co-simulation platform: (a) the electric distribution network and (b) the thermal behavior of a community medical center, in the remote community of Cordova, Alaska. With the help of case-studies, it is shown how the developed simulation platform can help the local utility in making decisions regarding capital investment aimed at enhancing community resilience.

Microgrid, energy storage, resilience↗

Optimization of Structurally Enhanced Solder Transient Liquid Phase Bonding

High temperature packaging technologies are a necessity for high temperature capable devices. SAC305 solder has an operational limit of 174°C imposed by creep effects which aligns well with current junction temperature limits of 175°C. Wide band gap semiconductor materials have the potential to reach junction temperatures of up to 800°C that are not currently attainable with significant reliability. Capitalizing on this potential will requires substrates and attachments that can operate well beyond the current 175°C standard. Silver sintering pastes have received widespread interest as a high temperature attachment alternative. However, the process requires high pressure bonding in an inert environment to achieve acceptable bond quality. Transient liquid phase (TLP) sintering is capable of good bond quality without pressure requirements but suffers from low thermal conductivity and only slightly reduced cost compared to silver sintering. SAC305 solder contains the same constituent materials for TLP as available copper-tin TLP sintering paste. By introducing engineered surface structures into the bond, intermetallic formation can be accelerated producing a bond similar to TLP sintering but in an ambient environment and for reduced cost. While this process has been demonstrated, it has not yet been optimized. Currently bonds are formed using a 75 μm stencil on substrate surface structures 24 μm tall, covering 19% of the bonding area. The process takes about 4 hours not including the formation of surface structures. Here, this study will center on the effects of stencil thickness and coating methods. Samples will be analyzed by scanning acoustic microscopy, die shear testing and cross sectional scanning acoustic microscopy.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Transient Simulations with a Large Penetration of Converter-Interfaced Generation: Scientific Computing Challenges and Opportunities

Current trends in energy systems point to renewable energy sources (RESs) and battery energy storage systems (BESSs) becoming prevalent in power system operations. As of writing this article, the United States has more than 37 GW of utility-scale solar capacity and an additional 112 GW under development. With the rapidly declining capital costs of many of these technologies, we can expect significant deployments in the coming years.

analytical models↗

Quantifying the Relationship Between Higher Photovoltaic Module Efficiency and the Adoption of Distributed Solar

The purpose of this study is understanding the relationship between module efficiency, system costs, and the economic and adoption potential of distributed rooftop solar. We use the dGen model to project the economic potential and adoption of high-efficiency photovoltaic (PV) modules across a range of efficiencies and cost scenarios in the continental United States. Our results reveal that high-efficiency modules can modestly increase the projected adoption of distributed solar, but system capital costs may play a larger role in changing the amount of projected adoption.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Technoeconomic Analysis of Photovoltaics Module Manufacturing with Thin Silicon Wafers

Reducing silicon usage by adopting thinner wafers can significantly reduce capital expenditure (capex) and cost, and thus accelerate the growth of manufacturing capacity and deployment. In this work, we evaluated potential benefits of thin Si wafers for current and future PV modules. We apply a technoeconomic framework that couples bottom-up cost model, and a cash-flow growth model to analyze PV modules with thin wafers. First, we show that, comparing the current PERC with 160 um thick wafers to the high-efficiency concept with 50 um thin wafers, the capex is reduced from 0.39 to 0.2 $/(W/year) while the cost is from 0.32 to 0.2 $/W. Second, the potential of accelerated deployment is analyzed for the highefficiency thin wafer concept. We found the significant advantages of higher growth rate (~20% relative) and higher deployment plateau (~3 times) than the current PERC modules. modules with thin wafers. First, we show that, comparing the current PERC with 160 um thick wafers to the high-efficiency concept with 50 um thin wafers, the capex is reduced from 0.39 to 0.2 $/(W/year) while the cost is from 0.32 to 0.2 $/W. Second, the potential of accelerated deployment is analyzed for the highefficiency thin wafer concept. We found the significant advantages of higher growth rate (~20% relative) and higher deployment plateau (~3 times) than the current PERC modules.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

HTS Quadrupole Magnet for the Persistent Current Mode Operation

In this work, a new high-temperature superconducting (HTS) quadrupole magnet with circular coils was designed and built at Fermilab. Several HTS coils were also investigated at the temperature of liquid nitrogen. The main goal of this activity was to investigate the coils and magnet operation in a persistent current mode to reduce accelerator magnets’ capital and operational expenses. To accomplish this, HTS short-circuit coils were used. In the paper, HTS coils and magnet design, fabrication, and tests were discussed. The magnetic field in the magnet aperture and the field decay when the magnet operated in the “frozen flux” mode were measured. The test and simulation results were compared, confirming the advantages of the proposed approach.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

End-to-End Workflow for Machine-Learning-Based Qubit Readout With QICK and hls4ml

In this article, we present an end-to-end workflow for superconducting qubit readout that embeds codesigned neural networks into the quantum instrumentation control kit (QICK). Capitalizing on the custom firmware and software of the QICK platform, which is built on Xilinx radiofrequency system-on-chip field-programmable gate arrays (FPGAs), we aim to leverage machine learning (ML) to address critical challenges in qubit readout accuracy and scalability. The workflow utilizes the hls4ml package and employs quantization-aware training to translate ML models into hardware-efficient FPGA implementations via user-friendly Python application programming interfaces. We experimentally demonstrate the design, optimization, and integration of an ML algorithm for single transmon qubit readout, achieving 96% single-shot fidelity with a latency of 32.25 ns and less than 16% FPGA lookup table resource utilization. Our results offer the community an accessible workflow to advance ML-driven readout and adaptive control in quantum information processing applications.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Decentralized Low-Rank State Estimation for Power Distribution Systems

This article considers the low-observability state estimation problem in power distribution networks and develops a decentralized state estimation algorithm leveraging the matrix completion methodology. Matrix completion has been shown to be an effective technique in state estimation that exploits the low dimensionality of the power system measurements to recover missing information. This technique can utilize an approximate (linear) load flow model, or it can be used with no physical models in a network where no information about the topology or line admittance is available. The direct application of matrix completion algorithms requires solving a semi-definite programming (SDP) problem, which becomes computationally challenging for large networks. We therefore develop a decentralized algorithm that capitalizes on the popular proximal alternating direction method of multipliers (proximal ADMM). The method allows us to distribute the computation among different areas of the network, leading to a scalable algorithm. By doing all computations at individual control areas and only communicating with neighboring areas, the algorithm eliminates the need for data to be sent to a central processing unit and thus increases efficiency and contributes to the goal of autonomous control of distribution networks. We illustrate the advantages of the proposed algorithm numerically using standard IEEE test cases.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

A Fast Flexibility-Driven Generation Portfolio Planning Method for Sustainable Power Systems

We are witnessing an acceleration in the uptake of renewable energy in power systems. Because of the associated variability and uncertainty of renewables, power systems need to have an adequate supply of flexibility to allow for suitable management of short-term operations. So far most of the work in this area has neglected how flexibility needs associated with renewables are fulfilled as part of dispatchable generation capital investments decisions. To address this challenge, we propose an approach to plan the dispatchable generation mix of a power system as needed to counteract variability and uncertainty associated with significant shares of variable renewable generation. The approach exploits the linear time-invariant feature of variable generation variability using historical phase planes of capacity (in MW) and ramp (in MW/min) to bridge the gap between long-term capacity planning and short-term intra-hour flexibility needs. This approach is much more computationally tractable than other proposals, while also being able to capture adequately short-term operational features like ramping and net load variability. Numerical tests are performed on realistic datasets to substantiate the effectiveness of the approach.

bulk power system planning↗

Novel plant–microbe interactions: Rapid evolution of a legume–rhizobium mutualism in restored prairies

Abstract When plants colonize new habitats, the novel interactions they form with new mutualists or enemies can immediately affect plant performance. These novel interactions also may provoke rapid evolutionary responses and can be ideal scenarios for investigating how species interactions influence plant evolution. To explore how mutualists influence the evolution of colonizing plant populations, we capitalized on an experiment in which two former agricultural fields were seeded with identical prairie seed mixes in 2010. Six years later, we compared how populations of the legume Chamaecrista fasciculata from these sites and their original (shared) source population responded to nitrogen‐fixing rhizobia from the restoration sites in a greenhouse reciprocal cross‐inoculation experiment. We found that the two populations differed both from their original source population and from each other in the benefits they derive from rhizobia, and that one population has evolved reduced allocation to rhizobia (i.e. forms fewer rhizobium‐housing nodules). Synthesis . Our results suggest that these plant populations have evolved different ways of interacting with rhizobia, potentially in response to differences in rhizobium quality between sites. Our study illustrates how microbial mutualists may shape plant evolution in new environments and highlights how variation in microbial mutualists potentially may select for different evolutionary strategies in plant hosts.

Magnoli, Susan M.↗

Techno‐economic feasibility analysis of engineered energycane‐based biorefinery co‐producing biodiesel and ethanol

Abstract High feedstock cost and low oil yields per unit of land from temperate oilseed crops limit the growth of commercial‐scale biodiesel production. Recently, highly productive crops, such as sugarcane and energycane, have been engineered to accumulate triacylglycerides (TAGs) that allow the production of far more industrial vegetable oil than previously possible. A proof‐of‐concept suggests that biodiesel production from engineered energycane will be possible. However, before making efforts for scale‐up, it is critical to understand the commercial feasibility and economic competitiveness of this process. This study performs techno‐economic analysis of a unique biorefinery processing energycane to co‐produce biodiesel and ethanol. Comprehensive process simulation models were developed for two scenarios: (i) biodiesel from TAGs and ethanol from fermentation of sugars in juice and (ii) biodiesel from TAGs and ethanol from fermentation of sugars in juice and hydrolysis of carbohydrates in bagasse. Based on the target levels, the analysis was performed for energycane containing 0%, 5%, and 7.7% TAGs (d.b.). The biodiesel from engineered energycane was found economically viable and competitive to soybean biodiesel. Although the capital investment is higher compared to the soybean biodiesel plant, the biodiesel production costs ($0.66–$0.9/L) were lower than soybean biodiesel ($0.91/L). Biorefinery‐scenario‐1 processing energycane containing 7.7% TAG produces biodiesel with profitability (IRR 7.84) slightly lower than soybean biodiesel (IRR 8.3), but yields five times of biodiesel per unit land and is self‐sustainable for energy requirements. The surplus electricity can displace fossil electricity and provide environmental benefits. Monte Carlo simulation indicated that biorefinery is profitable with a 29%–65% probability (NPV > 0) which is largely controlled by feedstock composition and biodiesel market price. It is important to note that energycane can be grown on the marginal rainfed lands in S.E. USA, where soybean would not be viable. Biodiesel from engineered energycane would therefore be complementary to soydiesel in the United States.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Geostatistical Mapping of Salinity Conditioned on Borehole Logs, Montebello Oil Field, California

We present a geostatistics-based stochastic salinity estimation framework for the Montebello Oil Field that capitalizes on available total dissolved solids (TDS) data from groundwater samples as well as electrical resistivity (ER) data from borehole logging. Data from TDS samples (n = 4924) was coded into an indicator framework based on falling below four selected thresholds (500, 1000, 3000, and 10,000 mg/L). Collocated TDS-ER data from the surrounding groundwater basin were then employed to produce a kernel density estimator to establish conditional probabilities for ER data (n = 8 boreholes) falling below the selected TDS thresholds within the Montebello Oil Field area. Directional variograms were estimated from these indicator coded data, and 500 TDS realizations from conditional indicator simulation were generated for the subsurface region above the Montebello Oil Field reservoir. Simulations were summarized as 3D maps of median TDS, most likely salinity class, and probability for exceeding each of the specified TDS thresholds. Results suggested TDS was below 500 mg/L in most of the study area, with a trend toward higher values (500 to 1000 mg/L) to the southwest; consistent with the average regional groundwater flow direction. Discrete localized zones of TDS greater than 1000 mg/L were observed, with one of these zones in the greater than 10,000 mg/L range; however, these areas were not prevalent. The probabilistic approach used here is adaptable and is readily modified to include additional data and types and can be employed in time-lapse salinity modeling through Bayesian updating.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Controllable Solar Flux Heating for Freeze Recovery in Molten Salt Parabolic Trough Collectors

In molten-salt parabolic trough plants, the melting process is particularly important for freeze recovery of salt that is solidified in a collector loop, should such an event occur. Currently impedance heating is expected for freeze recovery of the collector loops, but this method can be expensive. Here, a lower-cost alternative is proposed to use controllable concentrated solar flux directly from the parabolic mirrors to thaw salt that is frozen in the collector. A computational fluid dynamics model was developed to explore the solidification and melting processes of molten salt in a parabolic trough receiver and to assess the viability of this concept. Results indicate that concentrated solar heating has the potential to melt frozen salt in 5.6 h, compared to that in 8.8 h for a 300 W m –1 impedance heating system. At the same time, controllable solar flux heating introduces nonuniform solar fluxes on the receiver surface, which can induce significant thermal stress on the receiver tube. A preliminary stress analysis indicates that the temperature difference across the receiver tube should be maintained below about 70 °C for heating up to 300 °C at internal pressures ≤10 bar. At these conditions, freeze recovery using solar flux heating will not significantly affect receiver lifetime. These results suggest that controllable solar flux heating could effectively supplement or replace impedance heating in the freeze recovery system. Incorporating this methodology in future parabolic trough concentrating solar power plants is an opportunity for capital and operational cost-savings.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗