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At least 595 records · Page 33

Validation and Comparison of HyRAM Physics Models

The Hydrogen Risk Assessment Models (HyRAM) software version 3 uses a real gas equation of state rather than the Abel-Noble equation of state that is used in 2.0 and previous versions. This change enables the use of HyRAM 3 for cryogenic hydrogen flows, whereas the Abel-Noble equation of state is not accurate at low temperatures. HyRAM 3.1 results were compared to experimental data from the literature in order to demonstrate the accuracy of the physics models. HyRAM 3.1 results were also compared to HyRAM 2.0 for high-pressure, non-cryogenic flows to highlight the differences in predictions between the two major versions of HyRAM. Validation data sets are from multiple groups and span the range of HyRAM physics models, including tank blowdown, unignited dispersion jet plume, ignited jet flame, and accumulation and overpressure inside an enclosure. Both versions 2.0 and 3.1 of HyRAM are accurate for predictions of blowdowns, diffusion jets, and diffusion flames of hydrogen at pressures up to 900 bar, and HyRAM 3.1 also shows good agreement with cryogenic hydrogen data. Overall, HyRAM 3.1 improves on the accuracy of the physical models relative to HyRAM 2.0. In most cases, this reduces the conservatism in risk calculations using HyRAM.

08 HYDROGEN↗

A Machine Learns to Predict the Stability of Highly Diverse Multi-planetary Systems

Machine learning has proven to be an invaluable tool for characterizing the stability of planets in simplified planetary systems. In this work, we investigate the performance of a machine learning classifier on tightlypacked systems containing a rich diversity of planets, from Earths to Jupiters. Using information derived from short numerical simulations about a planet’s early orbital evolution and its relationship with the most massive planets in the system, we train a random forest classifier to predict instability with a > 88 percent accuracy. Our classifier relies on relative planet masses and the standard deviation of eccentricity for much of its predictive power. Most misclassified planets lie along a multi-dimensional boundary between stable and unstable planets, indicating that their early orbital evolution is ambiguous. The major reason for misclassification in this work is timescale: because our classifier uses information from only the first 137 years of simulation data, it is blind to late time interactions that cause or prevent instability. Machine learning methods like those utilized in this work provide powerful tools to complement numerical simulations across a wide range of planetary architectures.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Bridging the gap between experiments and simulations using machine learning

The physics of inertial confinement fusion is rich and complex. Simulation codes that are used to design experiments are computationally expensive and lack the predictive capability required for extensive parameter exploration in search of a high-performing design for laser direct drive. In this work we use deep learning to build a fast emulator of experiments. To facilitate the development of the deep-learning model, an autoencoder is used to reduce the dimensionality of the input space. Two deep learning models are developed. One model is trained on a vast array of simulation data and is subsequently calibrated to expensive and limited experimental data using a technique known as “transfer learning.” The other model is trained on a statistical model and is subsequently calibrated using experimental data. A comparative study of the two predictive models is carried out. The models potentially reproduce key experimental observables with high accuracy and unprecedented inference times relative to those achieved with simulation codes. These models facilitate rapid exploration of a high dimensional input parameter space.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Evaluating Property Model Accuracy for Cost Optimization of Desalination Technologies

Conference presentation conveying work conducted on property modeling and implications on cost optimization of seawater desalination technology. The authors assess the accuracy of four different property modeling approaches to represent thermodynamic properties of seawater. These properties are used with process flowsheets that include either reverse osmosis or mechanical vapor compression. The accuracy of property estimation is related to deviations in process design and levelized cost.

Sakhai, Savannah↗

Recent streamflow trends across permafrost basins of North America

Introduction Climate change impacts, including changing temperatures, precipitation, and vegetation, are widely anticipated to cause major shifts to the permafrost with resulting impacts to hydro-ecosystems across the high latitudes of the globe. However, it is challenging to examine streamflow shifts in these regions owing to a paucity of data, discontinuity of records, and other issues related to data consistency and accuracy. Methods Recent trends for long-term periods (1990–2021, 1976–2021) in observed minimum, mean, and maximum seasonal and annual streamflow were analyzed for a range of watersheds across North America affected by varying degrees of permafrost coverage. Results Streamflow trend analysis revealed that areas affected by permafrost are changing variably over the periods in terms of maximum, mean, and minimum seasonal and annual streamflow. These changes indicate a significant shift occurring in the most recent 46 years towards increasing mean streamflow for the dominant (> 50%) permafrost systems. Meanwhile, minimum streamflow increases for all permafrost-dominant systems and many of the other permafrost-affected systems across the seasons and annual periods considered, with the greatest number of significant changes in streamflow over other metrics. Maximum streamflow is shifting variably with significant increases in the permafrost-dominant systems in winter and fall over longer time periods of analysis. Our analysis suggests that streamflow trends are driven by climate (precipitation, followed by temperature), while variables such as permafrost coverage only appear important in the most recent 32-year period. Discussion The increases in streamflow trends observed in this study are reflective of deepening active layers and thawing permafrost, indicating that the entire hydrograph is undergoing change within permafrost-dominant streamflow systems as the Arctic moves towards a warmer future under climate change. Despite the many challenges to understanding changing streamflow in cold regions, there are new products and datasets in development that are increasingly allowing researchers to better understand the patterns of change in Arctic and subarctic systems affected by permafrost, offering a range of new tools, which, along with continued observational records, may help in improved understanding of changing Arctic streamflow patterns.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

An analysis of approach navigation accuracy and guidance requirements for the grand tour mission to the outer planets

The navigation and guidance process for the Jupiter, Saturn and Uranus planetary encounter phases of the 1977 Grand Tour interior mission was simulated. Reference approach navigation accuracies were defined and the relative information content of the various observation types were evaluated. Reference encounter guidance requirements were defined, sensitivities to assumed simulation model parameters were determined and the adequacy of the linear estimation theory was assessed. A linear sequential estimator was used to provide an estimate of the augmented state vector, consisting of the six state variables of position and velocity plus the three components of a planet position bias. The guidance process was simulated using a nonspherical model of the execution errors. Computation algorithms which simulate the navigation and guidance process were derived from theory and implemented into two research-oriented computer programs, written in FORTRAN.

Jones, D. W.↗

Computation and sensitivity considerations of the Ricatti equation in spacecraft CMG steering laws

The steady-state matrix Ricatti equation is studied with respect to sensitivity and computational burden for a linear regulator controller in spacecraft. The class of systems studied use control moment gyros (CMGs) as the torque driver, assuming that the CMGs are free of gimbal stops. Different solution techniques are evaluated relative to computation time and accuracy to determine which solution method is most acceptable with respect to the prescribed requirements. It is shown that it is not feasible to eliminate off-diagonal Ricatti equation terms in the relevent updata equation due to their high sensitivity, that Potter's algebraic technique requires the least computation time of the methods studied, and that the simple Euler method yields the best results when accuracy and computation time are equally weighted. If an optimal linear regulator formulation is employed, a full Ricatti equation solution of n(n + 1)2 elements of the symmetric positive definite gain matrix which is the solution to the matrix Ricatti equation must be computed at each update cycle.

Colburn, B. K.↗

The use of radar imagery for surface water investigations

The paper is concerned with the interpretation of hydrologic features using L-band (HH) imagery collected by aircraft and Seasat systems. Areas of research needed to more precisely define the accuracy and repeatability of measurements related to the conditions of surfaces and boundaries of fresh water bodies are identified. These include: the definition of shoreline, the nature of variations in surface roughness across a water body and along streams and lake shores, and the separation of ambiguous conditions which appear similar to lakes.

Bryan, M. L.↗

Analysis of thematic mapper simulator data collected over eastern North Dakota

The results of the analysis of aircraft-acquired thematic mapper simulator (TMS) data, collected to investigate the utility of thematic mapper data in crop area and land cover estimates, are discussed. Results of the analysis indicate that the seven-channel TMS data are capable of delineating the 13 crop types included in the study to an overall pixel classification accuracy of 80.97% correct, with relative efficiencies for four crop types examined between 1.62 and 26.61. Both supervised and unsupervised spectral signature development techniques were evaluated. The unsupervised methods proved to be inferior (based on analysis of variance) for the majority of crop types considered. Given the ground truth data set used for spectral signature development as well as evaluation of performance, it is possible to demonstrate which signature development technique would produce the highest percent correct classification for each crop type.

Anderson, J. E.↗

Astrometric observations with the Space Telescope

Astrometry with the Space Telescope (ST) is performed using one of the fine guidance sensors (FGS). The FGS, which is based on a pair of Koester's prism interferometers, one for each axis, is capable of measuring the position of one object relative to another with an accuracy of 0.002 arcseconds. Astrometric Data Reduction Software (ADRS) available to the astrometric user of ST is described. The kinds of problems the space telescope astrometry team plans to investigate using ST are discussed.

Duncombe, R. L.↗

2.3-GHz accurate positions and optical identifications for selected Parkes radio sources

Accurate radio positions of 74 extragalactic radio sources contained in the Parkes 2.7-GHz survey were measured at 2.3 GHz with the Tidbinbilla interferometer, located near Canberra, Australia. The radio sources, most of which lie between declinations -30 deg and -35 deg, were measured to an rms positional accuracy of about 3 arcsec relative to a grid of previously identified radio sources. Optical identifications have been made on the basis of positional coincidence alone, without regard to color or morphology, using the UK Schmidt telescope deep IIIa-J sky survey plates. Identifications are suggested and accurate optical positions have been measured for 62 objects brighter than magnitude 22.5 on the IIIa-J plates.

Jauncey, D. L.↗

Two methods for determining volumes for explosion and impact craters

The development and testing of two techniques for determination of apparent and rim crest volumes of impact and explosion craters are described. The accuracy of the techniques, their relative costs, and the time required to complete the volume calculations are compared.

Verdes, A. N.↗

The role of satellite laser ranging through the 1990's

Contributions of Satellite Laser Ranging (SLR) in the fields of geodesy, oceanography, geodynamics, and geopotential are reviewed. With the best current systems SLR has successfully defined an absolute vertical datum to 3 cm and a relative horizontal datum with comparable accuracy. In the areas of Earth and space physics SLR has demonstrated its ability to provide information regarding the vertical and horizontal movements of the lithosphere, the rheology of the Earth, improved understanding of the evolution of the Earth-Moon system, the Earth's albedo and upper atmosphere, the polar wander, the frequency structure of the polar motion and in the definition of fundamental constants. Future options are discussed. It is indicated that SLR will continue to provide a unique and powerful tool for the study of space and geosciences.

Christodoulidis, D. C.↗

Orbit determination of highly elliptical Earth orbiters using VLBI and delta VLBI measurements

The feasibility of using very long baseline interferometric (VLBI) data acquired by the deep space network to navigate highly elliptical Earth orbiting satellites was shown. The navigation accuracy improvements achievable with VLBI and delta VLBI data types are determined for comparison with the Doppler capability. The sensitivity of the VLBI navigation accuracy to the baseline orientation relative to the orbit plane and the effects of major error sources such as gravitational harmonics and atmospheric are examined. It is found that VLBI measurements perform as well as strategies using conventional Doppler, while substantially reducing the required antenna support.

Frauenholz, R. B.↗

Application of a polynomial spline in higher-order accurate viscous-flow computations

A quartic spline, S(4,2), is proposed which overcomes some of the difficulties associated with the use of splines S(5,3) and S(3,1) and provides fourth-order accurate results with relatively few grid points. The accuracy of spline S(4,2) is comparable to or better than that of the fourth-order box scheme and the compact differencing scheme. The use of spline S(4,2) is suggested as a possible way of obtaining fourth-order accurate solutions to Navier-Stokes equations.

Turner, M. G.↗

Calibration stability of some hot-cathode ion gauges

Data are presented on the stability of calibration of some hot-cathode ion gauges: a conventional triode used in the range of 0.0002-0.2 Pa, and Bayard-Alpert-type gauges used in the range of 0.0002-0.02 Pa. Numerical magnitudes are given of the systematic corrections that must be applied to the gauge indication in order to achieve the highest accuracy of pressure indication. The relative sensitivities of these gauges to Ar, N2, Ne, and He are also given.

Warshawsky, I.↗

Prospects for astrometry with the Hubble Space Telescope

The Hubble Space Telescope (HST), a large optical telescope having an aperture of 2.4 meters and a length of 8.8 meters, is being developed by NASA. This telescope will be placed into earth orbit by the Space Shuttle. Astrometric observations with the HST are made using a Fine Guidance Sensor which is capable of measuring the position of one object relative to another with an accuracy of + or - 0.002 arcseconds. The astrometric user of HST will be provided with an Astrometric Data Reduction Software package. The variety of astrometric problems to be investigated with HST is discussed.

Jefferys, W. H.↗

VLBI positions of eight stellar systems

Radio positions of eight stellar systems have been derived with accuracies of 3 to 300 milliarcseconds from MkIII VLBI observations conducted with multistation arrays. The best accuracy was obtained during a relatively strong outburst of the RS CVn system HR 5110. The epoch J2000.0 positions are obtained in the Jet Propulsion Laboratory VLBI reference frame of extragalactic radio sources.

Neill, A. E.↗