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At least 595 records · Page 33

Exploring acute weather resilience: Meeting resilience and renewable goals

We report the United States is affected by an average of almost seven severe weather events a year, often resulting in billions of dollars in physical and economic damages, a subset of which are related to grid outages. There is a need for power and energy system stakeholders to better understand and implement the strategies that help reduce net-economic and societal consequences associated with grid outages by improving the resilience of their systems. In addition, there are incentives to reduce emissions and meet climate goals, several pathways of which include resilient technologies. Including resilience constraints and metrics in energy system planning models may help inform the design of more resilient systems that are also more renewable and sustainable. This paper reviews qualitative definitions of resilience, quantitative approaches to resilience, recent examples of the inclusion of resilience in energy system models with respect to acute climatological threats, and the gaps in fully articulating resilience in current modeling tools. We then outline steps to effectively improve resilience considerations against such threats into energy sector modeling tools. Based on the findings, the authors propose a novel framework for energy system resilience assessment and future areas of research to bridge the current modeling gaps.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Optimization-based approaches to control of connected and automated vehicles: Principles, complexities, applications, challenges, and outlook

Safe and optimal motion control for connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) poses a fundamental optimization challenge at the intersection of system complexity, environmental uncertainty, and stringent real-time constraints. Existing surveys address this challenge in isolation – focusing either on specific control techniques or individual uncertainty sources – without providing a unified framework that characterizes the trade-offs among computational tractability, performance verifiability, and adaptive generalization across paradigms. This review addresses that gap by presenting a cohesive analytical framework concentrated on the decision-making and trajectory optimization layers of the CAV autonomy stack. We systematically analyze three major optimization paradigms – first-principles model-based optimization, data-driven methods, and hybrid synergistic architectures – evaluating each against four core complexity axes: problem formulation, constraint handling, optimality guarantees, and robustness. Key applications including platooning, trajectory planning, collision avoidance, and cooperative control are examined to reveal recurring methodological patterns and critical operational constraints that limit real-world performance. Our synthesis identifies verifiable hybrid architectures, incentive-aligned multi-agent cooperation, and hardware-algorithm co-design as the defining research frontiers, and distills a targeted agenda for developing CAV control systems that are simultaneously safe, computationally efficient, and deployable in the full complexity of real-world traffic environments.

Muzahid, Abu Jafar Md [University of Tennessee, Kn↗

A Machine Learning based Approach of Estimating Equivalent Circuit Model Parameters at Different SoCs of Li-ion Batteries from Voltage Relaxation

Abstract: In this study, an approach of estimating the equivalent circuit model (ECM) parameters for Li-ion batteries (LIBs) is proposed based on the voltage value at different intervals while relaxing the LIB after discharge. The typical approach for estimating ECM parameters of a LIB is to conduct electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) measurements at different frequencies and fit them to a predefined circuit model, which requires additional measuring arrangements and specialized devices. The proposed methodology utilizes four different voltages at 0s, 60s, 360s, and 1800s alongside the specific state of charge (SoC) value for a specific constant discharge current value of ~1C until the relaxation stage to train and evaluate three regression-based machine learning models— Support Vector Regression (SVR), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Gaussian Process Regression (GPR)—for estimating the ECM parameters of the selected model. Bayesian optimization is employed for hyperparameter tuning to achieve optimal performance for all the regressor models, among which, the GPR provided the best performance with the root-mean-squared error (RMSE) of less than 4x10-4 on average for the resistive components and less than 0.27 for capacitive components with excellent R2 scores. The simplicity of the approach enables it to eliminate the need for sophisticated measuring equipment and computation power.

Sagar, Md. Samiul [The University of Alabama (UA)]↗

Consistent Evaluation of the Prompt-fission Neutron Spectrum and Multiplicity for n+ 235,238 U and n+ 239 Pu

This report was written to satisfy a FY20 NCSP milestone on 235,238 U and 239 Pu. The milestone requires to “finalize a report assessing our methodology to evaluate prompt-fission neutron spectrum (PFNS) and multiplicity consistently”. More specifically, we study whether the code CGMF can reproduce ENDF/B-VIII.0 evaluated PFNS and average prompt-fission neutron multiplicities, $\bar{v}$, for 235,238 U and 239 Pu using one joint parameter set per isotope. If CGMF is shown to be able to reasonably reproduce ENDF/B-VIII.0 within its model-parameter space, this code could be used for future consistent evaluations of PFNS and $\bar{v}$. To answer this question, we explore here the parameter space of CGMF and its impact on calculated values and whether they are close to evaluated and experimental data. We also list experimental data that would enter a future evaluation and statistics method that could be used to obtain evaluated data and covariances. We conclude that values of $\bar{v}$ calculated by CGMF are reasonably close to ENDF/B-VIII.0 data, while more work on modeling the PFNS is needed (parameter optimization and model improvements) to reliably use it for evaluations.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

NUMERICAL MODELING OF A SOLID OXIDE FUEL CELL FOR USE IN REAL-TIME SIMULATION AND CYBER-PHYSICAL SYSTEMS

Cyber-physical systems provide a mechanism with which to investigate the physical phenomena and behavior of traditionally cost-prohibitive or otherwise fragile equipment. For the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL), this approach resulted in the Hybrid Performance (Hyper) facility which features a gas turbine-SOFC hybrid cycle utilizing real turbomachinery and a simulated SOFC stack. This allows for the investigation of combined cycle performance and control strategies, in an exhaustive manner, both without fear of destroying delicate state-of-the-art fuel cells, and with the full accuracy of real-world turbomachinery. Issues arose between the transient response of the SOFC model being limited to a sample time of 80 milliseconds, due to the calculation time of the SOFC model taking on average 40 milliseconds to calculate for a given timestep with spikes in calculation time reaching the 80 millisecond threshold. In order to be able to match the speed of transients from the turbomachinery and likewise better discern transient behavior, it was determined that the SOFC model must be optimized to operate at a sample time of 5 milliseconds. Therefore, it is necessary to optimize the SOFC model in order to decrease the calculation time from around 40 milliseconds, down to at the most 5 milliseconds. To do this, both the electrochemical algorithm and the thermal algorithm used to simulate the physical behavior of the SOFC are investigated to determine where improvements can be made. To this end the rootfinding numerical recipes of the electrochemical algorithm are investigated as the complex electrochemistry requires a highly iterative nested dual convergence loop to resolve the voltage-current relationship, and likewise the temporal discretization of the thermal algorithm is modified for the sake of higher accuracy and stability. Ultimately the new electrochemical algorithm featuring higher order rootfinding schemes proves to be efficient enough to reach the sub 5 millisecond target, signifying an order of magnitude reduction in calculation time, and when coupled with the new temporal discretization similar calculation time characteristics show that a fully implicit, higher order temporal discretization can also successfully be used if desired. Ultimately this result means that the cyber-physical simulation system can operate at higher sample rates, and resolve transient events at significantly higher resolution and fidelity.

Arias, Jesus↗

Introduction to and comparison of deep learning and optimization approaches to analytical wake modeling of a tilted wind turbine

This paper introduces innovative optimization and deep learning techniques to enhance the prediction of complex wake dynamics in the downstream wind velocity of tilted wind turbines. Traditional methods for calibrating the Bastankhah wake model often lead to increased errors in wind velocity distribution due to overfitting of the local wake characteristics. To address this issue, we propose an additional global optimization step to reduce errors in wind velocity predictions with respect to various wake parameters. Despite this improvement, the Bastankhah model's axisymmetric Gaussian wake shape limits its accuracy for complex wake structures. Therefore, we also propose a deep learning approach, which demonstrates promising results by accurately modeling complex wake shapes across a broader range of tilt angles with minimal computational cost. The deep learning approach achieves near-identical predictions to high-fidelity large-eddy simulations, representing a promising advancement in wake modeling.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

TEAMER: Crossflow Turbine Fairing Geometry Optimization - Report and CFD Modeling Files

The dataset includes computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models and simulation files for crossflow turbines as well as a detailed project report. The report documents the project undertaken by the Ocean Renewable Power Company (ORPC) to design and optimize a modular fairing for the Modular RivGen Marine Hydrokinetic (MHK) turbine, which enhances the efficient deployment and operation of turbine arrays. The project focused on optimizing the hydrodynamic performance of the fairing using CFD, with an emphasis on two key geometric parameters: the fairing's cross-sectional shape and the spacing between the rotor and the fairing. The analysis aimed to maximize net power output while also assessing discretized loading to evaluate ultimate and fatigue loads on the turbine components. The numerical modeling was conducted using both the commercial CFD software Star-CCM+ and the open-source code openFOAM, with the latter utilizing the actuator line library, turbinesFOAM. This dual-code approach was intended to increase confidence in the results and demonstrate the viability of using open-source tools for high-fidelity marine energy modeling. This dataset includes all necessary files for actuator line simulations in openFOAM, as well as 2D blade-resolved CFD results, along with Python and Java scripts for setting up and post-processing simulations.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

HydraGNN_OPF_GFM_2026 - Ensemble of predictive graph foundation models for power grid applications

This dataset supports research on graph foundation models for optimal power flow (OPF) on electric grids using HydraGNN. It contains heterogeneous graph representations of PGLib-OPF cases spanning systems from 14 to 13,659 buses, together with packed HDF5 datasets for pretraining, feasibility classification, and N-1 contingency analysis. The release includes OPF solution data, downstream fine-tuning datasets, pretrained HeteroSAGE and HeteroHEAT model checkpoints, hyperparameter-optimization summaries across multiple heterogeneous GNN architectures, and aggregated fine-tuning results for sample-efficiency studies. The dataset is designed to enable scalable training, evaluation, and transfer-learning studies for OPF surrogate modeling, including node-level AC-OPF solution prediction, graph-level prediction, feasibility classification, operating-condition generalization, and contingency-response tasks.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A Julia Framework for Graph-Structured Nonlinear Optimization

Graph theory provides a convenient framework for modeling and solving structured optimization problems. Under this framework, the modeler can arrange/assemble the components of an optimization model (variables, constraints, objective functions, and data) within nodes and edges of a graph, and this representation can be used to visualize, manipulate, and solve the problem. In this work, we present a Julia framework for modeling and solving graph-structured nonlinear optimization problems. Our framework integrates the modeling package Plasmo.jl (which facilitates the construction and manipulation of graph models) and the nonlinear optimization solver MadNLP.jl (which provides capabilities for exploiting graph structures to accelerate solution). We illustrate with a simple example how model construction and manipulation can be performed in an intuitive manner using Plasmo.jl and how the model structure can be exploited by MadNLP.jl. We also demonstrate the scalability of the framework by targeting a large-scale, stochastic gas network problem that contains over 1.7 million variables.

Cole, David↗

Heat and mass transfer in hygroscopic hydrogels

Sorption and desorption with hygroscopic hydrogels hold significant promise for thermal management, passive cooling, thermal energy storage, and atmospheric water harvesting. However, a comprehensive understanding of the energy and mass transport mechanisms in hygroscopic hydrogels remains missing, impeding accurate modeling and optimization. In this paper, we develop a model for the simultaneous vapor, water, and heat transfer in hygroscopic hydrogels during sorption and desorption processes. We show that by considering vapor diffusion in the hydrogel micropores, water diffusion in the polymer mesh, and heat transfer in the porous hydrogel, we can accurately capture experimentally observed thermally-driven desorption rates in these hydrogels. Furthermore, we consider three typical operating configurations of hydrogels and elucidate the differences in the transport mechanisms depending on the configuration. Finally, for each of these configurations, we identify key design parameters, including hydrogel thickness, hydrogel shear modulus, heat transfer coefficient, and thermal conductivity, and we parametrically show that by varying these parameters, a hygroscopic hydrogel can desorb up to 128.5%, 14.9%, 69.7%, and 9.6% more water, respectively, relative to the initial water content. This work provides a generic framework to model sorption and desorption processes in hygroscopic hydrogels which can guide the design and optimization in applications of thermal management, passive cooling, thermal energy storage, and atmospheric water harvesting with hydrogels.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Optimal carbon storage reservoir management through deep reinforcement learning

Model-based optimization plays a central role in energy system design and management. The complexity and high-dimensionality of many process-level models, especially those used for geosystem energy exploration and utilization, often lead to formidable computational costs when the dimension of decision space is also large. This work adopts elements of recently advanced deep learning techniques to solve a sequential decision-making problem in applied geosystem management. Specifically, a deep reinforcement learning framework was formed for optimal multiperiod planning, in which a deep Q-learning network (DQN) agent was trained to maximize rewards by learning from high-dimensional inputs and from exploitation of its past experiences. To expedite computation, deep multitask learning was used to approximate high-dimensional, multistate transition functions. Both DQN and deep multitask learning are pattern based. As a demonstration, the framework was applied to optimal carbon sequestration reservoir planning using two different types of management strategies: monitoring only and brine extraction. Both strategies are designed to mitigate potential risks due to pressure buildup. Results show that the DQN agent can identify the optimal policies to maximize the reward for given risk and cost constraints. Finally, experiments also show that knowledge the agent gained from interacting with one environment is largely preserved when deploying the same agent in other similar environments.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

H2Integrate [SWR-23-31]

H2Integrate(H2I) is an open-source Python package for hybrid systems engineering design and technoeconomic analysis. It models and optimizes hybrid energy plants that produce electricity, hydrogen, ammonia, steel, and other products. H2Integrate is designed to be flexible and extensible, allowing users to create their own components and models for various energy systems. The tool currently includes distributed energy generation (wind, solar, wave, tidal), battery storage, hydrogen, ammonia, methanol, and steel technologies. Other elements such as desalination systems, pipelines, compressors, and storage systems can also be included as developed by users. Some modeling capabilities in H2Integrate are provided by integrating existing tools, such as HOPP, PySAM, ORBIT, and ProFAST. The H2Integrate tool is built on top of NASA's OpenMDAO framework, which provides a powerful and flexible environment for modeling and optimization.

King, Jennifer [National Renewable Energy Laborato↗

Accurate Prediction of Algal Biomass Lipid, Protein, and Carbohydrate Composition with Machine Learning Regression Modelling of Near-IR Spectra

During large scale algal biomass cultivation, it is difficult to reliably control relative composition to target levels. Rapid determination of chemical composition is feasible by using near infrared (NIR) spectral data. We sought to build and improve on reliable high-throughput screening prediction method based on partial least squares regression (PLSR) by the application of artificial neural networks (ANN) and associated optimization strategies. The algal biomass sample set was designed and created in an iterative process of culturing in physiologically diverse conditions at the GAI field site, followed by compositional analyses at NREL. The workflow allowed us to identify gaps in compositional space for informing the subsequent cultivation and sampling efforts and generated a high quality set of 210 unique samples with chemical analysis results, spectral scanning data, and cultivation metadata. We observed a significant improvement in the performance of carbohydrate content predictions using an optimized ANN model compared to PLSR, with > 16% reduction in mean absolute percent error (MAPE) when tested on the same set of reserved data. The optimized ANN models for FAME and protein prediction performed exceptionally well with 5.99% and 5.09% MAPE, respectively. Application of these methods to detection and quantification of minor biomass constituents that are relevant to certain product streams has shown positive preliminary results, opening the possibility for extensions to the outputs of this powerful data type. All models are accompanied by prediction uncertainties and unsupervised spectral outlier detection to alert an operator to unreliable spectral data. These tools can be deployed for rapid determination of algal culture status, and cultivation and biomass quality improvement.

algal biofuels↗

Near-Optimal Performance of Stochastic Model Predictive Control

Here, this article presents a regret analysis for stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) in linear systems with quadratic performance index and additive and multiplicative uncertainties. Under a finite support assumption, the problem can be cast as a finite-dimensional quadratic program, but the problem becomes quickly intractable as the problem size grows exponentially in the horizon length. SMPC aims to compute approximate solutions by solving a sequence of problems with truncated prediction horizons and committing the solution in a receding-horizon fashion. Although this approach is widely used in practice, its performance relative to the optimal solution is not well understood. This article reports for the first time a rigorous near-optimal performance guarantee of SMPC: under stabilizability and detectability conditions, the regret of SMPC is exponentially small in the prediction horizon length, allowing SMPC to achieve near-optimal performance at a substantially reduced computational expense.

93E20, 93B45↗

Convex Relaxation of Grid-Connected Energy Storage System Models With Complementarity Constraints in DC OPF

Including complementarity constraints in energy storage system (ESS) models in optimization problems ensure an optimal solution will not produce a physically unrealizable control strategy where there is simultaneous charging and discharging. However, the current approaches to impose complementarity constraints require the use of non-convex optimization methods. Here, we propose a convex relaxation for a common ESS model that has terms for both charging and discharging based on a penalty reformulation for use in a model predictive control (MPC) based optimal power flow (DC OPF) problem. In this approach, the complementarity constraints are omitted and a penalty term is added to the optimization objective function. For the DC OPF problem, we provide analysis for the conditions under which the convex relaxation of the complementarity constraint ensures that a solution with simultaneous ESS charging and discharging operation is suboptimal. Simulation results demonstrating ESS behavior with and without the penalty reformulation are provided for an MPC-based DC OPF problem on multiple IEEE test systems.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Leveraging design of experiments to build chemometric models for the quantification of uranium (VI) and HNO3 by Raman spectroscopy

Partial least squares regression (PLSR) and support vector regression (SVR) models were optimized for the quantification of U(VI) (10–320 g L −1 ) and HNO 3 (0.6–6 M) by Raman spectroscopy with optimized calibration sets chosen by optimal design of experiments. The designed approach effectively minimized the number of samples in the calibration set for PLSR and SVR by selecting sample concentrations with a quadratic process model, despite complex confounding and covarying spectral features in the spectra. The top PLS2 model resulted in percent root mean square errors of prediction for U(VI), HNO 3 , and NO 3 − of 3.7%, 3.6%, and 2.9%, respectively. PLS1 models performed similarly despite modeling an analyte with a majority linear response (i.e., uranyl symmetric stretch) and another with more covarying vibrational modes (i.e., HNO 3 ). Partial least squares (PLS) model loadings and regression coefficients were evaluated to better understand the relationship between weaker Raman bands and covarying spectral features. Support vector machine models outperformed PLS1 models, resulting in percent root mean square error of prediction values for U(VI) and HNO 3 of 1.5% and 3.1%, respectively. The optimal nonlinear SVR model was trained using a similar number of samples (11) compared with the PLSR model, even though PLS is a linear modeling approach. The generic D-optimal design presented in this work provides a robust statistical framework for selecting training set samples in disparate two-factor systems. This approach reinforces Raman spectroscopy for the quantification of species relevant to the nuclear fuel cycle and provides a robust chemometric modeling approach to bolster online monitoring in challenging process environments.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Modeling-Based Design and Optimization of a Gradient Composite Transition Joint

An innovative additively manufactured gradient composite transition joint (AM-GCTJ) has been designed to join dissimilar metals, to address the pressing issue of premature failure observed in conventional dissimilar metal welds (DMWs) when subjected to increased cyclic operating conditions of fossil fuel power plants. The transition design, guided by computational modeling, developed a gradient composite material distribution, facilitating a smooth transition in material volume fraction and physical properties between different alloys. This innovative design seeks to alleviate structural challenges arising from distinct material properties, including high thermal stress and potential cracking issues resulting from the thermal expansion mismatch typically observed in conventional DMWs. In this study, we investigated the creep properties of transition joints comprising Grade 91 steel and 304 stainless steel through a combination of simulations and creep testing experiments. The implementation of a gradient composite design in the plate transition joint resulted in a significant enhancement of creep resistance when compared to the baseline conventional DMW. For instance, the creep rupture life of the transition joint was improved by > 400% in a wide range of temperature and stress testing conditions. Meanwhile, the failure location shifted to the base material of Grade 91 steel. Such enhancement can be primarily attributed to the strong mechanical constraint facilitated by the gradient composite design, which effectively reduced the stresses on the less creep-resistant alloy in the transition zone. Beyond examining plate joints, it is crucial to assess the deformation response of tubular transition joints under pressure loading and transient temperature conditions to substantiate and demonstrate the effectiveness of the design. The simulation results affirm that the tubular transition joint demonstrates superior resistance compared to its counterpart DMW when subjected to multiaxial stresses in tubular structures. In addition, optimization of the transition joint’s geometry dimensions has been conducted to diminish the accumulated deformation and enhance the service life. Lastly, the scalability and potential of the innovative transition joints for large-diameter pipe applications are addressed.

Zhang, Wei↗

Design, Modeling, and Testing of a Novel Inductor for Electric Vehicles: Iron Nitride Soft Magnetic Composites

New technology for electric vehicles (EVs) must meet the requirements of higher energy usage, lower costs, and more sustainable source materials. One promising material for EV power system components is iron nitride (IN) soft magnetic composites (SMCs) because of their competitive magnetic properties and high abundance of the source materials. As part of an ongoing program at Sandia National Laboratories, this project focused on using computer modeling to optimize the prototyping process for an iron nitride SMC toroidal inductor to reach a target inductance of 600 μH. Four inductors with different combinations of wiring (26 AWG and 20 AWG) and vol% loading of iron nitride (65 vol% and 50 vol%) were fabricated at Cal Poly and characterized using an LCR meter. These inductors were also modeled using COMSOL Multiphysics™ with the Magnetic Fields module. The inductance data from the experiment and the model show that the 65 vol% IN prototypes and models agree with about 8% difference, while the 50 vol% IN samples show about a 9% difference between the prototype and the model. These results suggest that the model can predict inductance with both accuracy and precision with low confidence for the given sample size of four. An additional parameter of AC resistance is studied but the AC resistance results from the inductors and from the model generally do not agree closely, suggesting that the current model used in the project does not fully capture the mechanisms behind AC resistance of the inductor. With the focus of the project on inductance, the percent difference results of less than 9% across the four inductors that were tested increases confidence in the model’s predictive capabilities for inductance only. Using the inductance results from both the model and experiment, the final suggested inductor design is a 65 vol% core with 150 windings of 20 AWG wire that is 8 cm across and 1.5 cm tall to reach the inductance goal of 600 μH based on analysis using the optimized COMSOLTM model.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗