SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Cost estimation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

SourceResearch connectionFrom yearThrough year

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 595 records · Page 33

All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

DOE OSTI2025

Enhancing the accuracy of XPS calculations: Exploring hybrid basis set schemes for CVS-EOMIP-CCSD calculations

Reliable computational methodologies and basis sets for modeling x-ray spectra are essential for extracting and interpreting electronic and structural information from experimental x-ray spectra. In particular, the trade-off between numerical accuracy and computational cost due to the size of the basis set is a major challenge, since molecular orbitals undergo extreme relaxation in the core-hole state. To gain clarity on the changes in electronic structure induced by the formation of a core-hole, the use of sufficiently flexible basis for expanding the orbitals, particularly for the core region, has been shown to be essential. This work focuses on the refinement of core-hole ionized state calculations using the equation-of-motion coupled cluster family of methods through an extensive analysis on the effectiveness of “hybrid” and mixed basis sets. In this investigation, we utilize the CVS-EOMIP-CCSD method in combination and construct hybrid basis sets piecewise from readily available Dunning’s correlation consistent basis sets in order to calculate x-ray ionization energies (IEs) for a set of small gas phase molecules. Our results provide insights into the impact of basis sets on the CVS-EOMIP-CCSD calculations of K-edge IEs of first-row p-block elements. Furthermore, these insights enable us to understand more about the basis set dependence of the core IEs computed and allow us to establish a protocol for deriving reliable and cost-effective theoretical estimates for computing IEs of small molecules containing such elements.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

Time-resolved CO 2 , CO, and N 2 vibrational population measurements in Ns pulse discharge plasmas

Abstract Time-resolved CO 2 and N 2 vibrational populations and translational-rotational temperature are measured in a CO 2 –N 2 plasma sustained by a ns pulse discharge burst in plane-to-plane geometry. Time-resolved, absolute number density of CO generated in the plasma is also inferred from the experimental data. CO 2 and CO vibrational populations are measured by mid-IR, tunable quantum cascade laser absorption spectroscopy, and N 2 vibrational populations are measured by the ns broadband vibrational CARS. Transient excitation of N 2 and CO 2 asymmetric stretch vibrational energy modes is detected during the discharge burst. The time-resolved rate of CO generation does not correlate with N 2 or CO 2 ( ν 3 ) vibrational temperatures, indicating that CO 2 dissociation via the vibrational excitation is insignificant at the present conditions. The rate of CO generation decreases gradually during the discharge burst. The estimated specific energy cost of the CO product is close to that of N atoms in pure nitrogen, measured previously at similar operating conditions. Comparison of the experimental data with the kinetic modeling analysis indicates that CO 2 dissociation in collisions with electronically excited N 2 molecules is the dominant channel of CO generation at the present conditions, although the inferred CO yield in these processes is significantly lower than 1. The effect of vibrational energy transfer between N 2 and CO 2 on the plasma chemical processes is insignificant. The kinetic model underpredicts a rapid reduction of the N 2 and CO 2 ( ν 3 ) vibrational temperatures during the later half of the discharge burst and in the afterglow. V–T relaxation of N 2 by N and O atoms generated in the ns pulse discharge plasma does not affect the vibrational relaxation rate in a significant way. However, rapid V–T relaxation of CO 2 by O atoms has a significant effect on the relaxation rate. The difference between the experimental data and the modeling predictions may be due to the unknown scaling of the CO 2 –O V–T rates with the vibrational quantum number.

Physics↗

DOE OSTI2021

Experimental evidence of runaway electron tail generation via localized helical structure in pellet-triggered tokamak disruptions

A novel detector, using stacked BGO crystals, is developed for runaway electron (REs) studies in the DIII-D tokamak. It is able to resolve fast dynamics of high-energy tail formation of REs with an ultra-high time resolution of ~1 μs. As a cost, the detector estimates the `effective' energy of a given shape of γ-ray spectra and sacrifices the energy resolution. In aid of the new measurement capability, a rapid, inhomogeneous growth of RE tail is observed in detail during a major disruption triggered by an argon pellet. It is found that both the population and energy of a well-confined RE tail significantly oscillate at the early period of the growth. The oscillation phase is locked to a slow rotating magnetohydrodynamic instability, which is briefly destabilized for only ~1 ms at the early period of the current quench. The oscillation ceases promptly, when the mode disappears. As a result, the data suggests that the high-energy RE tail is well-confined and accelerated via a localized helical structure in the plasma core.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Recovering Rare Earth Elements from Coal Mine Drainage Using Industrial Byproducts: Environmental and Economic Consequences

Coal mine drainage (CMD) impairs tens of thousands of kilometers of U.S. waterways each year, in part with the leaching of low concentrations of rare earth elements (REEs). REEs are essential for modern technologies, yet economically viable natural deposits are geospatially limited, thus engendering geopolitical concerns, and their mining is energy intense and environmentally destructive. This work summarizes laboratory-scale experimentalresults of a trap-extract-precipitate (TEP) process and uses the mass and energy balances to estimate the economic costs and environmental impacts of the TEP. The TEP process uses the alkalinity and filtering capacity of stabilized flue gas desulfurization (sFGD) material or water treatment plant (WTP) sludge to remediate CMD waters and extract REEs. Passive treatment systems that use WTP sludge are cheaper than those that use sFGD material ($\$$89,300/year or $\$$86/gT-REE vs. $\$$89,800/year or $\$$278/gT-REE) and have improved environmental performance across all indicators from two different impact assessment methods. These differences are largely attributable to the larger neutralizing capacity of WTP sludge in the treatment application.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

DOE OSTI2021

Stochastic Techno Economic Model

The Stochastic Techno-Economic Model or STEM is an analytical tool that estimates the logistics cost of different biomass feedstocks by incorporating uncertainty into the modeling framework. The scope of the model covers multiple stages of the biomass life cycle spanning feedstock harvest, collection, transportation and handling, preprocessing, and storage. The model determines the total logistics cost per dry metric ton ($/DM ton) for biomass and breaks down the costs for important cost categories including ownership related costs such as interest and depreciation, insurance, housing, and taxes as well as operating costs like repairs and maintenance, labor costs, and fuel and lube costs.

Burli, PralhadH↗

DOE OSTI2023

pnnl/FermionicSwap

The software allows rapid development of simulations using the fermionic swap method on Microsoft's Quantum Development Kit (QDK) framework. Gate, circuit, etc. costs can be estimated using Microsoft's resource estimator

Hagge, Tobias↗

DOE OSTI2020

Economic Valuation of Coccidioidomycosis (Valley Fever) Projections in the United States in Response to Climate Change

Coccidioidomycosis, or valley fever, is an infectious fungal disease currently endemic to the southwestern United States. Symptoms of valley fever range in severity from flu-like illness to severe morbidity and mortality. Warming temperatures and changes in precipitation patterns may cause the area of endemicity to expand northward throughout the western United States, putting more people at risk for contracting valley fever. This may increase the health and economic burdens from this disease. We developed an approach to describe the relationship between climate conditions and valley fever incidence using historical data and generated projections of future incidence in response to both climate change and population trends using the Climate Change Impacts and Risk Analysis (CIRA) framework developed by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. We also developed a method to estimate economic impacts of valley fever that is based on case counts. For our 2000–15 baseline time period, we estimated annual medical costs, lost income, and economic welfare losses for valley fever in the United States were 400,000 USD per case, and the annual average total cost was 3.9 billion USD per year. For a high greenhouse gas emission scenario and accounting for population growth, we found that total annual costs for valley fever may increase up to 164% by year 2050 and up to 380% by 2090. By the end of the twenty-first century, valley fever may cost 620,000 USD per case and the annual average total cost may reach $18.5 billion per year. This work contributes to the broader effort to monetize climate change–attributable damages in the United States.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Modular RivGen LCOE Content Model

The Modular RivGen LCOE Content Model contains estimates of levelized cost of energy (LCOE) for three array configurations operating in a theoretical river environment. The LCOE is distinguished by the CapEx, OpEx, and annual energy production and capture for each river environment.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

DOE OSTI2020

Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) Model Documentation: Version 2019

The Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) model is a capacity expansion and dispatch model that is primarily used for the contiguous U.S. electric power sector. The model relies on system-wide least cost optimization to estimate the type and location of future generation and transmission capacity. This document describes details of how the model is formulated, how it functions, and many of the key inputs.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2020

Electrochemical conversion of carbon dioxide into chemicals and fuels

CO 2 electrolysis could provide a route to recycle waste CO 2 back to useful carbon-based products that are the basis of today’s economy. Opus 12 worked together with LBNL staff to further develop their CO 2 conversion electrolyzer. Improvements were made to catalyst testing throughput and long-term testing up to 1000h. A basic techno-economic model was constructed to estimate the product cost of CO 2 -derived compounds.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) Model Documentation (Version 2020)

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2021

Wind Plant Performance Prediction Benchmark Phase 1 (Technical Report)

Financial risk resulting from the uncertainty associated with developing, owning, and operating wind power plants remains a barrier to reducing the levelized cost of energy (LCOE). On average, modern wind power plants in the U.S. underperform their expected annual energy output by 3.5-4.5% , with many underperforming by over 10%. To compensate for this uncertainty, investors require a larger return on investment (ROI) and apply "knock-down" factors that mask much of the underlying sources of uncertainty. Wind energy projects thus have reduced access to low-cost capital. Furthermore, operating wind plants often take a simple approach to estimating operations & maintenance (O&M) costs (e.g. straight-line estimates based on similar plants), which can eat into profits. To overcome these issues, the wind industry must improve the models they use for estimating wind plant performance and operations. An industry consortium (IC) requested that the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) lead a Department of Energy (DOE) working group to benchmark the accuracy of wind power plant energy predictions against real operational data. The IC was also motivated by DOE and NREL's potential to characterize systematic energy underperformance, identify sources of uncertainty, and explore root causes. The Wind Plant Performance Prediction (WP3) project was created out of this request, and this report represents the successful completion of Phase 1 of the WP3 project. During the project, wind plant owners provided both pre-construction and operational data to NREL. The pre-construction data was provided to wind resource assessment (WRA) consultants so they could conduct energy yield assessments (EYA). NREL took all of the completed EYAs, along with the operational data, and conducted an operational assessment to benchmark the EYA results against actual operational data. Given the large amounts of sensitive data required for this effort, as well as historical opposition to sharing data within industry, successful completion of Phase 1 represents an unprecedented milestone for industry data sharing. To improve the accuracy and confidence of pre-construction EYAs, wind plant owners and investors need better, more certain, energy yield predictions. The WP3 Benchmark Project is an industry-driven response to this reality. For the first time, industry has taken the important step of working together at scale, sharing valuable operational data with DOE and NREL in order to investigate the sources of bias and uncertainty in these energy estimates. This IC provides wind plant preconstruction and operational data to NREL in an organized and documented fashion and provides guidance and feedback as needed. The IC also provides introspection of the design of experiment, key metrics of success, data challenges, analysis best practices, and quality of results.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Predictive Battery Lifetime Modeling at NREL [Slides]

Battery lifetime models are used to extrapolate data from accelerated aging tests to simulate degradation in real-world applications such as electric vehicles and battery energy storage systems. Methods developed at NREL utilize both expert domain-knowledge and machine-learning to identify models, using statistical methods such as cross-validation and bootstrap resampling to interrogate model performance and quantify uncertainty. These models can be utilized in systems level simulations to predict battery performance or technoeconomic models to estimate the lifetime cost of battery systems.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Utilization of the LMP Methodology in Support of the VTR Conceptual Safety Design Report

The Versatile Test Reactor (VTR) is a fast spectrum test reactor currently being developed in the United States under the direction of the US Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Nuclear Energy. The VTR is utilizing a risk-informed performance-based (RIPB) approach for design support and authorization by the DOE, derived from recent efforts by the US industry led Licensing Modernization Project (LMP). This document contains an overview of the implementation of the LMP approach in support of the VTR Conceptual Safety Design Report (CSDR). The work reported here is the result of studies supporting a VTR conceptual design, cost, and schedule estimate for DOE-NE to make a decision on procurement. As such, it is preliminary. The VTR RIPB authorization approach utilizes information from the probabilistic risk assessment (PRA), coupled with deterministic analyses, to aid in decision-making regarding the identification and categorization of safety basis events (SBEs), the classification of structures, systems, and components (SSCs), and the evaluation of defense-in-depth (DID) adequacy. As part of initial reactor design efforts, a VTR conceptual design PRA was developed to support the RIPB process, which focused on at-power internal events, with scoping analyses for seismic and sodium fire hazards. In addition to supporting numerous design studies, preliminary results from the RIPB approach and the VTR conceptual design PRA were utilized as the basis of the VTR CSDR. The initial identification and categorization of SBEs, SSC classification, and DID evaluation were contained within the CSDR, which was submitted to DOE in 2019 as part of the CD-1 submittal package. Following review, DOE approved the CSDR in April 2020 and the CD-1 package in late 2020. Valuable experience was gained through the implementation of the RIPB approach for design and authorization during the VTR conceptual design phase, which is summarized in this document. To the extent possible, this experience has been shared with the advanced reactor industry, through publications and participation in licensing tabletops, in addition to informing DOE:NE advanced reactor regulatory development efforts. Furthermore, the approval of the CSDR by the DOE as part of CD-1 represents a significant milestone in the use of RIPB approaches for advanced reactor licensing.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Feasibility study for the hard x-ray free electron laser based on synergistic use of conventional and plasma accelerator technologies

Hard x-ray free electron lasers (XFELs) are great diagnostic tools in modern science. A number of XFELs have been constructed worldwide in the past decade. In the past, Los Alamos National Laboratory has expressed interest in hosting a similar facility to support ongoing Programs. The facility has been envisioned based on a conventional radio frequency (RF) accelerator technology. As a result, the estimated size and cost of the anticipated facility turned out to be large, which significantly decreased attractiveness of this project.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2023

Analysis of Carbon Capture Retrofits for Cement Plants

The objective of this study is to provide an estimate of the cost to capture CO 2 in retrofit applications at cement plants. The cement plant configurations considered in this study include natural gas and solid fuel (coal and coke) cases, and both wet- and dry kiln-fed plant designs, however the base cement plants in this study were not evaluated other than characterization of their kiln off-gas stream and high-level quantification of heat integration potential at the existing plant. In each case, the base cement plant produces 1.5 M tonnes per year of finished cement, assuming 91.4 percent clinker content. This analysis includes a 10 percent retrofit cost increase for process integration and low grade heat recovery, when compared to the analogous non-heat integration case. Heat integration is considered as a potential offset to capture system heating demands (i.e., as a percentage reduction). Recovery and reuse of excess heat from the base cement plant can provide economic benefits—primarily by reducing the need to purchase supplemental natural gas for CO 2 solvent regeneration—but any process improvement must be great enough to overcome the cost increases (i.e., capital and O&M) necessary to realize those benefits. With heat integration potential of 10 percent and 30 percent, that benefit wasn’t significant enough to offset the increase in capital and operating costs, and a cost of capture increase was observed based on the assumptions in this report. Benefits of heat integration potential may be realized when natural gas prices are higher, as demonstrated in the sensitivity to natural gas price where crossover points exist between heat integration cases and their respective non-heat integration cases. Four of the base cases were further evaluated to explore the cost implications of deeper levels of gas pre-treatment to remove oxides of nitrogen (NOx) and oxides of sulfur (SOx) from the kiln off-gas stream prior to CO 2 capture, purification, and compression. The results of these additional case analyses showed a 7.4–18.8 percent increase in cost of capture over the respective base case (i.e., analogous cases without SOx/NOx removal).

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2023

WaterTAP Technical Brief: Ion Exchange Model Demonstration and Optimization

Ion exchange is an important water treatment process for removal of targeted contaminants, including those associated with hardness. In this report, we introduce the ion exchange model developed for WaterTAP and present some example analysis of Ca 2+ removal for 0.1 MGD and 10 MGD systems. The model is a single-component, steady-state implementation that enables process optimization based on the influent ion concentration, resin capacity, and resin selectivity. Based on a survey of costing references for ion exchange, the WaterTAP ion exchange model returns reasonable estimates for the levelized cost of water (LCOW) of an ion exchange process, and performs as expected when critical design parameters, such as the resin capacity and selectivity, are varied.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Epithermal and Fast Neutron Radiography Facility HFIR Futures – Enhanced Capabilities Series (Vol. 8)

The Sustaining and Enhancing Nuclear Science Initiative at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) was created to explore potential enhancements to scientific capabilities in the High Flux Isotope Reactor as part of a reactor pressure vessel replacement project. One proposed scientific enhancement included creation of an epithermal and fast neutron radiography station on the HB-3 beam tube with the capability to image highly radioactive specimens such as irradiated nuclear fuel rods, isotope production targets, or spallation neutron target materials. This document summarizes findings and recommendations from a working group of ORNL staff tasked with conceptualizing such a facility and includes a background of similar instruments at other research facilities, technical specifications, and an estimate of procurement cost and schedule.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗