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DOE OSTI2025

Modular Integrated System for Carbon-Neutral Methanol Synthesis Using Direct Air Capture and Carbon-Free Hydrogen Production

This study investigates the development and economic analysis of a modular integrated system for carbon-neutral methanol synthesis, leveraging direct air capture (DAC) and solid oxide electrolysis cells (SOEC) for carbon dioxide and hydrogen production, respectively. The proposed system integrates a novel building-based DAC process, functionalized solid sorbents, and low-energy SOEC technology, aiming to minimize operational and capital costs. A comparison between the base case system (1,000 t methanol/year) and a scaled-up model (14,758 t methanol/year) reveals significant improvements in efficiency and economic feasibility. The scaled-up system achieves a levelized cost of methanol (LCOM) of $740/t, a 7.5% reduction compared to that of conventional DAC-based systems, while utilizing existing building HVAC infrastructure for air handling. Detailed sensitivity analyses were conducted, evaluating the effects of plant capacity and air flow rate on the LCOM, demonstrating the scalability of the building-based DAC system. The cradle-to-gate life cycle analysis shows that the proposed process using renewable-sourced electricity achieves a 38% reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emission compared to reported values of green methanol production technologies that use a conventional DAC and a conventional methanol synthesis catalyst. When fossil-sourced electricity is used in the proposed process, it leads to about a 37.5% reduction in GHG emission in comparison to reported values for conventional methanol production technologies using steam methane reforming technology and fossil-sourced electricity.

alcohols↗

DOE OSTI2021

An economic assessment of behind-the-meter photovoltaics paired with batteries on the Hawaiian Islands.

Due to natural variability and uncertainty, the ever-increasing penetration of solar generation in Hawaii presents challenges to power grid operators to maintain reliable system operation. Demand response (DR) has the potential to be a cost-effective tool for Hawaii to reach its aggressive renewable energy goals while maintaining the reliability of power grids. The Hawaii Public Utilities Commission has approved the Hawaiian Electric Company's revised portfolio of DR programs. The companies have released a grid services purchase agreement and subscribed an initial tranche of load into their DR programs. This paper presents innovative analytical methods and comprehensive economic assessment for distributed photovoltaics (PV) paired with battery energy storage systems (BESSs) for two new DR programs, including fast frequency response and capacity grid service. Optimal dispatch and sizing methods are proposed for the paired system considering different tariff schedules and PV compensation programs across five islands. It was found that while the best resource configuration and potential economic benefits vary with tariff structure, a BESS paired with PV can be optimally dispatched to generate multiple value streams simultaneously. Compensation from DR programs is an important value stream to help increase the cost-effectiveness of the integrated system.

Battery energy storage system↗

DOE OSTI2025

Revealing the potential of nickel zinc ferrite: Facile synthesis and cost-effective anode for lithium-ion batteries

The increasing demand for lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) underscores the need for cost-effective alternative anode materials to ensure efficient Li-ion storage, given their pivotal role in various industries. This research focuses on the facile synthesis of nickel zinc ferrite (NZFO: Ni 0.65 Zn 0.35 Fe 2 O 4 ) and conducts comprehensive electrochemical analyses to evaluate its potential as a high-capacity alternative anode material for LIBs. The NZFO-CMR [sodium carboxymethyl cellulose (2%) and styrene-butadiene rubber (1%)] exhibited an initial delithiated capacity of ∼1232 mA h g −1 and maintained a stable capacity of around 358 mA h g −1 , along with an average Coulombic efficiency of 99.6% over 200 cycles. Cyclic voltammetry analysis revealed that Li-ion insertion was predominantly governed by ion diffusion, and the consistent correlation observed in electrochemical impedance spectroscopy spectra indicated stable electrochemical behavior throughout cycling. The facile synthesis approach and reasonable electrochemical performance of NZFO suggest its potential as an alternative anode material for advancing LIB's technology.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Thermomechanical Properties of Hafnium Hydride for Radiation Shielding in Tokamak Devices

The development of effective neutron shielding materials is of paramount importance for the progression of fusion technologies with the aim of producing clean and sustainable energy for future generations. This study demonstrates the successful fabrication of a promising candidate material for shielding applications, hafnium hydride, through the powder metallurgy process. Powder metallurgy fabrication resulted in the production of 91% dense, crack-free, ε-phase HfH 2 pellets with a hydrogen-to-metal ratio of 1.89 to 2.00. Resonant ultrasound spectroscopy (RUS) was used to measure a Young’s modulus of 34.52 ± 2.70 GPa and a shear modulus of 12.25 ± 0.18 GPa. Nanoindentation techniques have been used to establish a hardness value of 4.45 ± 1.63 GPa, and a Young’s modulus of 47.8 ± 6.4 GPa was determined using Poison’s ratio from RUS. Hydrogen release was measured using thermogravimetric analysis and appeared to occur in three different regimes as the sample transitioned through the ε- and δ-phases. Heat capacity matched literature data up to 600 K, after which a rapid increase was observed due to phase transformations occurring with hydrogen loss.

Hafnium hydride↗

DOE OSTI2024

Limits to forests-based mitigation in integrated assessment modelling: global potentials and impacts under constraining factors

Forests-based measures such as afforestation/reforestation (A/R) and reducing deforestation (RDF) are considered promising options to mitigate climate change, yet their mitigation potentials are limited by economic and biophysical factors that are largely uncertain. The range of mitigation potential estimates from integrated assessment models raises concerns about the capacity of land systems to provide realistic, cost-effective and permanent land-based mitigation. We use the Global Change Analysis Model to quantify the economic mitigation potential of forests-based measures by simulating a climate policy including a tax on greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture, forestry, and other land uses. In addition, we assess how constraining unused arable land (UAL) availability, forestland expansion rates, and global bioenergy demand may influence the forests-based mitigation potential by simulating scenarios with alternative combinations of constraints. Results show that the average forests-based mitigation potential in 2020–2050 increases from 738 MtCO 2 .yr -1 through a forestland increase of 86 Mha in the fully constrained scenario to 1394 MtCO 2 .yr -1 through a forestland increase of 146 Mha when all constraints are relaxed. Regional potentials in terms of A/R and RDF differ strongly between scenarios: unconstrained forest expansion rates mostly increase A/R potentials in northern regions (e.g., +120 MtCO 2 .yr -1 in North America); while unconstrained UAL conversion and low bioenergy demand mostly increase RDF potentials in tropical regions (e.g., +76 and +68 MtCO 2 .yr -1 in Southeast Asia, respectively). This study shows that forests-based mitigation is limited by many factors that constrain the rates of land use change across regions. These factors, often overlooked in modelling exercises, should be carefully addressed for understanding the role of forests in global climate mitigation and defining pledges towards the Paris Agreement.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Study of eVTOL Charging Impact on Airport Electrical Grids

Growth in commercial air traffic has increased the aviation industry's contribution to global emissions. Aircraft electrification can reduce greenhouse gas emissions along with being efficient and reliable. Advanced air mobility introduces the idea of an advanced and more efficient air transportation system. Electric and hybrid aircraft designs, such as electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL), are being considered for a number of applications, such as urban air mobility, cargo delivery, and medical emergencies. Although the electrification of aircraft provides environmental benefits, their charging needs will place significant demand on the electrical grid. This work presents a grid impact study and infrastructure upgrade requirements analysis of eVTOL charging on a realistic distribution grid through power flow simulation analysis. The case study results show that the eVTOL charging can lead to power quality issues, such as undervoltage and equipment capacity overloading. Grid infrastructure, such as lines and transformers, would need to be upgraded, and voltage management strategies would need to be deployed to accommodate eVTOL charging at an existing airport.

advanced air mobility (AAM)↗

DOE OSTI2026

Binder-Stabilized Carbon Fiber Hosts for High-Utilization Sodium–Polysulfide Flow Catholytes

Sodium-sulfur (Na-S) batteries hold promise as high-energy-density batteries for long-duration energy storage due to their high open circuit voltage and Earth-abundant active materials. However, low utilization of the sulfur active material limits the achievable specific capacity, especially when a liquid polysulfide catholyte is utilized. High-surface-area carbon materials demonstrate promise to increase sulfur utilization in a Na-S battery. To make the carbon host material applicable for a flow battery application, a binder is required to bind the carbon materials together and to a porous substrate. Here, we utilize a composite carbon paper electrode coated by polymer,carbon nanofibers (CNFs) and carbon black (CB). By varying the mass ratios of CNF to CB, we found that a 70/20/10 mass ratio of CNF/CB/binder provided the highest capacity (260 mAh g −1 compared to the baseline of 156 mAh g −1 ) and stable battery performance over 100 cycles. Analysis of the composite electrode and full cells reveals that the amount of CB in the composite electrode influences binder distribution, cell resistance, and full cell performance.

Lehmann, Michelle L. [Oak Ridge National Laborator↗

DOE OSTI2020

The Cost of Floating Offshore Wind Energy in California Between 2019 and 2032

California’s energy planning is centered around meeting the emissions reduction and renewable energy requirements of Senate Bill 350 by 2030. However, state power system planning is expected to eventually address California’s requirement to achieve 100% of total retail electricity sales from renewable energy and zero-carbon resources by 2045, as mandated by Senate Bill 100. To comply with these directives, California needs to investigate the further development of energy efficiency, storage, and a diverse range of renewable energy, zero-carbon emission, and transmission resources, including offshore wind. Wind resources off the coast of California have the potential to generate a significant portion of the state’s electric energy as it moves toward a zero-carbon economy and can help diversify its energy mix. Floating offshore wind technology, which is suitable for the deep waters along the California coast, is currently in a precommercial phase, with approximately 84 megawatts (MW) installed worldwide at the end of 2019. Globally there are over 7,000 MW in planning and permitting phases of development, with the first commercial-scale projects expected to be operational in 2024. This study provides site-specific cost and performance data for floating offshore wind to inform California’s long-term energy planning. The identification of new resources to meet California’s policy goals at least cost is part of the Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) process, which is coordinated by the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC). In 2019–2020 IRP modeling, offshore wind was included for the first time as a candidate resource in some sensitivity cases (CPUC 2019). The data and information presented in this report can be used to update offshore wind inputs in future IRP cycles. The authors conducted a geospatial cost analysis over portions of the offshore wind resource area of California. The analyzed spatial domain includes sites with a mean wind speed of at least 7 meters per second and water depths between 40 meters (m) and 1,300 m. Costs and energy production vary across this analysis domain. We calculated these parameters on a grid layout with over 750 sites, with each site representing a 1,000-MW commercial offshore wind power plant. Levelized cost of energy (LCOE) was calculated at each site over the analysis domain. The resulting variation in LCOE across the analysis domain is illustrated through heat maps in this report. Five study areas were selected within the analysis domain where more detailed cost analysis was conducted and cost parameters, such as annual energy production, capital cost expenditures (CapEx), operational cost expenditures (OpEx), and net capacity factors are reported. These five study areas include Morro Bay, Diablo Canyon, Humboldt, Cape Mendocino and Del Norte.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Integrated Evaluation of Power Sector Decarbonization

MARKAL-PROMOD Integration presentation for USAEE conference on November 4, 2024. The presentation shows the construction of the MAGIIC translation tool to convert MARKAL capacity expansion to PROMOD model data, and PROMOD unit dispatch results to MARKAL technology availability data to allow a more robust analysis leveraging both modeling tools.

Sharma, Smriti↗

DOE OSTI2025

Empirical Indicators of Transmission Value in the Southeast United States

Concurrent differences in energy price between different parts of the electric grid are a key indicator of the value of additional transmission. In areas without a wholesale electricity market, such as the Southeast, an alternative indicator to price is the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission’s (FERC) system lambda data. This economic metric represents the minimized marginal production costs of thermal generators, including fuel and other variable operation and maintenance expenses. Balancing Authorities report a single system lambda for their entire balancing area. Most Southeastern lambdas exhibit sufficient price variation to support a transmission valuation analysis, although incomplete accounting of congestion costs or scarcity rents during peak load hours may underestimate the true value of transmission capacity. With transmission value defined as the annual average hourly absolute price difference between two regions and FERC’s system lambda data used as a price proxy, we find the following results in the Southeast region during 2012-2023 (reported in $\$2024$/MWh): Intra‐regional findings: Annual averages historically span $\$2$–$\$28$/MWh and average $\$12$/MWh in SERTP and span $\$4$–$\$19$/MWh and average $\$9$/MWh in FRCC, disregarding transmission value driven by anomalous data. The ranges of transmission value reported here are large, spanning an order of magnitude in some cases. Much of this variation is driven by year-to-year changes, with 2022 having a particularly high intra-regional transmission value due to elevated natural gas prices. Inter‐regional corridors: Annual average transmission values across three broader regions range from $\$6$ to $\$28$/MWh with a long-term average of $\$11$/MWh. Much of the transmission value is concentrated in a small portion of hours. Across all regions, severe weather—particularly polar vortex events in January 2018, February 2021, and December 2022—drives the largest price spreads. Seasonal patterns also emerge, with summer afternoons and fall mornings contributing consistently to transmission value, as for example between MISO and SOCO in 2023.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2026

EOS at the Fermilab LHC Physics Center(LPC)

The Fermilab CMS LPC center has operated an EOS instance since initial testing began in June 2012, transitioning to production storage in 2013 with an initial capacity of 600\,TB. Today, the system provides approximately 16\,PB of storage to support the 4{,}500-core LPC user analysis cluster, which serves several hundred active CMS users at any given time. In this talk, we will provide an update on our system setup and outline near-term plans for the CMS LPC production EOS system. We will share operational experiences from running our EOS system over the past year. Additionally, we will briefly discuss our recent efforts within the Fermilab Disk Evolution Project to consider the future architecture of HEP data storage at Fermilab for the HL-LHC era.

Wu, Yujun↗

DOE OSTI2026

EOS at the Fermilab LHC Physics Center(LPC)

Wu, Yujun↗

DOE OSTI2023

Super-Resolution for Renewable Energy Resource Data with Climate Change Impacts (Sup3rCC)

The Super-Resolution for Renewable Energy Resource Data with Climate Change Impacts (Sup3rCC) data is a collection of 4km hourly wind, solar, temperature, humidity, and pressure fields for the contiguous United States under various climate change scenarios. Sup3rCC is downscaled Global Climate Model (GCM) data. The downscaling process was performed using a generative machine learning approach called sup3r: Super-Resolution for Renewable Energy Resource Data (linked below as "Sup3r GitHub Repo"). The data includes both historical and future weather years, although the historical years represent the historical climate, not the actual historical weather that we experienced. You cannot use Sup3rCC data to study historical weather events, although other sup3r datasets may be intended for this. The Sup3rCC data is intended to help researchers study the impact of climate change on energy systems with high levels of wind and solar capacity. Please note that all climate change data is only a representation of the possible future climate and contains significant uncertainty. Analysis of multiple climate change scenarios and multiple climate models can help quantify this uncertainty.

Array↗

DOE OSTI2026

Systems Engineering and Analysis in Support of a US Federal Staging Facility for UNF

The US Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy (DOE-NE) Office of Spent Fuel and High-Level Waste Disposition is examining a set of system options and conducting supporting analyses to inform the development of an integrated waste management system, which may include one or more federal staging facilities (FSFs) for used nuclear fuel (UNF ) sited using a collaborative siting process. This paper focuses on the ongoing activities in two systems engineering and analysis work areas: (1) data and tools development, validation, and maintenance and (2) systems engineering execution. Within the first work area, the STANDARDS 5.0 UNF data and analysis tool, formerly known as UNF-ST&DARDS, is being developed as a foundational resource to assist in the management of UNF data. It has the key capability to model UNF throughout the entire back end of the fuel cycle. STANDARDS also includes several compatible analysis tools for the time-dependent characterization of UNF and related systems by interfacing with the SCALE code system for nuclear analysis and COBRA-SFS for thermal analysis. Also, within the data and tools area is the Next Generation System Analysis Model (NGSAM), which is an agent-based simulation software tool expressly designed to be capable of modeling the waste management system, including the transportation of UNF to and from a FSF. NGSAM has been developed to enable informed decision-making by providing the capability to analyze various potential system options for the management of UNF and high-level radioactive waste. Finally, in the systems engineering execution area, the team has begun to apply a disciplined systems engineering approach at the system level along with supporting analysis to guide the development of the FSF project requirements (including associated transportation infrastructure). Systems engineering principles and practices and their adaptation/application to design and development activities will ensure that the waste management system is effectively implemented as work proceeds. Other activities include investigating the implications of changes in various assumptions and parameters related to waste management systems, such as UNF acceptance rates, receipt logic, facility capacities and capabilities, use of standardized canisters, and different assumed facility operation start dates. Keywords: federal staging facility (FSF), used nuclear fuel (UNF), integrated waste management (IWM) system, Next Generation System Analysis Model (NGSAM), STANDARDS, systems engineering

Joseph, Robert↗

DOE OSTI2022

Physical solvents and techno-economic analysis for pre-combustion CO 2 capture: A review

In this manuscript we review the use, development, and economic performance of physical solvents for pre-combustion CO 2 capture from high pressure H 2 rich syngas streams. Commercially available physical solvents are presented, followed by an assessment of the ideal properties that are important for development of novel solvents for CO 2 capture from high-pressure syngas streams. To compare the technical and economic performance of traditional and novel physical solvents, a review of the methods, assumptions and models used in techno-economic analysis (TEA) studies was conducted. It was found that, although some novel solvents show promising technical performance in the laboratory (e.g., high CO 2 absorption capacity and low vapor pressure), other issues (e.g., solvent viscosity and cost) may limit their industrial applications. Process simulations were useful tools for modeling the technical performance of processes using traditional and novel solvents. However, model predictions are most reliable when the methods and correlations used to develop the process simulation are validated with representative experimental data, in particular highly accurate baseline models are required for fair comparison among physical solvents. The key inputs and assumptions in pre-combustion CO 2 capture TEAs have also been summarized. Some studies showed that the promising technical performance of novel physical solvents can be offset by the high and often unknown costs of these solvents. Future development of novel physical solvents for pre-combustion CO 2 capture will benefit from more studies that conduct in-depth techno-economic analysis, specifically with validated process simulations and transparent economic models.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2020

Transporters and ascorbate–glutathione metabolism for differential cadmium accumulation and tolerance in two contrasting willow genotypes

Salix matsudana Koidz is a low cadmium (Cd)-accumulating willow, whereas its cultivated variety, Salix matsudana var. matsudana f. umbraculifera Rehd., is a high Cd-accumulating and tolerant willow (HCW). The physiological and molecular mechanisms underlying differential Cd accumulation and tolerance in the two Salix species are poorly understood. In this study, we confirmed that the differential Cd translocation capacity from roots to the shoots leads to the differential Cd accumulation in their aboveground parts between these two willow genotypes. Cadmium accumulation happens preferentially in the transport pathway, and Cd is mainly located in the vacuolar, cell wall and intercellular space in HCW bark by cadmium location analysis at tissue and subcellular levels. Comparative transcriptome analysis revealed that higher expressions of several metal transporter genes (ATP-binding cassette transporters, K + transporters/channels, yellow stripe-like proteins, zinc-regulated transporter/iron-regulated transporter-like proteins, etc.) are involved in root uptake and translocation capacity in HCW; meanwhile, ascorbate–glutathione metabolic pathways play essential roles in Cd detoxification and higher tolerance of the Cd-accumulator HCW. These results lay the foundation for further understanding the molecular mechanisms of Cd accumulation in woody plants and provide new insights into molecular-assisted-screening woody plant varieties for phytoremediation.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Parametric and Nonparametric Models of U.S. Cost Overruns for Nuclear Power Plants

This study presents new data-driven models to estimate the effect of capacity on the percentage of cost overruns in the United States for nuclear power plant construction projects before and after the Three Mile Island accident. Parametric and nonparametric models have been developed that describe the significant shifts in nuclear energy costs during the dynamic environment. Employing a contemporary descriptive methodology and a quantitative analysis, we furnish a comprehensive overview of the alterations in cost overrun distribution and show the changes observed in other pivotal metrics alongside cost overruns. Our emphasis lies in documenting the fluctuations in cost overruns alongside nuclear reactor capacity levels and the increase of the overnight capital costs to build nuclear reactors. Our results show that increasing the size of nuclear reactors is not a factor statistically significant to decrease the percentage of cost overruns, and the probit model results provide evidence that an increase in size increases the probability of having cost overruns larger than 100% (double the estimated cost). We also compare our findings to two other regions: Asia and Europe.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Improving I/O-aware Workflow Scheduling via Data Flow Characterization and trade-off Analysis

The scientific computing paradigm has transitioned from compute-intensive to I/O-intensive and memory-intensive in the past decade, especially when data-driven science has become common practice. Numerous empirical I/O-aware scheduling optimizations have been developed by incorporating I/O capacity and bandwidth as constraints into scheduling. Unfortunately, there is a lack of data flow (I/O) characterization tool and an understanding of trade-offs between concurrency, locality, and I/O bandwidth. To bridge the gap, this work 1) presents a set of descriptors to characterize, organize, and visualize I/O profiles, including flow size, I/O bandwidth, and operation count, which group data flows by I/O types, tasks, and files; 2) proposes an I/O Roofline model-based trade-off analysis to find the optimal trade-off between flow operational intensity, concurrency, and flow performance. The I/O descriptors generate useful insights into complicated I/O behaviors, suggesting distinct concurrency, storage, and scheduling to be used by types, tasks, and files. The proposed trade-off analysis guides scheduling decisions that generate resource assignment with the best flow parallelism. We evaluate our I/O-aware scheduling methodology on a highly I/O-intensive workflow–1000 Genomes. The experimental results demonstrate speedups of up to 2.4× compared to the state-of-the- art methods.

Guo, Luanzheng [BATTELLE (PACIFIC NW LAB)]↗