Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “sampling statistics”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 577 records · Page 32
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Novel Earned Value Management System Maturity Framework and Its Relation to Project Performance

Earned value management systems (EVMS) are used by industry practitioners to successfully manage projects and programs; however, there has been no past study to characterize and evaluate the impact of EVMS maturity on project performance. This paper introduces a novel framework, developed to measure the EVMS maturity, composed of 56 attributes arrayed across ten subprocesses, which together make up an integrated project/program management system. This paper describes how the framework was conceived and developed, based on literature review and data collected from industry workshops. Then, it examines the relationship between EVMS maturity and ten project performance metrics through statistical analyses. The study analyzed project data from 35 projects and programs worth over $21.8 billion in total cost. For this sample, results showed statistically significant differences between projects with high and low EVMS maturity; on average, projects exhibiting high EVMS maturity have 54% less cost overruns and 19% less change orders versus their performance measurement baseline. Higher maturity projects and programs also achieve better customer satisfaction, meet business objectives more often, and are more often in compliance with EVMS standards and guidelines. This paper contributes to the body of knowledge by providing a practical and novel framework for assessing the maturity of earned value management systems. Practitioners can use the framework to improve their integrated project and program management.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2017

Updated Radiological Inventory of G1 Reactor Thanks to a Strengthened Data Processing - 17271

The radiological inventory of G1 reactor is under refinement and consolidation. This reactor, located at the CEA Marcoule center in France, presents an issue for Chlorine-36 as graphite was used as moderator. The improvement of the 3D physical description and a better understanding of historical events enable the computation of activation levels thanks to a numerical model. These results are compared to old samples and more recent ones to quantify nuclide activity levels as well as their spatial distributions. In particular a spatial and statistical correction of sample bias leads to an update of the radiological inventory with an expected reduction of average activity levels. Another part of the work consists in identifying missing pieces of information and still uncertain parts of the reactor (sample analysis of activated concrete for instance) to reinforce the radiological inventory of G1 reactor. This will be the basis of future investigation works. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
NASA NTRS1989

A complete sample of double-lobed radio quasars for VLBI tests of source models - Definition and statistics

A complete, flux-density-limited sample of double-lobed radio quasars is defined, with nuclei bright enough to be mapped with the Mark III VLBI system. It is shown that the statistics of linear size, nuclear strength, and curvature are consistent with the assumption of random source orientations and simple relativistic beaming in the nuclei. However, these statistics are also consistent with the effects of interaction between the beams and the surrounding medium. The distribution of jet velocities in the nuclei, as measured with VLBI, will provide a powerful test of physical theories of extragalactic radio sources.

Hough, D. H.↗
DOE OSTI2022

Effect of void positioning on the detonation sensitivity of a heterogeneous energetic material

We show although it is well-established that voids profoundly influence the initiation and reaction behaviors of heterogeneous energetic materials such as polymer-bonded explosives (PBX) and propellants, there has been little study of how void location in different constituents in the microstructures of such materials affect the macroscale behavior. Here, we use three-dimensional (3D) mesoscale simulations to study how void placement within the reactive grains versus the polymer binder influences the shock-to-detonation transition (SDT) in a polymer-bonded explosive. The material studied here has a microstructure comprised of 75% PETN (pentaerythritol tetranitrate) grains and 25% HTPB (hydroxyl-terminated polybutadiene) polymer binder by volume. Porosities up to 10% in the form of spherical voids distributed in both the grains and polymer are considered. An Arrhenius reactive burn relation is used to model the chemical kinetics of the PETN grains under shock loading, thereby resolving the heterogeneous detonation behavior of the PBX. The influence of void location on the shock initiation sensitivity of the material is quantitatively ranked by comparing the predicted run distance to detonation (RDD) for each sample. The analysis includes inherent quantification of uncertainties arising from the stochastic variations in the microstructure morphologies and void distributions by using statistically equivalent microstructure sample sets (SEMSS), leading to probabilistic formulations for the RDD as a function of shock pressure. The calculations reveal that the location of voids in the composite microstructure significantly affects the RDD. Specifically, voids exclusively within the grains cause the PBX to be more sensitive (having shorter RDD) than voids in the polymer binder. Unique probabilistic relationships are derived to map the probability of observing RDD for each void location material case, allowing for prediction of initiation behavior anywhere in the shock pressure – RDD space. These findings agree with trends reported in the literature.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
NASA NTRS2010

Satellite Sampling and Retrieval Errors in Regional Monthly Rain Estimates from TMI AMSR-E, SSM/I, AMSU-B and the TRMM PR

Passive and active microwave rain sensors onboard earth-orbiting satellites estimate monthly rainfall from the instantaneous rain statistics collected during satellite overpasses. It is well known that climate-scale rain estimates from meteorological satellites incur sampling errors resulting from the process of discrete temporal sampling and statistical averaging. Sampling and retrieval errors ultimately become entangled in the estimation of the mean monthly rain rate. The sampling component of the error budget effectively introduces statistical noise into climate-scale rain estimates that obscure the error component associated with the instantaneous rain retrieval. Estimating the accuracy of the retrievals on monthly scales therefore necessitates a decomposition of the total error budget into sampling and retrieval error quantities. This paper presents results from a statistical evaluation of the sampling and retrieval errors for five different space-borne rain sensors on board nine orbiting satellites. Using an error decomposition methodology developed by one of the authors, sampling and retrieval errors were estimated at 0.25 resolution within 150 km of ground-based weather radars located at Kwajalein, Marshall Islands and Melbourne, Florida. Error and bias statistics were calculated according to the land, ocean and coast classifications of the surface terrain mask developed for the Goddard Profiling (GPROF) rain algorithm. Variations in the comparative error statistics are attributed to various factors related to differences in the swath geometry of each rain sensor, the orbital and instrument characteristics of the satellite and the regional climatology. The most significant result from this study found that each of the satellites incurred negative longterm oceanic retrieval biases of 10 to 30%.

Fisher, Brad↗
DOE OSTI2022

Bridging the length scales on mechanical property evaluation (Final Report)

The development of small-scale mechanical testing in combination with microstructural investigation is of great interest to the nuclear materials community for both materials development and monitoring applications. Dramatically reducing the sample sizes to reduce radioactivity and obtaining mechanical properties of irradiated samples is truly intriguing. Moreover, such studies promise a range of benefits including cost reduction, fundamental insight in structure-property relationships, increased statistics on less sample material, and reinvestigation of prior irradiated and tested reactor samples while simultaneously enabling the generation of mechanical test data on ion beam irradiated materials with limited penetration depths. Small scale materials testing on sub-sized samples has been studied for several decades, though it has only been after the development of micro-testing based on Focused Ion Beam (FIB) sample manufacturing in that orders of magnitude smaller samples could really be investigated in a quantitative manner. In recent years, small scale mechanical testing techniques at a number of length scales has been developed for both unirradiated and irradiated (ion and neutron) materials. Technological advances made in this field have enabled ex-situ and in-situ transmission electron microscopy (TEM) and scanning electron microscopy (SEM) examination, thus leading to more accurate measurements as well as additional mechanistic information. A recent review of the benefits of these techniques show that these techniques are at a stage to tackle multi-scale ranges of materials investigations and can be utilized to obtain fundamental science-based understanding of nuclear materials. Considering the tremendous advances made, one can see how small-scale mechanical testing techniques combined with modeling can enable true small scale to bulk scale mechanical property correlations. However, for the engineering community to adapt this approach fully, one needs to demonstrate that a) that these techniques can produce results with high fidelity and reproducibility, b) generate engineering stress-strain data that one can utilize to understand bulk behavior, and c) generate new insight into relevant phenomena fostering the true understanding of radiation damage and microstructure in materials for nuclear applications. It is the objective of this proposal to bridge the length scale between macro- and micro- scale mechanical testing of unirradiated and irradiated materials. This involves the development and demonstration of procedures for multi-scale mechanical testing that enable high fidelity reproducibility of data and the generation bulk property data from small-scale mechanical tests. Through this, the proposal aims to enhance the confidence in the obtained data at the smaller length scales and enhance the insight provided from these techniques for bulk scale applications on both unirradiated and irradiated materials.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
NASA NTRS1999

Statistical Perspectives on Stratospheric Transport

Long-lived tropospheric source gases, such as nitrous oxide, enter the stratosphere through the tropical tropopause, are transported throughout the stratosphere by the Brewer-Dobson circulation, and are photochemically destroyed in the upper stratosphere. These chemical constituents, or "tracers" can be used to track mixing and transport by the stratospheric winds. Much of our understanding about the stratospheric circulation is based on large scale gradients and other spatial features in tracer fields constructed from satellite measurements. The point of view presented in this paper is different, but complementary, in that transport is described in terms of tracer probability distribution functions (PDFs). The PDF is computed from the measurements, and is proportional to the area occupied by tracer values in a given range. The flavor of this paper is tutorial, and the ideas are illustrated with several examples of transport-related phenomena, annotated with remarks that summarize the main point or suggest new directions. One example shows how the multimodal shape of the PDF gives information about the different branches of the circulation. Another example shows how the statistics of fluctuations from the most probable tracer value give insight into mixing between different regions of the atmosphere. Also included is an analysis of the time-dependence of the PDF during the onset and decline of the winter circulation, and a study of how "bursts" in the circulation are reflected in transient periods of rapid evolution of the PDF. The dependence of the statistics on location and time are also shown to be important for practical problems related to statistical robustness and satellite sampling. The examples illustrate how physically-based statistical analysis can shed some light on aspects of stratospheric transport that may not be obvious or quantifiable with other types of analyses. An important motivation for the work presented here is the need for synthesis of the large and growing database of observations of the atmosphere and the vast quantities of output generated by atmospheric models.

Sparling, L. C.↗
DOE OSTI2017

Using Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves to Optimize Discovery-Based Software with Comprehensive Two-Dimensional Gas Chromatography with Time-of-Flight Mass Spectrometry

We report a quantitative approach to optimize implementation of discovery-based software for comprehensive two-dimensional gas chromatography coupled with time-of-flight mass spectrometry (GC × GC – TOFMS). The software performs a tile-based Fisher ratio (F-ratio) analysis, and facilitates a supervised non-targeted analysis based upon the experimental design to aid in the discovery of analytes whose variances are statistically different between sample classes. The quantitative approach for software optimization uses receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The area under the curve (AUC) of each ROC curve serves as a quantitative metric to optimize two key algorithm parameters: the signal-to-noise ratio (S/N) threshold of the baseline corrected and normalized data prior to calculating F-ratios at each m/z mass channel, and the number of these F-ratios per m/z to include in the calculation of the average F-ratio of a tile. A total of 25 combinations of S/N threshold by number of m/z were studied. Fifty analytes were spiked into a diesel fuel at two concentration spike levels to produce two sample classes that should in principle produce 50 positive instances in the ROC curves (30 native/20 non-native compounds, at spike levels of 200/20 and100/10 ppm native/non-native, respectively). The “sweet spot” for F-ratio analysis was determined to be a S/N threshold of 10 coupled with a maximum of the 10 most chemically selective m/z (requiring a minimum of 3 m/z), corresponding to a ~ 21% improvement in the discovery rate of true positives relative to prior studies. Furthermore, it was observed that optimization of these software parameters did not depend upon a priori determination of the statistically correct number of positive instances in the sample classes. The AUC metric appears to be suitable for the evaluation of all data analysis methods that utilize the proper experimental design.

3D-GS/TOFMS, Data discovery, ROC curves, Fisher ra↗
DOE OSTI2011

Comparative study of the dust particle population sampled during four consecutive campaigns in full-tungsten ASDEX Upgrade

Scanning electron microscopy images and energy-dispersive x-ray spectra were recorded for a total of about 4 x 10{sup 4} dust particles collected on the same position within the vacuum vessel via silicon wafers during four consecutive full-tungsten first wall campaigns of ASDEX Upgrade between 2007 and 2009. By careful analysis of the elemental composition and shape of the sampled particles, seven statistically relevant classes of dust were identified. The particle flux and area coverage of each class were normalized to the total plasma duration of each sampling period, revealing a high sensitivity of the dust composition to device conditioning. According to the present results, particles produced by arcing on divertor tiles with delaminated coatings were transported to the main chamber first wall.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Covariance matrices for variance-suppressed simulations

ABSTRACT Cosmological N-body simulations provide numerical predictions of the structure of the Universe against which to compare data from ongoing and future surveys, but the growing volume of the Universe mapped by surveys requires correspondingly lower statistical uncertainties in simulations, usually achieved by increasing simulation sizes at the expense of computational power. It was recently proposed to reduce simulation variance without incurring additional computational costs by adopting fixed-amplitude initial conditions. This method has been demonstrated not to introduce bias in various statistics, including the two-point statistics of galaxy samples typically used for extracting cosmological parameters from galaxy redshift survey data, but requires us to revisit current methods for estimating covariance matrices of clustering statistics for simulations. In this work, we find that it is not trivial to construct covariance matrices analytically for fixed-amplitude simulations, but we demonstrate that ezmock (Effective Zel’dovich approximation mock catalogue), the most efficient method for constructing mock catalogues with accurate two- and three-point statistics, provides reasonable covariance matrix estimates for such simulations. We further examine how the variance suppression obtained by amplitude-fixing depends on three-point clustering, small-scale clustering, and galaxy bias, and propose intuitive explanations for the effects we observe based on the ezmock bias model.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2017

RCT: Module 2.03, Counting Errors and Statistics, Course 8768

Radiological sample analysis involves the observation of a random process that may or may not occur and an estimation of the amount of radioactive material present based on that observation. Across the country, radiological control personnel are using the activity measurements to make decisions that may affect the health and safety of workers at those facilities and their surrounding environments. This course will present an overview of measurement processes, a statistical evaluation of both measurements and equipment performance, and some actions to take to minimize the sources of error in count room operations. This course will prepare the student with the skills necessary for radiological control technician (RCT) qualification by passing quizzes, tests, and the RCT Comprehensive Phase 1, Unit 2 Examination (TEST 27566) and by providing in the field skills.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
NASA NTRS1989

Sampling stratospheric aerosols with impactors

Derivation of statistically significant size distributions from impactor samples of rarefield stratospheric aerosols imposes difficult sampling constraints on collector design. It is shown that it is necessary to design impactors of different size for each range of aerosol size collected so as to obtain acceptable levels of uncertainty with a reasonable amount of data reduction.

Oberbeck, Verne R.↗
DOE OSTI2015

TU-EF-204-07: Add Tube Current Modulation to a Low Dose Simulation Tool for CT Systems

Purpose: We extended the capabilities of a low dose simulation tool to model Tube-Current Modulation (TCM). TCM is widely used in clinical practice to reduce radiation dose in CT scans. We expect the tool to be valuable for various clinical applications (e.g., optimize protocols, compare reconstruction techniques and evaluate TCM methods). Methods: The tube current is input as a function of z location, instead of a fixed value. Starting from the line integrals of a scan, a new Poisson noise realization at a lower dose is generated for each view. To validate the new functionality, we compared simulated scans with real scans in image space. Results: First we assessed noise in the difference between the low-dose simulations and the original high-dose scan. When the simulated tube current is a step function of z location, the noise at each segment matches the noise of 3 separate constant-tube-current-simulations. Secondly, with a phantom that forces TCM, we compared a low-dose simulation with an equivalent real low-dose scan. The mean CT number of the simulated scan and the real low-dose scan were 137.7±0.6 and 137.8±0.5 respectively. Furthermore, with 240 ROIs, the noise of the simulated scan and the real low-dose scan were 24.03±0.45 and 23.99±0.43 respectively, and they were not statistically different (2-sample t-test, p-value=0.28). The facts that the noise reflected the trend of the TCM curve, and that the absolute noise measurements were not statistically different validated the TCM function. Conclusion: We successfully added tube-current modulation functionality in an existing low dose simulation tool. We demonstrated that the noise reflected an input tube-current modulation curve. In addition, we verified that the noise and mean CT number of our simulation agreed with a real low dose scan. The authors are all employees of Philips. Yijun Ding is also supported by NIBIB P41EB002035 and NIBIB R01EB000803.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

SSGUI v1.0

SSGUI is a web-based application that integrates the integrative genomics browser (IGV) with upstream alignment pipelines enabling rapid analysis of a batch of next-generation sequencing (NGS) samples. The input to SSGUI is an NGS file system directory that is organized by experiment and reference sequence. The output is an online dashboard containing various sequencing statistics for each sample and an integrated IGV plugin enabling rapid analysis of aligned NGS reads.

Kulawik, Mark↗
NASA NTRS1980

On the simultaneous analysis of several complete samples - The V/Vmax and Ve/Va variables, with applications to quasars

Methods are derived for applying the V/Vmax variable when several complete samples are analyzed simultaneously. A new, related, variable, V(e)/V(a), which is superior to V/Vmax when sufficient observational data are available, is introduced. It is shown how statistically independent complete samples can be generated from partially overlapping samples such that each observed object appears only once in the analysis. These methods make it possible to combine the information from different complete samples, and to make an efficient use of all available data. Illustrative examples for quasars are given. It is shown how the generalized V/Vmax and V(e)/V(a) can be used to find the amount of cosmological evolution of quasars and its associated range of uncertainty.

Avni, Y.↗
DOE OSTI2020

Stochastic nonlinear analysis of unidirectional fiber composites using image-based microstructural uncertainty quantification

Here, we present a data-driven nonlinear uncertainty quantification and propagation framework to study the microstructure-induced stochastic performance of unidirectional (UD) carbon fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP) composites. The proposed approach integrates (1) microscopic image characterization, (2) stochastic microstructure reconstruction, and (3) efficient multiscale finite element simulations enabled by self-consistent clustering (SCA) analysis. To model the complex microstructural variability, the proposed UQ methods take the non-Gaussian uncertainty sources into account through a distribution-free sampling approach leveraging nonparametric and asymptotic statistical tools. A hierarchical conditional sampling strategy enables the simultaneous sampling of multiple sources of uncertainties. Our approach provides insights into the impact of microstructural variabilities, which are shown to have an increasing impact on the nonlinear responses of UD CFRP parts under progressive compression loading and ultimately on the failure rate over time. We discover that before CFRP parts start to fail, a characteristic time period emerges with distinctive uncertainty distributions specific to the microstructure variability and the probability of failure. Identifying the failure time period is crucial to the reliability prediction, which is an essential component of CFRP design.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
NASA NTRS1992

Low-earth-orbit effects on strength of glasses

The effects of a 5.8-y exposure to low-earth-orbit environment upon the mechanical properties of five commercial glasses and a low-expansion-coefficient glass-ceramic have been examined. The radiation components of the earth-orbit environment did not degrade the mechanical strength of the samples examined within the limits of experimental error. Statistical problems arising from the low frequency of micrometeorite or space debris impacts upon the samples precluded statistically valid measurement of impacted sample strengths. Upper bounds for the magnitude of the impact event damage upon the strengths for impacted samples have been determined.

Wiedlocher, David E.↗