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DOE OSTI2021

A prediction interval method for uncertainty quantification of regression models

This paper considers calculation of prediction intervals (PIs) by neural networks (NNs) for quantifying uncertainty in regression tasks, so as to provide fast, accurate and robust emulators to accelerate scientific simulations. We propose a novel method to learn lower and upper bounds of the PI using independent NNs without defining an exclusive loss. Our method requires no distributional assumption, does not introduce extra hyper-parameters, and can effectively identify out-of-distribution samples and quantify their uncertainty. We demonstrate advantages of our method using a benchmark problem and two real-world scientific applications.

Zhang, Pei↗

DOE OSTI2026

Quality and Loss Factor Characterization of YBCO Superconducting Transmission Lines for Axion Dark Matter Detection

Axion haloscope experiments aim to detect the conversion of axions into microwave photons under a strong magnetic field through resonant cavity techniques. The conversion produces an extremely small signal, requiring a cryogenic environment to reduce thermal noise, and low-loss superconducting transmission lines for minimal attenuation in the readout chain. Yttrium barium copper oxide (YBCO) cables are a promising candidate. Unlike commonly used low-loss cryogenic cables such as niobium (Nb) and niobium titanium (NbTi), which have low critical fields, YBCO is a high-temperature superconductor that can remain stable in strong magnetic fields. We characterized the quality and loss of five stripline resonators from the Brookhaven Technology Group: three YBCO, a copper reference, and a silver reference. Experimental methodology included collecting scattering parameter data on a vector network analyzer for the samples at 77 K along with room temperature baseline measurements, and employing both Lorentzian-fit and circle-fitting techniques to confirm the coupling regime and corroborate results. We achieved quality factors on the order of $10^3$ with corresponding loss factors on the order of $10^{-1}$ dB/m. Trends were comparable with literature data on Nb and NbTi at 4 K, which did have lower loss under these conditions, but suggested similar or perhaps better loss for YBCO when accounting for the temperature difference. We also developed a cryogenic probe for future measurements in a 14 T applied field at 30 mK. This will serve to directly evaluate YBCO's durability in magnetic fields, and we expect significantly improved performance at millikelvin temperatures.

Marinos, Z. [UCLA]↗

DOE OSTI2022

A Machine Learning Method for the Forensics Attribution of Separated Plutonium

Plutonium (Pu) source attribution would be a powerful tool to support nuclear nonproliferation efforts. This capability to find the source of a Pu sample would act as a deterrent to smuggling efforts, and also help regulatory agencies verify declared nuclear activities. Work at Texas A&M University yielded a nuclear forensics methodology, which is capable of determining separated Pu’s reactor of origin, fuel burnup, and the time since irradiation (TSI)—three parameters of interest. The methodology used a set of ten intra-element isotopic ratios found in separated Pu, which was compared to a library of isotopic ratio values produced using neutronics simulations for reactors of interest. By calculating the probability that unknown Pu sample’s isotopic ratio set matched a set in the library, the methodology could predict the three parameters of interest of the sample. One shortcoming of this methodology was an inability to correctly attribute spoofed Pu, where Pu sourced from two different reactors or two different fuel burnup levels are mixed. A new methodology to rectify this vulnerability using machine learning (ML) technique is developed, instead of the maximum likelihood calculation previously used and the results are satisfactory. The ML approach leverages the existing simulated data for training the algorithm, but use them efficiently by only using intra-element isotope ratios that contribute to the attribution one of the three parameters at a time. Previously, all isotope ratios were used to attribute all three parameters together. The new methodology attributes the Pu parameters in three steps, one for each parameter, rather than resolving all of the three parameters simultaneously like the previous maximum likelihood approach. First, a support vector machine classifier with a set of seven isotopic ratios finds the reactor of origin and a set of regression models trained using gaussian process predicts the burnup with a different set of seven isotopes. Finally, TSI is calculated analytically using decay equations. Thus far, the new methodology is capable of attributing pure Pu samples and has been validated using experimental data. The next step will to be augment the classifier training data set with spoofed Pu data.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Controlling phase transitions in MnNiGe using thermal quenching and hydrostatic pressure

Here, the phase transitions in MnNiGe compounds were explored by manipulating the heat treatment conditions and through hydrostatic pressure application. As the quenching temperature increased, both the first-order martensitic structural transition temperatures and magnetic transition temperatures decreased relative to those in the slowly-cooled samples. When the samples were quenched from 1200 °C, the first-order martensitic structural transition temperature lowered by more than 200 K. The structural transitions also shifted to lower temperature with the application of hydrostatic pressure during measurement. Temperature-dependent x-ray diffraction results reveal that the changes of the cell parameters resulting from the structural transitions are nearly identical for all samples regardless of the extensive variation in their structural transition temperatures. In addition, neutron scattering measurements confirm the magnetic structure transition between simple and cycloidal spiral magnetic structures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Measurement of C P Violation in B 0 → K S 0 π 0 Decays at Belle II

We report a measurement of the C P -violating parameters C and S in B 0 → K S 0 π 0 decays at Belle II using a sample of 387 × 10 6 B B ¯ events recorded in e + e − collisions at a center-of-mass energy corresponding to the ϒ ( 4 S ) resonance. These parameters are determined by fitting the proper decay-time distribution of a sample of 415 signal events. We obtain C = − 0.0 4 − 0.15 + 0.14 ± 0.05 and S = 0.7 5 − 0.23 + 0.20 ± 0.04 , where the first uncertainties are statistical and the second are systematic. Published by the American Physical Society 2023

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Constraints on primordial non-Gaussianity from the cross-correlation of DESI luminous red galaxies and Planck CMB lensing

We use the angular cross-correlation between a luminous red galaxy (LRG) sample from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) Legacy Survey data release DR9 and the Planck cosmic microwave background (CMB) lensing maps to constrain the local primordial non-Gaussianity parameter, f NL , using the scale-dependent galaxy bias effect. The galaxy sample covers approximately 40% of the sky, contains galaxies up to redshift z ∼ 1.4, and is calibrated with the LRG spectra that have been observed for DESI Year 1 (Y1). We apply a nonlinear imaging systematics treatment based on neural networks to remove observational effects that could potentially bias the f NL measurement. Our measurement is performed without blinding, but the full analysis pipeline is tested with simulations including systematics. Using the two-point angular cross-correlation between LRG and CMB lensing only, we find f NL = 39 −38 +40 at the 68% confidence level, and our result is robust in terms of systematics and cosmological assumptions. If we combine this information with the autocorrelation of LRG, applying a scale cut to limit the impact of systematics, we find f NL = 24 −21 +20 at the 68% confidence level. Our results motivate the use of CMB lensing cross-correlations to measure f NL with future datasets, given its stability in terms of observational systematics compared to the angular autocorrelation. Furthermore, performing accurate systematics mitigation is crucially important in order to achieve competitive constraints on f NL from CMB lensing cross-correlation in combination with the tracers’ autocorrelation.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2026

The Linear Point Standard Ruler with DESI DR1 and DR2 Data

The linear point, a purely geometric feature in the monopole of the two-point correlation function, has been proposed as an alternative standard ruler. Compared to the peak in the correlation function, it is more robust to late-time nonlinear effects at the percent level. In light of improved simulations and high quality data, we revisit the robustness of the linear point and use it as an alternative to template-based fitting approaches typically used in BAO analyses. We present the linear point measurements on galaxy samples from the first and second data releases (DR1 and DR2) of the DESI survey. We convert the linear point into a dimensionless parameter $α_{iso,LP}$, defined as the ratio of the linear point in the fiducial cosmology and the observed value, analogous to the isotropic BAO scaling parameter $α_{iso}$ used in previous BAO measurements. Using the 2nd generation of AbacusSummit mock catalogs, we find that linear point measurements are more precise when calculated in the post-reconstruction regime with 15-60% smaller uncertainties than those pre-reconstruction. We find a systematic shift in the linear point measurements compared against the isotropic BAO measurements in mocks; we attribute this to the isotropic damping parameter responsible for smearing the linear point in the nonlinear regime. We propose a sample-dependent correction that mitigates the impact of late-time nonlinear effects. While this introduces a cosmology dependence in an otherwise model-independent measurement, this is necessary given the sub-percent precision dictated by current cosmological surveys. Comparing $α_{iso,LP}$ with isotropic BAO measurements made on the DESI DR1 and DR2 galaxy samples, we find excellent agreement after applying this correction, particularly post-reconstruction. We discuss future scope regarding cosmological inference with linear point measurements.

Uberoi, N. [Yale U.] (ORCID:0000000275179629)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Frequency shifts in the electron paramagnetic resonance spectrum of 39 K due to spin-exchange collisions with polarized 3 He and precise 3 He polarimetry

The Zeeman splittings and electron paramagnetic resonance frequencies of alkali-metal atoms are shifted in the presence of a polarized noble gas. For a spherical geometry, the shift is enhanced over what is expected classically by a dimensionless atomic parameter 𝜅 0 that is unique to each alkali-metal-atom–noble-gas pair. Here, we present a precise measurement of 𝜅 0 for the 39 K − 3 He system with a relative accuracy of better than 1%. A critical component of achieving subpercent accuracy involved characterizing the shape of our samples using both MRI and CT medical-imaging techniques. The parameter 𝜅 0 plays an important role in establishing the absolute polarization of 3 He in a variety of contexts, including polarized targets for electron-scattering experiments and MRI of the gas space of the lungs. Our measurement more than doubles the accuracy possible when using 𝜅 0 for polarimetry purposes. Just as important, the work presented here represents a direct measurement of 𝜅 0 for the 39 K − 3 He system; previous values for 𝜅 0 in the 39 K − 3 He system relied on a chain of measurements that were benchmarked by previous measurements of 𝜅 0 in the Rb- 3 He system.

Zeeman effect↗

DOE OSTI2021

Cosmological constraints from unWISE and Planck CMB lensing tomography

A number of recent, low-redshift, lensing measurements hint at a universe in which the amplitude of lensing is lower than that predicted from the ΛCDM model fit to the data of the Planck CMB mission. Here we use the auto- and cross-correlation signal of unWISE galaxies and Planck CMB lensing maps to infer cosmological parameters at low redshift. In particular, we consider three unWISE samples (denoted as "blue", "green" and "red") at median redshifts z ~ 0.6, 1.1 and 1.5, which fully cover the Dark Energy dominated era. Our cross-correlation measurements, with combined significance S/N ~ 80, are used to infer the amplitude of low-redshift fluctuations, σ 8 ; the fraction of matter in the Universe, Ω m ; and the combination S 8 ≡ σ 8 (Ω m /0.3) 0.5 to which these low-redshift lensing measurements are most sensitive. The combination of blue, green and red samples gives a value S m = 0.784 ± 0.015, that is fully consistent with other low-redshift lensing measurements and in 2.4σ tension with the CMB predictions from Planck. Finally, this is noteworthy, because CMB lensing probes the same physics as previous galaxy lensing measurements, but with very different systematics, thus providing an excellent complement to previous measurements.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2021

A comparative study of the physical properties for a representative sample of Narrow and Broad-line Seyfert galaxies

ABSTRACT We present a comparative study of the physical properties of a homogeneous sample of 144 Narrow line Seyfert 1 (NLSy1) and 117 Broad-line Seyfert 1 (BLSy1) galaxies. These two samples are in a similar luminosity and redshift range and have optical spectra available in the 16th data release of Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS-DR16) and X-ray spectra in either XMM-NEWTON or ROSAT. Direct correlation analysis and a principal component analysis (PCA) have been performed using ten observational and physical parameters obtained by fitting the optical spectra and the soft X-ray photon indices as another parameter. We confirm that the established correlations for the general quasar population hold for both types of galaxies in this sample despite significant differences in the physical properties. We characterize the sample also using the line shape parameters, namely the asymmetry and kurtosis indices. We find that the fraction of NLSy1 galaxies showing outflow signatures, characterized by blue asymmetries, is higher by a factor of about 3 compared to the corresponding fraction in BLSy1 galaxies. The presence of high iron content in the broad-line region of NLSy1 galaxies in conjunction with higher Eddington ratios can be the possible reason behind this phenomenon. We also explore the possibility of using asymmetry in the emission lines as a tracer of outflows in the inner regions of Active Galactic Nuclei. The PCA results point to the NLSy1 and BLSy1 galaxies occupying different parameter spaces, which challenges the notion that NLSy1 galaxies are a subclass of BLSy1 galaxies.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Stellar multiplicity and stellar rotation: insights from APOGEE

ABSTRACT We measure rotational broadening in spectra taken by the Apache Point Observatory Galactic Evolution Experiment (APOGEE) survey to characterize the relationship between stellar multiplicity and rotation. We create a sample of 2786 giants and 24 496 dwarfs with stellar parameters and multiple radial velocities from the APOGEE pipeline, projected rotation speeds vsin i determined from our own pipeline, and distances, masses, and ages measured by Sanders & Das. We use the statistical distribution of the maximum shift in the radial velocities, ΔRVmax, as a proxy for the close binary fraction to explore the interplay between stellar evolution, rotation, and multiplicity. Assuming that the minimum orbital period allowed is the critical period for Roche Lobe overflow and rotational synchronization, we calculate theoretical upper limits on expected vsin i and ΔRVmax values. These expectations agree with the positive correlation between the maximum ΔRVmax and vsin i values observed in our sample as a function of log(g). We find that the fast rotators in our sample have a high occurrence of short-period [log(P/d) ≲ 4] companions. We also find that old, rapidly rotating main-sequence stars have larger completeness-corrected close binary fractions than their younger peers. Furthermore, rapidly rotating stars with large ΔRVmax consistently show differences of 1–10 Gyr between the predicted gyrochronological and measured isochronal ages. These results point towards a link between rapid rotation and close binarity through tidal interactions. We conclude that stellar rotation is strongly correlated with stellar multiplicity in the field, and caution should be taken in the application of gyrochronology relations to cool stars.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

SURFACE ROUGHNESS REDUCTION AND PERFORMANCE OF Nb3Sn FILM FOR SRF APPLICATIONS

Nb3Sn offers better RF performance (Q and Eacc) than Nb at any given temperature because of its superior superconducting properties. The potential deployment of Nb3Sn-coated SRF cavities at 4 K, delivering similar performance to that of Nb cavities at 2 K, will be a transformational technology to enable new classes of SRF accelerator applications. A clean and smooth surface can enhance the performance of the Nb3Sn-coated cavity, typically, the attainable acceleration gradient. The reduction of surface roughness is often linked with a correlative reduction in average coating thickness and grain size. A new approach to enhance the nucleation centers using the pre-deposition of Sn on Nb is introduced for surface roughness reduction. Besides Sn supply's careful tuning, the temperature profiles were varied to engineer the coating surface with reduced roughness as low as ~40 nm in 20 µm × 20 µm AFM scans, one-third that of the typical coating. Electropolishing of coated sample shows surface a clear surface smoothening. A few sets of coating parameters were used to coat 1.3 GHz sin-gle-cell cavities to understand the effects of roughness variation on the RF performance. This presentation discusses ways to reduce surface roughness with results from a systematic analysis of the samples and Nb3Sn-coated single-cell cavities.

Pudasaini, Uttar↗

DOE OSTI2023

SURFACE ROUGHNESS REDUCTION AND PERFORMANCE OF Nb3Sn FILM FOR SRF APPLICATIONS

Pudasaini, Uttar↗

DOE OSTI2023

Comparison of residual dose rates from MARS and DORIAN simulations with experimental data from the SINBAD database

This benchmarking study aims to compare residual dose rate predictions from the MARS and DORIAN codes with experimental measurements taken from samples irradiated at CERN's CERF facility. The research evaluates the residual dose rates of these samples over varied cooling intervals. Additionally, it delves into the influence of parameter choices, such as specific physics processes and energy thresholds, on the production and transport of particles and their effects on simulation outcomes. While both MARS and DORIAN largely align with experimental findings, discrepancies were observed in the copper sample. This prompted an in-depth examination of the elevated dose rates from MARS.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2024

Experimental and statistical study on the effect of process parameters on the quality of continuous fiber composites made via additive manufacturing

Ongoing research in additive manufacturing towards structural and industrial application has led to the use of commingled roving as a manufacturing feedstock for printing high fiber volume fraction composites. The prospects of using this technology for high performance applications necessitates the need for a comprehensive experimental investigation into the effects of processing parameters on the quality of an additively manufactured composite printed from commingled roving feedstock. Here, in this work, transverse flexure and void fraction matrix pyrolysis testing are both performed to evaluate composite quality. The transverse flexure test is a testing approach that evaluates the quality of the interfacial fiber-matrix bond while the void fraction test estimates the void content in the printed composite. A full observational study consisting of 27 different test combinations is done to investigate the effects of three different process parameters namely, temperature, pressure, and print speed across three different levels. Composite samples were made from commingled roving of E-glass and amorphous PET using an in-house built continuous fiber composite digital manufacturing system. Least squares regression analysis is performed to study the main, interaction and quadratic effects of process parameters. A statistical regression model having an R2 adjusted value of 80.1% is generated from the transverse flexure study, which is used to explain main and interaction effects and also predict performance. Response surface plots are also generated and are used to optimize process parameters which can subsequently be of help in scaling up composite manufacturing. Results show that all three process parameters are highly statistically significant at the 0.01 level of significance. Pressure * Temperature and Pressure * Printspeed are significant interaction terms. Pressure plays a weightier role when print speed is increased or temperature is decreased as it closes more voids that would ordinarily have been introduced because of drop in polymer melt viscosity. Micrographic analysis is also performed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Side Chain Dynamics of Poly(norbornene)- g -Poly(propylene oxide) Bottlebrush Polymers

The segmental dynamics of the side chains of poly(norbornene)- g -poly(propylene oxide) (PNB- g -PPO) bottlebrush polymer in comparison to PPO is studied by quasi-elastic neutron scattering. Having experimental time and length scale information simultaneously allows to extract spatial information in addition to relaxation time. Tethering one end of the PPO side chain onto a stiff PNB backbone slows down the segmental relaxation, over the length and time scales investigated. The power law dependence of the relaxation time on the momentum transfer, Q , indicates a more heterogeneous relaxation pattern for the bottlebrush polymer, whereas the linear PPO has less deviations from a homogenous relaxation. Similar conclusions can be drawn from the time dependent mean square displacement, $\langle$ r 2 ( t )$\rangle$, and the non-Gaussian parameter, α 2 ( t ). Herein, the bottlebrush polymer shows a more restricted dynamics, whereas the linear PPO reaches $\langle$ r 2 ( t )$\rangle$∝ t 0.5 at the highest temperature. The deviations from Gaussian behavior are evident at the α 2 ( t ). Both samples show a decaying α 2 ( t ). Finally, the non-Gaussian parameter supports the results from the power law dependence of the relaxation times, with lower α 2 ( t ) values for PPO compared to those for PNB-g-PPO, pointing to less deviations from Gaussian behavior.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

How Do Uncertainties in Galaxy Formation Physics Impact Field-level Galaxy Bias?

Our ability to extract cosmological information from galaxy surveys is limited by uncertainties in the galaxy–dark matter halo relationship for a given galaxy population, which are governed by the intricacies of galaxy formation. To quantify these uncertainties, we examine quenched and star-forming galaxies using two distinct approaches to modeling galaxy formation: U$\scriptsize{NIVERSE}$M$\scriptsize{ACHINE}$, an empirical semianalytic model, and the I$\scriptsize{llustris}$TNG hydrodynamical simulation. We apply a second-order hybrid N-body perturbative bias expansion to each galaxy sample, enabling direct comparison of modeling approaches and revealing how uncertainties in the galaxy–halo connection affect bias parameters and non-Poisson noise across number densities and redshifts. Notably, we find that quenched and star-forming galaxies occupy distinct parts of the bias parameter space, and that the scatter induced from these different galaxy formation models is small when conditioned on similar selections of galaxies. We also detect the signature of assembly bias in our samples; this leads to small but significant deviations from analytic bias predictions, while assembly bias-removed samples match these predictions well. This work indicates that galaxy samples from a spectrum of reasonable, physically motivated models for galaxy formation give a relatively small range of field-level galaxy bias parameters. We estimate a set of priors from these models that should be useful in extracting cosmological constraints from luminous red galaxy– and emission line galaxy–like samples. Looking forward, careful estimates of the range of impacts of galaxy formation, for a given sample and cosmological analysis, will be an essential ingredient for extracting the most precise cosmological information from current and future large galaxy surveys.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Accelerating Nature: Induced Atomic Order in Equiatomic FeNi

Abstract The production of locally atomically ordered FeNi (known by its meteoric mineral name, tetrataenite) is confirmed in bulk samples by simultaneous conversion X‐ray and backscattered γ‐ray 57 Fe Mössbauer spectroscopy. Up to 22 volume percent of the tetragonal tetrataenite phase is quantified in samples thermally treated under simultaneous magnetic‐ and stress‐field conditions for a period of 6 weeks, with the remainder identified as the cubic FeNi alloy. In contrast, all precursor samples consist only of the cubic FeNi alloy. Data from the processed alloys are validated using Mössbauer parameters derived from natural meteoritic tetrataenite. The meteoritic tetrataenite exhibits a substantially higher degree of atomic order than do the processed samples, consistent with their low uniaxial magnetocrystalline anisotropy energy of ≈1 kJ·m −3 . These results suggest that targeted refinements to the processing conditions of FeNi will foster greater atomic order and increased magnetocrystalline anisotropy, leading to an enhanced magnetic energy product. These outcomes also suggest that deductions concerning paleomagnetic conditions of the solar system, as derived from meteoritic data, may warrant re‐examination and re‐evaluation. Additionally, this work strengthens the argument that tetrataenite may indeed become a member of the advanced permanent magnet portfolio, helping to meet rapidly escalating green energy imperatives.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗