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NASA NTRS2014

Satellite Sounder Data Assimilation for Improving Alaska Region Weather Forecast

Data assimilation has been demonstrated very useful in improving both global and regional numerical weather prediction. Alaska has very coarser surface observation sites. On the other hand, it gets much more satellite overpass than lower 48 states. How to utilize satellite data to improve numerical prediction is one of hot topics among weather forecast community in Alaska. The Geographic Information Network of Alaska (GINA) at University of Alaska is conducting study on satellite data assimilation for WRF model. AIRS/CRIS sounder profile data are used to assimilate the initial condition for the customized regional WRF model (GINA-WRF model). Normalized standard deviation, RMSE, and correlation statistic analysis methods are applied to analyze one case of 48 hours forecasts and one month of 24-hour forecasts in order to evaluate the improvement of regional numerical model from Data assimilation. The final goal of the research is to provide improved real-time short-time forecast for Alaska regions.

Zhu, Jiang↗

NASA NTRS2004

Simulating Remote Sensing Systems

The Application Research Toolbox (ART) is a collection of computer programs that implement algorithms and mathematical models for simulating remote sensing systems. The ART is intended to be especially useful for performing design-tradeoff studies and statistical analyses to support the rational development of design requirements for multispectral imaging systems. Among other things, the ART affords a capability to synthesize coarser-spatial-resolution image-data products. The ART also provides for simulations of image-degradation effects, including point-spread functions, misregistration of spectral images, and noise. The ART can utilize real or synthetic data sets, along with sensor specifications, to create simulated data sets. In one example of a particular application, simulated imagery of a coarse resolution system was created using high-resolution imagery from another system in order to perform a radiometric cross-comparison. In the case of a proposed sensor system, the simulated data can be used to conduct trade studies and statistical analyses to ensure that the sensor system will satisfy the requirements of potential scientific, academic, and commercial user communities.

Zanoni, Vicki↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

A Statistical Analysis of Impact Ice Adhesion Strength Data Acquired with a Modified Lap Joint Test

Numerous methodologies have been utilized to measure the adhesion strength of impact ice, and the data reported in the literature varies significantly from method to method. In order to initiate an investigation to determine the cause of this disparity, a lap-joint shear test methodology that was recently developed was utilized in the Icing Research Tunnel at the NASA Glenn Research Center. Data was obtained while varying the temperature, test section velocity, liquid water content, and cloud droplet median volumetric diameter, among other parameters, over five campaigns. A new data set acquired using this new test method is presented. The results are analyzed with standard statistical methodologies and demonstrate a strong correlation between the apparent adhesion strength of ice and temperature, annealing time, and heating time. Observations during the test and analysis of the results suggest the presence of large residual stresses in the samples, which is in agreement with prior work. Due to the nature of the test methodology, and all known ice adhesion test methodologies, the measured, or apparent, adhesion strength is geometry dependent, a fact emphasized by the results presented here. The data was organized both cumulatively and independently by result code. Trends in the data are discussed in the context of causal physical mechanisms. The data shows the apparent adhesion strength was not linear with temperature, liquid water content, annealing time, and other variables. Short-term heating of the samples was shown to have negligible effect, and the apparent adhesion strength had a flat trend with velocity.

Ice Adhesion↗

NASA NTRS2002

The spectral correlation of functional clouds: a statistical test for theoretical models

We compute the spectral correlation function (SCF) of CO J=1-0 maps of moleculary cloud complexes. The SCF is a power law over approximately an order of magnitude in spatial separation in every map. The power law slope of the SCF, its normalization, and the spectral line width averaged over the whole map, are computed for all the observational maps.

turbulence kinematics↗

NASA NTRS1972

Ionosphere total electron measurements as extracted from satellite tracking data

The Goddard Range and Range Rate System (GRARR) determines the range of a spacecraft by measuring the group delay of a modulated wave and the range rate by measuring the Doppler phase shift of the carrier. An analytical technique is presented for obtaining corrections and equivalent total electron content along the vertical, using VHF GRARR data and a radial model of the ionosphere. The results of computation for a representative pass are given, and estimated accuracy is discussed from a statistical view point. Using VHF GRARR data and a radial model of the ionosphere. The results of computation for a representative pass are given, and estimated accuracy is discussed from a statistical view point. Using GRARR range, range rate, and angle tracking data from Explorer 41, values of total electron content on the order of 10 to the 17th to 10 to the 18th power (electrons/sq m) were obtained. These values agree with estimates of the total electron content from ionospheric profiles using f sub o F sub 2 predict data.

Murray, C. W., Jr.↗

NASA NTRS1975

On the lower mass limit for the carbon detonation scenario

The lower mass limit for carbon detonation (about 4 solar masses) is due to an argument by Paczynski (1970) that stars in the range between 1.4 and 3.5 solar masses will lose their envelopes prior to carbon detonation. This argument is based on two criteria for mass loss: (1) the envelope is unstable to adiabatic oscillations, and (2) the total energy of the envelope is positive. Recent hydrodynamic calculations of red-giant envelopes have shown that the envelopes are highly nonadiabatic and that the second criterion is not a sufficient condition for mass loss. Thus, a calculation which takes into account the nonadiabatic nature of the envelope is required in order to determine the lower mass limit for carbon detonation. This lower mass limit is directly related to the formation mechanisms and statistics of supernovae and pulsars.

Endal, A. S.↗

NASA NTRS1977

An investigation of techniques for the measurement and interpretation of cosmic ray isotopic abundances

An instrument, the Caltech High Energy Isotope Spectrometer Telescope was developed to measure isotopic abundances of cosmic ray nuclei by employing an energy loss - residual energy technique. A detailed analysis was made of the mass resolution capabilities of this instrument. A formalism, based on the leaky box model of cosmic ray propagation, was developed for obtaining isotopic abundance ratios at the cosmic ray sources from abundances measured in local interstellar space for elements having three or more stable isotopes, one of which is believed to be absent at the cosmic ray sources. It was shown that the dominant sources of uncertainty in the derived source ratios are uncorrelated errors in the fragmentation cross sections and statistical uncertainties in measuring local interstellar abundances. These results were applied to estimate the extent to which uncertainties must be reduced in order to distinguish between cosmic ray production in a solar-like environment and in various environments with greater neutron enrichments.

Wiedenbeck, M. E.↗

NASA NTRS1981

Statistical model to perform error analysis of curve fits of wind tunnel test data using the techniques of analysis of variance and regression analysis

The considered research had the objective to design a statistical model that could perform an error analysis of curve fits of wind tunnel test data using analysis of variance and regression analysis techniques. Four related subproblems were defined, and by solving each of these a solution to the general research problem was obtained. The capabilities of the evolved true statistical model are considered. The least squares fit is used to determine the nature of the force, moment, and pressure data. The order of the curve fit is increased in order to delete the quadratic effect in the residuals. The analysis of variance is used to determine the magnitude and effect of the error factor associated with the experimental data.

Alston, D. W.↗

NASA NTRS1982

Effects of miso- and mesoscale obstructions on PAM winds obtained during project NIMROD

Data from 27 PAM (Portable Automated Mesonet) stations, operational as a phase of project NIMROD (Northern Illinois Meteorological Research on Downburst), are presented. It was found that PAM-measured winds are influenced by the mesoscale obstruction of the Chicago metropolitan area, as well as by the misoscale obstruction of identified trees and buildings. The mesoscale obstruction was estimated within the range of near zero to 50%, increasing toward the city limits, while the misoscale obstruction was estimated as being as large as 58% near obstructing trees which were empirically calculated to cause a wind speed deficit 50-80 times their height. Despite a statistical analysis based on one-million PAM winds, wind speed and stability transmission factors could not be accurately calculated; thus, in order to calculate the airflow free from obstacle, PAM-measured winds must be corrected.

Fujita, T. T.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Stoichiometric disturbances in compound semiconductors due to ion implantation

A method is developed to calculate the depth distribution of the local stoichiometric disturbance (SD) resulting from ion implantation in binary-compound substrates. The calculation includes first-order recoils considering projected range straggle of projectiles and recoils and lateral straggle of recoils. The method uses tabulated final-range statistics to infer the projectile range distributions at intermediate energies. This approach greatly simplifies the calculation with little compromise on accuracy as compared to existing procedures. As an illustration, the SD profile is calculated for implantation of boron, silicon, and aluminum in silicon carbide. The results for the latter case suggest that the SD may be responsible for otherwise unexplained distortions in the annealed aluminum profile. A comparison with calculations by other investigators using the Boltzmann transport equation shows good agreement.

Avila, R. E.↗

NASA NTRS1987

A statistical study of ion pitch-angle distributions

Preliminary results of a statistical study of energetic (34-50 keV) ion pitch-angle distributions (PADs) within 9 Re of earth provide evidence for an orderly pattern consistent with both drift-shell splitting and magnetopause shadowing. Normal ion PADs dominate the dayside and inner magnetosphere. Butterfly PADs typically occur in a narrow belt stretching from dusk to dawn through midnight, where they approach within 6 Re of earth. While those ion butterfly PADs that typically occur on closed drift paths are mainly caused by drift-shell splitting, there is also evidence for magnetopause shadowing in observations of more frequent butterfly PAD occurrence in the outer magnetosphere near dawn than dusk. Isotropic and gradient boundary PADs terminate the tailward extent of the butterfly ion PAD belt.

Sibeck, D. G.↗

NASA NTRS1993

Experimental measurement of the plasma conductivity of Z93 and Z93P thermal control paint

Two samples each of Z93 and Z93P thermal control paint were exposed to a simulated space environment in a plasma chamber. The samples were biased through a series of voltages ranging from -200 volts to +300 volts and electron and ion currents measured. By comparing the currents to those of pure metal samples of the same size and shape, the conductivity of the samples was calculated. Measured conductivity was dependent on the bias potential in all cases. For Z93P, conductivity was approximately constant over much of the bias range and we find a value of 0.5 micro-mhos per square meter for both electron and ion current. For Z93, the dependence on bias was much more pronounced but conductivity can be said to be approximately one order of magnitude larger. In addition to presenting these results, this report documents all of the experimental data as well as the statistical analyses performed.

Hillard, G. Barry↗

NASA NTRS1992

Studies on the growth and indole-3-acetic acid and abscisic acid content of Zea mays seedlings grown in microgravity

Measurements were made of the fresh weight, dry weight, dry weight-fresh weight ratio, free and conjugated indole-3-acetic acid, and free and conjugated abscisic acid in seedlings of Zea mays grown in darkness in microgravity and on earth. Imbibition of the dry kernels was 17 h prior to launch. Growth was for 5 d at ambient orbiter temperature and at a chronic accelerational force of the order of 3 x 10(-5) times earth gravity. Weights and hormone content of the microgravity seedlings were, with minor exceptions, not statistically different from seedlings grown in normal gravity. The tissues of the shuttle-grown plants appeared normal and the seedlings differed only in the lack of orientation of roots and shoots. These findings, based upon 5 d of growth in microgravity, cannot be extrapolated to growth in microgravity for weeks, months, and years, as might occur on a space station. Nonetheless, it is encouraging, for prospects of bioregeneration of the atmosphere and food production in a space station, that no pronounced differences in the parameters measured were apparent during the 5 d of plant seedling growth in microgravity.

manned↗

NASA NTRS2004

Multisensor Arrays for Greater Reliability and Accuracy

Arrays of multiple, nominally identical sensors with sensor-output-processing electronic hardware and software are being developed in order to obtain accuracy, reliability, and lifetime greater than those of single sensors. The conceptual basis of this development lies in the statistical behavior of multiple sensors and a multisensor-array (MSA) algorithm that exploits that behavior. In addition, advances in microelectromechanical systems (MEMS) and integrated circuits are exploited. A typical sensor unit according to this concept includes multiple MEMS sensors and sensor-readout circuitry fabricated together on a single chip and packaged compactly with a microprocessor that performs several functions, including execution of the MSA algorithm. In the MSA algorithm, the readings from all the sensors in an array at a given instant of time are compared and the reliability of each sensor is quantified. This comparison of readings and quantification of reliabilities involves the calculation of the ratio between every sensor reading and every other sensor reading, plus calculation of the sum of all such ratios. Then one output reading for the given instant of time is computed as a weighted average of the readings of all the sensors. In this computation, the weight for each sensor is the aforementioned value used to quantify its reliability. In an optional variant of the MSA algorithm that can be implemented easily, a running sum of the reliability value for each sensor at previous time steps as well as at the present time step is used as the weight of the sensor in calculating the weighted average at the present time step. In this variant, the weight of a sensor that continually fails gradually decreases, so that eventually, its influence over the output reading becomes minimal: In effect, the sensor system "learns" which sensors to trust and which not to trust. The MSA algorithm incorporates a criterion for deciding whether there remain enough sensor readings that approximate each other sufficiently closely to constitute a majority for the purpose of quantifying reliability. This criterion is, simply, that if there do not exist at least three sensors having weights greater than a prescribed minimum acceptable value, then the array as a whole is deemed to have failed.

Immer, Christopher↗

NASA NTRS2014

Middle Man Concept for In-Orbit Collision Risks Mitigation, CAESAR and CARA Examples

This paper describes the conjunction analysis which has to be performed using data provided by JSpOC. This description not only demonstrates that Collision Avoidance is a 2- step process (close approach detection followed by risk evaluation for collision avoidance decision) but also leads to the conclusion that there is a need for a Middle Man role. After describing the Middle Man concept, this paper introduces two examples with their similarities and particularities: the American civil space effort delivered by the NASA CARA team (Conjunction Assessment Risk Analysis) and the French response CAESAR (Conjunction Assessment and Evaluation Service: Alerts and Recommendations). For both, statistics are presented and feedbacks discussed. All together, around 80 satellites are served by CARA and/or CAESAR. Both processes regularly evolve in order either to follow JSpOC upgrades or to improve analysis according to experience acquired during the past years.

conjunction↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Spaceflight Associated Neuro-Ocular Syndrome: A Brief for Astronaut Candidates

INTRODUCTION: Spaceflight Associated Neuro-ocular Syndrome (SANS) was first described in 2011 as a clinical process involving degradation of visual acuity and structural changes of the eye when exposed to microgravity. This syndrome poses a risk to astronaut vision, safety, and mission performance, especially during extended-duration missions. The modern astronaut cohort is a diverse group of men and women including scientists, engineers, teachers, pilots, business professionals, and artists. Given their diverse backgrounds, it is imperative all crews are educated on SANS risks and potential countermeasures. This education must be comprehensive and easily understood, regardless of academic background or specific expertise. TOPIC: A PowerPoint was created to serve as a presentation and stand-alone educational aid for all astronaut candidates (ASCANS). This medium was chosen as it can be updated dynamically as new information emerges. The brief was split into sections to facilitate organized delivery of complex content in easy-to-understand components. Sections included descriptive statistics, signs and symptoms, outcomes, myths and ongoing research, countermeasures, ongoing surveillance, and unknown and future directions. More research is necessary in order to understand this syndrome, and without continued ASCAN participation in research, acquisition of data will not be possible. These efforts will become increasingly critical with deep space and exploration missions. APPLICATION: We recommend regular use of this brief for all ASCANS, and potentially veteran crewmembers, given the high risks and potentially poor outcomes associated with SANS. For ASCANS, recommendations include that this brief be provided at the start of their training, with a bi-annual refresher course for all astronauts. This ensures they are current on SANS information, given the dynamic nature of this syndrome. Additionally, this brief will be made available to all as a self-study aid, utilized as a refresher immediately prior to launch. It is anticipated that this brief will promote the health, safety, and wellbeing of professional and private crews alike, during and after long-duration spaceflight. RESOURCES: Brunstetter, T., Tarver, B., & Tsung, A. (2022, October). Spaceflight Associated Neuro-ocular Syndrome (Sans) and its Risk to Nasa Astronauts. JSC Aerospace Medicine Clerkship. Houston, TX; Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center. Laurie, S. S., Macias, B. R., Pardon, L. P., Brunstetter, T., Tarver, W. J., Gibson, C. R., Greenwald, S. H., Jasien, K. V., Mason, S., & Tsung, A. (2022). (rep.). Evidence Report: Risk of Spaceflight Associated Neuro-ocular Syndrome (SANS). Houston, TX: National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Mader, T. H., Gibson, C. R., Pass, A. F., Kramer, L. A., Lee, A. G., Fogarty, J., ... & Polk, J. D. (2011). Optic disc edema, globe flattening, choroidal folds, and hyperopic shifts observed in astronauts after long-duration space flight. Ophthalmology, 118(10), 2058-2069. LEARNING OBJECTIVES: • The audience will be able to describe current Spaceflight Associated Neuro-ocular Syndrome (SANS) findings, significance, and countermeasures. • The audience will understand the importance of astronauts’ familiarity with SANS prior to flying and the large risks associated with this syndrome. CME QUESTIONS (3 QUESTIONS, MULTIPLE CHOICE A-D): 1. What is the approximate prevalence rate of SANS in astronauts? A. 22% B. 50% C. 66% D. 80% Answer: C. 2. Which of the ocular findings are NOT associated with SANS? A. Optic disc edema B. Retinal detachment C. Globe flattening D. Chorioretinal folds Answer: B. 3. Which of the following diagnostic technologies are NOT available in-flight? A. Ocular ultrasound B. Retinal photography C. MRI Orbit D. Optical Coherence Tomography (OCT) Answer: C.

Sara Stroble Mason↗

NASA NTRS1973

A simple method for the determination of effective rain cell dimensions and orientation

A simple method is proposed for the determination of effective rain cell dimensions and orientation. Two rain cell models were considered: the circular cell and the elliptical cell. In both models it is assumed that the rain rate is constant throughout the cell, that all cell locations are equally likely, and that the cell dimensions depend upon the rain rate. It is then shown that the effective cell dimensions and orientation may be deduced from rain rate statistics accumulated at two or three closely spaced sites, depending upon the model chosen. The results of this study alone with previous estimates of rain cell dimension indicate that the rain rate measurement points should be spaced on the order of one-half kilometer apart. The proposed method is simple and relatively inexpensive; thus, this approach is readily suited to the study of the dependence of rain cell size and orientation upon climatic region. The resulting rain cell characteristics are of direct value in the prediction of millimeter wavelength attenuation statistics on both single-terminal and diversity earth-space propagation paths as well as point-to-point terrestrial links.

Hodge, D. B.↗

NASA NTRS1983

Astronomical and statistical algorithms used in the Space Telescope guide star selection system

The construction of the Space Telescope Guide Star Catalog from digitized Schmidt survey plates covering the entire sky is described. In order to provide sufficient pointing information, the Guide Star Selection System has to contain a catalog of 20 million guide star candidates in the range of 9.0 to 14.5 visual magnitudes. An image inventory process extracts the relevant object data; after photometric and astrometric calibration the data are screened to arrive at suitable guide star candidates. The selection process for a given target takes into account geometric and photometric parameters of the field, scheduling information, and acquisition probabilities for each guide star pair.

Jenkner, H.↗