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At least 577 records · Page 32

GCAM–GLORY v1.0: representing global reservoir water storage in a multi-sector human–Earth system model

Abstract. Reservoirs play a significant role in modifying the spatiotemporal availability of surface water to meet multi-sector human demands, despite representing a relatively small fraction of the global water budget. Yet the integrated modeling frameworks that explore the interactions among climate, land, energy, water, and socioeconomic systems at a global scale often contain limited representations of water storage dynamics that incorporate feedbacks from other systems. In this study, we implement a representation of water storage in the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM) to enable the exploration of the future role (e.g., expansion) of reservoir water storage globally in meeting demands for, and evolving in response to interactions with, the climate, land, and energy systems. GCAM represents 235 global water basins, operates at 5-year time steps, and uses supply curves to capture economic competition among renewable water (now including reservoirs), non-renewable groundwater, and desalination. Our approach consists of developing the GLObal Reservoir Yield (GLORY) model, which uses a linear programming (LP)-based optimization algorithm and dynamically linking GLORY with GCAM. The new coupled GCAM–GLORY approach improves the representation of reservoir water storage in GCAM in several ways. First, the GLORY model identifies the cost of supplying increasing levels of water supply from reservoir storage by considering regional physical and economic factors, such as evolving monthly reservoir inflows and demands, and the leveled cost of constructing additional reservoir storage capacity. Second, by passing those costs to GCAM, GLORY enables the exploration of future regional reservoir expansion pathways and their response to climate and socioeconomic drivers. To guide the model toward reasonable reservoir expansion pathways, GLORY applies a diverse array of feasibility constraints related to protected land, population, water sources, and cropland. Finally, the GLORY–GCAM feedback loop allows evolving water demands from GCAM to inform GLORY, resulting in an updated supply curve at each time step, thus enabling GCAM to establish a more meaningful economic value of water. This study improves our understanding of the sensitivity of reservoir water supply to multiple physical and economic dimensions, such as sub-annual variations in climate conditions and human water demands, especially for basins experiencing socioeconomic droughts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

System Integration of Rationally Designed Dilute Alloy Catalysts for Energy-Efficient Electrochemical CO 2 -To-Fuel Conversion

Energy effiecient electrochemical conversion of CO 2 to high-demand chemicals and transportation fuels using renewable solar and wind energy is a key technology needed for a high-productivity, low-carbon future. However, the development of scalable, low-cost, active, selective, and stable electrocatalysts remains a key challenge that needs to be overcome to enable high-volume conversion of CO 2 to feedstock chemicals for the chemical industry. In previous work, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) has developed a rational design platform for dilute alloy transition metal electrocatalysts that promise to make electrochemical CO 2 conversion more energy efficient and selective. In this project, we worked with our industrial partners, Twelve and TotalEnergies, to improve scale up, integration, and stability of LLNL’s dilute alloy catalyst technology into an industry-relevant zero gap electrolyzer platform. Through virtual experiments and data analysis, we designed efficient and cost-effective copper-based catalysts. The catalyst was specifically designed to streamline the slowest and most energy-intensive step of the electrochemical chemical transformation of CO 2 to multi-carbon products – that is making the carbon-carbon bond by dimerization of the reaction intermediate carbon monoxide - resulting in up to 10% improvement in energy efficiency for C 2 products while simultaneously increasing the selectivity towards C 2 products. We tested two different scalable catalyst coating technologies and down-selected magnetron sputtering as the technique that provided the best control over catalyst loading, composition, and morphology. Using this technology, we successfully demonstrated integration of our dilute alloy catalysts into a 100 cm 2 electrolyzer platform with Faradaic efficiencies for ethylene production reaching 40% at a current density of 200 mA/cm 2 . We also developed the technology to integrate a well-defined nanoscale porosity by depositing alloy compositions that were compatible with dealloying, that is, selective leaching of an alloy component to generate nanoscale porosity. We observed that integration of the dealloying-derived nanoporosity improved catalyst performance and stability by leading to a more hydrophobic catalyst/anion exchange membrane interface. Unsolved problems that still need to be addressed are corrosion of the Cu catalyst -specifically if the used catalyst is exposed to air - as well as long term stability do to salt formation/deposition and flooding of the catalyst/electrolyzer flow channels, especially at higher current densities. As we only worked on optimization of catalyst composition, coating thickness, and morphology, further performance optimization will require a system level approach that includes optimization of electrolyzer design and membrane technology.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

An Equation for Moist Entropy in a Precipitating and Icy Atmosphere

Moist entropy is nearly conserved in adiabatic motion. It is redistributed rather than created by moist convection. Thus moist entropy and its equation, as a healthy direction, can be used to construct analytical and numerical models for the interaction between tropical convective clouds and large-scale circulations. Hence, an accurate equation of moist entropy is needed for the analysis and modeling of atmospheric convective clouds. On the basis of the consistency between the energy and the entropy equations, a complete equation of moist entropy is derived from the energy equation. The equation expresses explicitly the internal and external sources of moist entropy, including those in relation to the microphysics of clouds and precipitation. In addition, an accurate formula for the surface flux of moist entropy from the underlying surface into the air above is derived. Because moist entropy deals "easily" with the transition among three water phases, it will be used as a prognostic variable in the next generation of cloud-resolving models (e. g. a global cloud-resolving model) for low computational noise. Its equation that is derived in this paper is accurate and complete, providing a theoretical basis for using moist entropy as a prognostic variable in the long-term modeling of clouds and large-scale circulations.

Tao, Wei-Kuo↗

Challenging conventional assumptions in PV: a high-throughput open-air approach to low-cost perovskite module production

Perovskite solar modules (PSMs) offer a promising pathway to low-cost photovoltaics, yet their commercialization is challenged by manufacturing scalability, device uniformity, additive costs, interlayer complexity, and module stability. This study introduces a comprehensive technoeconomic analysis of single junction PSM's and projections for tandem perovskite-Si modules that integrate all materials and manufacturing steps, module performances, projected lifetimes, and manufacturing costs across scales. Here, we highlight an open-air manufacturing approach to fabricate all active layers of serially interconnected PSMs, including electrodes and charge transport layers, enabling high-throughput production without inert or vacuum environments. The analysis reveals two orders of magnitude throughput enhancement and cost reductions of 24% in all-open-air production, escalating to over 60% at 1 GW factory capacity compared to conventional methods. Levelized cost of energy (LCOE) projections for utility-scale installations over 30 years, accounting for module replacement and recycling, demonstrate the potential to achieve the 2030 US target of $0.03 per kWh with realistic 7–11-year PSM lifetimes, outperforming incumbent silicon-based modules. Neither four terminal (4T) nor two terminal (2T) tandem-Si PSMs improve over single junction perovskite or silicon LCOE regardless of higher efficiencies at any modeled lifetime. Addressing PSM technical challenges with a cost-modeling framework guides commercialization efforts and provides a convincing pathway for challenging incumbent Si-based PV.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Life-cycle analysis of offshore macroalgae production systems in the United States

Offshore macroalgae production offers the potential to provide valuable biomass for food, energy, and higher value products without the use of land or freshwater while using excess nutrients and carbon dioxide. To realize this potential, the Macroalgae Research Inspiring Novel Energy Resources program of the Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy has initiated projects to develop advanced cultivation technologies that enable the cost- and energy-efficient production of macroalgal biomass. Here, this study addresses the life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions and energy return on investment for five U.S. offshore macroalgae production systems designed for deployment at the thousand-hectare scale using a detailed module developed within the GREET life-cycle analysis model for this study. The carbon intensity of macroalgae production system designs, expressed as kg of carbon dioxide equivalent per dry metric ton of algae harvested, vary widely from 49 to 220 and confirm that biomass productivity has the highest degree of sensitivity across the model parameters tested. Regardless of the system designs, the upstream and combustion emissions from fuel use are the key contributor (over 45 %) to carbon intensity, indicating that the use of low-carbon fuels (e.g., renewable diesel) could further reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Further studies need to specify the market opportunity and specific product slates for macroalgae to provide a complete picture of the environmental impacts of macroalgal feedstock.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

The helical decomposition and the instability assumption

Direct numerical simulations show that the triadic transfer function T(k,p,q) peaks sharply when q (or p) is much smaller than k. The triadic transfer function T(k,p,q) gives the rate of energy input into wave number k from all interactions with modes of wave number p and q, where k, p, q form a triangle. This observation was thought to suggest that energy is cascaded downscale through non-local interactions with local transfer and that there was a strong connection between large and small scales. Both suggestions were in contradiction with the classical Kolmogorov picture of the energy cascade. The helical decomposition was found useful in distinguishing between kinematically independent interactions. That analysis has gone beyond the question of non-local interaction with local transfer. In particular, an assumption about the statistical direction of triadic energy transfer in any kinematically independent interaction was introduced (the instability assumption). That assumption is not necessary for the conclusions about non-local interactions with local transfer recalled above. In the case of turbulence under rapid rotation, the instability assumption leads to the prediction that energy is transferred in spectral space from the poles of the rotation axis toward the equator. The instability assumption is thought to be of general validity for any type of triad interactions (e.g. internal waves). The helical decomposition and the instability assumption offer detailed information about the homogeneous statistical dynamics of the Navier-Stokes equations. The objective was to explore the validity of the instability assumption and to study the contributions of the various types of helical interactions to the energy cascade and the subgrid-scale eddy-viscosity. This was done in the context of spectral closures of the Direct Interaction or Quasi-Normal type.

Waleffe, Fabian A.↗

Decoupling the Role of Particle Inertia and Gravity on Particle Dispersion

Particle dispersion and the influence that particle momentum exchange has on the properties of a turbulent carrier flow in micro-gravity environments challenge present understanding and predictive schemes. The objective of this effort has been to develop and assess high-fidelity simulation tools for predicting particle transport within micro-gravity environments suspended in turbulent flows. The computational technique is based on Direct Numerical Simulation (DNS) of the incompressible Navier-Stokes equations. The particular focus of the present work is on the class of dilute flows in which particle volume fractions and inter-particle collisions are negligible. Particle motion is assumed to be governed by drag with particle relaxation times ranging from the Kolmogorov scale to the Eulerian timescale of the turbulence and particle mass loadings up to one. The velocity field was made statistically stationary by forcing the low wavenumbers of the flow. The calculations were performed using 96(exp 3) collocation points and the Taylor-scale Reynolds number for the stationary flow was 62. The effect of particles on the turbulence was included in the Navier-Stokes equations using the point-force approximation in which 96(exp 3) particles were used in the calculations. DNS results show that particles increasingly dissipate fluid kinetic energy with increased loading, with the reduction in kinetic energy being relatively independent of the particle relaxation time. Viscous dissipation in the fluid decreases with increased loading and is larger for particles with smaller relaxation times. Fluid energy spectra show that there is a non-uniform distortion of the turbulence with a relative increase in small-scale energy. The non-uniform distortion significantly affects the transport of the dissipation rate, with the production and destruction of dissipation exhibiting completely different behaviors. The spectrum of the fluid-particle energy exchange rate shows that the fluid drags particles at low wavenumbers while the converse is true at high wavenumbers for small particles. A spectral analysis shows that the increase of the high wavenumber portion of the fluid energy spectrum can be attributed to transfer of the fluid-particle covariance by the fluid turbulence. This in turn explains the relative increase of small-scale energy caused by small particles observed in the present simulations as well as those of others.

Squires, Kyle D.↗

Elucidating the Determinants of Alkali Ionic Conductivity in Oxide and Sulfide Frameworks

The aim of this project is to elucidate the structural and chemical factors determining alkali conductivity in oxide and sulfide frameworks using large scale first principles calculations and topological analysis. The facile conduction of alkali ions in oxide and sulfide host structures is of critical importance in energy storage. Today, the dominant form of energy storage in portable electronics is the rechargeable alkali-ion battery, a device that functions entirely on the basis of the reversible transport of alkali ions. The Li+/Na+ conductivity of a cathode has a direct influence on the rate capability of a Li/Na-ion battery, i.e., the speed at which it can be charged and discharged. Alkali conductivity is arguably of even greater importance in the solid electrolytes currently being investigated for high safety, high energy all-solid-state batteries. The research performed in this project has provided critical new insights into the diffusion mechanisms in state-of-the-art alkali superionic conductors such as Li 7 P 3 S 11 , Li 3 OCl 1-x Br x anti-perovskite, argyrodite Li 6 PS 5 Cl. Two potential novel lithium superionic conductors (Li 3 Y(PS 4 ) 2 and Li 5 PS 4 Cl 2 ) with improved electrochemical stabilities were predicted. We have also conducted in-depth studies into alkali conduction in several important classes of electrodes, including the layered P2 NaMO 2 oxides and the highly promising novel disordered rock salt Li 3+x V 2 O 5 anode for high-rate applications. This project has resulted in more than 10 peer-reviewed articles in highly regarded journals as well as a new open-source software framework (pymatgen-analysis-diffusion) that is widely used by the materials research community for the study of diffusion in materials.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Synthesis of Zeolites LiX and LiAgX

In this work, we produced approximately 50 grams of zeolite LiX and 50 grams of zeolite LiAgX from commercially available zeolite X. The production of the two specialized zeolite phases was accomplished via a series of ion exchange steps followed by washing, drying, and calcining to produce the final materials. The ion exchange was confirmed by several methods including inductively-coupled plasma emission spectroscopy of exchange solution aliquots, gravimetric analysis, energy dispersive x-ray spectroscopy, and X-ray diffraction. We synthesized approximately 115 grams of zeolite LiX in a large-scale production step after completing a proof-of-concept experiment demonstrating the methodology. The production of zeolite LiX from zeolite X yielded an ion exchange (Li + →Na + ) of approximately 82%. The production of zeolite LiAgX from the previously synthesized zeolite LiX was targeted to exchange approximately 20% of the Li + ions with Ag + ions. We first performed a proof-of-concept experiment demonstrating the reaction pathway and selectivity of the Ag + ion, and then performed a large-scale synthesis of zeolite LiAgX using approximately 50 grams of the zeolite LiX. Our final exchange percentage of silver into the zeolite LiX matrix was approximately 20.8%.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Case Study on Condenser Water Supply Temperature Optimization with a District Cooling Plant

District cooling (DC) continues to proliferate due to increasing global cooling demands and economies of scale benefits; however, most district-scale modeling has focused on heating, and to the best of our knowledge, researchers have yet to model cooling plants featuring waterside economizers in DC settings. With the popular Modelica Buildings library expanding its capabilities to district scale, this study is one of the first to demonstrate how the open-source models can be used for detailed energy and control analysis of a DC plant. For a real-world case study, we developed and calibrated high-fidelity models for a DC system central plant at a college campus in Colorado, USA, and we optimized the condenser water supply temperature (CWST) setpoint for a DC plant across multiple time horizons using the Optimization library in Dymola. Results indicate that annual CWST optimization saves 4.7% annual plant energy, with less than 1% of additional energy savings gained through daily optimization. This confirms previous studies' findings that high frequency CWST optimizations are not necessary for the studied system.

chiller plant↗

Impact cratering calculations. Part 1: Early time results

Early time two dimensional finite difference calculations of laboratory scale hypervelocity impact of 0.3 g spherical 2024 aluminum projectiles into homogeneous plasticene clay targets were performed. Analysis of resulting material motions showed that energy and momentum were coupled quickly from the aluminum projectile to the target material. In the process of coupling, some of the plasticene clay target was vaporized while the projectile become severely deformed. The velocity flow field developed within the target was shown to have features similar to those found in calculations of near surface explosion cratering. Specific application of Maxwell's analytic Z-Model showed that this model can be used to describe the early time flow fields resulting from the impact cratering calculations as well, provided the flow field centers are located beneath the target surface and most of the projectile momentum is dissipated before the model is applied.

Thomsen, J. M.↗

The earth radiation budget satellite system of the early 1980's

Climate study by the proposed earth radiation budget satellite system (ERBSS) is discussed. The system would use TIROS-N and ERBS-A/AEM satellites. The objectives are (1) to determine, for a minimum of one to two years, the monthly average radiation budget on regional, zonal, and global scales; (2) to determine the equator-to-pole energy transport gradient; and (3) to determine the average diurnal variation in the radiation budget on a regional and monthly scale. Date interpretation, data analysis, sampling analysis, ERBSS capabilities and instrumentation are considered.

Copper, J. E.↗

Effects of large-scale wind driven turbulence on sound propagation

Acoustic measurements made in the atmosphere have shown significant fluctuations in amplitude and phase resulting from the interaction with time varying meteorological conditions. The observed variations appear to have short term and long term (1 to 5 minutes) variations at least in the phase of the acoustic signal. One possible way to account for this long term variation is the use of a large scale wind driven turbulence model. From a Fourier analysis of the phase variations, the outer scales for the large scale turbulence is 200 meters and greater, which corresponds to turbulence in the energy-containing subrange. The large scale turbulence is assumed to be elongated longitudinal vortex pairs roughly aligned with the mean wind. Due to the size of the vortex pair compared to the scale of the present experiment, the effect of the vortex pair on the acoustic field can be modeled as the sound speed of the atmosphere varying with time. The model provides results with the same trends and variations in phase observed experimentally.

Noble, John M.↗

Investigation of powertrain system decarbonization using electrically assisted turbocharging and hybridization in off-road vehicles

In recent years, the causes, effects, and existential threat of a global anthropogenic climate shift have drawn significant attention and stimulated mitigation efforts from all genres of scientific, political, and industrial bodies. The greenhouse effect and the detrimental environmental impact of excess greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, like carbon dioxide, is well studied and targeted as the primary culprit for aversive action. However, some fields exist where reducing GHG emissions is met by considerable challenges. One such field is the production and operations of off-road vehicles. Applications of these vehicles are highly diverse and are often characterized by rugged, especially transient, and power intensive duty cycles that make one-fits-all vehicle configuration solutions impractical. This research surveys existing literature to identify the modern technologies packages and challenges that face development and configuration of powertrain systems which currently navigate the regulated emissions and unique duty cycle requirements of this market space. A novel powertrain concept is proposed and evaluated with respect to the pinnacle objectives of load performance improvement, criteria pollutant reduction, and reducing the life cycle GHG intensity of its operation. A sure-fire path to vehicular GHG reduction is through improving the fuel efficiency of internal combustion engines (ICEs), an entrenched component of the off-road vehicle sector. Unfortunately, this is more easily said than done. An approach that has proven successful in this endeavor is engine downsizing and turbocharging, where a larger engine is replaced with a smaller one with added air system boosting via turbocharger to reduce frictional and pumping losses while also enabling access to additional fuel energy. However, practical realization of these potential benefits is often impeded by the transient response capability of the smaller engine across the operating space. For this reason, downsized ICE powertrains have turned to electrified forced induction systems (EFISs) for a decoupling of exhaust energy and engine speed from boost capability. Platformed on 48V hybrid technology, these systems introduce the need for more sophisticated controls around the engine gas-exchange process for the management of boost performance and exhaust gas emissions. On this account, simulation studies utilizing a GT-POWER model of a turbocharged 4.5 L engine outfit with an EFIS using an electrically driven compressor (eBooster®) are conducted to provide insight into the performance of this air handling architecture on an off-road engine. The results show that improvement in transient torque response time in sync with reduction in engine-out soot and NOx emissions are possible with an engine recalibration that leverages the transient air-fuel ratio authority of the eBooster®. Benefits are further demonstrated when duty cycle simulations of the 48V mild-hybrid engine concept are exercised, showing an acute decrease in cumulative fuel usage and soot production. Powertrain hybridization is another technological pathway achieving pronounced GHG reduction successes in modern on-road vehicle applications through integration of Li-ion battery technology. In the off-road vehicle segment, a review of available literature concludes that hybridized architectures are present but generally lack the depth of technologies that have both high specific energy and power capabilities, and thus are limited in their inclusion of Li-ion batteries for ICE assistance and enhanced energy storage capability. Therefore, building on the mild-hybrid engine results, the downsized and eBoosted engine concept was integrated into a larger high-voltage battery-hybrid series-electric powertrain system. Hybrid powertrain parameter sensitivity studies were carried out in a numerical charge-sustaining framework, providing novel insights into power flows between the battery and the engine and how their respective capabilities and operation contribute to GHG and criteria pollutant emissions of diverse duty cycles. Application of supervisory power management introduced robustness into the power sourcing and battery SOC control process and showed that optimum specification of battery properties can yield synergies between GHG emissions and battery energy capacity. Furthermore, examination of recent literature on Li-ion batteries has shown that pack manufacturing is a highly energy intensive process, thereby producing considerable quantities of GHGs that scale with energy storage capacity. Also scaling with a battery’s energy storage capacity is its investment cost. In consideration of these factors, an inclusive technoeconomic and GHG life cycle analysis is conducted. This analysis systematically compares the carbon footprint and total cost of ownership associated with the proposed hybrid powertrain concept to reference and alternative powertrain configurations, facilitating a thorough evaluation of the decarbonization effectiveness and economic viability.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Long-term general relativistic magnetohydrodynamics simulations of magnetic field in isolated neutron stars

ABSTRACT Strong magnetic fields play an important role in powering the emission of neutron stars. Nevertheless, a full understanding of the interior configuration of the field remains elusive. In this work, we present general relativistic magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) simulations of the magnetic field evolution in neutron stars lasting ${\sim } {880}\,$ms (∼6.5 Alfvén crossing periods) and up to resolutions of $0.1155\,$km using Athena++. We explore two different initial conditions, one with purely poloidal magnetic field and the other with a dominant toroidal component, and study the poloidal and toroidal field energies, the growth times of the various instability-driven oscillation modes, and turbulence. We find that the purely poloidal setup generates a toroidal field, which later decays exponentially reaching $1{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$ of the total magnetic energy, showing no evidence of reaching equilibrium. The initially stronger toroidal field setup, on the other hand, loses up to 20 per cent of toroidal energy and maintains this state till the end of our simulation. We also explore the hypothesis, drawn from previous MHD simulations, that turbulence plays an important role in the quasi-equilibrium state. An analysis of the spectra in our higher resolution setups reveals, however, that in most cases we are not observing turbulence at small scales, but rather a noisy velocity field inside the star. We also observe that the majority of the magnetic energy gets dissipated as heat increasing the internal energy of the star, while a small fraction gets radiated away as electromagnetic radiation.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Appalachian Hydrogen Infrastructure Analysis

As large-scale efforts to decarbonize the global economy ramp up in earnest, hydrogen is being positioned as a critical solution for numerous sectors. Hydrogen produced from fossil energy resources with carbon capture and storage (CCS) is viewed as a bridge in the clean energy transition, enabling the development of midstream infrastructure and downstream demand. This report highlights the potential for the Appalachian region to develop a hydrogen economy with fossil-derived hydrogen with CCS production (hydrogen from natural gas with carbon capture and storage). Specifically, the report provides hydrogen transport and storage infrastructure pathways in support of a broader hydrogen economy. These pathways are consistent with existing and potential technologies and regulations and provide valuable guidance for the investment and research and development potential for transportation and storage of hydrogen in Appalachia.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Analysis of solar X-ray data

Type III solar bursts occurring in the absence of solar flares were observed to be accompanied by weak X-radiation. The energy scale of an OSO-3 soft X-ray ion chamber was assessed using realistic theoretical X-ray spectra. Relationships between soft solar X-rays and solar activity were investigated. These included optical studies, the role of the Type III acceleration mechanism in establishing the soft X-ray source volume, H alpha flare intensity variations, and gross magnetic field structure.

Teske, R. G.↗