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At least 577 records · Page 32
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

2032 and 2036 risk enhancement from NEOs in the Taurid stream: Is there a significant coherent component to impact risk?

Impact risk is normally quantified by summing the product of the probability of an event and some measure of its consequences over the set of all possible events. The probability factor is considered to be more objective and is based on the size frequency distribution of Near Earth objects (NEOs) and an implicit assumption of randomness, which can be described as “stochastic risk”. Impact frequency does change with time, however, and there have been episodes in the deep geological past when the flux has been much higher. The hypothesis of “coherent catastrophism” suggests large variations on shorter timescales. It postulates the existence of a “Taurid resonant swarm” (TRS) of debris associated with Comet Encke that is stabilized by Jupiter and in a 7:2 resonance with it. The hypothetical cluster orbits in the broad Taurid stream, which crosses Earth's orbit twice a year at its nodes. Whereas the most extreme and fanciful versions of coherent catastrophism in recent geologic history have been comprehensively refuted, the possibility of a significant component of coherent (time-dependent) risk, associated with non-random correlated events, remains. This paper incorporates recently published data from observational campaigns associated with the Taurid stream. There is no evidence for objects in the Taurid stream that are above the global catastrophe threshold, but the possibility of a few large objects and a significant population of objects the size of the Chelyabinsk or Tunguska bodies has not been eliminated. Eyewitness accounts and comparison of airburst models to ground truth suggest that the Tunguska object was a Beta Taurid. The Tunguska event is probably an outlier when compared to the size frequency distributions under stochastic assumptions, but if there is a significant coherent component it may be representative of events that take place far more frequently, and risk assessments may have underestimated the contribution from airbursts. If so, the Earth will experience increased risk from objects this size, peaking in November 2032 and June 2036. We recommend targeted survey campaigns during these hypothetical TRS node crossings to quantify the population, search for potentially hazardous objects, and identify imminent impactors.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

An analysis of the spatio-temporal resolution of the immersed boundary method with direct forcing

The immersed boundary method (IBM) with direct forcing is very popular in the simulation of rigid particulate flows. In the IBM, an interaction force is introduced at the interface between fluid and particle in order to approximate the no-slip boundary condition. The interaction force is calculated through dividing the velocity difference (or error) between fluid and particle at the interface by the time step. Here, a dynamic equation for the velocity difference is derived. Additionally, analyses on the dynamic equation provide a few new findings: (i) The interaction force is the solution of a least-squares error problem, with the direct implication that the Lagrangian marker distribution has no effect on the large scale flow structure once the distribution of Lagrangian markers become saturated along the interface (i.e., each marker remains properly correlated with all its neighbors); (ii) The Lagrangian volume-weight is a relaxation factor to control how fast the velocity error decays to the ideal value of zero; (iii) The optimal choice of the Lagrangian volume-weight is the largest value permissible by a stability condition. A comprehensive convergence analysis with regard to the spatial and temporal resolution is presented for the velocity error and also for the shear-stress and surface pressure. In three simple canonical problems, it is analytically and numerically shown that the IBM results converge to the theoretical solutions obtained with precise imposition of no-slip and no-penetration boundary conditions. It is observed that it is not necessary to match the Lagrangian marker volume-weight to that of the local Eulerian cell volume and in fact this matching leads to lower than optimal computational efficiency. However, it is found that extremely high Eulerian grid resolution and small time step have to be used to obtain high precision simulation results. Especially, the time step should be inversely proportional to the particle Reynolds number for low Reynolds number flows. For high frequency oscillation problems, the grid size needs to be reduced by a factor of the square root of the frequency, and the time step to be reduced by a factor of the frequency. The theoretical findings here can be used to alleviate the technical difficulties in simulating non-spherical particles by not requiring the Lagrangian marker distribution to match the Eulerian grids and also in the implementation of IBM on non-uniform Eulerian grids. The present work also provides simple practical guidance on the choice of temporal and spatial resolution so as to control the simulation error a priori.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2025

ThO 2 and Th 1– x U x O 2 Nanoscale Materials and Thin Films for Nuclear Science Applications

This study investigates the dynamics and mechanisms of solution combustion synthesis (SCS) for the preparation of nanoscale ThO 2 and Th 1–x U x O 2 materials, utilizing metal nitrates (Th(NO 3 ) 4 and UO 2 (NO 3 ) 2 ) and acetylacetone (C 5 H 8 O 2 ) as reactants dissolved in a 2-methoxyethanol (C 3 H 8 O 2 ) solvent. By combining thermodynamic calculations, dynamic time–temperature profile measurements with differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) and thermogravimetric analysis (TGA), this research reveals how variations in acetylacetone concentration and uranium content influence the structural parameters of the synthesized oxides. The time–temperature measurements show that the heating rate and maximum combustion temperatures are sensitive to acetylacetone concentration. DSC-TGA results indicate shifts in exothermic peak temperatures as the uranium content changes. The complexation between thorium and acetylacetone emerges as a critical factor, impacting combustion parameters and the structural characteristics of the final products. The uniform distribution of Th and U in the Th 1–x U x O 2 solid solution and the formation of nanoscale particles with strained crystallites are considered essential for the low-temperature densification of these materials for nuclear fuel pellet applications. Additionally, high-quality ThO 2 and Th 1–x U x O 2 thin (100–150 nm) films are successfully synthesized via electrospray deposition of combustible solutions followed by a brief period of heat treatment. Furthermore, these films exhibit excellent structural and morphological uniformity, making them ideal candidates for nuclear measurements, irradiation damage studies, and investigations into the physical properties of both pure and mixed oxides.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

A Prefire Approach for Probabilistic Assessments of Postfire Debris‐Flow Inundation

Increases in wildfire activity and rainfall intensification are driving more postfire debris flows (PFDF) in many regions around the world. PFDFs are most common in the first postfire year and may even occur before a fire is fully controlled. This underscores the importance of assessing postfire hazards before a fire starts. Evaluation of PFDF hazards prior to fire can help strategize interventions lessening the negative effects of future fires. However, debris-flow runout and inundation analyses are not routine in PFDF hazard assessments, partially due to time constraints and substantial uncertainties in boundary conditions. Here, we propose a prefire PFDF inundation assessment framework using a debris-flow runout model based on the Herschel-Bulkley (HB) rheology (HEC-RAS v6.1). We constrain model inputs and parameters using Bayesian posterior analysis, rainfall-runoff simulations, and a debris-flow volume model. We use observations from recent PFDF incidents in northern Arizona, USA, to calibrate model components and then apply our prefire inundation assessment framework in a nearby unburned area. Specifically, we (a) identify yield stress as the most influential factor on inundation extent and arrival time in a HB model, (b) establish posterior distributions for model parameters suitable for forward modeling by leveraging uncertainties in field observations, and (c) implement a predictive forward analysis in an area that has not burned recently to evaluate PFDF inundation under several future fire scenarios. This study improves our ability to assess postfire debris-flow hazards before a fire begins and provides guidance for future applications of single-phase rheological models when assessing PFDF hazards.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Quantifying Streambed Grain Size, Uncertainty, and Hydrobiogeochemical Parameters Using Machine Learning Model YOLO

Abstract Streambed grain sizes control river hydro‐biogeochemical (HBGC) processes and functions. However, measuring their quantities, distributions, and uncertainties is challenging due to the diversity and heterogeneity of natural streams. This work presents a photo‐driven, artificial intelligence (AI)‐enabled, and theory‐based workflow for extracting the quantities, distributions, and uncertainties of streambed grain sizes from photos. Specifically, we first trained You Only Look Once, an object detection AI, using 11,977 grain labels from 36 photos collected from nine different stream environments. We demonstrated its accuracy with a coefficient of determination of 0.98, a Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.98, and a mean absolute relative error of 6.65% in predicting the median grain size of 20 ground‐truth photos representing nine typical stream environments. The AI is then used to extract the grain size distributions and determine their characteristic grain sizes, including the 10th, 50th, 60th, and 84th percentiles, for 1,999 photos taken at 66 sites within a watershed in the Northwest US. The results indicate that the 10th, median, 60th, and 84th percentiles of the grain sizes follow log‐normal distributions, with most likely values of 2.49, 6.62, 7.68, and 10.78 cm, respectively. The average uncertainties associated with these values are 9.70%, 7.33%, 9.27%, and 11.11%, respectively. These data allow for the computation of the quantities, distributions, and uncertainties of streambed HBGC parameters, including Manning's coefficient, Darcy‐Weisbach friction factor, top layer interstitial velocity magnitude, and nitrate uptake velocity. Additionally, major sources of uncertainty in grain sizes and their impact on HBGC parameters are examined.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Quantifying the Effect of Pore‐Size Dependent Wettability on Relative Permeability Using Capillary Bundle Model

Abstract Relative permeability is a key parameter for characterizing the multiphase flow dynamics in porous media at macroscopic scale while it can be significantly impacted by wettability. Recently, it has been reported in microfluidic experiments that wettability is dependent on the pore size (Van Rooijen et al., 2022). To investigate the effect of pore‐size‐dependent wettability on relative permeability, we propose a theoretical framework informed by digital core samples to quantify the deviation of relative permeability curves due to wettability change. We find that the significance of impact is highly dependent on two factors: (i) the function between contact angle and pore size (ii) overall pore size distribution. Under linear function, this impact can be significant for tight porous media with a maximum deviation of 1,000%.

Yu, Siqin↗
DOE OSTI2024

Mapping the global distribution of C 4 vegetation using observations and optimality theory

Plants with the C 4 photosynthesis pathway typically respond to climate change differently from more common C 3 -type plants, due to their distinct anatomical and biochemical characteristics. These different responses are expected to drive changes in global C 4 and C 3 vegetation distributions. However, current C 4 vegetation distribution models may not predict this response as they do not capture multiple interacting factors and often lack observational constraints. Here, we used global observations of plant photosynthetic pathways, satellite remote sensing, and photosynthetic optimality theory to produce an observation-constrained global map of C 4 vegetation. We find that global C 4 vegetation coverage decreased from 17.7% to 17.1% of the land surface during 2001 to 2019. This was the net result of a reduction in C 4 natural grass cover due to elevated CO 2 favoring C 3 -type photosynthesis, and an increase in C 4 crop cover, mainly from corn (maize) expansion. Using an emergent constraint approach, we estimated that C 4 vegetation contributed 19.5% of global photosynthetic carbon assimilation, a value within the range of previous estimates (18–23%) but higher than the ensemble mean of dynamic global vegetation models (14 ± 13%; mean ± one standard deviation). Our study sheds insight on the critical and underappreciated role of C 4 plants in the contemporary global carbon cycle.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Effects of interlayer spacing and applied pressure on the lanthanide transport in MoS 2 -based two-dimensional channels

Rare-earth elements (REEs) are critical to modern industry but difficult to separate due to their subtle and monotonic changes in physicochemical properties. MoS 2 -based two-dimensional (2D) materials offer novel opportunities for enhancing REE separation, exhibiting a distinct volcano-shaped transport performance distribution that peaks at Sm 3+ . However, the specific contributions of thermodynamic and kinetic factors to ion transport within 2D confinement remain unclear. In this study, we conducted a series of non-equilibrium all-atom molecular dynamics (MD) simulations to explore the effects of interlayer spacing and external pressure on the transport of lanthanide ions in Å-scale acetate functionalized 2D MoS 2 (MoS 2 -COOH) channels. We examined ion entry and permeation rates, water flux, dehydration, and binding modes. The simulation results reveal that the transport trends of lanthanide ions are jointly driven by the dehydration degree and the relative-binding strengths of ions to water and to the acetate within the 2D channels. Notably, the dehydration pattern of lanthanide ions during permeation is closely linked to kinetic factors. Overall, this study provides a detailed atomistic understanding of the mechanisms underlying lanthanide ion transport under confinement. These findings point to the significant potential for tuning confinement and chemical functionalization within Å-scale channels for more efficient REE separation.

2D channels↗
DOE OSTI2023

The solenoidal large intensity device (SoLID) for JLab 12 GeV

The solenoidal large intensity device (SoLID) is a new experimental apparatus planned for Hall A at the Thomas Jefferson National Accelerator Facility (JLab). SoLID will combine large angular and momentum acceptance with the capability to handle very high data rates at high luminosity. With a slate of approved high-impact physics experiments, SoLID will push JLab to a new limit at the QCD intensity frontier that will exploit the full potential of its 12 GeV electron beam. In this paper, we present an overview of the rich physics program that can be realized with SoLID, which encompasses the tomography of the nucleon in 3D momentum space from semi-inclusive deep inelastic scattering, expanding the phase space in the search for new physics and novel hadronic effects in parity-violating DIS, a precision measurement of J/ψ production at threshold that probes the gluon field and its contribution to the proton mass, tomography of the nucleon in combined coordinate and momentum space with deep exclusive reactions, and more. To meet the challenging requirements, the design of SoLID described here takes full advantage of recent progress in detector, data acquisition and computing technologies. In addition, we outline potential experiments beyond the currently approved program and discuss the physics that could be explored should upgrades of CEBAF become a reality in the future.

3D imaging↗
DOE OSTI2021

Inelastic dark matter scattering off Thallium cannot save DAMA

We study the compatibility of the observed DAMA modulation signal with inelastic scattering of dark matter (DM) off of the 0.1% Thallium (Tl) dopant in DAMA. In this work we test whether there exist regions of parameter space where the Tl interpretation gives a good fit to the most recent data from DAMA, and whether these regions are compatible with the latest constraints from other direct detection experiments. Previously, Chang et al. in 2010, had proposed the Tl interpretation of the DAMA data, and more recently (in 2019) the DAMA/LIBRA collaboration found regions in parameter space of Tl inelastic scattering that differ by more than 10σ from a no modulation hypothesis. We have expanded upon their work by testing whether the regions of parameter space where inelastic DM-Tl scattering gives a good fit to the most recent DAMA data survive the constraints placed by the lack of a DM signal in XENON1T and CRESST-II. In addition, we have tested how these regions change with the main sources of uncertainty: the Tl quenching factor, which has never been measured directly, and the astrophysical uncertainties in the DM distribution. We conclude that inelastic DM scattering off Tl cannot explain the DAMA data in light of null results from other experiments.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Whole-Genome Comparisons of Ergot Fungi Reveals the Divergence and Evolution of Species within the Genus Claviceps Are the Result of Varying Mechanisms Driving Genome Evolution and Host Range Expansion

The genus Claviceps has been known for centuries as an economically important fungal genus for pharmacology and agricultural research. Only recently have researchers begun to unravel the evolutionary history of the genus, with origins in South America and classification of four distinct sections through ecological, morphological, and metabolic features (Claviceps sects. Citrinae, Paspalorum, Pusillae, and Claviceps). The first three sections are additionally characterized by narrow host range, whereas section Claviceps is considered evolutionarily more successful and adaptable as it has the largest host range and biogeographical distribution. However, the reasons for this success and adaptability remain unclear. Our study elucidates factors influencing adaptability by sequencing and annotating 50 Claviceps genomes, representing 21 species, for a comprehensive comparison of genome architecture and plasticity in relation to host range potential. Our results show the trajectory from specialized genomes (sects. Citrinae and Paspalorum) toward adaptive genomes (sects. Pusillae and Claviceps) through colocalization of transposable elements around predicted effectors and a putative loss of repeat-induced point mutation resulting in unconstrained tandem gene duplication coinciding with increased host range potential and speciation. Alterations of genomic architecture and plasticity can substantially influence and shape the evolutionary trajectory of fungal pathogens and their adaptability. Furthermore, our study provides a large increase in available genomic resources to propel future studies of Claviceps in pharmacology and agricultural research, as well as, research into deeper understanding of the evolution of adaptable plant pathogens.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Dark and luminous mass components of Omega Centauri from stellar kinematics

Here we combine proper motion data from Gaia EDR 3 and HST with line-of-sight velocity data to study the stellar kinematics of the ω Cen globular cluster. Using a steady-state, axisymmetric dynamical model, we measure the distribution of both the dark and luminous mass components. Assuming both Gaussian and Navarro–Frenk–White mass profiles, depending on the data set, we measure an integrated mass of ≲10 6 M ⊙ within the ω Cen half-light radius for a dark component that is distinct from the luminous stellar component. For the HST and radial velocity data, models with a non-luminous mass component are strongly statistically preferred relative to a stellar mass-only model with a constant mass-to-light ratio. While a compact core of stellar remnants may account for a dynamical mass up to ~5 x 10 5 M ⊙ , they likely cannot explain the higher end of the range. This leaves open the possibility that this non-luminous dynamical mass component comprises non-baryonic dark matter. In comparison to the dark matter distributions around dwarf spheroidal galaxies, the ω Cen dark mass component is much more centrally concentrated. Interpreting the non-luminous mass distribution as particle dark matter, we use these results to obtain the J-factor, which sets the sensitivity to the annihilation cross-section. For the data sets considered, the range of median J-factors is ~10 22 -10 24 GeV 2 cm -5 , which is larger than that obtained for any dwarf spheroidal galaxy.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Search for subsolar-mass black hole binaries in the second part of Advanced LIGO’s and Advanced Virgo’s third observing run

ABSTRACT We describe a search for gravitational waves from compact binaries with at least one component with mass $0.2$–$1.0 \, \mathrm{M}_\odot$ and mass ratio q ≥ 0.1 in Advanced Laser Interferometer Gravitational-Wave Observatory (LIGO) and Advanced Virgo data collected between 2019 November 1, 15:00 utc and 2020 March 27, 17:00 utc. No signals were detected. The most significant candidate has a false alarm rate of $0.2 \, \rm {yr}^{-1}$. We estimate the sensitivity of our search over the entirety of Advanced LIGO’s and Advanced Virgo’s third observing run, and present the most stringent limits to date on the merger rate of binary black holes with at least one subsolar-mass component. We use the upper limits to constrain two fiducial scenarios that could produce subsolar-mass black holes: primordial black holes (PBH) and a model of dissipative dark matter. The PBH model uses recent prescriptions for the merger rate of PBH binaries that include a rate suppression factor to effectively account for PBH early binary disruptions. If the PBHs are monochromatically distributed, we can exclude a dark matter fraction in PBHs $f_\mathrm{PBH} \gtrsim \, 0.6$ (at 90 per cent confidence) in the probed subsolar-mass range. However, if we allow for broad PBH mass distributions, we are unable to rule out fPBH = 1. For the dissipative model, where the dark matter has chemistry that allows a small fraction to cool and collapse into black holes, we find an upper bound fDBH < 10−5 on the fraction of atomic dark matter collapsed into black holes.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Structure of 30 Mg explored via in-beam γ-ray spectroscopy

In the island of inversion, ground states of neutron-rich sd-shell nuclei exhibit strong admixtures of intruder configurations from the fp shell. The nucleus 30 Mg, located at the boundary of the island of inversion, serves as a cornerstone to track the structural evolution as one approaches this region. Spin-parity assignments for excited states in 30 Mg, especially negative-parity levels, have yet to be established. In the present work, the nuclear structure of 30Mg was investigated by in-beam gamma-ray spectroscopy mainly focusing on firm spin-parity determinations. High-intensity rare-isotope beams of 31 Mg, 32 Mg, 34 Si, and 35 P bombarded a Be target to induce nucleon removal reactions populating states in 30 Mg. Gamma rays were detected by the state-of-the-art gamma-ray tracking array GRETINA. For the direct one-neutron removal reaction, final-state exclusive cross sections and parallel momentum distributions were deduced. Multi-nucleon removal reactions from different projectiles were exploited to gain complementary information. With the aid of the parallel momentum distributions, an updated level scheme with revised spin-parity assignments was constructed. Spectroscopic factors associated with each state were also deduced. Results were confronted with large-scale shell-model calculations using two different effective interactions, showing excellent agreement with the present level scheme. Furthermore, a marked difference in the spectroscopic factors indicates that the full delineation of the transition into the island of inversion remains a challenge for theoretical models.

20 ≤ A ≤ 38↗
DOE OSTI2025

Neural refinement of sample weights

Monte Carlo simulations are an essential tool in particle physics data analysis. Events are typically generated alongside weights that redistribute the cross section of the simulated process across the phase space. These weights can be negative, and several post hoc methods have been developed to eliminate or mitigate the negative values. All of these methods share the common strategy of approximating the average weight as a function of phase space. We introduce an alternative approach, which, instead of reweighting to the average, refines the initial weights with a scaling transformation, utilizing a phase space-dependent factor. Since this new refinement method does not need to model the full weight distribution, it can be more accurate. High-dimensional and unbinned phase space is processed using neural networks for the refinement method. In addition to the refinement method, we introduce a new resampling protocol, which can be used in conjunction with any weight transformation to not only preserve the average weight but also the statistical uncertainties of the initial distribution. Using both realistic and synthetic examples, we show that the new neural refinement method is able to match or exceed the accuracy of similar weight transformations and that the new resampling protocol is simpler in implementation than previous methods while exhibiting equivalent statistical properties.

Artificial neural networks↗
DOE OSTI2025

A Participation Factor-Based Approach for Defining the EMT Model Boundary for Power System Simulations with Inverter-Based Resources

The increasing penetration of inverter-based resources (IBRs) introduces new challenges to power system simulations, particularly with the emergence of fast electromagnetic transient (EMT) dynamics and sub-synchronous oscillations (SSO) that require time-consuming EMT simulations. To reduce the time cost for simulating a large-scale power grid with IBRs, this paper proposes a novel participation factor-based approach for defining a critical zone for detailed EMT modeling and simulations, which includes the IBRs, synchronous generators, and the network components participating significantly in simulated contingencies. Both model-based and response-based methods are introduced for the estimation of participation factors (PFs). The case study on the 240-bus Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC) system demonstrates that the EMT zone determined by the proposed approach can effectively capture power system dynamics involving IBRs.

EMT simulation↗
DOE OSTI2023

Cloud Services Enable Efficient AI-Guided Simulation Workflows across Heterogeneous Resources

Applications which fuse machine learning and simulation are rarely best served by a single computing resource. Highly parallel simulation codes are best deployed on super- computers, while AI tasks used to decide which simulations to perform may be best suited to specialized accelerators. Here we present a Function-as-a-Service (FaaS) system for executing complex, distributed computational campaigns that achieves performance parity with conventional workflow systems without the complexities of secure network connections between compute providers. One innovation enabling high performance is a subsystem that directly moves task data between sites, separate from the cloud-hosted FaaS system used to distribute task instructions. We also introduce a flexible scheduling system that allows us access factor of 2 trade offs between the amount of resources required to solve a problem at each compute site. We anticipate that this system will upgrade multi-site applications from demonstration projects to routine practice in computational science.

Ward, Logan↗