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DOE OSTI2026

Multi-Fidelity Bayesian Optimization with Gaussian Processes for Double Shell Inertial Confinement Fusion Target Design

Reliable, secure access to energy is a major focus for national security efforts. One potential route to such energy is through fusion reactions in inertial confinement fusion (ICF) experiments. Such experiments are carried out at facilities such as the National Ignition Facility (NIF) in Livermore, California, where high powered lasers are used to compress a DT fuel-containing target to the necessary high temperature, high pressure conditions. These experiments are limited in number, which creates a heavy dependence on high fidelity predictive physics simulations and analysis performed “pre shot,” or before the experiment occurs. Many of these simulations in higher dimensions (2D and 3D) are computationally expensive, so finding optimal simulation-based designs presents its own challenges. In this work, we present our multi-fidelity Bayesian optimization with Gaussian processes (GPs) for ICF double shell targets, where a 1D surrogate model is used to help find a 2D surrogate model, enabling us to find optimal targets in the higher fidelity (2D), while saving computational cost.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Blazar variability power spectra from radio up to TeV photon energies: Mrk 421 and PKS 2155−304

ABSTRACT We present the results of the power spectral density (PSD) analysis for the blazars Mrk 421 and PKS 2155−304, using good-quality, densely sampled light curves at multiple frequencies, covering 17 decades of the electromagnetic spectrum, and variability time-scales from weeks up to a decade. The data were collected from publicly available archives of observatories at radio from Owens Valley Radio Observatory, optical and infrared (B, V, R, I, J, H, and Kbands), X-rays from the Swift and the Rossi X-ray Timing Explorer, high and very high energy (VHE) γ-rays from the Fermi and Very Energetic Radiation Imaging Telescope Array System as well as the High Energy Stereoscopic System. Our results are: (1) the power-law form of the variability power spectra at radio, infrared, and optical frequencies have slopes ∼1.8, indicative of random-walk-type noise processes; (2) the power-law form of the variability power spectra at higher frequencies, from X-rays to VHE γ-rays, however, have slopes ∼1.2, suggesting a flicker noise-type process; and (3) there is significantly more variability power at X-rays, high and VHE γ-rays on time-scales ≲ 100 d, as compared to lower energies. Our results do not easily fit into a simple model, in which a single compact emission zone is dominating the radiative output of the blazars across all the time-scales probed in our analysis. Instead, we argue that the frequency-dependent shape of the variability power spectra points out a more complex picture, with highly inhomogeneous outflow producing non-thermal emission over an extended, stratified volume.

Goyal, Arti↗

DOE OSTI2023

Incoherent electronic band states in Mn-substituted BaFe 2 As 2

Chemical substitution is commonly used to explore new ground states in materials, yet the role of disorder is often overlooked. In Mn-substituted BaFe 2 ⁢As 2 (MnBFA), superconductivity (SC) is absent, despite being observed for nominal hole-doped phases. Instead, a glassy magnetic phase emerges, associated with the S = 5/2 Mn local spins. In this work, we present a comprehensive investigation of the electronic structure of MnBFA using angle-resolved photoemission spectroscopy (ARPES). We find that Mn causes a small and orbital-specific reduction of the electron pockets, only partially disrupting nesting conditions. Based upon the analysis of the spectral properties, we observe, for all bands, an increase in the electronic scattering rate as a function of Mn content. This is interpreted as increasing band incoherence, which we propose as the primary contributor to the suppression of the magnetic order in MnBFA. Further, this finding connects the MnBFA electronic band structure properties to the glassy magnetic behavior observed in these materials and suggests that SC is absent because of the collective magnetic impurity behavior that scatters the Fe-derived excitations. Additionally, our analysis shows that the binding energy (E B ) dependence of the imaginary part of the self-energy [Im⁡Σ⁡(E B )] is best described by a fractional scaling (Im⁡Σ⁡(E B )∝$\sqrt-E_{B}$). These results indicate that Mn tunes MnBFA into an electronic disordered phase between the correlated Hund's metal in BaFe 2 ⁢As 2 and the Hund's insulator in BaMn 2 ⁢As 2 .

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2020

First-principles calculation of the configurational energy density of states for a solid-state ion conductor with a variant of the Wang and Landau algorithm

In this work, a variant of the Wang and Landau algorithm for calculation of the configurational energy density of states is proposed. The algorithm was developed for the purpose of using first-principles simulations, such as density functional theory, to calculate the partition function of disordered sublattices in crystal materials. The expensive calculations of first-principles methods make a parallel algorithm necessary for a practical computation of the configurational energy density of states within a supercell approximation of a solid-state material. The algorithm developed in this work is tested with the two-dimensional (2d) Ising model to bench mark the algorithm and to help provide insight for implementation to a materials science application. Tests with the 2d Ising model revealed that the algorithm has good performance compared to the original Wang and Landau algorithm and the 1/$\textit{t}$ algorithm, in particular the short iteration performance. Further, a proof of convergence is presented within an adiabatic assumption, and the analysis is able to correctly predict the time dependence of the modification factor to the density of states. The algorithm was then applied to the lithium and lanthanum sublattice of the solid-state lithium ion conductor Li 0.5 La 0.5 TiO 3 . This was done to help understand the disordered nature of the lithium and lanthanum. The results find, overall, that the algorithm performs very well for the 2d Ising model and that the results for Li 0.5 La 0.5 TiO 3 are consistent with experiment while providing additional insight into the lithium and lanthanum ordering in the material. The primary result is that the lithium and lanthanum become more mixed between layers along the c axis for increasing temperature. In part, the simulation of the disordered Li 0.5 La 0.5 TiO 3 system serves as a benchmark for what size systems are currently and in the near future practical to calculate with density functional theory methods.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2022

Competition between energy- and entropy-driven activation in glasses

In simplified models of glasses we clarify the existence of two different kinds of coexisting activated dynamics, with one of the two dominating over the other. One is the energy barrier hopping that is typically used to understand activation, and the other, which we call entropic activation, is driven by the scarcity of convenient directions in phase space. When entropic activation dominates, the height of the energy barriers is no longer the primary factor governing the system's slowdown. In our analysis, dominance of one mechanism over the other depends on temperature and the shape of the density of states. Herein, we also find that at low temperatures a phase transition between the two kinds of activation can occur. Our observations are used to provide a scenario that can harmonize the facilitation and thermodynamic pictures of the slowdown of glasses into a single description.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2026

Uncovering hidden bias in neutron diffraction residual strain measurements

When calculating residual strain via neutron or X-ray diffraction, uncertainties propagated from the peak fit are often inadequate to describe the true scatter of measurements about a singular strain state, such as one that should describe a macroscopic continuum. Because diffraction is inherently a selective process, orientation-dependent scatter arises from the sub-sampling of strong microstructure and strain gradients. This paper investigates the appropriateness of propagated uncertainties with reference to their original intention, i.e. noise about a mean value. Thirty-six unique orientations of strain measurements are taken at multiple locations within an additive friction-stir deposition component with fine-scale gradients (∼200 µm) of plastic strain, texture and residual elastic strain. Multiple strain and stress calculation pathways are compared: direct substitution of three measurements into Hooke's law, direct inversion of any six unique orientations into the strain state tensor and thirty-six measurement least-squares estimation. For the last two cases, the appropriateness of the uncertainty interval is statistically evaluated on the basis of a physical constraint: common agreement under the strain transformation law. For this sample, the direct inversion of six measurements retains a conservative estimate of the uncertainty. However, propagated uncertainties in the least-squares solution greatly underestimate the true experimental scatter. A simple pathway to estimate appropriate uncertainty intervals is suggested. These results demonstrate that the interpretation of uncertainty in residual strain is strongly dependent on intrinsic sample-dependent effects, and that oversampling orientations and statistical analysis can give more accurate results with realistic uncertainties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Computational Procedure for Assessing I$_{c}(\varepsilon$) in Nb$_{3}$Sn/Bi-2212 Hybrid Magnets

The critical current of superconductors is commonly measured by testing unloaded wires under an external magnetic field. While stressed by intense Lorentz forces, the existing HTS/LTS superconductors are prone to a reduction in critical current before reaching their structural mechanical limit. Here, in this work, the magnetic and mechanical analysis of the FNAL 4-layer Bi-2212/Nb$_{3}$Sn hybrid dipole magnet is reported, aimed at predicting the critical current degradation for both the superconductors during powering at 16T. All the Rutherford cables in the coils of the hybrid magnet were modeled at the strand level in Ansys APDL with the heterogeneous cable model. Utilizing this detailed geometry, it was possible to evaluate the effects of strain on the critical current degradation for both the Nb$_{3}$Sn and Bi-2212 superconductors under the intense Lorentz forces. The analysis presented in this paper integrates strain-dependent critical current laws, with parameters derived from experimental data, to simulate the hybrid magnet's performance for all possible current-powering configurations. The proposed methodology enables a detailed assessment of conductor integrity and I$_{C}(\varepsilon$) reduction in existing hybrid magnet designs, providing a versatile and rigorous framework for optimizing future high-field hybrid magnets.

D'Agliano, A. [Lawrence Berkeley National Laborato↗

DOE OSTI2021

Galvanostatic Intermittent Titration Technique Reinvented: Part I. A Critical Review

The galvanostatic intermittent titration technique (GITT), introduced in 1977 by Weppner and Huggins, provided a readily accessible means to measuring the chemical diffusion coefficient of electrochemical electrode materials. The method continues to be widely used today, but the reported diffusivity values are highly inconsistent, ranging as much as four orders of magnitude for some Li layered oxide compositions. Even qualitative trends of diffusivity are inconsistent, suggesting significant flaws in the implementation of the method. Other variants of the GITT method also suffer from similar inconsistency problems. Here we identify numerous sources of significant error including composition-dependent reaction overpotentials, mathematical flaws in the relaxation analysis methods, finite-size and non-planar geometry effects, inter-particle inhomogeneity issues, early transient effects, and surface area uncertainties. We propose a simple relaxation analysis scheme using the time variable t relax + τ - t relax , where t relax is relaxation time and τ is the galvanostatic pulse duration. We also propose to use dense diffusion-limited samples to isolate the bulk-diffusion process in the time domain. Chemical diffusivity can be extracted much more reliably with this improved implementation of the GITT method.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Toward Human-Centric Transportation and Energy Metrics: Influence of Mode, Vehicle Occupancy, Trip Distance, and Fuel Economy

Traditional metrics measuring transportation and energy outcomes can be augmented to better represent impacts on people's lives and systems-level performance. In this context, this study introduces two novel metrics: road capacity (as number of people traveling and accessing services) and energy intensity (as energy use for people traveling and accessing services). Current national-level distributions of available data in the United States for factors contributing to the two new integrated metrics are used as context to evaluate potential outcomes. These factors include vehicle occupancy, mode share, fuel economy, and trip distance. Variations in input values provide insights on how these factors shape efficiencies in road capacity and energy intensity. Parametric sensitivity analysis indicates that the impact of each input depends upon the metric being evaluated. For the human-centered road capacity mobility metric, increasing vehicle occupancy has the largest effect – twice that of increasing mode share for bike, walk, and transit. For the energy intensity mobility metric, the effect of improving fuel economy is the largest. However, when the focus is on accessibility (instead of mobility), for both metrics the effect of lowering average trip distance is the largest. Additionally, a novel interactive tool to visualize the results for various parameter combinations makes the metrics practitioner ready. The findings suggest that the diffusion of new human-centric metrics that benchmark outcomes associated with road capacity and energy may be significant in motivating new sustainable transportation investments and efficient utilization of infrastructure, mobility assets, and services.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Disruption of histone acetylation homeostasis reveals multilayered chromatin regulation for transcriptional resiliency

Background Epigenetic modifications, nucleosome occupancy, and three-dimensional chromatin architecture collectively create a multi-layered, highly interactive regulatory system for controlling genomic functionality. Dysregulation of epigenetic processes leads to a plethora of abnormalities including disease states. Therapies focused on epigenetic modulation can alter gene expression to correct dysfunction, though the perpetuation of these states and the relationships among chromatin regulatory layers is not well understood. Results Here, we investigated global and local chromatin structural and functional responses after acute histone deacetylase inhibitor treatment (suberoylanilide hydroxamic acid) in lung cancer cells across time. Treatment substantially increased global histone acetylation resulting in a pervasive but not distinctive signature. The spread of acetylation did not significantly impact global chromatin accessibility, and nucleosome remodeling largely occurred at finer scales in functionally relevant genomic regions. Indeed, both H 3 K 4 trimethylation, a mark of active transcription, and gene expression changes were altered in a controlled locus-specific manner, suggesting aberrant acetylation indirectly leads to balanced and bidirectional gene expression profiles from tighter regulation of other chromatin features. HDACi treatment induced (13%) genomic rearrangement in chromatin compartmentalization and moderate weakening of topologically associating domains. Conclusions Continuous wavelet analysis of these features demonstrates that scale-dependent, locus-specific factors influence the relationship between chromatin architecture and functional output, suggesting that regulation of transcription and nucleosome remodeling is not entirely (nor linearly) dependent upon large scale compartment exchange. Structural and functional responses are most pronounced early after treatment with partial persistence of differential local chromatin features and expression later in time; this highlights the plasticity of chromatin regulation, which may have implications for the efficacy of epigenetic treatments. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of multi-layered regulation of transcription: in resilient systems, disruption of one chromatin feature does not distort the regulation of other features in supporting a transcriptional program that allows for survival.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

The impact of climate change on Korea’s agricultural sector under the national self-sufficiency policy

Evolving environmental conditions due to climate change have brought about changes in agriculture, which is required for human life as both a source of food and income. International trade can act as a buffer against potential negative impacts of climate change on crop yields, but recent years have seen breakdowns in global trade, including export bans to improve domestic food security. For countries that rely heavily on imported food, governments may institute policies to protect their agricultural industry from changes in climate-induced crop yield changes and other countries’ potential trade restrictions. This study assesses the individual and combined effects of climate impacts and food self-sufficiency policies in Korea, which is highly dependent on imports. We use the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM), a global integrated assessment model, to explore (1) the direct impact of climate change on Korea’s agricultural yields, (2) the full impacts of global climate change on agricultural production, including trade-induced changes due to yield changes in other regions, (3) the impacts of food self-sufficiency policy, and (4) the interactive impact of climate change and self-sufficiency policies. We find that, in Korea, the direct impact of climate change on agricultural yields would be overshadowed by the impact of global climate change due to changing trade patterns. Second, global climate change leads to a rise (rice and wheat) or a decline (soybeans) in Korean producer revenues, while simultaneously raising consumer expenditures on both staples and non-staples. Third, implementing self-sufficiency policies for wheat and soybeans in Korea boosts the nation’s producer revenues, in conjunction with the effects of climate change, at the cost of additional increases in consumer expenditures for both staples and non-staples.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

DOE OSTI2021

Exploring the physics of cesium lead halide perovskite quantum dots via Bayesian inference of the photoluminescence spectra in automated experiment

The unique optoelectronic properties of metal halide perovskite quantum dots (QDs) make them promising candidates for applications in light-emitting diodes (LEDs), scintillators, and other photonic devices. The automated micropipetting synthesis platform equipped with an optical reader enables the opportunity for high throughput synthesis and photoluminescent (PL) characterization of metal halide perovskite QDs for the first time. Here, we explore the compositional dependence of the PL behavior and stability of the combinatorial library of cesium lead halide (CsPbX 3 ) perovskites QDs via the automated platform. To study the stability of synthesized QDs in the binary and ternary configurations, we study the time-dependent PL properties using previously developed machine learning analysis. Additionally, to systematically explore the PL behavior in the ternary CsPbX 3 QDs system, we introduce the Bayesian inference framework that allows the probabilistic fit of multiple models to the PL data and establishes both optimal model and model parameter robustly. Furthermore, these behaviors can be used as a control parameter for the navigation of the multidimensional compositional spaces in automated synthesis. Furthermore, this analysis shows the nonuniformity of the PL peak behavior in the ternary CsPbX 3 QDs system. Further, the analysis confirms narrow size distribution and good quality of CsPbBr 3 QDs alloyed with low concentrations of iodide and chloride. We note that Bayesian Inference fit parameters can be further used as a control signal for navigation of the chemical spaces in automated synthesis.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Extending Analysis of Asay Windows to High Areal Mass Range [Slides]

The accretion layer addition to Asay window analysis results in new equations of motion that depend on the location of collisions within the layer. Asay window equations of motion can be represented in terms of experiment observables. Balance of linear momentum for variable mass systems provides a framework for developing equations of motion for Asay window diagnostics under a variety of operating assumptions. The growth in the accretion layer thickness during an experiment substantially influences mass and density measurements when high accumulation of areal mass is present.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Extending the Asay window measurement model to high areal mass ranges [Slides]

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

The Average Spectrum Norm and Near-Optimal Tensor Completion

We propose the average spectrum norm to study the minimum number of measurements required to approximate a multidimensional array (i.e., sample complexity) via low-rank tensor recovery. Our focus is on the tensor completion problem, where the aim is to estimate a multiway array using a subset of tensor entries corrupted by noise. Our average spectrum norm-based analysis provides near-optimal sample complexities, exhibiting dependence on the ambient dimensions and rank that do not suffer from exponential scaling as the order increases.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2026

Final Report: A Multi-Channel Fusion Product

The goal of this project was to measure charged fusion products from the d(d,p)t reaction in MAST-U plasmas as a function of time and position with good energy resolution using a system of up to six charged particle detectors. The data from this new diagnostic will make it possible to determine the neutral beam ion density profile as a function of R, z, and t with reduced model dependency and contribute new information to a global analysis of fast ion diagnostic data needed for the determination of the fast ion distribution function (velocity space tomography).

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Seed coat transcriptomic profiling of 5-593, a genotype important for genetic studies of seed coat color and patterning in common bean ( Phaseolus vulgaris L.)

Common bean (Phaseolus vulgaris L.) market classes have distinct seed coat colors, which are directly related to the diverse flavonoids found in the mature seed coat. To understand and elucidate the molecular mechanisms underlying the regulation of seed coat color, RNA-Seq data was collected from the black bean 5-593 and used for a differential gene expression and enrichment analysis from four different seed coat color development stages. 5-593 carries dominant alleles for 10 of the 11 major genes that control seed coat color and expression and has historically been used to develop introgression lines used for seed coat genetic analysis. Pairwise comparison among the four stages identified 6,294 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) varying from 508 to 5,780 DEGs depending on the compared stages. Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) enrichment analysis revealed that phenylpropanoid biosynthesis, flavonoid biosynthesis, and plant hormone signal transduction comprised the principal pathways expressed during bean seed coat pigment development. Transcriptome analysis suggested that most structural genes for flavonoid biosynthesis and some potential regulatory genes were significantly differentially expressed. Further studies detected 29 DEGs as important candidate genes governing the key enzymatic flavonoid biosynthetic pathways for common bean seed coat color development. Additionally, four gene models, Pv5-593.02G016100, 593.02G078700, Pv5-593.02G090900, and Pv5-593.06G121300, encode MYB-like transcription factor family protein were identified as strong candidate regulatory genes in anthocyanin biosynthesis which could regulate the expression levels of some important structural genes in flavonoid biosynthesis pathway. These findings provide a framework to draw new insights into the molecular networks underlying common bean seed coat pigment development.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

The impact of isospin dependence of pairing on fission barriers in the fission cycling regions

A systematic analysis of the ground state and fission properties of actinides and superheavy nuclei important for the r process modeling has been performed within the framework of covariant density functional theory for the first time in Ref. A brief review of the results related to the heights of primary fission barriers and systematic uncertainties in their prediction is presented. In addition, new results on the potential impact of the isospin dependence of pairing on fission barriers in fission cycling regions is provided for the first time.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗