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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 577 records · Page 32

Quantification of Numerical Uncertainty via Nonlinear Dynamical Approach

Motivations (Ensure a Higher Level of Confidence in the Predictability & Reliability of Numerical Simulation for Multiscale Complex Nonlinear Fluid Problems) - The last two decades have been an era when computation is ahead of analysis & when very large scale practical computations are increasingly used in poorly understood multiscale complex nonlinear physical problems & non-traditional fields (Especially when computations offer the ONLY way of generating this type of data limited simulations). - At present some of the numerical uncertainties can be explained and minimized by traditional numerical analysis and standard CFD practices. However, such practices, usually based on linearized analysis, MIGHT NOT be sufficient for strongly nonlinear and/or stiff problems. - We need a good understanding of the nonlinear behavior of numerical schemes being used as an integral part of code verification, validation and certification.

HEC↗

Transcribing Air Traffic Control System Command Center Planning Telecons Using Cloud-Based Automatic Speech Recognition

This paper addresses the challenge of using Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR) technology to transcribe regular teleconferences that happen between FAA Air Traffic Control System Command Center (ATCSCC) planners, stakeholders and air users. These planning teleconferences (aka telecons or planning webinars) are an integral part of managing air traffic in the U.S. National Airspace System (NAS). In particular, the meetings facilitate the creation and modification of various traffic management initiatives (TMIs), that are used to regulate the flow of air traffic. This is typically a human intensive process, requiring specialists to listen to the entire meeting audio (10-20 minutes duration) and inferring the state of the NAS (e.g., weather phenomenon) that was discussed. It would be advantageous to have digital transcripts of the audio and have useful information (e.g., related to TMIs) automatically extracted from the transcripts. In this regard, we are exploring the adoption of state-of-the-art speech to text and Natural Language Processing (NLP) tools that will achieve our objective of digitizing the webinar audio. Unfortunately, the highly technical phraseology present in the audio and limited data availability for model building make ASR difficult. To overcome this challenge, we have taken the critical first step in creating a human transcription dataset from ~20 hours of speech in the ATCSCC audio with the help of subject matter experts. A novelty of our work is the creation of a ground truth transcription dataset for ATCSCC teleconference webinars, which is particularly important for Aviation domain-specific NLP tasks. Using Microsoft Speech Studio, a cloud-based ASR platform, we have fine-tuned the English pre-trained ASR models (available in speech studio) and achieved an average word error rate (WER) of 6.81%. The baseline ASR also provides a digital version of each planning webinar, making it accessible and text-searchable for future references. Additionally, the transcriptions can serve as a bridge between raw audio data and a range of text-based NLP tasks, such as named entity recognition (NER) and intent classification, potentially enhancing the digital footprint of the webinars and other connected data sources. Our work has several potential applications. Firstly, the transcriptions can be analyzed to understand the complex decision process of creating, implementing and modifying TMIs and may also contribute to TMI prediction services. Secondly, our dataset and model can be used to develop more accurate ASR systems for aviation-specific language, which can bring about digital communication in the aviation industry (and aid current “voice only” communications, which are inherently error-prone). Lastly, the transcriptions themselves can be used as a valuable resource for training other NLP models.

Stephen S. B. Clarke↗

State-Specific Kinetic Modeling for Predictions of Radiative Heating in H 2 /He Entry Flows

A 23-species State-to-State (StS) thermochemical model for H 2 /He mixtures is developed and used to simulate 1-D shocks at conditions relevant for ice and gas giant entry flows. To implement this StS model, a literature review of the state-specific excitation and ionization rates of atomic H is first performed. While electron impact rates from various sources are found to be in relatively good agreement, large discrepancies are found in the limited data available on heavy particle impact rates. To investigate the impact of these discrepancies on the predicted shock and radiance profiles, simulations are performed for three different versions of the kinetic model, each with a different set of heavy particle impact rates from the literature. Of these three models, two are found to over-predict and one is found to under-predict the radiance values seen in corresponding experimental data from the NASA Ames Electric Arc Shock Tube (EAST) facility. A sensitivity analysis to the electron and heavy particle impact rates is then performed, from which an improved kinetic model with modified rates is proposed. This modified kinetic model is found to reproduce the total integrated radiance seen in the EAST experiments accurately. This suggests that the associated radiative heating that would be encountered by an entry probe in these environments would be well predicted by this kinetic model. However, some discrepancies are still found i the relative contributions to the total radiance from different spectral features, suggesting that additional improvements to the kinetic model still need to be made.

Outer Planet↗

Evaluation of a Regional Crop Model Implementation for Sub-National Yield Assessments in Kenya

CONTEXT: Cropping system models can be used to both assess regional food security and to monitor and predict agricultural drought. Agriculture in Kenya is extremely important to both the economy and food security of the country. OBJECTIVE: This study evaluated a regional implementation of a widely used crop model, the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT), within a coupled modeling framework, the Regional Hydrologic Extremes Assessment System (RHEAS), over Kenya. The goal of this study was to assess the ability of RHEAS to simulate the annual variability of maize yields at the county level and evaluate the uncertainty inherent in the model and inputs. METHODS: The RHEAS system implements a stochastic ensemble approach to account for field scale variabilities in crop management practices and underlying soil and weather conditions. Satellite-derived datasets were used to evaluate the land surface component of the system and seasonally disaggregated yield for 5 years was used to assess the performance of the cropping system model. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: The median correlation between RHEAS and satellite-derived soil moisture and evapotranspiration estimates were 0.78, and 0.51, respectively, indicating that the model is able to capture the key drivers of the hydrological budget. Overall, RHEAS simulated yearly yield variations with a median correlation of 0.7 with reported yields, with the best performance in the short rains season. However, across both seasons, the RHEAS model was positively biased on the order of ~1.6 MT/ha. The overall median unbiased RMSE was 0.66 MT/ha. The RHEAS system shows skill at simulating extreme departures in anomalies, and a majority of the time (62.5%) the reported yields fall within the interquartile range of the simulations. SIGNIFICANCE: One of the most important areas of improvement for the next generation of agricultural data and models is to better understand and communicate the inherent uncertainties. This is especially critical in data-limited regions. Here we present a modeling system and its implementation that begins to address these concerns. We demonstrate the ability to simulate broad trends in yields at the county level for sub-annual yields with skills that commensurate previous national/annual level studies.

Crop model↗

The Effects of Peel Ply on the Damage Tolerance Characteristics of the Space Launch System (SLS) Payload Adapter Fitting (PAF)

A payload adaptor fitting (PAF) has been manufactured at NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) in support of the Space Launch System (SLS) program. This structure is essentially a large cone made up of eight curved “lobes” that are joined together to form the cone. The lobes were manufactured via automated fiber placement (AFP). The PAF will carry predominantly compressive loads thus compression strength will be the focus of this study. The lobes are sandwich structure made with aluminum honeycomb core and carbon/epoxy face sheets. The lobes will be inserted into metallic rings at the top and bottom of the cone to form the full cone. Both front and back exterior surfaces of each lobe have a plain weave fabric placed at ±45⁰ to the vertical direction to help prevent fiber “breakout” during drilling. The face sheet of each lobe is thickest at the top and plies are dropped as the cone reaches the main acreage in the bottom section of the cone. The entire structure used resin impregnated peel ply that, once removed, supplies a good bonding surface for secondary bonding steps. The peel ply can be removed either directly after cure, or just before any bonding operation. Since foreign object impact can occur to the structure at any time during its life, damage tolerance of the PAF structure both with and without peel ply needed to be addressed because a previous study, albeit with limited data, showed some significant differences in damage tolerance whether the peel ply was present or not [1]. A literature search showed no results for comparing impact damage on composite laminates with and without peel ply. Load versus deflection of impact curves, visual damage, dent depth, damage as ascertained by thermography and cross-sectional microscopy were evaluated as part of the damage resistance of the structure. Compression After Impact (CAI) was performed to assess damage tolerance. The impact tests were conducted on representative specimens both with and without the peel ply present.

Sandwich Structure↗

Developing a Genetic Variant Calling Pipeline for Quantifying the Complex Mutagenic Load Accumulated in BioNutrients-1 Production Pack Samples

Microorganisms hold great promise for on demand production of labile nutrients and pharmaceuticals as well recycling and in situ resource utilization. The utilization of microorganisms for such tasks on space missions is hindered by the limited data on how microbes respond to spaceflight. For example, the genetic stability of microorganisms, and the genomic engineered traits added to deliver desired functions, over long-term storage in the spacecraft environment is poorly understood. The BioNutrients-1 (BN-1) mission conducted a 5-year study of desiccated storage in Low Earth Orbit (LEO) to evaluate the suitability of eight synthetic biology chassis organisms for long-duration space missions. We are employing high-depth, whole genome sequencing (WGS) to determine the mutagenic load that accumulated during long-term storage. Mutation analysis pipelines are well established for homogenous culture grown from a single colony, but the mutational landscape of the BN-1 samples present a unique analysis challenge, as every cell in the BN-1 samples had a unique genetic journey of DNA damage and repair. Consequently, sequence variants are expected at low allele frequency within samples. To address this genetic complexity, we apply two distinct computational approaches to identify mutations in pre-existing WGS data collected from populations of Chlamydomonas reinhardtii that were exposed to UV mutagenesis and growth in LEO. For reference genome free mutation detection, we utilized DiscoSNP++, which is a de Bruijn graph approach. For reference genome-based mutation detection we utilize GATK for Microbes, which is a Bayesian probabilistic approach. We will benchmark these approaches against the mutations originally identified using CRISP, a method optimized for pooled samples. Ultimately, quantifying the mutation load imposed by storage or growth on the ISS will help identify chassis organisms with both high levels of genome stability and viability, which are desirable traits for implementation of bioproduction in long-duration missions.

SNP↗

Design and Testing of a Water-Cooled Rotating Detonation Combustor at Elevated Operating Pressures - Abstract

This is an extended abstract being submitted for consideration that briefly describes the material that will be included in the final paper. This study will detail the design and testing of a water-cooled Rotating Detonation Combustor (RDC) that permits operation for extended periods of time ensuring that the device has reach a stable operating temperature. Extended run times also provides an opportunity to consider transient behaviors that occur as a result of altering the operating conditions such as equivalence ratio. The experimental setup is also unique in that it consists of a ducted exhaust with a downstream high-temperature valve that can control the pre-combustion pressure in the RDC independent of the combustor annulus and exit geometry. This paper will examine the results from the extended operation of the water-cooled RDC over a range of both transient and steady state equivalence ratios (0.5 - 1.0), pre-combustion operating pressures (0 - 207 kPa), mass flow rates (0.42 – 0.5 kg/sec) and air inlet throat area to combustor channel area ratios (0.09 – 0.32). All tests were performed while operating on hydrogen in air at a nominal air inlet temperature of 340 – 350 K. Limited data obtained at an elevated inlet air temperature of 480 K will also be discussed. Results suggest that under certain conditions the operating mode of the detonation wave can vary as it approaches a stable operating temperature. For the RDC tested, a stable operating temperature is not achieved until approximately 8-10 seconds of run time.

Ferguson, Donald↗

Achieving American Leadership in the Hydrogen Supply Chain Factsheet

Hydrogen has been identified as a key energy option to enable full decarbonization of the energy system. A secure, resilient supply chain will be critical to achieving emissions reductions and capturing the economic opportunity inherent in the energy sector transition. Electrolyzers and fuel cells are two critical components of the hydrogen supply chain that today are largely nascent industries with limited data on supply chain needs and constraints. This fact sheet summarizes findings from an accompanying report that is one in a series of deep dive assessments of the energy industrial base called for in Executive Order 14017 on America’s supply chains. The report identifies key considerations for the development of water electrolyzer and fuel cell supply chains and materials, focusing on polymer electrolyte and solid oxide technologies, to meet future demand for hydrogen produced by electrolysis and achieve U.S. decarbonization goals.

Source record↗

Quantitative Risk Analysis of High Safety Significant Safety-related Digital Instrumentation and Control Systems in Nuclear Power Plants using IRADIC Technology

This report documents the activities performed by Idaho National Laboratory (INL) during fiscal year (FY) 2021 for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) Program, Risk Informed Systems Analysis (RISA) Pathway, digital instrumentation and control (DI&C) Risk Assessment project. In FY-2019, the RISA Pathway initiated a project to develop a risk assessment strategy for delivering a strong technical basis to support effective, licensable, and secure DI&C technologies for digital upgrades/designs. An integrated risk assessment technology for the DI&C systems (IRADIC technology) was proposed for this strategy, which aims to (1) provide a best-estimate risk-informed capability to quantitatively and accurately estimate the safety margin obtained from plant modernization, especially for the High Safety Significant Safety-related (HSSSR) DI&C systems, (2) develop an advanced risk assessment technology to support transition from analog to DI&C technologies for nuclear industry, (3) assure the long-term safety and reliability of vital HSSSR DI&C systems, (4) reduce uncertainty in costs and support integration of DI&C systems in the plant. To achieve these technical goals and deal with the expensive licensing justifications from regulatory insights, the IRADIC technology is instructive for nuclear vendors and utilities to effectively lower the costs associated with digital compliance and speed industry advances by: (1) defining an integrated risk-informed analysis process for DI&C upgrade, including hazard analysis, reliability analysis, and consequence analysis, (2) applying systematic and risk-informed tools to address common cause failures (CCFs) and quantify responding failure probabilities for DI&C technologies, particularly software CCFs, (3) evaluating the impact of digital failures at the individual level, system level, and plant level, (4) providing insights and suggestions on designs to manage the risks; thus, to support the development, licensing, and deployment of advanced DI&C technologies on nuclear power plant (NPPs). In this report, an approach for performing software CCF analysis, given limited data, is developed and demonstrated using a case study of a highly redundant digital reactor trip system. Consequence analysis is also performed based on different accident scenarios. Results indicate that plant modernization including the improvement of HSSSR DI&C systems will make great benefits to plant safety by providing more safety margins to accident management. In addition, a novel approach is proposed in this report for the quantification of software hazards when sufficient operational and testing data available. The method incorporates software development quality as well as strong analysis techniques to identify and link software defects to potential failure modes. The approach includes both semantic and test-based analysis to detect failures that can exist in different stages of the software development life cycle. This method is applied to an advanced human system interface relevant to reactor trip safety developed from the APR 1400 design.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Quantitative Power System Resilience Metrics and Evaluation Approach: Preprint

Power system resilience is an emerging topic and plays an essential role in helping power industry understand and respond to the increasing threats of extreme weather events. The first step of power system resilience analysis is to introduce metrics to quantify the resilience reasonably. Existing resilience metrics are typically restrained by the limited data for extreme event modeling and fall short in terms of physical interpretation and comparability. This paper develops novel quantitative metrics to evaluate power system resilience in pre- and post-event contexts. The developed metrics illustrate clear physical meanings and can be effectively used to compare resilience across different systems under different extreme events. Moreover, the developed metrics can be applied to both transmission and distribution systems. Simulation on a distribution system is employed to validate the effectiveness of the proposed resilience metrics and resilience evaluation approach.

power system resilience↗

An Assessment of Kinetic Models for Ammonia Flame Extinction

The growing interest in using ammonia as a carbon-neutral replacement fuel has prompted numerous recent research efforts towards understanding fundamental combustion characteristics and chemical kinetics of ammonia oxidation. Despite these recent efforts, there remains a large deficiency in extinction limit data for ammonia flames, particularly under elevated pressure and temperature conditions relevant to gas turbines. Even the literature reaction mechanisms developed specifically for ammonia have been untested under gas turbine relevant conditions, and existing kinetic models have shown large variations in laminar flame speed, extinction strain rate, and speciation predictions for NH3–H2 mixtures at ambient conditions. Recent work by Thomas and co-workers, for example, compared different ammonia kinetic models in the literature for predicting their extinction strain rate measurements for non-premixed NH3-H2 counterflow flames, and again have highlighted the discrepancies in model predictions. Here, our work has undertaken to further highlight important reaction pathways for ammonia oxidation that may be responsible for these discrepancies for extinction strain rate predictions, as well as elucidate sensitive reaction steps with large uncertainties that require further attention. This work points to a need for an improved understanding of ammonia combustion chemistry as well as new datasets at elevated pressure and temperature conditions to better constrain rate expressions for key reaction steps.

ammonia, flame, combustion, kinetic, kinetics↗

TopTemp: Parsing Precipitate Structure from Temper Topology

Technological advances are in part enabled by the development of novel manufacturing processes that give rise to new materials or material property improvements. Development and evaluation of new manufacturing methodologies is labor-, time-, and resource-intensive expensive due to complex, poorly defined relationships between advanced manufacturing process parameters and the resulting microstructures. In this work, we present a topological representation of temper (heat-treatment) dependent material micro-structure, as captured by scanning electron microscopy, called TopTemp. We show that this topological representation is able to support temper classification of microstructures in a data limited setting, generalizes well to previously unseen samples, is robust to image perturbations, and captures domain interpretable features. The presented work outperforms conventional deep learning baselines and is a first step towards improving understanding of process parameters and resulting material properties.

Kassab, Lara↗

DESIGN AND PROTOYPING OF A FISSILE-BEARING CHLORIDE SALT IRRADIATION EXPERIMENT

Limited data exists on the properties of irradiated fueled chloride-based salts for use in advanced nuclear reactors. The design and prototyping of a salt irradiation experiment is underway. Mechanical design will integrate the experiment into existing assemblies in TRIGA type cores. Neutronics modeling demonstrated how targeted power densities can be reached and provide insight on radionuclide source term generation within the experiment. Thermal-hydraulic and computational fluid dynamics (CFD) analysis indicated that temperature ranges in the salt can satisfy both safety and programmatic requirements. Initial prototyping tests provided confidence in the ability to extract the salt post-irradiation, and in the heater performance. Future planned prototyping will provide an integral assessment of the proposed design prior to insertion in the reactor.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Precise Measurement of the Neutron Magnetic Form Factor Using Super-BigBite Spectrometer at Jefferson Lab

The GMn experiment (E12-09-019) was conducted at Jefferson Laboratory from late 2021 into early 2022. The goal was to make high-precision measurement of the neutron’s magnetic form factor (GMn) at multiple kinematic points, including Q2 = 3.5, 4.5, 6.5, 8.5, 10, 12, 13.5, 16, and 18 (GeV/c)2. Limited data exist for GMn in the region up to about Q2 = 10 (GeV/c)2, with existing data having large systematic uncertainty. In this experiment, the ratio method was employed to reduce systematic uncertainty by measuring the ratio of neutron and proton yields. The experiment took place at Jefferson Laboratory in Hall A, where the BigBite spectrometer was used to detect the scattered electrons, while the HCal in the SuperBigbite spectrometer was used to detect both neutrons and protons. The protons were deflected slightly upwards with the use of a large-aperture dipole magnet named BigBen, allowing for enhanced particle identification. Extraction of GMn requires taking the ratio of proton and neutron yields. Analysis efforts are still currently underway to refine corrections to the data, including detector efficiencies, radiative corrections, neutron and proton mass identification, and charge exchange.

Lashley-Colthirst, Nathaniel↗

Event-Based Energy Impact Tracking and Forecasting with Limited Measurements for Rooftop Units

Packaged air conditioning units and heat pumps, also known as rooftop units (RTUs), are responsible for almost 133 billion kWh of electricity usage annually on site for space cooling U.S. commercial buildings. In addition, the use of heat pumps is a trend we expect to accelerate as buildings transition from fossil fuel-based heating to electricity as a key step for decarbonizing the U.S. commercial buildings sector. However, the operation conditions and energy use of RTUs and heat pumps are usually not well monitored as they are not commonly integrated with building automation systems and lack exposed sensing and control points. To fill this gap, this paper proposes a framework for tracking and forecasting energy impacts resulting from degradation of performance and improved performance for unit servicing using limited data. The proposed framework makes use of a constrained dataset, specifically measurements of the outdoor air temperature and the power demand of individual RTUs, to track and forecast changes in energy use associated with changes in performance over various temporal horizons ranging from days to weeks. Following the detection of an RTU fault, performance degradation, or performance improvement, the framework employs a prediction model to assess the cumulative energy impact. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the method with field-collected data for servicing and degradation examples and compare the predicting accuracy of Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) Regression models to Support Vector Regression and Linear Regression models. The results show that GBDT achieved the best accuracy for time-series validation datasets for the servicing and degradation cases, and the prediction model was able to track the cumulative energy impacts of events. The proposed framework can inform building owners of the cumulative change in energy usage of RTUs associated with performance degradation, performance improvement, or a fault.

packaged air conditioners, packaged heat pumps, ro↗

Integrating Crack Detection and Pipe Shape Optimization for Enhanced Sewage System Durability

Crack detection in underground reinforced concrete pipes has been essential in determining the state of stormwater infrastructure. Detection models have been implemented for detecting cracks and other defects in pipes using CCTV footage for stormwater drainage systems. In addition, Finite element models have been used to determine optimum shapes and pipe thickness for different boundary conditions such as header pipes in power plants. The concept of shape optimization emerges as a crucial factor in power plant design and operation, with the potential to maximize performance while minimizing the use of materials. Shape optimization not only enhances efficiency but also contributes to reducing the environmental footprint. This paper discusses the integration of both topics by using the cracks detected in underground pipes as boundary conditions for shape optimization of the pipes. A machine learning model has been developed which uses limited data for training and outlines the location of detected cracks. A shape optimization methodology is proposed in which ANSYS modules are used to analyze fluid flow and then optimize the shape of the pipe. The crack detection model developed has been applied to a crack detected in lab setting and machine learning model used has an accuracy of 98% using a random forest algorithm.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Pre-Transient Characterization of MLOF-1 Test Pin

This study focuses on the pre-transient characterization of U-10Zr test and sibling fuel pins for the THOR-M-LOF test series. Using neutron radiography, element contact profilometry (ECP), precise gamma scan (PGS), and gas assay, sampling, and recharge (GASR) analysis, it was confirmed that the fuel pins were intact and suitable for testing. Key fuel behaviors quantified include axial elongation, diametral strain, fluff structure geometry, axial isotope distribution, and fission gas release. Any deviations from historically expected behaviors were investigated and attributed to factors other than the irradiation behavior of the fuel pin. These pre-transient measurements establish a baseline for future post-transient analysis, which will be used to inform fuel performance models and safety criteria for sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFRs). The results will enhance understanding of transient fuel behavior and expand limited data on LOF scenarios.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Facies Analysis of the Prairie Du Chien Group in the Illinois Basin and Analogous Rocks in Missouri and Kentucky

Funded in 2023 by the U.S. Department of Energy’s Phase II Carbon Storage Assurance Facility Enterprise (CarbonSAFE) initiative, a Heidelberg Materials cement plant in Mitchell, Indiana, is currently being evaluated as a potential Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) subsurface injection site. The Heidelberg CCS project targets the middle to upper Prairie du Chien Group (Early Ordovician) in southwestern Indiana. Assessment of reservoir feasibility requires collection of field data, seismic surveys, well-log correlation, geologic modeling, characterization well drilling, well testing, and reservoir simulation. However, the proposed Heidelberg CCS site is in a data-limited region, lacking both outcrop analogs and deep wells penetrating the target interval, which makes geologic modelling difficult prior to drilling a characterization well. To directly address this problem, the present study was undertaken to understand the sedimentologic composition and stratigraphic architecture of the Prairie du Chien Group from analogous outcrops and cores in the Illinois Basin and adjacent regions.

Ali, Shah Bilawal [Univ. of Illinois at Urbana-Cha↗