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At least 577 records · Page 32

Combined Aircraft and Satellite-Derived Storm Electric Current and Lightning Rates Measurements and Implications for the Global Electric Circuit

Using rotating vane electric field mills and Gerdien capacitors, we measured the electric field profile and conductivity during 850 overflights of electrified shower clouds and thunderstorms spanning regions including the Southeastern United States, the Western Atlantic Ocean, the Gulf of Mexico, Central America and adjacent oceans, Central Brazil, and the South Pacific. The overflights include storms over land and ocean, with and without lightning, and with positive and negative fields above the storms. The measurements were made with the NASA ER-2 and the Altus-II high altitude aircrafts. Peak electric fields, with lightning transients removed, ranged from -1.0 kV/m to 16 kV/m, with a mean value of 0.9 kV/m. The median peak field was 0.29 kV/m. Integrating our electric field and conductivity data, we determined total conduction currents and flash rates for each overpass. With knowledge of the storm location (land or ocean) and type (with or without lightning), we determine the mean currents by location and type. The mean current for ocean storms with lightning is 1.6 A while the mean current for land storms with lightning is 1.0 A. The mean current for oceanic storms without lightning (i.e., electrified shower clouds) is 0.39 A and the mean current for land storms without lightning is 0.13 A. Thus, on average, land storms with or without lightning have about half the mean current as their corresponding oceanic storm counterparts. Over three-quarters (78%) of the land storms had detectable lightning, while less than half (43%) of the oceanic storms had lightning. We did not find any significant regional or latitudinal based patterns in our total conduction currents. By combining the aircraft derived storm currents and flash rates with diurnal lightning statistics derived from the Lightning Imaging Sensor (LIS) and Optical Transient Detector (OTD) low Earth orbiting satellites, we reproduce the diurnal variation in the global electric circuit (i.e., the Carnegie curve) to within 4% for all but two short periods of time. This excellent agreement with the Carnegie curve was obtained without any tuning or adjustment of the satellite or aircraft data. Given our data and assumptions, mean contributions to the global electric circuit are 0.7 kA (ocean) and 1.1 kA (land) from lightning-producing storms, and 0.22 kA (ocean) and 0.04 (land) from electrified shower clouds, resulting in a mean total conduction current estimate for the global electric circuit of 2.0 kA. Breaking the results down into mean storm counts reveals 1100 for land storms with lightning, 530 for ocean storms without lightning, 390 for ocean storms with lightning, and 330 for land storms without lightning.

Mach, Douglas M.↗

DENSITY AND ECCENTRICITY OF KEPLER PLANETS

We analyze the transit timing variations (TTV) obtained by the Kepler mission for 22 sub-Jovian planet pairs (19 published, 3 new) that lie close to mean motion resonances. We find that the TTV phases for most of these pairs lie close to zero, consistent with an eccentricity distribution that has a very low root-mean-squared value of e {approx} 0.01; but about a quarter of the pairs possess much higher eccentricities, up to e {approx} 0.1-0.4. For the low-eccentricity pairs, we are able to statistically remove the effect of eccentricity to obtain planet masses from TTV data. These masses, together with those measured by radial velocity, yield a best-fit mass-radius relation M {approx} 3 M{sub Circled-Plus }(R/R{sub Circled-Plus }). This corresponds to a constant surface escape velocity of {approx}20 km s{sup -1}. We separate the planets into two distinct groups: ''mid-sized'' (those greater than 3 R{sub Circled-Plus }) and 'compact' (those smaller). All mid-sized planets are found to be less dense than water and therefore must contain extensive H/He envelopes that are comparable in mass to that of their cores. We argue that these planets have been significantly sculpted by photoevaporation. Surprisingly, mid-sized planets, a minority among Kepler candidates, are discovered exclusively around stars more massive than 0.8 M{sub Sun }. The compact planets, on the other hand, are often denser than water. Combining our density measurements with those from radial velocity studies, we find that hotter compact planets tend to be denser, with the hottest ones reaching rock density. Moreover, hotter planets tend to be smaller in size. These results can be explained if the compact planets are made of rocky cores overlaid with a small amount of hydrogen, {<=}1% in mass, with water contributing little to their masses or sizes. Photoevaporation has exposed bare rocky cores in cases of the hottest planets. Our conclusion that these planets are likely not water worlds contrasts with some previous studies. While mid-sized planets most likely accreted their hydrogen envelope from the proto-planetary disks, compact planets could have obtained theirs via either accretion or outgassing. The presence of the two distinct classes suggests that 3 R{sub Circled-Plus} could be identified as the dividing line between 'hot Neptunes' and 'super-Earths'.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

TRANSIT TIMING OBSERVATIONS FROM KEPLER. VIII. CATALOG OF TRANSIT TIMING MEASUREMENTS OF THE FIRST TWELVE QUARTERS

Following the works of Ford et al. and Steffen et al. we derived the transit timing of 1960 Kepler objects of interest (KOIs) using the pre-search data conditioning light curves of the first twelve quarters of the Kepler data. For 721 KOIs with large enough signal-to-noise ratios, we obtained also the duration and depth of each transit. The results are presented as a catalog for the community to use. We derived a few statistics of our results that could be used to indicate significant variations. Including systems found by previous works, we have found 130 KOIs that showed highly significant times of transit variations (TTVs) and 13 that had short-period TTV modulations with small amplitudes. We consider two effects that could cause apparent periodic TTV—the finite sampling of the observations and the interference with the stellar activity, stellar spots in particular. We briefly discuss some statistical aspects of our detected TTVs. We show that the TTV period is correlated with the orbital period of the planet and with the TTV amplitude.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Charge-order fluctuations and superconductivity in two-dimensional organic metals

We report comprehensive Raman and infrared investigations of charge-order (CO) fluctuations in the organicmetal beta ''-(BEDT-TTF)(2)SF5CHFSO3 and superconductor beta ''-(BEDT-TTF)(2)SF5CH2CF2SO3. The chargesensitive vibrational bands are analyzed through an extension of the well-known Kubo model for the spectral signatures of an equilibrium between two states. At room temperature, both salts exhibit charge fluctuations between two differently charged molecular states with an exchange frequency of about 6 x 10(11) s(-1). The exchange rate of the metallic salt remains roughly constant down to 10 K, while in the superconductor, the exchange velocity starts to decrease below 200 K, and a "frozen" charge-ordered state emerges and coexists with the charge-order fluctuation state down to the superconducting temperature. These findings are confronted with other spectroscopic experiments, and a tentative phase diagram is proposed for the beta '' BEDT-TTF quarter-filled salts.

Girlando, Alberto↗

Lightning Optical Pulse Statistics from Storm Overflights During the Altus Cumulus Electrification Study

The Altus Cumulus Electrification Study (ACES) was conducted during the month of August, 2002 in an area near Key West, Florida. One of the goals of this uninhabited aerial vehicle (UAV) study was to collect time resolved optical pulse data from thunderstorms. During the month long campaign, we acquired 5294 lightning generated optical pulses. Most of these observations were made while close to the top of the storms. We divided our data into two amplitude groups based on prior NASA U2 aircraft optical data and our pulse characteristics. The group of large pulses with radiance greater than 2.1 mW /sq m sr had mean and median 10 - 10% optical pulse widths of 765 and 735 microns respectively, the 50-50% pulse widths of 396 and 355 microns respectively, and 10-90% rise times of 290 and 260 microns. These values are very similar to the previous U2 based optical results The other group of pulses consisting of slightly more than a quarter of the total pulses observed had radiances less than the minimum values detected in the U2 study. The small pulses were narrower than the large pulses with 5040% mean and median values of 198 and 160 ps respectively. Only 12 % of the flashes contained only small pulses, minimizing the impact of this data on the estimates of detection efficiencies of the orbital instruments, the Lightning Imaging Sensor and Optical Transient Detector.

Mach, D. M.↗

A Checklist to Improve Patient Safety in Interventional Radiology

To develop a specific RADiological Patient Safety System (RADPASS) checklist for interventional radiology and to assess the effect of this checklist on health care processes of radiological interventions. On the basis of available literature and expert opinion, a prototype checklist was developed. The checklist was adapted on the basis of observation of daily practice in a tertiary referral centre and evaluation by users. To assess the effect of RADPASS, in a series of radiological interventions, all deviations from optimal care were registered before and after implementation of the checklist. In addition, the checklist and its use were evaluated by interviewing all users. The RADPASS checklist has two parts: A (Planning and Preparation) and B (Procedure). The latter part comprises checks just before starting a procedure (B1) and checks concerning the postprocedural care immediately after completion of the procedure (B2). Two cohorts of, respectively, 94 and 101 radiological interventions were observed; the mean percentage of deviations of the optimal process per intervention decreased from 24 % before implementation to 5 % after implementation (p < 0.001). Postponements and cancellations of interventions decreased from 10 % before implementation to 0 % after implementation. Most users agreed that the checklist was user-friendly and increased patient safety awareness and efficiency. The first validated patient safety checklist for interventional radiology was developed. The use of the RADPASS checklist reduced deviations from the optimal process by three quarters and was associated with less procedure postponements.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Observed Surface Disturbances Associated with the DPRK’s 3 September 2017 Underground Nuclear Test

Satellite-based Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data of the Punggye-ri nuclear test site, along with pre- and post-test optical commercial satellite imagery and a short official video (which was apparently recorded during the 3 September 2017 test), provide additional insights on the widespread surface disturbances around the peak of Mt. Mantap. These were generated by North Korea’s sixth and by far largest nuclear test (estimated to be roughly a quarter of a megaton; Zerbo, 2017). Although a number of visible landslides that are associated with this test had been previously reported, these additional data reveal more information about the widespread nature of the detected larger-scale movements that have been reported by other researchers, in addition to some smaller scale instances of localized slumping or compression within the top 200 m of the mountain; these took place in an area that was observed to contain stratified volcanic deposits not otherwise described to date. A closer look at two previously described zones of localized slippage, subsidence, or slumping (located within those identified volcanic layer deposits on the western side of Mt. Mantap) revealed useful information about the landscape of the area. Several healthy trees have been knocked down in one zone; in the other, a rock prominence had collapsed, and a 60-m-long crack or crevice appeared to have opened. It remains unclear whether these surface disturbances were associated with what had been allegedly reported by the news media as a “cave-in that was externally observable.” However, given the likely 800 m depth of the test in the lower hard-rock geology, we have been led to conclude that the notable observed localized surface disturbances cannot be interpreted as a “collapse crater” that was a result of a “cave-in” above any nuclear test created cavity and/or associated tunneling. Although the broadscale nature of the SAR and visually detected movements inhibits more precise geolocation of the test within the mountain, the radar imagery did show that the various surface ground movements were generated in opposing directions. The movements were directed away from the center on either side of the mountain; as such, they provided an empirical basis to confirm the previous seismological estimates that the detonation had occurred somewhere under the peak of Mt. Mantap. Moreover, a North Korean-sourced short video that was acquired with a ground-based camera focused directly on the peak shows a large dust cloud rising up from the mountain. In conclusion, this provides additional evidence that is consistent with that conclusion.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

An investigation of transitional management problems for the NSTS at NASA, executive summary

A summary is given of the work of the University of Houston research team for the third quarter of effort in a yearly grant for the National Space Transportation System (NSTS). As such it serves as a resting place for the ideas and concepts developed this quarter with the collaboration of the Management Integration Offices of NASA. Another objective is the hope that the report will help to stimulate the healthy problem solving process already present at NASA. The main goal of the contractual work is to help NASA to find ways and means of moving into a truly operational era with the shuttle program. This work is a continuation of early work and the reader is encouraged to read the final reports of earlier years. Chapter One of the report is an introduction. Chapter Two deals with industrial adaptation and is in two parts: theory and application. In the theory section, impressions of the management system immediately after reflight are discussed. A key issue, in the author's opinion is the seeming lack of purpose of the program. The application section has six appendices: 1988 Demographic Survey, Field Notes of Interview with HL/P South Texas Nuclear Project, a comparison of the Agendas of the current manager with that of a previous manager, a note on compartmentalization to assist in manifesting, a study on launch prediction for STS-26, and a discussion of a statistical decision-making course for upper level managers. Chapter Three deals with theoretical results returned on flow shop scheduling which will be of use downstream. Chapter Four deals with a statistical model developed to predict the flight rate in future years and indicates the program will have trouble making its schedule. Chapter Five covers the constructural effort and shows the work to be on schedule.

Hunsucker, John↗

Crack Turning and Arrest Mechanisms for Integral Structure

In the course of several years of research efforts to predict crack turning and flapping in aircraft fuselage structures and other problems related to crack turning, the 2nd order maximum tangential stress theory has been identified as the theory most capable of predicting the observed test results. This theory requires knowledge of a material specific characteristic length, and also a computation of the stress intensity factors and the T-stress, or second order term in the asymptotic stress field in the vicinity of the crack tip. A characteristic length, r(sub c), is proposed for ductile materials pertaining to the onset of plastic instability, as opposed to the void spacing theories espoused by previous investigators. For the plane stress case, an approximate estimate of r(sub c), is obtained from the asymptotic field for strain hardening materials given by Hutchinson, Rice and Rosengren (HRR). A previous study using of high order finite element methods to calculate T-stresses by contour integrals resulted in extremely high accuracy values obtained for selected test specimen geometries, and a theoretical error estimation parameter was defined. In the present study, it is shown that a large portion of the error in finite element computations of both K and T are systematic, and can be corrected after the initial solution if the finite element implementation utilizes a similar crack tip discretization scheme for all problems. This scheme is applied for two-dimensional problems to a both a p-version finite element code, showing that sufficiently accurate values of both K(sub I) and T can be obtained with fairly low order elements if correction is used. T-stress correction coefficients are also developed for the singular crack tip rosette utilized in the adaptive mesh finite element code FRANC2D, and shown to reduce the error in the computed T-stress significantly. Stress intensity factor correction was not attempted for FRANC2D because it employs a highly accurate quarter-point scheme to obtain stress intensity factors.

Pettit, Richard↗

A movable-mass attitude stabilization system for cable-connected artificial-g space stations

The development of an active, momentum-exchange system to be used for attitude stabilization of a class of cable-connected artificial-g space stations is studied. A system which employs a single movable control mass is examined for the control of a space station which has the physical appearance of two cylinders connected axially by cables. The dynamic model for the space station includes its aggregate rigid body rotation and relative torsional rotation between the bodies. A zero torsional stiffness design (one cable) and a maximum torsional stiffness design (eight cables) are examined in various stages of deployment, for selected spin velocities ranging from 4 rpm upwards. A linear, time-invariant, feed-back control system is employed, with gains calculated via a root-specification procedure. The movable mass controller provides critical wobble-damping capability for the crew quarters for all configurations and spin velocity.

Childs, D. W.↗

Fission Product Evaluation (Quarterly Report)

The LLNL team has developed a theoretical framework to compute the fission fragment charge and mass distributions of odd-mass nuclei, which can be formed in neutron-induced reactions on even-even nuclei. For example, n+ 238 U leads to the compound nucleus 239 U which has 147 neutrons. Odd-mass and odd-odd nuclei are spin-polarized: the spin of the nucleus is not equal to 0 as in even-even nuclei (a consequence of pairing correlations) but is in fact set by a single particle. In practice, that single particle can occupy different quantum-mechanical configurations, each with different spin. This affects the deformation properties of the nucleus and, as a result, the distribution of fission fragments. These distributions require two inputs for the calculation: a potential energy surface (= the total energy of the nucleus as a function of the deformation of the nuclear shape, often parametrized with 2 degrees of freedom) and the collective inertia tensor associated with each point of the PES. In an odd-mass or odd-odd nucleus, each quantity depends on the configuration of the single particle. We computed of the order of 20 to 30 different such configurations to extract the PES for spins K=1/2, 3/2, 5/2, 7/2, and 9/2 of 239 U. We then computed the primary yields for each such PES, as shown in Fig. 1 below. These yields were weighed with the spin distribution associated with the reaction 238 U+n and the resulting distribution used as input to FREYA to compute the independent yields shown in Fig. 2. These yields are then used as inputs to the FIER code to extract the cumulative yields and compare with LLNL-LANL measurements at TUNL.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Measured hot-electron intensity thresholds quantified by a two-plasmon-decay resonant common-wave gain in various experimental configurations

The fraction of laser energy converted into hot electrons by the two-plasmon-decay instability is found to have different overlapped intensity thresholds for various configurations on the Omega Laser Facility [T. R. Boehly et al., Opt. Commun. 133, 495 (1997); J. H. Kelly et al., J. Phys. IV 133, 75 (2006)]. A factor-of-2 difference in the overlapped intensity threshold is observed between two- and four-beam configurations. The overlapped intensity threshold increases by a factor of 2 between the 4- and 18-beam configurations and by a factor of 3 between the 4- and 60-beam configurations. This is explained by a linear common-wave model where multiple laser beams drive a common electron-plasma wave in a wavevector region that bisects the laser beams (resonant common-wave region in k-space). These experimental results indicate that the hot-electron threshold depends on the hydrodynamic parameters at the quarter-critical density surface, the configuration of the laser beams, and the sum of the intensity of the beams that share the same angle with the common-wave vector.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Time-resolved study of the extreme-ultraviolet emission and plasma dynamics of a sub-Joule, fast capillary discharge

In this work, we discuss experimental observations on the dynamics of a fast, low energy capillary discharge when operated in argon and its properties as an intense source of extreme-ultraviolet (EUV) radiation. The discharge pre-ionization and self-triggering were accomplished by the use of the hollow cathode effect. This allowed a compact size and low inductance discharge with multi-kA current level and a quarter-period of ∼10 ns at sub-Joule energy level. We used the novel moiré and schlieren diagnostics with a 12 ps laser to obtain the time evolution of the line electron density and to study the plasma dynamics. EUV spectroscopy and filtered diodes were also implemented to estimate the plasma temperature and density throughout the evolution of the discharge. EUV source size was measured by using a filtered slit-wire camera. We observed that EUV emission starts from a compressed plasma on axis during the second quarter-period of the current and continues until the fifth quarter-period. Ionization levels from Ar VII to X were observed. By comparing the EUV emission spectra with synthetic spectra, we found that at the onset of emission (∼7 ns), the plasma is well fitted by a single Maxwellian electron distribution function with T{sub e} ∼ 12 eV and n{sub e} ∼ 10{sup 17 }cm{sup −3}. Close to peak emission (∼13 ns), plasma temperature and density increase to ∼20 eV and n{sub e} ∼ 10{sup 18 }cm{sup −3}, respectively. However, in order to successfully match the experimental data, a two component electron distribution function was necessary. Later in time, a smaller fraction in the high energy component and higher temperature suggests homogenization of the plasma. The moiré and schlieren diagnostics showed multiple radial compression-waves merging on axis throughout the discharge; they are an important heating mechanism that leads to a period of severe turbulence at peak EUV emission. It was also observed that emission ceases when the axial maximum of the electron density collapses.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

B332 & B151 ACL Events

In September 2019, two Unexpected Radiological Event (HP-FO-601) reports were submitted to document the exceedance of a worker's default Administrative Control Level (ACL) of 100 mrem/y. One involved work in B332; the second in B151. B332 event: The worker was new to B332 and had completed qualification as an Associate Fissile Material Handler (FMH) in April of 2019. The worker received 61 mrem in June and an additional 100 mrem in July. The worker was on a monthly TLD exchange cycle. B151 event: A PLS radiochemist received ~20 mrem for the 1st quarter of the year and ~120 mrem for the 2nd quarter of the year. The worker was on a quarterly TLD exchange cycle.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

NGEE Arctic Plant Traits: Shrub Transects, Kougarok Road Mile Marker 64, Seward Peninsula, Alaska, 2016-2017

Transect data is from point center quarter (PCQ) surveys for shrub density performed in July 2016 at the Kougarok site and in July 2017 at the Kougarok, Teller, and Council sites. For each sample point along the transects, moving averages for shrub density and shrub basal area are provided along with GPS coordinates. Average shrub height and active layer depth are recorded for each sample point as well. Target shrub species differ across the transects: some surveys targeted a mixture of tall shrub species while others targeted specific species. In 2017 insect damage was also quantified. The dataset contains two *.csv data files and one *.pdf. Missing Values are represented by "NA". The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a research effort to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research. The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska. Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The kinetics of root gravitropism: dual motors and sensors

The Cholodny-Went theory of tropisms has served as a framework for investigation of root gravitropism for nearly three quarters of a century. Recent investigations using modern techniques have generated findings consistent with the classical theory, including confirmation of asymmetrical distribution of polar auxin transport carriers, molecular evidence for auxin asymmetry following gravistimulation, and generation of auxin response mutants with predictable lesions in gravitropism. Other results indicate that the classical model is inadequate to account for key features of root gravitropism. Initiation of curvature, for example, occurs outside the region of most rapid elongation and is driven by differential acceleration rather than differential inhibition of elongation. The evidence indicates that there are two motors driving root gravitropism, one of which appears not to be auxin regulated. We have recently developed technology that is capable of maintaining a constant angle of gravistimulation at any selected target region of a root while continuously monitoring growth and curvature kinetics. This review elaborates on the advantages of this new technology for analyzing gravitropism and describes applications of the technology that reveal (1) the existence of at least two phases to gravitropic motor output, even under conditions of constant stimulus input and (2) the existence of gravity sensing outside of the root cap. We propose a revised model of root gravitropism including dual sensors and dual motors interacting to accomplish root gravitropism, with only one of the systems linked to the classical Cholodny-Went theory.

Review↗

A Comparison of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Technical Evaluation for the Zion and La Crosse License Termination Plans with a Focus on Release Criteria

Zion Nuclear Power Station (ZNPS) and the La Crosse Boiling Water Reactor (LACBWR) sites are both undergoing decommissioning. Although these two sites are different in terms of size, design, and operational history, the approach for defining release criteria for decommissioning at each site is similar. ZNPS consists of two (Units 1 and 2) Pressurized Water Reactors (PWR), each approximately 1100 MWe. ZNPS is located near the city of Zion in northeast Illinois on the west shore of Lake Michigan. The two units were operated from 1973 to 1998. LACBWR was an AEC Demonstration Reactor (50 MWe) which operated from 1967 to 1987. The LACBWR site is in Vernon County, Wisconsin and is shared with an operational fossil plant. EnergySolutions is managing the decommissioning of both these sites under the separate entities ZionSolutions and LaCrosseSolutions. The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) transferred the Zion Facility Operating License from Exelon Generation Company, LLC (Exelon) to ZionSolutions on September 1, 2010. A similar license transfer from Dairyland Power Cooperative to LaCrosseSolutions is planned for the second quarter of 2016. On December 19, 2014, ZionSolutions submitted the ZNPS License Termination Plan (LTP). It is expected that the LTP for the La Crosse BWR will be submitted to the NRC in early 2016. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Analysis of Benefits Associated With Projects and Technologies Supported by the Clean Transportation Program

The California Energy Commission's Clean Transportation Program (CTP) supports a wide range of alternative, low-carbon fuel and vehicle projects. This report improves upon the 2014 Alternative and Renewable Fuel and Vehicle Technology Program (ARFVTP) Benefits Report(the former name of the Clean Transportation Program), which focused on two components of benefit calculation: expected benefits and market transformation benefits. The "expected benefits" are defined as benefits that accrue because of the direct displacement of petroleum-based fuels or vehicle technologies. The "market transformation benefits" accrue because of CTP funding shifting the underlying market dynamics and accelerating the adoption of alternative fuel vehicles. This report documents the updated methods used in the benefits analysis in 2014 and applies them for this 2021 Clean Transportation Program Benefits Report. The project team used data collected from CTP projects funded from 2009 to the third quarter of 2021 to estimate the benefits between 2021 and 2030. CTP projects valued at $\$898.3 million$ were assessed (out of $\$1.04 billion$ funded) to estimate expected benefits of 249 million gallons per year petroleum reduction and 2.79 million metric tons per year of carbon dioxide equivalent greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction in 2030. Market transformation benefits are additive to the expected benefits and were estimated with high and low ranges for the 315 relevant projects evaluated. The market transformation benefits' GHG reductions are estimated as 2.2 million to 6.2 million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent per year and the petroleum reductions as 145.3 million to 671.5 million gasoline gallon equivalents per year in 2030. Combining both benefit types, the CTP projects can make significant progress toward meeting California's long-term GHG and petroleum fuel use reduction goals.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗