Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Predictive Data analytics”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 577 records · Page 32

Dynamics-Based Peptide–MHC Binding Optimization by a Convolutional Variational Autoencoder: A Use-Case Model for CASTELO

An unsolved challenge in the development of antigen-specific immunotherapies is determining the optimal antigens to target. Comprehension of antigen–major histocompatibility complex (MHC) binding is paramount toward achieving this goal. Here, we apply CASTELO, a combined machine learning-molecular dynamics (ML-MD) approach, to identify per-residue antigen binding contributions and then design novel antigens of increased MHC-II binding affinity for a type 1 diabetes-implicated system. We build upon a small-molecule lead optimization algorithm by training a convolutional variational autoencoder (CVAE) on MD trajectories of 48 different systems across four antigens and four HLA serotypes. We develop several new machine learning metrics including a structure-based anchor residue classification model as well as cluster comparison scores. ML-MD predictions agree well with experimental binding results and free energy perturbation-predicted binding affinities. Moreover, ML-MD metrics are independent of traditional MD stability metrics such as contact area and root-mean-square fluctuations (RMSF), which do not reflect binding affinity data. Finally, our work supports the role of structure-based deep learning techniques in antigen-specific immunotherapy design.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DECOVALEX 2023 Task D -- Interim Report from SNL

The capability of a 1-D PFLOTRAN model to simulate the S1-3 bentonite saturation experiment has been demonstrated and validated against experimental data. Work remains to be done to refine 1-D PFLOTRAN simulations of the experiment S1-4 which include evaluation of parameter sensitivities on the prediction of material saturation and relative permeabilities. This and further testing of PFLOTRAN capabilities will be done as part of DECOVALEX 2023 Task D contributions by the SNL team in the coming months.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Renormalons in the energy-energy correlator

The energy-energy correlator (EEC) is an observable of wide interest for collider physics and Standard Model measurements, due to both its simple theoretical description in terms of the energy-momentum tensor and its novel features for experimental studies. Significant progress has been made in both applications and higher-order perturbative predictions for the EEC. Here, we analyze the nature of the asymptotic perturbative series for the EEC by determining its analytic form in Borel space under the bubble-sum approximation. This result provides information on the leading and subleading nonperturbative power corrections through renormalon poles. We improve the perturbative convergence of the $\overline{MS}$ series for the EEC by removing its leading renormalon using an MSR scheme, which is independent of the bubble-sum approximation. Using the leading MSR scheme power correction determined by fits to thrust, we find good agreement with EEC OPAL data already at O(α$^{2}_{s}$).

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Measurement and modeling of methane diffusion in hydrocarbon mixtures

Methane (CH 4 ) dissolution and diffusive mass transfer in liquid hydrocarbon mixtures is of key interest in the context of enhanced oil recovery from tight shales. In this paper, we have studied CH 4 dissolution and diffusion in normal alkane mixtures at a temperature of 50 ⁰C and at pressures of ~8 MPa. For the measurement of CH 4 dissolution/diffusion in bulk liquid hydrocarbon mixtures, we have utilized a high pressure and temperature, constant-volume diffusion (CV-D) setup. Here, we have studied CH 4 diffusion in mixtures with three long-chain normal alkanes: decane (C 10 ), dodecane (C 12 ) and hexadecane (C 16 ). We have measured CH 4 solubility and diffusion in its binary mixtures with each of these three normal alkanes, as well as in ternary and quaternary mixtures. During the experiments, the swelling of the liquid mixture due to CH 4 dissolution was measured in situ via a cathetometer and was subsequently integrated into the data analysis. A key conclusion from this study is that the solubility and transport properties of the multicomponent mixtures can be predicted accurately from binary mixture measurements using an appropriate Equation of State (EOS) and Wilke’s simplification of the classical Maxwell-Stefan (MS) diffusion theory. This observation can facilitate accurate prediction of diffusive mass transfer in more complex liquid hydrocarbon mixtures.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Viscosity in water from first-principles and deep-neural-network simulations

Abstract We report on an extensive study of the viscosity of liquid water at near-ambient conditions, performed within the Green-Kubo theory of linear response and equilibrium ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD), based on density-functional theory (DFT). In order to cope with the long simulation times necessary to achieve an acceptable statistical accuracy, our ab initio approach is enhanced with deep-neural-network potentials (NNP). This approach is first validated against AIMD results, obtained by using the Perdew–Burke–Ernzerhof (PBE) exchange-correlation functional and paying careful attention to crucial, yet often overlooked, aspects of the statistical data analysis. Then, we train a second NNP to a dataset generated from the Strongly Constrained and Appropriately Normed (SCAN) functional. Once the error resulting from the imperfect prediction of the melting line is offset by referring the simulated temperature to the theoretical melting one, our SCAN predictions of the shear viscosity of water are in very good agreement with experiments.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Integrated Process Optimization for Biochemical Conversion

This research is motivated by the challenges faced during biomass processing in bioenergy plants. It has been observed that variations in biomass characteristics, such as moisture, ash, and carbohydrate contents cause variations in feeding of the system which led to underutilization of equipment and the reactor. The objective of this research is to ensure a continuous flow of biomass to the reactor in plants that use the biochemical conversion process to generate liquid fuels. The overall goal is to lower the cost of producing biofuels, which could lead to improving US’s energy independency and growing US’s rural economy. The research team developed analytical models, such as discrete element method (DEM) models and mathematical models. The DEM models are unit-level models that explicitly capture biomass characteristics and quantify the impacts of biomass characteristics on bulk material properties and the performance of specific equipment. The mathematical models are system-level models that capture the impacts of system infeed rate, equipment processing rate, storage location and capacity, and biomass characteristics on system throughput. The functional relations predicting the bulk material properties from DEM models are incorporated to the mathematical models. The models developed were validated and evaluated using data collected at Idaho National Laboratory’s biomass processing facility. Via these models, we identified process control strategies that ensure a continuous flow of biomass to the reactor, while meeting the requirements of biochemical conversion process. Our analysis indicates that sequencing of biomass bales based on moisture level, and carbohydrate contents could have a positive impact on reducing processing time and inventory level and increasing throughput rate. Short bale sequences that repeat frequently, seem to have the greatest impact on improving system’s performance. Based on our experiments, the total annual system operating costs reduced by 20-30%, and the maximum inventory level reduced by 3 to 4 times. The operating costs include the annual equipment amortization cost and processing cost. The implementation of the models developed requires the use of standardized bale format, Radio Frequency Identification technology, sensing and real time monitoring of material attributes, automated material handling equipment, and automated process control. The scope of the model proposed can be extended to include the whole supply chain. The supply chain models help identify how many bales of different biomass feedstock to purchase given biomass availability in the region, biomass price and quality, and the biomass processing capabilities of the biorefinery. Thus, the outcomes of supply chain models can be used to inform the design of long-term contracts among farmers and the biorefinery.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

First-Principles Calculations of the Electrical Conductivity of Carbon Nanotubes Functionalized with Copper and Nitrogen: Implications for Electronics, Energy Storage, and Nanodevices

In this work, we investigate the electrical conductivity of carbon nanotubes (CNTs), with a particular focus on the effects of doping. Using first-principles-based approaches, we study the electronic structure, phonon dispersion, and electron–phonon scattering to understand the finite-temperature electrical transport properties in CNTs. Our study covers both prototypical metallic and semiconducting CNTs, with special emphasis on the influence of typical defects such as vacancies and the incorporation of copper or nitrogen, such as pyridinic N, pyrrolic N, graphitic N, and oxidized N. Our theoretical study shows significant improvements in the electrical conduction properties of copper-CNT composites, especially when semiconducting CNTs are functionalized with nitrogen. Doping is found to cause significant changes in the electronic density of states near the Fermi level, which affects the electrical conductivity. Calculations show that certain types of functional groups, such as N-pyrrolic, result in more than 30-fold increase in the conductivity of semiconducting CNTs compared to Cu-incorporated CNTs alone. For metallic CNTs, the conductivity is in agreement with existing experimental data, and our prediction of significant increases in conductivity with N-pyrrolic functional group is consistent with recent experimental results, demonstrating the effectiveness of doping in modifying conductivity. In conclusion, our study provides valuable insight into the electronic properties of doped CNTs and contributes to the development of ultrahigh conductivity CNT composites.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Product consistency test results for the LAW Phase 4 gases

In this report, the Savannah River National Laboratory provides chemical analysis of Product Consistency Test (PCT) leachates from a series of simulated nuclear waste glasses fabricated at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL). The series included quenched and canister-centerline cooled (CCC) versions of the glasses. The resulting data will be used in the development of enhanced property/composition models for waste vitrification at Hanford. For some of the glass leachates, minor scatter among the triplicate values of some analytes were observed. For other leachates, there were more significant differences among the triplicate values. A review of the PCT data noted that there was little difference between the normalized values based on targeted or measured glass composition. Several of the study glasses have normalized concentration of element “i” (NCi) values that are greater than the Hanford Tank Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant immobilized low-activity waste constraint of 4 g/L for boron (B), sodium (Na), and silicon (Si). The results of these glasses will help ensure the ability of advanced glass performance models to appropriately predict acceptable compositions. For the study glasses with NCi values exceeding 4 g/L, the CCC heat treatment samples had generally lower NCi values than quenched samples. The samples of the Environmental Assessment (EA) reference glass included with each PCT set had generally consistent NCi values. The release rates for boron (B), potassium (K), lithium (Li), sodium (Na), and silicon (Si) were highly correlated for the study glasses.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Sensitivity/Uncertainty Analysis for Nuclear Criticality Safety Validation [Slides]

Sensitivity coefficients predict the expected change in a response ($\kappa$) due to a change in some input parameter ($\Sigma$). These responses can be k eff (or ratios of reaction rates). These input parameters are typically nuclear data. The coefficients are dimensionless ratios. What would happen to the system k eff if some piece of data were changed by some amount? The coefficient is calculated without making the change.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Modeling the Cosmological Lyman-𝛼 Forest at the Field Level

The distribution of absorption lines in the spectra of distant quasars, called the Lyman-𝛼 (Ly-𝛼) forest, is a unique probe of cosmology and the intergalactic medium at high redshifts and small scales. The statistical power of ongoing redshift surveys demands precise theoretical tools to model the Ly-𝛼 forest. We address this challenge by developing an analytic, perturbative forward model to predict the Ly-𝛼 forest at the field level for a given set of cosmological initial conditions. Our model shows a remarkable performance when compared with the Sherwood hydrodynamic simulations: it reproduces the Ly-𝛼 forest flux power spectrum, its cross-correlation with dark matter halos, and the one-point probability distribution function of both fields at the percent level down to scales of a few Mpc. Our work provides crucial tools that bridge analytic modeling on large scales with simulations on small scales, enabling field-level inference from Ly-𝛼 forest data and simulation-based priors for cosmological analyses. Furthermore, this is especially timely for realizing the full scientific potential of the Ly-𝛼 forest measurements by the dark energy spectroscopic instrument.

Cosmological parameters↗

Replication Data for: Predicting a dramatic decline in selectivity for catalytic esterification of alcohols from van der Waals interactions

The data underlying this published work have been made publicly available in this repository as part of the IMASC Data Management Plan. This work was supported as part of the Integrated Mesoscale Architectures for Sustainable Catalysis (IMASC), an Energy Frontier Research Center funded by the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science, Basic Energy Sciences under Award # DE-SC0012573.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Predicting Future Disease Burden in a Rapidly Changing Climate

The interplay of a rapidly changing climate and infectious disease occurrence is emerging as a critical topic, requiring investigation of possible direct, as well as indirect, connections between disease processes and climate-related variation and phenomena. First, we introduce and overview three infectious disease exemplars (dengue, influenza, valley fever) representing different transmission classes (insect-vectored, human-to-human, environmentally-transmitted) to illuminate the complex and significant interplay between climate disease processes, as well as to motivate discussion of how Sandia can transform the field, and change our understanding of climate-driven infectious disease spread. We also review state-of-the-art epidemiological and climate modeling approaches, together with data analytics and machine learning methods, potentially relevant to climate and infectious disease studies. We synthesize the modeling and disease exemplars information, suggesting initial avenues for research and development (R&D) in this area, and propose potential sponsors for this work. Whether directly or indirectly, it is certain that a rapidly changing climate will alter global disease burden. The trajectory of climate change is an important control on this burden, from local, to regional and global scales. The efforts proposed herein respond to the National Research Councils call for the creation of a multidisciplinary institute that would address critical aspects of these interlocking, cascading crises.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Elucidating the temperature and density dependence of silver chloride hydration numbers in high-temperature water vapor: A first-principles molecular simulation study

Hydration numbers of metal complexes in low-density aqueous solutions are required for developing geochemical models for ore-forming metals and for designing supercritical desalination processes. In this study, we investigate the temperature and density dependence of the hydration numbers of silver chloride at 623 K, 673 K, and 713 K and densities of 10–100 kg/m 3 . Experimental estimates of the hydration number in the literature for AgCl at these conditions are inconclusive and possibly contradictory as to the temperature and density dependence. First-principles molecular simulation presents an attractive alternative to experimental measurements. Specifically, recent work shows that machine-learning-accelerated nested Monte Carlo simulations provide reliable estimates for the hydration numbers of CuCl at 623 K from 10 to 100 kg/m 3 . Using the same technique, we find a monotonic temperature dependence, with the hydration number decreasing slightly with increasing temperature. In addition, the simulation-predicted hydration numbers steadily increase with increasing density. These temperature and density trends are in agreement with certain experimental data sets. Therefore, this work demonstrates how first-principles Monte Carlo simulations assist in resolving discrepancies between experimental data sets. Our simulation results also correctly predict that the hydration number, and thus also the solubility, of AgCl is lower than that of CuCl under the same conditions. Furthermore, the bond length and angle formed between the water complex and AgCl differ from those for CuCl, consistent with the lower solubility of AgCl.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Predicting Energetics Materials’ Crystalline Density from Chemical Structure by Machine Learning

To expedite new molecular compound development, a long-sought goal within the chemistry community has been to predict molecules’ bulk properties of interest a priori to synthesis from a chemical structure alone. In this work, we demonstrate that machine learning methods can indeed be used to directly learn the relationship between chemical structures and bulk crystalline properties of molecules, even in the absence of any crystal structure information or quantum mechanical calculations. We focus specifically on a class of organic compounds categorized as energetic materials called high explosives (HE) and predicting their crystalline density. An ongoing challenge within the chemistry machine learning community is deciding how best to featurize molecules as inputs into machine learning models—whether expert handcrafted features or learned molecular representations via graph-based neural network models—yield better results and why. We evaluate both types of representations in combination with a number of machine learning models to predict the crystalline densities of HE-like molecules curated from the Cambridge Structural Database, and we report the performance and pros and cons of our methods. Our message passing neural network (MPNN) based models with learned molecular representations generally perform best, outperforming current state-of-the-art methods at predicting crystalline density and performing well even when testing on a data set not representative of the training data. However, these models are traditionally considered black boxes and less easily interpretable. Here, to address this common challenge, we also provide a comparison analysis between our MPNN-based model and models with fixed feature representations that provides insights as to what features are learned by the MPNN to accurately predict density.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

High-throughput screening of tribological properties of monolayer films using molecular dynamics and machine learning

Monolayer films have shown promise as a lubricating layer to reduce friction and wear of mechanical devices with separations on the nanoscale. These films have a vast design space with many tunable properties that can affect their tribological effectiveness. For example, terminal group chemistry, film composition, and backbone chemistry can all lead to films with significantly different tribological properties. This design space, however, is very difficult to explore without a combinatorial approach and an automatable, reproducible, and extensible workflow to screen for promising candidate films. Here, using the Molecular Simulation Design Framework (MoSDeF), a combinatorial screening study was performed to explore 9747 unique monolayer films (116 964 total simulations) and a machine learning (ML) model using a random forest regressor, an ensemble learning technique, to explore the role of terminal group chemistry and its effect on tribological effectiveness. The most promising films were found to contain small terminal groups such as cyano and ethylene. The ML model was subsequently applied to screen terminal group candidates identified from the ChEMBL small molecule library. Approximately 193 131 unique film candidates were screened with approximately a five order of magnitude speed-up in analysis compared to simulation alone. The ML model was thus able to be used as a predictive tool to greatly speed up the initial screening of promising candidate films for future simulation studies, suggesting that computational screening in combination with ML can greatly increase the throughput in combinatorial approaches to generate in silico data and then train ML models in a controlled, self-consistent fashion.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Real-time tracking of structural evolution in 2D MXenes using theory-enhanced machine learning

In situ Electron Energy Loss Spectroscopy (EELS) combined with Transmission Electron Microscopy (TEM) has traditionally been pivotal for understanding how material processing choices affect local structure and composition. However, the ability to monitor and respond to ultrafast transient changes, now achievable with EELS and TEM, necessitates innovative analytical frameworks. Here, we introduce a machine learning (ML) framework tailored for the real-time assessment and characterization of in operando EELS Spectrum Images (EELS-SI). We focus on 2D MXenes as the sample material system, specifically targeting the understanding and control of their atomic-scale structural transformations that critically influence their electronic and optical properties. This approach requires fewer labeled training data points than typical deep learning classification methods. By integrating computationally generated structures of MXenes and experimental datasets into a unified latent space using Variational Autoencoders (VAE) in a unique training method, our framework accurately predicts structural evolutions at latencies pertinent to closed-loop processing within the TEM. This study presents a critical advancement in enabling automated, on-the-fly synthesis and characterization, significantly enhancing capabilities for materials discovery and the precision engineering of functional materials at the atomic scale.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Concentration-Discharge Relationships in the Six Largest Arctic Rivers, 2003-2019

This dataset provides the results of the analysis of the relationship of dissolved analyte concentrations and river discharges in the six largest Arctic rivers across the global panarctic region (see Figure 1 in documentation file *.pdf). Long-term measurements of dissolved analyte concentrations and river discharge have been collected for each of the Kolyma, Lena, Mackenzie, Ob, Yenisey, and Yukon rivers by the Arctic Great Rivers Observatory (ArcticGRO) project from ~2003-present (Shiklomanov, 2021). The relationship of dissolved analyte concentrations and discharges in each river was characterized by statistical analysis of the slope of the log(concentration) vs log(discharge) (b), the coefficient of variation ratio (CVc/CVq), the 2.5% and 97.5% confidence intervals of b, and assigning a chemostatic, flushing, diluting, or non-systematic behavior category according to Koger (2018). The summary of these analyses for all six rivers is provided in one .csv file. The concentrations of 20 dissolved analytes and discharge measurement data for the individual Kolyma, Lena, Mackenzie, Ob, Yenisey, and Yukon rivers are also provided with this dataset. There are seven *.csv files; one for each river plus the statistical summary. These public ArcticGRO data at "https://www.arcticgreatrivers.org" (Shiklomanov, 2021) were downloaded on Feb 13, 2020, but each river has different measurement dates over the sampling and analysis period. The ArcticGRO metadata document (*.pdf) downloaded on Feb 13, 2020 is also included in this dataset. The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a research effort to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research. The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska. Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗