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Using Remotely Sensed Data and Watershed and Hydrodynamic Models to Evaluate the Effects of Land Cover Land Use Change on Aquatic Ecosystems in Mobile Bay, AL

Alabama coastal systems have been subjected to increasing pressure from a variety of activities including urban and rural development, shoreline modifications, industrial activities, and dredging of shipping and navigation channels. The impacts on coastal ecosystems are often observed through the use of indicator species. One such indicator species for aquatic ecosystem health is submerged aquatic vegetation (SAV). Watershed and hydrodynamic modeling has been performed to evaluate the impact of land cover land use (LCLU) change in the two counties surrounding Mobile Bay (Mobile and Baldwin) on SAV stressors and controlling factors (temperature, salinity, and sediment) in the Mobile Bay estuary. Watershed modeling using the Loading Simulation Package in C++ (LSPC) was performed for all watersheds contiguous to Mobile Bay for LCLU scenarios in 1948, 1992, 2001, and 2030. Remotely sensed Landsat-derived National Land Cover Data (NLCD) were used in the 1992 and 2001 simulations after having been reclassified to a common classification scheme. The Prescott Spatial Growth Model was used to project the 2030 LCLU scenario based on current trends. The LSPC model simulations provided output on changes in flow, temperature, and sediment for 22 discharge points into the estuary. These results were inputted in the Environmental Fluid Dynamics Computer Code (EFDC) hydrodynamic model to generate data on changes in temperature, salinity, and sediment on a grid throughout Mobile Bay and adjacent estuaries. The changes in the aquatic ecosystem were used to perform an ecological analysis to evaluate the impact on SAV habitat suitability. This is the key product benefiting the Mobile Bay coastal environmental managers that integrates the influences of temperature, salinity, and sediment due to LCLU driven flow changes with the restoration potential of SAVs. Data products and results are being integrated into NOAA s EcoWatch and Gulf of Mexico Data Atlas online systems for dissemination to coastal resource managers and stakeholders. Objective 1: Develop and utilize Land Use scenarios for Mobile and Baldwin Counties, AL as input to models to predict the affects on water properties (temperature,salinity,)for Mobile Bay through 2030. Objective 2: Evaluate the impact of land use change on seagrasses and SAV in Mobile Bay. Hypothesis: Urbanization will significantly increase surface flows and impact salinity and temperature variables that effect seagrasses and SAVs.

Al-Hamdan, Mohammad↗

Ex-Core Radiation Transport Modeling with VERA User Manual

It is important to be able to accurately predict the neutron flux outside the immediate reactor core for a variety of safety and material analyses. Monte Carlo radiation transport calculations are required to produce these high–fidelity ex-core responses. The Virtual Environment for Reactor Applications (VERA) provides the automated capability to launch independent Shift fixed-source and eigenvalue Monte Carlo (MC) calculations for user-specified state points during a standard Virtual Environment for Reactor Applications (VERA) calculation. VERA couples MPACT with COBRA-TF (CTF) to Shift to perform ex-core tallies for multiple state points concurrently, with each component capable of parallel execution on independent processor domains. In these ex-core calculations, MPACT is coupled to CTF and performs the in-core depletion and heat transfer calculation, followed by a fixed-source Shift transport calculation including ex-core regions to produce ex-core responses. The fission source, fuel pin temperatures, moderator temperature and density, boron concentration, and fuel pin depleted isotopic compositions can be transferred to Shift from the MPACT calculation. Specifically, VERA performs fluence calculations in the core barrel outward to the end of the pressure vessel and detector response calculations in ex-core detectors. It also performs the requested tallies in any user-defined ex-core regions. VERA takes advantage of the General Geometry (GG) package in Shift. This gives VERA the flexibility to explicitly model features outside the core barrel, including detailed vessel models, detectors, and power plant details. A very limited set of experimental and numerical benchmarks is available for ex-core simulation comparison. The Consortium for Advanced Simulation of Light Water Reactors has developed a set of ex-core benchmark problems to include as part of the VERA verification and validation set of problems. The ex-core capability in VERA has been tested on small representative assembly problems, multi-assembly problems, as well as quarter-core and full-core problems. VERA View has also been extended to visualize these vessel fluence results from VERA. This manual serves to present a guide to VERA users about the methodology behind ex-core calculations and the details of input, output, and analysis of results from these calculations. Details in this version of the manual are based on features in VERA 4.0.1.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

HDG-1 Graphite Preirradiation Data Package Report

This report documents all pre-irradiation examination material-property measurement data for graphite specimens that are going to be used within the first high dose graphite (HDG) -1 irradiation capsule. The two new HDG capsules signify a major change to the AGC Experiment. HDG-1 and HDG-2 will replace the last two Advanced Graphite Creep (AGC) capsules (AGC-5 and AGC-6) which were designed to irradiate graphite at the extreme upper operational temperatures for a very-high-temperature reactor (VHTR) design, 1100°C. These very high temperature AGC-5 and AGC-6 capsules have been repurposed to re-irradiated specimens (from AGC-2, AGC-3, and AGC-4) at the lower temperatures of 600°C and 800°C. HDG-1 will be irradiated at 600°C and HDG-2 will be irradiated at 800°C. By re-irradiating the previous AGC specimens a total maximum neutron dose of around 15 dpa (displacements per atom) can be achieved for all major graphite grades at irradiation temperatures of 600°C and 800°C. Specimens in the HDG-1 capsule are made up of previously irradiated specimens from the AGC-2 capsule and unirradiated specimens prepared for the now discontinued AGC-5 capsule. Utilizing the irradiated specimens, a maximum neutron dose of around 15 dpa is anticipated. These new maximum dose levels will provide irradiated material property data over a total neutron dose range of 1-15 dpa at a temperature of 600°C when combined with the previous AGC-1 and AGC-2 irradiation data. This will provide quantitative data necessary for predicting the irradiation behavior and operating performance of new nuclear graphite grades for use within high temperature reactor designs. Similar to previous AGC test trains, HDG-1 includes the major graphite grades (IG-110, NBG-17, NBG-18, PCEA, and 2114) as well as adding the very fine-grain grade IG-430 which is of interest to the Molten Salt Reactor (MSR) designs. Also new to the HDG-1 capsule are 90 smaller geometry specimens designated as pencil specimens. These specimens take up only one third the space of a standard creep size specimen. This increased number of specimens will enhance property measurement statistics because they will provide 3 times the control specimen data at a position that would otherwise only have a single measurement.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

HDG-1 Graphite Preirradiation Data Package Report

This report documents all pre-irradiation examination material-property measurement data for graphite specimens that are going to be used within the first high dose graphite (HDG) -1 irradiation capsule. The two new HDG capsules signify a major change to the AGC Experiment. HDG-1 and HDG-2 will replace the last two Advanced Graphite Creep (AGC) capsules (AGC-5 and AGC-6) which were designed to irradiate graphite at the extreme upper operational temperatures for a very-high-temperature reactor (VHTR) design, 1100°C. These very high temperature AGC-5 and AGC-6 capsules have been repurposed to re-irradiated specimens (from AGC-2, AGC-3, and AGC-4) at the lower temperatures of 600°C and 800°C. HDG-1 will be irradiated at 600°C and HDG-2 will be irradiated at 800°C. By re-irradiating the previous AGC specimens a total maximum neutron dose of around 15 dpa (displacements per atom) can be achieved for all major graphite grades at irradiation temperatures of 600°C and 800°C. Specimens in the HDG-1 capsule are made up of previously irradiated specimens from the AGC-2 capsule and unirradiated specimens prepared for the now discontinued AGC-5 capsule. Utilizing the irradiated specimens, a maximum neutron dose of around 15 dpa is anticipated. These new maximum dose levels will provide irradiated material property data over a total neutron dose range of 1-15 dpa at a temperature of 600°C when combined with the previous AGC-1 and AGC-2 irradiation data. This will provide quantitative data necessary for predicting the irradiation behavior and operating performance of new nuclear graphite grades for use within high temperature reactor designs. Similar to previous AGC test trains, HDG-1 includes the major graphite grades (IG-110, NBG-17, NBG-18, PCEA, and 2114) as well as adding the very fine-grain grade IG-430 which is of interest to the Molten Salt Reactor (MSR) designs. Also new to the HDG-1 capsule are 90 smaller geometry specimens designated as pencil specimens. These specimens take up only one third the space of a standard creep size specimen. This increased number of specimens will enhance property measurement statistics because they will provide 3 times the control specimen data at a position that would otherwise only have a single measurement.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Evaluation of a Human Modeling Software Tool in the Prediction of Extra Vehicular Activity Tasks for an International Space Station Assembly Mission

The difficulty of accomplishing work in extravehicular activity (EVA) is well documented. It arises as a result of motion constraints imposed by a pressurized spacesuit in a near-vacuum and of the frictionless environment induced in microgravity. The appropriate placement of foot restraints is crucial to ensuring that astronauts can remove and drive bolts, mate and demate connectors, and actuate levers. The location on structural members of the foot restraint sockets, to which the portable foot restraint is attached, must provide for an orientation of the restraint that affords the astronaut adequate visual and reach envelopes. Previously, the initial location of these sockets was dependent upon the experienced designer's ability to estimate placement. The design was tested in a simulated zero-gravity environment; spacesuited astronauts performed the tasks with mockups while submerged in water. Crew evaluation of the tasks based on these designs often indicated the bolt or other structure to which force needed to be applied was not within an acceptable work envelope, resulting in redesign. The development of improved methods for location of crew aids prior to testing would result in savings to the design effort for EVA hardware. Such an effort to streamline EVA design is especially relevant to International Space Station construction and maintenance. Assembly operations alone are expected to require in excess of four hundred hours of EVA. Thus, techniques which conserve design resources for assembly missions can have significant impact. We describe an effort to implement a human modelling application in the design effort for an International Space Station Assembly Mission. On Assembly Flight 6A, the Canadian-built Space Station Remote Manipulator System will be delivered to the U.S. Laboratory. It will be released from its launch restraints by astronauts in EVA. The design of the placement of foot restraint sockets was carried out using the human model Jack, and the modelling results were compared with actual underwater test results. The predicted locations of the sockets was found to be acceptable for 94% of the tasks attempted by the astronauts, This effort provides confidence in the capabilities of this package to accurately model tasks. It therefore increases assurance that the tool maybe used early in the design process.

Dischinger, H. Charles↗

Weather Research and Forecasting Model Sensitivity Comparisons for Warm Season Convective Initiation

Mesoscale weather conditions can significantly affect the space launch and landing operations at Kennedy Space Center (KSC) and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station (CCAFS). During the summer months, land-sea interactions that occur across KSC and CCAFS lead to the formation of a sea breeze, which can then spawn deep convection. These convective processes often last 60 minutes or less and pose a significant challenge to the forecasters at the National Weather Service (NWS) Spaceflight Meteorology Group (SMG). The main challenge is that a "GO" forecast for thunderstorms and precipitation is required at the 90 minute deorbit decision for End Of Mission (EOM) and at the 30 minute Return To Launch Site (RTLS) decision at the Shuttle Landing Facility. Convective initiation, timing, and mode also present a forecast challenge for the NWS in Melbourne, FL (MLB). The NWS MLB issues such tactical forecast information as Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts (TAFs), Spot Forecasts for fire weather and hazardous materials incident support, and severe/hazardous weather Watches, Warnings, and Advisories. Lastly, these forecasting challenges can also affect the 45th Weather Squadron (45 WS), which provides comprehensive weather forecasts for shuttle launch, as well as ground operations, at KSC and CCAFS. The need for accurate mesoscale model forecasts to aid in their decision making is crucial. Both the SMG and the MLB are currently implementing the Weather Research and Forecasting Environmental Modeling System (WRF EMS) software into their operations. The WRF EMS software allows users to employ both dynamical cores - the Advanced Research WRF (ARW) and the Non-hydrostatic Mesoscale Model (NMM). There are also data assimilation analysis packages available for the initialization of the WRF model- the Local Analysis and Prediction System (LAPS) and the Advanced Regional Prediction System (ARPS) Data Analysis System (ADAS). Having a series of initialization options and WRF cores, as well as many options within each core, provides SMG and NWS MLB with a lot of flexibility. It also creates challenges, such as determining which configuration options are best to address specific forecast concerns. The goal of this project is to assess the different configurations available and to determine which configuration will best predict warm season convective initiation in East-Central Florida. Four different combinations of WRF initializations will be run (ADAS-ARW, ADAS-NMM, LAPS-ARW, and LAPS-NMM) at a 4-km resolution over the Florida peninsula and adjacent coastal waters. Five candidate convective initiation days using three different flow regimes over East-Central Florida will be examined, as well as two null cases (non-convection days). Each model run will be integrated 12 hours with three runs per day, at 0900, 1200, and 1500 UTe. ADAS analyses will be generated every 30 minutes using Level II Weather Surveillance Radar-1988 Doppler (WSR-88D) data from all Florida radars to verify the convection forecast. These analyses will be run on the same domain as the four model configurations. To quantify model performance, model output will be subjectively compared to the ADAS analyses of convection to determine forecast accuracy. In addition, a subjective comparison of the performance of the ARW using a high-resolution local grid with 2-way nesting, I-way nesting, and no nesting will be made for select convective initiation cases. The inner grid will cover the East-Central Florida region at a resolution of 1.33 km. The authors will summarize the relative skill of the various WRF configurations and how each configuration behaves relative to the others, as well as determine the best model configuration for predicting warm season convective initiation over East-Central Florida.

Watson, Leela R.↗

Statistical evaluation of microscale stress conditions leading to void nucleation in the weak shock regime

Here, we investigate the heterogeneity of the stress state driven by anisotropic deformation response at the single crystal level through five statistical volume element (SVE) calculations of polycrystalline BCC tantalum. This work focuses on grain boundaries as a prominent material defect type prone to void nucleation based upon experimental observations of predominantly intergranular void nucleation in this material. The SVEs are constructed to be statistically representative of larger volumes of material and are meshed such that mean and standard deviation of grain size and orientation information is reconstructed. The computational meshes feature hexahedral (brick) elements and smooth conformal grain boundaries where significant stress concentration is known to occur, a tail effect of interest in the extreme events process of dynamic ductile damage. An existing micromechanical crystallographic plasticity model shown to capture the single crystal behavior of BCC tantalum well is used to perform the polycrystal calculations. The model includes representation of the non-Schmid effect of non-planar screw dislocation kinetics in tantalum. A three-dimensional stress state time profile predicted by damage modeling of a flyer plate impact experiment is applied as boundary conditions to each SVE. Resulting grain boundary stress state statistics are strongly non-Gaussian. Significant structural evolution is observed within the compressive hold before unloading into tension in the stress profile. Strong angular dependence of grain boundary traction magnitude with shock direction is observed. Non-Schmid effects continue to suggest their influence on propensity of microstructural defect types to nucleate voids. A general void nucleation criterion is proposed using probability theory. The general framework is specified to polycrystalline BCC tantalum in the weak shock regime to include the SVE calculations and literature molecular dynamics calculations of grain boundary void nucleation strength. Probability density functions (PDFs) are used to describe the interaction between the local stress state heterogeneity and the distributed grain boundary void nucleation strength state. A causation entropy maximization procedure removes the requirement for ad hoc selection of a PDF functional form and provides a rigorous procedure for data-based PDF determination. The resulting physically informed PDF describes the spatial appearance frequency of nucleated voids as a function of applied macroscale pressure. Lower length scale physics are thus packaged in a precise and computationally efficient way to provide computational plasticity insight to macroscale dynamic ductile damage models.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Identifying Controlling Variables for Mercury Vapors in Alpha-4 at Y-12: Two Year Data Collection Update

Multiple sensor packages were deployed at Alpha-4 by SRNL, in collaboration with United Cleanup Oak Ridge LLC (UCOR), to monitor mercury vapor concentrations and meteorological parameters. These sensors collected data, inside and outside of the legacy-use facility, for approximately two years. Though data gaps still exist, particularly in colder months, several controlling variables were identified that govern mercury vapor concentrations within Alpha-4. Temperature, barometric pressure gradients, humidity, and wind speed have been identified as controlling variables. A strong positive correlation was seen between mercury vapor concentrations and temperature which generally followed diurnal fluctuations. Temperatures below approximately 10 degrees Celsius did not show any spikes above the PEL, indicating more work can be performed at any time during the winter months – more data should be collected to confirm consistency in this finding. Additionally, spikes in mercury vapor concentrations above that of the permissible exposure limit (PEL; 100 µg/m 3 ) occurred primarily in late afternoon or evening/overnight hours (between 3 PM and 6 AM), which suggests D&D operations might be best scheduled during morning or daytime hours prior to the late afternoon. However, a limited number of spikes did occur outside of the identified window, although this may be attributed to disturbances in air flow and mercury vapor release from work activities performed inside of the Alpha-4 building. The analysis conducted allows for a strong predictive capability for estimating mercury vapor concentrations based upon accurate meteorological parameters. Still, additional data collection, particularly in the winter months, could help to strengthen the predictive power and validate the identified data trends. Further, increased temporal resolution could also help to better characterize the incipient stages of the increases and decreases in the mercury vapor concentration. Continued monitoring support by SRNL at Y-12 is underway at Alpha-4 to further close remaining data gaps and support deactivation and decommissioning work. Within a collaborative effort with UCOR, the SRNL team is collecting mercury vapor data to study the efficacy of a novel mercury suppressant, FerroBlack® which was recently deployed at Alpha-4. In addition, modifications to the current monitoring setup to increase measurement resolution is also being investigated.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

AGC-4 Disassembly Report

The Advanced Reactor Terminology Graphite Research and Development program is currently measuring irradiated material property changes in several grades of nuclear graphite to predict behavior and operating performance within the core of these new high temperature reactor designs. The Advanced Graphite Creep (AGC) experiment, consisting of six irradiation capsules, will generate the irradiated graphite performance data for the Very High Temperature Reactor operating conditions. All six capsules in the experiment conducted at Idaho National Laboratory will be irradiated in the Advanced Test Reactor, disassembled in the Hot Fuel Examination Facility, and examined at the Idaho National Laboratory Research Center. This is the disassembly report describing the disassembly, shipment, post irradiation inspection, and storage of the graphite specimens contained within the AGC 4 irradiation test series capsule (the fourth irradiation capsule of the series). AGC 4 was irradiated in the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) East Flux Trap (EFT) during ATR Cycle 157D, 158A, 162A, 162B, 164A, 164B, 166A, and Cycle 166B. Approximately 3.6 dpa was achieved. Desired experiment temperatures were exceeded by at least 100C during the second Cycle of irradiation due to the insertion of the KJRR experiment. The capsule was removed from the ATR and transferred to the Hot Fuel Examination Facility on May 15, 2020 and eventually unloaded into the Hot Fuel Examination Facility (HFEF) Decon Cell through Penetration 2D on February 26, 2021. It was moved to the HFEF Main Cell Window 3M for disassembly on March 15, 2021. Disassembly and specimen extraction began March 18, 2021, and packaging of the graphite specimens was completed on April 16, 2021. Several anomalies were noted, specifically that the radiological dose rates were nominally an order of magnitude higher than that of the previous AGC experiments. This report summarizes the disassembly of the AGC 4 experiment.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

AGC-4 Disassembly Report

The Advanced Reactor Terminology Graphite Research and Development program is currently measuring irradiated material property changes in several grades of nuclear graphite to predict behavior and operating performance within the core of these new high temperature reactor designs. The Advanced Graphite Creep (AGC) experiment, consisting of six irradiation capsules, will generate the irradiated graphite performance data for the Very High Temperature Reactor operating conditions. All six capsules in the experiment conducted at Idaho National Laboratory will be irradiated in the Advanced Test Reactor, disassembled in the Hot Fuel Examination Facility, and examined at the Idaho National Laboratory Research Center. This is the disassembly report describing the disassembly, shipment, post irradiation inspection, and storage of the graphite specimens contained within the AGC 4 irradiation test series capsule (the fourth irradiation capsule of the series). AGC 4 was irradiated in the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) East Flux Trap (EFT) during ATR Cycle 157D, 158A, 162A, 162B, 164A, 164B, 166A, and Cycle 166B. Approximately 3.6 dpa was achieved. Desired experiment temperatures were exceeded by at least 100C during the second Cycle of irradiation due to the insertion of the KJRR experiment. The capsule was removed from the ATR and transferred to the Hot Fuel Examination Facility on May 15, 2020 and eventually unloaded into the Hot Fuel Examination Facility (HFEF) Decon Cell through Penetration 2D on February 26, 2021. It was moved to the HFEF Main Cell Window 3M for disassembly on March 15, 2021. Disassembly and specimen extraction began March 18, 2021, and packaging of the graphite specimens was completed on April 16, 2021. Several anomalies were noted, specifically that the radiological dose rates were nominally an order of magnitude higher than that of the previous AGC experiments. This report summarizes the disassembly of the AGC 4 experiment.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Genarris 2.0: A Random Structure Generator for Molecular Crystals

Genarris is an open source Python package for generating random molecular crystal structures with physical constraints for seeding crystal structure prediction algorithms and training machine learning models. Here we present a new version of the code, containing several major improvements. A MPI-based parallelization scheme has been implemented, which facilitates the seamless sequential execution of user-defined workflows. A new method for estimating the unit cell volume based on the single molecule structure has been developed using a machine-learned model trained on experimental structures. A new algorithm has been implemented for generating crystal structures with molecules occupying special Wyckoff positions. A new hierarchical structure check procedure has been developed to detect unphysical close contacts efficiently and accurately. New intermolecular distance settings have been implemented for strong hydrogen bonds. To demonstrate these new features, we study two specific cases: benzene and glycine. Genarris finds the experimental structures of the two polymorphs of benzene and the three polymorphs of glycine. Program summary Program Title: Genarris 2.0 Program Files doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.17632/grx6mz4pjn.1 Licensing provisions: BSD-3 Clause Programming language: Python, C External routines/libraries: Spglib, ASE, pymatgen, SciPy, mpi4py, scikit-learn, PyTorch, FHI-aims. Nature of problem: Molecular crystal structure prediction. Solution method: Genarris 2.0 generates molecular crystal structures over the 230 space groups, on general and special Wyckoff positions, using physical constraints. Down-sampling of the generated structures may be performed subsequently, based on molecular crystal packing descriptors and an unsupervised machine learning algorithm. Lastly, ab initio structure relaxation may be performed for the final pool. Depending on the user-defined workflow implemented, Genarris may be used to generate diverse molecular crystal datasets to seed evolutionary algorithms or to train machine learning algorithms or as a standalone crystal structure prediction method. Restrictions: For crystal structure generation, the molecule of interest must be semi-rigid with no bond rotational degrees of freedom. Unusual features: Genarris 2.0 is a highly distributed program, making use of MPI for Python parallelization. The user has the ability to design and implement workflows by executing a user-defined list of procedures. Genarris 2.0 offers new features including a machine learning model for estimating the molecular volume in the solid state from the single molecule structure, structure generation in special Wyckoff positions of space groups, hierarchical structure checks including rigorous treatment of non-orthogonal structures, and clustering and down-selection workflows combining first principles simulations with machine learning. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Crystal structure prediction↗

Numerical Investigation and Optimization of a Flushwall Injector for Scramjet Applications at Hypervelocity Flow Conditions

An investigation utilizing Reynolds-averaged simulations (RAS) was performed in order to demonstrate the use of design and analysis of computer experiments (DACE) methods in Sandia’s DAKOTA software package for surrogate modeling and optimization. These methods were applied to a flow- path fueled with an interdigitated flushwall injector suitable for scramjet applications at hyper- velocity conditions and ascending along a constant dynamic pressure flight trajectory. The flight Mach number, duct height, spanwise width, and injection angle were the design variables selected to maximize two objective functions: the thrust potential and combustion efficiency. Because the RAS of this case are computationally expensive, surrogate models are used for optimization. To build a surrogate model a RAS database is created. The sequence of the design variables comprising the database were generated using a Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) method. A methodology was also developed to automatically build geometries and generate structured grids for each design point. The ensuing RAS analysis generated the simulation database from which the two objective functions were computed using a one-dimensionalization (1D) of the three-dimensional simulation data. The data were fitted using four surrogate models: an artificial neural network (ANN), a cubic polynomial, a quadratic polynomial, and a Kriging model. Variance-based decomposition showed that both objective functions were primarily driven by changes in the duct height. Multiobjective design optimization was performed for all four surrogate models via a genetic algorithm method. Optimal solutions were obtained at the upper and lower bounds of the flight Mach number range. The Kriging model predicted an optimal solution set that exhibited high values for both objective functions. Additionally, three challenge points were selected to assess the designs on the Pareto fronts. Further sampling among the designs of the Pareto fronts may be required to lower the surrogate model errors and perform more accurate surrogate-model-based optimization.

Shenoy, Rajiv R.↗

Reactor physics benchmark of Westinghouse PWR core design suite for high burnup/high enrichment fuel - Part 1: Pin and lattice

Westinghouse has performed a comprehensive set of code-to-code benchmark comparisons to corroborate application of its state-of-the-art NEXUS-based code suite to high burnup and high enrichment (HB/HE) fueled PWR core design and reload analysis. This paper focuses on analysis of the predictions for pin and lattice designs representative of HB/HE core reloads from the Westinghouse advanced lattice code PARAGON2, the Monte-Carlo code SERPENT2 and MPACT, the deterministic neutronic component of VERA. A companion paper presented at this conference analyzes results obtained with the Westinghouse ANC9 core simulator, using lattice data provided by PARAGON2 with the NEXUS cross-section methodology, and MPACT for 2D and 3D core configurations incorporating HB/HE fuel reloads to achieve cycle length extension to 24-month in high-power density PWRs. The results of the pin and lattice benchmark presented in this paper show that the neutronic predictions from PARAGON2 for HB/HE fueled PWRs are in remarkable agreement with predictions from both SERPENT2 and MPACT including for depletion to high fuel burnup values, and employing a set of challenging lattices which feature combined use of burnable absorbers to obtain the required reactivity hold-down to support PWR transition to HB/HE fuel and 24-month operational cycles. As corroborated by this analysis and the analysis contained in the companion paper, the Westinghouse NEXUS-based PWR core analysis package can be confidently applied by industry for design analysis of PWR core reloads adopting HB/HE fuel and properly support the industry commercialization plans for in-reactor deployment. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

MISPR : an open-source package for high-throughput multiscale molecular simulations

Computational tools provide a unique opportunity to study and design optimal materials by enhancing our ability to comprehend the connections between their atomistic structure and functional properties. However, designing materials with tailored functionalities is complicated due to the necessity to integrate various computational-chemistry software (not necessarily compatible with one another), the heterogeneous nature of the generated data, and the need to explore vast chemical and parameter spaces. The latter is especially important to avoid bias in scattered data points-based models and derive statistical trends only accessible by systematic datasets. Here, we introduce a robust high-throughput multi-scale computational infrastructure coined MISPR (Materials Informatics for Structure–Property Relationships) that seamlessly integrates classical molecular dynamics (MD) simulations with density functional theory (DFT). By enabling high-performance data analytics and coupling between different methods and scales, MISPR addresses critical challenges arising from the needs of automated workflow management and data provenance recording. The major features of MISPR include automated DFT and MD simulations, error handling, derivation of molecular and ensemble properties, and creation of output databases that organize results from individual calculations to enable reproducibility and transparency. In this work, we describe fully automated DFT workflows implemented in MISPR to compute various properties such as nuclear magnetic resonance chemical shift, binding energy, bond dissociation energy, and redox potential with support for multiple methods such as electron transfer and proton-coupled electron transfer reactions. The infrastructure also enables the characterization of large-scale ensemble properties by providing MD workflows that calculate a wide range of structural and dynamical properties in liquid solutions. MISPR employs the methodologies of materials informatics to facilitate understanding and prediction of phenomenological structure–property relationships, which are crucial to designing novel optimal materials for numerous scientific applications and engineering technologies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A multiscale hydro-geochemical-mechanical approach to analyze faulted CO 2 reservoirs: Original Research Article: A multiscale hydro-geochemical-mechanical approach to analyze faulted CO 2 reservoirs

This paper applies a multiscale hydro-geochemical-mechanical approach to analyze faulted CO 2 reservoirs using the STOMP-CO 2 -R code that is coupled to the ABAQUS® finite element package. STOMP-CO 2 -R models the reactive transport of CO 2 causing mineral volume fraction changes that are captured by an Eshelby-Mori-Tanka model implemented in ABAQUS®. A three-dimensional (3D) STOMP-CO 2 -R model for a reservoir containing an inclined fault was built to analyze a formation containing a reaction network with 5 minerals: albite, anorthite, calcite, kaolinite and quartz. A 3D finite element mesh that exactly maps the STOMP-CO 2 -R grid is developed for coupled hydro-geochemical-mechanical analyses. The model contains alternating sandstone and shale layers. The impact of reactive transport of CO 2 on the geomechanical properties of reservoir rocks and seals are studied in terms of mineral composition changes that affect their geomechanical responses. Simulations assuming extensional and compressional stress regimes with and without coupled geochemistry are performed to study the stress regime effect on the risk of hydraulic fracture. The tendency for the fault to slip is examined in terms of stress regime, geomechanical and geochemical-mechanical effects as well as fault inclination. The results show that mineralogical changes due to long-term injection of CO 2 reduce the permeability and elastic modulus of the reservoir, leading to increased risk of hydraulic fracture in the injection location and at the caprock seal immediately above the injection zone. Fault slip is not predicted to occur. However, fault inclination and stress regime have an important impact on the slip tendency factor.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

TULIP: An RNA-seq-based Primary Tumor Type Prediction Tool Using Convolutional Neural Networks

Background: With cancer as one of the leading causes of death worldwide, accurate primary tumor type prediction is critical in identifying genetic factors that can inhibit or slow tumor progression. There have been efforts to categorize primary tumor types with gene expression data using machine learning, and more recently with deep learning, in the last several years. Methods In this paper, we developed four 1-dimensional (1D) Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) models to classify RNA-seq count data as one of 17 highly represented primary tumor types or 32 primary tumor types regardless of imbalanced representation. Additionally, we adapted the models to take as input either all Ensembl genes (60,483) or protein coding genes only (19,758). Unlike previous work, we avoided selection bias by not filtering genes based on expression values. RNA-seq count data expressed as FPKM-UQ of 9,025 and 10,940 samples from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) were downloaded from the Genomic Data Commons (GDC) corresponding to 17 and 32 primary tumor types respectively for training and validating the models. Results: All 4 1D-CNN models had an overall accuracy of 94.7% to 97.6% on the test dataset. Further evaluation indicates that the models with protein coding genes only as features performed with better accuracy compared to the models with all Ensembl genes for both 17 and 32 primary tumor types. For all models, the accuracy by primary tumor type was above 80% for most primary tumor types. Conclusions: We packaged all 4 models as a Python-based deep learning classification tool called TULIP (TUmor CLassIfication Predictor) for performing quality control on primary tumor samples and characterizing cancer samples of unknown tumor type. Further optimization of the models is needed to improve the accuracy of certain primary tumor types.

Jones, Sara↗

A TOPAS model for lens-based proton radiography

Abstract Objective. Proton Radiography can be used in conjunction with proton therapy for patient positioning, real-time estimates of stopping power, and adaptive therapy in regions with motion. The modeling capability shown here can be used to evaluate lens-based radiography as an instantaneous proton-based radiographic technique. The utilization of user-friendly Monte Carlo program TOPAS enables collaborators and other users to easily conduct medical- and therapy- based simulations of the Los Alamos Neutron Science Center (LANSCE). The resulting transport model is an open-source Monte Carlo package for simulations of proton and heavy ion therapy treatments and concurrent particle imaging. Approach. The four-quadrupole, magnetic lens system of the 800-MeV proton beamline at LANSCE is modeled in TOPAS. Several imaging and contrast objects were modelled to assess transmission at energies from 230–930 MeV and different levels of particle collimation. At different proton energies, the strength of the magnetic field was scaled according to βγ, the inverse product of particle relativistic velocity and particle momentum. Main results. Materials with high atomic number, Z, (gold, gallium, bone-equivalent) generated more contrast than materials with low-Z (water, lung-equivalent, adipose-equivalent). A 5-mrad collimator was beneficial for tissue-to-contrast agent contrast, while a 10-mrad collimator was best to distinguish between different high-Z materials. Assessment with a step-wedge phantom showed water-equivalent path length did not scale directly according to predicted values but could be mapped more accurately with calibration. Poor image quality was observed at low energies (230 MeV), but improved as proton energy increased, with sub-mm resolution at 630 MeV. Significance. Proton radiography becomes viable for shallow bone structures at 330 MeV, and for deeper structures at 630 MeV. Visibility improves with use of high-Z contrast agents. This modality may be particularly viable at carbon therapy centers with accelerators capable of delivering high energy protons and could be performed with carbon therapy.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

SU-G-TeP1-03: Beam Quality Correction Factors for Linear Accelerator with and Without Flattening Filter

Purpose: The impact of removing the flattening filter on absolute dosimetry based on IAEA’s TPR-398 and AAPM’s TG-51 was investigated in this study using Monte Carlo simulations. Methods: The EGSnrc software package was used for all Monte Carlo simulations performed in this work. Five different ionization chambers and nine linear accelerator heads have been modeled according to technical drawings. To generate a flattening filter free radiation field the flattening filter was replaced by a 2 mm thick aluminum layer. Dose calculation in a water phantom were performed to calculate the beam quality correction factor k{sub Q} as a function of the beam quality specifiers %dd(10){sub x}, TPR{sub 20,10} and mean photon and electron energies at the point of measurement in photon fields with (WFF) and without flattening filter (FFF). Results: The beam quality correction factor as a function of %dd(10){sub x} differs systematically between FFF and WFF beams for all investigated ionization chambers. The largest difference of 1.8% was observed for the largest investigated Farmer-type ionization chamber with a sensitive volume of 0.69 cm{sup 3}. For ionization chambers with a smaller nominal sensitive volume (0.015 – 0.3 cm{sup 3}) the deviation was less than 0.4% between WFF and FFF beams for %dd(10){sub x} > 62%. The specifier TPR{sub 20,10} revealed only a good correlation between WFF and FFF beams (< 0.3%) for low energies. Conclusion: The results confirm that %dd(10){sub x} is a suitable beam quality specifier for FFF beams with an acceptable bias. The deviation depends on the volume of the ionization chamber. Using %dd(10){sub x} to predict k{sub Q} for a large volume chamber in a FFF photon field may lead to not acceptable errors according to the results of this study. This bias may be caused by the volume effect due to the inhomogeneous photon fields of FFF linear accelerators.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗