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At least 577 records · Page 32
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2003

In Situ Heating Behavior by Infrared Microspectroscopy of Organic Components in Tagish Lake Meteorite

The Tagish Lake meteorite is a new type of water- and carbon-rich carbonaceous chondrite. Its total carbon content is approx. 5 wt% and the organic carbon content reaches approx.1.3 wt%. We reported from the Tagish Lake sample#TL3B6 the first in situ observation of the hollow organic globules. TL3B6 is generally enriched in the organic globules that consist of aliphatic and oxygenated functionality similar to the material produced by the laboratory simulation of UV photolysis of interstellar ice analogs suggesting that the organic globules in Tagish Lake may be extremely primitive organic material that formed before or during the formation of the solar system. Here we report the micro-sampling FTIR analysis of the TL3B6 and the in situ step heating experiments: which can allow us to place 1) significant constraints on the organic functionality in Tagish Lake; 2) the thermal stability of the organics; and 3) thermal history of the meteorite and its parent body. For comparison, the membranous films formed from hydrothermal reaction of an OH-bearing amino acid (theronine: Thr) and silica mixture were examined.

Nakamura, K.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

From Source to Surface: An Investigation of Magmatic Lunar Volatiles

Lunar missions led by NASA discovered water ice on the Moon’s surface [1-3], revolutionizing views of the abundance, distribution, and potential sources of H2O and other volatiles. Volatiles play an important role in affecting the rheological properties of minerals and melts and influencing magma eruption processes. In order to determine the indigenous volatile inventory of the Moon, it is vital to identify the magmatic and secondary processes that may have affected the volatile contents in lunar minerals [4]. As part of the Apollo Next Generation Sample Analysis (ANGSA) program we are investigating the petrogenesis of a set of four Apollo lunar basalts collected from the rim of Steno Crater 71035, 71037, 71055, and specially curated sample 71036. Our team is studying the petrology in 2D and 3D (this work), chronology (Pomeroy et al., LPSC 2022), oxidation state of sulfur in apatite (Brounce et al., LPSC 2022), and volatile inventory of the sample set in order to understand the age and genetic relationships among the basalts, their magma ascent conditions and eruptive signatures, and their degassing and surface histories. Here we present the first detailed study of the 2D and 3D mineralogy, textures, 3D vesiculation, and chemistry of these basalts to shed light on their magmatic, volcanic, and post-eruptive histories. Note: Extended abstract on document.

Z. E. Wilbur↗
NASA NTRS1995

Investigation of water droplet trajectories within the NASA icing research tunnel

Water droplet trajectories within the NASA Lewis Research Center's Icing Research Tunnel (IRT) were studied through computer analysis. Of interest was the influence of the wind tunnel contraction and wind tunnel model blockage on the water droplet trajectories. The computer analysis was carried out with a program package consisting of a three-dimensional potential panel code and a three-dimensional droplet trajectory code. The wind tunnel contraction was found to influence the droplet size distribution and liquid water content distribution across the test section from that at the inlet. The wind tunnel walls were found to have negligible influence upon the impingement of water droplets upon a wing model.

Reehorst, Andrew↗
NASA NTRS1995

Diabatic forcing and intialization with assimilation of cloud water and rainwater in a forecast model

In this study, diabatic forcing, and liquid water assimilation techniques are tested in a semi-implicit hydrostatic regional forecast model containing explicit representations of grid-scale cloud water and rainwater. Diabatic forcing, in conjunction with diabatic contributions in the initialization, is found to help the forecast retain the diabatic signal found in the liquid water or heating rate data, consequently reducing the spinup time associated with grid-scale precipitation processes. Both observational Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I) and model-generated data are used. A physical retrieval method incorporating SSM/I radiance data is utilized to estimate the 3D distribution of precipitating storms. In the retrieval method the relationship between precipitation distributions and upwelling microwave radiances is parameterized, based upon cloud ensemble-radiative model simulations. Regression formulae relating vertically integrated liquid and ice-phase precipitation amounts to latent heating rates are also derived from the cloud ensemble simulations. Thus, retrieved SSM/I precipitation structures can be used in conjunction with the regression-formulas to infer the 3D distribution of latent heating rates. These heating rates are used directly in the forecast model to help initiate Tropical Storm Emily (21 September 1987). The 14-h forecast of Emily's development yields atmospheric precipitation water contents that compare favorably with coincident SSM/I estimates.

Raymond, William H.↗
NASA NTRS1988

Overview of Mars: Viking results

As a result of the Viking orbiter observations, the entire surface of Mars has been imaged at a resolution of 200 meters, and fractions of the surface down to resolutions of 10 meters, the thermal inertia of the entire surface is known to a resolution of 30 km, and the water content of the atmosphere has been monitored over two Martian years. In addition, at two sites, the Viking landers analyzed the atmosphere, imaged the surface, performed organic and inorganic analyses on the soil, and monitored meteorological conditions for almost three Martian years. The results show that Mars is a highly variegated planet with a long and complex history of volcanic and tectonic activity, a surface that has been modified by wind, water and ice, and an atmosphere that has experienced substantial changes, both periodic and secular. The variety of processes that have operated on the surface, and the long history of their action, result in a much broader range of sampling problems and opportunities than was experienced in the case of the Moon.

Carr, Michael H.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Test of prototype liquid-water-content meter for aircraft use

This report describes the effort undertaken to meet the objectives of National Science Foundation Grant ATM-9207345 titled 'Test of Prototype Liquid-Water-Content Meter for Aircraft Use.' Three activities were proposed for testing the new aircraft instrument, PVM-100A: (1) Calibrate the PVM-100A in a facility where the liquid-water-content (LWC) channel, and the integrated surface area channel (PSA) could be compared to standard means for LWC and PSA measurements. Scaling constant for the channels were to be determined in this facility. The fog/wind tunnel at ECN, Petten, The Netherlands was judged the most suitable facility for this effort. (2) Expose the PVM-100A to high wind speeds similar to those expected on research aircraft, and test the anti-icing heaters on the PVM-100A under typical icing conditions expected in atmospheric clouds. The high-speed icing tunnel at NRC, Ottawa, Canada was to be utilized. (3) Operate the PVM-100A on an aircraft during cloud penetrations to determine its stability and practicality for such measurements. The C-131A aircraft of the University of Washington was the aircraft of opportunity for these-tests, which were to be conducted during the 4-week Atlantic Stratocumulus Transition Experiment (ASTEX) in June of 1992.

Gerber, Hermann E.↗
NASA NTRS1971

Emission characteristics of snow and ice in the microwave range

Some results are presented of a two year investigation on microwave emissions from snow. Included in the investigation were: theoretical studies; laboratory measurements of electrical properties of snow and similar materials; numerical modelling of hypothetical and real snowpacks; analysis of microwave data obtained on everflights; and quantative measurements of natural and artificial snowpacks made in the field. Results indicate that a fairly simple combination of microwave polarizations and frequencies can ultimately be used to monitor the water equivalent and free-water content as well as the distribution of snow. This understanding may also shed light on the physics of microwave emission from other wet, granular, layered media.

Meier, M. F.↗
NASA NTRS2010

Allophane on Mars: Significance for Chemical Weathering and Soil Development

It has been suggested that allophane or related poorly crystalline aluminosilicates are present on Mars, and that they comprise the high-silica phase detected by the Thermal Emission Spectrometer (TES) in Surface Type 2 materials (Michalski et al., 2005). Using new laboratory spectra of allophanic materials, we (Rampe et al., this meeting) have detected allophane on the Martian surface via spectral modeling of TES data. We find that ST2 materials in the Northern Plains are consistent with a significant amount of high-silica allophane-like materials. In addition, we find that allophane may be present in some areas of ancient highlands (TES surface type 1), but spectra of those regions are more consistent with aluminous allophane. The presence of allophane and its chemical variability have important implications for chemical weathering and soil development on Mars. Allophane-like materials are amorphous or poorly crystalline hydrous aluminosilicates formed from chemical weathering of glasses, feldspars, and other silicates (cf. Parfitt, 2009). True allophane is a combination of SiO2, Al2O3 and H2O where Al:Si ranges from ~0.5-2. Aluminosilicate gels are amorphous and chemically similar to allophane but can have higher SiO2 contents. The presence of allophane indicates low-temperature chemical weathering and provides constraints on alteration conditions, limiting pH to circum-neutral (~4.5-8). Our model results indicate that weathering occurred in the relatively young northern plains of Mars. The high-silica allophane-like material present there implies little silica mobility through the soil column, which suggests that weathering involved small amounts of liquid water, consistent with our previous models of weathering in ice-rich soils (Kraft et al., 2007). The aluminous allophane indicated by our spectral models to be present in the highlands suggest that those regions experienced greater amounts of SiO2 leaching and weathering in those soils may have involved much larger amounts of water. The presence of allophane-like materials suggests that these weathering regimes were not influenced by the acidic weathering that appears to have affected other areas of Mars and has been proposed as a planetwide alteration process (Hurowitz and McLennan, 2007). Soil development in basaltic material (typically tephra) on Earth usually leads to formation of andosols. Although we do not suggest a one-to-one analogy between dark basaltic Martian soils and andosols, there may be important similarities, as andosols are typified by significant production of allophane as well as poorly crystalline Fe-hydroxides. The detection of allophane on Mars suggests a positive utility of an andosol model for Martian soils, particularly when coupled with the ubiquitous presence of Feoxide materials on Mars. An andosol model of soil formation is mineralogically consistent with palagonite models for the formation of Martian dust (cf. Banin et al., 1992; Morris et al., 2001), which suggests a possible genetic relationship of dust and bright soils to the broader soil layer of Mars.

Kraft, M. D.↗
NASA NTRS2010

4-D Cloud Water Content Fields Derived from Operational Satellite Data

In order to improve operational safety and efficiency, the transportation industry, including aviation, has an urgent need for accurate diagnoses and predictions of clouds and associated weather conditions. Adverse weather accounts for 70% of all air traffic delays within the U.S. National Airspace System. The Federal Aviation Administration has determined that as much as two thirds of weather-related delays are potentially avoidable with better weather information and roughly 20% of all aviation accidents are weather related. Thus, it is recognized that an important factor in meeting the goals of the Next Generation Transportation System (NexGen) vision is the improved integration of weather information. The concept of a 4-D weather cube is being developed to address that need by integrating observed and forecasted weather information into a shared 4-D database, providing an integrated and nationally consistent weather picture for a variety of users and to support operational decision support systems. Weather analyses and forecasts derived using Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models are a critical tool that forecasters rely on for guidance and also an important element in current and future decision support systems. For example, the Rapid Update Cycle (RUC) and the recently implemented Rapid Refresh (RR) Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) models provide high frequency forecasts and are key elements of the FAA Aviation Weather Research Program. Because clouds play a crucial role in the dynamics and thermodynamics of the atmosphere, they must be adequately accounted for in NWP models. The RUC, for example, cycles at full resolution five cloud microphysical species (cloud water, cloud ice, rain, snow, and graupel) and has the capability of updating these fields from observations. In order to improve the models initial state and subsequent forecasts, cloud top altitude (or temperature, T(sub c)) derived from operational satellite data, surface observations of cloud base altitude, radar reflectivity, and lightning data are used to help build and remove clouds in the models assimilation system. Despite this advance and the many recent advances made in our understanding of cloud physical processes and radiative effects, many problems remain in adequately representing clouds in models. While the assimilation of cloud top information derived from operational satellite data has merit, other information is available that has not yet been exploited. For example, the vertically integrated cloud water content (CWC) or cloud water path (CWP) and cloud geometric thickness (delta Z) are standard products being derived routinely from operational satellite data. These and other cloud products have been validated under a variety of conditions. Since the uncertainties have generally been found to be less than those found in model analyses and forecasts, the satellite products should be suitable for data assimilation, provided an appropriate strategy can be developed that links the satellite-derived cloud parameters with cloud parameters specified in the model. In this paper, we briefly outline such a strategy and describe a methodology to retrieve cloud water content profiles from operational satellite data. Initial results and future plans are presented. It is expected that the direct assimilation of this new product will provide the most accurate depiction of the vertical distribution of cloud water ever produced at the high spatial and temporal resolution needed for short term weather analyses and forecasts.

Smith, William L., Jr.↗
DOE OSTI2021

Examining conditions supporting the development of anomalous charge structures in supercell thunderstorms in the Southeastern United States

Hypotheses regarding favorable conditions for anomalous charging have primarily resulted from studies within the Great Plains region of the United States, where the efficiency of warm precipitation processes is thought to be fundamental. Rare observations of anomalous charge structures in the Southeastern region challenge existing conceptual models used to explain anomalous charging. As a rigorous evaluation of conditions that support anomalous charge structures, environmental characteristics and bulk kinematic and microphysical properties of two normal and two anomalous supercell thunderstorms observed in the Southeast were compared in this paper. Within the anomalous supercells, greater quantities of precipitation ice were identified at higher altitudes and colder temperatures, suggesting a greater depth of riming growth and increased vertical transport of rimed hydrometeors. Deeper anomalous supercell updrafts were larger and stronger in the upper mixed-phase and glaciated regions. However, normal supercells were characterized by more robust low-level updrafts, resulting in comparable warm cloud residence times that suggested warm precipitation processes were not necessarily less efficient in the anomalous supercells. Indications of enhanced mixed-phase liquid water content in favor of anomalous charging were observed in the anomalous supercells, though contrasts in related environmental parameters were not as large as observed in other comparative studies. Anomalous supercell environments were characterized by increased instability, shallower warm cloud depth, as well as lower relative humidity in the 700 mb to 500 mb layer. Evidence of impacts from dry air in anomalous storm structures suggested that water vapor content may have affected particle-scale charge transfer in support of anomalous charge structure development.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS2015

Climate-Induced Larch Growth Response Within the Central Siberian Permafrost Zone

Aim: estimation of larch (Larix gmelinii) growth response to current climate changes. Location: permafrost area within the northern part of Central Siberia (approximately 65.8 deg N, 98.5 deg E). Method: analysis of dendrochronological data, climate variables, drought index SPEI, GPP (gross primary production) and EVI vegetation index (both Aqua/MODIS satellite derived), and soil water content anomalies (GRACE satellite measurements of equivalent water thickness anomalies, EWTA). Results: larch tree ring width (TRW) correlated with previous year August precipitation (r = 0.63), snow accumulation (r = 0.61), soil water anomalies (r = 0.79), early summer temperatures and water vapor pressure (r = 0.73 and r = 0.69, respectively), May and June drought index (r = 0.68-0.82). There are significant positive trends of TRW since late 1980s and GPP since the year 2000. Mean TRW increased by about 50%, which is similar to post-Little Ice Age warming. TRW correlated with GPP and EVI of larch stands (r = 0.68-0.69). Main conclusions: within the permafrost zone of central Siberia larch TRW growth is limited by early summer temperatures, available water from snowmelt, water accumulated within soil in the previous year, and permafrost thaw water. Water stress is one of the limiting factors of larch growth. Larch TRW growth and GPP increased during recent decades.

permafrost thaw↗
NASA NTRS2011

The Role of Comets as Possible Contributors of Water and Prebiotic Organics to Terrestrial Planets

The question of exogenous delivery of organics and water to Earth and other young planets is of critical importance for understanding the origin of Earth's water, and for assessing the prospects for existence of Earth-like exo-planets. Viewed from a cosmic perspective, Earth is a dry planet yet its oceans are enriched in deuterium by a large factor relative to nebular hydrogen. Can comets have delivered Earth's water? The deuterium content of comets is key to ,assessing their role as contributors of water to Earth. Icy bodies today reside in two distinct reservoirs, the Oort Cloud and the Kuiper Disk (divided into the classical disk, the scattered disk, and the detached or extended disk populations). Orbital parameters can indicate the cosmic storage reservoir for a given comet. Knowledge of the diversity of comets within a reservoir assists in assessing their possible contribution to early Earth, but requires quantitative knowledge of their components - dust and ice. Strong gradients in temperature and chemistry in the proto-planetary disk, coupled with dynamical dispersion of an outer disk of icy planetesimals, imply that comets from KD and OC reservoirs should have diverse composition. The primary volatiles (native to the nucleus) provide the preferred metric for building a taxonomy for comets, and the number of comets so quantified is growing rapidly. Taxonomies based on native species (primary volatiles) are now beginning to emerge [1, 2, 3]. The measurement of cosmic parameters such as the nuclear spin temperatures for H2O, NH3 and CH4, and of enrichment factors for isotopologues (D/H in water and hydrogen cyanide, N-14/N-15 in CN and hydrogen cyanide) provide additional tests of the origin of cometary material. I will provide an overview of these aspects, and implications for the origin of Earth's water and prebiotic organics.

Mumma, Michael J.↗
NASA NTRS2001

Millimeter-Wave Radar Field Measurements and Inversion of Cloud Parameters for the 1999 Mt. Washington Icing Sensors Project

The Mount Washington Icing Sensors Project (MWISP) was a multi-investigator experiment with participants from Quadrant Engineering, NOAA Environmental Technology Laboratory (NOAA/ETL), the Microwave Remote Sensing Laboratory (MIRSL) of the University of Massachusetts (UMass), and others. Radar systems from UMass and NOAA/ETL were used to measure X-, Ka-, and W-band backscatter data from the base of Mt. Washington, while simultaneous in-situ particle measurements were made from aircraft and from the observatory at the summit. This report presents range and time profiles of liquid water content and particle size parameters derived from range profiles of radar reflectivity as measured at X-, Ka-, and W-band (9.3, 33.1, and 94.9 GHz) using an artificial neural network inversion algorithm. In this report, we provide a brief description of the experiment configuration, radar systems, and a review of the artificial neural network used to extract cloud parameters from the radar data. Time histories of liquid water content (LWC), mean volume diameter (MVD) and mean Z diameter (MZD) are plotted at 300 m range intervals for slant ranges between 1.1 and 4 km. Appendix A provides details on the extraction of radar reflectivity from measured radar power, and Appendix B provides summary logs of the weather conditions for each day in which we processed data.

Pazmany, Andrew L.↗
DOE OSTI2025

Hydraulic Conductivity Measurements, Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska, 2014

Six individual ice cores were collected from the Barrow Environmental Observatory in Barrow, Alaska, in May of 2013 as part of the Next Generation Ecosystem Experiment (NGEE). Each core was drilled at a different location to varying depths. After drilling, the cores were stored in coolers packed with dry ice and flown to Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) in Berkeley, CA. 3-dimensional images of the cores were constructed using medical X-ray computed tomography (CT) scanner at 120kV. Hydraulic conductivity samples were extracted from these cores at LBNL Richmond Field Station in Richmond, CA, in February 2014 by cutting 5 to 8 inch segments using a chop saw. Samples were packed individually and stored at -20C freezing temperatures to minimize any changes in structure or loss of ice content prior to analysis. Hydraulic conductivity was determined through falling head tests using a permeameter [ELE International, Model #: K-770B] (Appendix A). Samples were placed in a latex membrane via a membrane stretcher while frozen. Use of a membrane stretcher made the membranes easier to secure and minimized contact with the sample. A clear polycarbonate sleeve, fabricated with a stainless steel ring at the bottom to keep the sleeve from floating, was placed around the sample inside the permeameter to minimize deformation during analysis. The permeameter was filled with water and 1.0 PSI of air was applied for confining pressure during sample defrost. Outflow valves were left open to allow for incremental thawing and samples were left to thaw for approximately 12 hours. After approximately 12 hours of thaw, initial falling head tests were performed. When the flow was significantly too fast or too slow, the analysis was stopped and the burette size was adjusted accordingly (i.e. a larger diameter burette was used for flows that were faster than desired or a smaller diameter burette was used for flows that were slower than desired). Two to four measurements were collected on each sample and collection stopped when the applied head load exceeded 25% change from the original load. Analyses were performed between 2 to 3 times for each sample. The final hydraulic conductivity calculations were computed using methodology of Das et al., 1985.The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments: Arctic (NGEE Arctic), was a 15-year research effort (2012-2027) to reduce uncertainty in Earth System Models by developing a predictive understanding of carbon-rich Arctic ecosystems and feedbacks to climate. NGEE Arctic was supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research. The NGEE Arctic project had two field research sites: 1) located within the Arctic polygonal tundra coastal region on the Barrow Environmental Observatory (BEO) and the North Slope near Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska and 2) multiple areas on the discontinuous permafrost region of the Seward Peninsula north of Nome, Alaska. Through observations, experiments, and synthesis with existing datasets, NGEE Arctic provided an enhanced knowledge base for multi-scale modeling and contributed to improved process representation at global pan-Arctic scales within the Department of Energy's Earth system Model (the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, or E3SM), and specifically within the E3SM Land Model component (ELM).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS2018

Computational Icing Risk Analysis of the D8 "Double Bubble" Aircraft

A computational icing risk analysis utilizing LEWICE3D was performed for the D8 Double Bubble aircraft. A variety of discrete drop sizes spanning the Appendix C and O regimes were simulated. For computational efficiency a 50-bin global discretization was produced and projected onto the distributions of interest, eliminating redundant simulations. The trajectory and impingement characteristics for discrete drop diameters were analyzed to help understand the behavior of the water drops in the presence of a complex flow field. The collection efficiency results for the discrete drop diameters were then weighted by their contributions to the total water content of six different continuous distributions and subsequently superposed to approximate these curves. Results indicate that significant variation in impingement exists as a function of drop diameter for complex wing body geometries, and that current discretization practices may be insufficient to accurately predict water collection on certain regions of the aircraft. Results also indicate that the Appendix O distributions, specifically those with considerable water content at large drops, generates water collection patterns that are markedly different from distributions representative of Appendix C.

Porter, Christopher E.↗
NASA NTRS1999

Submillimeter-Wave Cloud Ice Radiometry

Submillimeter-wave cloud ice radiometry is a new and innovative technique for characterizing cirrus ice clouds. Cirrus clouds affect Earth's climate and hydrological cycle by reflecting incoming solar energy, trapping outgoing IR radiation, sublimating into vapor, and influencing atmospheric circulation. Since uncertainties in the global distribution of cloud ice restrict the accuracy of both climate and weather models, successful development of this technique could provide a valuable tool for investigating how clouds affect climate and weather. Cloud ice radiometry could fill an important gap in the observational capabilities of existing and planned Earth-observing systems. Using submillimeter-wave radiometry to retrieve properties of ice clouds can be understood with a simple model. There are a number of submillimeter-wavelength spectral regions where the upper troposphere is transparent. At lower tropospheric altitudes water vapor emits a relatively uniform flux of thermal radiation. When cirrus clouds are present, they scatter a portion of the upwelling flux of submillimeter-wavelength radiation back towards the Earth as shown in the diagram, thus reducing the upward flux o f energy. Hence, the power received by a down-looking radiometer decreases when a cirrus cloud passes through the field of view causing the cirrus cloud to appear radiatively cool against the warm lower atmospheric thermal emissions. The reduction in upwelling thermal flux is a function of both the total cloud ice content and mean crystal size. Radiometric measurements made at multiple widely spaced frequencies permit flux variations caused by changes in crystal size to be distinguished from changes in ice content, and polarized measurements can be used to constrain mean crystal shape. The goal of the cloud ice radiometry program is to further develop and validate this technique of characterizing cirrus. A multi-frequency radiometer is being designed to support airborne science and spacecraft validation missions. This program has already extended the initial millimeter-wave modeling studies to submillimeter-wavelengths and has improved the realism of the cloud scattering models. Additionally a proof-of-concept airborne submillimeter-wave radiometer was constructed and fielded. It measured a radiometric signal from cirrus confirming the basic technical feasibility of this technique. This program is a cooperative effort of the University of Colorado, Colorado State University, Swales Aerospace, and Jet Propulsion Laboratory. Additional information is contained in the original.

Walter, Steven J.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Midlatitude cyclone processes as a key to understanding climate sensitivity

Global climate models (GCMs) differ greatly in their shortwave cloud feedback. One feature that is consistent across GCMs is a positive shortwave cloud feedback in the subtropics, and a negative shortwave cloud feedback across the midlatitudes. Confidence has grown in the mechanisms that lead to, and the strength of, the subtropical shortwave cloud feedback, but the midlatitude negative shortwave cloud feedback is not well-constrained or well-understood. It is critical to reduce uncertainty in midlatitude shortwave cloud feedback. A more positive midlatitude shortwave cloud feedback in the sixth coupled model intercomparison project (CMIP6) has been found to be one of the primary causes of the increased climate sensitivity of CMIP6 models relative to CMIP5. We show that changes in midlatitude cyclones in future climates are the primary cause of the negative shortwave cloud feedback and are thus key to understanding the high climate sensitivity in the most recent GCMs. Warming-induced changes in cloud liquid water path in midlatitude cyclones can almost entirely be explained by Clausius-Clapeyron increasing moisture convergence into cyclones. One concern with simulating midlatitude cyclones is the lack of predictive skill at low resolution. A more realistic relationship between moisture flux and cyclone liquid content is found at high horizontal resolution (∆x<25km), but the cloud feedback within cyclones can be explained by increased moisture convergence across low- and high-resolution models. Observations and models agree that the extratropical shortwave cloud feedback is moderated by precipitation processes in cyclones. This rules out a large contribution from ice-to-liquid transitions, as has been hypothesized in previous studies. Understanding and constraining these precipitation processes is crucial to constraining the response of midlatitude cyclones to warming and by extension climate sensitivity.

Cyclones↗
NASA NTRS1995

Simulated interannual variability of the Greenland Sea deep water formation and its connection to surface forcing

A fully prognostic Arctic ice-ocean model is used to study the interannual variability of deepwater formation in the Greenland Sea Gyre based on the simulations for the Arctic ice-ocean system for the period 1955 and 1960 - 1985. The model uses monthly climatology for thermodynamic forcing components (such as air temperature and cloudiness), together with constant annual net precipitation and river runoff. The daily wind forcing is derived from analyzed sea level air pressures from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). In summary, the model shows that the occurence of deep convection in the Greenland Sea Gyre is controlled by the extensive Fram Strait ice export and/or local wind conditions in the Greenland Sea. In the latter case the weakening of the local wind curl allows the Polar Front to move eastward. The movement of the Polar Front causes adverse ice conditions, often together with much larger than normal ice export from the Arctic, such as in 1968, which can block convection in the gyre. The density difference between upper and lower layers is investigated as an indication of water mass formation through convection, occurring as strong diffusion in the model. The model-simulated density difference between the average top 100 m and deep levels reveals that the period 1960 - 1985 had only a few distinct years with weak stratification, and, especially, the model predicts no deep convection since the nid-1970s. The common factor for the years of the weakest decrease of the model-predicted heat content of the upper 2000 m which can, to a high degree, be explained by local heat loss.

Haekkinen, Sirpa↗