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At least 577 records · Page 32

A New Hybrid Spatio-temporal Model for Estimating Daily Multi-year PM2.5 Concentrations Across Northeastern USA Using High Resolution Aerosol Optical Depth Data

The use of satellite-based aerosol optical depth (AOD) to estimate fine particulate matter PM(sub 2.5) for epidemiology studies has increased substantially over the past few years. These recent studies often report moderate predictive power, which can generate downward bias in effect estimates. In addition, AOD measurements have only moderate spatial resolution, and have substantial missing data. We make use of recent advances in MODIS satellite data processing algorithms (Multi-Angle Implementation of Atmospheric Correction (MAIAC), which allow us to use 1 km (versus currently available 10 km) resolution AOD data.We developed and cross validated models to predict daily PM(sub 2.5) at a 1X 1 km resolution across the northeastern USA (New England, New York and New Jersey) for the years 2003-2011, allowing us to better differentiate daily and long term exposure between urban, suburban, and rural areas. Additionally, we developed an approach that allows us to generate daily high-resolution 200 m localized predictions representing deviations from the area 1 X 1 km grid predictions. We used mixed models regressing PM(sub 2.5) measurements against day-specific random intercepts, and fixed and random AOD and temperature slopes. We then use generalized additive mixed models with spatial smoothing to generate grid cell predictions when AOD was missing. Finally, to get 200 m localized predictions, we regressed the residuals from the final model for each monitor against the local spatial and temporal variables at each monitoring site. Our model performance was excellent (mean out-of-sample R(sup 2) = 0.88). The spatial and temporal components of the out-of-sample results also presented very good fits to the withheld data (R(sup 2) = 0.87, R(sup)2 = 0.87). In addition, our results revealed very little bias in the predicted concentrations (Slope of predictions versus withheld observations = 0.99). Our daily model results show high predictive accuracy at high spatial resolutions and will be useful in reconstructing exposure histories for epidemiological studies across this region.

Air pollution↗

Hybrid Electric Turbofan Example Model

This powerpoint will be presented at a monthly Numerical Propulsion System Simulation (NPSS) Consortium monthly meeting. The presentation covers a simple example model that is being proposed to demonstrate how to model electrified propulsion systems in NPSS. The NPSS consortium expects to see its members modeling more electrified propulsion systems in the future and sees a need for a comprehensive example model for these systems, to demonstrate and standardize how these models are constructed.

Hydro Electric Turbofan↗

A Hybrid Data-Driven and Model-Based Anomaly Detection Scheme for DER Operation

This paper proposes a hybrid data and model-based anomaly detection scheme to secure the operation of distributed energy resources (DERs) in distribution grids. Data-driven autoencoders are set up at the edge device level and they use local DER operational data as inputs. The abnormal statuses are detected by analyzing reconstruction errors. In parallel, modelbased state estimation (SE) is set up at the central level and it uses system-wide models and measurements as data inputs. The anomalies are identified by analyzing measurement residuals. The hybrid scheme preserves the benefits of both data-driven and model-based analyses and thus improves the robustness and the accuracy of anomaly detection. Numerical tests based on the model of a real distribution feeder in Southern California highlight the proposed scheme's effectiveness and benefits.

anomaly detection↗

Hybrid-Energy-Powered Electrochemical Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement Model: Plant Operation, Cost, and Profitability

Electrochemical ocean alkalinity enhancement is a form of marine carbon dioxide removal, a rapidly growing industry that is powered by efficient onshore or offshore energy sources. As more and larger deployments are being planned, it is important to consider how variable energy sources like tidal energy can impact plant performance and costs. An open-source Python-based generalizable model for electrodialysis-based ocean alkalinity enhancement has been developed that can capture key system-level insights of the electrochemistry, ocean chemistry, acid disposal, and co-product creation of these plants under various conditions. The model additionally accounts for hybrid energy system performance profiles and costs via the National Laboratory of the Rockies’ H2Integrate tool. The model was used to analyze an example theoretical plant deployment in North Admiralty Inlet, including how the plant is impacted by the available energy sources in the region and the scale at which plant costs are covered by the co-products it generates, such as recycled concrete aggregates, without requiring carbon credits. The results show that the example plant could be profitable without carbon credits at commercial scales of 100,000 to 1 million tons of carbon dioxide removal per year, so long as it uses low-cost electricity sources and either sells acid or recovers recycled concrete aggregates with about 1 molar acid concentrations, though more research is needed to confirm these results.

hybrid energy↗

Aeroheating Predictions for a Hypersonic, Turbulent Near-Wake

The accuracy of heating predictions using various turbulence models is examined for an axisymmetric near-wake at Mach 6. The CFD predictions are compared with experimental data collected under AGARD Working Group 18 on the wake of a 70-degree sphere-cone. The impact of grid resolution and discretization error is estimated, which allows a comparison of stacked-block and conventional structured meshes. The accuracy of steady Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) models is contrasted with that of a hybrid RANS/Large-Eddy Simulation model. The predictions are made with three different CFD codes (LAURA, FUN3D, and HyperSolve), to demonstrate the code-to-code variation in the results. Steady SST models capture the qualitative nature of the heating in the wake, including the increasing peak heating with increasing Reynolds number. Spalart-Allmaras models, including SA-Catris, under-predicted the peak heating in the wake. Hybrid RANS/LES models improve upon the SA results but have their own modeling difficulties near the shear layer impingement. These results are generally consistent across solvers and grid topologies.

RANS↗

Aeroheating Predictions for a Hypersonic, Turbulent Near-Wake

The accuracy of heating predictions using various turbulence models is examined for an axisymmetric near-wake at Mach 6. The CFD predictions are compared with experimental data collected under AGARD Working Group 18 on the wake of a 70-degree sphere-cone. The impact of grid resolution and discretization error is estimated, which allows a comparison of stacked-block and conventional structured meshes. The accuracy of steady Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) models is contrasted with that of a hybrid RANS/Large-Eddy Simulation model. The predictions are made with three different CFD codes (LAURA, FUN3D, and HyperSolve), to demonstrate the code-to-code variation in the results. Steady SST models capture the qualitative nature of the heating in the wake, including the increasing peak heating with increasing Reynolds number. Spalart-Allmaras models, including SA-Catris, under-predicted the peak heating in the wake. Hybrid RANS/LES models improve upon the SA results but have their own modeling difficulties near the shear layer impingement. These results are generally consistent across solvers and grid topologies.

RANS↗

A hybrid deep neural operator/finite element method for ice-sheet modeling

One of the most challenging and consequential problems in climate modeling is to provide probabilistic projections of sea level rise. A large part of the uncertainty of sea level projections is due to uncertainty in ice sheet dynamics. At the moment, accurate quantification of the uncertainty is hindered by the cost of ice sheet computational models. In this work we develop a hybrid approach to approximate existing ice sheet models at a fraction of their cost. Our approach consists of replacing the finite element model for the momentum equations for the ice velocity, the most expensive part of an ice sheet model, with a Deep Operator Network, while we retain a classic finite element discretization for the evolution of the ice thickness. We show that the resulting hybrid model is very accurate and it is an order of magnitude faster than the traditional finite element model. Further, a distinctive feature of the proposed model, compared to other neural network approaches, is that it can handle high-dimensional parameter spaces (parameter fields) such as the basal friction at the bed of the glacier and can therefore be used for generating samples for uncertainty quantification. Further, we study the impact of hyper-parameters, number of unknowns and correlation length of the parameter distribution on the training and accuracy of the Deep Operator Network on a synthetic ice sheet model. We then target the evolution of the Humboldt glacier in Greenland and show that our hybrid model can provide accurate statistics of the glacier mass loss and can be effectively used to accelerate the quantification of uncertainty.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

A Hybrid Data-Driven and Model-Based Anomaly Detection Scheme for DER Operation: Preprint

This paper proposes a hybrid data and model-based anomaly detection for securing the operation of distributed energy resources (DERs) in distribution grids. Data-driven autoencoders (AE) are set up at the edge level by taking local DER data and detect anomalous operations by leveraging the reconstruction ability. In parallel, model-based state estimation (SE) is running at the system level by taking system models and measurements, the anomalies are identified by analyzing the measurements residual. The hybrid scheme preserves the benefits of both data-driven and model-based analysis and thus improves the robustness and accuracy of anomaly detection. It can be established by getting full use of the existing infrastructures in distribution grids. Numerical tests on a realistic distribution feeder in Southern California highlight the effectiveness as well as benefits of the proposed scheme.

anomaly detection↗

Modeling and Analysis of Asynchronous Systems Using SAL and Hybrid SAL

We present formal models and results of formal analysis of two different asynchronous systems. We first examine a mid-value select module that merges the signals coming from three different sensors that are each asynchronously sampling the same input signal. We then consider the phase locking protocol proposed by Daly, Hopkins, and McKenna. This protocol is designed to keep a set of non-faulty (asynchronous) clocks phase locked even in the presence of Byzantine-faulty clocks on the network. All models and verifications have been developed using the SAL model checking tools and the Hybrid SAL abstractor.

Tiwari, Ashish↗

A Study of Scaling for Intercycle Ice Accretion Tests

The Ruff method with matched scale and reference velocity was used to determine appropriate 1/2-scale test conditions to simulate a full-size icing encounter for an NACA 23012 wing section protected with a pneumatic boot deicing system. Intercycle ice accretions were recorded on a 36-in-chord model used to represent 1/2-scale and compared with a hybrid reference model (full-size leading-edge and truncated aft section) representing a 72-in-chord full-size airfoil. The intercycle ice thickness and extent of icing for the scale tests generally compared well with those from the reference model. However, the scale tests did not reproduce the location and number of feather rows seen in the reference tests aft of the main ice shape. Many of the differences observed were believed to result from not scaling the pneumatic boot design along with the model size for these tests.

Anderson, David N.↗

A Double Disturbed Lunar Plasma Wake

Under nominal solar wind conditions, a tenuous wake forms downstream of the lunar nightside. However, the lunar plasma environment undergoes a transformation as the Moon passes through the Earth's magnetotail, with hot subsonic plasma causing the wake structure to disappear. We investigate the lunar wake response during a passing coronal mass ejection (CME) on March 8, 2012 while crossing the Earth's magnetotail using both a magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model of the terrestrial magnetosphere and a three-dimensional hybrid plasma model of the lunar wake. The CME arrives at 1 AU around 10:30 UT and its impact is first detected inside the geomagnetic tail after 11:10 UT by the Acceleration, Reconnection, Turbulence and Electrodynamics of the Moon's Interaction with the Sun (THEMIS-ARTEMIS) satellites in lunar orbit. A global magnetospheric MHD simulation using Wind data for upstream conditions with the OpenGGCM model reveals the magnetosheath compression to the lunar position from 11:20–12:00 UT, accompanied by multiple flux rope or plasmoid-like features developing and propagating tailward. MHD results support plasma changes observed by the THEMIS-ARTEMIS satellites. Lunar-scale simulations using the Amitis hybrid code show a short and misaligned plasma wake during the Moon's brief entry into the magnetosheath at 11:20 UT, with plasma expansion into the void being aided by the higher plasma temperatures. Sharply accelerated flow speed and a compressed magnetic field lead to an enhanced electric field in the lunar wake capable of generating sudden changes to the nightside near-surface electric potential.

A. P. Rasca↗

Analysis of GaAs and Si solar energy hybrid systems

Various silicon hybrid systems are modeled and compared with a gallium arsenide hybrid system. The hybrid systems modeled produce electric power and also thermal power which can be used for heating or air conditioning. Various performance indices are defined and used to compare the system performance: capital cost per electric power out; capital cost per total power out; capital cost per electric power plus mechanical power; annual cost per annual electric energy; and annual cost per annual electric energy plus annual mechanical work. These performance indices indicate that concentrator hybrid systems can be cost effective when compared with present day energy costs.

Heinbockel, J. H.↗

Market participation strategy of hybrid energy resources: A New York ISO case study

Drawing on existing market designs with independent resource participation in electricity markets, this study analyzes participation models for hybrid resources combining renewable generation and storage. Two models are considered: in the first, the components operate independently, with the Independent System Operator (ISO) managing the storage state of charge (SoC); in the second, the hybrid resource acts as an integrated unit, submitting offers as a “black box” and managing its SoC internally. Using a production cost model for the zonal New York Bulk Power System, we evaluate trade-offs in system reliability, market efficiency, and asset profitability. Our results provide several key insights for policymakers, showing that the ISO-managed granular model enhances social welfare through explicit SoC management, while the simpler integrated model is more computationally efficient, but may cause more real-time violations and lower overall profits.

Bansal, Rajni Kant↗

Acceleration efficiency in nonthermal sources and the soft gamma rays from NGC 4151 observed by OSSE and SIGMA

We show that the recent observations of the Seyfert galaxy NGC 4151 in hard X-rays and soft gamma rays by the OSSE and SIGMA detectors on board CGRO and GRANAT, respectively, are well explained by a nonthermal model with acceleration of relativistic electrons at an efficiency of less than 50 percent and with the remaining power dissipated thermally in the source (the standard nonthermal e(+/-) pair model assumed 100 percent efficiency). Such an acceleration efficiency is generally expected on physical grounds. The resulting model unifies previously proposed purely thermal and purely nonthermal models. The pure nonthermal model for NGC 4151 appears to be ruled out. The pure thermal model gives a worse fit to the data than our hybrid nonthermal/thermal model.

Zdziarski, Andrzej A.↗

Universal Coating by 3D Hybrid Programmable Matter

Motivated by the prospect of nano-robots that assist human physiological functions at the nanoscale, we investigate the coating problem in the three-dimensional model for hybrid programmable matter. In this model, a single agent with strictly limited viewing range and the computational capability of a deterministic finite automaton can act on passive tiles by picking up a tile, moving, and placing it at some spot. The goal of the coating problem is to fill each node of some surface graph of size n with a tile. We first solve the problem on a restricted class of graphs with a single tile type, and then use constantly many tile types to encode this graph in certain surface graphs capturing the surface of 3D objects. Our algorithm requires O(n^2) steps, which is worst-case optimal compared to an agent with global knowledge and no memory restrictions.

programmable matter↗

Development of an implicit electromagnetic capability for a hybrid gyrokinetic ion-fluid electron model

Here we report on the development and implementation of a hybrid kinetic ion–fluid electron model for electromagnetic COGENT simulations of edge plasmas. COGENT is a finite-volume gyrokinetic code that employs a locally field-aligned coordinate system combined with a mapped multi-block grid technology to handle strongly anisotropic edge plasma turbulence. The simulation model involves the long-wavelength limit of the ion gyrokinetic equation coupled to the vorticity and Ohm's law equations for the electromagnetic field perturbations. In order to handle the fast Alfvén wave time scales, an implicit-explicit time integration approach with a physics-based preconditioner is used. The model is successfully applied to the simulations of ion-scale resistive-drift ballooning turbulence in a toroidal annulus geometry. Substantial speed-up over a fully explicit time integration approach is observed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗