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At least 577 records · Page 32

Scientific Objectives, Measurement Needs, and Challenges Motivating the PARAGON Aerosol Initiative

Aerosols are involved in a complex set of processes that operate across many spatial and temporal scales. Understanding these processes, and ensuring their accurate representation in models of transport, radiation transfer, and climate, requires knowledge of aerosol physical, chemical, and optical properties and the distributions of these properties in space and time. To derive aerosol climate forcing, aerosol optical and microphysical properties and their spatial and temporal distributions, and aerosol interactions with clouds, need to be understood. Such data are also required in conjunction with size-resolved chemical composition in order to evaluate chemical transport models and to distinguish natural and anthropogenic forcing. Other basic parameters needed for modeling the radiative influences of aerosols are surface reflectivity and three-dimensional cloud fields. This large suite of parameters mandates an integrated observing and modeling system of commensurate scope. The Progressive Aerosol Retrieval and Assimilation Global Observing Network (PARAGON) concept, designed to meet this requirement, is motivated by the need to understand climate system sensitivity to changes in atmospheric constituents, to reduce climate model uncertainties, and to analyze diverse collections of data pertaining to aerosols. This paper highlights several challenges resulting from the complexity of the problem. Approaches for dealing with them are offered in the set of companion papers.

optical depth↗

Effects of Secondary Task Modality and Processing Code on Automation Trust and Utilization During Simulated Airline Luggage Screening

The purpose of this research was to examine the impact of environmental distractions on human trust and utilization of automation during the process of visual search. Participants performed a computer-simulated airline luggage screening task with the assistance of a 70% reliable automated decision aid (called DETECTOR) both with and without environmental distractions. The distraction was implemented as a secondary task in either a competing modality (visual) or non-competing modality (auditory). The secondary task processing code either competed with the luggage screening task (spatial code) or with the automation's textual directives (verbal code). We measured participants' system trust, perceived reliability of the system (when a target weapon was present and absent), compliance, reliance, and confidence when agreeing and disagreeing with the system under both distracted and undistracted conditions. Results revealed that system trust was lower in the visual-spatial and auditory-verbal conditions than in the visual-verbal and auditory-spatial conditions. Perceived reliability of the system (when the target was present) was significantly higher when the secondary task was visual rather than auditory. Compliance with the aid increased in all conditions except for the auditory-verbal condition, where it decreased. Similar to the pattern for trust, reliance on the automation was lower in the visual-spatial and auditory-verbal conditions than in the visual-verbal and auditory-spatial conditions. Confidence when agreeing with the system decreased with the addition of any kind of distraction; however, confidence when disagreeing increased with the addition of an auditory secondary task but decreased with the addition of a visual task. A model was developed to represent the research findings and demonstrate the relationship between secondary task modality, processing code, and automation use. Results suggest that the nature of environmental distractions influence interaction with automation via significant effects on trust and system utilization. These findings have implications for both automation design and operator training.

Phillips, Rachel↗

Using Coupled Models to Study the Effects of River Discharge on Biogeochemical Cycling and Hypoxia in the Northern Gulf of Mexico

We describe emerging capabilities to understand physical processes and biogeoehemical cycles in coastal waters through the use of satellites, numerical models, and ship observations. Emerging capabilities provide significantly improved ability to model ecological systems and the impact of environmental management actions on them. The complex interaction of physical and biogeoehemical processes responsible for hypoxic events requires an integrated approach to research, monitoring, and modeling in order to fully define the processes leading to hypoxia. Our efforts characterizes the carbon cycle associated with river plumes and the export of organic matter and nutrients form coastal Louisiana wetlands and embayments in a spatially and temporally intensive manner previously not possible. Riverine nutrients clearly affect ecosystems in the northern Gulf of Mexico as evidenced in the occurrence of regional hypoxia events. Less known and largely unqualified is the export of organic matter and nutrients from the large areas of disappearing coastal wetlands and large embayments adjacent to the Louisiana Continental Shelf. This project provides new methods to track the river plume along the shelf and to estimate the rate of export of suspended inorganic and organic paniculate matter and dissolved organic matter form coastal habitats of south Louisiana.

COUPLED MODEL↗

Improving the Monitoring of Crop Productivity Using Spaceborne Solar-Induced Fluorescence

Large-scale monitoring of crop growth and yield has important value for forecasting food production and prices and ensuring regional food security. A newly emerging satellite retrieval, solar-induced fluorescence (SIF) of chlorophyll, provides for the first time a direct measurement related to plant photosynthetic activity (i.e. electron transport rate). Here, we provide a framework to link SIF retrievals and crop yield, accounting for stoichiometry, photosynthetic pathways, and respiration losses. We apply this framework to estimate United States crop productivity for 2007-2012, where we use the spaceborne SIF retrievals from the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment-2 satellite, benchmarked with county-level crop yield statistics, and compare it with various traditional crop monitoring approaches. We find that a SIF-based approach accounting for photosynthetic pathways (i.e. C3 and C4 crops) provides the best measure of crop productivity among these approaches, despite the fact that SIF sensors are not yet optimized for terrestrial applications. We further show that SIF provides the ability to infer the impacts of environmental stresses on autotrophic respiration and carbon-use-efficiency, with a substantial sensitivity of both to high temperatures. These results indicate new opportunities for improved mechanistic understanding of crop yield responses to climate variability and change.

Guan, Kaiyu↗

Future Global Mortality from Changes in Air Pollution Attributable to Climate Change

Ground-level ozone and fine particulate matter (PM (sub 2.5)) are associated with premature human mortality; their future concentrations depend on changes in emissions, which dominate the near-term, and on climate change. Previous global studies of the air-quality-related health effects of future climate change used single atmospheric models. However, in related studies, mortality results differ among models. Here we use an ensemble of global chemistry-climate models to show that premature mortality from changes in air pollution attributable to climate change, under the high greenhouse gas scenario RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 8.5, is probably positive. We estimate 3,340 (30,300 to 47,100) ozone-related deaths in 2030, relative to 2000 climate, and 43,600 (195,000 to 237,000) in 2100 (14 percent of the increase in global ozone-related mortality). For PM (sub 2.5), we estimate 55,600 (34,300 to 164,000) deaths in 2030 and 215,000 (76,100 to 595,000) in 2100 (countering by 16 percent the global decrease in PM (sub 2.5)-related mortality). Premature mortality attributable to climate change is estimated to be positive in all regions except Africa, and is greatest in India and East Asia. Most individual models yield increased mortality from climate change, but some yield decreases, suggesting caution in interpreting results from a single model. Climate change mitigation is likely to reduce air-pollution-related mortality.

Atmohspheric chemistry↗

Systemic Response to Microgravity: Utilizing GeneLab Datasets to Identify Molecular Targets for Future Hypotheses-Driven Spaceflight Studies

Biological risks associated with microgravity are a major concern for long-term space travel. Although determination of risk has been a focus for NASA research, data examining systemic (i.e., multi- or pan-tissue) responses to space flight are sparse. To perform our analysis, we utilized the NASA GeneLab database which is a publicly available repository containing a wide array of omics results from experiments conducted with: i) with different flight conditions (space shuttle (STS) missions vs. International Space Station (ISS); ii) a variety of tissues; and 3) assays that measure epigenetic, transcriptional, and protein expression changes. Meta-analysis of the transcriptomic data from 7 different murine and rat data sets, examining tissues such as liver, kidney, adrenal gland, thymus, mammary gland, skin, and skeletal muscle (soleus, extensor digitorum longus, tibialis anterior, quadriceps, and gastrocnemius) revealed for the first time, the existence of potential master regulators coordinating systemic responses to microgravity in rodents. We identified p53, TGF(beta)1 and immune related pathways as the highly prevalent pan-tissue signaling pathways that are affected by microgravity. Some variability in the degree of change in their expression across species, strain and time of flight was also observed. Interestingly, while certain skeletal muscle (gastrocnemius and soleus) exhibited an overall down-regulation of these genes, some other muscle types such as the extensor digitorum longus, tibialis anterior and quadriceps, showed an up-regulated expression, indicative of potential compensatory mechanisms to prevent microgravity-induced atrophy. Key genes isolated by unbiased systems analyses displayed a major overlap between tissue types and flight conditions and established TGF(beta)1 to be the most connected gene across all data sets. Finally, a set of microgravity responsive miRNA signature was identified and based on their predicted functional state and subsequent impact on health, a theoretical health risk score was calculated. The genes and miRNAs identified from our analyses can be targeted for future research involving efficient countermeasure design. Our study thus exemplifies the utility of GeneLab data repository to aid in the process of performing novel hypothesis based spaceflight research aimed at elucidating the global impact of environmental stressors at multiple biological scales.

GeneLab↗

Systemic Microgravity Response: Utilizing GeneLab to Develop Hypotheses for Spaceflight Risks

Biological risks associated with microgravity are a major concern for long-term space travel. Although determination of risk has been a focus for NASA research, data examining systemic (i.e., multi- or pan-tissue) responses to space flight are sparse. To perform our analysis, we utilized the NASA GeneLab database which is a publicly available repository containing a wide array of omics results from experiments conducted with: i) with different flight conditions (space shuttle (STS) missions vs. International Space Station (ISS); ii) a variety of tissues; and 3) assays that measure epigenetic, transcriptional, and protein expression changes. Meta-analysis of the transcriptomic data from 7 different murine and rat data sets, examining tissues such as liver, kidney, adrenal gland, thymus, mammary gland, skin, and skeletal muscle (soleus, extensor digitorum longus, tibialis anterior, quadriceps, and gastrocnemius) revealed for the first time, the existence of potential master regulators coordinating systemic responses to microgravity in rodents. We identified p53, TGF1 and immune related pathways as the highly prevalent pan-tissue signaling pathways that are affected by microgravity. Some variability in the degree of change in their expression across species, strain and time of flight was also observed. Interestingly, while certain skeletal muscle (gastrocnemius and soleus) exhibited an overall down-regulation of these genes, some other muscle types such as the extensor digitorum longus, tibialis anterior and quadriceps, showed an up-regulated expression, indicative of potential compensatory mechanisms to prevent microgravity-induced atrophy. Key genes isolated by unbiased systems analyses displayed a major overlap between tissue types and flight conditions and established TGF1 to be the most connected gene across all data sets. Finally, a set of microgravity responsive miRNA signature was identified and based on their predicted functional state and subsequent impact on health, a theoretical health risk score was calculated. The genes and miRNAs identified from our analyses can be targeted for future research involving efficient countermeasure design. Our study thus exemplifies the utility of GeneLab data repository to aid in the process of performing novel hypothesis based spaceflight research aimed at elucidating the global impact of environmental stressors at multiple biological scales.

GeneLab↗

Developing Model Benchtop Systems for Microbial Experimental Evolution

Understanding how microbes impact an ecosystem has improved through advances of molecular and genetic tools, but creating complex systems that emulate natural biology goes beyond current technology. In fact, many chemical, biological, and metabolic pathways of even model organisms are still poorly characterized. Even then, standard laboratory techniques for testing microbial impact on environmental change can have many drawbacks; they are time-consuming, labor intensive, and are at risk of contamination. By having an automated process, many of these problems can be reduced or even eliminated. We are developing a benchtop system that can run for long periods of time without the need for human intervention, involve multiple environmental stressors at once, perform real-time adjustments of stressor exposure based on current state of the population, and minimize contamination risks. Our prototype device allows operators to generate an analogue of real world micro-scale ecosystems that can be used to model the effects of disruptive environmental change on microbial ecosystems. It comprises of electronics, mechatronics, and fluidics based systems to control, measure, and evaluate the before and after state of microbial cultures from exposure to environmental stressors. Currently, it uses four parallel growth chambers to perform tests on liquid cultures. To measure the population state, optical sensors (LED/photodiode) are used. Its primary selection pressure is UV-C radiation, a well-studied stressor known for its cell- and DNA-damaging effects and as a mutagen. Future work will involve improving the current growth chambers, as well as implementing additional sensors and environmental stressors into the system. Full integration of multiple culture testing will allow inter-culture comparisons. Besides the temperature and OD sensors, other types of sensors can be integrated such as conductivity, biomass, pH, and dissolved gasses such as CO and O. Additional environmental stressor systems like temperature (extreme heat or cold), metal toxicity, and other forms of radiation will increase the scale and testing range.

Developing↗

Quantified, Localized Health Benefits of Accelerated Carbon Dioxide Emissions Reductions

Societal risks increase as Earth warms, and increase further for emissions trajectories accepting relatively high levels of near-term emissions while assuming future negative emissions will compensate, even if they lead to identical warming as trajectories with reduced near-term emissions. Accelerating carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions reductions, including as a substitute for negative emissions, hence reduces long-term risks but requires dramatic near-term societal transformations. A major barrier to emissions reductions is the difficulty of reconciling immediate, localized costs with global, long-term benefits. However, 2 C trajectories not relying on negative emissions or 1.5 C trajectories require elimination of most fossil-fuel-related emissions. This generally reduces co-emissions that cause ambient air pollution, resulting in near-term, localized health benefits. We therefore examine the human health benefits of increasing 21st-century CO2 reductions by 180 GtC, an amount that would shift a 'standard' 2 C scenario to 1.5 C or could achieve 2 C without negative emissions. The decreased air pollution leads to 153 +/- 43 million fewer premature deaths worldwide, with approx.40% occurring during the next 40 years, and minimal climate disbenefits. More than a million premature deaths would be prevented in many metropolitan areas in Asia and Africa, and greater than 200,000 in individual urban areas on every inhabited continent except Australia.

Atmospheric science↗

A Quantitative Hydroclimatic Context for the European Great Famine of 1315–1317

The European Great Famine of 1315–1317 triggered one of the worst population collapses in European history and ranks as the single worst European famine in mortality as a proportion of population. Historical records point to torrential rainfall, land saturation, crop failure, and prolonged flooding as important causes of the famine. Here we use the tree-ring based Old World Drought Atlas (OWDA) to show that the average of each growing season preceding the Great Famine years (1314–1316) was the fifth wettest over Europe from 1300 to 2012 C.E. The spatial and temporal characteristics of our OWDA-estimated anomalies are in excellent agreement with available historical accounts. We also characterize a mode of European hydroclimate variability that is associated with the Great Famine, which we term the “Great Famine mode.” This mode emerges as the leading mode of European hydroclimate variability from 1300–2012 and is strongly associated with extreme wet and dry events in Europe over the last millennium.

Environmental impact↗

Scientific Objectives, measurement needs, and challenges motivating the PARAGON Aerosol Initiative

A systematic, comprehensive aerosol research framework needs to replace the current, fragmented approach. The Progressive Aerosol Retrieval and Assimilation Global Observing Network (PARAGON) concept (Diner et al. 2004) envisions a coordinated and systematic approach for dramatically improving our understanding of aerosol climate impacts and environmental interactions. Among its scientific motivations is the need to establish, with great confidence, the magnitude of direct anthropogenic aerosol influences on climate and the magnitude and sign of indirect aerosol–cloud effects. Modeling of the industrial era temperature record indicates that net aerosol forcing is slightly less, but opposite in sign, than forcing from anthropogenic greenhouse gases (GHGs). However, the uncertainties in aerosol direct and indirect anthropogenic forcing are of the same magnitude as the effects themselves (Penner et al. 2001; Ramaswamy et al. 2001), and are the dominant sources of uncertainty in current estimates of total anthropogenic climate forcing. A major cause of uncertainty is the tremendous tropospheric aerosol variability in space and time. On regional scales, aerosols can have a much greater effect than GHGs, especially at the earth’s surface.

Wielicki, Bruce A.↗

Parametric Study of State-of-Charge for an Electric Aircraft in Urban Air Mobility

The envisioned concept of urban air mobility is anticipated to support passenger transportation, cargo delivery, and emergency services in major metropolitan areas with increasing autonomy levels in the future. Distributed electric propulsion powered electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft are expected to enable urban air mobility. However, the low specific energy of onboard lithium-ion polymer batteries and wind conditions impose constraints on flight endurance. Therefore, to enable autonomous urban air mobility operations using electric aircraft, one of the critical steps from a safety and efficiency perspective is to understand how various operational and environmental conditions impact the state-of-charge of the onboard lithium-ion polymer batteries. This research performs a parametric study of the state-of-charge for a NASA-proposed conceptual multirotor aircraft flight in the urban environment. The parameters considered for the parametric analysis are cruise airspeed, cruise altitude, climb and descent profiles, wind conditions (wind magnitude, wind direction relative to the route, and wind magnitude uncertainty), and required time of arrival.

Urban Air Mobility↗

Parametric Study of State of Charge for an Electric Aircraft in Urban Air Mobility

The envisioned concept of urban air mobility is anticipated to support passenger transportation, cargo delivery, and emergency services in major metropolitan areas with increasing autonomy levels in the future. Distributed electric propulsion powered electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft are expected to enable urban air mobility. However, the low specific energy of onboard lithium-ion polymer batteries and wind conditions impose constraints on flight endurance. Therefore, to enable autonomous urban air mobility operations using electric aircraft, one of the critical steps from a safety and efficiency perspective is to understand how various operational and environmental conditions impact the state-of-charge of the onboard lithium-ion polymer batteries. This research performs a parametric study of the state-of-charge for a NASA-proposed conceptual multirotor aircraft flight in the urban environment. The parameters considered for the parametric analysis are cruise airspeed, cruise altitude, climb and descent profiles, wind conditions (wind magnitude, wind direction relative to the route, and wind magnitude uncertainty), and required time of arrival.

Urban Air Mobility↗

Agroforestry in the Sahel

West African farmers adjust tree cover to realize the co-benefits of agroforestry, according to analyses of remote sensing data.

Ecosystem services↗

Regulatory Approach for Nuclear Thermal Propulsion Reactor Systems

Nuclear Thermal Propulsion (NTP) is being developed to support crewed or cargo transfer missions to Mars. Obtaining regulatory approval for NTP engine testing proves a challenge for not only the technology maturation required but also the fabrication, launch and operational nuclear regulatory environments. Existing regulations currently apply to either (1) high power, long duration commercial power plants, or (2) low power, short duration research reactors. NTP systems find themselves in a separate and unique area due to their higher power but short operating duration. This is supplemented by use of the reactor coolant as propellant. When planning the regulatory approach for NTP systems, operations in space and testing on Earth must be considered – each have their own challenges. This paper identifies a preliminary pathway for regulatory approval to operate a NTP demonstration engine as well as supporting test data that is recommended to be generated during the development program to support major regulatory milestones and deliverables.

Regulatory↗

Great Salt Lake Health & Air Quality: Monitoring Lakebed Exposure and its Impact on Air Quality and Environmental Hazards in the Great Salt Lake Watershed

The Great Salt Lake (GSL) is a terminal saline lake located in northern Utah, USA. Water inflow has declined rapidly over the last forty years due to human withdrawals and climate change. Lake levels have been lowered which has exposed over 50% of the lakebed to erosion. There is a public health risk tied to the subsequent increased frequency and intensity of regional dust storms caused by airborne lakebed dust under specific meteorological conditions.

Piper Christian↗

Great Salt Lake Health & Air Quality: Monitoring Lakebed Exposure and its Impact on Air Quality and Environmental Hazards in the Great Salt Lake Watershed

The Great Salt Lake (GSL) is a terminal saline lake located in northern Utah, USA. Water inflow has declined rapidly over the last forty years due to human withdrawals and climate change. Lake levels have been lowered which has exposed over 50% of the lakebed to erosion. There is a public health risk tied to the subsequent increased frequency and intensity of regional dust storms caused by airborne lakebed dust under specific meteorological conditions.

Piper Christian↗