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At least 559 records · Page 31

Predictability of the Earth's polar motion

A comprehensive, experimental study of the predictability of the polar motion using a homogeneous BIH (Bureau International de l'Heure) data set is presented. Based on knowledge of the physics of the annual and the Chandler wobbles, the numerical model for the polar motion is constructed by allowing the wobble periods to vary. Using an optimum base length of 6 years for prediction, this floating-period model, equipped with a non-linear least-squares estimator, is found to yield polar motion predictions accurate from 0.012 to 0.024 inches depending on the prediction length up to one year, corresponding to a predictability of 91-83%. This represents a considerable improvement over the conventional fixed-period predictor, which does not respond to variations in the apparent wobble periods. The superiority of the floating-period predictor to other predictors based on critically different numerical models is also demonstrated.

Chao, B. F.↗

Growth and reflectance characteristics of winter wheat canopies

A valuable input to crop growth and yield models would be estimates of current crop condition. If multispectral reflectance indicates crop condition, then remote sensing may provide an additional tool for crop assessment. The effects of nitrogen fertilization on the spectral reflectance and agronomic characteristics of winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) were determined through field experiments. Spectral reflectance was measured during the 1979 and 1980 growing seasons with a spectroradiometer. Agronomic data included total leaf N concentration, leaf chlorophyll concentration, stage of development, leaf area index (LAI), plant moisture, and fresh and dry phytomass. Nitrogen deficiency caused increased visible, reduced near infrared, and increased middle infrared reflectance. These changes were related to lower levels of chlorophyll and reduced leaf area in the N-deficient plots. Green LAI, an important descriptor of wheat canopies, could be reliably estimated with multispectral data. The potential of remote sensing in distinguishing stressed from healthy crops is demonstrated. Evidence suggests multispectral imagery may be useful for monitoring crop condition.

Hinzman, L. D.↗

Combined, nonlinear aerodynamic and structural method for the aeroelastic design of a three-dimensional wing in supersonic flow

An iterative procedure for the static aeroelastic design of a flexible wing at supersonic speeds has been developed. The procedure combines a nonlinear, full-potential solver (NCOREL) with an equivalent plate structural analysis method. The NCOREL method yields significantly improved aerodynamic estimates compared to linear theory. The equivalent plate structural analysis method demonstrates an order of magnitude reduction in computer memory and execution time compared to finite-element methods. A highly swept wing is analyzed at high lift using this aeroelastic procedure. The results indicate that the wing deforms favorably due to aerodynamic loading and, consequently, that the inviscid drag levels do not vary at the required lift coefficient although the angle of attack varies significantly. A sensitivity analysis of the type required for optimization studies was also performed with the aeroelastic design procedure.

Pittman, J. L.↗

DA white dwarf effective temperatures determined from IUE Lyman-alpha profiles

The Lyman-alpha profiles of 12 DA white dwarfs have been obtained with the International Ultraviolet Explorer Satellite. Analysis of these profiles provides an improved, uniform, and relatively bias-free measure of effective temperature for these stars over the range 20,000-60,000 K. Simultaneous estimates of surface gravity yield a mean gravity of log g = 7.96 for the entire sample, with the hottest stars tending to have the lowest gravities. A significant exception to this trend occurs in the case of the gravitation of HZ 43. An important by-product of this work has been the determination of a correction to IUE fluxes over the 1150-1350 A range.

Holberg, J. B.↗

Tail phenomena

An overview of tail phenomena is presented based on worldwide submissions to the Large-Scale Phenomena Discipline Specialist Team of the International Halley Watch. Examples of tail phenomena and science are presented along with estimates of total expected yield from the Network. The archive of this material will clearly be very valuable for studying the solar-wind/comet interaction during the 1985-1986 apparition of Halley's Comet.

Brandt, J. C.↗

Mean zonal winds on Venus from Doppler tracking of the Vega balloons

Doppler measurements of the two Vega balloons yield the following provisional estimates for the mean zonal wind velocity at the 53-54 km level in the Venus atmosphere: 69 + or - 1 m/sec for Vega 1 and 66 + or - 1 m/sec for Vega 2, with westward flow. The wind data show a perturbation which might be an evidence of solar tides.

Andreev, R. A.↗

The effect of oxidation on the high heat flux behavior of a thermal barrier coating

The effect of oxidation on the high heat flux behavior of a thermal barrier coating was evaluated by cyclically exposing preoxidized specimens to a 3000 C nitrogen plasma. The thermal barrier coatings consisted of a 0.025 cm layer of air-plasma-sprayed ZrO2-7 percent Y2O3 and a 0.012 cm layer of low pressure-plasma-sprayed NiCoCrAlY applied over 0.13 cm diameter B1900+Hf cylindrical substrates. A gradient of 800 C is produced across the ceramic layer in each 0.5 second exposure. This is much more severe than the gradient encountered on a gas turbine engine. Prior to exposure, the specimens were preoxidized at 1200 C for time from 0 to 20 hours. These coatings were found to be tolerant to the high heat flux plasma flame for all but the most severe preoxidations. However, life degraded rapidly for preoxidation times in excess of 15 hours at 1200 C. A log-log plot of cycles-to-failure vs estimated oxidative weight gain yield a straight or nearly straight line, and this line could be rationalized using an oxidation-based model that was developed previously for low heat flux applications.

Miller, Robert A.↗

Planetary astronomy: Rings, satellites, and asteroids

Studies of planetary rings focus on the dynamical processes that govern astronomically observable ring properties and structure. These investigations thus help reveal properties of the rings as well as probe the gravity fields of the planets. Satellite studies involve interpretation of orbital motion to extract information regarding the gravity fields of the outer planets and the physical properties of the satellites themselves. Asteroid lightcurve work is designed to investigate the large-scale shapes of the asteroids, as well as to reveal anomalous features such as major topography, possible satellites, or albedo variations. Work on the nature of viscous transport in planetary rings, emphasizing the role of individual particles' physical properties, has yielded a method for estimating both angular momentum and mass transport given an optical-thickness gradient. This result offers the prospect of ringlet instability, which may explain the square-profile ringlets in Saturn's C Ring. Thermal and reflected lightcurves of 532 Herculina have been interpreted to show that albedo variations cannot be the primary cause of variations. A lightcurve simulation has been developed to model complex asteroidal figures. Bamberga was observed during the December occultation as part of the joint LPL-Lowell program.

Greenberg, Richard↗

Spline function approximation for velocimeter Doppler frequency measurement

A spline function approximation approach for measuring the Doppler spectral peak frequency in a laser Doppler velocimeter system is presented. The processor is designed for signal bursts with mean Doppler shift frequencies up to 100 MHz, input turbulence up to 20 percent, and photon counts as low as 300. The frequency-domain processor uses a bank of digital bandpass filters for the capture of the energy spectrum of each signal burst. The average values of the filter output energies, as a function of normalized frequency, are modeled as deterministic spline functions which are linearly weighted to evaluate the spectral peak location associated with the Doppler shift. The weighting coefficients are chosen to minimize the mean square error. Performance evaluation by simulation yields average errors in estimating mean Doppler frequencies within 0.5 percent for poor signal-to-noise conditions associated with a low photon count of 300 photons/burst.

Savakis, Andreas E.↗

Pointing control for LDR

One important aspect of the LDR control problem is the possible excitations of structural modes due to random disturbances, mirror chopping, and slewing maneuvers. An analysis was performed to yield a first order estimate of the effects of such dynamic excitations. The analysis involved a study of slewing jitters, chopping jitters, disturbance responses, and pointing errors, making use of a simplified planar LDR model which describes the LDR dynamics on a plane perpendicular to the primary reflector. Briefly, the results indicate that the command slewing profile plays an important role in minimizing the resultant jitter, even to a level acceptable without any control action. An optimal profile should therefore be studied.

Yam, Y.↗

Cosmic ray production rates of Be-10 and Al-26 in quartz from glacially polished rocks

The concentrations of Be-10 and Al-26 in quartz crystals extracted from glacially polished granitic surfaces from the Sierra Nevada range are studied. These surfaces are identified with the glacial advance during the Tioga period about 11,000 yr ago. The measurements yield the most accurate estimates to date for the absolute production rates of three nuclides in SiO2 due to cosmic ray nucleons and muons for geomagnetic latitudes 43.8-44.6 N and altitudes 2.1-3.6 km.

Nishiizumi, K.↗

Spiral waves in Saturn's rings

Spiral density waves and spiral bending waves have been observed at dozens of locations within Saturn's rings. These waves are excited by resonant gravitational perturbations from moons orbiting outside the ring system. Modeling of spiral waves yields the best available estimates for the mass and the thickness of Saturn's ring system. Angular momentum transport due to spiral density waves may cause significant orbital evolution of Saturn's rings and inner moons. Similar angular momentum transfer may occur in other astrophysical systems such as protoplanetary disks, binary star systems with disks and spiral galaxies with satellites.

Lissauer, Jack J.↗

The influence of platform attitude dynamics on the Doppler frequency synthesis of SIR-B ocean data near Hurricane Josephine

The Space Shuttle Challenger was maneuvered into an SAR data-acquisition mode to capture a SIR-B scene of Hurricane Josephine, which presented itself as an unscheduled target of opportunity during NASA Mission 41-G during October 1984. Steeply sloped seas approaching 10 m in height were observed several hundred km in advance of the hurricane track. Mission attitude data indicate that the Shuttle pitch, roll, and yaw were unstable during the data take. The statistical clutterlock used by the ground SAR processor yields a Doppler frequency estimate that tracks the Shuttle yaw variation but is ambiguous with a single discontinuity equal to one multiple of the radar pulse repetition frequency. The SIR-B signal data have been compressed under several Doppler parameterizations to investigate the ambiguity of the clutterlock. Resultant ocean images are analyzed for their contrast and resolution properties.

Tilley, David G.↗

Baade-Wesselink radii for NGC 1866 Cepheids

Radial velocities and CCD photometry suitable for a Baade-Wesselink analysis are now available for six short-period Cepheids (HV12198, HV12199, HV12202, HV12203, HV12204, and V4) in the LMC cluster NGC 1866. As a prerequisite for such an analysis, O-C diagrams have been constructed and examined for seven of the NGC 1866 Cepheids (HV12197, HV12198, HV12199, HV12200, HV12202, HV12203, and HV12204), yielding improved periods and estimates of the rate of period change in these coeval variables. One star, HV12198, shows possible evidence for period change, but the phase mismatch due to that change is small enough to have negligible effect on its Baade-Wesselink radius. The computed radii are in good agreement with the Baade-Wesselink, theoretical and cluster/association period-radius relations of Fernie (1984) and the Galactic relation of Coulson and Caldwell (1989). The Flower (1977) color-effective temperature relation and the Becker et al. (1977) mass-luminosity relation lead to mean masses of 4.9 + or - 0.5 solar masses and 4.6 + or - 0.5 solar masses for the respective metallicities of (Y,Z) = (0.0273,0.0016) and (0.026,0.02). Pulsation constants are also computed for these stars.

Cote, Patrick↗

Gamma ray constraints on the Galactic supernova rate

We perform Monte Carlo simulations of the expected gamma ray signatures of Galactic supernovae of all types to estimate the significance of the lack of a gamma ray signal due to supernovae occurring during the last millenium. Using recent estimates of the nuclear yields, we determine mean Galactic supernova rates consistent with the historic supernova record and the gamma ray limits. Another objective of these calculations of Galactic supernova histories is their application to surveys of diffuse Galactic gamma ray line emission.

Hartmann, D.↗

Fluid outflows from Venus impact craters - Analysis from Magellan data

Many impact craters on Venus have unusual outflow features originating in or under the continuous ejecta blankets and continuing downhill into the surrounding terrain. These features clearly resulted from flow of low-viscosity fluids, but the identity of those fluids is not clear. In particular, it should not be assumed a priori that the fluid is an impact melt. A number of candidate processes by which impact events might generate the observed features are considered, and predictions are made concerning the rheological character of flows produce by each mechanism. A sample of outflows was analyzed using Magellan images and a model of unconstrained Bingham plastic flow on inclined planes, leading to estimates of viscosity and yield strength for the flow materials. It is argued that at least two different mechanisms have produced outflows on Venus: an erosive, channel-forming process and a depositional process. The erosive fluid is probably an impact melt, but the depositional fluid may consist of fluidized solid debris, vaporized material, and/or melt.

Asimow, Paul D.↗

Asteroid orbit determination using Bayesian probabilities

Bayesian a priori and a posteriori probability densities are employed to determine asteroid orbital elements from optical astrometric observations. For near-earth asteroids and Jupiter Trojans, the two-body approximation can yield grossly erroneous uncertainty estimates because of the scattering effect of close planetary encounters or prolonged weak planetary perturbations. For main-belt asteroids, the two-body approximation works efficiently, from which it is inferred that, although the ephemeris must be computed from an integrated orbit, only approximate partial derivatives are needed to attain sufficient accuracy in predicting ephemeris uncertainties. The semimajor and semiminor axes of the 2D 1-sigma sky-plane uncertainty ellipse during the years 1993 to 2005 in the many-body and two-body linear approximations are shown.

Muinonen, Karri↗

A new determination of radii and limb parameters for Pluto and Charon from mutual event lightcurves

Over the past several years Pluto-Charon mutual events have yielded progressively more accurate estimates of Charon's orbital elements and the radii of Pluto and Charon (e.g., Buie, Tholen, and Horne, 1992). Analysis of the 1988 stellar occultation by Pluto indicates a radius for Pluto that is about 4%, or 50 km, larger than the mutual event radius of 1151 km. One possible explanation for the discrepancy is that the mutual event modeling treats Pluto and Charon as uniformly bright disks. If they are limb-darkened, the mutual event fits could underestimate their radii. In this paper we use an independent mutual event data set (Young and Binzel, 1992) to fit for Pluto and Charon's radii in a manner independent of either object's limb profile or albedo distribution. Our least-squares solution indicates that Pluto's radius is 1164 +/- 22.9 km and Charon's radius is 621 +/- 20.6 km.

Young, Eliot F.↗