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At least 559 records · Page 31

On the bulk compaction of brittle granular materials, Part III: Brittle‐to‐ductile transition and yield strength

A new and simple method is presented that enables the estimation of the yield strength (σ y ) of brittle materials (e.g., ceramics, glasses). It results from the combination of sufficiently high-stress compaction of their granular form, postmortem analysis of the crushed particles to identify the critical particle size corresponding to their brittle-to-ductile transition, and the use of a developed and simple analytical expression. Here, this method was an outcome from Part I of this three-paper series. To execute it, a granular brittle material is compacted to a sufficiently high stress, whereby the acting comminution produces both a fraction of particles having a sufficiently small size formed by ductile or plastic-like deformation and a remaining fraction of larger particles formed from brittle fracture. Postmortem microscopy is then used to identify the smallest particle size whose morphology indicates it formed from brittle fracture (d B2D ). The brittle material's σ y can then be estimated using a combination of the d B2D , Kendall's and Griffith's theories, a priori knowledge of the material's fracture toughness (K Ic ), and a fracture mechanics shape factor constant (Y) using σ y = √((32 π K Ic 2 )/(3 Y 2 d B2D )). The method's development and its use to estimate σ y for several vitreous silicates, α-quartzes, and NaCl are provided.

Compaction↗

Corresponding Standard Reference Material Data used in Partial Least Squares Regression Models for Sugar Composition Estimates in Biomass in: Economic Impact of Yield and Composition Variation in Bioenergy Crops: Populus trichocarpa

Corresponding Standard Reference Material Data used in Partial Least Squares Regression Models for Sugar Composition Estimates in Biomass in: Economic Impact of Yield and Composition Variation in Bioenergy Crops: Populus trichocarpa (for corresponding manuscript: DOI: 10.1002/bbb.2148) PDF Files: Images of 1H NMR spectra for neutralized 2-stage acid hydrolysates of 4 NIST Standard Reference Material biomass samples (Monterey Pine 8493, Sugarcane Bagasse 8491, Wheat Straw 8494, and Eastern Cottonwood/Poplar 8492) and 2 Center for Bioenergy Innovation reference biomass samples (Poplar - Populus trichocarpa and Switchgrass - Panicum Virgatum). Suppression of the water peak was achieved using a NOESY-1D with presaturation, a recycle delay of 5 s, and a total of 64 scans. Spectra were acquired at 298 K and processed with automatic phase correction, baseline correction, and chemical shift referencing to TSP-d4. Images show all 1H data from 10 to 1ppm with inset spectra of region of interest (4.0 to 3.1 ppm). Text Files: Spectra for neutralized 2-stage acid hydrolysates of 4 NIST Standard Reference Material biomass samples (Monterey Pine 8493, Sugarcane Bagasse 8491, Wheat Straw 8494, and Eastern Cottonwood/Poplar 8492) and 2 Center for Bioenergy Innovation reference biomass samples (Poplar - Populus trichocarpa and Switchgrass - Panicum Virgatum) were converted into text files for plotting. Files contain 8192 points of raw spectral data from 12.23 to -2.78 ppm. The text file contains 4 columns of data and includes: Point number, Intensity, Hz, and ppm. Xcel Spreadsheet: HPLC measured monomeric sugar concentrations and bucketed 1H NMR data used to build monomeric sugar composition prediction models. Sugar composition in biomass determined from HPLC analyses are given in mg sugar/mg of biomass. Spectral bucketing was performed using Bruker’s AMIX software. Spectra were divided into 0.005 ppm buckets in the region of 3.10– 4.15 ppm for a total of 210 buckets. Headers for the bucketed data are the chemical shift in ppm of the center of the bucket. Bucketed data was used to build partial least squares models for subsequent predictions in The Unscrambler v. 10.5(CAMO A/S, Trondheim, Norway). The formation of methanol during hydrolysis interferes with the quantitative NMR analysis of sugars, so the methanol peak centered at 3.37 ppm and spanning four buckets (3.2925 – 3.2775 ppm) was set to zero for all spectra.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

The MAP Spacecraft Angular State Estimation After Sensor Failure

This work describes two algorithms for computing the angular rate and attitude in case of a gyro and a Star Tracker failure in the Microwave Anisotropy Probe (MAP) satellite, which was placed in the L2 parking point from where it collects data to determine the origin of the universe. The nature of the problem is described, two algorithms are suggested, an observability study is carried out and real MAP data are used to determine the merit of the algorithms. It is shown that one of the algorithms yields a good estimate of the rates but not of the attitude whereas the other algorithm yields a good estimate of the rate as well as two of the three attitude angles. The estimation of the third angle depends on the initial state estimate. There is a contradiction between this result and the outcome of the observability analysis. An explanation of this contradiction is given in the paper. Although this work treats a particular spacecraft, the conclusions have a far reaching consequence.

Bar-Itzhack, Itzhack Y.↗

The Effect of Sensor Failure on the Attitude and Rate Estimation of MAP Spacecraft

This work describes two algorithms for computing the angular rate and attitude in case of a gyro and a Star Tracker failure in the Microwave Anisotropy Probe (MAP) satellite, which was placed in the L2 parking point from where it collects data to determine the origin of the universe. The nature of the problem is described, two algorithms are suggested, an observability study is carried out and real MAP data are used to determine the merit of the algorithms. It is shown that one of the algorithms yields a good estimate of the rates but not of the attitude whereas the other algorithm yields a good estimate of the rate as well as two of the three attitude angles. The estimation of the third angle depends on the initial state estimate. There is a contradiction between this result and the outcome of the observability analysis. An explanation of this contradiction is given in the paper. Although this work treats a particular spacecraft, its conclusions are more general.

Bar-Itzhack, Itzhack Y.↗

LACIE performance predictor FOC users manual

The LACIE Performance Predictor (LPP) is a computer simulation of the LACIE process for predicting worldwide wheat production. The simulation provides for the introduction of various errors into the system and provides estimates based on these errors, thus allowing the user to determine the impact of selected error sources. The FOC LPP simulates the acquisition of the sample segment data by the LANDSAT Satellite (DAPTS), the classification of the agricultural area within the sample segment (CAMS), the estimation of the wheat yield (YES), and the production estimation and aggregation (CAS). These elements include data acquisition characteristics, environmental conditions, classification algorithms, the LACIE aggregation and data adjustment procedures. The operational structure for simulating these elements consists of the following key programs: (1) LACIE Utility Maintenance Process, (2) System Error Executive, (3) Ephemeris Generator, (4) Access Generator, (5) Acquisition Selector, (6) LACIE Error Model (LEM), and (7) Post Processor.

Source record↗

A fiber-resin micromechanics analysis of the delamination front in a DCB specimen

A 3-D finite element model was developed to analyze the fiber-resin behavior near the delamination front in a graphite-epoxy double cantilever beam (DCB) specimen. The specimen interior was analyzed using a typical one-fiber slice, represented by a local 3-D fiber-resin model. The resin stresses were computed for the resin-rich layer at the ply interface as well as for the regions between the fibers close to the delamination front. However, the computed strain energy release rate G sub I along the delamination front varied by less than two percent, and was within about four percent of the plane-strain value. The von Mises yield criterion was used to estimate the extent of yielding near the delamination front. The yielding extended ahead of the delamination and also developed between the fibers. Although the fibers had only a negligible effect on G sub I, they caused yielding within the ply and therefore could influence delamination fracture toughness. The normal and shear stresses at the fiber-resin interface were computed near the delamination front. These results suggest that multi-axial stress criteria may be required to analyze fiber-resin interfaces.

Crews, J. H.↗

A preliminary report on the magnetic measurements of samples 72275 and 72255

The direction and magnitude of natural remanent magnetization of five approximately 3-g subsamples of 72275 and 72255 and the high field saturation magnetization, coercive force, and isothermal remanent magnetization of 100-mg chip from each of these samples, were studied. Given an understanding of the magnetization processes, group 1 experiments provide information about the absolute direction of the ancient magnetizing field and a qualitative estimate of its size (paleointensity). The group 2 experiments yield a quantitative estimate of the iron content and a qualitative ideal of the grain sizes.

Banerjee, S. K.↗

Functional Risk Modeling for Lunar Surface Systems

We introduce an approach to risk modeling that we call functional modeling , which we have developed to estimate the capabilities of a lunar base. The functional model tracks the availability of functions provided by systems, in addition to the operational state of those systems constituent strings. By tracking functions, we are able to identify cases where identical functions are provided by elements (rovers, habitats, etc.) that are connected together on the lunar surface. We credit functional diversity in those cases, and in doing so compute more realistic estimates of operational mode availabilities. The functional modeling approach yields more realistic estimates of the availability of the various operational modes provided to astronauts by the ensemble of surface elements included in a lunar base architecture. By tracking functional availability the effects of diverse backup, which often exists when two or more independent elements are connected together, is properly accounted for.

Thomson, Fraser↗

A Comparison of Pre‐Construction and Operational Wake Loss Estimates for Land‐Based Wind Plants

The overall bias between pre‐construction energy yield assessment (EYA) estimates of wind plant energy production and the achieved operational production is improving in the wind industry, but uncertainty remains high for individual wind plants. Wake effects within wind plants are one of the largest sources of energy loss considered in the EYA process, and previous work shows wake loss estimates to be a major source of disagreement among wind energy consultants who perform EYAs. To better understand the accuracy of wake loss predictions, we compare overall operational wake loss estimates based on supervisory control and data acquisition data to pre‐construction estimates provided by six wind energy consultants for five land‐based wind plants in North America. By augmenting existing approaches for quantifying operational wake losses, we estimate wake losses during the period of record for which operational data are available as well as the expected long‐term wake losses, based on historical reanalysis weather data, to which the EYA estimates are compared. To account for power variations at different turbine locations caused by terrain‐induced wind resource heterogeneity, we correct the operational wake loss estimates using predicted freestream wind speed variations from the Wind Systems Engineering Reynolds‐averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS) tool. We identify long‐term corrected operational wake losses between 1.9% and 6.4% for the five plants, with a mean loss of 4%. For the project deemed most acceptable for operational wake loss assessment, which is located in the simplest terrain and isolated from neighboring plants, the mean EYA wake loss estimate is within 0.7 percentage points of the operational value of 6.4%. For most of the remaining plants, results suggest that wake losses are generally overpredicted by 2.6–6.3 percentage points. However, operational wake losses may be underestimated for many of these projects because of spatial wind resource variations not captured by the RANS model, external wake effects that are unaccounted for in the estimation process, and wind plant blockage effects. To better understand factors that contribute to the observed wake losses, we investigate operational wake losses as a function of wind direction and wind speed. As expected, wake losses are generally concentrated near wind directions that are aligned with rows of closely spaced turbines and at below‐rated wind speeds; however, for some projects, the energy produced by the wind plant exceeds the estimated potential energy of the plant without wake interactions for certain wind directions and wind speeds, suggesting inaccurate assumptions in the wake loss estimation method for those plants. Lastly, we compare predicted and operational wake losses for individual wind turbines, finding that even when overall wake losses are predicted accurately, large uncertainty exists at the turbine level.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Table for estimating parameters of Weibull distribution

Table yields best linear invariant /BLI/ estimates for log of reliable life under censored life tests, permitting reliability estimations in failure analysis of items with multiple flaws. These BLI estimates have uniformly smaller expected loss than Gauss-Markov best linear unbiased estimates.

Mann, N. R.↗

Similar Estimates of Temperature Impacts on Global Wheat Yield by Three Independent Methods

The potential impact of global temperature change on global crop yield has recently been assessed with different methods. Here we show that grid-based and point-based simulations and statistical regressions (from historic records), without deliberate adaptation or CO2 fertilization effects, produce similar estimates of temperature impact on wheat yields at global and national scales. With a 1 C global temperature increase, global wheat yield is projected to decline between 4.1% and 6.4%. Projected relative temperature impacts from different methods were similar for major wheat-producing countries China, India, USA and France, but less so for Russia. Point-based and grid-based simulations, and to some extent the statistical regressions, were consistent in projecting that warmer regions are likely to suffer more yield loss with increasing temperature than cooler regions. By forming a multi-method ensemble, it was possible to quantify 'method uncertainty' in addition to model uncertainty. This significantly improves confidence in estimates of climate impacts on global food security.

Climate impacts↗

Improving Simulated Soil Moisture Fields Through Assimilation of AMSR-E Soil Moisture Retrievals with an Ensemble Kalman Filter and a Mass Conservation Constraint

Model simulated soil moisture fields are often biased due to errors in input parameters and deficiencies in model physics. Satellite derived soil moisture estimates, if retrieved appropriately, represent the spatial mean of soil moisture in a footprint area, and can be used to reduce model bias (at locations near the surface) through data assimilation techniques. While assimilating the retrievals can reduce model bias, it can also destroy the mass balance enforced by the model governing equation because water is removed from or added to the soil by the assimilation algorithm. In addition, studies have shown that assimilation of surface observations can adversely impact soil moisture estimates in the lower soil layers due to imperfect model physics, even though the bias near the surface is decreased. In this study, an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) with a mass conservation updating scheme was developed to assimilate the actual value of Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer (AMSR-E) soil moisture retrievals to improve the mean of simulated soil moisture fields by the Noah land surface model. Assimilation results using the conventional and the mass conservation updating scheme in the Little Washita watershed of Oklahoma showed that, while both updating schemes reduced the bias in the shallow root zone, the mass conservation scheme provided better estimates in the deeper profile. The mass conservation scheme also yielded physically consistent estimates of fluxes and maintained the water budget. Impacts of model physics on the assimilation results are discussed.

Li, Bailing↗

Hydrothermal liquefaction of wastewater-grown algae to produce synthetic aviation fuel: A combined experimental study and techno-economic assessment

Large-scale algae farms may someday become a consistent source of biomass feedstock for biofuels. Near-term supplies of algal biomass are available at certain water resource recovery facilities as algae cultivation is used as a method for nutrient recovery from specific effluent streams. Algae grown as a service shifts the value to the service rather than its sole use as a feedstock, which could enable the provision of algal biomass at low to no cost to biofuel producers. Hydrothermal liquefaction (HTL) can readily upgrade wet feedstock slurries, such as algae, to produce a carbon-enriched biocrude. The HTL biocrude can be hydrotreated and distilled, producing a variety of distillate fuels, including synthetic aviation fuel (SAF). We present a pathway, showing the experimental production of SAF from wastewater-grown algae via HTL, along with a techno-economic assessment to identify opportunities for process improvements. Critical quality attributes of the SAF, such as density, viscosity, surface tension, and freeze point, were estimated within the expected fuel experience ranges when compared against petroleum jet fuel. The average minimum fuel selling price of fuels from wastewater-grown algae for breakeven economics was $\$9.04$ per gasoline gallon equivalent (GGE). The sale of co-products such as struvite fertilizers and cement additives can add revenue to reduce the net cost. Ultimately, the selling price is influenced by the scale of the HTL processing facility. Adjusting estimations in the process scale, algae yield, and capital cost estimation can lower the price to $\$6.51$/GGE or raise it to $13.07/GGE.

Biofuels↗

X-ray Spectra of Distant Clusters

The masses of galaxy clusters are dominated by dark matter, and a robust determination of their temperatures and masses has the potential of indicating how much dark matter exists on large scales in the universe, and the cosmological parameter Omega. X-ray observations of galaxy clusters provide a direct measure of both the gas mass in the intra-cluster medium, and also the total gravitating mass of the cluster. We used new and archival ASCA and ROSAT observations to measure these quantities for a sample of intermediate redshift clusters which have also been subject to intensive dynamical studies, in order to compare the mass estimates from different methods. We used data from 12 of the CNOC cluster sample at 0.18 less than z less than 0.55 for this study. A direct comparison of dynamical mass estimates from Carlberg, Yee & Ellingson (1997) yielded surprisingly good results. The X-ray/dynamical mass ratios have a mean of 0.96+/- 0.10, indicating that for this sample, both methods are probably yielding very robust mass estimates. Comparison with mass estimates from gravitational lensing studies from the literature showed a small systematic with weak lensing estimates, and large discrepancies with strong lensing estimates. This latter is not surprising, given that these measurements are made close to the central core, where optical and Xray estimates are less certain, and where substructure and the effects of individual galaxies will be more pronounced. These results are presented in Lewis, Ellingson, Morris \& Carlberg, 1998, submitted to the Astrophysical Journal.

Ellingson, E.↗

Galaxy Cluster Masses at Moderate Redshifts

The masses of galaxy clusters are dominated by dark matter, and a robust determination of their masses has the potential of indicating how much dark matter exists on large scales in the universe, and the cosmological parameter Omega. X-ray observations of galaxy clusters provide a direct measure of both the gas mass in the intra-cluster medium, and also the total gravitating mass of the cluster. We used new and archival ROSAT observations to measure these quantities for a sample of intermediate redshift clusters which have also been subject to intensive dynamical studies, in order to compare the mass estimates from different methods. We used data from 14 of the CNOC cluster sample at 0.18 less than z less than 0.55 for this study. A direct comparison of dynamical mass estimates from Carlberg, Yee & Ellingson (1997) yielded surprisingly good results. The X-ray/dynamical mass ratios have a mean of 0.96+/- 0.10, indicating that for this sample, both methods are probably yielding very robust mass estimates. Comparison with mass estimates from gravitational lensing studies from the literature showed a small systematic with weak lensing estimates, and large discrepancies with strong lensing estimates. This latter is not surprising, given that these measurement are made close to the central core, where optical and X-ray estimates are less certain, and where substructure and the effects of individual galaxies will be more pronounced. These results are presented in Lewis, Ellingson, Morris/Carlberg, 1998, submitted to the Astrophysical Journal. (Note that Lewis is Ellingson's Ph.D. thesis, who received direct support from this grant and is using this investigation as part of his thesis.) Three additional papers are in preparation. The first provides a comparison of the mass profiles as measured in X- rays and in galaxy dynamics. These profiles are difficult to determine for individual clusters, and are subject to asphericity and other individual quirks of each cluster. However, a composite profile for each method will allow us to test our assumptions of hydrostatic/dynamical equilibrium in the sample as a whole. A second paper provides a more detailed look at the cluster MS0906+11, which is a merging system. A third paper authord with J. Mohr at U. Chicago will invetigate the size-temoerature relationship for intermediate redshift clusters and its impications on cluster formation and cosmology. Future work on these data will include comparisons of the cluster galaxy populations and the extent of the intra-cluster medium, and a more homogeneous analysis of gravitational lensing.

Ellingson, E.↗

The limits of crop productivity: validating theoretical estimates and determining the factors that limit crop yields in optimal environments

Plant scientists have sought to maximize the yield of food crops since the beginning of agriculture. There are numerous reports of record food and biomass yields (per unit area) in all major crop plants, but many of the record yield reports are in error because they exceed the maximal theoretical rates of the component processes. In this article, we review the component processes that govern yield limits and describe how each process can be individually measured. This procedure has helped us validate theoretical estimates and determine what factors limit yields in optimal environments.

NASA Program CELSS↗

Accuracy Assessment and Correction of Vaisala RS92 Radiosonde Water Vapor Measurements

Relative humidity (RH) measurements from Vaisala RS92 radiosondes are widely used in both research and operational applications, although the measurement accuracy is not well characterized as a function of its known dependences on height, RH, and time of day (or solar altitude angle). This study characterizes RS92 mean bias error as a function of its dependences by comparing simultaneous measurements from RS92 radiosondes and from three reference instruments of known accuracy. The cryogenic frostpoint hygrometer (CFH) gives the RS92 accuracy above the 700 mb level; the ARM microwave radiometer gives the RS92 accuracy in the lower troposphere; and the ARM SurTHref system gives the RS92 accuracy at the surface using 6 RH probes with NIST-traceable calibrations. These RS92 assessments are combined using the principle of Consensus Referencing to yield a detailed estimate of RS92 accuracy from the surface to the lowermost stratosphere. An empirical bias correction is derived to remove the mean bias error, yielding corrected RS92 measurements whose mean accuracy is estimated to be +/-3% of the measured RH value for nighttime soundings and +/-4% for daytime soundings, plus an RH offset uncertainty of +/-0.5%RH that is significant for dry conditions. The accuracy of individual RS92 soundings is further characterized by the 1-sigma "production variability," estimated to be +/-1.5% of the measured RH value. The daytime bias correction should not be applied to cloudy daytime soundings, because clouds affect the solar radiation error in a complicated and uncharacterized way.

Whiteman, David N.↗