Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “unpredictability”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 559 records · Page 31
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Focus Group Study of US Pilots on Fatigue in Short-Haul Flight Operations

Introduction: There are few studies investigating the impact of fatigue in short-haul flight operations conducted under United States (US) Federal Aviation Regulations (FAR) Part 117 flight and duty limitations and rest requirements. In order to understand the fatigue factors unique to short-haul operations, we conducted a series of focus groups across four major commercial passenger airlines in the US. The outcomes of this study were intended to inform the scope of a larger study of fatigue in short-haul operations. Methods: Ninety short-haul pilots were recruited through emails distributed by airline safety teams and labor representatives. Fourteen focus groups were conducted via an online conferencing platform in which participants were asked to identify, specific to short-haul: a) schedules and operations that lead to elevated fatigue; b) schedules and operations that are not fatiguing, and c) important fatigue factors to study. Data were collected anonymously and coded using conventional qualitative content analysis, with axial coding and summative analysis used to identify main themes and over-arching categories. Results: Participants had an average of 12,348 (6,483) lifetime flying hours with 71 (14.5) hours of monthly flying. Forty-six percent of participants were captains. The six fatigue factor categories identified were: circadian disruption (e.g., circadian switches, redeyes), high workload (e.g., hassle factors, number of flights per duty), inadequate rest opportunity (e.g., minimum rest layovers, quality of rest facilities), schedule changes (e.g., unpredictability), regulation and policy issues (e.g., scheduling up to FAR 117 limits), and long sits (e.g., long wait times between flights). Discussion: A field study informed by these results and designed to investigate the prevalence and impact of these factors in US short-haul operations is currently underway.

aviation↗
NASA NTRS2023

Uncertainty Analysis of the NASA Glenn 8- by 6-Foot Supersonic Wind Tunnel 2019 Characterization Test 14-Foot, 5.8 Percent Test Section Porosity

This paper presents methods and results of a measurement uncertainty analysis that was performed for the 8- by 6-foot Supersonic Wind Tunnel located at the NASA Glenn Research Center. The uncertainty analysis is based on data collected during a characterization test following major structural modifications to the facility and upgrades to the facility’s data and control systems. The statistical methods and engineering judgments used to estimate elemental uncertainties are described in this report. The Monte Carlo method of propagating uncertainty was selected to determine the uncertainty of calculated variables of interest. A description of the Monte Carlo method as applied for this analysis is provided. The primary variable of interest (VOI) for this facility is free stream Mach number. In addition to determining the uncertainty in Mach number, the uncertainty in free stream values of static pressure, total pressure, dynamic pressure, total temperature, static temperature, Reynolds number, and air speed were also calculated. Uncertainty results are presented as random (unpredictable variation in repeated measurements), systematic (potential offset between observed and true value), and total (random and systematic combined) uncertainty for Mach number. Systematic uncertainty results are presented for the other VOIs. Individual uncertainty sources are presented both dimensionally and as percent contributions to uncertainty in all VOIs, to aid in the identification of primary uncertainty sources.

Uncertainty Analysis↗
NASA NTRS2021

A Sampling-Based Optimization Approach to Handling Environmental Uncertainty for a Planetary Lander

Planning for unknown environments presents a number of technical challenges. The planner must ensure robustness to unknown phenomena and manage unpredictable variation in execution, all while operating in a capacity that maximizes its objective. Productivity in the face of these challenges re-quires an integrated approach to planning and execution that is capable of accomplishing goals, reacting to variation, and maximizing overall utility. We examine this problem in the context of a Europa Lander concept mission. We model the problem as a hierarchical task network, framing it as a utility maximization problem constrained on a depletable energy resource. We propose an uncertainty–sensitive deterministic planning framework that utilizes periodic replanning to better handle model uncertainty and variable execution. We demonstrate the efficacy of our framework through simulations of a Europa Lander concept mission in which our algorithm out-performs several baseline approaches in both utility maximization and robustness

Chien, Steve↗
NASA NTRS2021

A Demand Access Paradigm for NASA’s Deep Space Network

NASA’s Deep Space Network (DSN) is the primary resource for communications and navigation for interplanetary space missions, for both NASA and partner agencies. As part of an investigation into improved efficiency and responsiveness, we have been exploring and prototyping the infusion of a ”demand access” model into the DSN scheduling process. Today, DSN is fully pre-scheduled in advance, and many users rely on a stable schedule to plan their own spacecraft activities, weeks in advance of execution. However, a new class of missions is emerging that may not be scheduled as far in advance, and may be event-driven in coming across science targets at unpredictable times. These users could take advantage of an on-demand mechanism to download data. Simulations have shown that such a mechanism could improve latency (time from data collection to download) by 2x, as well as more efficiently utilize the available DSN antennas. In this paper, we describe a prototype of a demand access process and how it addresses the challenges of co-existing with a staticallyscheduled body of missions, while providing the benefits of lower latency science data return.

Lucena, Girly↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

The View From the Flight Deck: Pilot Perspectives on Fatigue in Short-Haul Operations

INTRODUCTION: There are few studies investigating the impact of fatigue in short-haul flight operations conducted under United States (US) Federal Aviation Regulations (FAR) Part 117 flight and duty limitations and rest requirements. In order to understand the fatigue factors unique to short-haul operations, we conducted a series of focus groups across four major commercial passenger airlines in the US. The outcomes of this study were intended to inform the scope of a larger study of fatigue in short-haul operations. METHODS: Ninety short-haul pilots were recruited through emails distributed by airline safety teams and labor representatives. Fourteen focus groups were conducted via an online conferencing platform in which participants were asked to identify, specific to short-haul: a) schedules and operations that lead to elevated fatigue; b) schedules and operations that are not fatiguing, and c) important fatigue factors to study. Data were collected anonymously and coded using conventional qualitative content analysis, with axial coding and summative analysis used to identify main themes and over-arching categories. RESULTS: Participants had an average of 12,348 (6,483) lifetime flying hours with 71 (14.5) hours of monthly flying. Forty-six percent of participants were captains. The six fatigue factor categories identified were: circadian disruption (e.g., circadian switches, redeyes), high workload (e.g., hassle factors, number of flights per duty), inadequate rest opportunity (e.g., minimum rest layovers, quality of rest facilities), schedule changes (e.g., unpredictability), regulation and policy issues (e.g., scheduling up to FAR 117 limits), and long sits (e.g., long wait times between flights). DISCUSSION: A field study informed by these results and designed to investigate the prevalence and impact of these factors in US short-haul operations is currently underway.

aviation↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

INSPiRE – An Approach to Mission Quality Management using Network Slicing for Space Applications

Managing traffic between the Earth-Moon and Earth-Mars is a complex process requiring significant investment in resources and expertise at NASA. INSPiRE improves the performance of space networks by enabling a dynamic re-configuration process that works for any mixed topology over a heterogeneous and multi-vendor network. To achieve the desired functionality, INSPiRE incorporates a set of algorithms, machine learning processes, and policy inference to handle unpredictable, disruptive events. INSPiRE draws parallels from the current notion of the 3GPP (5G and beyond) Network Slicing approach, where the same physical network divides into several virtual networks, and for each of these virtual networks, there is a guaranteed Quality of Service for the missions that they serve.

cognitive communications↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

CLAIRE: Enabling Heterogeneous Communication Network Optimization for Robust and Resilient Operations

In this paper, we present the capabilities of the CLAIRE System which provides resilient communications for NASA in presence of interference and congestion for a heterogeneous multi-vendor network. CLAIRE increases mission science data return to improve resource efficiencies and ensures resilience in the unpredictable space environment for NASA missions and communication networks. CLAIRE provides technology / waveform agnostic cognitive control plane that is instantiated at the Application Layer (APP) so that it can ride on NASA’s HDTN bundle protocol or any other protocol stack that is used by the network. The cognitive control plane is instantiated using Heartbeats (HTBTs). CLAIRE is assisted by Wideband UHF-Ka Band RF Sensing that leverages advances in the Direct Digital Transceiver (DDTRX) technology. The Wideband RF Sensing is driven by statistical signal processing and machine learning algorithms. Interference is mitigated using Dynamic Spectrum Access (DSA). Finally, CLAIRE addresses congestion using spectrum aware packet forwarding algorithm. CLAIRE provides an extensible protocol that allows passing of RF spectrum situational awareness, cross-layer sensing, delay tolerant networking and dynamic spectrum access information that can help with network optimization. Cross-Layer Sensing (CLS) and CLAIRE Decision Engine (CDE) enable spectrum and delay aware packet forwarding and Dynamic Spectrum Access during cases of severe interference.

cognitive communications↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Modeling of Gateway Environmental Control and Life Support Systems as A Means to Investigate the Subsystem and Integrated Architecture Performance

As Human spaceflight evolves and develops, the technology the crew relies on for life support must become more advanced than at any point in NASA’s history. Nowhere is this more apparent than the Gateway, where lessons learned from Mercury to ISS are being applied in the design and production of the life support systems. Some of these technological improvements are proven in flight configuration, or have a heritage of proven flight hardware, but many are of a lower technology readiness level. Due to the unpredictable nature of the metabolic byproducts (CO 2 , H 2 O, and heat), even the proven technologies can fail to meet requirements for crew safety. Detailed modeling of individual components excels in proving component level requirements are met, but fails to verify system or architecture level requirements. This paper expounds upon an effort to take a number of detailed component level models of the Gateway ECLSS and integrate them into a larger architecture model known as the Gateway Integrated ECLSS Model (GIEM). The GIEM is then used to study how the subsystems work synergistically to meet environmental requirements as well as investigate how changes at the component level effect the Gateway stack as a whole.

Modeling↗
NASA NTRS2023

Fighting Wildfires Using UAVs Using Autonomous Biodegradable Self-sacrificing (ABS) Drones to Combat Large Wildfires with the Assistance of Satellite Imagery

As wildfires continue to increase in number and severity due to global warming, firefighters are having a harder time combating them safely. This paper examines the application of Autonomous Biodegradable Self-sacrificing (ABS) Drones as a method of fighting wildfires that decreases the number of lives put at risk and proposes a sustainable alternative to current aerial firefighting methods. When a fire is detected or predicted through satellite imagery, ABS Drones are dispatched from firefighting stations or aerial watchtowers to fly towards designated areas and release fire retardants, preventing the fire from further spreading. The most significant feature of this drone is its ability to complete its mission without having to worry about returning safely because ABS Drones are designed to crash and release fire retardants, while not further harming the environment with water-based lithium-ion batteries and a biodegradable body. ABS Drones make it safer for firefighters as it gives firefighters one less life-threatening task to do and allows them to focus on putting out the fire. This solution aims to tackle the unpredictable nature of wildfires that often threaten the safety of firefighters and civilian communities.

ABS Drones↗
NASA NTRS2023

Aggregating Confidence: A Problem and A Solution

This paper has two main purposes: to articulate a concern about assessing arguments based on confidence; and to provide an assessment procedure which takes this concern into account. The concern is that confidence is a tricky notion for non-deductive Arguments: doubts inherent in Reasoning coalesces with doubts inherent in Premises. And, within a Compound Argument, this may happen many times over, thus accumulating in unpredictable ways. We explain two procedures we have developed to help address the concern in a methodical way.

language↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Solar Flare Catalog for SPICE Instrument on the Solar Orbiter

Studying the solar corona, the outermost layer of solar atmosphere, is a pivotal part of understanding the dynamic relations between solar activity and the solar wind, which can disrupt the near-Earth environment. Solar flares emit electromagnetic radiation in the solar corona, capable of releasing large amounts of energy in a matter of minutes. Flares can also be associated with Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) and affect Earth’s ionosphere. One instrument that can be used to study flares is the Spectral Imaging of the Coronal Environment (SPICE) instrumentaboard the Solar Orbiter (SolO). SPICE is a high-resolution extreme ultraviolet stigmatic slit spectrometer that covers emission lines formed from the solar chromosphere to corona. Since SPICE is a stigmatic slit spectrometer, the instrument can only take in data from a small spatial area on the Sun at a time. Due to the fast and unpredictable nature of flare events, it can be difficult to determine if and when SPICE has observed a flare. For this reason, we have created a catalog of flares observed by SPICE. This catalog of observational data was assembledby cross referencing data between different solar missions, including data from SolO’s E xtreme Ultraviolet Imager (EUI) and Spectrometer Telescope for Imaging X-rays (STIX), Solar Dynamics Observatory’s Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (SDO/AIA) instrument, and the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES-R). Supplemental analysis of the SPICE solar flare data includes Gaussian line fitting for flares of particular interest. The catalog can be utilized to locate and study coronal loop structures and flare ribbons. This SPICE solar flare catalog and additional supplemental analysis allows for the ease of identification of useful SPICE spectral data and multi-instrument analysis in order to study solar flare activity. It will be open for use by the Solar Orbiter and broader Heliophysics communities.

Anneliese L. Schmidt↗
NASA NTRS2023

Kankakee Water Resources: Monitoring Temperature and Vegetation to Detect River Flow Impediments at Energy Intake Structures

In recent years, unpredictable grassing events have occurred at the Dresden Generating Station, located on the Kankakee River in northern Illinois. Grassing events are characterized by large mats of aquatic vegetation that accumulate downstream, resulting in the clogging of water intake structures and leading to major disruptions in power generation. Currently, employees at the Dresden Generating Station are responsible for reactively responding to each grassing event individually. This project, in partnership with Constellation Nuclear and the United States Geological Survey (USGS), assessed the feasibility of using Earth observations (Landsat 9 OLI-2, Landsat 8 OLI, Sentinel-2 MSI, DOVE PlanetScope, WorldView-3, and GPM IMERG) to detect floating aquatic vegetation within the Kankakee River and identify predictive factors that trigger grassing events, as doing so will provide the Dresden Generating Station the ability to anticipate future grassing events and enhance general hydrologic modeling efforts held by the USGS. The results of this study illustrated that, while aquatic vegetation can be detected by satellites with up to moderate spatial resolution (30 m), temporal resolution is a major limiting factor for tracking movements in floating aquatic vegetation and identifying predictive measures for these events. In addition, correlation results suggest a possible negative relationship between grassing events and river discharge (-0.875 correlation coefficient). In the future, pairing these results with ground control surveys and sensors with higher temporal capabilities would allow our project partners to predict and proactively address future grassing events, ensuring the reliable operation of the Dresden Generating Station.

Marisa Smedsrud↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Automatic Processing of Intensives at GSFC VLBI Analysis Center

VLBI Intensive (INT) sessions are conducted to determine the change in Earth rotation, which is measured as a correction to UT1. This correction varies unpredictably over time. Because UT1 is used in precise navigation, particularly GNSS, rapid turnaround is very important. The decrease of time elapsed from observations to obtained results can be shortened with the automatic data processing of new INT sessions at the analysis stage.

VLBI↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Measurement of Secondary Electron Yield from Dielectric Materials

Secondary Electron Yield (SEY) is a material property that plays a fundamental role in material and spacecraft charging. SEY values for dielectric materials (insulators) are crucial inputs to models used to assess mission risk posed by high differential voltages and electrostatic discharge (ESD) on spacecraft. There are only two (non-NASA) facilities that attempt such measurements. The lack of NASA capability results in high cost and long, unpredictable schedules to obtain measurements. Future Artemis crewed lunar surface missions will involve the first use of many insulating materials for which SEY properties are poorly understood or absent entirely. Unconstrained SEY values in models increase uncertainty in charging/ESD risk assessment. The capability for reliable SEY determination will lead to improved charging and ESD risk assessments. We are developing a new capability, using pulsed ultralow (<femtoampere) incident electron beam intensity to eliminate sample charging, coupled with sensitive non-contact surface potential measurements, to measure secondary electron yield (SEY) from insulating materials. Present methods for SEY measurement on insulators suffer from highly inconsistent results due to sample charging from the incident electron beam during the measurement. In this first phase we are leveraging existing EM41 instrumentation, facilities, and expertise to perform proof-of-concept tests.

secondary electron emission↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Influence of Source Type on Acoustic Liner Impedance in No Flow

This paper presents findings from a study conducted under a challenge of the International Forum for Aviation Research (IFAR), which consists of partners from various national research labs around the world. A series of normal incidence impedance tube tests are performed to identify differences in acoustic impedance for various types of source excitations. These source types include single-tone, multitone, and broadband. To better understand these differences, six unique acoustic liners are tested using these source types at various sound pressure levels and frequencies. Multitone sources of up to five discrete frequencies at a time (both harmonic and nonharmonic excitations) are included. Predictions are also shown to assess capability of capturing source type in the acoustic liner design process. It is determined that impedance behavior due to single-tone and broadband source excitations is largely well-understood and predictable. Multitone source excitations, however, yield unpredictable impedance characteristics that appear highly dependent on the summed coherent waveform that is incident upon the acoustic liner. Future work on this topic is warranted to improve impedance prediction capability of multitone excitation.

acoustic liner impedance multitone prediction sour↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Lidar and UAS Measurements of Winds for the NASA Advanced Air Mobility Mission

The envisioned future of Advanced Air Mobility involves low-altitude operation of a new class of air vehicles. The low altitudes of the flight paths would have these vehicles spending most of their operation in conditions where unpredictable wind and turbulence effects may occur. Wind measurements will hence be critical to ensure safe and efficient operations for AAM. Such wind measurement could be used as a monitoring system for warning of hazardous wind events, as data input to forecasting models, or as a research tool to understand wind effects in complex environments. To meet this need NASA is evaluating wind sensing technologies with a capability to probe the atmospheric boundary layer. Doppler lidar is a leading candidate ground-based sensor, as shown by the decades-long history of being an effective tool for many wind studies. However, there is a need to re-assess the Doppler wind lidars for the AAM application which involves evaluating wind effects as vehicles operate in and out of vertiports, notably regarding spatial resolution. Meeting the needs for spatial resolution may involve the use of dual-Doppler techniques, rather than just single Doppler lidar. The study was furthermore motivated by looking toward the future of AAM, in which the air vehicles involved can also provide wind measurements. Airborne wind measurements, obtained directly from vehicle-mounted anemometers or indirectly from vehicle navigation data, offer a means to compare remotely sensed wind lidar with in-situ measurements. The following sections report on results of wind measurements obtained using lidar and the small uninhabited aircraft systems (sUAS’s) operating in the same volume of air.

Adam Medina↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Natural Language Processing for Extracting Rich Disease Data Aligned To Satellite Meteorological Data

Global climate change is redefining our understanding of how diseases spread. In Sri Lanka, vector-borne diseases such as dengue fever, encephalitis, and leptospirosis historically surged during the monsoon seasons when temperatures were high enough for mosquito eggs to hatch. Unfortunately, due to rising temperatures and more erratic rainfall patterns, mosquito eggs can now hatch year-round and are increasingly unpredictable, leading to an alarmingly increasing number of hospitalizations and deaths. More data is needed to adapt our response to these diseases in an increasingly warmer world. In the contemporary landscape, a wealth of disease information is available, yet accessibility remains limited due to unstructured data formats such as PDFs. Therefore, converting unstructured disease reports into structured formats is necessary for effectively leveraging data. This paper introduces a comprehensive framework for collecting unstructured disease reports and transforming them into analyzable formats. By creating separate models tailored to each data format, we can ensure accuracy compared to general models. These straightforward models enhance accessibility and empower other researchers to use our tools. The returned structured data can then be harnessed for analysis, statistical purposes, and informing evidence-based public health interventions, thus facilitating more informed decision-making in healthcare. We deploy this framework to produce geospatial data for Sri Lanka and Brazil for many different conditions and align these data with satellite environmental data, providing for the first time a structured, aligned powerful dataset for disease modeling.

Open Source Open Science↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Problem Complexity and LLM: H-M Team Reliability in Challenging Environments

In traditional human-machine operations, the functional decomposition of actions and responsibilities among various agents is assigned a priori. For instance, in current air traffic operations, although assisted by software, human pilots have the ultimate control of aircraft. Multiagent human-machine and machine-machine systems will face problems of varying and potentially unpredicted complexity in future challenging scenarios of planetary, en route, and orbital activities. Hence, it is important to enable dynamic transfer of decision-making to appropriate team members, human or machine, depending on which agent is best equipped to solve that specific problem on a time budget. In this paper, we consider aspects of problem-solving and its modeling that affect the outcomes of decision-making as a function of solution quality and the likelihood of solving the problem on a required time budget. We focus on Large Language Models (LLM) as potential machine teammates and conclude that practical, predictive modeling of their performance, at the current stage of their development, is infeasible. Simple examples help us illustrate that current LLM will require fundamental advancements to provide reliable support in team decision-making, especially in safety-critical and time-critical domains. The study is not meant to diminish the value of the remarkable capabilities of LLM, but rather to gain a better understanding of the technology’s appropriate use and the needed additions.

function allocation↗