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At least 559 records · Page 31

Accident Progression and Source Term Demonstration Calculations for the Advanced Burner Test Reactor (ABTR)

As advanced reactor designers approach broad deployment of new reactor technologies and the associated applications, a critical milestone on this path includes licensing or authorization of these designs in the current regulatory environment. Commercial licensing and DOE authorization both consist of numerous aspects to not only certify the designed plant will operate as intended, but also related to confirmation of the safe operation of these facilities that comply with specific standards and requirements. To that end, domestic industry and regulators require toolsets and methods which can be used to confirm that advanced reactor designs not only align with expected performance during normal operation, but also a series of transient scenarios. These codes require a satisfactory validation basis, and in the absence of such a basis, code-to-code comparisons are often utilized as a surrogate to confirm model adequacy. To support this need for fast reactor technologies, a series of analyses using SAS4A/SASSYS- 1 and the Simplified Radionuclide Transport (SRT) code have been conducted for the Advanced Burner Test Reactor (ABTR). These analyses are expected to not only provide a baseline for transient and source term analyses of ABTR, but to also provide context for the key physics that determine evolution of specific transient scenarios in a sodium-cooled fast reactor (SFR). These codes are utilized for this work given their adoption in the SFR industry and by key SFR stakeholders.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Understanding the limitations and potential of micro tensile testing of tungsten and needs for crystal plasticity modelling

Tungsten is the leading plasma facing material candidate due to its exceptional properties. Understanding the response to neutron irradiation is crucial for the lifetime evaluation of tungsten. The limited space in nuclear reactors and the high levels of radioactivity of the specimens after irradiation are significant barriers to accurately measuring the mechanical properties after neutron irradiation. Testing of micro tensile specimens is one approach to reduce the total amount of irradiated material needed for a set of mechanical testing experiments. However, micro samples are not necessarily measuring the bulk material properties, as size effects produce higher measured mechanical properties than is observed in engineering size counterparts. Determining the minimal sample size for reliable bulk property measurement, combined with modeling efforts, is essential. We conducted room temperature tensile tests on tungsten micro tensile specimens fabricated with focused ion beam, plasma focused ion beam and femto-second laser ablation system to dimension of 2×2×7?µm³, 7×7×18?µm³, and 80×100×233?µm³ (width×thickness×gauge-length), respectively. Elevated tensile testing was performed up to 475°C on 5×5×18?µm³ specimens fabricated with focused ion beam. The smallest specimens exhibited a high degree of ductility and strength, whereas the largest specimens demonstrated behavior akin to bulk tungsten. To investigate the effects introduced by the micro specimen fabrication processes and to obtain the necessary bulk dislocation density for the crystal plasticity model, we employed X-ray diffraction depth profiling. This measurement was performed using different X-ray sources with varying penetration depths. Finally, the potential and limitations of micro mechanical tests for tungsten will be discussed.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

An Exact and Near-Exact Distribution Approach to the Behrens–Fisher Problem

The Behrens–Fisher problem occurs when testing the equality of means of two normal distributions without the assumption that the two variances are equal. This paper presents approaches based on the exact and near-exact distributions for the test statistic of the Behrens–Fisher problem, depending on different combinations of even or odd sample sizes. We present the exact distribution when both sample sizes are odd and the near-exact distribution when one or both sample sizes are even. The near-exact distributions are based on a finite mixture of generalized integer gamma (GIG) distributions, used as an approximation to the exact distribution, which consists of an infinite series. The proposed tests, based on the exact and the near-exact distributions, are compared with Welch’s t-test through Monte Carlo simulations, in particular for small and unbalanced sample sizes. The results show that the proposed approaches are competent solutions to the Behrens–Fisher problem, exhibiting precise sizes and better powers than Welch’s approach for those cases. Numerical studies show that the Welch’s t-test tends to be a bit more conservative than the test statistics based on the exact or near-exact distribution, in particular when sample sizes are small and unbalanced, situations in which the proposed exact or near-exact distributions obtain higher powers than Welch’s t-test.

Hong, Serim↗

Multi-service battery energy storage system optimization and control

Battery energy storage systems (BESS) have become fundamental part of modern power systems due to their capability to provide multiple grid services. As the renewable penetration increases, BESS procurement is also expected to increase where it is envisioned to play a systematic and strategical role in power systems planning and operation. Hence, in this paper we present a multiple grid service procurement and operation for BESS - ranging from energy arbitrage, reserve/regulation services, power factor correction, and demand management. The proposed framework considers an optimal multi-temporal dimension, designed to be operable for both planning and real-time operation. Moreover, non-linearity inherent to BESS services and uncertainty associated to market forecasts variables are addressed using techniques such as polyhedral norms and robust optimization approaches. Here, the developed model is tested using a utility-scaled BESS and the obtained results show the effectiveness of the systematic BESS multi-service planning and operation approach.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Fracture toughness evaluation for Zr-4 clad tubing structure with pellet inserts

Applying fracture mechanics approach to spent nuclear fuel (SNF) system reliability investigation is warranted due to the inherent flaws and hydride structures existed in a SNF system after nuclear reactor operation. However, none of the existing fracture toughness data deal with fuel cladding specific geometry or spent fuel material conditions, such as cladding structure with the pellet-inserts and the associated pellet clad mechanical interactions induced mixed-mode damage mechanisms. Thus, the development of an intrinsic fracture mechanics approach that is suitable for SNF materials is needed. Due to thin wall and small dimension of clad tubing structure, the spiral notch torsion test (SNTT) method of small specimen approach was used to estimate the clad tubing structure fracture toughness. The estimated fracture toughness for Zr-4 cladding with alumina-pellet inserts are presented in this report. For SNTT samples with a short or medium crack length, between 5.4-mm and 8-mm, the estimate JIQ upon fracture initiation for the baseline Zr-4 cladding is at 50 kJ/m2 with 2-sigma uncertainty of 3.26 kJ/m2, and the associated KIQ is at 67.46 MPa√m. For SNTT samples with a long crack length, around 13-mm, the crack initialization is deviated from that of the Mode-I tensile fracture and appears to be a mixed-mode fracture of Mode I – tensile stress and Mode III – out of plane shear stress; the estimated JMQ is at 18.9 kJ/m2, the associated KMQ is at 41.4 MPa√m.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Wire Arc Additive Manufacturing of Lightweight High Pressure Die Casting Tooling

Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and Mercury Marine partnered to develop and test methods for additively manufactured tooling for aluminum die casting applications under CRADA agreement NFE-20-08193. Tooling is the largest capital expense for high production casting projects. The lead time for tooling is often measured in months with a typical project taking 9-12 months to realize Production Part Approval Process (PPAP) ready die cast samples. This project demonstrated the technical viability of rapidly produced steel components for high pressure die casting tooling via Wire Arc Additive Manufacturing (WAAM). A 410 stainless steel tool was redesigned and optimized with conformal cooling channels and additively manufactured. The finished tool was tested and used to produce over 4000 parts, which well surpassed expectations. A secondary objective was to evaluate the durability of multi-material additively manufactured (AM) components with conformal cooling. A large multi-material tool (H13 and 410SSNiMo) was manufactured using the same methods showing potential reductions in used material and cost. However, the H13 section sustained material cracking. Further analysis showed that the potential cause was the CTE mismatch of the two materials at higher temperatures. It is also suggested that the material mix can be used if the steel processing temperature does not exceed 600 ̊C.This project has shown high potential for using the WAAM technology for creating AM parts for aluminum dies casting. However, the multi-material approach requires extended study and tests.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Wire Arc Additive Manufacturing of Lightweight High Pressure Die Casting Tooling

Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and Mercury Marine partnered to develop and test methods for additively manufactured tooling for aluminum die casting applications under CRADA agreement NFE- 20-08193. Tooling is the largest capital expense for high production casting projects. The lead time for tooling is often measured in months with a typical project taking 9-12 months to realize Production Part Approval Process (PPAP) ready die cast samples. This project demonstrated the technical viability of rapidly produced steel components for high pressure die casting tooling via Wire Arc Additive Manufacturing (WAAM). A 410 stainless steel tool was redesigned and optimized with conformal cooling channels and additively manufactured. The finished tool was tested and used to produce over 4000 parts, which well surpassed expectations. A secondary objective was to evaluate the durability of multi-material additively manufactured (AM) components with conformal cooling. A large multi-material tool (H13 and 410SSNiMo) was manufactured using the same methods showing potential reductions in used material and cost. However, the H13 section sustained material cracking. Further analysis showed that the potential cause was the CTE mismatch of the two materials at higher temperatures. It is also suggested that the material mix can be used if the steel processing temperature does not exceed 600 ˚C. This project has shown high potential for using the WAAM technology for creating AM parts for aluminum dies casting. However, the multi-material approach requires extended study and tests.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Enhancing Post-Irradiation Examination (PIE) Efficiency with High-Throughput Experiments

Nuclear materials testing is essential for understanding changes in reactor environments, but traditional methods are costly and time-consuming. High-Throughput Experimentation (HTE) enables rapid screening and optimization of material properties by significantly increasing the number of specimens in the experiment. In this work, HTE methods were employed to irradiate novel materials at the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) at Idaho National Laboratory. A total of 367 sub-sized tensile specimens were irradiated using the standard capsule design. To facilitate HTE, automated systems such as the Automated Mechanical Testing System were implemented for mechanical testing within hot cell environments, thereby reducing the need for manual interaction with hot cell manipulators and significantly lowering both the cost and duration of experiments. Digital image correlation (DIC) was used to measure displacement during mechanical testing, providing precise, non-contact measurement capabilities. The methodologies developed in this research will support the advancement of HTE techniques for future nuclear materials testing experiments at ATR. This approach allows for more efficient and cost-effective evaluation of new materials, ultimately leading to improved reactor performance, enhanced safety, and extended longevity within the nuclear industry.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Evaluation of nonlinear control performance of air handling units under variable operation conditions using root distribution approach

The control systems at Air handling units (AHUs) have nonlinear nature, resulting potentially in sluggish, aggressive, or oscillatory responses under variable operation conditions. This paper is to develop an approach for evaluating the nonlinear control performance of AHUs under variable operation conditions and for identifying the impact of varying multiple operation parameters which guides controller design. To do so, an operation parameter-based root distribution technique, intended to sketch the paths traced by closed-loop poles as multiple operation parameters are varied, is first introduced. The technique—which may be viewed as an extension of conventional, single-variable root locus—is then applied to a fan speed control system that includes a motor with a variable frequency drive and a supply fan with an air duct under variable fan speed and duct static pressure. Using the technique, the system’s stability region is graphically identified. The system is also found to be aggressive and gradually lose its stability as the fan speed decreases and the duct static pressure increases, which is validated by the field tests. Here, the root distribution approach is an effective tool to evaluate the performance of any nonlinear control systems at AHUs with multiple variable operation parameters without requiring time-domain simulations.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A Novel Technique for Distributed Measuring of Strain in the Vadose Zone

Characterizing water content and pressure changes in the vadose zone is important to understanding a variety of geologic processes, ranging from permeability, to evapotranspiration, and aquifer recharge. Changes in water content, or pressure, cause strain in the solid porous medium of the vadose zone, and it is possible that measuring those strains could be used a characterization tool. The Coherence-length-gated Microwave Photonics Interferometry (CMPI) technique measures strain at high resolution along many intervals defined by pairs of reflectors distributed along an optical fiber. This technique has recently been developed at Clemson University, and it has the spatial, and temporal resolution to characterize the strains that are expected to occur with hydrologic changes in the vadose zone. However, the technique has never been used to measure strain in porous media, so its capabilities remain uncertain. The objective of this thesis is to evaluate the ability of using CMPI to measure strain changes in the vadose zone. The research approach consists of conducting laboratory tests using a column filled with sand that was subjected to changes in water content and pressure. An optical fiber with CMPI reflectors was deployed in a high surface area ribbon and used to measure strain along the axis of the column. The column was made from 8-inch, Schedule 40 PVC pipe (75 cm tall, 20 cm inner diameter) and filled with medium-grained sand (K = 2.5x10-6 m/s, porosity = 0.28, Coefficient of Uniformity = 2, van Genuchten (n = 4.34 and  = 0.00039 m-1), Young’s Modulus = 18 – 47 MPa). Five pressure and four temperature sensors attached to probes inserted into the wall. The optical fiber includes five reflectors spaced 10 cm apart on the inside and outside of the column along the vertical axis. Strain measurements are made between pairs of reflectors. The reflectors are created in 250-micron-diameter acrylate-coated single mode Corning SMF28e+ optical fiber using a femtosecond laser. The optical fiber was laminated between two pieces of polyester film creating a large surface area to transfer strain from the porous media to the optical fiber. The experiments were conducted by filling the column from the bottom or infiltrating water from the top. The water was allowed to equilibrate to room temperature prior to each test in order to limit thermoelastic strain. Five injection tests with a rate of 250 ml/min and three infiltration tests at varying rates were conducted, and the results show patterns of strain and pressure are generally similar. Hydrologic conditions define three zones based on the pressure magnitude and distribution. 1.) Ambient Zone where the pressure heads are quasi-static and the pressure gradient is roughly unity (head gradient of zero). This is the uppermost zone and is characterized by negative pressures. 2.) Transition Zone where the pressures increase from ambient to zero, are changing relatively rapidly and the pressure gradient is relatively steep (pressure head gradients of 2). The Transition zone is 10 to 15 cm thick. 3.) Positive Pressure Zone where the pressure is positive, the rate of change is slower than in the transition zone and the gradient is flatter (pressure head gradient 1.1 to 1.2). This is the lowest zone in the column. Injection of water causes the pressure to increase and the three zones to move upward. The Transition zone moves at a rate of approximately 0.0002 m/s +/- .00005, according to analyses of pressure profiles. This is the same as the average velocity of the water calculated as volumetric flux/effective porosity =5.4x10-5 m/s/0.28. Strain signals in the range of 10s  were observed with a noise level of generally less than 0.1  (signal to noise ratio of greater than 100) during injection and drainage. The spatial and temporal distributions of strain caused by injection depend on the location of the moving pressure zones. The locations of the different pressure zones were determined from pressure profiles at different times and these data were transferred to strain time series. This showed that strain in the Ambient pressure zone is either unchanged or slightly compressive, whereas strain in Transition zone is tensile and roughly proportional to the pressure change, and strain ranges from tensile to compressive in the Positive Pressure zone. In general, the strain is variable at the top of the Positive Pressure zone, but it appears to be consistently tensile lower in the zone. The spatial distribution of strain causes three distinct stages in the strain times series measured between pairs of CMPI reflectors. The strain is unchanged or slightly compressive during Stage 1, it increases (positive strain is tensile) approximately linearly at a rate of 0.02 to 0.03 μ/s during the Stage 2, and then flattens out in Stage 3. The strain increases again during Stage 4 of the time series. The pressure also changes in stages. It is unchanged during Stage 1 and then increases relatively rapidly at a rate of between 4 and 10 Pa/s during Stage 2 and continues to increase during Stages 3 and 4, but at a rate slightly slower than during Stage 2 (from 2.5 to 3.5 Pa/s). The rates of pressure and strain change are consistent with basic analyses. The rate of pressurization is similar to the calculated velocity of flow in the saturated zone, and this is similar to the measured velocity of the strain increase. The ratio of the pressurization rate and strain rate during Stage 2 (2.5 (Pa/s) /0.03 (μ/s)) is 80 MPa, which is approximately equal to the upper range expected considering the uniaxial compression and the Young’s Modulus of the sand. An interesting effect occurs when the upper surface of the sand becomes saturated. Significant compression (several 10s of ) occurs as the pressure and saturation increase at the upper surface. Compression occurs throughout the column, but the effect is greatest at the top of the column. The rate of compression is fastest slightly before ponding occurs, but it slows markedly and nearly stops when water starts to accumulate at the surface (ponding). This effect reverses when the surface of the sand is drained, resulting in tension throughout the column. The compression caused by this effect can be as large or larger than the tensile strain that accumulated during filling. This effect was unexpected because increasing pressure is normally associated with tensile strain. Nevertheless, this effect was observed consistently in all tests where the pressure changes at the upper surface, including tests where water was injected from below or infiltrated from above. This effect behaves as if the pore pressure at the upper surface of the sand exerts a normal force on the boundary (increasing pore pressure exerts a downward compression on the boundary). The results of these laboratory experiments indicate that CMPI can measure strain caused by fluid pressure changes in the vadose zone with a signal to noise ratio of 100 or more. Injection and drainage cause a strain signal that is complex, but repeatable. The magnitudes of the strain signal are consistent with magnitudes that are expected based on poroelastic calculations using independently measured properties of the sand. These results indicate that the CMPI technique with an optical fiber laminated in a polyester ribbon generates data that represent the strain distribution during hydrologic processes of imbibition and drainage in variably saturated sand. This suggests that distributed strain measurements using CMPI could be a viable approach for evaluating processes in the vadose zone, laying the groundwork for future field implementation.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Adaptive Recovery Model: Designing Systems for Testing Tracing and Vaccination to Support COVID-19 Recovery Planning.

This report documents a new approach to designing disease control policies that allocate scarce testing, contact tracing, and vaccination resources to better control community transmission of COVID19 or similar diseases. The Adaptive Recovery Model (ARM) combines a deterministic compartmental disease model with a stochastic network disease propagation model to enable us to simulate COVID-19 community spread through the lens of two complementary modeling motifs. ARM contact networks are derived from cell-phone location data that have been anonymized and interpreted as individual arrivals to specic public locations. Modeling disease spread over these networks allows us to identify locations within communities conducive to rapid disease spread. ARM applies this model- and data-derived abstractions of community transmission to evaluate the effectiveness of disease control measures including targeted social distancing, contact tracing, testing and vaccination. The architecture of ARM provides a unique capacity to help decision makers understand how best to deploy scarce testing, tracing and vaccination resources to minimize disease-spread potential in a community. This document details the novel mathematical formulations underlying ARM, presents a dynamical stability analysis of the deterministic model components, a sensitivity analysis of control parameters and network structure, and summarizes a process for deriving contact networks from cell-phone location data. An example use case steps through applying ARM to evaluate three targeted social distancing policies using Bernalillo County, New Mexico as an exemplar test locale. This step-by-step analysis demonstrates how ARM can be used to measure the relative performance of competing public health policies. Initial scenario tests of ARM shows that ARMs design focus on resource utilization rather than simple incidence prediction can provide decision makers with additional quantitative guidance for managing ongoing public health emergencies and planning future responses.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Detection of DoS Attacks Using ARFIMA Modeling of GOOSE Communication in IEC 61850 Substations

Integration of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) in modern smart grids (SGs) offers many advantages including the use of renewables and an effective way to protect, control and monitor the energy transmission and distribution. To reach an optimal operation of future energy systems, availability, integrity and confidentiality of data should be guaranteed. Research on the cyber-physical security of electrical substations based on IEC 61850 is still at an early stage. In the present work, we first model the network traffic data in electrical substations, then, we present a statistical Anomaly Detection (AD) method to detect Denial of Service (DoS) attacks against the Generic Object Oriented Substation Event (GOOSE) network communication. According to interpretations on the self-similarity and the Long-Range Dependency (LRD) of the data, an Auto-Regressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average (ARFIMA) model was shown to describe well the GOOSE communication in the substation process network. Based on this ARFIMA-model and in view of cyber-physical security, an effective model-based AD method is developed and analyzed. Two variants of the statistical AD considering statistical hypothesis testing based on the Generalized Likelihood Ratio Test (GLRT) and the cumulative sum (CUSUM) are presented to detect flooding attacks that might affect the availability of the data. Our work presents a novel AD method, with two different variants, tailored to the specific features of the GOOSE traffic in IEC 61850 substations. The statistical AD is capable of detecting anomalies at unknown change times under the realistic assumption of unknown model parameters. The performance of both variants of the AD method is validated and assessed using data collected from a simulation case study. We perform several Monte-Carlo simulations under different noise variances. The detection delay is provided for each detector and it represents the number of discrete time samples after which an anomaly is detected. In fact, our statistical AD method with both variants (CUSUM and GLRT) has around half the false positive rate and a smaller detection delay when compared with two of the closest works found in the literature. Our AD approach based on the GLRT detector has the smallest false positive rate among all considered approaches. Whereas, our AD approach based on the CUSUM test has the lowest false negative rate thus the best detection rate. Depending on the requirements as well as the costs of false alarms or missed anomalies, both variants of our statistical detection method can be used and are further analyzed using composite detection metrics.

IEC 61850 electrical substations↗

wa-hls4ml and lui-gnn: A benchmark and GNN-based surrogate model for hls4ml resource and latency estimation

As machine learning (ML) increasingly serves as a tool for addressing real-time challenges in scientific applications, the development of advanced tooling has significantly reduced the time required to iterate on various designs. These advancements have solved major obstacles, but also exposed new challenges. For example, processes that were not previously considered bottlenecks, such as model synthesis, are now becoming limiting factors in the rapid iteration of designs. To reduce these emerging constraints, multiple efforts are being launched toward designing an ML-based surrogate model that estimates resource usage of synthesized accelerator architectures. This model would reduce the design iteration time, especially when designing within a set of given hardware constraints. This approach shows considerable potential, but as it stands, the effort is early and would benefit from coordination and standardization to assist future work as it emerges. We introduce wa-hls4ml, a benchmark for ML accelerator resource and latency estimation, and its corresponding initial dataset of more than 100,000 fully connected neural networks, all synthesized using hls4ml and targeting Xilinx FPGAs. In addition to the resource utilization and latency data provided, the dataset includes generated artifacts and log files for many of the synthesized neural networks, in order to support future research in ML-based code generation. The benchmark evaluates the performance of resource and latency predictors against several common ML model architectures, primarily originating from scientific domains, as exemplar models, as well as the average performance across a subset of the dataset. We measure the performance of a given predictor model through multiple metrics, including $R^2$ score and SMAPE on regression tasks, as well as inference time to further characterize the estimator under test. Additionally, we introduce the latency/utilization inference graph neural network (lui-gnn), a surrogate model that uses a graph neural network to represent input architectures in the form of a directed graph. This graph representation allows for a diverse set of model architectures to all be effectively handled by a surrogate model. We present the architecture and performance of the model, as evaluated by the new proposed benchmark, including SMAPE, $R^2$ score, and inference times, and find that lui-gnn generally predicts latency and utilization for the 75\% quantile within several percent of the synthesized resources on the synthetic test dataset, indicating that this approach of estimating resource and latency via a surrogate models has promise and warrants further research.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Damage development in neutron-irradiated concrete in a test reactor: Hygro-thermal and mechanical simulations

This paper reports the development of a 3D mesoscale hygro-thermal-mechanical simulation approach to predict damage in concrete irradiated in a test reactor. This framework, developed in MOOSE, considers the effects of elevated temperature, moisture content, and high neutron fluence (energy threshold, E > 0.1 MeV) on the mortar and aggregates separately. The first-stage simulation implements hygro-thermal analysis to determine the temperature and RH inside the specimen as a function of imposed radiation energy. These are used as inputs to the second stage, which considers radiation-induced volumetric expansion (RIVE) of aggregates, and creep, shrinkage, and stress-strain response of mortar to predict the expansion, stresses, and damage in specimens made using different coarse aggregates and subjected to different irradiation times. The irradiation time-dependent damage in the mortar is expressed using an isotropic damage parameter. This multi-physics model serves as a predictive tool for damage quantification in concrete due to neutron irradiation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Testing Framework for Grid-Forming Resources

This paper presents a testing framework for grid-forming (GFM) resources. First, it analytically derives in the frequency domain the active and reactive power response of an ideal voltage source with a reactor. These transfer functions are then used to quantify the voltage source behavior expected from a GFM inverter within subtransient timescales (5-15 cycles) following a grid disturbance. The paper also shows that the testing of a GFM inverter might require a reactor of an appropriate size between the inverter and the grid simulator used for the inverter testing. Finally, the paper presents a systematic approach for developing specifications for GFM resources using active and reactive power response frequency scans. The testing framework and results presented in this paper are demonstrated using EMT-PSCAD simulations of a 1-MW GFM inverter.

frequency scans↗

A Testing Framework for Grid-Forming Resources: Preprint

This paper presents a testing framework for grid-forming (GFM) resources. It first analytically derives in frequency domain the active and reactive power response of an ideal voltage source with a reactor. These transfer functions are then used to quantify the voltage source behavior expected from a GFM inverter within subtransient time scales (5-10 cycles) following a grid disturbance. The paper also shows that the testing of a GFM inverter might require a reactor of an appropriate size between the inverter and the grid simulator used for the inverter testing. Finally, the paper presents a systematic approach for developing specifications for GFM resources using active and reactive power response frequency scans. The testing framework and results presented in this paper are demonstrated using EMT simulations of a 1-MW GFM inverter.

frequency scans↗

Development of Scalable Coastal and Offshore Macroalgal Farming

The US DOE/ARPA-E MARINER program funded a four-year project to determine an optimal way to grow kelps in large, nearshore and offshore arrays for the eventual purpose of biofuel production with the goal of keeping the cost below $\$$80 USD per dry metric ton of kelp. This project specifically looked at how Saccharina latissima can be grown in the Gulf of Alaska to reach that goal. There were three major aspects of the research: 1) optimizing nursery production and seeding lines for outplanting, 2) designing an economical, modular outplanting structure and 3) developing methods to efficiently harvest the product. Farm designs were based on catenary structures and the use of spreader bars with variable spacing of grow lines and line types. The spacing of the grow lines makes a difference in the yield. Grow line spacing of ≥1.5m showed about a 50% increase in kg/m. There was no statistical difference in the growth of Saccharina latissima whether in the middle or the outside of the array, but the line type and perhaps line thickness can make a difference in yield. Sagging caused by the weight of the mature fronds resulted in lower growth at depth. Various harvesting approaches for mature kelps were tested by collaborating farmers. One promising innovation is the use of large bags for holding the freshly harvested fronds. Although the weight of the fronds on the growlines causes the lines to sink, the bags packed with the harvested fronds float, allowing for easy loading to the transfer vessel. Another advance in harvesting is a specially built harvest vessel, the Harvest Buddy, allowing a more mechanized and faster way to harvest. A significant aspect of this project was the TTO/T2M. Several different outreach activities were performed by the Alaska Fisheries Development Foundation and GreenWave. A techno-economic assessment (TEA) using our data has pointed to solutions to reach the $\$$80 goal. A second phase of this project involved the co-culture of two different species of kelps. Interest in farming kelps has grown beyond using kelp for food, feed or biofuels. There is considerable interest in generating biomass from seaweed for use in bioplastics and other products that would substitute for petroleum-derived products. For these uses to be viable, large amounts of biomass are needed. Very large kelp farms can be expensive to build and maintain, leading to the need to optimize the biomass per unit area. Although close spacing of growlines can lead to poor growth, a viable approach may be to grow two species of kelps together: one that hangs down and one that is buoyant, growing up. This system would increase the spacing in three dimensions. In Alaska, Saccharina latissima is commonly grown hanging down from longlines. One of the buoyant Alaskan kelps is Nereocystis luetkeana. Because there are commercial uses for wild-harvested Nereocystis in Alaska, we undertook a preliminary trial in Kodiak, Alaska that grew both Saccharina and Nereocystis in the same longline array. Closely spaced lines were seeded the first week of February 2023 and set at 3m below the surface. The arrays were harvested in late June 2023. Despite having 45% fewer grow-lines, the total yield of the Nereocystis on the combined arrays was statistically similar to the Nereocystis only arrays. Total yields were greatest on the combined arrays, followed by the Nereocystis only and Saccharina only arrays. These results may have significance for large scale macroalgal production.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

A comparison of model validation approaches for echo state networks using climate model replicates

As global temperatures continue to rise, climate mitigation strategies such as stratospheric aerosol injections (SAI) are increasingly discussed, but the downstream effects of these strategies are not well understood. As such, there is interest in developing statistical methods to quantify the evolution of climate variable relationships during the time period surrounding an SAI. Feature importance applied to echo state network (ESN) models has been proposed as a way to understand the effects of SAI using a data-driven model. This approach depends on the ESN fitting the data well. If not, the feature importance may place importance on features that are not representative of the underlying relationships. Typically, time series prediction models such as ESNs are assessed using out-of-sample performance metrics that divide the times series into separate training and testing sets. However, this model assessment approach is geared towards forecasting applications and not scenarios such as the motivating SAI example where the objective is using a data driven model to capture variable relationships. Here, in this paper, we demonstrate a novel use of climate model replicates to investigate the applicability of the commonly used repeated hold-out model assessment approach for the SAI application. Simulations of an SAI are generated using a simplified climate model, and different initialization conditions are used to provide independent training and testing sets containing the same SAI event. The climate model replicates enable out-of-sample measures of model performance, which are compared to the single time series hold-out validation approach. For our case study, it is found that the repeated hold-out sample performance is comparable, but conservative, to the replicate out-of-sample performance when the training set contains enough time after the aerosol injection.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗