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At least 559 records · Page 31

Expansion time of hot nuclei produced by a relativistic deuteron beam

The multifragmentation time scale is measured for d(4.4 GeV) + Au collisions by the analysis of the relative angle correlation function for the intermediate-mass fragments. The experiment was performed with the FASA 4π setup installed at the external beam of the superconducting accelerator Nuclotron. A combined approach of intranuclear cascade prescription followed by the Statistical Model of Multifragmentation is used for the analysis of the data. Multifragmentation of a target spectator is measured to be 100 fm/c (CL > 99.5%) delayed in relation to the collision moment. The latter is fixed by the registration of the fast fragment with Z = 4, produced at the collisionmoment.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Photonuclear reactions on the cadmium isotopes {sup 106,108}Cd at the bremsstrahlung endpoint energy of 55.5 MeV

The gamma-activation technique was used to measure the absolute yields of photonuclear reactions on the cadmium isotopes {sup 106,108}Cd. The results obtained in this way were compared with the results of the calculations based on the statistical model. For reactions on the isotope {sup 108}Cd, agreement between these theoretical and experimental results is good, but the experimental ratio of the yields of photoproton and photoneutron reactions on the isotope {sup 106}Cd differs substantially from its theoretical counterpart. The results of our present study are discussed from the point of view of the production of bypassed nuclei in the p-process of nucleosynthesis.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

A note on the Landauer principle in quantum statistical mechanics

The Landauer principle asserts that the energy cost of erasure of one bit of information by the action of a thermal reservoir in equilibrium at temperature T is never less than k B T log 2. We discuss Landauer's principle for quantum statistical models describing a finite level quantum system S coupled to an infinitely extended thermal reservoir R. Using Araki's perturbation theory of KMS states and the Avron-Elgart adiabatic theorem we prove, under a natural ergodicity assumption on the joint system S+R, that Landauer's bound saturates for adiabatically switched interactions. The recent work [Reeb, D. and Wolf M. M., “(Im-)proving Landauer's principle,” preprint http://arxiv.org/abs/arXiv:1306.4352v2 (2013)] on the subject is discussed and compared.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Photoneutron reaction cross section measurements on Mo 94 and Zr 90 relevant to the p -process nucleosynthesis

The photodisintegration cross sections for the 94 Mo(γ,n) and 90 Zr(γ,n) reactions have been experimentally investigated with quasi-monochromatic photon beams at the High Intensity γ-ray Source (HIγS) facility of the Triangle Universities Nuclear Laboratory (TUNL). The energy dependence of the photoneutron reaction cross sections was measured with high precision from the respective neutron emission thresholds up to 13.5 MeV. Here, these measurements contribute to a broader investigation of nuclear reactions relevant to the understanding of the p-process nucleosynthesis. The results are compared with the predictions of Hauser-Feshbach statistical model calculations using two different models for the dipole γ-ray strength function. Lastly, the resulting 94 Mo(γ,n) and 90 Zr(γ,n) photoneutron stellar reaction rates as a function of temperature in the typical range of interest for the p-process nucleosynthesis show how sensitive the photoneutron stellar reaction rate can be to the experimental data in the vicinity of the neutron threshold.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Evaluation of a commercial automatic treatment planning system for prostate cancers

Recent developments in Radiation Oncology treatment planning have led to the development of software packages that facilitate automated intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) and volumetric-modulated arc therapy (VMAT) planning. Such solutions include site-specific modules, plan library methods, and algorithm-based methods. In this study, the plan quality for prostate cancer generated by the Auto-Planning module of the Pinnacle{sup 3} radiation therapy treatment planning system (v9.10, Fitchburg, WI) is retrospectively evaluated. The Auto-Planning module of Pinnacle{sup 3} uses a progressive optimization algorithm. Twenty-three prostate cancer cases, which had previously been planned and treated without lymph node irradiation, were replanned using the Auto-Planning module. Dose distributions were statistically compared with those of manual planning by the paired t-test at 5% significance level. Auto-Planning was performed without any manual intervention. Planning target volume (PTV) dose and dose to rectum were comparable between Auto-Planning and manual planning. The former, however, significantly reduced the dose to the bladder and femurs. Regression analysis was performed to examine the correlation between volume overlap between bladder and PTV divided by the total bladder volume and resultant V70. The findings showed that manual planning typically exhibits a logistic way for dose constraint, whereas Auto-Planning shows a more linear tendency. By calculating the Akaike information criterion (AIC) to validate the statistical model, a reduction of interoperator variation in Auto-Planning was shown. We showed that, for prostate cancer, the Auto-Planning module provided plans that are better than or comparable with those of manual planning. By comparing our results with those previously reported for head and neck cancer treatment, we recommend the homogeneous plan quality generated by the Auto-Planning module, which exhibits less dependence on anatomic complexity.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Calibration methodology for proportional counters applied to yield measurements of a neutron burst

This paper introduces a methodology for the yield measurement of a neutron burst using neutron proportional counters. This methodology is to be applied when single neutron events cannot be resolved in time by nuclear standard electronics, or when a continuous current cannot be measured at the output of the counter. The methodology is based on the calibration of the counter in pulse mode, and the use of a statistical model to estimate the number of detected events from the accumulated charge resulting from the detection of the burst of neutrons. The model is developed and presented in full detail. For the measurement of fast neutron yields generated from plasma focus experiments using a moderated proportional counter, the implementation of the methodology is herein discussed. An experimental verification of the accuracy of the methodology is presented. An improvement of more than one order of magnitude in the accuracy of the detection system is obtained by using this methodology with respect to previous calibration methods.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

A stochastic-dynamic model for global atmospheric mass field statistics

A model that yields the spatial correlation structure of atmospheric mass field forecast errors was developed. The model is governed by the potential vorticity equation forced by random noise. Expansion in spherical harmonics and correlation function was computed analytically using the expansion coefficients. The finite difference equivalent was solved using a fast Poisson solver and the correlation function was computed using stratified sampling of the individual realization of F(omega) and hence of phi(omega). A higher order equation for gamma was derived and solved directly in finite differences by two successive applications of the fast Poisson solver. The methods were compared for accuracy and efficiency and the third method was chosen as clearly superior. The results agree well with the latitude dependence of observed atmospheric correlation data. The value of the parameter c sub o which gives the best fit to the data is close to the value expected from dynamical considerations.

Ghil, M.↗

Tabulated equation of state for supernova matter including full nuclear ensemble

This is an introduction to the tabulated database of stellar matter properties calculated within the framework of the Statistical Model for Supernova Matter (SMSM). The tables present thermodynamical characteristics and nuclear abundances for 31 values of baryon density (10{sup –8} < ρ/ρ{sub 0} < 0.32, ρ{sub 0} = 0.15 fm{sup –3} is the normal nuclear matter density), 35 values of temperature (0.2 MeV < T < 25 MeV), and 28 values of electron-to-baryon ratio (0.02 < Y{sub e} < 0.56). The properties of stellar matter in β equilibrium are also considered. The main ingredients of the SMSM are briefly outlined, and the data structure and content of the tables are explained.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Accurate Gene Expression-Based Biodosimetry Using a Minimal Set of Human Gene Transcripts

Purpose: Rapid and reliable methods for conducting biological dosimetry are a necessity in the event of a large-scale nuclear event. Conventional biodosimetry methods lack the speed, portability, ease of use, and low cost required for triaging numerous victims. Here we address this need by showing that polymerase chain reaction (PCR) on a small number of gene transcripts can provide accurate and rapid dosimetry. The low cost and relative ease of PCR compared with existing dosimetry methods suggest that this approach may be useful in mass-casualty triage situations. Methods and Materials: Human peripheral blood from 60 adult donors was acutely exposed to cobalt-60 gamma rays at doses of 0 (control) to 10 Gy. mRNA expression levels of 121 selected genes were obtained 0.5, 1, and 2 days after exposure by reverse-transcriptase real-time PCR. Optimal dosimetry at each time point was obtained by stepwise regression of dose received against individual gene transcript expression levels. Results: Only 3 to 4 different gene transcripts, ASTN2, CDKN1A, GDF15, and ATM, are needed to explain ≥0.87 of the variance (R{sup 2}). Receiver-operator characteristics, a measure of sensitivity and specificity, of 0.98 for these statistical models were achieved at each time point. Conclusions: The actual and predicted radiation doses agree very closely up to 6 Gy. Dosimetry at 8 and 10 Gy shows some effect of saturation, thereby slightly diminishing the ability to quantify higher exposures. Analyses of these gene transcripts may be advantageous for use in a field-portable device designed to assess exposures in mass casualty situations or in clinical radiation emergencies.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Cadmium exposure is associated with soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor, a circulating marker of inflammation and future cardiovascular disease

Background: Diet and smoking are the main sources of cadmium exposure in the general population. Cadmium increases the risk of cardiovascular diseases, and experimental studies show that it induces inflammation. Blood cadmium levels are associated with macrophages in human atherosclerotic plaques. Soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is an emerging biomarker for cardiovascular events related to inflammation and atherosclerotic plaques. The aim was to examine whether blood cadmium levels are associated with circulating suPAR and other markers of inflammation. Methods: A population sample of 4648 Swedish middle-aged women and men was examined cross-sectionally in 1991–1994. Plasma suPAR was assessed by ELISA, leukocytes were measured by standard methods, and blood cadmium was analysed by inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry. Prevalent cardiovascular disease, ultrasound-assessed carotid plaque occurrence, and several possible confounding factors were recorded. Results: After full adjustment for risk factors and confounding variables, a 3-fold increase in blood cadmium was associated with an 10.9% increase in suPAR concentration (p<0.001). In never-smokers, a 3-fold increase in blood cadmium was associated with a 3.7% increase in suPAR concentration (p<0.01) after full adjustment. Blood cadmium was not associated with C-reactive protein, white blood cell count and Lp-PLA2 but with neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio in one of two statistical models. Conclusions: Exposure to cadmium was associated with increased plasma suPAR in the general population, independently of smoking and cardiovascular disease. These results imply that cadmium is a possible cause for raised levels of this inflammatory marker. - Highlights: • Cadmium is a toxic proinflammatory, proatherosclerotic metal. • Soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) in plasma is a promising proinflammatory marker of atherosclerosis. • Blood cadmium and plasma suPAR were measured in a cohort of 4648 Swedish men and women. • Blood cadmium was positively associated with plasma suPAR, also in never smokers.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Use of Physics to Improve Solar Forecast: Physics-Informed Persistence Models for Simultaneously Forecasting GHI, DNI, and DHI

Observation-based statistical models have been widely used in forecasting solar energy; however, existing models often lack a clear relation to physics and are limited largely to global horizontal irradiance (GHI) forecasts over relatively short time horizons (< 1 hour). Incorporating physics into observation-based models, increasing forecast time horizons and developing a model system for forecasting not only GHI but also direct normal irradiance (DNI) and diffuse horizontal irradiance (DHI) remain challenging, especially under cloudy conditions because of complex cloud-radiation interactions. This work attempts to address these challenges by developing a hierarchy of four new physics-informed persistence models that can be used to simultaneously forecast GHI, DNI and DHI. The decade-long measurements (1998 to 2014) at the U.S. Department of Energy's Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM)'s Southern Great Plains (SGP) Central Facility site are used to evaluate the performance of the new models. Overall, the results show that the new physics-informed forecast models generally outperform the simple and smart persistence models, and improve the forecast accuracy at lead times from 1.25 hours up to 6 hours. Further analysis reveals that the forecast error is highly related to the error and temporal variability of the assumed cloud predictor. The best model for forecasting different radiative components can be explained by the relationship between solar irradiances and cloud properties.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A model for multiple-drop-impact erosion of brittle solids

A statistical model for the multiple-drop-impact erosion of brittle solids was developed. An equation for calculating the rate of erosion is given. The development is not complete since two quantities that are needed to calculate the rate of erosion with use of the equation must be assessed from experimental data. A partial test of the equation shows that it gives results that are in good agreement with experimental observation.

Engel, O. G.↗

Solar F10.7 radiation - A short term model for Space Station applications

A new method is described for statistically modeling the F10.7 component of solar radiation for 91-day intervals. The resulting model represents this component of the solar flux as a quasi-exponentially correlated, Weibull distributed random variable, and thereby demonstrates excellent agreement with observed F10.7 data. Values of the F10.7 flux are widely used in models of the earth's upper atmosphere because of its high correlation with density fluctuations due to solar heating effects. Because of the direct relation between atmospheric density and drag, a realistic model of the short term fluctuation of the F10.7 flux is important for the design and operation of Space Station Freedom. The method of modeling this flux described in this report should therefore be useful for a variety of Space Station applications.

Vedder, John D.↗

High Accuracy Signal Validation Framework for Sensor Calibration Assessment in NPPs

Effective and efficient health management of sensing channels and instrumentation supports reliable and accurate process monitoring capacities in any industry. Current practice in the nuclear industry relies on periodic calibration assessment and correction activities. This time based maintenance technique consists of three steps: i) removal of sensor to a test environment, ii) testing and recalibration, and iii) reinstallation of sensor into its working environment. This procedure is highly labor intensive, adds to the outage cost and timeline, and contributes to worker radiation exposure and ALARA requirements. Furthermore, the human element contributes to error factors in all stages of the procedure. The effectiveness of this calibration procedure after sensors are returned to working environmental variables also raises concerns, and the practicability of this periodic approach is uncertain for future reactor designs with longer operating cycles between refueling outages. Studies indicate that periodic calibration assessment find only 10% of sensing instrumentations with calibration issues during a single outage (18- 24 months), meaning at least 90% of sensors are undergoing unnecessary maintenance actions. This provides an opportunity to maintain the current levels of safety and functional integrity with fewer, more targeted maintenance actions and lower economic burden. Performance-based maintenance planning shows much promise over current periodic maintenance approaches. Specifically, online monitoring (OLM) utilizes the continually collected process data to non-intrusively monitor the calibration status of process instrumentation and detect the onset of de-calibration, thereby minimizing the number of recalibration procedures required. Ultimately, this can lead to termination of time based recalibration at NPPs. OLM utilizes the process measurements made for process monitoring and control to evaluate the calibration status of the sensors and instrumentation making the measurements. OLM can detect and differentiate sensor faults and process anomalies, thus providing a valuable tool to suit the industry's and regulatory body's requirements. Though supported by more than a decade of research, OLM for sensor calibration assessment is yet to be implemented in the US fleet due to regulatory requirements and constraints. As shown in Figure 1, OLM utilizes process data to train statistical models that predict normal, error-free process behavior. Measured process values are compared with error-corrected predictions to ascertain the presence of faults. The reliability of OLM is dependent on the quality of its predictions, measured in part by the uncertainty in these predictions. This research develops a framework to accurately quantify the prediction uncertainty based on Bayesian inference techniques to provide the required confidence levels for OLM systems. The expected outcomes include signal validation by high-accuracy, high-confidence uncertainty quantification for variable sensor types and operating ranges. Furthermore, the framework will facilitate fault detection capacities and so-called virtual sensors, a capability to replace faulty sensor measurements with error-corrected values when a sensor fault is detected. (authors)

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

On estimating cosmology-dependent covariance matrices

We describe a statistical model to estimate the covariance matrix of matter tracer two-point correlation functions with cosmological simulations. Assuming a fixed number of cosmological simulation runs, we describe how to build a 'statistical emulator' of the two-point function covariance over a specified range of input cosmological parameters. Because the simulation runs with different cosmological models help to constrain the form of the covariance, we predict that the cosmology-dependent covariance may be estimated with a comparable number of simulations as would be needed to estimate the covariance for fixed cosmology. Our framework is a necessary first step in planning a simulations campaign for analyzing the next generation of cosmological surveys.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

CLASSIFYING X-RAY BINARIES: A PROBABILISTIC APPROACH

In X-ray binary star systems consisting of a compact object that accretes material from an orbiting secondary star, there is no straightforward means to decide whether the compact object is a black hole or a neutron star. To assist in this process, we develop a Bayesian statistical model that makes use of the fact that X-ray binary systems appear to cluster based on their compact object type when viewed from a three-dimensional coordinate system derived from X-ray spectral data where the first coordinate is the ratio of counts in the mid- to low-energy band (color 1), the second coordinate is the ratio of counts in the high- to low-energy band (color 2), and the third coordinate is the sum of counts in all three bands. We use this model to estimate the probabilities of an X-ray binary system containing a black hole, non-pulsing neutron star, or pulsing neutron star. In particular, we utilize a latent variable model in which the latent variables follow a Gaussian process prior distribution, and hence we are able to induce the spatial correlation which we believe exists between systems of the same type. The utility of this approach is demonstrated by the accurate prediction of system types using Rossi X-ray Timing Explorer All Sky Monitor data, but it is not flawless. In particular, non-pulsing neutron systems containing “bursters” that are close to the boundary demarcating systems containing black holes tend to be classified as black hole systems. As a byproduct of our analyses, we provide the astronomer with the public R code which can be used to predict the compact object type of XRBs given training data.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A NEW METHOD FOR DERIVING THE STELLAR BIRTH FUNCTION OF RESOLVED STELLAR POPULATIONS

We present a new method for deriving the stellar birth function (SBF) of resolved stellar populations. The SBF (stars born per unit mass, time, and metallicity) is the combination of the initial mass function (IMF), the star formation history (SFH), and the metallicity distribution function (MDF). The framework of our analysis is that of Poisson Point Processes (PPPs), a class of statistical models suitable when dealing with points (stars) in a multidimensional space (the measurement space of multiple photometric bands). The theory of PPPs easily accommodates the modeling of measurement errors as well as that of incompleteness. Our method avoids binning stars in the color–magnitude diagram and uses the whole likelihood function for each data point; combining the individual likelihoods allows the computation of the posterior probability for the population's SBF. Within the proposed framework it is possible to include nuisance parameters, such as distance and extinction, by specifying their prior distributions and marginalizing over them. The aim of this paper is to assess the validity of this new approach under a range of assumptions, using only simulated data. Forthcoming work will show applications to real data. Although it has a broad scope of possible applications, we have developed this method to study multi-band Hubble Space Telescope observations of the Milky Way Bulge. Therefore we will focus on simulations with characteristics similar to those of the Galactic Bulge.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Luminescence of the (O{sub 2}(a{sup 1}Δ{sub g})){sub 2} collisional complex in the temperature range of 90-315 K: Experiment and theory

Experimental and theoretical studies of collision induced emission of singlet oxygen molecules O{sub 2}(a{sup 1}Δ{sub g}) in the visible range have been performed. The rate constants, half-widths, and position of peaks for the emission bands of the (O{sub 2}(a{sup 1}Δ{sub g})){sub 2} collisional complex centered around 634 nm (2) and 703 nm (3) have been measured in the temperature range of 90–315 K using a flow-tube apparatus that utilized a gas-liquid chemical singlet oxygen generator. The absolute values of the spontaneous emission rate constants k{sub 2} and k{sub 3} are found to be similar, with the k{sub 3}/k{sub 2} ratio monotonically decreasing from 1.1 at 300 K to 0.96 at 90 K. k{sub 2} slowly decreases with decreasing temperature but a sharp increase in its values is measured below 100 K. The experimental results were rationalized in terms of ab initio calculations of the ground and excited potential energy and transition dipole moment surfaces of singlet electronic states of the (O{sub 2}){sub 2} dimole, which were utilized to compute rate constants k{sub 2} and k{sub 3} within a statistical model. The best theoretical results reproduced experimental rate constants with the accuracy of under 40% and correctly described the observed temperature dependence. The main contribution to emission process (2), which does not involve vibrational excitation of O{sub 2} molecules at the ground electronic level, comes from the spin- and symmetry-allowed 1{sup 1}A{sub g}←{sup 1}B{sub 3u} transition in the rectangular H configuration of the dimole. Alternatively, emission process (3), in which one of the monomers becomes vibrationally excited in the ground electronic state, is found to be predominantly due to the vibronically allowed 1{sup 1}A{sub g}←2{sup 1}A{sub g} transition induced by the asymmetric O–O stretch vibration in the collisional complex. The strong vibronic coupling between nearly degenerate excited singlet states of the dimole makes the intensities of vibronically and symmetry-allowed transitions comparable and hence the rate constants k{sub 2} and k{sub 3} close to one another.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗