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At least 559 records · Page 31

Two-Stage Estimation and Variance Modeling for Latency-Constrained Variational Quantum Algorithms

The quantum approximate optimization algorithm (QAOA) has enjoyed increasing attention in noisy, intermediate-scale quantum computing with its application to combinatorial optimization problems. QAOA has the potential to demonstrate a quantum advantage for NP-hard combinatorial optimization problems. As a hybrid quantum-classical algorithm, the classical component of QAOA resembles a simulation optimization problem in which the simulation outcomes are attainable only through a quantum computer. The simulation that derives from QAOA exhibits two unique features that can have a substantial impact on the optimization process: (i) the variance of the stochastic objective values typically decreases in proportion to the optimality gap, and (ii) querying samples from a quantum computer introduces an additional latency overhead. In this paper, we introduce a novel stochastic trust-region method derived from a derivative-free, adaptive sampling trust-region optimization method intended to efficiently solve the classical optimization problem in QAOA by explicitly taking into account the two mentioned characteristics. The key idea behind the proposed algorithm involves constructing two separate local models in each iteration: a model of the objective function and a model of the variance of the objective function. Exploiting the variance model allows us to restrict the number of communications with the quantum computer and also helps navigate the nonconvex objective landscapes typical in QAOA optimization problems. In conclusion, we numerically demonstrate the superiority of our proposed algorithm using the SimOpt library and Qiskit when we consider a metric of computational burden that explicitly accounts for communication costs.

Derivative-free Optimization↗

Pile Oscillator Evaluation for Flattop [Poster]

Useful method for high-precision measurements of integral cross section in various samples. The availability of benchmark-quality effective delayed neutron fraction (ßeff) values for nuclear data and code validation remains limited.

MCNP↗

Intra-Molecular Isotope Study of Light Hydrocarbons

Light hydrocarbons (C 1 -C 10 ) are the largest fraction of petroleum hydrocarbons and some of the most ubiquitous and mobile fluids within sedimentary basins. It has been increasingly recognized that hydrocarbons of varying chain-lengths can be stable even under mantle conditions and that their fluxes may play a key role in the carbon dynamics of the Earth. Major formation mechanisms of these light hydrocarbons include microbial, thermogenic, and abiogenic origins. Despite their proven utility, conventional approaches using the bulk or global stable isotopes of light hydrocarbons are often not sufficient to distinguish their sources (particularly, biogenic vs. abiogenic), maturation stages/temperatures, and migration-degradation processes. Most natural compounds, including light hydrocarbons, are composed of a set of diverse isotopic molecules that differ in the number of isotopic substitutions and/or positions of isotopic substitution within a given molecules. Many of light hydrocarbon molecules contain hydrogen and carbon in energetically non-equivalent positions: isotopomers or position-specific (intra-molecular) isotope fractionation. Position-specific isotopic compositions can differ due either to equilibrium or to path-dependent kinetic or biological processes. Thus, the position-specific isotopic fractionation between different carbon and hydrogen positions within a single molecular compound could be used regardless of their reactants and other products. We hypothesize that the formation, transport and degradation processes of light hydrocarbons in the subsurface induce and control significant, perhaps unique position-specific 13 C/ 12 C and 2 H/ 1 H isotope fractionation. In this proposal, we propose to develop a new dimension in stable isotope geochemistry of light hydrocarbons: intra-molecular isotope study of light hydrocarbons. The specific objectives of our proposal include: (a) develop robust and routine quantitative nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) methods for high-precision/high-accuracy isotopomer analysis of propane and other light hydrocarbons (C 3 -C 10 ), (b) gain a first clear picture on position-specific δ 2 H and δ 13 C values of select light hydrocarbons of both natural and industrial sources, including samples of natural gases (C 3 and possibly C 4 -C 5 ) collected from select sedimentary basins with conventional and unconventional reservoirs, (c) acquire information on position-specific 13 C/ 12 C and 2 H/ 1 H isotope fractionation of light hydrocarbons in key natural processes (thermogenic formation and oxidative degradation) based on well-controlled laboratory experiments, and (d) establish a general framework for interpreting/modeling position-specific 13 C/ 12 C and 2 H/ 1 H isotope compositions of light hydrocarbons. Intra-molecular isotope study of light hydrocarbons is expected to open up great potentials that the bulk and position-specific isotope fractionation of light hydrocarbons, in combination with mathematical/theoretical kinetic models, could provide unprecedented wealth of information on the sources, transport, and sinks of light hydrocarbons in sedimentary basins and deep Earth.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Effect of Controlled Artificial Disorder on the Magnetic Properties of EuFe 2 (As 1– x P x ) 2 Ferromagnetic Superconductor

Static (DC) and dynamic (AC, at 14 MHz and 8 GHz) magnetic susceptibilities of single crystals of a ferromagnetic superconductor, EuFe 2 ( As 1 – x P x ) 2 ( x = 0.23), were measured in pristine state and after different doses of 2.5 MeV electron or 3.5 MeV proton irradiation. The superconducting transition temperature, T c ( H ) , shows an extraordinarily large decrease. It starts at T c ( H = 0 ) ≈ 24 K in the pristine sample for both AC and DC measurements, but moves to almost half of that value after moderate irradiation dose. Remarkably, after the irradiation not only T c moves significantly below the FM transition, its values differ drastically for measurements at different frequencies, ≈16 K in AC measurements and ≈12 K in a DC regime. We attribute such a large difference in T c to the appearance of the spontaneous internal magnetic field below the FM transition, so that the superconductivity develops directly into the mixed spontaneous vortex-antivortex state where the onset of diamagnetism is known to be frequency-dependent. We also examined the response to the applied DC magnetic fields and studied the annealing of irradiated samples, which almost completely restores the superconducting transition. Overall, our results suggest that in EuFe 2 ( As 1 – x P x ) 2 superconductivity is affected by local-moment ferromagnetism mostly via the spontaneous internal magnetic fields induced by the FM subsystem. Another mechanism is revealed upon irradiation where magnetic defects created in ordered Eu 2 + lattice act as efficient pairbreakers leading to a significant T c reduction upon irradiation compared to other 122 compounds. On the other hand, the exchange interactions seem to be weakly screened by the superconducting phase leading to a modest increase of T m (less than 1 K) after the irradiation drives T c to below T m . Our results suggest that FM and SC phases coexist microscopically in the same volume.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Updraft dynamics and microphysics: on the added value of the cumulus thermal reference frame in simulations of aerosol–deep convection interactions

One fundamental question about atmospheric moist convection processes that remains debated is whether, or under which conditions, a relevant variability in background aerosol concentrations may have a significant dynamical impact on convective clouds and their associated precipitation. Furthermore, current climate models must parameterize both the microphysical and the cumulus convection processes, but this is usually implemented separately, whereas in nature there is a strong coupling between them. As a first step to improve our understanding of these two problems, we investigate how aerosol concentrations modify key properties of updrafts in eight large-eddy-permitting regional simulations of a case study of scattered convection over Houston, Texas, in which convection is explicitly simulated and microphysical processes are parameterized. Dynamical and liquid-phase microphysical responses are investigated using the following two different reference frames: static cloudy updraft grid cells versus tracked cumulus thermals. In both frameworks, we observe the expected microphysical responses to higher aerosol concentrations, such as higher cloud number concentrations and lower rain number concentrations. In terms of the dynamical responses, both frameworks indicate weak impacts of varying aerosol concentrations relative to the noise between simulations over the observationally derived range of aerosol variability for this case study. On the other hand, results suggest that thermals are more selective than cloudy updraft grid cells in terms of sampling the most active convective air masses. For instance, vertical velocity from thermals is significantly higher at upper levels than when sampled from cloudy updraft grid points, and several microphysical variables have higher average values in the cumulus thermal framework than in the cloudy updraft framework. In addition, the thermal analysis is seen to add rich quantitative information about the rates and covariability of microphysical processes spatially and throughout tracked thermal lifecycles, which can serve as a stronger foundation for improving subgrid-scale parameterizations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Low fractional volume superconductivity in single crystals of Pr{sub 4}Ni{sub 3}O{sub 10} under pressure

Magnetotransport measurements of P⁢r4⁢N⁢i3⁢O10 single crystals performed under externally applied pressures up to 73 GPa in diamond anvil cells with either KBr or Nujol oil as pressure media yield signatures of superconductivity with a maximum onset temperature of approximately 31 K. True zero resistance was not observed, consistent with a nonpercolating superconducting volume fraction. Magnetization measurements provided corroborating evidence of superconductivity, with a pressure-dependent diamagnetic signal occurring below the onset temperature, and an estimate from the absolute value of the susceptibility suggests a superconducting volume fraction on the order of 10%. We observe sample to sample variations in the magnitude and pressure dependence of 𝑇𝑐 as well as a dependence on the configuration of electrical contacts on a given sample. Possible causes of this behavior may be significant inhomogeneities in the pressure and/or damage to the samples induced by the pressure media as well as inhomogeneities in the crystals themselves. The results imply that our as-grown P⁢r4⁢N⁢i3⁢O10 single crystals are not bulk superconductors but that there is a minority structure present within the crystals that is indeed superconductin

Chen, Xinglong↗

Establishing the accuracy of position–specific carbon isotope analysis of propane by GC–pyrolysis–GC–IRMS

Rationale: Position-specific (PS) δ 13 C values of propane have proven their ability to provide valuable information on the evolution history of natural gases. Two major approaches to measure PS δ 13 C values of propane are isotopic 13 C nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) and gas chromatography-pyrolysis-gas chromatography-isotope ratio mass spectrometry (GC-Py-GC-IRMS). Measurement accuracy of the isotopic 13 C NMR has been verified, but the requirements of large sample size and long experimental time limit its applications. GC-Py-GC-IRMS is a more versatile method with a small sample size, but its accuracy has not been demonstrated. Methods: We measured the PS δ 13 C values of propane from nine natural gases using both 13 C NMR and GC-Py-GC-IRMS, then evaluated the accuracy of the GC-Py-GC-IRMS method. Results: The results show that large carbon isotope fractionations occurred for both terminal and central carbons within propane during pyrolysis. The isotope fractionations during the pyrolysis are reproducible at optimum conditions, but vary between the two GC-Py-GC-IRMS systems tested, affected by experimental conditions (e.g., pyrolysis temperature, flow rate, and reactor conditions). Conclusions: It is necessary to evaluate and calibrate each GC-Py-GC-IRMS system using propane gases with accurately determined PS δ 13 C values. Finally, this study also highlights a need for PS isotope standards for propane and other molecules (e.g., butane and acetic acid).

03 NATURAL GAS↗

A dual dynamic shutter system for accelerating ion irradiation sample throughput via lateral gas implantation gradients

Ion irradiation for material performance testing is limited due to its serial nature, which allows for only one value of the implantation (appm) versus dose (dpa) parameter space to be explored for each ion and experiment at a time. While ion irradiation can accelerate the process by up to three orders of magnitude compared to neutron irradiation experiments, the sample throughput for ion irradiation remains relatively low. To address these limitations, a novel capability has been developed at the Michigan Ion Beam Laboratory (MIBL), enabling for the creation of single- and two-dimensional lateral ion implantation gradients using recently installed motorized-controlled ion-beam shutters. This advancement can generate a wide scope of the two-dimensional (H+, He2+) implantation parameter space within a single sample. Integration of this new capability now allows for dual- and triple-ion beam experiments to be performed with full user control over not only the ion implantation depth, but also laterally across the sample by imposing ion implantation concentration gradients, thus providing researchers with a high-throughput means for material testing under various irradiation conditions. Furthermore, recent improvements in MIBL's microbeam ion-beam analysis (IBA) target station now allow for probing these concentration gradients in irradiated alloys with exceptional spatial resolution, down to 10 µm. These two approaches promise to significantly improve ion irradiation capabilities and increase the sample throughput by several orders of magnitude. The application of the shutter technique plus the subsequent microbeam characterization of the imposed implantation gradients are showcased by two proof-of-principle ion-irradiated experiments, one performed on single-crystal Si and the other on the fusion-candidate alloy F82H-IEA. These advancements mark a substantial leap in ion-beam technology, offering researchers a robust, high-throughput method to efficiently investigate candidate alloys with high technological readiness for both advanced fission and fusion reactor applications, in a time- and cost-effective manner.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Ionic Thermoelectric Generators in Vertical and Planar Topologies Based on Fluorinated Polymer Hybrid Materials with Ionic Liquids

Abstract Ionic thermoelectrics (TEs), in which voltage generation is based on ion migration, are suitable for applications based on their low cost, high flexibility, high ionic conductivity, and wide range of Seebeck coefficients. This work reports on the development of ionic TE materials based on the poly(vinylidene fluoride‐trifluoroethylene), Poly(VDF‐co‐TrFE), as host polymer blended with different contents of the ionic liquid, IL, 1‐ethyl‐3‐methylimidazolium bis(trifluoromethylsulfonyl)imide, [EMIM][TFSI]. The morphology, physico‐chemical, thermal, mechanical, and electrical properties of the samples are evaluated together with the TE response. It is demonstrated that the IL acts as a nucleating agent for polymer crystallization. The mechanical properties and ionic conductivity values are dependent on the IL content. A high room temperature ionic conductivity of 0.008 S cm −1 is obtained for the sample with 60 wt% of [EMIM][TFSI] IL. The TE properties depend on both IL content and device topology‐vertical or planar‐the largest generated voltage range being obtained for the planar topology and the sample with 10 wt% of IL content, characterized by a Seebeck coefficient of 1.2 mV K −1 . Based on the obtained maximum power density of 4.9 µW m −2 , these materials are suitable for a new generation of TE devices.

Pereira, Nelson↗

TDCOSMO VIII. A key test of systematics in the hierarchical method of time-delay cosmography

The largest source of systematic errors in the time-delay cosmography method likely arises from the lens model mass distribution, where an inaccurate choice of model could in principle bias the value of $H$ 0 . A Bayesian hierarchical framework has been proposed which combines lens systems with kinematic data, constraining the mass profile shape at a population level. The framework has been previously validated using a small sample of lensing galaxies drawn from hydro-simulations. The goal of this work is to expand the validation to a more general set of lenses consistent with observed systems, as well as confirm the capacity of the method to combine two lens populations: one which has time delay information and one which lacks time delays and has systematically different image radii. For this purpose, we generated samples of analytic lens mass distributions made of baryons+dark matter and fit the subsequent mock images with standard power-law models. Corresponding kinematics data were also emulated. The hierarchical framework applied to an ensemble of time-delay lenses allowed us to correct the $H$ 0 bias associated with model choice to find $H$ 0 within 1.5σ of the fiducial value. We then combined this set with a sample of corresponding lens systems which have no time delays and have a source at lower $z$, resulting in a systematically smaller image radius relative to their effective radius. The hierarchical framework has successfully accounted for this effect, recovering a value of $H$ 0 which is both more precise (σ ~ 2%) and more accurate (0.7% median offset) than the time-delay set alone. This result confirms that non-time-delay lenses can nonetheless contribute valuable constraining power to the determination of $H$ 0 via their kinematic constraints, assuming they come from the same global population as the time-delay set.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Fracture toughness evaluations for spent nuclear fuel dry storage canister welds and spent nuclear fuel clad-pellet structures

Integrity of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) interim storage canisters is very important to the safety of the back-end nuclear fuel cycle. Stress corrosion cracking (SCC) potential of interim storage canister has been considered as a high priority. Because no post-weld heat treatment was required for forming these canisters, the high tensile residual stress existed within these canister welds. This can change the fracture resistance capacity significantly as well as increase SCC potential. Due to relative thin shell thickness of a canister weldment, the spiral notch torsion test (SNTT) method was used to estimate the canister weldment fracture toughness. SNTT was developed to measure the intrinsic fracture toughness of structural materials using small specimens. The SNTT method has been applied to a wide variety of structural materials, such as low-alloy steels, stainless steel, aluminum alloy, ceramics, concrete, and composites. The SNTT system operates by applying pure torsion to cylindrical specimens with a notch line that spirals around the specimen at a 45° pitch. In order to carry out pure torsion load mode, biaxial tension/torsion tester was developed accordingly to perform SNTT protocol. Moreover, applying fracture mechanics approach to SNF system reliability investigation is warranted due to the inherent flaws and hydride structures existed in a SNF system after nuclear reactor operation. However, none of the existing fracture toughness data deal with fuel cladding specific geometry or spent fuel material conditions, such as cladding structure with the pellet-inserts and the associated pellet clad mechanical interactions induced mixed-mode damage mechanisms. Thus, the development of an intrinsic fracture mechanics approach that is suitable for SNF materials is needed. Furthermore, due to thin wall and small dimension of clad tubing structure, the SNTT method was used to estimate the clad tubing structure fracture toughness. Fracture testing were performed on the received stainless steel canister weldment, most SNTT weld samples fracture initiation sites are at heat-affected zone (HAZ) regions. The estimated fracture toughness J Q ’ for the baseline SS304 steel is at 283 kJ/m². The estimated JQ’ for the SS304/308 weld and baseline metals are 148 kJ/m 2 and 459 kJ/m 2 , respectively. Out of cell fracture testing for spent fuel structure were carried out on the surrogate rods made of Zr-4 clad and alumina inserts, the estimated fracture toughness values for baseline Zr-4 cladding with alumina-pellet inserts are: (1) For SNTT samples with a short or medium crack length, between 5.4-mm and 8-mm, the estimate J IQ upon fracture initiation for the baseline Zr-4 cladding is at 50 kJ/m 2 with 2-sigma uncertainty of 3.26 kJ/m 2 , and the associated K IQ is at 67.46 MPa$\sqrt{m}$; and (2) For SNTT samples with a long crack length, around 13-mm, the crack initialization is deviated from that of the Mode-I tensile fracture and appears to be a mixed-mode fracture of Mode I - tensile stress and Mode III - out of plane shear stress; the estimated J MQ is at 18.9 kJ/m 2 , the associated K MQ is at 41.4 MPa$\sqrt{m}$.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Transformational faulting in Mn 2 GeO 4 from olivine to wadsleyite structure: Implications for physical mechanism of deep-focus earthquakes

High-pressure and temperature deformation experiments interfaced with acoustic emission (AE) monitoring have been conducted to study transformational faulting in Mn 2 GeO 4 olivine, which transforms to the β phase, isostructural to wadsleyite. Metastable Mn 2 GeO 4 olivine exhibits a marked embrittlement behavior at temperatures between 800 and 1100 K, emitting numerous AEs. At each temperature, brittle deformation is characterized by a two-stage process: (1) a “preparation” stage with numerous diffusedly located low-magnitude AEs and large b values (>2), and (2) a failure stage where larger-magnitude AEs form a planar distribution with b values about 1. Microstructure analysis reveals extensive kink band development in olivine grains in the recovered samples. Kink band boundaries (KBBs), with a typical thickness of ∼100 nm, are filled with a nanometric β-Mn 2 GeO 4 “gouge”. A dense array of secondary shear localizations is often present within the kink bands, suggesting significant shear deformation therein. The combined observations suggest that faulting in metastable Mn 2 GeO 4 olivine is a self-similar process, from grain-scale to the sample-scale. Both observed embrittlement behavior and the microstructure of metastable Mn 2 GeO 4 olivine are essentially identical to those in Mg 2 GeO 4 olivine we have reported previously, indicating that the physical mechanism of faulting in metastable olivine is insensitive to the specific crystallographic structure of the high-pressure phase. The low b values (about 1) observed in the faulting process in our experiments are similar to those of deep focus earthquakes in cold subduction zones. Our observed mechanism explains deep focus seismicity in cold metastable mantle wedges, provided that the self-similarity assumption holds to geological scales.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Updating Critical Temperature Calculations for Several Secondary High Explosives

In designing experiments where high explosives (HEs) are heated, it is important to have an understanding of where thermal runaway may occur. This determination is often done by using the Frank-Kamenetskii (FK) equation. For several highly-studied HEs, the parameters necessary for FK calculations are typically referenced from decades-old literature, and more recent experimental data have shown that these values require adjustment. For example, some of the legacy parameters dangerously overpredict the critical temperature by tens of degrees relative to more recent observed values. Herein, we first summarize historical results and highlight the importance of insulation effects when estimating critical temperatures for small samples, which is especially relevant to small-scale aging, compatibility, and characterization experiments. Here, we then present updated FK parameters for several common secondary CHNO HEs like RDX, HMX, PETN, and TATB, as well as the first reported values for 2,6-Diamino-3,5-dinitropyrazine-1-oxide (LLM-105). Our updated parameters produce critical-temperature curves that are consistent with both mm-scale differentical scanning calorimetry (DSC) measurements and cm-scale data from the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory one-dimensional time-to-explosion (ODTX) experiment. In analyzing the critical temperature versus sample size curves derived from the transcendental FK equation, we discovered that these curves are remarkably well described by a simple power-law function with a universal power of 0.142 and a HE-specific scaling factor.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Hanford Waste Treatment Plant Effluent Management Facility Stack Effluent Monitoring: Sampling Probe Location Qualification Evaluation

The Hanford Tank Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant Effluent Management Facility (EMF) stack monitor location was qualified using a combination of scale model stacks to mitigate the risk of identifying that the sampling location does not meet the qualification criteria on the full-scale stack. The LV-S1 scale model stack was used as a baseline, augmented by the LB-S1 and LV-S2 scale model stacks to address the Direct Feed Low Activity Waste Effluent Management Facility Vessel Vent Process (DVP) injection into the main Active Confinement Ventilation (ACV) system duct. As required by the American National Standards Institute/Health Physics Society (ANSI/HPS) N13.1-1999 standard, the scale model and its sampling locations were geometrically similar to the actual stack, and the Reynolds numbers for both the actual and model stacks were >10,000. An additional criterion is that the product of the hydraulic diameter and mean velocity (DV) of the full-scale stack must be between 1/6 DV and 6 DV of the scale model stack tests. The LV-S1, LB-S1, and LV-S2 scale model stack tests have met the criteria of the ANSI/HPS N13.1-1999 standard to demonstrate the stack sampling locations are well mixed. Verification tests of the EMF stack were performed at normal operating conditions. The minimum 1/6 DV value and the maximum 6 DV value from the scale model testing determine the range of stack flow rates for which the full-scale stack may be operated while remaining in compliance with the stack verification criterion. A practical range for the full-scale stack qualification uses the average DV through 6 DV from the scale model tests to compute the corresponding flow rates. Table S1 lists the operating flow rate along with the average and maximum qualified stack flow rate based on the LV-S1 scale model DV values. The operating flow is below the maximum qualified stack flow, which means that the scale model test results are acceptable for stack qualification. The remaining criteria for the stack verification to be considered valid involve the flow angle and velocity uniformity results. First, the flow angle at the full-scale stack must be ≤20°. Second, the velocity uniformity at the full-scale stack must be ≤20% coefficient of variance (COV). Finally, the velocity uniformity results for the actual and scale model stack tests must agree within 5% COV. These criteria were met through the full-scale stack test at the EMF. Flow angle results were <5°; all flow angle results were within the ≤20° criterion. The velocity uniformity results for each test condition ranged between 2.2% COV and 4.3% COV, all of which were within the range of the target % COV values from the scale model tests on the LV-S1, LB-S1, and LV S2 scale models. Based on these stack verification test results, the EMF filtered exhaust stack sampling location meets the qualification criteria provided in the ANSI/HPS N13.1-1999 standard for all planned fan operating configurations. This includes each combination of ACV fans with DVP exhausters. Further changes to the system configuration or operating conditions that are outside the qualified flow rates described in this report may require additional tests or analyses to determine compliance with the standard.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

High energy X-ray characterization of the microstructure of PuGa alloy samples at macroscopic depths and non-ambient conditions

High energy (95 keV) X-rays were utilized to characterize the microstructure of eight PuGa alloy samples at room temperature and during cooling to ∼10 K. The samples had different Ga content (nominally 0-3.4 at.%), age, and history. A ninth sample, similarly characterized with neutron diffraction, was included to extend the Ga range to 7 at.%. The samples span the range from single phase α (monoclinic) to δ (face-centered cubic) PuGa, as well as a two-phase α′/δ sample. The crystallographic textures, phase fractions, lattice parameters and dislocation densities of each sample were evaluated through distinct analysis techniques. The textures of the samples were modest. In each case, the dislocation densities were relatively high, comparable to cold worked metals and metals exposed to similar radiation dose. At room temperature, the lattice parameters determined in the predominantly single-phase samples were larger than expected based on the nominal Ga concentration. The observed lattice thermal expansions of the single-phase δ samples to 10 K are self-consistent across the samples and consistent with previous measurements reported in the literature. Significantly larger thermal lattice strain is observed in the δ phase of the two-phase material due to mechanical constraint from the α′ phase, which has a three times larger thermal expansion and is much harder than the δ phase. In conclusion, the results demonstrate the unique value of high-energy X-rays for relatively routine microstructural characterization of Pu alloy samples.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Improved Data Interpretation through Identification of Time Series Periodicity Changes

Analysis and interpretation of time series data is easiest when the data values occur at uniform intervals in time, but actual data may have differing data sampling frequencies, such as monthly and daily readings. Applying data analysis techniques, such as smoothing, to such a data set may not give a representative result between time segments. The ability to automatically distinguish time segments of differing data frequency would provide a means for applying data analysis independently to each segment, though a suitable blending at segment boundaries would be required. A method for detecting frequency changes was developed and applied to Gaussian and median smoothing of hydraulic head data from groundwater wells at the U.S. Department of Energy Hanford Site in southeastern Washington state. The process identifies time segments of high-frequency (daily) or low-frequency (greater than daily) data using adjusted-bandwidth Gaussian kernel density estimation and a threshold value, which are further refined to address small blocks of low-frequency data within larger blocks of high-frequency data. User-selectable levels of smoothing are then applied independently to the time segments prior to combining the segment results for a single smoothed data set. This time segment identification approach provides effective low- and high-frequency data separation, which provides a method to apply data analysis independently to each time segment.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Utility-Scale Solar, 2021 Edition: Empirical Trends in Deployment, Technology, Cost, Performance, PPA Pricing, and Value in the United States [Slides]

Berkeley Lab’s “Utility-Scale Solar, 2021 Edition” provides an overview of key trends in the U.S. market, with a focus on 2020. Highlights of this year’s update include: A record of nearly 9.6 GWAC of new utility-scale PV capacity came online in 2020, bringing cumulative installed capacity to more than 38.7 GWAC across 43 states. 89% of all new utility-scale PV capacity added in 2020 uses single-axis tracking. Median installed project costs declined to $\$$1.4/WAC (or $\$$1.1/WDC) in 2020. Project-level capacity factors vary widely, from 9% to 36% (on an AC basis), with a sample median of 24%. The report explores drivers of this variation. Utility-scale PV’s LCOE fell to $\$$34/MWh in 2020 ($\$$28/MWh if factoring in the federal investment tax credit, or ITC). PPA prices have largely followed the decline in solar’s LCOE over time, but have stagnated more recently. Prices from a sample of recent contracts average just above $\$$20/MWh (levelized). In 2020, solar’s average market value (defined in the report to include only energy and capacity value) exceeded average wholesale prices in 12 of the 17 balancing authorities analyzed (including 4 of the 7 independent system operators across the United States). Adding battery storage is one way to increase the value of solar. Our public data file tracks metadata for more than 150 PV+battery hybrid projects that are already online or that have secured offtake arrangements. At the end of 2020, there were at least 460 GW of utility-scale solar power capacity within the interconnection queues across the nation, 160 GW of which include batteries. For more information, and to explore related interactive data visualizations, go to utilityscalesolar.lbl.gov.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Impact of specimen preparation method on photovoltaic backsheet degradation during accelerated aging test

In this study, we highlight some important factors in the specimen preparation methods for evaluating photovoltaic backsheet properties after accelerated aging. Two different sequences are considered: Method (I) cut-then-age: cut into 1-cm wide strips and then expose to stress, and Method (II) age-then-cut: expose a larger sheet to stress and then cut into 1-cm widths for mechanical property measurements. We also compare the effect of three cutting methods, (a) tensile specimen punch, (b) paper cutter, and (c) fresh razor blade. Several commercial backsheets were evaluated, with stress exposures including (a) pressure cooker test (PCT), (b) dry ultraviolet (UV) radiation exposure, and (c) UV combined damp heat tests. Fourier transform infrared spectrometer (FTIR) and intrinsic viscosity (IV) were used to analyze the materials on unstressed materials and samples exposed to PCT. The results show that both the cutting method and the time of cutting have an impact on the backsheet mechanical properties. Additionally, under UV exposure, Method II, age-then-cut, generally resulted in a higher average value, with more variation than Method I; however, if the side strips from Method II were excluded, the variation dropped to the same level. This is because the specimens at the sides of the sheet get additional damage from UV light from the exposed sides of the sample. In contrast to UV exposure, PCT specimens prepared by Method II result in lower average values and higher variability. This is attributed to embrittlement through the bulk of the sample where the cutting of embrittled specimens appears to result in more edge defects which can then initiate a break at smaller strains. The data suggest that for UV exposures, the specimens should be cut after aging and the exposed side specimens discarded, and that for PCT exposures, the specimens should be cut before the exposure.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗