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Results for “predictive simulation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 559 records · Page 31
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Learning from learning machines: improving the predictive power of energy-water-land nexus models with insights from complex measured and simulated data

Focal Area(s): Insights gleaned from complex data (observed and simulated) using AI; Predictive modeling through the use of AI techniques and AI-derived model components, including physics- and knowledge-informed models; Energy-water-land nexus and integrated energy systems – models of MultiSector dynamics. Science Challenge: Scientific communities are in need of tools for the computational integration of physics-based models, experimental data, and empirical/observational studies across a broad range of temporal and spatial scales to explore and meet EESSD grand challenges. We require AI algorithms for the discovery of process-drivers in the Earth-energy-human system and to link them with complex measured and simulated data. We aim to understand the energy-water-land nexus, particularly under extreme forcing scenarios and rare events, leveraging scale-aware AI process models, including probabilistic uncertainties, and benefiting from the emerging 5G-enabled landscape-scale sensing and edge computing capabilities. These models are needed to identify instabilities and tipping points that manifest extreme system behaviors with consequences for integrated energy systems and the environment. This work requires fundamental advances in uncertainty quantification, in particular, to identify and model unlikely but catastrophic outliers. Specifically, we need models that are interpretable to domain scientists and, essentially, explainable to public and private stake holders.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Mechanical Consequences of Oxygen Inhibition in Vat Polymerization

Vat polymerization is a type of additive manufacturing that is used extensively to produce micro-architected structures for mechanical applications, which brings the mechanical properties of photopolymerized resins into sharp focus. However, it is known that photopolymerization is sensitive to a number of factors, perhaps the most notorious of which is oxygen inhibition. Herein, the degree to which oxygen inhibition influences the macroscopic and microscopic properties of structures made using vat polymerization is explored. This work is motivated by an observation of lattices being >4 times softer in the experiment than predicted by simulation, which is hypothesized to be due to the material at the surface being incompletely cured. Furthermore, this hypothesis is supported by four-point bending tests in which flexural modulus is found to increase with beam thickness. Nanoindentation and bulk compression studies show that this surface softening is present for three distinct resins. Importantly, it is observed that structures post-print cured in nitrogen are stiffer than those post-print cured in air, however, regardless of the post-print curing environment, printing samples in the presence of oxygen makes them softer than samples photocured in nitrogen. Collectively, these results show the outsized influence of oxygen inhibition on micro-architected structures realized using vat polymerization.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Understanding the Active Site Structures and Achieving Catalytic Activity Tuning of Atomically Dispersed FeN 4 Sites for Oxygen Reduction Reaction

Atomically dispersed Fe–—N—C catalysts with high oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) activity have attracted great attention since the last decade. Due to comparable ORR activity and low material cost, they are promising platinum group metal (PGM)-free catalysts that can replace the commercialized Pt/C materials; furthermore, it can facilitate the efficiency of the fuel cell technologies and mitigate dependence on fossil fuels. Great advancements have been made to experimentally optimize the synthesis approach of the Fe–—N—C catalysts, enhance the ORR activity, and improve the catalyst stability. Similarly, recent theoretical studies also provide enriched understanding of the active site structures, properties, and reaction mechanisms. In this review, discussions are made upon utilizing combined experimental and computational spectroscopy to reveal the active site structures, employing mechanistic studies to investigate reaction thermodynamics and kinetics, as well as developing scaling relationships to assist the design and development of future PGM-free catalyst materials. Furthermore, recent advances in studying Fe–—N—C catalysts utilizing electrified surface models and explicit solvation models are also discussed. Not only can these aspects improve the accuracy of theoretical simulation and predictions but also deepen the understanding of the catalyst properties and reaction mechanisms under the effect of surface charges and solvent molecules.

Fe single-atom catalysts↗
DOE OSTI2019

Full-torus impurity transport simulation for optimizing plasma discharge operation using a multi-species impurity powder dropper in the large helical device

The transport of impurities supplied by a multi-species impurity powder dropper (IPD) in the large helical device (LHD) is investigated using a three-dimensional peripheral plasma fluid code (EMC3-EIRENE) coupled with a dust transport simulation code (DUSTT). The trajectories of impurity powder particles (Boron, Carbon, Iron, and Tungsten) dropped from the IPD and the impurity transport in the peripheral plasma are studied in a full-torus geometry. The simulation reveals an appropriate size of the impurity powder particles and an optimum operational range of the dust drop rates for investigating the impurity transport without inducing radiation collapse. The simulation also predicts a favourable plasma discharge condition for wall conditioning (boronization) using the IPD in order to deposit boron to high plasma flux and neutral particle density areas in the divertor region in the inboard side of the torus.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Experimental Pathways for Detecting Double Superionicity in Planetary Ices

The ice giant planets Uranus and Neptune are assumed to contain large amounts of planetary ices such as water, methane, and ammonia. The properties of mixtures of such ices at the extreme pressures and temperatures of planetary interiors are not yet well understood. Ab initio computer simulations have predicted that a number of ices exhibit a hydrogen superionic state and a doubly superionic state. Since the latter state has not yet been generated with experiments, we outline here two possible pathways for reaching and detecting such a state with dynamic compression experiments. Here, we suggest X-ray diffraction as the principal tool for detecting when the material becomes doubly superionic and the sublattice of one of the heavy nuclei melts. That would require a temperature of ~3500 K and pressures greater than ~200 GPa for H 3 NO 4 , which we use as an example material here. Such conditions can be reached with experiments that employ an initial shock that is followed by a ramp compression wave. Alternatively, one may use triple-shock compression because a single shock does not yield sufficiently high densities.

Neptune↗
DOE OSTI2025

Tailored Frequency Conversion in Nonlinear Subwavelength Grating Metaslabs

The use of metaslab waveguides consisting of subwavelength gratings (SWGs) is proposed as a highly flexible approach to obtain phase‐matched frequency conversion in nonlinear integrated devices. Control over the phase matching (PM) condition is achieved through modification of the linear modal propagation constants by the SWG. The method is experimentally demonstrated by fabrication of 0.4 mm‐long GaAs metaslabs designed for second harmonic generation of near‐infrared light. A controlled spectral shift of up to 100 nm in the PM condition, relative to a uniform slab is observed. Excellent agreement is found between the experimental results and finite‐difference eigenmode simulations, which predict a tunable frequency conversion bandwidth of ∼300 nm for the design parameters. The different regimes of PM control supported by the structure are discussed. This work highlights the potential of SWGs as building blocks for tailored frequency conversion in nonlinear integrated devices.

Form birefringence↗
DOE OSTI2025

Layers Can Be Deceiving: A Hopping Model for Small Molecule Diffusion in TATB Crystal

Sorption of small molecule gases in materials can play a significant role in their long‐term stability and compatibility within multi‐material assemblies. While many material properties of the insensitive high explosive TATB (1,3,5‐triamino‐2,4,6‐trinitrobenzene) are well understood, very little is known regarding its permeability to gases. TATB crystal exhibits a graphitic‐like layered packing structure that evokes a mental schema in which the layers form nanoscopic channels, but it is unclear whether this structure promotes gas transport. Here, we use molecular dynamics (MD) simulations to predict transport of small molecules through TATB single crystal. An approach to fit classical force fields is developed to model TATB interactions with H 2 O, He, Ne, and Ar, which is then combined with steered MD to probe gas transport along selected directions in the crystal. We find that small molecule transport occurs via a hopping mechanism that exhibits distinct jumps between interstitial sites and is substantially faster normal to the layers as compared to through them. This result stems from the finding that intralayer junctions between adjacent TATB molecules are the most stable interstitial sites and that energetic barriers are lower for hopping between adjacent layers. An empirical model for diffusion rate based on the MD data shows that the rate decays exponentially with increasing molecular radius and is negligibly small for all molecules larger than He, including common atmospheric gases. These findings have implications for the interpretation of experiments that measure surface area, material response to extreme conditions, and are expected to help constrain models for material aging.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Bayesian batch optimization for molybdenum versus tungsten inertial confinement fusion double shell target design

Access to reliable, clean energy sources is a major concern for national security. Much research is focused on the “grand challenge” of producing energy via controlled fusion reactions in a laboratory setting. For fusion experiments, specifically inertial confinement fusion (ICF), to produce sufficient energy, the fusion reactions in the ICF fuel need to become self-sustaining and burn deuterium-tritium (DT) fuel efficiently. The recent record-breaking NIF ignition shot was able to achieve this goal as well as produce more energy than used to drive the experiment. This achievement brings self-sustaining fusion-based power systems closer than ever before, capable of providing humans with access to secure, renewable energy. In order to further progress toward the actualization of such power systems, more ICF experiments need to be conducted at large laser facilities such as the United States's National Ignition Facility (NIF) or France's Laser Mega-Joule. The high cost per shot and limited number of shots that are possible per year make it prohibitive to perform large numbers of experiments. As such, experimental design relies heavily on complex predictive physics simulations for high-fidelity “preshot” analysis. These multidimensional, multi-physics, high-fidelity simulations have to account for a variety of input parameters as well as modeling the extreme conditions (pressures and densities) present at ignition. Such simulations (especially in 3D) can become computationally prohibitive to turn around for each ICF experiment. In this work, we explore using Bayesian optimization with Gaussian processes (GPs) to find optimal designs for ICF double shell targets, while keeping computational costs to manageable levels. These double shell targets have an inner shell that grades from beryllium on the outer surface to the higher Z material molybdenum, as opposed to the nominally used tungsten, on the inside in order to trade off between the high performance associated with high density inner shells and capsule stability. We describe our results for “capsule-only” xRAGE simulations to study the physics between different capsule designs, inner shell materials, and potential for future experiments.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Measurement of the primary Lund jet plane density in proton-proton collisions at $ \sqrt{\textrm{s}} $ = 13 TeV

A measurement is presented of the primary Lund jet plane (LJP) density in inclusive jet production in proton-proton collisions. The analysis uses 138 fb$^{−1}$ of data collected by the CMS experiment at $ \sqrt{s} $ = 13 TeV. The LJP, a representation of the phase space of emissions inside jets, is constructed using iterative jet declustering. The transverse momentum k$_{T}$ and the splitting angle ∆R of an emission relative to its emitter are measured at each step of the jet declustering process. The average density of emissions as function of ln(k$_{T}$/GeV) and ln(R/∆R) is measured for jets with distance parameters R = 0.4 or 0.8, transverse momentum p$_{T}$> 700 GeV, and rapidity |y| < 1.7. The jet substructure is measured using the charged-particle tracks of the jet. The measured distributions, unfolded to the level of stable charged particles, are compared with theoretical predictions from simulations and with perturbative quantum chromodynamics calculations. Due to the ability of the LJP to factorize physical effects, these measurements can be used to improve different aspects of the physics modeling in event generators.[graphic not available: see fulltext]

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Nondestructive and destructive assay for forensics characterization of weapons-grade plutonium produced in LEU irradiated in a thermal neutron spectrum

A post-irradiation examination (PIE) of an enriched uranium sample was performed to advance a nuclear forensics methodology, based on intra-elemental nuclide ratios. The PIE was carried out on a few milligrams of low enriched uranium dioxide (LEUO 2 ) sample, irradiated to a burnup of 1 GWd/MTU. The PIE of the LEUO 2 sample provided the concentration of selected plutonium and fission product nuclides ( 239 Pu, 240 Pu, 241 Pu, 91 Y, 95 Zr, 95 Nb, 103 Ru, 133 Cs, 134 Cs, 135 Cs, 137 Cs, 136 Ba, 138 Ba, 140 Ba, 140 La, 141 Ce, 144 Ce, 149 Sm, 150 Sm, 152 Sm, 153 Eu, and 154 Eu). The PIE supported validation of the MCNP (Monte Carlo N-Particle neutronics simulation code) predicted concentration of these nuclides in the irradiated LEUO 2 sample. This study showed that most of the MCNP predicted nuclide concentrations were within 15% and several within 10% compared to the PIE results. Furthermore, gamma and mass spectrometry of nuclides in irradiated LEUO 2 enabled the determination of uranium burnup and time since irradiation.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Forward and inverse modeling of fault transmissibility in subsurface flows

Characterizing physical properties of faults, such as their transmissibility, is crucial for performing predictive numerical simulation of subsurface flows, such as those encountered in petroleum engineering and remediation of subsurface contamination. Here, this paper provides a complete investigation of the inverse problem for fault transmissibility in subsurface flow models, under appropriate assumptions on fault structure. In particular, the following aspects are considered: 1) fault modeling and well-posedness of the forward problem; 2) finite element (FEM) discretizations of the forward problem and their rigorous a priori convergence analysis; 3) Well-posedness of the Bayesian inverse problem, FEM discretization of the infinite dimensional Bayesian inverse formulation, and its rigorous a priori analysis. Moreover, computation of the maximum a posteriori (MAP) point via fast inexact Newton-conjugate gradient optimization and a Laplace approximation of the Bayesian posterior are also presented. Numerical results illustrate the use of the proposed fault model in forward and inverse problems for subsurface flows in two dimensional domains with multiple faults.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Natural fibers as promising core materials of vacuum insulation panels

To reduce energy consumption in buildings, this paper investigates the feasibility of using natural fibers as cost-effective, environmentally sustainable core materials for vacuum insulation panels (VIPs). First, a comprehensive experimental study was conducted for 10 potential natural fiber candidates. The thermal conductivities of the 10 natural fiber mats at various vacuum pressures were measured; their compression and morphology properties were quantified. In addition, an analytical model was used to explore the major factors that influence the thermal conductivity of natural fibers as a function of internal air pressure. Results show that recycled cotton, kapok, and bamboo fibers are ideal candidates for VIP core materials; at <0.05 Pa, their thermal conductivities varied between 2 and 4 mW/(m∙K). Furthermore, for some fibers, thermal conductivity was inversely proportional to fiber density. For the selection of fiber materials for VIP cores, the ideal fiber candidate has a small fiber diameter and a low fiber mat density. Based on thermal measurements, even though the internal air pressure of 5 Pa was enough to attain the minimum thermal conductivity, obtaining internal air pressure below 5 Pa is recommended for prolonged service life, considering small leaks of VIP package barrier films and potential off-gassing from fibers. The simulation results predicting the effective thermal conductivities matched the experimental results well. These findings indicate that natural fiber–based VIPs have the potential to be a sustainable, inexpensive alternative to the current technologies in building insulation materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

The polarization sensitivity of GRETINA

Compton polarimeters have played an important role in the study of nuclear structure physics, but have often been limited in their applications because of relatively low -ray detection efficiency. With the advent of -ray tracking detector arrays, which feature nearly solid angle coverage and the ability to identify the location of Compton-scattering events to within a few millimeters, this limitation can be overcome. Here we present a characterization of the performance of the Gamma Ray Energy Tracking In-beam Nuclear Array (GRETINA) as a Compton polarimeter using the 24 Mg(p,p') reaction at 2.45 MeV proton energy. We also discuss a new capability added to the simulation package UCGretina to simulate the emission of polarized photons, and compare it to the measured data. Lastly, we use these simulations to predict the performance of the Gamma Ray Energy Tracking Array (GRETA).

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Experimental impact of jet fragmentation reference frames at particle colliders

In collider physics, the properties of hadronic jets are often measured as a function of their lab-frame momenta. However, jet fragmentation must occur in a particular rest frame defined by all color-connected particles. Since this frame may not be the lab frame, the fragmentation of a jet depends on the properties of its sibling objects. This non-factorizability of jets has consequences for experimental jet techniques such as jet tagging, boosted boson measurements, and searches for physics Beyond the Standard Model. In this paper, we will describe the effect and show its impact as predicted by simulation.

Fragmentation into hadrons↗
DOE OSTI2021

Carbon dioxide capture with aqueous amino acids: Mechanistic study of amino acid regeneration by guanidine crystallization and process intensification

CO 2 capture from powerplant-generated flue gas via a phase-changing process involving absorption with aqueous amino acids (e.g., glycine or sarcosine) and bicarbonate crystallization with bis-iminoguanidines (e.g., glyoxal-bis-iminoguanidine or GBIG) is investigated in this paper. This process is of high interest due to its potential to decrease the energy penalty for CO 2 capture by significantly reducing the solvent regeneration energy typically associated with aqueous amine solvents. A critical step in the proposed CO 2 capture mechanism is the regeneration of the amino acid by removal of protons and bicarbonate ions from solution through crystallization of GBIGH 2 2+ bicarbonate salt. Here, we investigated the thermodynamics and kinetics of glycine regeneration by crystallization of GBIGH 2 2+ (HCO 3 – ) 2 (H 2 O) 2 . A theoretical model was developed and compared to experimental data to simulate and predict the glycine regeneration and determine its reaction mechanism. This combined experimental and theoretical study led to the conclusion that, while the GBIGH 2 2+ bicarbonate crystallization step provides most of the thermodynamic driving force for the glycine regeneration, the rate-limiting step is the protonation of GBIG prior to crystallization. The CO 2 loading and amino acid regeneration steps were combined into a single, intensified process using a bubble column reactor. The CO 2 loading capacity of GBIG was experimentally determined to be roughly 1.36 mol CO 2 per mol GBIG. These results provide the fundamental basis for developing an effective carbon capture technology with phase-changing amino acid/guanidine absorbents.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

An effective air–liquid contactor for CO 2 direct air capture using aqueous solvents

Here, the development of a cost-effective, corrosion resistant, high-flux direct air capture (HiDAC) contactor for a solvent-based direct air capture (DAC) process is reported. Literature technoeconomic analyses suggest that the air–liquid contactor can cost over 20 % of the overall DAC plant’s annualized capital costs. To bring down the overall cost of DAC, it is imperative that an effective contactor is developed. A hybrid contactor consisting of a commercial polyvinylchloride structured packing enhanced with stainless-steel 410 random packing has been developed to provide a high surface area for air–liquid contact. The contactor geometry, wettability, corrosion resistance, pressure drop, along with its CO 2 uptake efficiency, CO 2 uptake rates, and extended loading potential using potassium sarcosinate solutions are investigated. Results show that the HiDAC contactor has a relatively high specific surface area (885 m 2 /m 3 ), which allows for CO 2 uptake efficiencies of up to 75 % and capture rates of up to 550 g of CO 2 per day for a 0.3 × 0.25 × 0.3 m contactor. The contactor also exhibits high levels of wettability and corrosion resistance with amino acid-based DAC solvents. A CO 2 uptake model was developed, and modeling results are compared to experimental data to simulate and predict the performance of the contactor in a DAC process using potassium sarcosinate solvent. The system’s overall mass transfer coefficient and theoretical pressure drop were also calculated, and these results were compared to DAC data found in literature. The results presented indicate that the HiDAC contactor is well suited for DAC due to its high specific surface area, resistance to corrosion, and high degree of wettability.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗