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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Coupled Stratospheric Ozone and Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Feedbacks on the Northern Hemisphere Midlatitude Jet Response to 4xCO(2)

Stratospheric ozone, and its response to anthropogenic forcings, provide an important pathway for the coupling between atmospheric composition and climate. In addition to stratospheric ozone’s radiative impacts, recent studies have shown that changes in the ozone layer due to 4xCO2 have a considerable impact on the Northern Hemisphere (NH) tropospheric circulation inducing an equatorward shift of the North Atlantic jet during boreal winter. Here we show that this equatorward jet shift can induce a more rapid weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), resulting in a poleward shift of the midlatitude eddy-driven jet on longer timescales. As such, coupled feedbacks from both stratospheric ozone and the AMOC result in a two-timescale response of the NH midlatitude jet to abrupt 4xCO2 forcing: a “fast” response (5-20 years) during which it shifts equatorward and a “total” response (∼100-150 years) during which the jet shifts poleward. The latter is driven by a weakening of the AMOC that develops in response to weaker surface zonal winds, that result in reduced heat fluxes out of the subpolar gyre and reduced North Atlantic Deep Water formation. Our results suggest that stratospheric ozone changes in the lower stratosphere can have a surprisingly powerful effect on the AMOC, independent of other aspects of climate change.

Climate models↗
DOE OSTI2024

Microstructure effects on high velocity microparticle impacts of copper

Constitutive models can fail to predict high-rate deformation behavior due to their inability to account for microstructural effects. In part, this is because of a dearth of experimental benchmarking data in the high strain-rate, low pressure regime, since many high-rate experiments also probe a region of strong shockwaves, at which point microstructure effects no longer play a primary role. This work uses laser-induced particle impact testing to quantitatively study high velocity impacts of small, rigid alumina microspheres on flat copper substrates with varying amounts of initial cold work in the weak shock regime, but at very high strain rates up to ~10 7 s –1 . Through paired experiments and numerical simulations, this work shows that the initial microstructure condition can have significant influence on dynamical mechanical properties in this range. Specifically, prior work hardening of the copper substrate leads to increased rebounding of the microparticles (i.e., less plastic dissipation in the impact) as well as smaller craters. Each of these experimental measurables can be converted into a strength measure, i.e., the dynamic yield strength or dynamic hardness, respectively, neither of which is well predicted consistently by existing constitutive laws. The general trend of hardening can be captured by such models by incorporating an existing “pre-strain,” suggesting that future calibration of the materials parameters may yield a good fit over a broader range of conditions. Our results emphasize the importance of reporting the microstructural condition in dynamic studies, as well as the necessity of accounting for these factors when formulating and optimizing constitutive models.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Bayesian Spatial Models for Projecting Corn Yields

Climate change is predicted to impact corn yields. Previous studies analyzing these impacts differ in data and modeling approaches and, consequently, corn yield projections. We analyze the impacts of climate change on corn yields using two statistical models with different approaches for dealing with county-level effects. The first model, which is novel to modeling corn yields, uses a computationally efficient spatial basis function approach. We use a Bayesian framework to incorporate both parametric and climate model structural uncertainty. We find that the statistical models have similar predictive abilities, but the spatial basis function model is faster and hence potentially a useful tool for crop yield projections. We also explore how different gridded temperature datasets affect the statistical model fit and performance. Compared to the dataset with only weather station data, we find that the dataset composed of satellite and weather station data results in a model with a magnified relationship between temperature and corn yields. For all statistical models, we observe a relationship between temperature and corn yields that is broadly similar to previous studies. We use downscaled and bias-corrected CMIP5 climate model projections to obtain detrended corn yield projections for 2020–2049 and 2069–2098. In both periods, we project a decrease in the mean corn yield production, reinforcing the findings of other studies. However, the magnitude of the decrease and the associated uncertainties we obtain differ from previous studies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Uncertainty characterization in a coupled human-natural system: Modeling agricultural adaptation in the Great Lakes Region

The Great Lakes Region's water quality and ecological health are threatened by the export of nutrients from agricultural lands, which causes eutrophication, hypoxia, and destructive algal blooms. The intensification of hydrologic cycles brought about by climate change is expected to exacerbate nutrient loading in the region, and, at the same time, agricultural adaptation to changing conditions is also expected to affect loading through shifting amounts and timing of fertilization. Quantifying these future effects and their interactions necessitates modeling both the human and natural processes as a coupled system, by pairing land use and agricultural management with hydrologic modeling. At the same time, compounding uncertainties arising from the complex interactions in both systems significantly limit our predictive understanding of the region's impacts. This study utilizes the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), developed for simulating the impact of various farmer decisions on watershed functions in Western Lake Erie watersheds, and an under-development agent-based model (ABM) for agricultural management decisions. The aim of this study is to use global sensitivity analysis on the coupled ABM and SWAT models to quantify how uncertainty in both models interactively affects nutrient loading. To do so, we will conduct Sobol sensitivity analysis experiments at different levels of coupling assumptions to quantify how various uncertain factors (e.g., soil moisture and crop choice) and their interactions affect our estimates of nutrient loading. The results of this analysis will allow us to quantify how complex interactions and dependencies between both systems amplify the effect of uncertainties. Insights gained from this study will have broader implications for modeling the adaptive co-evolution of human and natural systems under climate change and can inform effective management of nutrient loading in the Great Lakes Region.

Climate Change↗
NASA NTRS2001

Impact of Lidar Wind Sounding on Mesoscale Forecast

An Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) was conducted to study the impact of airborne lidar wind sounding on mesoscale weather forecast. A wind retrieval scheme, which interpolates wind data from a grid data system, simulates the retrieval of wind profile from a satellite lidar system. A mesoscale forecast system based on the PSU/NCAR MM5 model is developed and incorporated the assimilation of the retrieved line-of-sight wind. To avoid the "identical twin" problem, the NCEP reanalysis data is used as our reference "nature" atmosphere. The simulated space-based lidar wind observations were retrieved by interpolating the NCEP values to the observation locations. A modified dataset obtained by smoothing the NCEP dataset was used as the initial state whose forecast was sought to be improved by assimilating the retrieved lidar observations. Forecasts using wind profiles with various lidar instrument parameters has been conducted. The results show that to significantly improve the mesoscale forecast the satellite should fly near the storm center with large scanning radius. Increasing lidar firing rate also improves the forecast. Cloud cover and lack of aerosol degrade the quality of the lidar wind data and, subsequently, the forecast.

Miller, Timothy L.↗
DOE OSTI2024

Technical Impacts of Light-Duty and Heavy-Duty Transportation Electrification on a Coordinated Transmission and Distribution System

In this study, we propose a strategy to model the required spatiotemporal charging demand from light-duty (LD) and medium- and heavy-duty (MHD) electric vehicles (EVs) using actual transportation data by mapping the demand for the required EV charging to a realistic and coordinated distribution and transmission electric grid at the predicted times of the day to study their impact on the power system in a variety of load, weather, and EV penetration scenarios. This work is the first study that includes the actual weather data and transportation data with realistic and coordinated distribution and transmission grid data in a large industry-scale level study. The main goal of this study is to identify possible issues and required upgrades in the electric grid, caused by an increase in EV integration. The transmission case study is a large grid with 6717 buses over a Texas footprint, and the distribution grid is over Houston, a city in Texas, covering over three million customers. The resulting overloads and voltage violations experienced in the system are discussed, and required planning upgrades to avoid these issues are suggested.

AC optimal power flow (AC-OPF)↗
DOE OSTI2022

Quantitative methods and modeling to assess COVID–19–interrupted in vivo pharmacokinetic bioequivalence studies with two reference batches

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has presented unprecedented challenges to the generic drug development, including interruptions in bioequivalence (BE) studies. Per guidance published by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) during the COVID-19 public health emergency, any protocol changes or alternative statistical analysis plan for COVID-19-interrupted BE study should be accompanied with adequate justifications and not lead to biased equivalence determination. In this study, we used a modeling and simulation approach to assess the potential impact of study outcomes when two different batches of a Reference Standard (RS) were to be used in an in vivo pharmacokinetic BE study due to the RS expiration during the COVID-19 pandemic. Simulations were performed with hypothetical drugs under two scenarios: (1) uninterrupted study using a single batch of an RS, and (2) interrupted study using two batches of an RS. The acceptability of BE outcomes was evaluated by comparing the results obtained from interrupted studies with those from uninterrupted studies. The simulation results demonstrated that using a conventional statistical approach to evaluate BE for COVID-19-interrupted studies may be acceptable based on the pooled data from two batches. An alternative statistical method which includes a “batch” effect to the mixed effects model may be used when a significant “batch” effect was found in interrupted four-way crossover studies. However, such alternative method is not applicable for interrupted two-way crossover studies. Overall, the simulated scenarios are only for demonstration purpose, the acceptability of BE outcomes for the COVID19-interrupted studies could be case-specific.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Effects of high-pressure hydrogen exposure on filler-elastomer adhesion

Elastomers are known to gain enhanced mechanical properties through compounding with nanosized filler particles such as silica or carbon black. Filler dispersion and filler-polymer interfacial strength are key contributing factors to this improvement. The interfacial strength is critical to part lifetime in pressurized gas sealing applications such as O-rings, where weak binding between the filler particle and polymer matrix can lead to internal void structures. With the aim to build a fundamental understanding of precursors to pressurized hydrogen-induced failure in elastomers, we use all-atom molecular dynamics simulations to study the impact of hydrogen oversaturation on filler-polymer interaction strength. We systematically study the interface between a commonly used elastomer, ethylene-propylene-diene monomer (EPDM) and silica by varying gas concentration, crosslink density, and surface chemistry. Our simulations predict that decompression leads to a localization of excess gas near the interface. In conclusion, we demonstrate that this localized gas can weaken interfacial adhesion and quantify the interaction using thermodynamic approaches.

EPDM↗
DOE OSTI2020

Electron image contrast analysis of mosaicity in rutile nanocrystals using direct electron detection

Direct electron detection provides high detective quantum efficiency, significantly improved point spread function and fast read-out which have revolutionized the field of cryogenic electron microscopy. However, these benefits for high-resolution electron microscopy (HREM) are much less exploited, especially for in situ study where major impacts on crystallographic structural studies could be made. By using direct detection in electron counting mode, rutile nanocrystals have been imaged at high temperature inside an environmental transmission electron microscope. The improvements in image contrast are quantified by comparison with a charge-coupled device (CCD) camera and by image matching with simulations using an automated approach based on template matching. Together, these approaches enable a direct measurement of 3D shape and mosaicity (~1°) of a vacuum-reduced TiO 2 nanocrystal about 50 nm in size. Thus, this work demonstrates the possibility of quantitative HREM image analysis based on direct electron detection.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
NASA NTRS2005

Atmospheric Fragmentation of the Canyon Diablo Meteoroid

About 50 kyr ago the impact of an iron meteoroid excavated Meteor Crater, Arizona, the first terrestrial structure widely recognized as a meteorite impact crater. Recent studies of ballistically dispersed impact melts from Meteor Crater indicate a compositionally unusually heterogeneous impact melt with high SiO2 and exceptionally high (10 to 25% on average) levels of projectile contamination. These are observations that must be explained by any theoretical modeling of the impact event. Simple atmospheric entry models for an iron meteorite similar to Canyon Diablo indicate that the surface impact speed should have been around 12 km/s [Melosh, personal comm.], not the 15-20 km/s generally assumed in previous impact models. This may help explaining the unusual characteristics of the impact melt at Meteor Crater. We present alternative initial estimates of the motion in the atmosphere of an iron projectile similar to Canyon Diablo, to constraint the initial conditions of the impact event that generated Meteor Crater.

Pierazzo, E.↗
NASA NTRS2006

Design Parameters Influencing Reliability of CCGA Assembly: A Sensitivity Analysis

Area Array microelectronic packages with small pitch and large I/O counts are now widely used in microelectronics packaging. The impact of various package design and materials/process parameters on reliability has been studied through extensive literature review. Reliability of Ceramic Column Grid Array (CCGA) package assemblies has been evaluated using JPL thermal cycle test results (-50(deg)/75(deg)C, -55(deg)/100(deg)C, and -55(deg)/125(deg)C), as well as those reported by other investigators. A sensitivity analysis has been performed using the literature da to study the impact of design parameters and global/local stress conditions on assembly reliability. The applicability of various life-prediction models for CCGA design has been investigated by comparing model's predictions with the experimental thermal cycling data. Finite Element Method (FEM) analysis has been conducted to assess the state of the stress/strain in CCGA assembly under different thermal cycling, and to explain the different failure modes and locations observed in JPL test assemblies.

reliability↗
DOE OSTI2026

Hadron-Argon Cross-Section Measurements at Protodune

The Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE) is a next-generation experiment designed to measure neutrino oscillations with unprecedented precision, specifically seeking to identify CP violation in the lepton sector. DUNE utilizes the Liquid Argon Time Projection Chamber (LArTPC) as its core detecting technology, offering high-resolution imaging to reconstruct neutrino interactions on argon. A primary challenge in this reconstruction is the modeling of hadronic final-state interactions (FSI), where hadrons produced at the initial interaction vertex undergo further scattering before escaping the nucleus. In this thesis, I utilize the ProtoDUNE-SP detector and its 1~GeV/$c$ hadron beam at the CERN Neutrino Platform to present the first measurements of total inelastic $\pi^+$-argon and proton-argon cross sections in an energy regime critical to DUNE. I detail the development and validation of the ``slicing method'', which utilizes a kiloton-scale LArTPC to extract hadron-argon cross sections. These measurements provide an indispensable benchmark for informing DUNE's FSI modeling, and our results show no significant tension with current model predictions. Additionally, I study the impact of FSI modeling on DUNE’s sensitivity to oscillation parameters. This study demonstrates that variations in FSI models may be degenerate with oscillation features, highlighting the necessity of using direct experimental data to refine interaction models. Finally, I provide an outlook on related studies that will further contribute to this effort, supporting the ambitious physics goals of upcoming neutrino oscillation programs including DUNE.

Yin-Rui, Liu [U. Chicago (main)]↗
NASA NTRS2018

Repair of Sandwich Structure in Support of the Payload Adapter Fitting

As part of a program examining a composite payload adaptor fitting (PAF) for NASA’s Space Launch System (SLS), a repair study of impact damage and misdrilled holes was undertaken. At the beginning of this repair study, the PAF was baselined as a honeycomb sandwich structure with eight-ply quasi-isotropic, carbon-fiber-reinforced epoxy facesheets. Although the baseline configuration could change, the repair program presented herein is generic enough in nature such that it will apply to most sandwich configurations. The vast majority of loads experienced by this structure will be in-plane compression; thus, this repair study concentrates on the in-plane compression strength of representative sandwich structure specimens. The PAF is a truncated cone with a minimum diameter of about 170 inches at the top and a maximum diameter of about 335 inches at the bottom. While the launch vehicle hardware should be protected throughout its life on the ground, rogue events (or misdrilled holes) are still a possibility. This study is not meant to address large scale damage or damage to the part other than in the acreage (the uniform portion of the structure that does not consist of joints or other detailed areas), but address the most probable type of damages (small impacts and misdrilled holes) in the vast majority of the structure (the acreage).

Nettles, A. T.↗
NASA NTRS2020

Evaluation of Stratospheric Intrusions and Biomass Burning Plumes on the Vertical Distribution of Tropospheric Ozone Over the Midwestern U.S.

Naturally occurring ozone rich Stratosphere-to-Troposphere Transport (STT) intrusions and biomass burning plumes reaching the surface can contribute to exceedances of the U.S. National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for ground-level ozone (70 ppbv implemented in 2015). In addition, fires can inject significant pollution into the free troposphere where it can be transported long distances. The combined air quality impacts from these sources on ozone has only been analyzed in a few case studies for the Midwest U.S. Here we study ozone impacts in a major Midwestern city, for the first time in St. Louis, Missouri, using a series of ozonesonde profiles taken during the SEAC4RS (Studies of Emissions and Atmospheric Composition, Clouds and Climate Coupling by Regional Surveys) field campaign in August-September 2013. All ozonesondes showed some enhancements above the background profile levels (~55 ppbv) throughout each tropospheric column. Two models were used to estimate and quantify ozone origins within the columns. A chemical transport model identified enhancements from STT equivalent to 10to15 ppbv over the background with a 10 to15% contribution overall to the column. Two FLEXPART-WRF simulations, one with smoke in the boundary layer and the other with smoke above, identified enhancements from biomass burning equivalent to 10to 80 ppbv. Overall, the total biomass burning contribution is 15to 30% of the total column. Five ozonesondes showed signatures of mixed biomass burning plumes and STT intrusions. During this study period, biomass burning in the western U.S. contributed 70% to ozone enhancements in the total column compared to 3% from the central U.S and 27% from other areas.

National Ambient Air Quality Standards for ground‐↗
DOE OSTI2024

The Function of Horn Ridges for Impact Damping

This study explores the damping effects of ram horn ridges on mechanical impacts resulting from ramming. We measured the amplitudes and frequencies of ridges along the axial (pitch) direction of the ridges of ram horns obtained from eight specimens across six different species. While the horns shared a similar spiral-shaped pattern with surface ridges, our findings show variations among the horns, including ridge spacing and growth trends. Additionally, we employed finite element analysis (FEA) to compare a ridged horn model with a non-ridged counterpart to provide an understanding of the damping characteristics of the surface ridges. Our FEA results reveal that the ridged horn decreased the initial ramming pressure by 20.7%, increased the shear stress by 66.9%, and decreased the axial strain by 27.3%, the radial strain by 16.7%, and the shear strain by 14.3% at a 50 ms impact duration compared to those of the non-ridged horn. The damping ratio was increased by 7.9% because of the ridges. This study elucidates three primary functions of the different species of ram horns’ spirals and ridges: (1) to transfer longitudinal waves into shear waves, (2) to filter shear waves, and (3) to stabilize the structure by mitigating excessive strain.

bio-inspired design↗
NASA NTRS1972

Examination of the collision force method for analyzing the responses of simple containment/deflection structures to impact by one engine rotor blade fragment

An approximate collision analysis, termed the collision-force method, was developed for studying impact-interaction of an engine rotor blade fragment with an initially circular containment ring. This collision analysis utilizes basic mass, material property, geometry, and pre-impact velocity information for the fragment, together with any one of three postulated patterns of blade deformation behavior: (1) the elastic straight blade model, (2) the elastic-plastic straight shortening blade model, and (3) the elastic-plastic curling blade model. The collision-induced forces are used to predict the resulting motions of both the blade fragment and the containment ring. Containment ring transient responses are predicted by a finite element computer code which accommodates the large deformation, elastic-plastic planar deformation behavior of simple structures such as beams and/or rings. The effects of varying the values of certain parameters in each blade-behavior model were studied. Comparisons of predictions with experimental data indicate that of the three postulated blade-behavior models, the elastic-plastic curling blade model appears to be the most plausible and satisfactory for predicting the impact-induced motions of a ductile engine rotor blade and a containment ring against which the blade impacts.

Zirin, R. M.↗
DOE OSTI2023

Advancing the mechanical integrity and fragmentation behavior of reactive projectiles

A multivariant statistical approach was used to identify treatment conditions that improve the survivability of structural reactive material (SRM) projectiles upon launch and enhance energy release upon impact. The study included both mechanical testing of projectiles as well as their reactive characterization. The projectiles were launched in a high-velocity impact-ignition testing system and impacted an anvil for vented chamber calorimetry. This study examined a link between ultimate compressive stress and combustion performance. Two treatments were applied to consolidated aluminum projectiles including annealing and addition of silica (SiO 2 ) inclusions. Results showed annealing at moderate temperatures resulted in intact SRM projectiles upon launch. Adding small concentrations (1–2 wt. %) of SiO 2 to the SRM promoted fragmentation and combustion performance upon impact. Compared to the untreated projectiles, annealing with SiO 2 inclusion processing treatments improved the energy conversion efficiency from 37–84% (for untreated projectiles) up to 54–98%. In conclusion, increasing interparticle dislocation recovery by annealing while balancing inclusions promoting fragmentation upon impact was the key to optimizing combustion performance for SRM ballistic impact applications.

42 ENGINEERING↗