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At least 559 records · Page 31

Application of quantitative risk assessment to address stakeholder questions in geologic carbon storage

Ambitious international greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets demand a rapid transformation to a low-carbon economy. This transformation includes the accelerated adoption of carbon dioxide (CO2) capture and storage (CCS) technology. However, as with any large-scale engineering enterprise, the widespread commercial-scale deployment of geologic carbon storage (GCS) raises important questions about technology and cost-effectiveness, safety, environmental risk, and long-term liability. Effectively assessing and managing risks and liability associated with GCS projects is a key technical need throughout the project life cycle-from site selection and permitting to monitoring design, operational risk management, and post-operational site closure. This presentation highlights recent advancements in tools for quantitative risk assessment, being developed by the National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP). NRAP is a multi-year, multinational laboratory research collaboration sponsored by the U.S. Department of Energy's Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management. Our focus will be on these tools' applications in addressing critical stakeholder questions related to supporting permitting to ensure secure and environmentally protective storage; designing effective and efficient monitoring plans; evaluating the effectiveness of remedial actions and risk management alternatives; and informing liability assessment and investment decisions. This paper will detail the key functionality of NRAP’s Open-Source Integrated Assessment Model (NRAP-Open-IAM), a computational framework for assessing leakage risk and containment assurance. This model features streamlined workflows for calculating leakage risk profiles, delineating risk-based area of review, and assessing contingency plans and post-injection site care requirements. ORION is an open-source, observation-based ensemble forecasting toolkit to help operators assess the seismic hazard at a carbon storage site. The State of Stress Analysis Tool (SOSAT), designed to assess subsurface stress conditions and evaluate geomechanical risk resulting from CO2 injection in an area of interest will also be presented. We will also introduce a prototype model to evaluate storage project costs and liability associated with risk management. The Technoeconomic and Liability Evaluation for Storage (TALES) model uses results from forecasts of leakage and induced seismicity risk to estimate the lifecycle cost of managing risk. Finally, a preliminary example of how the NRAP Risk-based Adaptive Monitoring Plan (RAMP) tool can be used to design efficient and effective site monitoring plans and estimate the detectability of fluid leakage will be provided. The relevance of these tools for addressing key stakeholder questions amidst uncertainty will be emphasized.

decision support↗

Harmonizing direct and indirect anthropogenic land carbon fluxes indicates a substantial missing sink in the global carbon budget since the early 20th century

Inconsistencies in the calculation of the two anthropogenic land flux terms of the global carbon cycle are investigated. The two terms—the direct anthropogenic flux (caused by direct human disturbance in anthromes, currently a carbon source to the atmosphere) and the indirect anthropogenic flux (caused indirectly by human activities that lead to global change and affecting all biomes, currently an atmospheric carbon sink)—are typically calculated independently, resulting in inconsistent underlying assumptions. We harmonize the estimation of the two anthropogenic land flux terms by incorporating previous estimates of these inconsistencies. We recalculate the global carbon budget (GCB) and apply change-point analysis to the cumulative budget imbalance. Cumulative over 1850–2018 (1959–2018), harmonization results in a 13% lesser (4% greater) land use source from anthromes and a 20% (23%) lesser land sink. This recalculation yields a greater non-closure of the GCB, indicating a missing carbon sink averaging 0.65 Pg C year -1 since the early 20th century. The imbalance likely results from a combination of method discontinuity and structural errors in the assessment of the direct anthropogenic land use flux, greater ocean carbon uptake, structural errors in land models, and in how these land terms are quantified for the budget. We caution against overconfidence in considering the GCB a solved problem and recommend further study of methodological discontinuities in budget terms. We strongly recommend studies that quantify the direct and indirect anthropogenic land fluxes simultaneously to ensure consistency, with a deeper understanding of human disturbance and legacy effects in anthromes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Capturing Carbonation: Understanding Kinetic Complexities through a New Era of Electron Microscopy

Cryogenic plasma focused ion beam (PFIB) electron microscopy analysis is applied to visualizing ex situ (surface industrial) and in situ (subsurface geologic) carbonation products, to advance understanding of carbonation kinetics. Ex situ carbonation is investigated using NIST fly ash standard #2689 exposed to aqueous sodium bicarbonate solutions for brief periods of time. In situ carbonation pathways are investigated using volcanic flood basalt samples from Schaef et al. (2010) exposed to aqueous CO 2 solutions by them. The fly ash reaction products at room temperature show small amounts of incipient carbonation, with calcite apparently forming via surface nucleation. Reaction products at 75° C show beginning stages of an iron carbonate phase, e.g., siderite or ankerite, common phases in subsurface carbon sequestration environments. This may suggest an alternative to calcite in carbonation low calcium-bearing fly ashes. Flood basalt carbonation reactions show distinct zonation with high calcium and calcium-magnesium bearing zones alternating with high iron-bearing zones. The calcium-magnesium zones are notable with occurrence of localized pore space. Oscillatory zoning in carbonate minerals is distinctly associated with far-from-equilibrium conditions where local chemical environments fluctuate via a coupling of reaction with transport. The high porosity zones may reflect a precursor phase (e.g., aragonite) with higher molar volume that then “ripens” to the high-Mg calcite phase-plus-porosity. These observations reveal that carbonation can proceed with evolving local chemical environments, formation and disappearance of metastable phases, and evolving reactive surface areas. Together this work shows that future application of cryo-PFIB in carbonation studies would provide advanced understanding of kinetic mechanisms for optimizing industrial-scale and commercial-scale applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Light-Duty Vehicle Choice Modeling and Benefits Analysis (van018)

The U.S. Department of Energy’s Vehicle Technologies and Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Technologies Offices (VTO and HFTO) support research and development of efficient and sustainable transportation technologies that will improve energy efficiency, minimize emissions, and enable America to use less petroleum. The analysis in this poster is based on technical progress goals established in VTO and HFTO in the years immediately prior to and including 2020, and it summarizes the estimated energy and emissions benefits corresponding with achievement of those goals. The goals span research activities on batteries, electric drive technologies (EDT), combustion, lightweight materials, fuel cells, and hydrogen storage. The Automotive Deployment Options Projection Tool (ADOPT) is used to estimate the benefits for light-duty vehicles. ADOPT is a vehicle choice and stock model that estimates vehicle technology improvement impacts on sales, energy, and emissions. It includes all the existing vehicle options for realism, estimates their sales using extensively validated consumer preferences, creates new market-driven vehicle options through time, and rolls up sales to estimate energy and emissions. ADOPT takes in technology progress assumptions and applies these to the modeled vehicles through time. The assumptions are represented by a No Program scenario that reflects the technology improvements assumed to occur without further contributions from VTO or HFTO, and a Program Success scenario under which VTO and HFTO program goals are realized. The benefits are calculated by comparing ADOPT's estimated national-level energy and emissions resulting from the Program Success relative to the No Program scenario. By 2050, the Program Success scenario results in 11% less annual petroleum consumption and 10% less annual carbon emissions than the No Program scenario.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Pt-Assisted Carbon Remediation of Mo2C Materials for CO Disproportionation

Using the CO disproportionation (Boudouard) reaction as a probe reaction, an in-depth analysis of temperature-programmed pulse response data shows that the addition of Pt to Mo2C mitigates deactivation of Mo active sites by acting as a carbon collector. CO2 production on Mo2C and Pt/Mo2C materials is dependent on both the activation energy and the CO surface concentration. Detailed plane-wave density functional theory calculations of the CO adsorption and disproportion reactions on Mo2C-supported Pt nanoparticles (NPs) are reported. The Mo2C was modeled by the ß-Mo2C (100) surface, and the Pt/Mo2C interface was modeled by the addition of 12 Pt atoms to the Mo2C (100) surface (12Pt@Mo2C). The potential energy surfaces of the Boudouard reaction were calculated on pure Mo2C, 12Pt@Mo2C, and Pt (111) surfaces. CO dissociation readily occurs on the Mo2C (100) surface, but not on the Pt (111) surface, with the former being exothermic and the latter being endothermic. At the Pt/Mo2C interface, CO dissociation is still exothermic, but with a larger energy barrier. The Boudouard reaction takes place on the Mo2C region, where CO2 is formed from a surface O atom dissociated from one CO molecule in reaction with another CO molecule, leaving one C atom on the surface. C adsorption is preferential on the Pt site in comparison to the Mo site. The supported Pt domains can collect the remaining C atoms, facilitating further CO2 formation on the active Mo sites. A Bader charge analysis shows that the surface metal-carbon bond is a mixture of covalent and ionic bonds, whereas the surface metal-oxygen bond is ionic. Electron localization function (ELF) and partial charge density calculations agree well with the Bader charge analysis. These computational results are consistent with experimental observations of the interaction of CO with Mo2C nanotube supported Pt domains in the transient regime under far from equilibrium conditions. The Boudouard reaction is an important side reaction, and the unexpected role found for Pt as a carbon collector, with Mo serving as a disproportionation site, provides a unique vantage point for understanding carbon and coke formation on catalytic materials.

Pt-assisted carbon remediation, Pt/Mo2C interface,↗

Dissolved Inorganic Carbon and Dissolved Organic Carbon Data for the East River Watershed, Colorado (2015-2025)

This data package contains mean values for dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) for water samples taken from the East River Watershed in Colorado. The East River is part of the Watershed Function Scientific Focus Area (WFSFA) located in the Upper Colorado River Basin, United States. DOC and DIC concentrations in water samples were determined using a TOC-VCPH analyzer (Shimadzu Corporation, Japan). DOC was analyzed as non-purgeable organic carbon (NPOC) by purging HCl-acidified samples with carbon-free air to remove DIC prior to measurement. After the acidified sample has been sparged, it is injected into a combustion tube filled with oxidation catalyst heated to 680 oC. The DOC in samples is combusted to CO2 and measured by a non-dispersive infrared (NDIR) detector. The peak area of the analog signal produced by the NDIR detector is proportional to the DOC concentration of the sample. DIC was determined by acidifying the samples with HCl first, and then purging with carbon-free air to release CO2 for analysis by NDIR detector. Total dissolved nitrogen (TDN) was analyzed using a Shimadzu Total Nitrogen Module (TNM-L) combined with the TOC-L analyzer (Shimadzu Corporation, Japan). TNM-L is a non-specific measurement of total nitrogen (TN). All nitrogen species in samples are combusted to nitrogen monoxide and nitrogen dioxide, then reacted with ozone to form an excited state of nitrogen dioxide. Upon returning to ground state, light energy is emitted. Then, TDN is measured using a chemiluminescence detector. All data reported are the mean values upon minimum of three replicate measurements, with a relative standard deviation < 3%. All samples were analyzed under a rigorous quality assurance and quality control (QA/QC) process. This data package contains (1) a zip file (dic_npoc_data_2014-2025.zip) containing a total of 337 files: 336 data files of DIC and NPOC data from across the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) Watershed Function Scientific Focus Area (SFA) which is reported in .csv files per location and a locations.csv (1 file) with latitude and longitude for each location; (2) a file-level metadata (v6_20250901_flmd.csv) file that lists each file contained in the dataset with associated metadata; (3) a data dictionary (v6_20250901_dd.csv) file that contains terms/column_headers used throughout the files along with a definition, units, and data type; and (4) PDF and docx files for the determiniation of Method Detection Limits (MDLs) for DIC and NPOC data, which has been updated in 2026-08. Missing values within the anion data files are noted as either "-9999" or "0.0" for not detectable (N.D.) data. There are a total of 113 locations containing DIC/NPOC data. Update on 2020-10-07: Updated the data files to remove times from the timestamps, so that only dates remain. The data values have not changed. Update on 2021-04-11: Added Determination of Method Detection Limits (MDLs) for DIC, NPOC and TDN Analyses document, which can be accessed as a PDF or with Microsoft Word.Update on 6/10/2022: versioned updates to this dataset was made along with these changes: (1) updated dissolved inorganic carbon and dissolved organic carbon data for all locations up to 2021-12-31, (2) removal of units from column headers in datafiles, (3) added row underneath headers to contain units of variables, (4) restructure of units to comply with CSV reporting format requirements, (5) added -9999 for empty numerical cells, and (6) the addition of the file-level metadata (flmd.csv) and data dictionary (dd.csv) were added to comply with the File-Level Metadata Reporting Format. Update on 2022-09-09: Updates were made to reporting format specific files (file-level metadata and data dictionary) to correct swapped file names, add additional details on metadata descriptions on both files, add a header_row column to enable parsing, and add version number and date to file names (v2_20220909_flmd.csv and v2_20220909_dd.csv). Update on 2023-08-08: Updates were made to both the data files and reporting format specific files. New available anion data was added, up until 2023-01-05. The file level metadata and data dictionary files were updated to reflect the additional data added. Update on 2024-03-11: Updates were made to both the data files and reporting format specific files. New available anion data was added, up until 2023-11-21. Further, revisions to the data files were made to remove incorrect data points (from 1970 and 2001). The reporting format specific files were updated to reflect the additional data added. Revised versions of the PDF and docx files for determination of MDLs for DIC and NPOC were added to replace previous versions. Update on 2025-05-15: Updates were made to both the data files and reporting format specific files. New available DIC and NPOC data was added, up until the end of WY2024 (September 30, 2024). International Generic Sample Numbers (IGSNs), when registered, were added to the data files. The reporting format specific files were updated to reflect the additional data added. Update on 2026-09-01: Updates were made to both the data files and reporting format specific files. New available DIC and NPOC data was added, up until the end of WY2025 (September 30, 2025). Updated versions, as of 2026-08-10, of the PDF and docx files for determination of MDLs for DIC and NPOC data were added to this dataset.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Investigating overflow metabolism in heterotrophic cultures of the green alga Chromochloris zofingiensis

Chromochloris zofingiensis is of interest for its ability to perform a reversible trophic switch in the presence of glucose that is characterized by a shutdown of photosynthesis and an accumulation of energy storage metabolites. Previous work has shown that this trophic switch is accompanied by overflow metabolism and the production of lactate in aerobic conditions. This trophic switch is not observed in nutrient replete media. We utilized isotopically assisted metabolic flux analysis to characterize intracellular flux distributions that are associated with different metabolic phenotypes observed in this organism in different media formulations in light and dark conditions. The results of this analysis showed that low iron cultures have no flux through carbon fixation reactions, and that the carbon flux entering the TCA cycle in these cultures is approximately 40 % lower than that in iron replete cultures grown heterotrophically. This analysis was complemented with transcriptomics data collected for C. zofingiensis grown in iron limited conditions to provide further evidence towards the negative impact of iron limitation on both photosynthetic and respiratory activity. Overflow metabolism allows this alga to compensate for the lower energy production that results from iron limitation. This work highlights how nutrient availability can lead to changes in the metabolism of C. zofingiensis.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Atomic Layer Deposition of Nanolayered Carbon Films

In this paper, carbon thin films were grown using the plasma-enhanced atomic layer deposition (PE-ALD). Methane (CH4) was used as the carbon precursor to grow the carbon thin film. The grown film was analyzed by the high-resolution transmission electron micrograph (TEM), X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) analysis, and Raman spectrum analysis. The analyses show that the PE-ALD-grown carbon film has an amorphous structure. It was found that the existence of defective sites (nanoscale holes or cracks) on the substrate of copper foil could facilitate the formation of nanolayered carbon films. The mechanism for the formation of nanolayered carbon film in the nanoscale holes was discussed. This finding could be used for the controlled growth of nanolayered carbon films or other two-dimensional nanomaterials while combining with modern nanopatterning techniques.

Xiao, Zhigang (ORCID:0000000215950565)↗

Examining Supply-Side Options to Achieve 100% Clean Electricity by 2035

The growing climate emergency requires a dramatic and rapid reduction of greenhouse gas emissions in the United States and internationally. This study evaluates a variety of 100% clean electricity system scenarios in 2035 that could put the United States on a path to economy-wide net-zero emissions by 2050, specifically focusing on technical requirements, challenges, and cost implications. The results highlight there are multiple approaches to cost-effectively achieve a net-zero carbon grid in 2035.

100% clean electricity↗

Understanding long-term groundwater flow at Pahute Mesa and vicinity, Nevada National Security Site, USA, from naturally occurring geochemical and isotopic tracers

Abstract Recently collected naturally occurring geochemical and isotopic groundwater tracers were combined with historic data from the Pahute Mesa area of the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS), Nevada, USA, to provide insights into long-term regional groundwater flow patterns, mixing and recharge. Pahute Mesa was the site of 85 nuclear detonations between 1965 and 1992, many of them deeply buried devices that introduced radionuclides directly into groundwater. The dataset examined included major ions and field measurements, stable isotopes of hydrogen (δ 2 H), oxygen (δ 18 O), carbon (δ 13 C) and sulfur (δ 34 S), and radioisotopes of carbon ( 14 C) and chloride ( 36 Cl). Analysis of the patterns of groundwater 14 C data and the δ 2 H and δ 18 O signatures indicates that groundwater recharge is predominantly of Pleistocene age, except for a few localized areas near major ephemeral drainages. Steep gradients in sulfate (SO 4 ) and chloride (Cl) define a region near the western edge of the NNSS where high-concentration groundwater flowing south from north of the NNSS merges with dilute groundwater flowing west from eastern Pahute Mesa in a mixing zone that coincides with a groundwater trough associated with major faults. The 36 Cl/Cl and δ 34 S data suggest that the source of the high Cl and SO 4 in the groundwater was a now-dry, pluvial-age playa lake north of the NNSS. Patterns of groundwater flow indicated by the combined data sets show that groundwater is flowing around the northwest margin of the now extinct Timber Mountain Caldera Complex toward regional discharge areas in Oasis Valley.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Mitigating Calendar Aging in Si-NMC Batteries with Advanced Dual-Salt Glyme Electrolytes

In addressing the critical challenge of calendar aging in silicon (Si)-based lithium-ion batteries, this study introduces a groundbreaking strategy utilizing glyme-type dual-salt electrolytes (lithium bis(trifluoromethanesulfonyl)imide [LiTFSI] and lithium difluoro(oxalato)borate [LiDFOB]). These electrolytes are demonstrated to significantly mitigate parasitic reactions and capacity loss in Si-NMC (lithium nickel manganese cobalt oxide) full cells, especially when compared with traditional carbonate-based electrolytes. Further, our exhaustive mechanistic analysis reveals that such electrolytes not only preserve the integrity of the Si anode but also improve the cathode/electrolyte interphases (CEI) through the formation of a conformal coating on the high-voltage cathode surface. This dual-salt approach, enhanced by the addition of a phosphate additive, effectively decelerates calendar aging, marking a substantial advance in the quest for durable and reliable Si-based energy storage technologies. The findings underscore the vital role of electrolyte composition in extending the calendar life of Si batteries, offering an alternative avenue toward maximizing the performance and longevity of next-generation Li-Si batteries.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The challenges of electrolytic valorization of carbon dioxide

Electroreduction of carbon dioxide is an enabling technology that can produce valuable chemicals, such as C 1 (for example, formic acid and carbon monoxide) and C 2 chemicals (for example, ethylene and ethanol), with a minimal or even negative carbon footprint. Now, a techno-economic analysis shows that only the C 1 products can achieve competitive prices, while substantial improvements in process economics are needed for C 2 .

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

From synchrotrons for XFELs: the soft x-ray near-edge spectrum of the ESCA molecule

A predictive understanding of soft x-ray near-edge absorption spectra of small molecules is an enduring theoretical challenge and of current interest for x-ray probes of molecular dynamics. We report the experimental absorption spectrum for the electron spectroscopy for chemical analysis (ESCA) molecule (ethyl trifluoroacetate) near the carbon 1s absorption edge between 285-300 eV. Furthermore, the ESCA molecule with four chemically distinct carbon sites has previously served as a theoretical benchmark for photoelectron spectra and now for photoabsorption spectra. We report a simple edge-specific approach for systematically expanding standard basis sets to properly describe diffuse Rydberg orbitals and the importance of triple excitations in equation-of-motion coupled-cluster calculations of the energy interval between valence and Rydberg excitations.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Effect of Impurities on the Compatibility of Steels in Supercritical CO 2 at 450°–650°C

Direct-fired supercritical CO 2 (sCO 2 ) power cycles are a pathway to low-CO 2 fossil energy but contain O 2 and H 2 O in the sCO 2 from combustion. The effect of impurities on structural steels was investigated at 450°-650 °C in 30 MPa sCO 2 . The test matrix included 9 and 12%Cr ferritic-martensitic (FM) steels and conventional and advanced austenitic steels exposed for 1000-2000 h with and without additions of 1%O 2 and 0.1%H 2 O to simulate the cycle after water removal. For FM steels, the mass gains and scale thicknesses were similar with and without impurities with the formation of thick, duplex Fe-rich scales in all cases including the observation that Fe 2 O 3 only formed with 1%O 2 . For the austenitic steels, higher mass gains were observed at all temperatures with increased formation of Fe-rich oxides when impurities were added. Carbon ingress was assessed by bulk combustion analysis, glow discharge optical emission spectroscopy (GDOES) and measuring postexposure room temperature tensile properties. In conclusion, bulk C content was strongly increased at 650 °C but not at 450° or 550 °C.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

BiCRS LCA Tool [SWR-26-005]

This is a biomass carbon removal and storage (BiCRS) life cycle analysis (LCA) tool. This version can be used to estimate the impacts of biochar burial BiCRS pathways.

Ware, Anne "Liz" [National Renewable Energy Labora↗

Machine Learning Assisted Gap-Filled Discharge Data for the East River Community Watershed, Colorado, for Water Years 2014-2021

This dataset contains a collection of machine learning assisted gap-filled discharge data created for all discharge stations across the East River Watershed, Colorado. This data was generated by using raw discharge data collected by Rosemary Carroll, and conducting a random forest machine learning analysis to gap-fill discharge data across all years at the hourly time level. Discharge data with gaps creates problems for analysis of measured and modeled fluxes of carbon and nitrogen exported out of each sub-watershed. Gap-filled data is also required as an input to surface water models, which helps to address our main research question related to how snowmelt timing impacts the timing and magnitude of nitrogen exports. Data is provided in one csv file.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Big Adaptive Rotor Phase I Final Report

The Big Adaptive Rotor (BAR) project was initiated by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) in 2018 with the goal of identifying novel technologies that can enable large (>100 meter [m]) blades for low-specific-power wind turbines. Five distinct tasks were completed to achieve this goal: 1. Assessed the trends, impacts, and value of low-specific-power wind turbines; 2. Developed a wind turbine blade cost-reduction road map study; 3. Completed research-and-development opportunity screening; 4. Performed detailed design and analysis; and, 5. Assessed low-cost carbon fiber. These tasks were completed by the national laboratory team consisting of Sandia National Laboratories (Sandia), the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.

17 WIND ENERGY↗