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At least 559 records · Page 31

A systematic comparison of machine learning methods for modeling of dynamic processes applied to combustion emission rate modeling

Ten established, data-driven dynamic algorithms are surveyed and a practical guide for understanding these methods generated. Existing Python programming packages for implementing each algorithm are acknowledged, and the model equations necessary for prediction are presented. A case study on a coal-fired power plant’s NO x emission rates is performed, directly comparing each modeling method’s performance on a mutual system. Each model is evaluated by its root mean squared error (RMSE) on out-of-sample future horizon predictions. Optimal hyperparameters are identified using either an exhaustive search or genetic algorithm. The top five model structures of each method are used to recursively predict future NO x emission rates over a 60-step time horizon. The RMSE at each future timestep is determined, and the recursive output prediction trends compared against measurements in time. The GRU neural network is identified as the best candidate for representing the system, demonstrating accurate and stable predictions across the future horizon by all considered models, while satisfactory performance was observed in several of the ARX/NARX formulations. Finally, these efforts have contributed 1) a concise resource of multiple proven dynamic machine learning methods, 2) a practical guide explaining the use of these methods, effectively lowering the “barrier-to-entry” of deploying such models in control systems, 3) a comparison study evaluating each method’s performance on a mutual system, 4) demonstration of accurate multi-timestep emissions modeling suitable for systems-level control, and 5) generalizable results demonstrating the suitability of each method for prediction over a multi-step future horizon to other complex dynamic systems.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A systematic multicriteria-based approach to support product portfolio selection in microalgae biorefineries

Here this work proposes and applies a sequential approach of objective methods to aid the decision-making process for the deployment of microalgae biorefineries. The strategy combines Multicriteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) and weight assignment methods to simultaneously consider technical, economic, and environmental criteria to (1) outrank the best bioproduct options from different biomass fractions present in microalgae biomass at different ratios (namely carbohydrates, lipids, and protein) and (2) define the most suitable biorefining pathways associated with specific pairings of microalgae strains and cultivation conditions. The first part of the assessment identified succinic acid, acrylic acid, and citric acid as the top-ranked bioproducts from carbohydrates, polyurethane from lipids, and thermoplastic extrusion co-feed from protein. The second step of the analysis determined that, when production of a hydrocarbon fuel is desired, the compositional profile of a strain is paramount in defining the biorefining setup that should be pursued. In summary, microalgae lipids should be sent to the production of hydrocarbon fuels if the ratio between neutral lipids and fermentable carbohydrates is higher than roughly 1, with carbohydrates and protein being converted to the higher-value products noted above. Finally, this result was corroborated through process simulations, which indicated superior economic and environmental metrics when strains are paired with suitable conversion pathways identified through MCDA based on their compositional profiles. The outcomes of this work provide clear, objective, guidelines for establishing the best biorefining approach for a large suite of biochemical compositions as a screening method prior to employing detailed process simulations alongside rigorous techno-economic and life-cycle assessments.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Systematically derived thermodynamic properties for alkane oxidation

Key combustion properties, such as ignition delay time, show strong sensitivity to the thermochemistry of the main species in the standard radical oxidation pathway at low temperatures (600-1000K). Significant uncertainties persist in current estimates of thermodynamic properties, particularly for the larger species of relevance to common practical fuels. In this article, we use advanced computational schemes to evaluate thermodynamic properties for the fuel, fuel radical, peroxy, hydroperoxy-alkyl radical, and hydroperoxide species for a set of 17 fuels containing up to 9 carbon atoms, and with various degrees of branching in the alkane backbone. The procedure, termed STAR-1D, combines conformer sampling to find the minimum geometry, B2PLYP-D3/cc-pVTZ harmonic frequency evaluations, and omega B97X-D/cc-pVTZ one-dimensional torsional mapping. It includes two physically-based scaling routines: a frequency-dependent scaling to B2PLYP-D3/cc-pVTZ anharmonic frequencies and a scaling of one-dimensional omega B97X-D/ccpVTZ torsional profiles to reproduce the product of the B2PLYP-D3/cc-pVTZ frequencies in the harmonic limit. Substantive comparisons with existing experimental databases, together with careful examinations of key theoretical assumptions, are used to explore the accuracy of the predictions. These computationally intensive explorations of 195 species were facilitated by automated thermochemistry software. Further, high accuracy 0 K heats of formation from a separate study are used with the STAR-1D computations to generate NASA polynomial representations. In addition to their intrinsic value, the present results also provide a reliable database for the optimization of group additivity or machine learning schemes for scaling to larger combustion systems. Towards this end a complementary extensive conformational analysis is carried out for the medium sized species and the thermodynamic properties of the lowest energy hydrogen-bonded and non-hydrogen bonded conformers are contrasted for larger hydroperoxy-alkyl radical species.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

A systematic study of lanthanide titanates (A 2 Ti 2 O 7 ) chemical durability: corrosion mechanisms and control parameters

Dense lanthanide titanates ranging from La 2 Ti 2 O 7 to Yb 2 Ti 2 O 7 were synthesized by spark plasma sintering with similar micro-sized microstructure, and their chemical durability and degradation mechanisms were investigated by semi-dynamic leaching tests. Different corrosion mechanisms from incongruent to congruent dissolution were observed with preferential elemental releases of lanthanides in A 2 Ti 2 O 7 (A = La to Gd) and Ti in Er 2 Ti 2 O 7 and Yb 2 Ti 2 O 7 . Initial leaching was controlled by surface dissolution and long-term dissolution shifted to a diffusion-controlled mechanism for titanate pyrochlores from Sm 2 Ti 2 O 7 to Yb 2 Ti 2 O 7 . Both short-term and long-term leaching rates decreased from La 2 Ti 2 O 7 to Yb 2 Ti 2 O 7 , and materials became more corrosion resistant with decreasing ionic radius ratios of the rare-earth elements and titanium. Amorphous passivation films of several nm-thick enriched with Ti formed on the surfaces of the corroded materials, and the formation mechanisms were governed either by surface reorganization with preferential release of lanthanides or dissolution-precipitation from saturated bulk solutions with preferential release of titanium. Finally, these results demonstrate that the ionic size plays a dominant role in determining chemical durability of lanthanide titanates and a strong correlation is established among chemical composition/structural variation, passivation film formation and corrosion mechanisms, and materials chemical durability.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗