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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 559 records · Page 31
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2014

Surface loss probability of atomic hydrogen for different electrode cover materials investigated in H₂-Ar low-pressure plasmas

In an inductively coupled H₂-Ar plasma at a total pressure of 1.5 Pa, the influence of the electrode cover material on selected line intensities of H, H₂, and Ar are determined by optical emission spectroscopy and actinometry for the electrode cover materials stainless steel, copper, tungsten, Macor{sup ®}, and aluminum. Hydrogen dissociation degrees for the considered conditions are determined experimentally from the measured emission intensity ratios. The surface loss probability β{sub H} of atomic hydrogen is correlated with the measured line intensities, and β{sub H} values are determined for the considered materials. Without the knowledge of the atomic hydrogen temperature, β{sub H} cannot be determined exactly. However, ratios of β{sub H} values for different surface materials are in first order approximation independent of the atomic hydrogen temperature. Our results show that β{sub H} of copper is equal to the value of stainless steel, β{sub H} of Macor{sup ®} and tungsten is about 2 times smaller and β{sub H} of aluminum about 5 times smaller compared with stainless steel. The latter ratio is in reasonable agreement with literature. The influence of the atomic hydrogen temperature T{sub H} on the absolute value is thoroughly discussed. For our assumption of T{sub H}=600 K, we determine a β{sub H} for stainless steel of 0.39±0.13.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2014

Visualization of the operational space of edge-localized modes through low-dimensional embedding of probability distributions

Information visualization aimed at facilitating human perception is an important tool for the interpretation of experiments on the basis of complex multidimensional data characterizing the operational space of fusion devices. This work describes a method for visualizing the operational space on a two-dimensional map and applies it to the discrimination of type I and type III edge-localized modes (ELMs) from a series of carbon-wall ELMy discharges at JET. The approach accounts for stochastic uncertainties that play an important role in fusion data sets, by modeling measurements with probability distributions in a metric space. The method is aimed at contributing to physical understanding of ELMs as well as their control. Furthermore, it is a general method that can be applied to the modeling of various other plasma phenomena as well.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2014

Financial derivative pricing under probability operator via Esscher transfomation

The problem of pricing contingent claims has been extensively studied for non-Gaussian models, and in particular, Black- Scholes formula has been derived for the NIG asset pricing model. This approach was first developed in insurance pricing{sup 9} where the original distortion function was defined in terms of the normal distribution. This approach was later studied6 where they compared the standard Black-Scholes contingent pricing and distortion based contingent pricing. So, in this paper, we aim at using distortion operators by Cauchy distribution under a simple transformation to price contingent claim. We also show that we can recuperate the Black-Sholes formula using the distribution. Similarly, in a financial market in which the asset price represented by a stochastic differential equation with respect to Brownian Motion, the price mechanism based on characteristic Esscher measure can generate approximate arbitrage free financial derivative prices. The price representation derived involves probability Esscher measure and Esscher Martingale measure and under a new complex valued measure φ (u) evaluated at the characteristic exponents φ{sub x}(u) of X{sub t} we recuperate the Black-Scholes formula for financial derivative prices.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2015

Direct comparison of defect ensembles extracted from damage probability and raster scan measurements

The presented study addresses the characterization of nanometer sized defects acting as damage precursors in nanosecond laser pulse duration regime. Two approaches are used to extract distributions of localized damage precursors, namely, damage probability and damage density measurements. Testing is performed on uncoated and SiO{sub 2} monolayer film deposited fused silica substrate exposed with pulsed UV irradiation (355 nm, 4.8 ns). Then, a direct comparison of damage precursor ensembles obtained from both methods is carried out. Our analysis indicates apparent differences between both methods that are discussed in detail. Contamination by ablation products is identified as one of the key factors that influence damage density measurements.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2015

Peculiarities of high-overtone transition probabilities in carbon monoxide revealed by high-precision calculation

In the recent work devoted to the calculation of the rovibrational line list of the CO molecule [G. Li et al., Astrophys. J., Suppl. Ser. 216, 15 (2015)], rigorous validation of the calculated parameters including intensities was carried out. In particular, the Normal Intensity Distribution Law (NIDL) [E. S. Medvedev, J. Chem. Phys. 137, 174307 (2012)] was employed for the validation purposes, and it was found that, in the original CO line list calculated for large changes of the vibrational quantum number up to Δn = 41, intensities with Δn > 11 were unphysical. Therefore, very high overtone transitions were removed from the published list in Li et al. Here, we show how this type of validation is carried out and prove that the quadruple precision is indispensably required to predict the reliable intensities using the conventional 32-bit computers. Based on these calculations, the NIDL is shown to hold up for the 0 → n transitions till the dissociation limit around n = 83, covering 45 orders of magnitude in the intensity. The low-intensity 0 → n transition predicted in the work of Medvedev [Determination of a new molecular constant for diatomic systems. Normal intensity distribution law for overtone spectra of diatomic and polyatomic molecules and anomalies in overtone absorption spectra of diatomic molecules, Institute of Chemical Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Chernogolovka, 1984] at n = 5 is confirmed, and two additional “abnormal” intensities are found at n = 14 and 23. Criteria for the appearance of such “anomalies” are formulated. The results could be useful to revise the high-overtone molecular transition probabilities provided in spectroscopic databases.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Fully consistent Eulerian Monte Carlo fields method for solving probability density function transport equations in turbulence modeling

The probability density function (PDF) transport equation method is a sophisticated model for the closure of turbulent mixing and turbulent reactive flows. An efficient solution approach for solving the PDF transport equation has been vital for the method to be widely used in applications. The Eulerian Monte Carlo fields (EMCF) method has been developed to solve the PDF transport equation efficiently for decades. A recent work by Wang et al. revealed a serious issue of the EMCF method for not being fully consistent with the PDF transport equation for which the method is designed to solve. This work advances the state of the art by introducing fully consistent EMCF methods for solving the PDF transport equation. The fully consistent EMCF formulations are derived for two different PDF equation forms. The consistency of the EMCF formulations is mathematically confirmed by examining the derived moment transport equations from the EMCF formulations and from the PDF transport equation. The method of manufactured solutions is employed to further verify the consistency and convergence of the different EMCF formulations numerically. The newly introduced EMCF formulations bring the EMCF method to full consistency with the PDF transport equations for the first time.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

2D microspatial distribution uniformity of photon detection efficiency and crosstalk probability of multi-pixel photon counters

Two-dimensional (2D) microspatial distribution uniformity of photon detection efficiency (PDE) and optical crosstalk probability P{sub ct} of multi-pixel photon counters (MPPCs) is studied. The experimental results show that the 2D spatial distribution of P{sub ct} is obviously uneven, i.e. P{sub ct} is larger at the corners and edges of a single pixel in MPPCs, which suggest a higher electrical field in the depletion region of the pixel at the corners and edges. The nonuniformity of the 2D spatial distribution of PDE also become evident when the size of the pixels of MPPCs is small, which signifies higher nonuniformity of the electric field distribution in MPPCs with small pixel size. A method is proposed for characterization of the 2D electrical field spatial distribution uniformity in a single pixel of MPPCs, which can be used for guiding the optimisation of the fabrication process of MPPCs and their properties. This promising method can naturally be extended to any Geiger avalanche photodiodes (G-APDs) and their arrays. (laser applications and other topics in quantum electronics)

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2024

Measuring the robustness of predictive probability for early stopping in two-group comparisons

We report physical experiments are often expensive and time-consuming. Test engineers must certify the compatibility of aircraft and their weapon systems before they can be deployed in the field, but the testing required is time consuming, expensive, and resource limited. Adopting Bayesian adaptive designs is a promising way to borrow from the successes seen in the clinical trials domain. The use of predictive probability (PP) to stop testing early and make faster decisions is particularly appealing given the aforementioned constraints. Given the high-consequence nature of the tests performed in the national security space, a strong understanding of new methods is required before being deployed. Although PP has been thoroughly studied for binary data, there is less work with continuous data, where many reliability studies are interested in certifying the specification limits of components. A simulation study evaluating the robustness of this approach indicates early stopping based on PP is reasonably robust to minor assumption violations, especially when only a few interim analyses are conducted. The simulation study also compares PP to conditional power, showing its relative strengths and weaknesses. A post-hoc analysis exploring whether release requirements of a weapon system from an aircraft are within specification with desired reliability resulted in stopping the experiment early and saving 33% of the experimental runs.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2016

Comparing the reliability of related populations with the probability of agreement

Combining information from different populations to improve precision, simplify future predictions, or improve underlying understanding of relationships can be advantageous when considering the reliability of several related sets of systems. Using the probability of agreement to help quantify the similarities of populations can help to give a realistic assessment of whether the systems have reliability that are sufficiently similar for practical purposes to be treated as a homogeneous population. In addition, the new method is described and illustrated with an example involving two generations of a complex system where the reliability is modeled using either a logistic or probit regression model. Note that supplementary materials including code, datasets, and added discussion are available online.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2013

COSMIC MICROWAVE BACKGROUND LIKELIHOOD APPROXIMATION FOR BANDED PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

We investigate sets of random variables that can be arranged sequentially such that a given variable only depends conditionally on its immediate predecessor. For such sets, we show that the full joint probability distribution may be expressed exclusively in terms of uni- and bivariate marginals. Under the assumption that the cosmic microwave background (CMB) power spectrum likelihood only exhibits correlations within a banded multipole range, Δl{sub C}, we apply this expression to two outstanding problems in CMB likelihood analysis. First, we derive a statistically well-defined hybrid likelihood estimator, merging two independent (e.g., low- and high-l) likelihoods into a single expression that properly accounts for correlations between the two. Applying this expression to the Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe (WMAP) likelihood, we verify that the effect of correlations on cosmological parameters in the transition region is negligible in terms of cosmological parameters for WMAP; the largest relative shift seen for any parameter is 0.06σ. However, because this may not hold for other experimental setups (e.g., for different instrumental noise properties or analysis masks), but must rather be verified on a case-by-case basis, we recommend our new hybridization scheme for future experiments for statistical self-consistency reasons. Second, we use the same expression to improve the convergence rate of the Blackwell-Rao likelihood estimator, reducing the required number of Monte Carlo samples by several orders of magnitude, and thereby extend it to high-l applications.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2013

Probability distribution functions of {sup 12}CO(J = 1 → 0) brightness and integrated intensity in M51: The PAWS view

We analyze the distribution of CO brightness temperature and integrated intensity in M51 at ∼40 pc resolution using new {sup 12}CO(J = 1 → 0) data from the Plateau de Bure Arcsecond Whirlpool Survey (PAWS). We present probability distribution functions (PDFs) of the CO emission within the PAWS field of view, which covers the inner ∼11 × 7 kpc of M51. We find clear variations in the shape of CO PDFs both within different M51 environments, defined according to dynamical criteria, and among M51 and two nearby low-mass galaxies, M33 and the Large Magellanic Cloud (LMC). Globally, the PDFs for the inner disk of M51 can be represented by narrow lognormal functions that cover ∼1-2 orders of magnitude in CO brightness and integrated intensity. The PDFs for M33 and the LMC are narrower and peak at lower CO intensities, consistent with their lower gas surface densities. However, the CO PDFs for different dynamical environments within the PAWS field depart significantly from the shape of the global distribution. The PDFs for the interarm region are approximately lognormal, but in the spiral arms and central region of M51, they exhibit diverse shapes with a significant excess of bright CO emission. The observed environmental dependence on the shape of the CO PDFs is qualitatively consistent with changes that would be expected if molecular gas in the spiral arms is characterized by a larger range of average densities, gas temperatures, and velocity fluctuations, although further work is required to disentangle the relative importance of large-scale dynamical effects versus star formation feedback in regulating these properties. We show that the shape of the CO PDFs for different M51 environments is only weakly related to global properties of the CO emission, e.g., the total CO luminosity, but is strongly correlated with properties of the local giant molecular cloud (GMC) and young stellar cluster populations, including the shape of their mass distributions. For galaxies with strong spiral structure such as M51, our results indicate that galactic-scale dynamical processes play a significant role in the formation and evolution of GMCs and stellar clusters.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2014

On the evolution of the density probability density function in strongly self-gravitating systems

The time evolution of the probability density function (PDF) of the mass density is formulated and solved for systems in free-fall using a simple approximate function for the collapse of a sphere. We demonstrate that a pressure-free collapse results in a power-law tail on the high-density side of the PDF. The slope quickly asymptotes to the functional form P{sub V} (ρ)∝ρ{sup –1.54} for the (volume-weighted) PDF and P{sub M} (ρ)∝ρ{sup –0.54} for the corresponding mass-weighted distribution. From the simple approximation of the PDF we derive analytic descriptions for mass accretion, finding that dynamically quiet systems with narrow density PDFs lead to retarded star formation and low star formation rates (SFRs). Conversely, strong turbulent motions that broaden the PDF accelerate the collapse causing a bursting mode of star formation. Finally, we compare our theoretical work with observations. The measured SFRs are consistent with our model during the early phases of the collapse. Comparison of observed column density PDFs with those derived from our model suggests that observed star-forming cores are roughly in free-fall.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2014

Coupled escape probability for an asymmetric spherical case: Modeling optically thick comets

We have adapted Coupled Escape Probability, a new exact method of solving radiative transfer problems, for use in asymmetrical spherical situations. Our model is intended specifically for use in modeling optically thick cometary comae, although not limited to such use. This method enables the accurate modeling of comets' spectra even in the potentially optically thick regions nearest the nucleus, such as those seen in Deep Impact observations of 9P/Tempel 1 and EPOXI observations of 103P/Hartley 2.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2014

Probability friends-of-friends (PFOF) group finder: Performance study and observational data applications on photometric surveys

In tandem with observational data sets, we utilize realistic mock catalogs, based on a semi-analytic galaxy formation model, constructed specifically for Pan-STARRS1 Medium Deep Surveys to assess the performance of the Probability Friends-of-Friends (PFOF) group finder, and aim to develop a grouping optimization method applicable to surveys like Pan-STARRS1. Producing mock PFOF group catalogs under a variety of photometric redshift accuracies (σ{sub Δz/(1+z{sub s)}}), we find that catalog purities and completenesses from 'good' (σ{sub Δz/(1+z{sub s)}}∼ 0.01) to 'poor' (σ{sub Δz/(1+z{sub s)}}∼ 0.07) photo-zs gradually degrade from 77% and 70% to 52% and 47%, respectively. A 'subset optimization' approach is developed by using spectroscopic-redshift group data from the target field to train the group finder for application to that field and demonstrated using zCOSMOS groups for PFOF searches within PS1 Medium Deep Field04 (PS1MD04) and DEEP2 EGS groups in PS1MD07. With four data sets spanning the photo-z accuracy range from 0.01 to 0.06, we find purities and completenesses agree with their mock analogs. Further tests are performed via matches to X-ray clusters. We find PFOF groups match ∼85% of X-ray clusters identified in COSMOS and PS1MD04, lending additional support to the reliability of the detection algorithm. In the end, we demonstrate, by separating red and blue group galaxies in the EGS and PS1MD07 group catalogs, that the algorithm is not biased with respect to specifically recovering galaxies by color. The analyses suggest the PFOF algorithm shows great promise as a reliable group finder for photometric galaxy surveys of varying depth and coverage.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2014

Turbulence-induced relative velocity of dust particles. III. The probability distribution

Motivated by its important role in the collisional growth of dust particles in protoplanetary disks, we investigate the probability distribution function (PDF) of the relative velocity of inertial particles suspended in turbulent flows. Using the simulation from our previous work, we compute the relative velocity PDF as a function of the friction timescales, τ{sub p1} and τ{sub p2}, of two particles of arbitrary sizes. The friction time of the particles included in the simulation ranges from 0.1τ{sub η} to 54T {sub L}, where τ{sub η} and T {sub L} are the Kolmogorov time and the Lagrangian correlation time of the flow, respectively. The relative velocity PDF is generically non-Gaussian, exhibiting fat tails. For a fixed value of τ{sub p1}, the PDF shape is the fattest for equal-size particles (τ{sub p2} = τ{sub p1}), and becomes thinner at both τ{sub p2} < τ{sub p1} and τ{sub p2} > τ{sub p1}. Defining f as the friction time ratio of the smaller particle to the larger one, we find that, at a given f in (1/2) ≲ f ≲ 1, the PDF fatness first increases with the friction time τ{sub p,h} of the larger particle, peaks at τ{sub p,h} ≅ τ{sub η}, and then decreases as τ{sub p,h} increases further. For 0 ≤ f ≲ (1/4), the PDF becomes continuously thinner with increasing τ{sub p,h}. The PDF is nearly Gaussian only if τ{sub p,h} is sufficiently large (>>T {sub L}). These features are successfully explained by the Pan and Padoan model. Using our simulation data and some simplifying assumptions, we estimated the fractions of collisions resulting in sticking, bouncing, and fragmentation as a function of the dust size in protoplanetary disks, and argued that accounting for non-Gaussianity of the collision velocity may help further alleviate the bouncing barrier problem.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2015

THE BLACK HOLE FORMATION PROBABILITY

A longstanding question in stellar evolution is which massive stars produce black holes (BHs) rather than neutron stars (NSs) upon death. It has been common practice to assume that a given zero-age main sequence (ZAMS) mass star (and perhaps a given metallicity) simply produces either an NS or a BH, but this fails to account for a myriad of other variables that may effect this outcome, such as spin, binarity, or even stochastic differences in the stellar structure near core collapse. We argue that instead a probabilistic description of NS versus BH formation may be better suited to account for the current uncertainties in understanding how massive stars die. We present an initial exploration of the probability that a star will make a BH as a function of its ZAMS mass, P {sub BH}(M {sub ZAMS}). Although we find that it is difficult to derive a unique P {sub BH}(M {sub ZAMS}) using current measurements of both the BH mass distribution and the degree of chemical enrichment by massive stars, we demonstrate how P {sub BH}(M {sub ZAMS}) changes with these various observational and theoretical uncertainties. We anticipate that future studies of Galactic BHs and theoretical studies of core collapse will refine P {sub BH}(M {sub ZAMS}) and argue that this framework is an important new step toward better understanding BH formation. A probabilistic description of BH formation will be useful as input for future population synthesis studies that are interested in the formation of X-ray binaries, the nature and event rate of gravitational wave sources, and answering questions about chemical enrichment.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2015

IGM CONSTRAINTS FROM THE SDSS-III/BOSS DR9 Lyα FOREST TRANSMISSION PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION

The Lyα forest transmission probability distribution function (PDF) is an established probe of the intergalactic medium (IGM) astrophysics, especially the temperature-density relationship of the IGM. We measure the transmission PDF from 3393 Baryon Oscillations Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS) quasars from Sloan Digital Sky Survey Data Release 9, and compare with mock spectra that include careful modeling of the noise, continuum, and astrophysical uncertainties. The BOSS transmission PDFs, measured at (z) = [2.3, 2.6, 3.0], are compared with PDFs created from mock spectra drawn from a suite of hydrodynamical simulations that sample the IGM temperature-density relationship, γ, and temperature at mean density, T {sub 0}, where T(Δ) = T {sub 0}Δ{sup γ} {sup –} {sup 1}. We find that a significant population of partial Lyman-limit systems (LLSs) with a column-density distribution slope of β{sub pLLS} ∼ – 2 are required to explain the data at the low-transmission end of transmission PDF, while uncertainties in the mean Lyα forest transmission affect the high-transmission end. After modeling the LLSs and marginalizing over mean transmission uncertainties, we find that γ = 1.6 best describes the data over our entire redshift range, although constraints on T {sub 0} are affected by systematic uncertainties. Within our model framework, isothermal or inverted temperature-density relationships (γ ≤ 1) are disfavored at a significance of over 4σ, although this could be somewhat weakened by cosmological and astrophysical uncertainties that we did not model.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

OH density, flux and loss probability measurements in a room temperature atmospheric pressure surface discharge by microscopic laser induced fluorescence

Many applications involving atmospheric pressure plasma-substrate interactions are enabled by the large fluxes of short-lived reactive species such as OH radicals to the substrate, nonetheless, the accurate measurement of radical densities and fluxes at substrates at atmospheric pressure has received little attention to date, particularly for surface ionization waves. We report the measurement of the OH density distribution in a surface discharge on a fused silica (quartz) substrate generated by an impinging atmospheric pressure plasma jet in dry and humid helium. The OH density is measured by microscopic laser induced fluorescence with a spatial resolution of 10 µm in the direction perpendicular to the quartz substrate. The measured OH diffusive flux varied for the investigated experimental conditions by almost three orders of magnitude and had a maximum value of 1.7 × 10 15 cm -2 s -1 . The corresponding surface loss probability of OH on the quartz surface was determined to be ~0.01. The high spatial resolution was required to accurately resolve the near surface gradient of OH radicals.

plasma-surface interactions↗