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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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ARIES is the nation's most advanced research platform to support the transition to a clean energy future. This presentation, part of the PEGI Industry Workshop, 24-25 May 2023, discusses ARIES.
Predictive battery life models are commonly utilized to extrapolate degradation trends observed during accelerated aging tests for simulation of degradation in real-world applications. Thus, fitting accelerated aging data as accurately as possible and with low uncertainty is crucial for making believable projections of battery lifetime, but it is challenging to identify algebraic expressions that accurately fit multivariate degradation trends. A review of models published in literature reveal some common expressions for fitting calendar aging data, which is only dependent on temperature and state-of-charge, but no consistency across many models for fitting cycle aging data, indicating the need for a statistically rigorous data driven approach for developing empirical models. This talk will describe a machine-learning assisted method for identification of predictive battery life models utilizing bilevel optimization and symbolic regression. Bilevel optimization with cross-validation is used to statistically determine cell- and stress-dependent model parameters, while symbolic regression identifies both linear and multiplicative candidate expressions to predict stress-dependent degradation rates by selecting low-order subsets of features from a generated feature library. Because model expressions are identified empirically, it is crucial to ensure resulting models behave according to physical expectations, so the stability of models for interpolation or extrapolation is interrogated qualitatively through simulation and quantitatively through cross-validation and uncertainty quantification via bootstrap resampling. This model identification approach substantially improves upon models identified purely using expert judgement in terms of both accuracy and uncertainty. Model simulation and validation is then conducted by deriving a state-equation form of the predictive model, enabling simulation of battery aging under dynamic stresses. This enables validation of the predictive battery model on lab-based tests with varying conditions or on drive-cycle or application-cycle testing protocols. Parameter uncertainty can be carried forward into model simulation, giving lifetime estimates and confidence windows for cell- or system-level lifetime. The financial impact of battery model uncertainty can be estimated by incorporating uncertainty into a technoeconomic model.
As more variable renewable energy sources are added to the grid, the critical role of hydropower as a reliable baseline and firming resource is rapidly growing. However, the U.S hydropower fleet is not fully prepared to face modern issues such as cybersecurity threats. Hydropower accounts for 37% of U.S. utility-scale renewable electricity but is challenged by diverse infrastructure and legacy devices that predate modern security practices. While new cybersecurity solutions cannot simply be added to current hydropower generation and operation technologies, custom cybersecurity assessments can reveal system-specific threats and risk probabilities and identify mitigating enhancements.
This workshop will provide a comprehensive overview to Windfarm Operations and Maintenance cost-Benefit Analysis Tool (WOMBAT), NREL's first wind O&M software model. The session will discuss how to utilize WOMBAT to answer O&M research questions covering land-based, offshore, and distributed wind farms. It will offer an introduction to the model and how it operates. The team will then offer a demonstration of the various modeling parameters by converting the CORE Wind Floating Wind Strategies O&M Assessment assumptions into an analysis-ready configuration, diving into the results, and exploring further model variations.
This presentation emphasizes the critical importance of data-centric AI. The limitations of model-centric AI when dealing with poor or insufficient data are highlighted, and it is illustrated how training models on inaccurate or noisy data leads to suboptimal results. This talk advocates for a hybrid approach that combines a focus on data quality and model parameters to achieve optimal results. The Open Energy Data Initiative (OEDI) is introduced as a valuable resource for obtaining high-quality energy-related datasets, hosting nearly 2,000 publicly accessible datasets, including 99 solar-related datasets, totaling over 2.7 petabytes of data. OEDI's data lakes enable users to query and work with data without extensive transfers. In conclusion, the significance of data-centric AI and adherence to data curation best practices is emphasized, positioning OEDI as a prime source of high-quality data for AI and machine learning in the renewable energy sector.
The objective of the ExaWind component of the Exascale Computing Project is to deliver many-turbine blade-resolved simulations in complex terrain. These simulations bring new challenges to both compute and analysis of the resulting data. In this paper/video, we visually explore the impact of ExaWind on wind simulations through two studies of a small wind farm under two atmospheric conditions. We then turn to analysis and review tools that visualization researchers at NREL use to answer the challenges that ExaWind brings.
This poster discusses AI and ML topics in PV reliability and system performance. In particular, automated metadata extraction and QA for fielded solar installations is covered for the PV Fleets Project. Additionally, statistical learning topics for the PVInsight Project are addressed, as well as development of the PV Validation Hub.
The objective of this project is to develop modular data repository and computing architecture with open-source datasets and baseline DER management algorithms.
When optimizing turbine blade properties, using a time varying, unsteady simulation allows for high-fidelity representations of the wake dynamics. Unfortunately these types of optimizations are prohibitively expensive in terms of computation time and memory requirements. This presentation aims to show a method of transferring the wake dynamics of an unsteady simulation to a much more computationally tractable steady state simulation using hybrid actuator disks informed by unsteady, actuator line model dynamics.
We explore the aerodynamic implications of a novel data-driven separable shape tensor framework used to represent discrete airfoil shapes. In this study, we construct a data-driven parameter space defined by separable shape tensors and informed by tens of thousands of distinct airfoils. We use this design space to generate new airfoil designs to study parametric sensitivities with respect to various aerodynamic responses. We use a HAM2D RANS solver to approximate the lift, drag, and moment coefficients for the generated airfoils at two different angles-of-attack. We analyze the robustness and sensitivities of using the separable shape tensor design space by examining the coverage of the aerodynamic response space, uncovering low-dimensional polynomial ridge approximations, and computing various sensitivity metrics. The results show that the data-driven design space produce significant variation in target aerodynamic quantities and facilitate highly accurate approximations (R^2 > 0.96) of one- and two-dimensional structures in each aerodynamic response. This further reduces the effective dimension to enable simplified design and optimization tasks.
Dmitry Duplyakin will be presenting on the latest research and results in the Tools Assessing Performance (TAP) 2.0 project. This presentation will include updates on the latest data the group has produced, integration of obstacle models in the computational pipeline for distributed wind siting, and the plans for the near-term analysis and validation efforts. The talk will acknowledge the work of collaborators from NREL and three other national labs - ANL, LANL, and PNNL - all contributing to this multi-year project.
As PV modules continue to trend toward larger, thinner, and more flexible forms they grow more susceptible to damage from dynamic wind loading. As a result, understanding the impact of wind on PV systems, particularly when mounted on solar-tracking hardware, and identifying robust, stable array layouts and stow strategies is becoming increasingly important for the PV community. In our ongoing DuraMAT project, we are developing an open-source software package, PVade (PV aerodynamic design engineering), to simulate the cascading fluid-structure interaction that occurs within solar-tracking arrays to enable researchers to test hardware, layout, and tracker control changes, leading to enhanced stability and a reduction in wind-driven damage. We will give an overview of the PVade software, highlighting recent user-interface and algorithm developments, before presenting the latest outcomes from our ongoing validation campaign in which we analyze and compare with experimental data obtained from a DuraMAT 1 project. From there, we will present simulated results from a larger, multi-row array and highlight relationships between varying tracker angles and stability as measured by different experimentally validated metrics.
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The photovoltaic (PV) industry constantly aims for lower costs, higher-efficiency cells, and improved module designs. These trends lead to using new materials, designs, and manufacturing processes, resulting in a continually changing technological landscape. These changes can potentially introduce new, unknown degradation mechanisms and failure modes that are difficult to diagnose, analyze, test, and model. This introduces uncertainty into the expected lifetime of PV modules of 25 to 50 years. research efforts aim to achieve this while keeping performance degradation at a minimum for decades. This puts considerable pressure on improving the accuracy of long-term durability and reliability assessments. There is a need to organize the existing degradation data into an accessible format and to provide industry relevant tools for extrapolation from laboratory to field conditions. Because the core of this type of analysis involves calculations that are complicated but ubiquitous for many degradation processes, an enhanced predictive modeling framework will facilitate the analysis to help researchers keep up with the rapid pace of technological changes. In this work, we present an online tool that can be used to search for and analyze degradation information and extrapolate PV module performance and durability to field exposure. The tool will simplify many of the routine computational operations that are common to many degradation studies. The prediction tool will be built modular and published as open source, enabling users to expand on the existing framework. This repository will contain various degradation models and material parameters suitable for the reliability and durability assessment of materials and components deployed outdoors.
We introduce NOODLES, a lightweight collaborative visualization and analysis protocol. NOODLES was developed to enable new scientific workflows while enhancing existing pipelines. Using a technology-minimal approach to strengthen applicability, this protocol allows researchers to tie disparate software together as well as making domain specific visualizations accessible across various platforms and form factors. In this talk we discuss background, challenges, and gaps in the current tool landscape that lead to the development of the protocol. We then describe the design of the protocol and present several use cases to demonstrate the efficacy of NOODLES in addressing complex visualization challenges and how it co-exists with existing tools. We conclude by outlining in-progress work and potential avenues for future development within the NOODLES framework.
In energy storage materials, strong electrochemical-mechanical coupling and highly anisotropic material properties contribute to the formation and propagation of micro-cracking during charge/discharge cycling, resulting in reduced performance and service life. In this work, a digital twin is created to investigate the performance of a Li-ion battery cathode and simulate degradation accumulation. Pixel-based model construction is used to represent the complex material geometries from microstructural images supplied by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). Because of the expected large deformation and crack opening, the reproducing kernel particle method (RKPM), a meshfree method with discretization at the image pixels, is used to approximate the field variables: electrostatic potential, concentration, and displacement. An interface modified reproducing kernel (IM-RK) is constructed by scaling a smooth kernel function with an interface-distance function to achieve strategic discontinuity types (i.e. weak discontinuities for strain discontinuities and strong discontinuities for cracks) and alleviate Gibbs oscillations near these transition zones. The discrete nature of the images' pixel points is employed throughout the model and approximation construction. The mechanical model is verified using an image-based microstructure under tensile loading. A transient electro-chemo-mechanical coupled simulation is performed to evaluate the potential micro-cracking induced degradation of the battery cathode material subjected to charge/discharge cycling.
As part of the Tools and Apps for Agrivoltaics session, NREL presents their tools that have capabilities for modeling PV and agricultural dual use sites. These include the System Advisor Model (SAM), bifacial_radiance open-source raytracing tool, and a simplified agriPV calculator available in the InSPIRE website.
pvdeg is an open-source python library that provides set of tools to calculate degradation responses and degradation related parameters for PV.