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At least 541 records · Page 30

Development and application of marginal likelihood optimization for integral parameter adjustment

When adjusting nuclear data with integral experiments, care must be taken that spurious adjustments are not made by assimilating poorly characterized integral parameters. If there are unaccounted for biases or poorly estimated uncertainties in the calculated and experimental values for an integral parameter, the Bayesian data assimilation may adjust the nuclear data in a manner that does not reflect the physics of the integral parameter. To identify and lessen the impact of these inconsistent integral parameters, in this study we present a Marginal Likelihood Optimization algorithm. In a data-driven way, the marginalized likelihood is used to modulate hyperparameter terms that decrease the influence of inconsistent integral parameters on the adjustment. The advantage of this approach over other methods in the literature is that it incorporates correlation information and does not remove an integral parameter from the adjustment. Herein, we present and motivate the algorithm, and apply it to an integral data assimilation case study.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Which nuclear data can be validated with LLNL pulsed-sphere experiments?

It is shown here that 14-MeV D+T LLNL pulsed-sphere experiments bring complementary information into the process of validating nuclear data compared to experiments that are traditionally used for this purpose—such as critical assemblies. To be more specific, the 14-MeV D+T LLNL pulsed-sphere neutron-leakage spectra enable to validate scattering and fission nuclear data up to 15 MeV (compared to approximately up to 5 MeV when using criticality experiments) and employ to this end simple compound targets containing only few isotopes. In this work, sensitivity profiles of the spectra to nuclear data are calculated in order to understand in detail which isotopes, observables, and energy ranges of nuclear data contribute significantly to their simulation. These profiles are presented for a few selected spheres containing 16 O, 12 C, 56 Fe, and 239 Pu. It is shown that the neutron-leakage spectra of spheres containing light elements are mostly sensitive to elastic- and inelastic-scattering cross sections on discrete levels and corresponding angular distributions. Spheres of structural materials are sensitive to elastic- and inelastic-scattering cross sections, including scattering on discrete levels and the continuum, and double-differential cross sections. Actinide spheres are also strongly sensitive to the fission observables, in particular to the total-fission neutron spectrum. Thin spheres (in which neutrons experience on average less than one scatter) are mostly sensitive to data near the elastic peak, in the energy range from 12–15 MeV, while thicker ones can be sensitive to data at lower incident-neutron energies due to multiple-scattering effects. This information is brought together with simulations of 71 pulsed-sphere neutron-leakage spectra using the ENDF/B-VII.1 and ENDF/B-VIII.0 nuclear-data libraries. This analysis highlights ENDF/B-VIII.0 data that could be further investigated for potential shortcomings ( 6 Li, 12 C, 16 O, 24-26 Mg, 27 Al, 48 Ti, 56 Fe, and 208 Pb) or are likely reliable ( 1,2 H, 7 Li, 9 Be, 14 N, 235,238 U, and 239 Pu) as indicated by validating with LLNL pulsed-sphere experiments.

14-MeV D+T LLNL pulsed-sphere neutron-leakage spec↗

Measurements of effective actinides neutron capture cross sections in a cadmium-filtered epithermal neutron spectrum

In this work, a total of 20 actinide samples were irradiated in the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) at Idaho National Laboratory (INL): 233 U (1), 235 U (1), 236 U (1), 238 U (1), 237 Np (2), 239 Pu (1), 240 Pu (1), 242 Pu (2), 244 Pu (2), 241 Am (2), 243 Am (2), 244 Cm (2), and 248 Cm (2). The samples were loaded in a basket containing a 1.1-mm thick cadmium filter. The presence of the filter drastically changes the neutron spectrum in the samples and accentuates the reaction rates in the resonance region. Isotopic ratios were determined using Multi-Collector Inductively Coupled Plasma Mass Spectrometry (MC-ICP-MS) that allowed inferring effective capture cross sections. Detailed best-estimate MCNP models of the experiment using ENDF/B-VII.0 nuclear data were developed to calculate the effective neutron cross sections and, subsequently, compare them with the cross sections inferred from experimental results.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Lie group analysis of the point-reactor neutron kinetics equations for various reactivity models

This work applies Lie Group Theory to the nonlinear point-reactor neutron kinetics equations for several reactivity feedback and reactivity insertion models. The goal of this work is to connect known analytical solutions to their corresponding Lie groups as well as to obtain new analytical solutions and the circumstances from which they arise. The reactivity models we consider are the Nordheim-Fuchs Model, an arbitrary-order polynomial reactivity insertion model, and the Fuchs Ramp-Insertion Model. In all three models, we generalize the analysis when possible and obtain analytical solutions in every case. For the first two models, we succeed in finding the Lie groups corresponding to classical solutions and find additional solutions that were otherwise unknown. Finally, for the final model, we obtain a reduced-order nonlinear kinetics equation which is not analytically solvable, but by applying a second-order truncation, we find a novel closed-form solution and demonstrate its validity with a numerical example.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Neutron thermalization in nuclear graphite: A modern story of a classic moderator

Graphite has been of great interest since the dawn of the nuclear era. In this work, we will focus on the thermal neutron scattering of two types of nuclear graphite that have different microstructures, namely, the historic PGA which has a very anisotropic medium-grained needle coke, and the new G347A which is a near-isotropic fine-grained graphite. We report the results of room temperature inelastic neutron scattering measurements for the scattering function, double differential scattering cross-section, and phonon density of states. The obtained results are discussed in conjunction with results extracted from first-principles lattice dynamics simulations of crystalline graphite, using the incoherent approximation and by also including the coherent-one phonon contribution. Excellent agreements have been found between the measured and calculated scattering functions and phonon densities of states. The inclusion of the coherent-one phonon scattering shows a significant improvement of the calculated scattering functions, double differentials, and inelastic scattering cross-sections. We also highlight the physical concerns about the current thermal neutron scattering ENDF/B-VIII of nuclear graphite library and its corresponding phonon density of states. This work aims to provide a new presentation of neutron thermalization by graphite and offers a new set of high quality experimental and computational data for consideration.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Quasi-differential neutron induced neutron emissions from 235 U, and 239 Pu

Uncertainty in nuclear reaction cross sections, angular distributions, and other nuclear data directly impact how well simulations of nuclear systems represent physical observations. Here, to determine how well the nuclear data in ENDF/B-VIII.0, JEFF-3.3, and JENDL-4.0 evaluations describe the physical behaviour of 235 U, and 239 Pu when subjected to a neutron flux, the neutron emission spectrum was measured for carbon, 93.0% 235 U, and 93.9% 239 Pu samples, and compared against detailed MCNP6 simulations. The measurements were performed at the Los Alamos Neutron Science Center using a quasi-differential method previously developed at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute. The measurement spanned 0.82–20 MeV and 30–150 degrees. The measurements show there are a significant number of discrepancies between library predictions of the neutron yield and physical observation. A few of the main discrepancies found are described in this paper. Based on these results a new evaluation utilizing these results for carbon, 235 U, and 239 Pu is recommended.

235U↗

A physics-based parametric regression approach for feedwater pump system diagnosis

Here in this paper, we assessed the performance of a model-based approach for fault diagnosis of a nuclear power plant feedwater pump system. Physics-based models were constructed to monitor the performance of the system components. Plant data were used for the calibration of the models and subsequently in the diagnosis of abnormal events. We considered two real-time events representing scenarios of a pump fault and component performance degradation. The two events were correctly diagnosed, and the results demonstrated the high detection sensitivity of the physics-based models. Various sensor fault scenarios were simulated to show the capability of the approach to detect and uniquely identify sensor faults. Results for a scenario in which the plant operated in flexible power mode also showed that the diagnostic approach is insensitive to changes of operating conditions, which is one of the advantages of the model-based approach using physics-based models over purely data-driven approach.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Estimation of the time for steam generator trip due to cyber intrusions

The time required to trip a pressurized water reactor (PWR) by inserting malicious signals into its steam generator (SG) control system has been studied using the Generic PWR (GPWR) Simulator. A semi-analytical model is developed to approximately reproduce the simulator response and understand the dynamics of the control unit. A series of two proportional-integral controllers determines control action according to preset constants, the readings from the feedwater level sensor, and those from feedwater and steam flowrate transmitters. It is observed that the most important factor that determines whether a trip will occur is how much additional water is added to or withheld from the SG over time compared to normal operating conditions. In order to determine the effects of control action on the SG, changes in mass inventory are considered. This approach models the SG water level as a function of mass inventory and has a backward temporal memory. A Python interface is developed for the GPWR framework to automatically simulate different spoofing scenarios and post-process the related data. We observe that the trip times predominantly depend on flow mismatch and/or level errors. Controller parameters, including the integral time and gain constants, either speed up or slow down the rate of progression to a trip setpoint but do not cause a trip by themselves. The reactor can trip on a high-level signal when the reading crosses above 78%, increased from its reference level of 57%, or a low-level reading when it is below 25%. The present results show roughly how long the operators would have to respond to an attack, given a specific set of spoofing signals within the issue space analyzed. Furthermore, we have generated a simple surface by fitting a combination of exponential functions to the data obtained from the GPWR Simulator. In general, trips on a low level have been observed to occur faster than those on a high level.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Generation of localized reactor point kinetics parameters using coupled neutronic and thermal fluid models for pebble-bed reactor transient analysis

The systems analysis of anticipated operating occurrences and design basis accidents for pebble-bed reactor systems requires knowledge of neutron point kinetics equations (PKE) parameters. Typically, the generation of PKE parameters is performed in a global manner using standalone neutronics calculations, without the inclusion of thermal fluid distributions. We utilize Griffin and Pronghorn for generating global and local PKE parameters which includes the use of thermal fluid distributions to account for localized effects. This work establishes a methodology for calculating PKE parameters for a pebble bed reactor with a coupled neutronics/thermal fluids analysis. PKE parameters generated on a global and local basis are compared against a diffusion solve for a typical load-following transient. Locally-generated neutron kinetic parameters are able to reduce the maximum error in the transient power level from 5% to below 1.5%; along with this, bulk temperature errors were reduced from 12 K to 4 K.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Data reduction in deterministic neutron transport calculations using machine learning

Neutron cross section matrices for fission and scattering data are required for each material, temperature, and enrichment level to calculate the neutron transport equation accurately. Here, this information can be a limiting factor when using the multigroup discrete ordinates (S N ) method when the number of energy groups is large. Machine Learning (ML) can be used to replace the need for the cross section matrices by reproducing the function that maps the scalar flux to the scattering and fission sources. Through the use of autoencoders and Deep Jointly-Informed Neural Networks (DJINN), the data storage requirements are reduced by 94% of the original data for a 618 group problem. This is accomplished while preserving the scalar flux, maintaining generality, and decreasing wall clock times.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

$χ$-$MeRA$: Computationally efficient adaptive mesh refinement of Monte Carlo mesh based tallies

Here, the reactor physics community is always focused on reducing the computational time and memory required for simulations. $χ$-$MeRA$, which stands for flux-based-($χ$)-Mesh tally Refinement Adaptively, was built to reduce the computational time and memory required to solve the neutronics side of a multiphysics problem when compared to traditional methods for mesh based tallies in Monte Carlo (MC) simulations. $χ$-$MeRA$ couples a MC code with an adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) algorithm to take advantage of the accuracy of a MC code and the efficiency of an AMR algorithm. Also developed within $χ$-$MeRA$ was a set of metrics to assess the effects of the refinement on various parameters in the simulation space. For a plutonium sphere, $χ$-$MeRA$ shows a reduction in memory usage and computation time when compared to a fully refined mesh by a factor of 14.7 and 6.7, respectively. When compared to an unstructured mesh, improvement of 1.3 and 4.8 was achieved for memory usage and computation time. The development of $χ$-$MeRA$ helps solve the neutronics side of a multiphysics problem in a faster, more computationally efficient manner than traditional methods, and the final mesh created contains accurate results that can be passed onto the next physics code.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Total thermal neutron cross section measurements of hydrogen dense polymers from 0.0005–20 eV

Hydrogen dense polymers, specifically polyethylene, polystyrene, and Plexiglas, have served as neutron moderator and reflector materials in hundreds of separate critical benchmark experiments because of their low cost and abundance of hydrogen. In order to accurately model and simulate these critical benchmarks, the thermal scattering law (TSL) evaluation that governs how neutrons will thermalize must be well understood and rigorously validated. To support this validation, researchers at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute performed total neutron cross section measurements for high-density polyethylene & polystyrene over the energy range 0.0005–20 eV and for Plexiglas G & Plexiglas G-UVT over the energy range 0.0005–3 eV. Comparisons were made between the measured cross section and that predicted by the ENDF/B-VIII.0 and Oak Ridge National Laboratory/European Spallation Source/Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute TSL evaluations for polyethylene, Plexiglas, and polystyrene, as available. These experiments represent the first total neutron cross section measurements for polystyrene.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Direct Bayesian inference for fault severity assessment in Digital-Twin-Based fault diagnosis

For applications in condition-based maintenance of nuclear systems, the assessment of fault severity is crucial. In this work, we developed a framework that allows for direct inference of the probability distributions of possible faults in a system. Here, we employed a model-based approach with model residuals generated from analytical redundancy relations provided by physics-based models of the system components. From real-time sensor readings, the values of the model residuals can be calculated, and the posterior probability distributions of the faults can be computed directly using the methods of Bayesian networks. From the posterior distribution of each fault, one can estimate the fault probability based on a chosen threshold and assess the severity of the fault. By eliminating the discretization and simplifications in middle steps, this approach allows us to leverage the available computational resources to provide more accurate fault probability estimates and severity assessments.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Preliminary verification of the MCNP perturbation and fixed-source tally sensitivity tools

Integral benchmark experiments are vital in the adjustment and validation of the nuclear data that govern predictive simulations across the nuclear community. The nuclear data sensitivity capabilities of the Monte Carlo N-Particle (MCNP ®) transport code are currently limited; however, expanding sensitivity capabilities will allow benchmark experiments to be designed to resolve compensating errors and adjust nuclear data where previously prohibitively difficult. This paper provides details of a preliminary verification for the use of (i.) the recently revised perturbation and (ii.) developmental fixed-source sensitivity tools within MCNP to calculate sensitivities of tallied responses (such as current integrated over a surface, F1, and flux averaged over a cell, F4) to nuclear data in fixed-source simulations. Energy-binned and energy-integrated sensitivities calculated with these tools are compared against sensitivities calculated using a central-difference approximation. Here, the verification is completed for four configurations of a benchmarked system using a 4.5-kg plutonium sphere surrounded by varying amounts of copper and/or polyethylene. The results show that sensitivities calculated with the perturbation and fixed-source sensitivity tools agree with the central-difference-based approach.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Forward and inverse predictive transient models of TREAT using surrogate reactivity models

In this work, we present two novel approaches for predicting the power evolution and control rod height of the Transient Reactor Test Facility (TREAT) to support experiment modeling; specifically, transient analysis of the NASA-sponsored Sirius series of experiments. These approaches utilize steady-state Monte Carlo model, point kinetics model, and surrogate models to predict power evolution and control rod axial position during transient experiments. Both approaches were tested and validated against several Sirius experiments that were performed in the TREAT facility at different power levels. The validation test results show very good agreement with the experimental data, and the models were able to accurately predict the power evolution and the axial control rod position with an average error within 3.0%. Finally, this indicates that these approaches will help the reactor engineering team of the TREAT facility in preparing and predicting the power and temperature of the experiment.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗