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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 541 records · Page 30
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Future Projections of the El Niño—Southern Oscillation and Tropical Pacific Mean State in CMIP6

Abstract The El Niño—Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is an important mode of tropical Pacific atmosphere‐ocean variability that drives teleconnections with weather and climate globally. However, prior studies using state‐of‐the‐art climate models lack consensus regarding future ENSO projections and are often impacted by tropical Pacific sea‐surface temperature (SST) biases. We used 173 simulations from 29 climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, version 6 (CMIP6) to analyze model biases and future ENSO projections. We analyzed two ENSO indices, namely the ENSO Longitude Index (ELI), which measures zonal shifts in tropical Pacific deep convection and accounts for changes in background SST, and the Niño 3.4 index, which measures SST anomalies in the central‐eastern equatorial Pacific. We found that the warm eastern tropical‐subtropical Pacific SST bias typical of previous generations of climate models persists into many of the CMIP6 models. Future projections of ENSO shift toward more El Niño‐like conditions based on ELI in 48% of simulations and 55% of models, in association with a future weakening of the zonal equatorial Pacific SST gradient. On the other hand, none of the models project a significant shift toward La Niña‐like conditions. The standard deviation of the Niño 3.4 index indicates a lack of consensus on whether an increase or decrease in ENSO variability is expected in the future. Finally, we found a possible relationship between historical SST and low‐level cloud cover biases in the ENSO region and future changes in ELI; however, this result may be impacted by limitations in data availability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Regularization via f -Divergence: An Application to Multi-Oxide Spectroscopic Analysis

In this paper, we explore the application of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for predicting the chemical composition of complex geologic samples in a simulated Martian atmospheric environment. Specifically, we aim to characterize oxide weight percentages (wt.%) of rock samples analyzed by remote Laser-Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy (LIBS), framing the problem as a multi-target regression task . Neural networks trained on LIBS spectra are prone to overfitting due to high spectral complexity, limited labeled data, and measurement noise. While regularization is critical for improving generalization, common methods (e.g., ℓ 2 regularization) impose constraints not directly tied to data distribution properties. We propose a novel regularization method based on a specific ƒ-divergence induced by a graph-based estimator, designed to constrain the distributional discrepancy between predictions and targets. This regularizer serves a dual purpose: (a) mitigating overfitting by enforcing a constraint on the distributional difference between predictions and noisy targets, and (b) acting as an auxiliary loss that penalizes large divergences. To enable backpropagation, we develop a differentiable approximation of this particular ƒ-divergence, making the method feasible for neural networks. Experiments on ChemCam and SuperCam LIBS calibration spectra show that mathematical equation-divergence regularization outperforms or matches standard regularization methods (ℓ 1 , ℓ 2 , dropout) and the classical baseline, partial least squares (PLS). Combining ƒ-divergence regularization with standard regularization yields further performance gains, indicating that distributional regularization is useful in this context giving a promising direction for robust model training in planetary science applications. Source code is publicly available at Klein and Li (2025), https://doi.org/10.11578/dc.20250530.7.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Inferring protein expression changes from mRNA in Alzheimer’s dementia using deep neural networks

Identifying the molecular systems and proteins that modify the progression of Alzheimer’s disease and related dementias (ADRD) is central to drug target selection. However, discordance between mRNA and protein abundance, and the scarcity of proteomic data, has limited our ability to advance candidate targets that are mainly based on gene expression. Therefore, by using a deep neural network that predicts protein abundance from mRNA expression, here we attempt to track the early protein drivers of ADRD. Specifically, by applying the clei2block deep learning model to 1192 brain RNA-seq samples, we identify protein modules and disease-associated expression changes that were not directly observed at the mRNA level. Moreover, pseudo-temporal trajectory inference based on the predicted proteome became more closely correlated with cognitive decline and hippocampal atrophy compared to RNA-based trajectories. This suggests that the predicted changes in protein expression could provide a better molecular representation of ADRD progression. Furthermore, overlaying clinical traits on protein pseudotime trajectory identifies protein modules altered before cognitive impairment. These results demonstrate how our method can be used to identify potential early protein drivers and possible drug targets for treating and/or preventing ADRD.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Spatio-temporal dynamics of Hendra virus in Australia reveal stable maintenance of diverse viral clades among Pteropus bats

Hendra virus (HeV) was discovered in 1994 in Australia. Limited genomic data have hindered comprehensive understanding of HeV’s evolutionary dynamics. Here, in this work, we recovered 48 HeV genomes from bats and 9 from horses from Australia between 2016 and 2020, revealing four distinct clades. Each clade was distributed over a large spatial area with multiple clades co-circulating within a single bat roost on the same day and over consecutive years. The diversity and temporal stability of co-circulating clades suggest that viral dynamics are driven by episodic shedding of existing lineages maintained at the population level, rather than immune-driven strain-replacement dynamics. HeV isolates of different clades displayed variation in phenotypic properties but minimal antigenic differences. We provide an overview of evolutionary dynamics, phenotypic properties and assessment of countermeasures for HeV, and provide insights into the processes that maintain virus diversity in bats and influence the potential for viral emergence.

genetic variation↗
DOE OSTI2023

Geochemical constraints on bacteriophage infectivity in terrestrial environments

Abstract Lytic phages can be potent and selective inhibitors of microbial growth and can have profound impacts on microbiome composition and function. However, there is uncertainty about the biogeochemical conditions under which phage predation modulates microbial ecosystem function, particularly in terrestrial systems. Ionic strength is critical for infection of bacteria by many phages, but quantitative data is limited on the ion thresholds for phage infection that can be compared with environmental ion concentrations. Similarly, while carbon composition varies in the environment, we do not know how this variability influences the impact of phage predation on microbiome function. Here, we measured the half-maximal effective concentrations (EC50) of 80 different inorganic ions for the infection of E. coli with two canonical dsDNA and ssRNA phages, T4 and MS2, respectively. Many alkaline earth metals and alkali metals enabled lytic infection but the ionic strength thresholds varied for different ions between phages. Additionally, using a freshwater nitrate-reducing microbiome, we found that the ability of lytic phages to influence nitrate reduction end-products depended upon the carbon source as well as ionic strength. For all phage:host pairs, the ion EC50s for phage infection exceeded the ion concentrations found in many terrestrial freshwater systems. Thus, our findings support a model where phages most influence terrestrial microbial functional ecology in hot spots and hot moments such as metazoan guts, drought influenced soils, or biofilms where ion concentration is locally or transiently elevated and nutrients are available to support the growth of specific phage hosts.

Carlson, Hans K. (ORCID:0000000215835313)↗
DOE OSTI2020

Thermodynamic consequences of Tyr to Trp mutations in the cation–π-mediated binding of trimethyllysine by the HP1 chromodomain

Evolution has converged on cation–p interactions for recognition of quaternary alkyl ammonium groups such as trimethyllysine (Kme3). While computational modelling indicates that Trp provides the strongest cation–p interaction of the native aromatic amino acids, there is limited corroborative data from measurements within proteins. Herein we investigate a Tyr to Trp mutation in the binding pocket of the HP1 chromodomain, a reader protein that recognizes Kme3. Binding studies demonstrate that the Trpmediated cation–p interaction is about -5 kcal mol -1 stronger, and the Y24W crystal structure shows that the mutation is not perturbing. Quantum mechanical calculations indicate that greater enthalpic binding is predominantly due to increased cation–π interactions. NMR studies indicate that differences in the unbound state of the Y24W mutation lead to enthalpy–entropy compensation. These results provide direct experimental quantification of Trp versus Tyr in a cation–π interaction and afford insight into the conservation of aromatic cage residues in Kme3 reader domains.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Learning-based approach to plasticity in athermal sheared amorphous packings: Improving softness

The plasticity of amorphous solids undergoing shear is characterized by quasi-localized rearrangements of particles. While many models of plasticity exist, the precise relationship between the plastic dynamics and the structure of a particle’s local environment remains an open question. Previously, machine learning was used to identify a structural predictor of rearrangements called “softness.” Although softness has been shown to predict which particles will rearrange with high accuracy, the method can be difficult to implement in experiments where data are limited and the combinations of descriptors it identifies are often difficult to interpret physically. Here, we address both of these weaknesses, presenting two major improvements to the standard softness method. First, we present a natural representation of each particle’s observed mobility, allowing for the use of statistical models that are both simpler and provide greater accuracy in limited datasets. Second, we employ persistent homology as a systematic means of identifying simple, topologically informed, structural quantities that are easy to interpret and measure experimentally. We test our methods on two-dimensional athermal packings of soft spheres under quasi-static shear. We find that the same structural information that predicts small variations in the response is also predictive of where plastic events will localize. We also find that an excellent accuracy is achieved in athermal sheared packings using simply a particle’s species and the number of nearest neighbor contacts.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Intrinsic synaptic plasticity of ferroelectric field effect transistors for online learning

Nanoelectronic devices emulating neuro-synaptic functionalities through their intrinsic physics at low operating energies is imperative toward the realization of brain-like neuromorphic computers. In this work, we leverage the non-linear voltage dependent partial polarization switching of a ferroelectric field effect transistor to mimic plasticity characteristics of biological synapses. Here, we provide experimental measurements of the synaptic characteristics for a 28nm high-k metal gate technology based device and develop an experimentally calibrated device model for large-scale system performance prediction. Decoupled read-write paths, ultra-low programming energies and the possibility of arranging such devices in a cross-point architecture demonstrate the synaptic efficacy of the device. Our hardware-algorithm co-design analysis reveals that the intrinsic plasticity of the ferroelectric devices has potential to enable unsupervised local learning in edge devices with limited training data

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Wind and solar energy droughts: Potential impacts on energy system dynamics and research needs

This Perspective article provides a brief overview of the topic of wind and solar energy droughts (henceforth WSDs). It does not attempt to provide a complete literature review of the subject but rather highlights some of the main concepts associated with WSDs. These include wind and solar energy drought definitions and metrics; meteorological conditions producing WSDs; a comparison of their characteristics with hydrologic droughts and hydropower droughts; model-based and observational datasets useful for WSD analyses; the linkage of WSDs to transmission, storage, and demand response; the potential impacts of WSDs vs energy demand variations; wind and solar flood events; WSD predictability; WSD dependency on climate modes of variability; climate change impacts on WSDs; and the special challenge of evaluating the characteristics of WSDs in developing countries that have limited historical data available. Finally, the manuscript identifies research areas that the authors believe would provide immediate benefit to energy system planners.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Unraveling complex causal processes that affect sustainability requires more integration between empirical and modeling approaches

Scientists seek to understand the causal processes that generate sustainability problems and determine effective solutions. Yet, causal inquiry in nature–society systems is hampered by conceptual and methodological challenges that arise from nature–society interdependencies and the complex dynamics they create. Here, we demonstrate how sustainability scientists can address these challenges and make more robust causal claims through better integration between empirical analyses and process- or agent-based modeling. To illustrate how these different epistemological traditions can be integrated, we present four studies of air pollution regulation, natural resource management, and the spread of COVID-19. The studies show how integration can improve empirical estimates of causal effects, inform future research designs and data collection, enhance understanding of the complex dynamics that underlie observed temporal patterns, and elucidate causal mechanisms and the contexts in which they operate. These advances in causal understanding can help sustainability scientists develop better theories of phenomena where social and ecological processes are dynamically intertwined and prior causal knowledge and data are limited. The improved causal understanding also enhances governance by helping scientists and practitioners choose among potential interventions, decide when and how the timing of an intervention matters, and anticipate unexpected outcomes. Methodological integration, however, requires skills and efforts of all involved to learn how members of the respective other tradition think and analyze nature–society systems.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Population structure limits the use of genomic data for predicting phenotypes and managing genetic resources in forest trees

There is overwhelming evidence that forest trees are locally adapted to climate. Thus, genecological models based on population phenotypes have been used to measure local adaptation, infer genetic maladaptation to climate, and guide assisted migration. However, instead of phenotypes, there is increasing interest in using genomic data for gene resource management. We used whole-genome resequencing and common-garden experiments to understand the genetic architecture of adaptive traits in black cottonwood. We studied the potential of using genome-wide association studies (GWAS) and genomic prediction to detect causal loci, identify climate-adapted phenotypes, and inform gene resource management. We analyzed population structure by partitioning phenotypic and genomic (single-nucleotide polymorphism) variation among 840 genotypes collected from 91 stands along 16 rivers. Most phenotypic variation (60 to 81%) occurred among populations and was strongly associated with climate. Population phenotypes were predicted well using genomic data (e.g., predictive abilityr> 0.9) but almost as well using climate or geography (r> 0.8). In contrast, genomic prediction within populations was poor (r< 0.2). We identified many GWAS associations among populations, but most appeared to be spurious based on pooled within-population analyses. Hierarchical partitioning of linkage disequilibrium and haplotype sharing suggested that within-population genomic prediction and GWAS were poor because allele frequencies of causal loci and linked markers differed among populations. Given the urgent need to conserve natural populations and ecosystems, our results suggest that climate variables alone can be used to predict population phenotypes, delineate seed zones and deployment zones, and guide assisted migration.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗
DOE OSTI2023

Emission factors of industrial boilers burning biomass-derived fuels

Boilers are combustion devices that provide process heat and are integral to many industrial facilities. Historically, outside of the pulp and paper industry, most boilers burned fossil fuels, although interest in decarbonization has been leading to an increased use of renewable fuels in boilers. These boilers, including those in the biorefineries, are often large sources of air pollutant emissions, and the characterization of these emissions is critical to obtaining air permits and ensuring protection of the surrounding air quality. Several industrial boilers and new biorefineries allow utilization of biomass-derived fuels (e.g. wastewater sludge, lignin, etc.) produced during their operation as a fuel for the boiler to meet process energy needs. However, there is limited empirical data on emission factors for the burning of unconventional fuels, such as solid-gas mixtures containing biomass residues. To fill this gap, we carry out a comprehensive data survey, collecting information on emission factors for boilers burning either a single or a mixture of solid and gaseous biomass-derived fuels. We review multiple hard-to-obtain and unconventional data sources, such as air permit applications, stack test data, and industry-sponsored data collection efforts, to compile emission factors for biomass-derived fuels. We then compare this data with wood residue emission factors from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s AP-42 emission factor database. Our results indicate that the emission factors for boilers burning unconventional fuels vary widely depending on the fuel composition, boiler type, and fuel characteristics. Overall, we find that median emission factors of selected biomass-derived fuels are typically lower than those of wood residue boilers in AP-42. The information collected herein could be useful to permitting agencies and industries utilizing boilers who may want to reduce the carbon impact of their facilities by combusting biomass-derived wastes for process energy needs, for more accurate emission estimation for permitting.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Initial Neutronics Investigation of a Chlorine Salt-Based Breeder Blanket

Tritium breeding blankets within D-T-fueled fusion reactors contain lithium compounds and typically require neutron multiplier materials to achieve a tritium breeding ratio (TBR) consistent with self-sustaining operation. Liquid breeder blankets have some advantages over solid blankets, and previous blanket studies have investigated liquid metal as well as liquid salt–based blankets. Liquid salts have reduced magnetohydrodynamic effects as compared to liquid metals, but typically have a lower TBR. Recently, advanced fission reactor concepts have considered chloride-based salts in their design, and there is a significant amount of research work occurring to study these salts. Chloride salts have previously been considered for fusion reactors, but studies have typically found lower breeding ratios than for fluoride salts, such as 2(LiF)-BeF 2 (flibe) so they have not been further developed. In this work, we use a one-dimensional cylindrical radiation transport model of a conceptual tokamak fusion reactor to investigate the neutronics feasibility of using a chloride salt–based blanket that uses chlorine enriched in 37 Cl, which has both a low capture cross section and a substantial (n,2n) cross section. It is found that chloride salts (LiCl mixed with BeCl 2 and/or PbCl 2 ) can potentially achieve a ~3% to 5% higher TBR than fluoride molten salts, notably flibe, in the absence of a solid multiplier. Including a solid multiplier, however, does narrow this advantage, with TBRs estimated within ~1% of flibe with a 2-cm Be multiplier. Chloride salts can also reach lower melting points than flibe, potentially improving the scope for the use of reduced activation ferritic-martensitic steel as a structural material. There is substantial uncertainty in the calculations driven by limited thermochemical data for the Cl salts, plus cross-section uncertainties. The production of 36 Cl through 35 Cl(n,g) and 37 Cl(n,2n) has the potential to challenge the waste disposal rating of the blanket. Calculations indicate that, while this is not an immediate showstopper, this case depends upon the exact waste disposal rating criteria used for 36 Cl. Further work could reduce these uncertainties with improved thermochemical data, higher-fidelity modeling for downselected salts, and more refined waste disposal calculations and regulatory guidance. Lastly, it must be recognized that, as for all molten salts, corrosion and chemistry can present appreciable technical challenges that require further assessment in developing a practical blanket concept, and also that the enrichment of chlorine presents an additional technical and supply chain challenge.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Enhancing dimensionality prediction in hybrid metal halides via feature engineering and class-imbalance mitigation

We present a machine learning (ML) framework for predicting the structural dimensionality of hybrid metal halides (HMHs), including organic-inorganic perovskites, using a combination of chemically-informed feature engineering and advanced class-imbalance handling techniques. This study is motivated by the small and highly imbalanced nature of experimentally available HMH datasets, which limits the applicability and reliability of conventional ML approaches. The dataset, consisting of 494 HMH structures, is highly imbalanced across dimensionality classes (0D, 1D, 2D, 3D), posing significant challenges to predictive modeling. To mitigate this limitation, the dataset was augmented to 1336 samples using the synthetic minority oversampling technique, enabling improved learning of underrepresented dimensionality classes while preserving chemically meaningful feature relationships. We developed interaction-based descriptors designed to capture coupled steric and polarity effects relevant to dimensionality prediction, which are not readily captured by standard single-parameter or composition-only descriptors. These descriptors are integrated into a multi-stage workflow combining feature selection, ensemble stacking, and performance optimization. Our approach significantly improves F1-scores for underrepresented classes, achieving robust cross-validation performance across all dimensionalities. This work demonstrates a generalizable strategy for extracting reliable and interpretable structure–dimensionality relationships from limited experimental data, enabling pre-synthesis screening of organic cations and providing a practical blueprint for small-data ML in hybrid materials systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Cavitation in a soft porous material

Abstract We study the collapse and expansion of a cavitation bubble in a deformable porous medium. We develop a continuum-scale model that couples compressible fluid flow in the pore network with the elastic response of a solid skeleton. Under the assumption of spherical symmetry, our model can be reduced to an ordinary differential equation that extends the Rayleigh–Plesset equation to bubbles in soft porous media. The extended Rayleigh–Plesset equation reveals that finite-size effects lead to the breakdown of the universal scaling relation between bubble radius and time that holds in the infinite-size limit. Our data indicate that the deformability of the porous medium slows down the collapse and expansion processes, a result with important consequences for wide-ranging phenomena, from drug delivery to spore dispersion.

Leng, Yu↗
DOE OSTI2026

Genomic analysis of Klebsiella aerogenes circulating in New Mexico

Klebsiella aerogenes is an opportunistic pathogen and a growing cause of healthcare-associated infections, characterized by multidrug resistance and the emergence of global high-risk clones. However, regional genomic surveillance data remain limited. Here, we sought to characterize the population structure, transmission dynamics and resistance mechanisms of clinical K. aerogenes in Albuquerque, New Mexico. We sequenced 177 clinical isolates collected between 2021 and 2023. We also developed a novel, species-specific PopPUNK database to facilitate rapid, high-resolution typing. The New Mexico K. aerogenes population was diverse but dominated by two global pandemic lineages, ST93 (47.5%) and ST4 (7.9%), which were significantly enriched for the virulence factors yersiniabactin and colibactin. Genomic evidence for recent local transmission was rare, with only four putative transmission pairs identified. The resistome was characterized by intrinsic and adaptive mutations. Nearly all isolates possessed gyrA mutations associated with decreased fluoroquinolone susceptibility. Mutations in the AmpC regulator AmpD and the outer membrane porin Omp36 were common, particularly within the dominant ST93 lineage. These mutations have been associated with increased AmpC-mediated carbapenem resistance. Our findings underscore the critical importance of genomic surveillance to monitor the transmission and evolution of adaptive resistance.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗