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At least 541 records · Page 30
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2006

Comparison of Recent Modeled and Observed Trends in Total Column Ozone

We present a comparison of trends in total column ozone from 10 two-dimensional and 4 three-dimensional models and solar backscatter ultraviolet-2 (SBUV/2) satellite observations from the period 1979-2003. Trends for the past (1979-2000), the recent 7 years (1996-2003), and the future (2000-2050) are compared. We have analyzed the data using both simple linear trends and linear trends derived with a hockey stick method including a turnaround point in 1996. If the last 7 years, 1996-2003, are analyzed in isolation, the SBUV/2 observations show no increase in ozone, and most of the models predict continued depletion, although at a lesser rate. In sharp contrast to this, the recent data show positive trends for the Northern and the Southern Hemispheres if the hockey stick method with a turnaround point in 1996 is employed for the models and observations. The analysis shows that the observed positive trends in both hemispheres in the recent 7-year period are much larger than what is predicted by the models. The trends derived with the hockey stick method are very dependent on the values just before the turnaround point. The analysis of the recent data therefore depends greatly on these years being representative of the overall trend. Most models underestimate the past trends at middle and high latitudes. This is particularly pronounced in the Northern Hemisphere. Quantitatively, there is much disagreement among the models concerning future trends. However, the models agree that future trends are expected to be positive and less than half the magnitude of the past downward trends. Examination of the model projections shows that there is virtually no correlation between the past and future trends from the individual models.

Andersen, S. B.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Instability of a solidifying binary mixture

An analysis is performed on the stability of a solidifying binary mixture due to surface tension variation of the free liquid surface. The basic state solution is obtained numerically as a nonstationary function of time. Due to the time dependence of the basic state, the stability analysis is of the global type which utilizes a variational technique. Also due to the fact that the basic state is a complex function of both space and time, the stability analysis is performed through numerical means.

Antar, B. N.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Spectral characteristics of time-dependent orbit errors in altimeter height measurements

A mean reference surface and time-dependent orbit errors are estimated simultaneously for each exact-repeat ground track from the first two years of Geosat sea level estimates based on the Goddard Earth model (GEM)-T2 orbits. Motivated by orbit theory and empirical analysis of Geosat data, the time-dependent orbit errors are modeled as 1 cycle per revolution (cpr) sinusoids with slowly varying amplitude and phase. The method recovers the known 'bow tie effect' introduced by the existence of force model errors within the precision orbit determination (POD) procedure used to generate the GEM-T2 orbits. The bow tie pattern of 1-cpr orbit errors is characterized by small amplitudes near the middle and larger amplitudes (up to 160 cm in the 2 yr of data considered here) near the ends of each 5- to 6-day orbit arc over which the POD force model is integrated. A detailed examination of these bow tie patterns reveals the existence of daily modulations of the amplitudes of the 1-cpr sinusoid orbit errors with typical and maximum peak-to-peak ranges of about 14 cm and 30 cm, respectively. The method also identifies a daily variation in the mean orbit error with typical and maximum peak-to-peak ranges of about 6 and 30 cm, respectively, that is unrelated to the predominant 1-cpr orbit error. Application of the simultaneous solution method to the much less accurate Geosat height estimates based on the Naval Astronautics Group orbits concludes that the accuracy of POD is not important for collinear altimetric studies of time-dependent mesoscale variability (wavelengths shorter than 1000 km), as long as the time-dependent orbit errors are dominated by 1-cpr variability and a long-arc (several orbital periods) orbit error estimation scheme such as that presented here is used.

Chelton, Dudley B.↗
NASA NTRS2024

Data-Driven Method for Nonlinear Modal Interaction Identification in Fighter Aircraft

The purpose of this paper is to report a new data-driven analysis methodology for identifying nonlinear modal interactions and its application to aeroelastic wind-tunnel data from a generic fighter configuration, which reveals global modal interactions in this system caused by multiple resonance capture events initiated by local nonlinearities. It is shown that during supersonic testing at the Transonic Dynamics Tunnel, vibro-impacts at the embedded external fuel tank shakers on the inboard underwing stations of the generic fighter introduce strong nonlinearity that gives rise to nonlinear modal interactions. Specifically, time–frequency analysis of the acceleration data demonstrates that 6∶5 and 7∶6 transient resonance captures occur across the aircraft exclusively during this vibro-impact forcing window. Further analysis suggests that these resonance captures are dependent on Mach number. These results show experimentally that local vibro-impacts can cause global nonlinear effects in an aeroelastic system and that these effects can be identified using the new methodology herein. The data-driven analysis scheme employed shows applicability to full-aircraft flight test data for identifying nonlinear modal interactions without knowledge of the precise nonlinear contributors.

nonlinear dynamics↗
NASA NTRS1974

A study of two statistical methods as applied to shuttle solid rocket booster expenditures

The state probability technique and the Monte Carlo technique are applied to finding shuttle solid rocket booster expenditure statistics. For a given attrition rate per launch, the probable number of boosters needed for a given mission of 440 launches is calculated. Several cases are considered, including the elimination of the booster after a maximum of 20 consecutive launches. Also considered is the case where the booster is composed of replaceable components with independent attrition rates. A simple cost analysis is carried out to indicate the number of boosters to build initially, depending on booster costs. Two statistical methods were applied in the analysis: (1) state probability method which consists of defining an appropriate state space for the outcome of the random trials, and (2) model simulation method or the Monte Carlo technique. It was found that the model simulation method was easier to formulate while the state probability method required less computing time and was more accurate.

Perlmutter, M.↗
NASA NTRS1995

Integrated Logistics Support Analysis of the International Space Station Alpha, Background and Summary of Mathematical Modeling and Failure Density Distributions Pertaining to Maintenance Time Dependent Parameters

The process of predicting the values of maintenance time dependent variable parameters such as mean time between failures (MTBF) over time must be one that will not in turn introduce uncontrolled deviation in the results of the ILS analysis such as life cycle costs, spares calculation, etc. A minor deviation in the values of the maintenance time dependent variable parameters such as MTBF over time will have a significant impact on the logistics resources demands, International Space Station availability and maintenance support costs. There are two types of parameters in the logistics and maintenance world: a. Fixed; b. Variable Fixed parameters, such as cost per man hour, are relatively easy to predict and forecast. These parameters normally follow a linear path and they do not change randomly. However, the variable parameters subject to the study in this report such as MTBF do not follow a linear path and they normally fall within the distribution curves which are discussed in this publication. The very challenging task then becomes the utilization of statistical techniques to accurately forecast the future non-linear time dependent variable arisings and events with a high confidence level. This, in turn, shall translate in tremendous cost savings and improved availability all around.

Sepehry-Fard, F.↗
NASA NTRS1972

A comparative study of stability methods for flexible satellites.

This paper compares three approaches to the stability of hybrid dynamical systems, all three methods being based on the Liapunov direct method. The first method uses testing density functions, whereas the second involves defining certain integral coordinates. Both the method using testing density functions and the method of integral coordinates lead to closed-form stability criteria in terms of the system parameters. Criteria obtained using the method of integral coordinates are in general less restrictive than those derived by the method using testing density functions. On the other hand, the latter method is easier to apply and requires less work than the former. The third method is the standard modal analysis. The modal analysis generally yields more involved criteria, depending on the number of modes used to represent the elastic displacements. As an application, the attitude stability of an earth-pointing satellite with multi-elastic domains is investigated.

Meirovitch, L.↗
NASA NTRS1973

Can oscillations grow in a sunspot umbra.

Umbral flashes and running penumbral waves have been attributed by Moore (1972) to overstable oscillations in the umbra. His numerical results were derived by inserting physical conditions at two particular depths beneath the umbral surface. Seven variables must be specified at each point. We have extended Moore's analysis to examine the depth-dependence of overstable oscillations in a recently computed umbral model. Electrical conductivity is evaluated taking full account of partial ionization and magnetic fields. In the surface layers, within 250 km of the top of the umbral convection zone, the conductivity is so low that Joule dissipation is more rapid than the growth rate of oscillations. In these layers, Moore's results are therefore not applicable. At greater depths, oscillations can grow and we agree with Moore that both umbral flashes and penumbral waves may be due to overstable oscillations. However, we suggest that both phenomena can arise at the same depth in the spot, and not in two layers, as Moore suggests.

Mullan, D. J.↗
NASA NTRS1976

Experimental and theoretical studies of subsonic fan noise

The noise generated by inlet turbulence impinging on a subsonic axial flow fan was studied as a function of tip speed, flow coefficient, and intensity and scale of turbulence was carried out. Both turbulence and far field acoustic measurements were made. The new elements introduced in the theoretical analysis were accounting for blade loading dependent noise mechanisms and consideration of anisotropic turbulence impinging on the rotor because of inlet flow contraction effects. Experimentally an unexplained increase of noise at about 1/2 and 1 1/2 times blade passsing frequency was observed at low flow coefficients even though there was no evidence of compressor surge. In the final version the theory does a fair job of predicting variations of noise with blade loading and tip speed. Alteration of inlet turbulence length scales produced some but not very pronounced changes in the far field PWL spectra. Some degree of eddy contraction and resulting anisotropy were essential to explain the concentration of energy around blade passing frequencies.

Mani, R.↗
NASA NTRS1975

Error magnitude estimation in model-reference adaptive systems

A second order approximation is derived from a linearized error characteristic equation for Lyapunov designed model-reference adaptive systems and is used to estimate the maximum error between the model and plant states, and the time to reach this peak following a plant perturbation. The results are applicable in the analysis of plants containing magnitude-dependent nonlinearities.

Colburn, B. K.↗
NASA NTRS1979

A new basis for the determination of fracture toughness

A study is presented which shows that the growth of the plastic zone and the constraint in a compact tension specimen depends significantly on specimen width. The analysis permits the estimation of the contribution of the growth of plastic zone to the deviation from linearity. The contribution of the crack growth to the deviation from linearity is evaluated from the analysis of a typical R-curve data. A combination of these two analyses enables one to define a very simple procedure for the determination of fracture toughness. The fracture toughness is defined as the stress intensity value at which the crack extension starts. The good agreement between analytical results and experimental KQ and KIC values determined over a wide range of thicknesses, widths, and materials justifies the proposed procedures. The KIC determined according to this procedure is independent of specimen width and such a procedure enhances the range of applicability of the K concept to a wider combination of configurations and materials.

Banerjee, S.↗
NASA NTRS1979

Description of the ISEE satellite-to-satellite kilometric wavelength interferometer system

The International Sun-Earth Explorer (ISEE) spacecraft 1 and 2 carry receivers for detecting electromagnetic waves with kilometric wavelengths. For selected receiver frequencies from 30 kHz to 2 MHz, a 10-kHz bandwidth channel is single-sideband mixed down to baseband. These analog data and a reference frequency, which is a submultiple of the local oscillator frequency, are transmitted to ground stations and tape recorded along with the precise time and frequency information. Cross correlation of these tape recorded signals constitutes a satellite-to-satellite interferometer with a fringe spacing of 0.4 to 41 arcmin (at a range of 10,000 to 100 km spacing between spacecraft for 250 kHz in frequency) and with a time-delay resolution of 32 microsec for a 10-kHz bandwidth, which gives an angular resolution of 3 min to 6 deg of arc. For kilometric radiation at earth, sources in the size range of 25 to 2500 km can be identified (from 20 earth radii) and located in relative position ranging from 0.02 to 2 earth radii, depending on spacecraft spacing. Reception and analysis of solar and Jovian bursts may also be possible.

Shawhan, S. D.↗
NASA NTRS1979

Transverse microcracking in Celion 6000/PMR-15 graphite-polyimide

The effects of room temperature tensile loading and five thermal loadings, in the range -320 F (-196C) to 625F (330CC), upon the development of transverse microcracks (TVM) in Celion 6000/PMR-15 graphite-polyimide laminates were investigated. Microcracks were observed using a replicating technique, microscopy and X-ray. The mechanical or thermal load at which microcracking initiates and the ply residual stresses were predicted using laminate analysis with stress- and temperature-dependent material properties.

Mills, J. S.↗
NASA NTRS1980

Stellar convection. II - A multimode numerical solution for convection in spheres

A stable, equilibrium solution for convection in a self-gravitating sphere of Boussinesq fluid was computed by using a modal analysis in which the theta, phi dependence of the fluid is expanded in a set of 168 spherical harmonics. The temperature, velocity, and convective flux of the fluid as well as the kinetic and thermal energy spectra as functions of wavelength are computed. The spectra are found to be in agreement with both experimental observations and analytic scaling laws. The dynamics of the energy cascade is examined by computing the ratio of the amount of energy dissipation at a particular wavelength to the amount of energy produced at that same wavelength. It is found that there is only a slight cascade of kinetic energy to smaller wavelengths but a large cascade of thermal energy.

Marcus, P. S.↗
NASA NTRS1981

Corrosion of 310 stainless steel in H2-H2O-H2S gas mixtures: Studies at constant temperature and fixed oxygen potential

Corrosion of SAE 310 stainless steel in H2-H2O-H2S gas mixtures was studied at a constant temperature of 1150 K. Reactive gas mixtures were chosen to yield a constant oxygen potential of approximately 6 x 10 to the minus 13th power/cu Nm and sulfur potentials ranging from 0.19 x 10 to the minus 2nd power/cu Nm to 33 x 10 to the minus 2nd power/cu Nm. The kinetics of corrosion were determined using a thermobalance, and the scales were analyzed using metallography, scanning electron microscopy, and energy dispersive X-ray analysis. Two corrosion regimes, which were dependent on sulfur potential, were identified. At high sulfur potentials (p sub S sub 2 less than or equal to 2.7 x 10 to the minus 2nd power/cu Nm) the corrosion rates were high, the kinetics obeyed a linear rate equation, and the scales consisted mainly of sulfide phases similar to those observed from pure sulfication. At low sulfur potentials (P sub S sub 2 less than or equal to 0.19 x 10 to the minus 2nd power/cu Nm) the corrosion rates were low, the kinetics obeyed a parabolic rate equation, and scales consisted mainly of oxide phases.

Rao, D. B.↗
NASA NTRS1981

Photoexcitation of lasers and chemical reactions for NASA missions: A theoretical study

The possibility of obtaining CW laser oscillation by optical pumping in the infrared at an elevated gas pressure is reviewed. A specific example utilizing a mixture of CO and NO gases is included. The gas pressures considered are in excess of several atmospheres. Laser frequency tuning over a broad region becomes possible at such elevated gas pressures due to collisional broadening of the amplifying transitions. The prior-rate and surprisal analysis are applied to obtain detailed VV and VT rates for CO and NO molecules and the transfer rates in a CO-NO gas mixture. The analysis is capable of giving temperature dependence of the rate constants. Computer estimates of the rates are presented for vibrational levels up to v = 50. The results show that in the high-lying vibrational states the VV transfer rates with Delta nu = 2 become appreciable.

Javan, A.↗