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At least 541 records · Page 30

Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021

During the COVID-19 pandemic, forecasting COVID-19 trends to support planning and response was a priority for scientists and decision makers alike. In the United States, COVID-19 forecasting was coordinated by a large group of universities, companies, and government entities led by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the US COVID-19 Forecast Hub ( https://covid19forecasthub.org ). We evaluated approximately 9.7 million forecasts of weekly state-level COVID-19 cases for predictions 1–4 weeks into the future submitted by 24 teams from August 2020 to December 2021. We assessed coverage of central prediction intervals and weighted interval scores (WIS), adjusting for missing forecasts relative to a baseline forecast, and used a Gaussian generalized estimating equation (GEE) model to evaluate differences in skill across epidemic phases that were defined by the effective reproduction number. Overall, we found high variation in skill across individual models, with ensemble-based forecasts outperforming other approaches. Forecast skill relative to the baseline was generally higher for larger jurisdictions (e.g., states compared to counties). Over time, forecasts generally performed worst in periods of rapid changes in reported cases (either in increasing or decreasing epidemic phases) with 95% prediction interval coverage dropping below 50% during the growth phases of the winter 2020, Delta, and Omicron waves. Ideally, case forecasts could serve as a leading indicator of changes in transmission dynamics. However, while most COVID-19 case forecasts outperformed a naïve baseline model, even the most accurate case forecasts were unreliable in key phases. Further research could improve forecasts of leading indicators, like COVID-19 cases, by leveraging additional real-time data, addressing performance across phases, improving the characterization of forecast confidence, and ensuring that forecasts were coherent across spatial scales. In the meantime, it is critical for forecast users to appreciate current limitations and use a broad set of indicators to inform pandemic-related decision making.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

The Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) for the GOES-R Series Next Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Constellation

The next generation Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES-R) series with a planned launch in 2015 is a follow on to the existing GOES system currently operating over the Western Hemisphere. The system will aid in forecasting severe storms and tornado activity, and convective weather impacts on aviation safety and efficiency. The system provides products including lightning, cloud properties, rainfall rate, volcanic ash, air quality, hurricane intensity, and fire/hot spot characterization. Advancements over current GOES include a new capability for total lightning detection (cloud and cloud-to-ground flashes) from the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM), and improved spectral, spatial, and temporal resolution for the 16-channel Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI). The Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM), an optical transient detector will map total (in-cloud and cloud-to-ground) lightning flashes continuously day and night with near-uniform spatial resolution of 8 km with a product refresh rate of less than 20 sec over the Americas and adjacent oceanic regions, from the west coast of Africa (GOES-E) to New Zealand (GOES-W) when the constellation is fully operational. In parallel with the instrument development, a GOES-R Risk Reduction Team and Algorithm Working Group Lightning Applications Team have begun to develop the higher level algorithms and applications using the GLM alone and decision aids incorporating information from the ABI, ground-based weather radar, and numerical models. Proxy total lightning data from the NASA Lightning Imaging Sensor on the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite and regional lightning networks are being used to develop the pre-launch algorithms and applications, and also improve our knowledge of thunderstorm initiation and evolution. Real time total lightning mapping data are also being provided in an experimental mode to selected National Weather Service (NWS) national centers and forecast offices via the GOES-R Proving Ground to help improve our understanding of the application of these data in operational settings and facilitate early on-orbit user readiness for this new capability.

Goodman, Steven J.↗

Cross-Calibration of Earth Observing System Terra Satellite Sensors MODIS and ASTER

The Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emissive and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER) and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) are two of the five sensors onboard the Earth Observing System's Terra satellite. These sensors share many similar spectral channels while having much different spatial and operational parameters. ASTER is a tasked sensor and sometimes referred to a zoom camera of the MODIS that collects a full-earth image every one to two days. It is important that these sensors have a consistent characterization and calibration for continued development and use of their data products. This work uses a variety of test sites to retrieve and validate intercalibration results. The refined calibration of Collection 6 of the Terra MODIS data set is leveraged to provide the up-to-date reference for trending and validation of ASTER. Special attention is given to spatially matching radiance measurements using prelaunch spatial response characterization of MODIS. Despite differences in spectral band properties and spatial scales, ASTER-MODIS is an ideal case for intercomparison since the sensors have nearly identical views and acquisitions times and therefore can be used as a baseline of intercalibration performance of other satellite sensor pairs.

MODIS↗

A Combined CFD/Material Response Analysis of 3MDCP Arcjet Experiments

The Mars Sample Return Earth Entry System (MSR-EES) project has selected 3-D Woven Mid-Density Carbon Phenolic (3MDCP) as the baseline thermal protection system (TPS) material for the capsule that will return Martian soil samples to Earth sometime in the 2030’s. A series of experiments in the NASA Ames AHF and IHF arcjets will be used to characterize the performance of 3MDCP and to develop and refine material response models for it. The test objectives for these experiments include obtaining in-depth and surface temperature data, mass loss and surface recession measurements, and char depth measurements. To provided pre- and post-test support for the arcjet experiments, a combined CFD/material response was performed using the DPLR and Icarus code. Pre-and post-test analysis on the 3MDCP arcjet experiments was performed using the DPLR CFD and Icarus material response codes. The codes were not tightly coupled, but boundary condition data required by Icarus (e.g., heat transfer coefficients and surface pressures), were extracted from the CFD solutions. This poster shows comparisons between DPLR/Icarus and the experimental data taken during arcjet experiment AHF-348 where 4-inch diameter iso-q models made from 3MDCP were tested in the 12-inch nozzle of the AHF arcjet. This poster also includes a top-level overview of the CFD/material response arcjet simulation process. Best-practices for running CFD solutions of arcjet experiments including how to determine the inflow conditions for the CFD solution from the arc heater settings are discussed. The required inputs to the material response solver are presented, as well as a discussion of how they can be extracted from the CFD solution.

thermal protection systems↗

Quantitative Characterization of Hyper-Local Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Sources

Atmospheric greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are often characterized using stationary, tower-based sensors. Ground based sensors reside in the turbulent boundary layer and are subject to intense concentration impulses from hyper-local (<100m) point sources of emissions. These high frequency spikes are often filtered out in broader emission flux studies, losing valuable information about how hyper-local sources influence receptors. In this study, we investigated how empirical atmospheric data can be used to locate and quantify a concurrently measured hyper-local point source in a dense urban setting. An eddy covariance style tower and a low-cost sensor tower were deployed in various locations around an urban, hyper-local CO2/CH4 emissions source (a continuously measured restaurant exhaust vent). A model using different processing and statistical techniques was built to examine the most effective procedures for source isolation, directional location, and emission quantification. Using excess concentrations above a minimum baseline, we identify the source using bivariate polar plots and quantify the relationship between source size, receptor distance, and statistical proxies. Furthermore, we find that varying statistical thresholds allows for identification of less influential sources which are drowned out by larger or closer sources. Finally, we show that large sources can be effectively characterized using low-cost sensors, a valuable outcome informing how networks for monitoring larger areas could be implemented. This work may provide a basis for source identification and monitoring protocols for networks that feature sensors influenced by hyper-local point sources, subject to site-specific assumptions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

First polarization study of the M87 jet and active galactic nuclei at submillimeter wavelengths with ALMA

We investigated the polarization and Faraday properties of Messier 87 (M87) and seven other radio-loud active galactic nuclei (AGNs) at λ0.87 mm (345 GHz) using the Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array (ALMA). Our goal was to characterize the linear polarization (LP) fractions, measure Faraday rotation measures (RMs), and examine the magnetic field structures in the emission regions of these AGNs. We conducted full-polarization observations as part of the ALMA Band 7 very long baseline interferometry (VLBI) commissioning during the April 2021 Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) campaign. We analyzed the LP fractions and RMs to assess the nature of Faraday screens and magnetic fields in the submillimeter emission regions. We find LP fractions between 1% and 17% and RMs exceeding 10 5 rad m −2 , which are 1–2 orders of magnitude higher than typically observed at longer wavelengths (λ>3 mm). This suggests denser Faraday screens or stronger magnetic fields. Additionally, we present the first submillimeter polarized images of the M87 jet and the observed AGNs, revealing RM gradients and sign reversals in the M87 jet indicative of a kiloparsec-scale helical magnetic field structure. Our results provide essential constraints for calibrating, analyzing, and interpreting VLBI data from the EHT at 345 GHz, representing a critical step toward submillimeter VLBI imaging.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Evolution of ELMs, pedestal profiles and fluctuations in the inter-ELM period in NBI and ECH dominated discharges in DIII-D

In DIII-D, it has been observed that ELM frequency decreases by 40% and ELM spacing becomes more regular in time when heating is changed from pure neutral beam injection (NBI) to predominantly electron cyclotron heating (ECH) in ITER Similar Shape plasmas. In comparison with pure the NBI discharges, pedestal fluctuations in magnetics and density increase in the ECH dominated discharges. Recovery of the pedestal profiles like electron density (ne), temperature (Te) and pressure (pe) shows marked differences for these two heating schemes. Average profiles in the last 30% of the ELM cycle shows higher Te, lower ne, and similar pe at the pedestal top for the ECH discharge when compared to the NBI discharge. Here, the gradient of Te (∇Te) is also steeper at the pedestal in the ECH discharge. Magnetic fluctuations show 3 distinct modes in 13~116 kHz in the ECH discharges only. ne fluctuations show two modes evolving in the inter-ELM period of the ECH discharge, a low frequency (400 kHz) quasi-coherent mode (LFQC) and high frequency (~2 MHz) broadband (HFB) fluctuations. Evolution of these modes has marked correspondence with the inter-ELM ∇Te recovery. A sharp decrease in the Dα baseline is observed whenever the LFQC weakens and the HFB grows, prior to each large ELM. Transport coefficients obtained from TRANSP shows that MTM and/or TEM are plausible candidates for the observed fluctuations. Linear gyrofluid simulation (TGLF) corroborates this characterization. TGLF shows that the linear growth rate of the most dominant mode peaks at ion-scale (kθρs ~ 0.4) at the pedestal steep gradient and the frequency is in the electron diamagnetic direction. It is proposed that increased fluctuations in the ECH dominated case, due to increased ∇Te, caused an increase in fluctuation-driven transport in the pedestal and slowed the pedestal recovery between ELMs, leading to a reduction in the ELM frequency.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Low gravity synthesis of polymers with controlled molecular configuration

Heterogeneous chemical systems have been studied for the synthesis of isotactic polypropylene in order to establish baseline parameters for the reaction process and to develop sensitive and accurate methods of analysis. These parameters and analytical methods may be used to make a comparison between the polypropylene obtained at one g with that of zero g (gravity). Baseline reaction parameters have been established for the slurry (liquid monomer in heptane/solid catalyst) polymerization of propylene to yield high purity, 98% isotactic polypropylene. Kinetic data for the slurry reaction showed that a sufficient quantity of polymer for complete characterization can be produced in a reaction time of 5 min; this time is compatible with that available on a sounding rocket for a zero-g simulation experiment. The preformed (activated) catalyst was found to be more reproducible in its activity than the in situ formed catalyst.

Heimbuch, A. H.↗

Lightweight composite reflector panels

The Hexel Corp. has produced additional composite panels, based on JPL designs, that: (1) have increased the panel size from 0.15 to 0.40 meters, (2) have improved the as-manufactured surface precision 3.0 to approx. 1.0 micron RMS, (3) have utilized different numbers of face sheet plys, (4) have improved face sheet fiber orientation, (5) have variations of aluminum honeycomb core cell size, (6) have combined graphite/epoxy (Gr/Ep) face sheets with E-glass honeycomb cores, and (7) have used standard aluminum core with face sheets composed of combinations of glass, Kevlar, and carbon fibers. Additionally, JPL has identified candidate alternate materials for the facesheets and core, modified the baseline polymer panel matrix material, and developed new concepts for panel composite cores. Dornier designed and fabricated three 0.6 meter Gr/Ep panels, that were evaluated by JPL. Results of both the Hexel and Dornier panel work were used to characterize the state-of-the-art for Gr/Ep mirrors.

Freeland, R. E.↗

Identification of a cast iron alloy containing nonstrategic elements

A program was performed to address the mechanical and environmental needs of Stirling engine heater head and regenerator housing components, while reducing the dependence on strategic materials. An alloy was developed which contained no strategic elemental additions per se. The base is iron with additions of manganese, molybdenum, carbon, silicon, niobium, and ferro-chromium. Such an alloy should be producible on a large scale at very low cost. The resulting alloy, designated as NASAUT 4G-Al, contained 15 Mn, 15 Cr, 2 Mo, 1.5 C, 1.0 Si, 1.0 Nb (in weight percent) with a balance of Fe. This alloy was optimized for chemistry, based upon tensile strength, creep-rupture strength, fracture behavior, and fatigue resistance up to 800 C. Alloys were also tested for environmental compatibility. The microstructure and mechanic properties (including hardness) were assessed in the as-cast condition and following several heat treatments, including one designed to simulate a required braze cycle. The alloy was fabricated and characterized in the form of both equiaxed and columnar-grained castings. The columnar grains were produced by directional solidification, and the properties were characterized in both the longitudinal and transverse orientations. The NASAUT 4G-Al alloy was found to be good in cyclic-oxidation resistance and excellent in both hydrogen and hot-corrosion resistance, especially in comparison to the baseline XF-818 alloy. The mechanical properties of yield strength, stress-rupture life, high-cycle-fatigue resistance, and low-cycle-fatigue resistance were good to excellent in comparison to the current alloy for this application, HS-31 (X-40), with precise results depending in a complex manner on grain orientation and temperature. If required, the ductility could be improved by lowering the carbon content.

Cooper, C. V.↗

Exhaust Gas Modeling Effects on Hypersonic Powered Simulation at Mach 10

A numerical study was performed to investigate the accuracy and validity of cold-gas simulation of actual hot scramjet exhaust within a Mach 10 free stream over a representative single-stage-to-orbit airbreathing configuration. In particular, exhausts of various noncombusting chemistry models were studied to characterize their effects on the vehicle aftbody performance and the plume flow field definition. Two approximations of the hot scramjet combustion products were utilized to determine the requirement for expensive, multi-species numerical modeling, and to establish a baseline for the validation of cold-gas simulation. Cold-gas simulation at Mach 10 is shown to be a viable technique using an appropriate thermally perfect gas mixture for reproducing hot scramjet exhaust effects.

Tatum, Kenneth E.↗

Assessment of Stirling Technology Has Provided Critical Data Leading Toward Flight Readiness of the Stirling Converter

The NASA Glenn Research Center is supporting the development of a Stirling converter with the Department of Energy (DOE, Germantown, Maryland) for an advanced Stirling Radioisotope Power System (SRPS) to provide spacecraft onboard electric power for NASA space science missions. A key technology assessment completed by Glenn and DOE has led to the SRPS being identified as a high-efficiency power source for such deep space missions as the Europa Orbiter and the Solar Probe. In addition, the Stirling system is now being considered for unmanned Mars rovers, especially where mission profiles may exclude the use of photovoltaic power systems, such as exploration at high Martian latitudes or for missions of long duration. The SRPS efficiency of over 20 percent will reduce the required amount of radioisotope by more than a factor of 3 in comparison to current radioisotope thermoelectric generators. This significantly reduces radioisotope cost, radiological inventory, and system cost, and it provides efficient use of scarce radioisotope resources. In support of this technology assessment, Glenn conducted a series of independent evaluations and tests to determine the technology readiness of a 55-We Stirling converter developed by Stirling Technology Company (Kennewick, Washington) and DOE. Key areas evaluated by Glenn included: 1) Radiation tolerance of materials; 2) Random vibration testing of the Stirling converter in Glenn's Structural Dynamics Lab to simulate operation in the launch environment; 3) Electromagnetic interference and compatibility (EMI/EMC) of the converter operating in Glenn's EMI lab; Independent failure modes, effects, and criticality analysis, and life and reliability 4. Independent failure modes, effects, and criticality analysis, and life and reliability assessment; and 5) SRPS cost estimate. The data from these evaluations were presented to NASA Headquarters and the Jet Propulsion Laboratory mission office by a joint industry/Government team consisting of DOE, Glenn, and Lockheed Martin Astronautics. This team concluded that there are no technical reasons that would rule out using the Stirling converter for deep space missions. As a direct result of the successful testing at Glenn, the DOE/Stirling Technology Company 55-We Stirling converter has been baselined for the SRPS. Glenn is now continuing an in-house project to assist in developing the Stirling converter for readiness for space qualification and mission implementation. As part of this effort, the Stirling converter will be further characterized under launch environment random vibration testing, methods to reduce converter EMI will be developed, and an independent performance verification will be completed. Converter life assessment and permanent magnet aging characterization tasks are also underway. Substitute organic materials for the linear alternator and piston bearing coatings for use in a high-radiation environment have been identified and have now been incorporated in Stirling converters built by Stirling Technology Company for Glenn. Electromagnetic and thermal finite element analyses for the alternator are also being conducted.

Thieme, Lanny G.↗

Assessing High Burnup U-19Pu-10Zr Fuel Performance against Historical and Modeled Behavior

Advancing the deployment of sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFRs) requires thorough testing of metallic fuel pins under accident conditions to establish safe operational limits of high burnup fuel. To conduct transient testing, a comprehensive understanding of steady-state fuel behavior obtained through both experimental characterization and accurate predictive capabilities is needed. This study comparatively assesses the steady-state irradiation performance of two high burnup U-19Pu-10Zr fuel pins, DP-36 and DP-40, irradiated under prototypic fast reactor conditions in preparation for planned safety testing at the Transient Reactor Test Facility. Since DP-40 was designated for use in the test and DP-36 serves as its sibling pin, non-destructive, engineering-scale post-irradiation examinations (PIE) were conducted on both pins while destructive examinations were performed exclusively on DP-36. The results were then assessed against historical performance data from similar fuel pins irradiated in the Experimental Breeder Reactor-II. Additionally, the steady-state irradiation of each pin was modeled using the BISON fuel performance code to assess the accuracy of current modeling capabilities in predicting the baseline irradiation behavior. Non-destructive examinations included neutron radiography to measure fuel column elongation, gamma scanning to verify pin integrity and fission product migration, and profilometry to assess dimensional changes. Benchmarking against existing PIE data revealed consistent patterns in axial fuel column growth and cladding diametral strain, though both pins exhibited longer low-density “fluff” structures, which can have implications for core reactivity and source term calculations. Destructive examinations on DP-36 included fission gas release analysis and sectioning for optical microscopy, which showed more complex constituent redistribution patterns than the traditionally accepted 3-ring model. The axial evolution of fractional areas and porosities of each of the redistributed zones were quantified and presented. Modeling comparisons showed agreement in fractional fission gas release but consistently overestimated axial and radial swelling and disagreed with measured axial porosity patterns. These conservative overpredictions suggested that the pins would appear closer to failure or operational limits at the start of transient tests, potentially leading to higher strain accumulation during the transient. While conservative estimates provide safety margins, they can negatively impact fuel economics. A review of the swelling models identified areas for improvement in the gaseous swelling, solid swelling, and fuel hot-pressing models when applied to ternary fuel. The results of this study highlight the critical importance of conducting pre-test characterization on both test and sibling pins to accurately capture steady-state fuel behavior, providing a precise baseline for post-test evaluations and essential inputs for transient modeling of the planned experiments. The analysis also revealed significant data gaps that require further investigation to enhance the understanding and prediction of fuel swelling and pore dynamics. Collecting comprehensive data across different irradiation conditions, burnup levels, and fuel compositions are essential for refining existing models and developing mechanistic models for both binary and ternary metallic fuels, ultimately improving the integration of modeling and experimental approaches in accident testing.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Microstructural, Strength, and Creep Characterization of Sylramic™, Sylramic™-iBN and Super Sylramic™-iBN SiC Fibers

The chemical composition, microstructure, strength, and thermal stability of polymer-derived Sylramic™ SiC fibers fabricated by Dow Corning and COI Ceramics, Inc., and nitrogen-treated Sylramic™ SiC fibers, referred to as Sylramic™-iBN and Super Sylramic™-iBN SiC fibers, were investigated and compared. The baseline Sylramic™ SiC fibers fabricated by both vendors as well as the nitrogen-treated Sylramic™ SiC fibers are composed mostly of β-SiC (~97 wt%) with small amounts of TiB2 (~2 wt%), amorphous carbon (~1 wt%) and trace amounts of B4C. Most of the amorphous carbon is segregated at the core/interior of the fibers. Both baseline and nitrogen-treated Sylramic™ SiC fibers have similar grain size and pore size distribution, except for a thin layer of in-situ grown crystalline BN (30 to 70 nm) on the surface of Sylramic™-iBN and Super Sylramic™-iBN fibers. Wide variation in strength within a batch as well as between batches is observed in both baseline and nitrogen-treated Sylramic™ SiC fibers but both types of fibers are microstructurally stable at temperatures to 1800°C in argon and nitrogen environments compared to Nicalon™-S and Tyranno®-SA SiC fibers. Under the same creep condition, Super Sylramic™-iBN fibers show better creep resistance compared to Sylramic™, Sylramic™-iBN, Hi-Nicalon™-S, and Tyranno®-SA fibers. Possible reasons for strength variability and the mechanism of in-situ BN formation on Sylramic™ SiC fibers are discussed.

SiC fibers↗

Microstructural Passivation of Patterned Al 2 O 3 Back Contacts on CdS/CdTe Solar Cells

Abstract Patterned aluminum oxide (Al 2 O 3 ) back contact on cadmium telluride (CdTe) solar cells can effectively mitigate the loss of the majority carriers while retaining the passivation benefits for minority carriers. This study investigates the impact of the point‐contact geometry on cell performance, where the spacing of the microholes is systematically varied at a constant microhole diameter (≈16 µm). Microhole arrays are created on an evaporated Al 2 O 3 layer (≈30 nm) on CdTe using laser‐beam lithography and selective wet etching processes. Comparative analysis indicates a significant decrease in fill factor (FF) and short‐circuit current ( I SC ) when the contact fraction falls below 30%, likely due to the Al 2 O 3 barrier impeding majority carriers. Above this fraction, FF and I SC are comparable to those of baseline CdTe cells without Al 2 O 3 . Open‐circuit voltage ( V OC ) shows a gradual decrease as Al 2 O 3 coverage is reduced but exhibits a slight increase (<15 mV) when the contact fraction exceeds 30%. Cathodoluminescence (CL) characterization reveals that significantly improved radiative recombination occurs within the CdTe grain bulk with Al 2 O 3 , whereas this effect on grain boundaries is minimal. The findings imply complex local carrier dynamics in the patterned back‐contact region, closely tied to the microstructural properties of CdTe‐based solar cells.

Roy, Etee Kawna↗

Learning protocols for the fast and efficient control of active matter

Exact analytic calculation shows that optimal control protocols for passive molecular systems often involve rapid variations and discontinuities. However, similar analytic baselines are not generally available for active-matter systems, because it is more difficult to treat active systems exactly. Here we use machine learning to derive efficient control protocols for active-matter systems, and find that they are characterized by sharp features similar to those seen in passive systems. We show that it is possible to learn protocols that effect fast and efficient state-to-state transformations in simulation models of active particles by encoding the protocol in the form of a neural network. We use evolutionary methods to identify protocols that take active particles from one steady state to another, as quickly as possible or with as little energy expended as possible. Our results show that protocols identified by a flexible neural-network ansatz, which allows the optimization of multiple control parameters and the emergence of sharp features, are more efficient than protocols derived recently by constrained analytical methods. Our learning scheme is straightforward to use in experiment, suggesting a way of designing protocols for the efficient manipulation of active matter in the laboratory.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Combustion performance and heat transfer characterization of LOX/hydrocarbon type propellants. Task 3: Data dump

A preliminary characterization of Orbital Maneuvering System (OMS) and Reaction Control System (RCS) engine point designs over a range of thrust and chamber pressure for several hydrocarbon fuels is reported. OMS and RCS engine point designs were established in two phases comprising baseline and parametric designs. Interface pressures, performance and operating parameters, combustion chamber cooling and turboprop requirements, component weights and envelopes, and propellant conditioning requirements for liquid to vapor phase engine operation are defined.

Hart, S. W.↗

Analytical Fuel Property Effects - Small Combustors. Phase II

A test program was conducted to study the effects of non-standard aviation fuels on a typical small gas turbine combustor, and to evaluate the effectiveness of design changes intended to counter the effects of these fuels. This study was a follow on to an earlier analytical study to predict the fuel effects and generate the design modifications evaluated in this program. The T700/CT7 engine family was chosen for both studies as being representative of the class of aircraft power plants desired for this study. Fuel properties, as specified by NASA, are characterized by low hydrogen content and high aromatics levels. No. 2 diesel fuel was also evaluated in this program. The tests demonstrated the anticipated higher than normal smoke output and flame radiation intensity with resulting increased metal temperatures on the baseline T700 combustor. Three new designs were evaluated using the non standard fuels. The three designs incorporated enhanced cooling features and smoke reduction features. All three designs, when burning the broad specification fuels, exhibited metal temperatures at or below the baseline combustor temperatures on JP-5. Smoke levels were acceptable but higher than predicted. This was partly due to the increase in baseline combustor smoke levels with the broad spec fuels being higher than anticipated. One combustor of the three clearly demonstrated the best smoke and metal temperature characteristics. It was also easiest to manufacture and incorporate into a production design. GE with NASA's concurrence selected and subjected this combustor to a final component test program.

Monty, J.↗