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At least 541 records · Page 30

Rapid Analyses of Sparse Seismoacoustic Data Reveals the Timing and Size of the Accurate Energetic Systems Explosion

On 10 October 2025 an explosion occurred at a facility operated by Accurate Energetic Systems in Humphreys County, Tennessee. The incident resulted in 16 fatalities and created a debris field over several square kilometers. To address remaining questions about explosion timing and size, we collected about 20 seismic and 19 acoustic records of the blast from sensors up to hundreds of kilometers away. We then deployed 10 distinct physics-based, reduced order models (ROMs) that used validated geological structure and atmospheric conditions from the time of the event, along with observations of body- and surface-wave energy, as well as acoustic overpressure and phase duration. Each ROM predicted either timing, yield estimates, or both. We binned these estimates and their uncertainties according to each ROMs’ assumptions about confinement (aboveground, buried fully coupled, and buried partially coupled) and combined these estimates with other forensic data to conclude that the event occurred as a single, aboveground explosion on 10 December 2025 12:47:50.8 ±0.1 s with a yield equivalent to 11.8 [2.3,16.5] tons of Trinitrotoluene. Our estimates align with the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives inventory reports of 11–13 tons. This multimethod approach demonstrates the use of remotely observed geophysical data to rapidly aid conventional forensic investigations of accidental explosions.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

PacWave Grid Integration Study: Transient and Dynamic Conditions (Final Report)

This report describes the results of PSCAD simulations that were performed in 2020 to assess the impacts of PacWave generation on CLPUD's 12.47-kV distribution and 69-kV subtransmission systems. PacWave South (PacWave) is a wave energy test facility planned by Oregon State University. PacWave shore facilities will be located south of Seal Rock on the Oregon coast. PacWave is expected to be operational in 2022 and will connect up to 10 MW of generation to CLPUD's Seal Rock distribution feeder.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A Methodological Overview of Seismic Analysis for Nuclear Event Detection

Underground explosions generate potentially detectable signatures, including energy waves that travel through the Earth’s subsurface (i.e., seismic waves), low-frequency sound waves (i.e., infrasound and hydroacoustic waves), and radioactive gases and/or particles that might leak from the test cavity (if the event was nuclear). There can also be intelligence indicators of a test, such as observations of modified patterns of life and activity at a suspected test site. If all of these detectable signatures and intelligence indicators are present and self-consistent, then analysts have high confidence in classifying a signature generating event as an explosion. However, because only partial information about an event is likely to be available, determining whether an event was natural (e.g., an earthquake or landslide) or manmade (e.g., a chemical or nuclear explosion) is much more challenging. This primer describes how one category of event signatures—seismic signatures—can augment event analyses. While universities and government organizations have generated detailed technical descriptions of seismic analytic techniques, we seek to translate seismic event analysis for a broad, non-technical audience. When the geologic conditions near an event are well-characterized, seismic data can be used to calculate critical information, such as event location and depth, with relatively high accuracy. Moreover, specific features within seismic datasets can help determine whether an event was an explosion. However, a key challenge in seismic analysis is that geologic site conditions are often poorly characterized, complicating the ability to discern the true nature of the event. To overcome this challenge, geologists answer a series of questions (discussed in section 1) to guide seismic event analysis and determine the most probable nature of an event. As more information is gathered during each analytic step, confidence grows regarding the nature of the event. Section 2 addresses uncertainties in seismic analysis and the vital nature of high-fidelity geologic data for accurate seismic event analysis.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Pioneer WEC v1 testing report

The “Pioneer WEC” project is tasked with developing a wave energy converter (WEC) to provide additional electrical power to the CeNtral Surface Mooring (CNSM) within the NSF-funded Ocean Observatories Initiative (OOI) Pioneer Array. This report summarizes the design, testing, and deployment of the “Pioneer WEC v1 prototype.”

Coe, Ryan Geoffrey [Sandia National Laboratories (↗

Minimizing Ecological Impacts of Marine Energy Lighting

Marine energy is poised to become an important renewable energy contributor for the U.S., but widespread deployment of the technology hinges on its benefits outweighing the potential ecological impacts. One stressor marine energy installations introduce is light, which is known to cause varying responses among wildlife and has not yet been addressed as an environmental concern. This review discusses requirements and regulations for similar structures and how lighting design choices can be made to meet these requirements while minimizing environmental consequences. More practical guidance on implementing lighting for marine energy is needed, as well as updated guidelines to reflect technological and research advances. Known responses of wildlife to light are introduced in addition to how the responses of individuals may lead to ecosystem-level changes. The impact of light associated with marine energy installations can be reduced by following basic guidance provided herein, such as removing excess lighting, using lights with high directionality, and employing controls to reduce light levels. Continued research on animal responses to light, such as findings on minimum light levels for animal responses, alongside the development of highly-sensitivity spectral characterization capabilities can further inform lighting guidelines for deploying future open ocean marine energy devices.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Relativistic Alfvén Waves Entering Charge-starvation in the Magnetospheres of Neutron Stars

Instabilities in a neutron star can generate Alfvén waves in its magnetosphere. Propagation along the curved magnetic field lines strongly shears the wave, boosting its electric current j A . We derive an analytic expression for the evolution of the wavevector k and the growth of j A . In the strongly sheared regime, j A may exceed the maximum current j0 that can be supported by the background e ± plasma. We investigate these charge-starved waves, first using a simplified two-fluid analytic model, then with first-principles kinetic simulations. We find that the Alfvén wave is able to propagate successfully even when κ ≡ j A /j 0 $\ll$ 1. It sustains j A by compressing and advecting the plasma along the magnetic field lines with an increasing Lorentz factor, γ ≳ κ 1/2 . The simulations show how plasma instabilities lead to gradual dissipation of the wave energy. Our results suggest that an extremely high charge-starvation parameter κ ≳ 10 4 may be required in order for this mechanism to power the observed fast radio bursts (FRBs) from SGR 1935+2154. However, cosmological FRBs with much higher luminosities are unlikely to be a result of charge-starvation.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Moving from scientific research to consenting guidance for MRE environmental risk

Potential environmental effects from tidal and wave devices are of concern to regulators, advisors, and other stakeholders in many nations. Monitoring results from early deployments and the first commercial arrays, coupled with targeted research studies, are providing a growing base of knowledge of how components of tidal turbines and wave energy converters might interact with marine animals and habitats. Efforts are underway to organize and direct these findings towards facilitating consenting that allays concerns and allows the marine renewable energy (MRE) industry to move forward. The OES-Environmental international initiative has developed scientific evidence bases for several key interactions from MRE devices, organized around stressors (portions of MRE systems that may cause injury or stress to the marine ecosystem), and receptors (the animals, habitats, and ecosystem processes that may be affected). This paper summarizes the evidence bases for four stressors (underwater noise, electromagnetic fields, habitat change, and changes in oceanographic systems) and presents the process of moving from the scientific knowledge into guidance documents to support the regulatory process. The guidance documents will serve as a broad guide that can be used internationally to look at stressor-receptor interactions of interest within a regulatory context. The evidence bases and guidance documents aim to assist MRE developers, regulators, and advisors with project scoping, consenting, and licensing processes.

Copping, Andrea E.↗

High-fidelity wave data from MarineLabs CoastScout™ buoys supporting WEC demonstration at Scripps Pier

Two MarineLabs CoastScout™ buoys were deployed off La Jolla, California in February 2020 to provide high-resolution wave elevation time series data in support of CalWave Power Technologies’ XWave WEC deployment. The buoys are positioned approximately 300m from a longterm wave monitoring station operated by the Coastal Data Information Program. Both CoastScout hull types showed excellent agreement with the reference Datawell Directional Waverider MkIII (Hs r 2 =0.94, m0 r 2 =0.88). The CoastScout buoys maintained 100% uptime throughout an initial 6- month intercomparison period. CalWave used 5-Hz wave train data from this period to drive physical hardware-in-the-loop tests of the XWave power take-off. Throughout the deployment, the CoastScout buoys will provide near-real-time bulk wave parameters to help CalWave operators safely and efficiently operate the WEC. In post-processing, high-fidelity wave resolution will be used to associate individual waves with onboard measurements from Fiber Bragg Grating strain gauges and external pressure sensors.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

WEC-GRID

WEC-GRID is an open-source Python library crafted to simulate the integration of Wave Energy Converters (WECs) and Current Energy Converters (CECs) into renowned power grid simulators like PSS®E & PyPSA.

Barajas-Ritchie, Alexander↗

Deep Search for Joint Sources of Gravitational Waves and High-energy Neutrinos with IceCube during the Third Observing Run of LIGO and Virgo

The discovery of joint sources of high-energy neutrinos and gravitational waves has been a primary target for the LIGO, Virgo, KAGRA, and IceCube observatories. The joint detection of high-energy neutrinos and gravitational waves would provide insight into cosmic processes, from the dynamics of compact object mergers and stellar collapses to the mechanisms driving relativistic outflows. The joint detection of multiple cosmic messengers can also elevate the significance of the common observation even when some or all of the constituent messengers are subthreshold, i.e., not significant enough to declare their detection individually. Using data from the LIGO, Virgo, and IceCube observatories, including subthreshold events, we searched for common sources of gravitational waves and high-energy neutrinos during the third observing run of the Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo detectors. Our search did not identify significant joint sources. We derive constraints on the rate densities of joint sources. Our results constrain the isotropic neutrino emission from gravitational-wave sources for very high values of the total energy emitted in neutrinos (>10 52 –10 54 erg).

Abbasi, R. [Loyola University Chicago] (ORCID:0000↗

Constraining early dark energy with gravitational waves before recombination

In this work, we show that the nonperturbative decay of ultralight scalars into Abelian gauge bosons, recently proposed as a possible solution to the Hubble tension, produces a stochastic background of gravitational waves which is constrained by the cosmic microwave background. We simulate the full nonlinear dynamics of resonant dark photon production and the associated gravitational-wave production, finding the signals to exceed constraints for the entire parameter space we consider. Our findings suggest that gravitational-wave production from the decay of early dark energy may provide a unique probe of these models.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Connecting primordial gravitational waves and dark energy

Cosmic acceleration manifested in the early universe as inflation, generating primordial gravitational waves detectable in the cosmic microwave background (CMB) radiation. Cosmic acceleration is occurring again at present as dark energy, detectable in cosmic distance and structure surveys. We explore the intriguing idea of connecting the two occurrences through quintessential inflation by an α-attractor potential without a cosmological constant. For this model we demonstrate robustness of the connection 1 + w 0 ≈ 4/(3N 2 r) between the present day dark energy equation of state parameter w 0 and the primordial tensor to scalar ratio r for a wide range of initial conditions. Analytic and numerical solutions produce current thawing behavior, resulting in a tight relation w a ≈ -1.53(1 + w 0 )≈ -0.2 (4 × 10 -3 /r). Upcoming CMB and galaxy redshift surveys can test this consistency condition. In conclusion, within this model, lack of detection of a dark energy deviation from Λ predicts a higher r, and lack of detection of r predicts greater dark energy dynamics.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Improving the Discovery Power of the Dark Energy Survey Gravitational Wave Program in Its Fourth Observing Campaign

The universe is growing at an accelerated rate, yet the several experiments and science cases used to measure this property yield conflicting results for the rate. Known colloquially as the Hubble tension problem, this discrepancy calls for a novel measurement of the Hubble Constant, H0, in order to be resolved. The Dark Energy Survey Gravitational Wave group (DESGW) aims to relieve this tension by performing a standard sirens measurement of H0 independent of traditional methods. To do so in the current era of data abundance and limited telescope time demands a robust, optimized, and complete science software pipeline to carefully balance the transition from gravitational wave data to state-of-the-art images, images to photometric data, and photometric data to identification and analysis of electromagnetic counterparts to gravitational wave signals. This thesis details the contributions of the author to the DESGW Search & Discovery Pipeline for the fourth observing run of the LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA gravitational wave detector network, as well as the science applications that have been pursued.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Seismic strain energy partitioning: estimating the strain energy of seismic body waves.

This report details a method to estimate the energy content of various types of seismic body waves. The method is based on the strain energy of an elastic wavefield and Hooke’s Law. We present a detailed derivation of a set of equations that explicitly partition the seismic strain energy into two parts: one for compressional (P) waves and one for shear (S) waves. We posit that the ratio of these two quantities can be used to determine the relative contribution of seismic P and S waves, possibly as a method to discriminate between earthquakes and buried explosions. We demonstrate the efficacy of our method by using it to compute the strain energy of synthetic seismograms with differing source characteristics. Specifically, we find that explosion-generated seismograms contain a preponderance of P wave strain energy when compared to earthquake-generated synthetic seismograms. Conversely, earthquake-generated synthetic seismograms contain a much greater degree of S wave strain energy when compared to explosion-generated seismograms.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

CFD Data on a Vertical Axis Wave Turbine

In this study January to July, 2023, different variations of the original geometry of a vertical-axis wave turbine (VAWT) were generated and evaluated for hydrodynamic power efficiency using computational fluid dynamics (CFD). The key geometrical parameters considered in this parametric study included the chord length of the rotor blades and the horizontal semi-axis length. The immersion depth of the rotor was also examined as a key deployment parameter for the wave turbine. The CFD simulation results revealed that a medium chord length of the blade (i.e., the same as that of the baseline design) and a shorter horizontal semi-axis for the guide curve of the blade than that of the baseline design resulted in higher hydrodynamic power to extract. With the most efficient turbine rotor geometry identified in this study, a deployment depth that could assure full submergence of the rotor in waves but as close to the free surface as possible led to a higher hydrodynamic power. These findings revealed a pathway for the improvement of the wave turbine energy efficiency.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Magnetogenesis Mechanisms Through Wave Interactions in High Energy Density Plasma (Final Technical Report)

This final technical report identifies and explores systematically mechanisms of current generation and magnetogenesis in both natural and laboratory high energy density (HED) plasma settings, These mechanisms involve wave-plasma interactions. Current generation mechanisms that have been developed in other settings can be applied in new ways to high energy density plasma environments. Mechanisms that have been overlooked or considered negligible in less extreme settings may play a role in the high energy density plasma, where considerable free energy could be available in the form of intense waves or particle motion which in turn can create intense wave energy. These mechanisms may be present naturally in astrophysical settings or they may be arranged in laboratory settings.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

2024 OES-Environmental 2024 State of the Science Report, Chapter 10: Potential Environmental Effects of Marine Renewable Energy in Tropical and Subtropical Ecosystems

Marine renewable energy (MRE), such as wave, tidal, ocean current, and thermal and salinity gradient, is under development in many parts of the world. However, studies examining the environmental effects of MRE have primarily focused on deployments in temperate regions and countries in the Northern Hemisphere. As MRE development expands into tropical and subtropical countries (between 35°N and 35°S), there is a need to examine the potential environmental effects specific to these regions and their unique habitats and species. Unlike temperate regions where wave and tidal energy resources dominate, tropical and subtropical regions can leverage five different types of MRE: wave energy, tidal energy, ocean current energy, ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC), and salinity gradient energy.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗