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At least 541 records · Page 30

Spatially resolved phase transformation mapping in 410 stainless steel during additive manufacturing visualized via real-time infrared data

Here, in this study, we demonstrate that spatially resolved cooling curves derived from real-time infrared (IR) thermography during additive manufacturing (AM) can capture spatial variations in phase transformation temperatures through cooling curve analysis (CCA). Using this approach, we show that during laser hot-wire deposition of 410 stainless steel (410SS), the martensite start temperature (M s ) evolves dynamically throughout the build. The M s temperature is spatially nonuniform, ranging from 185 °C to 348 °C, with the lowest values toward the build center and higher values toward the upper region of the deposit. In the lower portion of the build, no M s inflection is detected via CCA, consistent with transformation occurring earlier during thermal cycling followed by tempering during subsequent thermal cycles. These trends in M s are corroborated by characterizing the microstructure by electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD). Traditionally, M s is assumed to be constant, and a single interpass temperature is applied during both deposition and residual stress modeling. Our results demonstrate that IR-derived cooling curves provide a route to spatially and temporally resolved transformation temperature tracking for dynamic interpass control and improved residual-stress modeling.

Additive manufacturing↗

Ecosystem service benefits to water users from perennial biomass production

We report although many agree that a transition to renewable energy sources is needed to avoid the climate consequences of continued reliance on fossil sources, price is a barrier. For renewable energy sources, including bioenergy, penetrating energy markets depends on lowering prices to compete with the price of fossil sources, but the tools used in decision making, such as supply curves, exclude non-market benefits from ecosystem services. Here, we extend the economic concept of an economic supply curve to account for ecosystem services co-produced with perennial biomass. We developed three new types of supply curves to visualize the increased supply of biomass (‘sustainable supply’) with sufficient water-quality benefits to offset biomass production costs. Using these tools, we show that the value of water-quality improvements could significantly reduce the break-even price of perennial feedstocks if it were available to farmers. In the most optimistic case, nearly half of potential biomass supply in a large tributary of the Mississippi river basin carried water purification value exceeding the cost of biomass production. Furthermore, adding the value to swimmers and waders offset production cost for over 90% of potential supply. Simulated benefits were context specific. For example, total value for water drinkers peaked at an intermediate level of fertilizer application. Geographically, benefits were highest in the eastern portion of the river basin. This research shows where the sustainable supply is needed and can generate value; the next step is to match this supply with credit buyers. Efforts to internalize the values of ecosystem services into biomass prices could help to meet Biden administration targets to meet 100% of sustainable aviation fuels.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

MPC-Based Local Voltage Control Strategy of DGs in Active Distribution Networks

The increasing penetration of distributed generators (DGs) exacerbates the voltage violations in active distribution networks (ADNs). The commonly used centralized voltage control may aggravate the burden of computation and communication. Local voltage control can realize fast response to frequent voltage fluctuations. However, effective local control for DGs still needs to be further investigated. In this paper, a model predictive control (MPC)-based local voltage control strategy of DGs is proposed to cope with voltage violation problems and enhance the adaptation to the DG volatility. DGs are regulated with local Q-V control curves to respond to voltage fluctuations rapidly. Based on the dynamic network partition, a unified control curve for DGs is set in the same area to realize efficient operation. To further improve the performance of voltage control, the parameter tuning of control curves is regularly conducted based on decentralized inter-area coordination with the rolling of the control horizon. Finally, case study is verified on the modified IEEE 33-node distribution system. The proposed local control strategy of DGs can effectively improve the voltage profile and reduce power losses of the whole network without high computation and communication burden.

active distribution network (ADN)↗

Three-dimensional super line-localization in low signal-to-noise microscope images via prior-apprised unsupervised learning (PAUL)

Biological processes such as processive enzyme turnover and intracellular cargo tracking involve the dynamic motion of a small "article" along a curvilinear biopolymer track. To understand these processes that occur across multiple length and time scales, one must acquire both the trajectory of the particle and the position of the track along which it moves, possibly by combining high-resolution single-particle tracking with conventional microscopy. Yet, usually there is a significant resolution mismatch between these modalities: while the tracked particle is localized with a precision of 10 nm, the image of the surroundings is limited by optical difraction, with 200 nm lateral and 500 nm axial resolutions. Compared to the particle's trajectory, the surrounding curvilinear structure appears as a blurred and noisy image. This disparity in the spatial resolutions of the particle trajectory and the surrounding curvilinear structure image makes data reconstruction, as well as interpretation, particularly challenging. Analysis is further complicated when the curvilinear structures are oriented arbitrarily in 3D space. Here, we present a prior-apprised unsupervised learning (PAUL) approach to extract information from 3D images where the underlying features resemble a curved line such as a filament or microtubule. This three-stage framework starts with a Hessian-based feature enhancement, which is followed by feature registration, where local line segments are detected on repetitively sampled subimage tiles. In the final stage, statistical learning, segments are clustered based on their geometric relationships. Principal curves are then approximated from each segment group via statistical tools including principal component analysis, bootstrap and kernel transformation. This procedure is characterized on simulated images, where sub-voxel medium deviations from true curves have been achieved. The 3D PAUL approach has also been implemented for successful line localization in experimental 3D images of gold nanowires obtained using a multifocal microscope. Lastly, this work not only bridges the resolution gap between two microscopy modalities, but also allows us to conduct 3D super line-localization imaging experiments, without using super-resolution techniques.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Quantifying the Solar Energy Resource for Puerto Rico

After Hurricane Maria, multiple U.S. Department of Energy laboratories studied the state of the electric grid in Puerto Rico and analyzed grid resilience and grid integration of renewable energy. As part of the work done at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, researchers created new solar resource data, conducted a technical potential and supply curve analysis, and studied the interannual variability of the solar resource. A new methodology was developed to downscale solar resource data from the National Solar Radiation Data Base (NSRDB) from a 4-km x 4-km spatial and 30-minute temporal resolution to a 2 km x 2 km and 5-minute resolution. This methodology primarily used simple physical principles to develop high-resolution cloud properties which were then used to compute solar radiation. The high-resolution datasets were validated against ground measurements and the error metrics were found to be similar to the original lower resolution dataset. Using 20 years of downscaled data from the NSRDB multi-year capacity factors for photovoltaics (PV) were developed for both single-axis tracking and fixed latitude-tilt configurations. Use of the multi-year data provides the ability to understand variability in capacity factors due to variability in weather over a long period of time. For Puerto Rico the coastal regions were found to have significant higher capacity factors than inland. Using land-use and terrain information a technical potential analysis was conducted for Puerto Rico. This analysis restricted single PV plant development to a maximum of 100 MW nameplate capacity. The nameplate capacity for each municipality were then determined. Based on our assumptions, 56 of the 78 total municipalities of Puerto Rico contain some level of solar capacity. Most of the interior municipalities did not have any capacity because of the geographic exclusions used in this study. The lowest capacity for a PV plant observed in a municipality was 10 MW. The maximum capacity within a county was 2,000 MW. Further a supply curve analysis was conducted by taking the results of the technical potential and quantifying system and transmission costs. The levelized cost of energy (LCOE) was calculated for each theoretical PV plant site, and the levelized cost of transmission was added to the LCOE to produce a total cost estimate for each site. The results of the supply curve analysis allow for a relative comparison of the cost for integrating new PV capacity into the grid. This analysis indicates that cheaper total LCOE sites tend to be larger in capacity. The total capacity in this study was found to be far beyond the maximum peak load for the island. However, this study does not consider the economic and market potential for development. The cumulative capacity presented in this study assumes that the best locations are developed first and ignores the complex decision paths for new power plant development. Therefore, this analysis can only be treated as illustrative. Finally this study investigates the impact of inter-annual variability of resource using a variety of metrices including probability of exceedance and variation in capacity factor and LCOE. This study demonstrates that the capacity factor or LCOE could vary by over 10% year to year. This clearly indicates the risks involved in using any particular year of data and clearly points to the use of multi-year data to reduce some of the risks related to variability in weather.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

IER-501 CED-3b: Experiment Execution Summary for the Pulsed-Neutron Die-Away Experimental Testbed for Thermal Scattering Law Benchmarks (PNDA)

This report summarizes the experiments done for IER-501, a testbed for pulsed-neutron die-away (PNDA) experiments at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL). The PNDA experiments were conducted in two separate two-day campaigns: one campaign for high-density polyethylene and another for Lucite. All experiments were performed at Lawrence Livermore Laboratory. They will become high-quality benchmarks that serve to optimize and validate thermal neutron scattering laws (TSLs), which are high priority nuclear data for the Department of Energy’s Nuclear Criticality Safety Program (NCSP). The report presents the PNDA design and its equipment, and it documents the experimental die-away curves. It presents the characterization measurements that have been performed to-date. Importantly, mass spectrometry measurements to determine sample impurities were not yet completed. These will be included in the final benchmark. The report gives the fitted decay constants for the die-away curves of each target sample. It also provides the data for the die-away curves in the appendices. The HDPE experiments examined twelve targets of varying size. The Lucite measurements included ten targets of varying size. Experimenters in the campaign were Daniel Siefman, William Zywiec, and Ruby Araj.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

SPRUCE Photosynthesis and Respiration of Picea mariana and Larix laricina in SPRUCE Experimental Plots, 2016-2017

This dataset contains empirical physiological, morphological, and chemical data collected on two dominant conifer species, Picea mariana and Larix laricina, between May 2016 and August 2017 at the SPRUCE (Spruce and Peatland Responses Under Changing Environments) experimental site within the Marcell Experimental Forest in northern Minnesota, USA. Analyses assessed the response of conifers to whole-ecosystem warming and elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations. Measurements include light-saturated net photosynthesis and dark respiration at ambient atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration (2016), CO2 response curves of light-saturated net photosynthesis (2017), leaf morphology (leaf mass per unit leaf area) and nitrogen content (on both mass and area basis). Leaf photosynthesis and respiration were measured with portable photosynthesis systems (LI6400XT, LI6800, LI-COR Biosciences, USA). In 2016, photosynthesis and respiration were measured at a common temperature of 25 ˚C to assess thermal acclimation, and at growth temperatures (for each of the five treatment temperatures) to assess field performance. In 2017, CO2 response curves of net photosynthesis (so-called A-Ci curves) were conducted at different leaf temperatures (15, 25, 32.5, 40 and 45 ˚C) for assessment of biochemical parameters and their temperature sensitivity. In addition, dark respiration measurements at different leaf temperatures (10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, and 45 ºC) were also taken. This dataset contains one data file in comma-separate values (*.csv) and Microsoft Excel (*.xlsx) format. Additional metadata are provided: a data dictionary and a file-level metadata file in comma-separate values (.csv) format and a user guide in PDF (*.pdf) format.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Ab Initio Phase Diagram of Chromium to 2.5 TPa

Chromium possesses remarkable physical properties such as hardness and corrosion resistance. Chromium is also a very important geophysical material as it is assumed that lighter Cr isotopes were dissolved in the Earth’s molten core during the planet’s formation, which makes Cr one of the main constituents of the Earth’s core. Unfortunately, Cr has remained one of the least studied 3d transition metals. In a very recent combined experimental and theoretical study (Anzellini et al., Scientific Reports, 2022), the equation of state and melting curve of chromium were studied to 150 GPa, and it was determined that the ambient body-centered cubic (bcc) phase of crystalline Cr remains stable in the whole pressure range considered. However, the importance of the knowledge of the physical properties of Cr, specifically its phase diagram, necessitates further study of Cr to higher pressure. In this work, using a suite of ab initio quantum molecular dynamics (QMD) simulations based on the Z methodology which combines both direct Z method for the simulation of melting curves and inverse Z method for the calculation of solid–solid phase transition boundaries, we obtain the theoretical phase diagram of Cr to 2.5 TPa. We calculate the melting curves of the two solid phases that are present on its phase diagram, namely, the lower-pressure bcc and the higher-pressure hexagonal close-packed (hcp) ones, and obtain the equation for the bcc-hcp solid–solid phase transition boundary. We also obtain the thermal equations of state of both bcc-Cr and hcp-Cr, which are in excellent agreement with both experimental data and QMD simulations. We argue that 2180 K as the value of the ambient melting point of Cr which is offered by several public web resources (“Wikipedia,” “WebElements,” “It’s Elemental,” etc.) is most likely incorrect and should be replaced with 2135 K, found in most experimental studies as well as in the present theoretical work.

equation of state↗

In-Situ Measurement of Power Loss for Crystalline Silicon Modules Undergoing Thermal Cycling and Mechanical Loading Stress Testing

An in-situ method is proposed for monitoring and estimating the power degradation of mc-Si photovoltaic (PV) modules undergoing thermo-mechanical degradation tests that primarily manifest through cell cracking, such as mechanical load tests, thermal cycling and humidity freeze tests. The method is based on in-situ measurement of the module’s dark current-voltage (I-V) characteristic curve during the stress test, as well as initial and final module flash testing on a Sun simulator. The method uses superposition of the dark I-V curve with final flash test module short-circuit current to account for shunt and junction recombination losses, as well as series resistance estimation from the in-situ measured dark I-Vs and final flash test measurements. The method is developed based on mc-Si standard modules undergoing several stages of thermo-mechanical stress testing and degradation, for which we investigate the impact of the degradation on the modules light I-V curve parameters, and equivalent solar cell model parameters. Experimental validation of the method on the modules tested shows good agreement between the in-situ estimated power degradation and the flash test measured power loss of the modules, of up to 4.31 % error (RMSE), as the modules experience primarily junction defect recombination and increased series resistance losses. However, the application of the method will be limited for modules experiencing extensive photo-current degradation or delamination, which are not well reflected in the dark I-V characteristic of the PV module.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Considerations for Optimizing the Photometric Classification of Supernovae from the Rubin Observatory

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory will increase the number of observed supernovae (SNe) by an order of magnitude; however, it is impossible to spectroscopically confirm the class for all SNe discovered. Thus, photometric classification is crucial, but its accuracy depends on the not-yet-finalized observing strategy of Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST). We quantitatively analyze the impact of the LSST observing strategy on SNe classification using simulated multiband light curves from the Photometric LSST Astronomical Time-Series Classification Challenge (PLAsTiCC). First, we augment the simulated training set to be representative of the photometric redshift distribution per SNe class, the cadence of observations, and the flux uncertainty distribution of the test set. Then we build a classifier using the photometric transient classification library snmachine, based on wavelet features obtained from Gaussian process fits, yielding a similar performance to the winning PLAsTiCC entry. We study the classification performance for SNe with different properties within a single simulated observing strategy. We find that season length is important, with light curves of 150 days yielding the highest performance. Cadence also has an important impact on SNe classification; events with median inter-night gap <3.5 days yield higher classification performance. Interestingly, we find that large gaps (>10 days) in light-curve observations do not impact performance if sufficient observations are available on either side, due to the effectiveness of the Gaussian process interpolation. This analysis is the first exploration of the impact of observing strategy on photometric SN classification with LSST.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Impact of Rubin Observatory Cadence Choices on Supernovae Photometric Classification

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) will discover an unprecedented number of supernovae (SNe), making spectroscopic classification for all the events infeasible. LSST will thus rely on photometric classification, whose accuracy depends on the not-yet-finalized LSST observing strategy. In this work, we analyze the impact of cadence choices on classification performance using simulated multiband light curves. First, we simulate SNe with an LSST baseline cadence, a nonrolling cadence, and a presto-color cadence, which observes each sky location three times per night instead of twice. Each simulated data set includes a spectroscopically confirmed training set, which we augment to be representative of the test set as part of the classification pipeline. Then we use the photometric transient classification library snmachine to build classifiers. We find that the active region of the rolling cadence used in the baseline observing strategy yields a 25% improvement in classification performance relative to the background region. This improvement in performance in the actively rolling region is also associated with an increase of up to a factor of 2.7 in the number of cosmologically useful Type Ia SNe relative to the background region. However, adding a third visit per night as implemented in presto-color degrades classification performance due to more irregularly sampled light curves. Overall, our results establish desiderata on the observing cadence related to classification of full SNe light curves, which in turn impacts photometric SNe cosmology with LSST.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Superheavy Elements in Kilonovae

Abstract As LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA enters its fourth observing run, a new opportunity to search for electromagnetic counterparts of compact object mergers will also begin. The light curves and spectra from the first “kilonova” associated with a binary neutron star merger (NSM) suggests that these sites are hosts of the rapid neutron capture (“ r ”) process. However, it is unknown just how robust elemental production can be in mergers. Identifying signposts of the production of particular nuclei is critical for fully understanding merger-driven heavy-element synthesis. In this study, we investigate the properties of very neutron-rich nuclei for which superheavy elements ( Z ≥ 104) can be produced in NSMs and whether they can similarly imprint a unique signature on kilonova light-curve evolution. A superheavy-element signature in kilonovae represents a route to establishing a lower limit on heavy-element production in NSMs as well as possibly being the first evidence of superheavy-element synthesis in nature. Favorable NSM conditions yield a mass fraction of superheavy elements X Z ≥104 ≈ 3 × 10 −2 at 7.5 hr post-merger. With this mass fraction of superheavy elements, we find that the component of kilonova light curves possibly containing superheavy elements may appear similar to those arising from lanthanide-poor ejecta. Therefore, photometric characterizations of superheavy-element rich kilonova may possibly misidentify them as lanthanide-poor events.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Tensile testing and fracture mechanism analysis of polyvinyl alcohol nanofibrous webs

Abstract A tensile properties testing study was conducted to understand the influence of thickness, cross‐head speed (speed of testing), gauge length (GL; specimen test length), and sample shape on important tensile properties of polyvinyl alcohol (PVA) nanofiber webs. The effects of each testing parameter on load at break, extension at break, Young's modulus, and tensile stress–strain curve of PVA nanofiber webs are analyzed. The Welch two sample t ‐tests show the significant difference among tested data. Using interaction plots, two‐way analysis of variance, and margin mean plots, the interaction effects among testing parameters have been analyzed. Of all the factors, cross‐head speed, the interaction among GL, and sample thickness (GL: Thickness) and the interaction among GL, testing speed and sample thickness (GL: Speed: Thickness) have significant influence on the tensile properties of PVA nanofiber webs. Moreover, the hypothesized model of mechanism of tensile strain–stress curve of PVA nanofiber webs has been proposed. Based on the model, the tensile strain–stress curve can be split into three stages: linear elastic, partial break up, and complete breakage. This study will provide a better understanding of tensile testing parameters' effects and their interaction effects on the tensile properties of nanowebs.

Lou, Lihua↗

Updating Critical Temperature Calculations for Several Secondary High Explosives

In designing experiments where high explosives (HEs) are heated, it is important to have an understanding of where thermal runaway may occur. This determination is often done by using the Frank-Kamenetskii (FK) equation. For several highly-studied HEs, the parameters necessary for FK calculations are typically referenced from decades-old literature, and more recent experimental data have shown that these values require adjustment. For example, some of the legacy parameters dangerously overpredict the critical temperature by tens of degrees relative to more recent observed values. Herein, we first summarize historical results and highlight the importance of insulation effects when estimating critical temperatures for small samples, which is especially relevant to small-scale aging, compatibility, and characterization experiments. Here, we then present updated FK parameters for several common secondary CHNO HEs like RDX, HMX, PETN, and TATB, as well as the first reported values for 2,6-Diamino-3,5-dinitropyrazine-1-oxide (LLM-105). Our updated parameters produce critical-temperature curves that are consistent with both mm-scale differentical scanning calorimetry (DSC) measurements and cm-scale data from the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory one-dimensional time-to-explosion (ODTX) experiment. In analyzing the critical temperature versus sample size curves derived from the transcendental FK equation, we discovered that these curves are remarkably well described by a simple power-law function with a universal power of 0.142 and a HE-specific scaling factor.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

The soil health assessment protocol and evaluation applied to soil organic carbon

The concept of soil health has evolved over the past several decades, recognizing that dynamic soil property response to management and land use is highly dependent on site-specific factors that must be considered when interpreting soil health measurements. Initially, the Soil Management Assessment Framework (SMAF) and Comprehensive Assessment of Soil Health (CASH) were developed and used globally for scoring soil health indicators. However, both SMAF and CASH frameworks were developed using a relatively small dataset and their interpretation curves were not validated at the nationwide scale. Expanding upon these concepts, we propose the Soil Health Assessment Protocol and Evaluation (SHAPE) tool. The SHAPE was developed using 14,680 soil organic C (SOC) observations from across the United States, and accounts for edaphic and climate factors at the continental scale. Data were compiled from the literature, the Cornell Soil Health Laboratory, and the Kellogg Soil Survey Laboratory. In this approach, scoring curves are Bayesian model-based estimates of the conditional cumulative distribution function (CDF) for defined soil peer groups reflecting five soil texture and five soil suborder classes adjusted for mean annual temperature and precipitation. Specifically, SHAPE produces scores between 0 and 1 (0–100%) for measured SOC values that reflect the quantile or position within the conditional CDF along with measures of uncertainty. Herein, we focus on development of the SHAPE scoring curve for SOC with our case studies. SHAPE is a flexible, quantitative tool that provides a regionally relevant interpretation of this key soil health indicator.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Surface analysis insight note: Synthetic line shapes, integration regions and relative sensitivity factors

Here, methods for estimating photoemission intensity from X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy data are examined. The role played by “synthetic” bell-shaped curves, integration intervals, background curves, and the use of relative sensitivity factors (RSFs) in reporting percentage atomic concentration for a sample is presented. In particular, photoemission lines with differing energy distributions obtained from the NaCl sample surface are used to demonstrate how a comparison of photoemission intensities is dependent on the line shapes, background curves, and appropriate use of RSFs.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Surface analysis insight note: Differentiation methods applicable to noisy data for determination of sp2‐ versus sp3‐hybridization of carbon allotropes and AES signal strengths

The derivatives of the spectra are commonly used for quantification in Auger Electron Spectroscopy (AES) spectra, while the derivative of the KLL C Auger line has proven to be valuable in obtaining a measure of the relative proportions of sp 2 ‐ and sp 3 ‐hybridization using the D‐parameter in both AES and X‐ray Photoelectron Spectroscopy (XPS). Differentiation of X‐ray Photoelectron Spectroscopy (XPS) and Auger Electron Spectroscopy (AES) spectra by numerical means is presented and illustrated for polymeric, such as PEEK and Nylon, as well as for graphitic materials including highly ordered pyrolytic graphite and graphene oxide. The most commonly available Savitzky–Golay method is explained mathematically and developed through the case of constructing a 5‐point quadratic polynomial convolution kernel suitable for differentiating spectra of adequate signal to noise. The concept of differentiation of spectra where signal to noise is less than adequate is also developed. Two alternative strategies to Savitzky–Golay differentiation are presented, which fit curves to data that allow derivatives to be obtained where Savitzky–Golay would otherwise fail. These alternative methods involve constructing a parametric curve that fits data over the entire energy interval of interest. Derivatives of spectra are then obtained by differentiating these parametric curves directly. A comparison of results for different materials for which specific sp 2 ‐ vs sp 3 ‐hybridized carbon proportions are of interest is used to emphasize the importance of characterizing methods used to differentiate spectra and understanding the characteristics of instrumentation used to measure spectra. The case for using Principal Component Analysis noise reduction with C KLL spectra is made for spectra collected from a heterogeneous graphene oxide sample.

Fairley, Neal↗

Modeling the effect of wind speed and direction shear on utility‐scale wind turbine power production

Abstract Wind speed and direction variations across the rotor affect power production. As utility‐scale turbines extend higher into the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) with larger rotor diameters and hub heights, they increasingly encounter more complex wind speed and direction variations. We assess three models for power production that account for wind speed and direction shear. Two are based on actuator disc representations, and the third is a blade element representation. We also evaluate the predictions from a standard power curve model that has no knowledge of wind shear. The predictions from each model, driven by wind profile measurements from a profiling LiDAR, are compared to concurrent power measurements from an adjacent utility‐scale wind turbine. In the field measurements of the utility‐scale turbine, discrete combinations of speed and direction shear induce changes in power production of −19% to +34% relative to the turbine power curve for a given hub height wind speed. Positive speed shear generally corresponds to over‐performance and increasing magnitudes of direction shear to greater under‐performance, relative to the power curve. Overall, the blade element model produces both higher correlation and lower error relative to the other models, but its quantitative accuracy depends on induction and controller sub‐models. To further assess the influence of complex, non‐monotonic wind profiles, we also drive the models with best‐fit power law wind speed profiles and linear wind direction profiles. These idealized inputs produce qualitative and quantitative differences in power predictions from each model, demonstrating that time‐varying, non‐monotonic wind shear affects wind power production.

Energy & Fuels↗