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DOE OSTI2021

Machine Learning Augmented Predictive and Generative Model for Rupture Life in Ferritic and Austenitic Steels

The Larson-Miller parameter (LMP) offers an efficient and fast scheme to estimate the creep rupture life of alloy materials for high temperature applications. However, owing to poor generalizability and dependence on the constant C, which is typically not known a-priori, estimations using the Larson-Miller parameter often result in suboptimal performance for a wide range of materials. At best it is useful in comparing alloys of similar composition. In this work, three machine learning (ML) schemes were developed for rupture life prediction for 9-12% Cr ferritic-martensitic steels and austenitic stainless steels, i.e., a hierarchical model to parameterize LMP using the LMP constant C to compute rupture life, a hierarchical model to parameterize both C and LMP to compute rupture life, and a direct prediction of rupture life. Specifically, we show that the third scheme, using a gradient boosting algorithm, can be used to train ML models for very accurate prediction of rupture life in a variety of alloys (Pear-son Correlation Coefficient > 0.9 for 9-12% Cr and > 0.8 for austenitic stainless steels). In addition, the Shapley value was used to quantify feature importance, making the model interpretable by identifying the effect of various features on the model performance. Furthermore, a variational autoencoder-based generative model was built by conditioning on the experimental dataset to sample hypothetical synthetic candidate alloys from the learnt joint distribution not existing in both 9-12 % Cr ferritic-martensitic steel and austenitic stainless steel datasets. Finally, based on the predictive and generative model, a reinforcement learning strategy has been proposed to guide experimentalists into designing better heat resistant alloys.

Mamun, Md Osman G.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Modeling In-Reactor Temperature Gradients in Lithium Aluminate Ceramic Pellets

In reactor thermal performance of lithium aluminate ceramic pellets are calculated to determine operating temperatures if internal components shift during irradiation. A 2D conduction model was setup to model this scenario with additional physics, including thermal expansion of components to reactor temperatures, creep down of the cladding due to differential pressure between the inside of the rod and reactor coolant system, and net radiation exchange between components. The non-linear coupling of the governing equations presented convergence challenges due to the very different effects from a small temperature change on the radiation vs radial and circumferential conduction equations. Initial temperature guesses for the multidimensional solution were provided from conservative 1D models simulating bounding scenarios. Convergence was greatly improved by taking small steps towards the root solutions and averaging with initial guesses. The final method robustly converged all 132 points at an axial plane after a few dozen iterations. The temperature results show that the additional physics have a secondary effect as the dominant heat transfer mechanism is radial conduction across the gas gap followed by circumferential conduction around components. Circumferential conduction in the lithium aluminate pellets is enhanced by the relatively high thermal conductivity of this ceramic.

Carstens, Nathan A.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Bayesian Calibration of Nuclear Graphite Property Models Accounting for Model Inadequacy and Impacts on Component Performance

Nuclear-grade structural graphite is extensively utilized in the core designs of various advanced nuclear reactors. In the reactor environment, graphite is subjected to prolonged exposure to extreme conditions, including high temperatures, radiation, and potentially molten salt and oxygen. Such exposure can induce several degradation mechanisms in graphite, including nonuniform volumetric strains caused by irradiation and thermal expansion, leading to stresses that may compromise the performance of graphite components. Assessing component integrity requires accurate models of graphite's thermomechanical response. This report documents the Bayesian calibration of thermomechanical properties for nuclear-grade graphite and their application to graphite component modeling and simulation using the Grizzly code. As part of this work, uncertainty-quantified models were developed for the elastic modulus, coefficient of thermal expansion, irradiation-induced dimensional change, and irradiation-induced creep for graphite grades IG-110, NBG-18, NBG-17, PCEA, and 2114. Using a hierarchical Bayesian approach, multiple experimental data sources were combined to develop Gaussian process models for the properties. Using the Kennedy O'Hagan framework, the uncertainties due to inadequacies in the model and the inherent spread in the experimental data were quantified for three different models. These uncertainty-quantified models, with a model-form correction, were subsequently applied to a coupled-physics simulation of representative graphite components, revealing that the uncertainties have a large impact on the components' deformation.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

A Field Quality Modeling in Canted Cosine Theta Dipole Magnets Wound Using REBCO Cables

In accelerator magnets the magnetic field quality is an important parameter. Using REBCO tapes or cables in magnet windings affects the magnetic field quality because of a quite high magnetization generated by these conductors. In this paper we analyzed numerically (using FEM) an effect of various REBCO cables’ magnetization on the field quality of canted cosine theta (CCT) dipole magnets. The magnetic properties of the cables were taken from our measurements of their M (H) curves at 4.2 K and magnetic fields up to 12 T. Also, flux creep effects were measured and their effects on field quality analyzed. Here we present a modeling of a CCT magnet containing 1 dipole double layer wound using a CORC and STAR cable. To make the FEM modeling less computationally “expensive”, we modelled only a section of 10 turns of the magnet's central part and calculated b3 fields on a circle of 2/3 of the innermost layer center line. Special M (H) curves measured during various field cycles (the so called “pre-injection cycles”) are effective in decreasing b 3 fields of the magnets. Flux creep effects suppress the b 3 fields further. In conclusion, using these techniques b 3 fields less than 10 units can be achieved.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

NASA NTRS1989

Urey prize lecture - Water on Mars

Taking the heat-transport physics of ice-covered lakes in the Dry Valleys of Antarctica as a model, it is presently suggested that liquid water lakes could have persisted for significant periods under protective ice covers in the Valles Marineris depressions of Mars. Calculations of ground ice thermodynamic stability in a Martian setting indicate that they may exist close to the surface at high latitudes, but are able to persist near the equator only at substantial depths. Such Martian landforms as terrain-softening are attributable to the creep of the Martian regolith under the influence of ground-ice deformation; FEM modeling of the flow process implies terrain-softening to be a near-surface phenomenon.

Squyres, Steven W.↗

DOE OSTI2022

Residual elastic strain evolution due to thermal cycling of a ceramic-metal composite (WC-Cu) via high energy X-ray diffraction and analytical modeling

Residual stress, when superimposed with in-service loading, can significantly reduce the lifetime and performance of a component. Ceramic-metal composites are susceptible to residual stresses due to the thermal expansion mismatch of the ceramic and metallic phases. The WC-Cu composite explored in the present study provides a promising combination of thermal conductivity and strength properties, while exhibiting counterintuitive improvements in strength and ductility after thermal cycling. Further, this work quantifies the evolution of the residual elastic strains as a result of processing and cyclic thermal loading in a co-continuous WC-Cu composite through experimental high energy X-ray diffraction and kinetics-based modeling. Both analyses indicate that processing-induced residual tensile stress in the copper phase is relieved upon subsequent thermal cycling, with kinetics modeling revealing the cyclic-dependent nature of the active power-law creep mechanisms. The results indicate that, through stress relaxation, this material system maintains structural stability during thermal cycling. The illustrated kinetics of relaxation can inform general material processors and designers of ceramic-metal composites to minimize detrimental residual stress and improve performance of these material systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

NASA NTRS1989

Application of cyclic damage accumulation life prediction model to high temperature components

A high temperature, low cycle fatigue life prediction method was developed. This method, Cyclic Damage Accumulation (CDA), was developed for use in predicting the crack initiation lifetime of gas turbine engine materials, but it can be applied to other materials as well. The method is designed to account for the effects on creep-fatigue life of complex loading such as thermomechanical fatigue, hold periods, waveshapes, mean stresses, multiaxiality, cumulative damage, coatings, and environmental attack. Several features of this model were developed to make it practical for application to actual component analysis, such as the ability to handle nonisothermal loading (including TMF), arbitrary cycle paths, and multiple damage modes. The CDA life prediction model was derived from extensive specimen tests conducted on cast nickel-base superalloy B1900 + Hf. These included both monotonic tests (tensile and creep) and strain-controlled fatigue experiments (uniaxial, biaxial, TMF, mixed creep-fatigue, and controlled mean stress). Additional specimen tests were conducted on wrought INCO 718 to verify the applicability of the final CDA model to other high-temperature alloys. The model will be available to potential users in the near future in the form of a FORTRAN-77 computer program.

Nelson, Richard S.↗

NASA NTRS2000

Constituent-Based Life Models Being Developed for SiC/SiC Composites

For the successful utilization of ceramic matrix composites (CMC) as hot-section components in advanced aeropropulsion engines, the CMC constituents will need to be tailored and optimized to meet all the critical property demands of each component. Under the High-Speed Research (HSR) and Advanced High-Temperature Engine Materials Technology (HITEMP) Programs, the NASA Glenn Research Center at Lewis Field initiated research to develop mechanistic models for key CMC thermostructural properties. These models would describe the effects of different constituent factors (composition, geometry, and volume fraction) and of potential application conditions (stress, time, temperature, and environment) on these properties. Particular focus was placed on both analytical and numerical modeling of state-of-the-art SiC/SiC composites where the primary load-bearing constituents are stoichiometric SiC fibers in a complex multiphase SiC matrix produced by chemical vapor infiltration and melt infiltration. Recent studies have resulted in computer-based numerical models for the elastic modulus, thermal expansion, and thermal conductivity properties of the SiC/SiC system. Additional studies have generated analytical and empirical models for the time dependence of composite rupture strength at temperatures above 2200 F (1200 C), where CMC's have an important thermostructural advantage over current nickel-based superalloys. These life models utilize thermal activation theory and fiber stress-rupture results measured at Glenn to generate Larson-Miller (L M) plots of fiber rupture strength versus q, a single time- and temperature-dependent parameter. Assuming a worse case in which the SiC matrix is cracked, rupture is then controlled by the time-dependent fracture characteristics of the fiber bundles bridging the matrix cracks. With this as the controlling mechanism, one can then use simple composite theory and the fiber L M plots to predict CMC rupture strength versus the q parameter. The dashed line shows the predicted rupture strength of a SiC/SiC composite that is reinforced by a state-of-the-art stoichiometric SiC fiber. For the q parameter, time is in hours and temperature in degrees kelvin. To generate these predictions, a two-dimensional 0 /90 composite with approximately 16 percent fiber in the applied stress direction and an air test environment were assumed. As such, it is possible to compare the model predictions against limited stress-rupture data for this CMC as shown by the data points. The good agreement confirms the rupture model at least for the selected CMC and test conditions. Thus for this particular SiC/SiC composite, one can estimate a 1000-hr rupture strength of approximately 12 ksi at 2400 F (T = 1588 K and q = 39 700 K). At lower CMC application stresses, the SiC matrix is typically uncracked, so both the fiber and matrix constituents share the composite load. In this case, CMC rupture is controlled by the constituent with the longest rupture time based on the creep rate of the composite. Measured Monkman-Grant plots of rupture time versus creep rate for the two SiC constituents have been used to develop CMC life models for this important application condition. NASA and DOD are currently using this information to establish application and material goals for more advanced CMC's that can be used at even higher temperatures.

DiCarlo, James A.↗

NASA NTRS2024

Effects of alloying elements on twinning in Ni-based superalloys

Micro-twinning is the major creep deformation mechanism in Ni-based superalloys at temperatures above 700 °C. Recent experiments suggest that superlattice stacking faults in y' phase may serve as the precursors to twin formation. Segregation of alloying elements to these precursors may have a significant effect on formation and extension of micro-twins. Using atomistic modeling we investigate and explain the effects of Nb and Cr alloying additions on these processes. The simulation shows that Nb increases the creep resistance which is mostly associated with impeding the reordering of the high energy double complex stacking fault. Cr, on the other hand, promotes twin growth, degrading the high temperature creep properties. These results can help to understand the effects of elemental composition of the alloy on creep resistance.

Ni-based superalloys↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Effects of Alloying Elements on Twinning in Ni-Based Superalloys

Ni-based superalloys↗

NASA NTRS2007

Measurement of Creep Properties of Ultra-High-Temperature Materials by a Novel Non-Contact Technique

A non-contact technique for measuring the creep properties of materials has been developed and validated as part of a collaboration among the University of Massachusetts, NASA Marshall Space Flight Center Electrostatic Levitation Facility (ESL), and the University of Tennessee. This novel method has several advantages over conventional creep testing. The sample is deformed by the centripetal acceleration from the rapid rotation, and the deformed shapes are analyzed to determine the strain. Since there is no contact with grips, there is no theoretical maximum temperature and no concern about chemical compatibility. Materials may be tested at the service temperature even for extreme environments such as rocket nozzles, or above the service temperature for accelerated testing of materials for applications such as jet engines or turbopumps for liquid-fueled engines. The creep measurements have been demonstrated to 2400 C with niobium, while the test facility, the NASA MSFC ESL, has processed materials up to 3400 C. Furthermore, the ESL creep method employs a distribution of stress to determine the stress exponent from a single test, versus the many tests required by conventional methods. Determination of the stress exponent from the ESL creep tests requires very precise measurement of the surface shape of the deformed sample for comparison to deformations predicted by finite element models for different stress exponents. An error analysis shows that the stress exponent can be determined to about 1% accuracy with the current methods and apparatus. The creep properties of single-crystal niobium at 1985 C showed excellent agreement with conventional tests performed according to ASTM Standard E-139. Tests on other metals, ceramics, and composites relevant to rocket propulsion and turbine engines are underway.

Hyers, Robert W.↗

NASA NTRS1992

An investigation of the thermoviscoplastic behavior of a metal matrix composite at elevated temperatures

This research investigates the response of a fiberless 13 layer hot isostatically pressed Ti-15-3 laminate to creep, constant strain rate, and cyclic constant strain rate loading at temperatures ranging from 482C to 649C. Creep stresses from 48 to 260 MPa and strain rates of .0001 to .01 m/m/sec were used. Material parameters for three unified constitutive models (Bodner-Partom, Miller, and Walker models) were determined for Ti-15-3 from the experimental data. Each of the three models was subsequently incorporated into a rule of mixtures and evaluated for accuracy and ease of use in predicting the thermoviscoplastic response of unidirectional metal matrix composite laminates (both 0 and 90). The laminates were comprised of a Ti-15-3 matrix with 29 volume percent SCS6 fibers. The predicted values were compared to experimentally determined creep and constant strain rate data. It was found that all three models predicted the viscoplastic response of the 0 specimens reasonably well, but seriously underestimated the viscoplastic response of the 90 specimens. It is believed that this discrepancy is due to compliant and/or weak fiber-matrix interphase. In general, it was found that of the three models studied, the Bodner-Partom model was easiest to implement, primarily because this model does not require the use of cyclic constant strain rate tests to determine the material parameters involved. However, the version of the Bodner-Partom model used in this study does not include back stress as an internal state variable, and hence may not be suitable for use with materials which exhibit a pronounced Baushinger effect. The back stress is accounted for in both the Walker and Miller models; determination of the material parameters associated with the Walker model was somewhat easier than in the Miller model.

Rogacki, John R.↗

NASA NTRS2003

Specific Hardening Function Definition and Characterization of a Multimechanism Generalized Potential-based Viscoelastoplasticity Model

Given the previous complete-potential structure framework together with the notion of strain- and stress-partitioning in terms of separate contributions of several submechanisms (viscoelastic and viscoplastic) to the thermodynamic functions (stored energy and dissipation) a detailed viscoelastoplastic multimechanism characterization of a specific hardening functional form of the model is presented and discussed. TIMETAL 21S is the material of choice as a comprehensive test matrix, including creep, relaxation, constant strain-rate tension tests, etc. are available at various temperatures. Discussion of these correlations tests, together with comparisons to several other experimental results, are given to assess the performance and predictive capabilities of the present model particularly with regard to the notion of hardening saturation as well as the interaction of multiplicity of dissipative (reversible/irreversible) mechanisms.

Arnold, S. M.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Constitutive modeling for isotropic materials

The objective of the program is to evaluate and develop existing constitutive models for use in finite-element structural analysis of turbine engine hot section components. The class of constitutive equation studied is considered unified in that all inelastic deformation including plasticity, creep, and stress relaxation are treated in a single term rather than a classical separation of plasticity (time independent) and creep (time dependent) behavior. The unified theories employed also do not utilize the classical yield surface or plastic potential concept. The models are constructed from an appropriate flow law, a scalar kinetic relation between strain rate, temperature and stress, and evolutionary equations for internal variables describing strain or work hardening, both isotropic and directional (kinematic). This and other studies have shown that the unified approach is particularly suited for determining the cyclic behavior of superalloy type blade and vane materials and is entirely compatible with three-dimensional inelastic finite-element formulations. The behavior was examined of a second nickel-base alloy, MAR-M247, and compared it with the Bodner-Partom model, further examined procedures for determining the material-specific constants in the models, and exercised the MARC code for a turbine blade under simulated flight spectrum loading. Results are summarized.

Lindholm, Ulric S.↗

DOE OSTI2026

Thermomechanical analysis and modeling of a high-temperature light trapping planar cavity solar receiver

The development of durable particle-based high-temperature solar receivers is critical for advancing concentrating solar-thermal (CST) technologies to enable high-efficiency power generation and industrial process heat. Here, this study presents a computational framework to evaluate the thermomechanical performance of a proposed enclosed light-trapping planar cavity receiver designed for particle-based thermal energy systems. The receiver incorporates absorptive cavities and fluidized particle-bed channels to enhance heat capture and reduce thermal losses. Finite element analysis (FEA) is employed to assess stress, strain, and creep-fatigue behavior under concentrated solar flux using realistic thermal boundary conditions derived from coupled system models and experimental assembly parameters. The analysis investigates the influence of particle-to-wall heat transfer coefficients (HTC) ranging from 800 to 1800 W/m 2 .K on the thermomechanical response of six candidate high-temperature alloys: Alloy 740H, Alloy 282, Alloy 617, 316H, Alloy 230, and 800H. Results show that increasing HTC reduces thermal gradients, leading to lower stresses and strains and extended minimum predicted creep life. While all materials satisfy fatigue life requirements under the investigated conditions, significant differences in creep resistance are observed. Alloy 740H consistently exhibits the longest minimum predicted creep life and the most favorable durability margins, followed by Alloy 282, with the remaining materials showing reduced creep resistance under identical loading. The reported creep lives are conservative lower-bound estimates intended for comparative material evaluation. This framework highlights the critical roles of material selection and geometry optimization in improving mechanical durability and reliability of solar-thermal receivers, forming a foundation for future experimental validation and design optimization.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

NASA NTRS1988

Radiation and temperature effects on the time-dependent response of T300/934 graphite/epoxy

A time-dependent characterization study was performed on T300/934 graphite/epoxy in a simulated space environment. Creep tests on irradiated and nonirradiated graphite/epoxy and bulk resin specimens were carried out at temperatures of 72 and 250 F. Irradiated specimens were exposed to dosages of penetrating electron radiation equal to 30 years exposure at GEO-synchronous orbit. Radiation was shown to have little effect on the creep response of both the composite and bulk resin specimens at 72 F while radiation had a significant effect at 250 F. A healing process was shown to be present in the irradiated specimens where broken bonds in the epoxy due to radiation recombined over time to form cross-links in the 934 resin structure. An analytical micromechanical model was also developed to predict the viscoelastic response of fiber reinforced composite materials. The model was shown to correlate well with experimental results for linearly viscoelastic materials with relatively small creep strains.

Yancey, Robert N.↗

DOE OSTI2022

High-Temperature Creep Test Suite for Grizzly

A recent development in the Grizzly has focused on improving its ability to model the high-temperature response of alloys, enabling its use for predictive modeling of material response for advanced reactor applications. This report documents an effort to expand the example and assessment test suites in Grizzly to include a set of problems that exercise the models for high-temperature response of components relevant to advanced reactors. These problems can be used to assess the accuracy of models, provide examples for users interested in modeling this class of problems, monitoring performance on large-scale problems and as test cases for future feature development.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Influence of geochemical reactions on the creep behavior of Mt. Simon sandstone

The capture and subsurface storage of carbon dioxide is a sustainable option that is currently pursued worldwide to mitigate greenhouse gas effect. However, predicting the long-term mechanical integrity of CO 2 underground storage systems remains a challenge. To address that question, it is essential to understand the influence of fluid-rock chemo-mechanical interactions on the long-term and on the time-dependent mechanical properties. In turn, the long-term mechanical response and the time-dependent mechanical behavior can be represented by the creep response. We investigate the impact of CO 2 -induced geochemical reaction on the creep response of Mt. Simon sandstone with a 50–400 micron grain size. We perform static and dynamic flow experiments on Mt. Simon sandstone specimens under geological conditions, at a temperature of T = 50 - 53 °C and for CO 2 pressures of P = 8:62; 17:2 MPa under both static flow and dynamic flow-through conditions. After aging, we employ creep indentation testing, high-resolution SEM-EDS, computer vision, machine learning, and micromechanics modeling to probe changes on the microstructure and mechanical properties. Following both static and dynamic flow-through experiments, we observe a 10–22% decrease in quartz volume fraction and an increase in both the microporosity (7–28%) and nanoporosity (60–65%). Additional CO 2 -induced microstructural changes include an enlargement of pore throats and the formation of channels. These observations point to the presence of CO 2 -induced K-feldspar dissolution and clay dissolution reactions. Here, the macroscopic creep behavior is logarithmic and the macroscopic creep modulus varies depending on the microporosity and the relative quartz and feldspar content. As a result of these geochemical reactions and of the related microstructural changes, a 55-60% decrease in the macroscopic logarithmic creep modulus is predicted.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗