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Results for “uncertainty estimation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 55 records · Page 3
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

A Review of Parameter Ranges for Uncertainty Estimation for Decomposing Carbon Fiber Epoxy Composites

Carbon fiber epoxy composites are increasingly used in systems requiring a material that is both strong and light weight, as in airplanes, cars, and pressure vessels. In fire environments, carbon fiber epoxy composites are a fuel source subject to oxidation. This literature review seeks to provide material properties as well as uncertainty bounds for those properties for computational models of decomposing carbon fiber epoxy composites. The goal is to guide analysts when measurements are lacking and increase credibility of uncertainty quantification ranges.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Improving unfolding and systematic uncertainty estimation using generative diffusion networks (Final Technical Report)

This final technical report summarizes the key accomplishments on the unfolding using diffusion model project, a DOE award received by PI Pierre-Hugues Beauchemin at Tufts University. This project main goal was to investigate the potential of diffusion models for unfolding experimental High Energy Physics data from detector effects while controlling systematics uncertainties. The project accomplished its goals by completing the following objectives: 1) Performing an object-by-object, event-by-event unfolding of various kinematic distributions reconstructed from detector data in HEP in a way that keeps correlations between unfolded observables while demonstrating competitive performance compared to standard algorithms used in the field; 2) Address the generalization problem by developing an unfolding algorithm capable to correctly infer the underlying distributions of observables and processes never seen before, while controlling the dominant theoretical uncertainties affecting the process, therefore increasing the effectiveness, the precision, and the applicability of the developed algorithm; 3) Understand the theoretical foundations between the developed algorithm so to extend it to applications beyond experimental HEP, for broader benefits to the society. This report provides an overview of the accomplishments related to each of these key objectives.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Uncertainty Estimation and Anomaly Detection in Chiral Effective Field Theory Studies of Key Nuclear Electroweak Processes

Chiral effective field theory (χEFT) is a powerful tool for studying electroweak processes in nuclei. I discuss χEFT calculations of three key nuclear electroweak processes: primordial deuterium production, proton-proton fusion, and magnetic dipole excitations of 48 Ca. Further, this article showcases χEFT’s ability to quantify theory uncertainties at the appropriate level of rigor for addressing the different precision demands of these three processes.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Automated segmentation of porous thermal spray material CT scans with predictive uncertainty estimation

Abstract Thermal sprayed metal coatings are used in many industrial applications, and characterizing the structure and performance of these materials is vital to understanding their behavior in the field. X-ray computed tomography (CT) enables volumetric, nondestructive imaging of these materials, but precise segmentation of this grayscale image data into discrete material phases is necessary to calculate quantities of interest related to material structure. In this work, we present a methodology to automate the CT segmentation process as well as quantify uncertainty in segmentations via deep learning. Neural networks (NNs) have been shown to excel at segmentation tasks; however, memory constraints, class imbalance, and lack of sufficient training data often prohibit their deployment in high resolution volumetric domains. Our 3D convolutional NN implementation mitigates these challenges and accurately segments full resolution CT scans of thermal sprayed materials with maps of uncertainty that conservatively bound the predicted geometry. These bounds are propagated through calculations of material properties such as porosity that may provide an understanding of anticipated behavior in the field.

Martinez, Carianne↗
DOE OSTI2020

Automated Segmentation of Porous Thermal Spray Material CT Scans with Geometric Uncertainty Estimation

Thermal sprayed metal coatings are used in many industrial applications, and characterizing the structure and performance of these materials is vital to understanding their behavior in the field. X-ray Computed Tomography (CT) machines enable volumetric, nondestructive imaging of these materials, but precise segmentation of this grayscale image data into discrete material phases is necessary to calculate quantities of interest related to material structure. In this work, we present a methodology to automate the CT segmentation process as well as quantify uncertainty in segmentations via deep learning. Neural networks (NNs) are shown to accurately segment full resolution CT scans of thermal sprayed materials and provide maps of uncertainty that conservatively bound the predicted geometry. These bounds are propagated through calculations of material properties such as porosity that may provide an understanding of anticipated behavior in the field.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

High-burnup isotopics bias and uncertainty estimations for LANCR02

Calculated nuclide concentrations are compared against destructive radiochemical assays of modern, high-burnup BWR fuel to validate the LANCR02 lattice physics code. Good agreement is observed between different lattice physics methodologies - including the LANCR02 implementation of Method of Characteristics neutron and gamma transport solver and the TGBLA06 methodology - and against measurements. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Application-Specific Implementations: Self-Consistent Analysis, Uncertainty Estimation, Instrumentation Effects

When UF 6 is located on the bottom of a cylindrical container lying flat, the Hage-Cifarelli formalism can be used to reconstruct the multiplication of the UF 6 and the strength of the 234 U (a,n) source, from which the 235 U can be inferred. However, when the UF 6 sticks to the ends or to the sides of the container, the reconstruction is no longer predictive in terms of source strength. The same conclusions were reached, whether one uses 3 He tubes or scintillators to detect the neutrons. Feynman’s point theory underlying the reconstruction would need to be improved to address the differences in source strenghts observed.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Non-Parametric Source Term Uncertainty Estimation

This paper describes the source term calculation documented in SAND2011-0128, ''Accident Source Terms for Light-Water Nuclear Power Plants Using High-Burnup or MOX Fuel'' and describes one method for implementing the calculation in MATLAB.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗