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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 55 records · Page 3

Detect the Unobservable: Abnormality Detection in mixed Autonomy for Lane Change Maneuver with Following Vehicles’ Trajectories Only

Highly Automated Vehicles (HAVs) and Advanced Driver-Assistance Systems (ADAS) are transforming modern transportation with enhanced mobility, safety, and efficiency. Despite their advantages, cybersecurity vulnerabilities in these systems can lead to abnormal behavior, posing significant risks to surrounding human-driven vehicles (HDVs) in mixed traffic environments. Here, this article addresses the challenge of detecting abnormal lateral movements of HAVs/ADAS vehicles using only trajectory profiles of following HDVs. Specifically, we propose a novel modeling approach that captures both normal and abnormal lateral behaviors through vehicle kinematics, integrated decision-making processes, vehicle control using symbolic regression for lane change vehicles. Additionally, we introduce an abnormality detection framework that relies on observable HDV data, even in occlusion scenarios. The framework evaluates the sensitivity of various car-following models to detect abnormal behaviors, providing insights into the interaction between HAVs/ADAS and HDVs in mixed autonomy systems.

Connected and Automated vehicles↗

Trajectory Balance with Asynchrony

Finetune large language models (LLMs) quicker via parallelization. Specifically, this implements asynchronous reinforcement learning with a trajectory balance objective function

Bartoldson, BrianR [Lawrence Livermore National La↗

Evaluation of the EarthSHAB Stratospheric Solar Hot Air Balloon Flight Prediction Model Using Balloon Trajectory Data

Abstract The heliotrope is a solar balloon design which is constructed out of painter’s plastic, and the exterior is coated in charcoal powder. Darkening the plastic gives the balloon a high solar absorptance, which allows it to ascend into the lower stratosphere and float for hours at a time. The balloons have previously been used to lift scientific instruments into the stratosphere to study chemical explosions, earthquakes, and stratospheric aerosols. They have also been proposed as a platform for planetary exploration. Flight predictions are crucial to preflight planning to reduce safety risks and meet flight objectives. However, there exists a wide range of possible flight paths due to varying environmental conditions and solar balloon configurations. EarthSHAB is one such software that was designed to support flight planning using the weather forecasts and balloon properties to predict the flight path of a solar balloon. We compare EarthSHAB-simulated flight paths to a set of observed flight paths for the 3.5-m diameter heliotrope design called the “Cloudskimmer.” Using the criteria that the modeled paths must fall within 5% of the observations to be considered successful, we found that EarthSHAB successfully predicted the Cloudskimmer ascent rate and average float altitude 10% and 90% of the time, respectively. We also found that the average difference in the observed and predicted landing locations was 97 km and landing times were 54 ± 38 min. Significant deviations between the observed and predicted ascent rates and excursions at float were found to be associated with heavy payloads and convective cloud development, respectively. Significance Statement Solar balloons are used to lift scientific instruments into the lower stratosphere for hours at a time to study chemical explosions, earthquakes, stratospheric aerosols, and more. The flight paths of solar balloons can be difficult to predict due to variability in their design and surrounding environment. We evaluate the accuracy of EarthSHAB, a software that predicts the altitude profile and horizontal trajectory of a solar balloon using inputs such as the weather, balloon size, and balloon mass. Our results suggest that for the balloon design used in this study, EarthSHAB is best suited for modeling the behavior of balloons with lightweight payloads that do not fly within or directly above clouds.

Lien, Jessica M. [Sandia National Laboratories, Al↗

Resonance Trajectories and Island Tune Spectra in the Tune Domain

Island tune spectra are introduced, beginning with curves of resonance trajectories plotted in the (Q x , Q I ) tune domain plane (where Q x is horizontal tune and Q I is island tune) for many resonance orders N. A slice in the (Q x , Q I ) plane delivers a Q I -spectrum at a fixed horizontal tune, with one spectral line for every appropriate value of N.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Behavioral Segmentation and Clustering of Geospatial Trajectories

The rapid growth of global positioning system (GPS) devices has led to a corresponding increase in the size of GPS datasets. While these large GPS datasets contain a wealth of information about the behaviors of the moving objects in them, manual classification and anomaly detection are prohibitively time consuming. We utilize unsupervised machine learning techniques to first identify the behaviors for individual moving objects and then cluster those objects by their behavioral sequences. In this way, trajectories behaving unusually as well as common patterns of behavior are both detectable in large datasets without requiring an a priori definition of "unusual" or "common."

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Xcel Energy’s electric carbon emissions reduction trajectories in the context of 1.5°C and 2°C warming pathways

In 2015 the Paris Agreement established the goals of limiting global average warming to well below 2°C and pursuing efforts to limit warming to below 1.5°C. A large and growing number of scenarios have been developed by the climate research community that explore global energy and emissions pathways that would achieve those goals. We draw on the most recent database of such scenarios to update a previous analysis of Xcel Energy’s emissions reduction goals in light of evolving climate science. We assess the outlook for the role of the US electricity sector in current economy-wide and global emissions pathways and compare it to Xcel Energy’s near-term resource plans to 2030. We find that global scenarios that achieve the 1.5°C goal span a range of US/North America electricity sector emissions reductions by 2030 of about 65-85%. Xcel Energy’s emissions reductions to date have exceeded those of the US electricity sector as a whole, and its projected trajectory to 2030 under current approved resource plans falls within this range. Scenarios achieving the 2°C goal have a wider range of reductions (about 40-85%). In scenarios achieving either goal, electricity sector emissions fall faster than economy-wide emissions, a robust feature of mitigation scenarios, which typically rely on low carbon electricity to achieve climate targets.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Formation trajectories of solution-processed perovskite thin films from mixed solvents

The engineering of mixed-solvent formulations and their evaporation conditions are key to reproducible perovskite coatings for high-performance photovoltaics. Here, we report a lumped-parameter evaporation model to predict the evolution of a perovskite ink liquid film over time (solvent ratio, solute concentration, and film thickness). The drying-rate model is validated via in situ film-thickness measurements, and the predicted transient liquid film state is mapped as a process path. These methods allow for the prediction of process sensitivity to local environmental factors and the understanding and visualization of a broader processing parameter space enabled through the coupling of process and ink engineering. Process maps are applied to create a new framework for scalable perovskite coating development with a goal of improving the reproducibility and transferability of perovskite fabrication. This approach is demonstrated with blade-coated FA 0.83 Cs 0.17 PbI 3 photovoltaic devices, improving the photovoltaic conversion efficiency from 17.5% ± 1.7% to 20.3% ± 0.6%.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Dynamic motion trajectory control with nanoradian accuracy for multi-element X-ray optical systems via laser interferometry

The past decades have witnessed the development of new X-ray beam sources with brightness growing at a rate surpassing Moore’s law. Current and upcoming diffraction limited and fully coherent X-ray beam sources, including multi-bend achromat based synchrotron sources and high repetition rate X-ray free electron lasers, puts increasingly stringent requirements on stability and accuracy of X-ray optics systems. Parasitic motion errors at sub-micro radian scale in beam transport and beam conditioning optics can lead to significant loss of coherence and brightness delivered from source to experiment. To address this challenge, we incorporated optical metrology based on interferometric length and angle sensing and real-time correction as part of the X-ray optics motion control system. A prototype X-ray optics system was constructed following the optical layout of a tunable X-ray cavity. On-line interferometric metrology enabled dynamical feedback to a motion control system to track and compensate for motion errors. The system achieved sub-microradian scale performance, as multiple optical elements are synchronously and continuously adjusted. This first proof of principle measurement demonstrated both the potential and necessity of incorporating optical metrology as part of the motion control architecture for large scale X-ray optical systems such as monochromators, delay lines, and in particular, X-ray cavity systems to enable the next generation cavity-based X-ray free electron lasers.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Integrating vehicle trajectory planning and arterial traffic management to facilitate eco-approach and departure deployment

Eco-approach and departure (EAD) enable continuous vehicle motion in urban signalized corridors. Since such a motion can extend to the EAD vehicles’ followers, it makes EAD a promising technology to benefit the traffic flow where automated vehicles and conventional vehicles coexist. Most existing EAD studies envision an ideal setting that neglects real-world operational conditions such as lane changes, multi-movement intersection configuration, partially automated fleet, and/or limited traffic state awareness. This study aims to fill the gap by designing an EAD algorithm considering real-world traffic operation constraints. The proposed algorithm uses a model predictive controller to minimize vehicle speed reduction and variation based on the real-time traffic signal control plan and measured queues at the intersection. The required inputs are readily available at many modern intersections. We observed that the proposed controller’s performance might degrade because of lane-changing maneuvers and lead-left turn traffic signals. These observations motivated our development of a lane change management strategy and a signal control implementation strategy to facilitate the EAD implementation. The lane change management strategies separate the EAD operations and lane-changing maneuvers in time and space. The signal control implementation strategy applies lag-left turn signals to enable EAD operation for both the through and left-turn vehicles. Compared to the non-EAD case, our EAD approach produces 2.5% to 7.8% energy savings while keeping similar intersection mobility. Notably, this approach brings about 2.5% to 3.6% energy savings in a 2% CAV case. This result demonstrates the feasibility of deploying EAD at low connected automated vehicle penetration rates.

Arterial corridor management↗

Investigation of post-breakup Coulomb acceleration using a trajectory model

Intermediate mass fragments ejected during the deexcitation of excited projectilelike fragments may promptly decay following ejection; the daughter particles that are subsequently produced are subject to interactions with the residual nucleus that affect final-state observables, a process herein referred to as post-breakup Coulomb acceleration. A simple classical Coulomb interaction model was used to study modification of 8 Be (2 + ), 5 Li (3/2 – ), 7 Li (7/2 – ), 7 Be (7/2 – ), and states in 12 B emitted following heavy-ion collisions of 28 Si + 12 C at 35 MeV/nucleon. Here, in contrast to previous work studying 8 Be (2 + ), excellent agreement between simulation and experiment was obtained using only Coulomb forces when either a Lorentzian or R-matrix line shape was used to describe the initial relative energy rather than a Gaussian. In consideration of the obtained results, improvements to the model and evaluation of experimental data are discussed as future directions, but it was concluded that the effects observed in the present data can be accurately described using only elements of classical mechanics and that the process is largely understood for a wide range of state lifetimes and mass and charge (a)symmetries.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Flow matching beyond kinematics: Generating jets with particle identification and trajectory displacement information

We introduce the first generative model trained on the etlass dataset. Our model generates jets at the constituent level, and it is a permutation-equivariant continuous normalizing flow (CNF) trained with the flow matching technique. It is conditioned on the jet type, so that a single model can be used to generate the ten different jet types of etlass. For the first time, we also introduce a generative model that goes beyond the kinematic features of jet constituents. The etlass dataset includes more features, such as particle-ID and track impact parameter, and we demonstrate that our CNF can accurately model all of these additional features as well. Our generative model for etlass expands on the versatility of existing jet generation techniques, enhancing their potential utility in high-energy physics research, and offering a more comprehensive understanding of the generated jets. Published by the American Physical Society 2025

Birk, Joschka (ORCID:0000000219310127)↗