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At least 55 records · Page 3

Power now, pay later: the evolution of U.S. residential solar financing

Most U.S. residential rooftop solar customers finance their solar purchases through loans or by buying power from third-party owned systems. Prior research demonstrates how third-party ownership (TPO) models such as leases emerged in the early 2010s and accelerated solar adoption by low- and moderate-income households while driving market concentration in the installation industry. Since 2015, loans have emerged as a prevalent financing alternative, but the potential effects of loans on the customer base and industry remain understudied. Here, we fill that research gap by developing a methodology to identify loan-financed and third-party owned systems in a household-level solar adopter data set. The data suggest that loans accounted for increasing solar market shares from 2017 until reaching as high as 70% in 2022, but that the market has since shifted back to TPO. The data show that TPO adopters in our sample earned about 16%–18% less and loan recipients earned 3%–7% less, at the median, than customers who self-financed systems. These results reaffirm prior research showing that TPO has accelerated low- and moderate-income adoption and that loans have likewise expanded the customer base to a lesser extent. The results suggest that loan-financed systems entail around a 16%–26% price premium that is only partly explained by loan fees. Finally, the data suggest that the emergence of loans has likely reduced market concentration in the rooftop solar industry.

financing↗

Increasing the Reach of Low-Income Energy Programmes through Behaviourally Informed Peer Referral

Subsidized energy assistance programmes are a popular policy tool for promoting energy justice, but, like other social benefits programmes, are often undersubscribed. To improve uptake, some programmes have turned to social influence strategies, such as asking programme participants to refer their peers. Here, through a field experiment with California's low-income solar programme (N = 7,676), we show that referral behaviour depends on how existing participants are approached. Adding behavioural science strategies to a referral reward increases peer referral rates, referral quality and ultimately solar adoption. Compared with only reminding existing adopters of a potential US$200 reward for referrals that result in adoption, adding an appeal to reciprocity through a non-contingent US$1 gift - and further combining this gift with a simplified referral process - leads to 2.6-5.2 times as many solar contracts. These results highlight the potential of behaviourally informed peer referral programmes to accelerate equitable access to clean energy.

California↗

Using Behavioral Science to Target LMI and High-Value Solar Installations (Final Technical Report)

This project is a data-driven analysis of approaches to facilitate solar adoption in LMI communities and areas with high potential benefits to the electric grid. The cornerstone of the project was two waves of randomized field experiments. The first wave involved novel approaches to reaching LMI communities based on insights from literature. The second wave involved areas of high potential of solar to the electricity grid, as determined in collaboration with the local utilities in Connecticut. Both waves were followed by surveys to develop insight into the effectiveness of different approaches. A third key element of the project is the development of new agent-based models of solar energy diffusion that explicitly incorporate the real spatial and temporal constraints that influence solar diffusion, based on real-world data on solar adoption. The project also involved outreach and dissemination of key findings to relevant stakeholders, including a guidebook on strategies to accelerate solar deployment to low and moderate income communities, multiple academic publications, and numerous presentations of the research findings.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Solar soft cost ontology: a review of solar soft costs

The continued deployment of renewable energy is critical to the energy transition necessary for climate change mitigation. Since cost is one of the primary drivers of solar adoption, we must continue to reduce the cost of solar to hasten the transition to clean energy. Currently, solar soft costs account for 52%–70% of the cost of an installed residential solar photovoltaic (PV) system in the U.S. These costs are persistent and an increasing share of the costs, since hardware costs continue to decline. The consensus on a definition of soft costs is 'non-hardware costs', but defining something by what it is not does not tell us what it is, which makes it difficult to study and understand. To this end, we developed the solar soft cost ontology (SSCO) to provide a comprehensive view of the complex and variable knowledge domain of solar soft costs. In this work, we identify the main categories of solar soft costs, how they relate to each other, how that knowledge is created, shared, and acquired, and the relevant actors in the solar soft cost knowledge ecosystem. Developed by coding a corpus of nearly 130 academic articles, the resulting ontology in web ontology language (OWL) includes 136 classes and 87 properties. The SSCO can facilitate and enhance knowledge transfer of research findings and best practices within and between stakeholder communities, including researchers, practitioners, and policy makers, that seek to address solar soft costs. We conclude with a discussion of potential applications and use cases for the SSCO among this diverse stakeholder community.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

SolSmart Technical Assistance Provider (Final Technical Report)

The SolSmart program was established in late 2015 to “establish a prominent national recognition and technical assistance program for local governments that will signal to installers and the public that a community is receptive to solar businesses and has established a supportive solar market environment. This, in turn, will reduce market barriers and lower soft costs, thus contributing to SunShot goals. The program will also assist communities who are just beginning to improve their solar markets.” By March 31, 2022 (the grant end date), the SolSmart Team designated 460 communities, more than 50% more than the initial program objective of 300 communities. The designated communities represent 42 states, the District of Columbia, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. The SolSmart team developed and revised criteria representing best practices for local governments; recruited, trained, evaluated, and mentored communities to incorporate these best practices; and disseminated resources about solar and solar-related technologies as well as the newest best practices on a regular basis. 98% of local government officials who participated in the program said that SolSmart increased their knowledge of solar energy. The SolSmart program had both real and perceived tangible impacts on barriers to solar adoption in designated communities. Significantly, the time to permit a solar installation decreased by 7.5 days on average. This reduced the soft costs for both the solar installer (and therefore the customer) and the local government. The result is that solar installations in SolSmart communities increased by 17% per month compared with similar non-SolSmart communities. Larger and wealthier communities were more likely to pursue SolSmart designation and earn more points within SolSmart. As a result, IREC/TSF developed strategies to reach underserved communities and created new resources to help them more easily achieve designation, as described below. In the last year of the Award, 44% of designated communities were underserved, compared with 31% in the earlier years of the program. DOE issued two awards for SolSmart: the SolSmart Technical Assistance Provider (TAP), led by The Solar Foundation (TSF) which has since merged with the Interstate Renewable Energy Council (IREC), and the Designation Program Administrator (DPA), led by the International City/County Management Association (ICMA). IREC was lead for the TAP project and, until the time of TSF/IREC merger, was a subrecipient on the DPA project. These two projects were interdependent; one could not exist without the other. While this report will focus on the work performed by the TAP, it will be impossible to speak of this without talking about the successes, impacts, and benefits of the overall SolSmart program.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Solar PV on U.S. Houses of Worship: Overview of Market Activity and Trends [Slides]

Rooftop solar photovoltaic systems on houses of worship can provide unique community benefits and can raise local awareness and acceptance of solar energy. Recognizing that potential, a stakeholder team selected under DOE’s Solar Energy Innovation Network is working to develop a scalable model for recruiting and installing solar PV on houses of worship in underserved communities. Berkeley Lab is providing analytical support to this stakeholder team through several work products, including this report, which provides a data-oriented overview of market activity and trends related to solar PV installations on U.S. houses of worship (HoW). Drawing on Berkeley Lab’s project-level dataset of U.S. solar PV installations, the report describes: -market size and growth trends for PV on HoW -demographic characteristics of the communities in which HoW with PV are located, including income, race and ethnicity, and educational levels -key characteristics of the PV systems installed on HoW, including system size, installed costs, prevalence of third-party ownership, and pairing with storage -characteristics of the installer network servicing PV installations on HoW The purpose of the market overview is to inform business development and policy-making efforts aimed at supporting solar adoption by HoW.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Behaviourally-Informed Peer Referral Programmes can Increase the Reach of Low-Income Energy Policies

Low-income solar adopters are more likely to refer others to a fully subsidized solar programme when referral rewards are combined with an appeal to reciprocity and a simplified referral process, leading to five times as many solar contracts as when referral rewards are used alone. The findings highlight behavioural science strategies that administrators of low-income energy assistance programmes can use to cost-effectively accelerate programme uptake.

ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY,SOLAR ENERGY↗

The Power of a Network

The Solar Energy Innovation Network (SEIN) helps communities discover transformative ways of adopting solar energy. Teams develop their ideas in real-world contexts, yielding results that can unlock tomorrow's solar markets.

analysis↗

Best Practices for Equitable Solar Workforce Development

The Midwest Renewable Energy Association (MREA) was selected to serve as a lead organization for the U.S. Department of Energy Solar Energy Technology Office’s Equitable Solar Communities of Practice initiative. This project, facilitated through a partnership with ENERGYWERX, aimed to develop strategies to support the expansion of equitable benefits in solar adoption across the U.S. Specifically, the MREA was chosen to lead the solar workforce development community of practice, focusing on scaling the U.S. solar workforce, to meet growing industry demands and ensure that these opportunities are accessible and beneficial to all communities. For the purpose of this initiative, we define the solar workforce in line with the National Solar Jobs Census, which defines a solar worker as someone who spends a majority of their time on solar-related work. This also includes workers who spend a plurality of their time on solar tasks. It’s important to note that manufacturing jobs were not included in this research, as the focus is primarily on solar installation, development, and related roles. To achieve the goals of the Equitable Solar Communities of Practice initiative, the MREA leveraged existing resources and engaged a diverse core team and group of stakeholders including industry professionals, educators, policymakers, and community leaders. The MREA began with a literature review and gap analysis to identify existing best practices and gaps in the solar workforce. This was followed by a community convening to gather insights from a wide range of stakeholders. The findings informed the best practices and pathways to scale the benefits of solar workforce development, focusing on training programs, workforce services, apprenticeship, and justice, inclusion, and sustainability. This report outlines the background, methodology, findings, and conclusions drawn from the landscape and gap analysis, providing valuable insights into workforce needs and training program capacities across the U.S. The outcomes of this research are presented in this report and contain recommendations for optimizing workforce development and training funding to support the equitable growth of the solar industry, ensuring that the transition to solar energy is inclusive and beneficial for all communities.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Proposed Solutions to Regulatory Barriers to Tribal Solar Development

Tribal land in the United States represents approximately 2% of the country's total landmass and holds more than 5% percent of solar photovoltaic potential. This resource is largely untapped, and Tribes often cite regulatory hurdles to achieving solar goals. This presentation provides an opportunity for interested stakeholders to better understand those hurdles and possible solutions to help advance Tribal solar adoption as well as weigh in on the findings of the Tribal Solar Initiative.

ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY,SOLAR ENERGY↗

Assessing Photovoltaic Capacity Factor Variability Using Long-Term Satellite Derived Solar Resource Data Under Brazilian Climate

Accurate estimation of photovoltaic (PV) energy yield and its variability is essential for reducing financial risk and supporting reliable system planning for rapidly expanding PV markets. In Brazil, high solar adoption and increasing levels of distributed energy resources are beginning to introduce operational challenges such as curtailment and evolving grid requirements. Understanding how natural variability in solar resource propagates into PV system performance is therefore increasingly important for both project design and grid integration. Modern PV yield assessments commonly rely on multi-year meteorological datasets and probabilistic exceedance metrics (e.g., P50/P90) to quantify energy yield uncertainty for project financing. However, the implications of long-term solar resource variability for PV system design choices and high-adoption grid conditions remain less well characterized for rapidly expanding markets such as Brazil. In particular, understanding how weather-driven variability propagates into PV production distributions and capacity factor expectations is important for evaluating curtailment exposure, deployment strategies, and storage requirements in regions experiencing rapid growth of distributed and utility-scale PV. Seasonal and interannual variability in atmospheric conditions can produce substantial fluctuations in monthly PV energy production, which propagate into uncertainty in annual energy yield and capacity factor expectations. Characterizing this variability using long-term meteorological datasets allows probabilistic estimation of PV system performance and provides improved insight into the range of expected PV energy outcomes. This study explores the use of long-term satellite-derived meteorological data from the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB) to evaluate the variability of photovoltaic system performance across multiple locations in Brazil. Using a 27-year dataset (1998-2024), PV system simulations are performed to characterize the distribution of annual and seasonal capacity factors and energy yield outcomes, while propagating key sources of meteorological variability and model uncertainty through the PV modeling chain. The analysis also investigates the sensitivity of PV performance outcomes to key system design assumptions within the PV modeling chain, including tracking configuration and system sizing parameters. The resulting probabilistic performance characterization provides insight into how weather-driven variability influences PV production expectations and capacity factor distributions. These results provide a foundation for evaluating how weather-driven variability interacts with high PV adoption and potential storage or curtailment mitigation strategies.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Quantifying the Relationship Between Higher Photovoltaic Module Efficiency and the Adoption of Distributed Solar

The purpose of this study is understanding the relationship between module efficiency, system costs, and the economic and adoption potential of distributed rooftop solar. We use the dGen model to project the economic potential and adoption of high-efficiency photovoltaic (PV) modules across a range of efficiencies and cost scenarios in the continental United States. Our results reveal that high-efficiency modules can modestly increase the projected adoption of distributed solar, but system capital costs may play a larger role in changing the amount of projected adoption.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Screening Tool for Equitable Adoption and Deployment of Solar (STEADy Solar)

The Screening Tool for Equitable Adoption and DeploYment of Solar (STEADy Solar) is a database and mapping tool designed to promoting clean energy investments for low-income communities across the United States. The tool indicates locations that may be eligible for the Investment Tax Credit bonus adders defined in the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and combines this information with demographics, social vulnerability, solar technical potential, solar economics (modeled net present value), and building counts by use-type. It can be used by states, municipalities, community-based organizations, developers, and researchers to identify sites where solar projects may be economical and where federal incentives may be available to support equitable adoption of solar. Specific values include: Areas eligible for the Energy Communities Tax Credit Bonus Program (including brownfield site counts) Areas eligible for the Low Income Communities Bonus Credit Program (including Tribal Lands, and covered affordable housing project counts) Areas categorized as disadvantaged by Justice40 Commercial and Residential Solar economics characterized by the Net Present Value and Simple Payback Period Total Population, Race, and Ethnicity Median Household Income, Poverty rate, Household Tenure Social Vulnerability Count of buildings, developable rooftop solar capacity (in kWdc) and estimated annual generation potential (in kWh) on four building types: Government General Services, Government Emergency Response, Grade Schools, and Colleges/Universities. The linked report describes the STEADy dataset metadata and presents high level insights from the data. The downloadable and formatted excel dataset makes it easy for users to gain insights for their locations. Supporting .csv and shapefiles provide users with the full data to run their own analyses on equitable solar siting.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Boundary Effects in the Diffusion of New Products on Cartesian Networks

The Role of Boundaries in the Spreading of Solar Peer effects by neighbors play a key role in the spreading of residential solar. Thus, people are more likely to install a solar system on their roof if some of their neighbors have already done so. Because people who live near the municipality boundary have fewer neighbors, does this imply that they are less likely to adopt solar? In “Boundary Effects in the Diffusion of New Products on Cartesian Networks,” Fibich, Levin, and Gillingham analyze this problem analytically using the Bass model on two-dimensional networks and empirically using data on installations of solar systems. They show that boundaries have a significant impact on the adoption of residential units near the municipality boundary. Their effect on the aggregate adoption in the municipality, however, is negligible.

Business & Economics↗

Inclusive Solar Outreach Awards: Abbreviated Final Technical Report

Millions of Americans have experienced the benefits of transitioning to solar, such as money saved on electricity bills and reduced environmental impact. However, many households have been overlooked and left out of this energy transition due to limited funds, low credit scores, language barriers, or lack of solar adoption from neighbors and other community members. Leading organizations have recognized this gap in communications and have started to target more diverse audiences in their solar marketing campaigns. This project outlines three years of American-Made prize funding, recognizing solar industry communications campaigns that demonstrate excellence in strategic, effective, and meaningful communication to diverse audiences across digital, video, marketing, mobile, print, social media, and more.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Bringing Low- and Moderate-Income Solar Financing Models to Scale (Final Technical Report (FTR))

In this final report, the Clean Energy States Alliance(CESA) and its project partners describe their work to accelerate the development of solar projects for three distinct subsets of the low- to moderate-income(LMI) solar market: single-family homes, manufactured homes, and community institutions, including multifamily affordable housing. For each market sector, the project team undertook research, outreach, and market-building activities. By advancing promising LMI solar financing innovations for different housing types and spreading them to new locations, the Scaling Up Solar for Under-Resourced Communities project has built momentum to scale up LMI solar. Although the report describes some research pertaining to solar adoption in LMI communities, this project was original in that it focused on two specific models to tackle single-family homes and community institutions. Until this project, very little research dedicated to solar for manufactured homes existed. For each market sector, the project team undertook research, outreach, and market-building activities. For the single-family homes sector, the project encouraged states to adapt a program model based on a successful Connecticut initiative that has brought solar to thousands of LMI homeowners. For manufactured homes, the project analyzed the potential for using solar for that housing sector and worked with states, utilities, and other stakeholders to launch pilot projects or programs. For community institutions, the project team worked with foundations, lenders, and community service organizations to inventory, analyze, and communicate models for philanthropic investment that accelerate the deployment of solar and solar+storage in multifamily affordable housing, health centers, and other LMI-serving community institutions.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Solar Pathways in Federal Energy Assistance Programs: Expanding Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP) and Weatherization Assistance Program (WAP)

How can solar best fit within your LIHEAP or WAP activities? Come join NREL and learn about the various pathways and new resources available to help implement solar in low-income programs. Panelists will share results from a multi-year research project, including survey results on LIHEAP and WAP solar adoption across the United States. This session will highlight case studies from early implementers, key lessons learned and resources developed based on stakeholder feedback for interested organizations. Attendees can expect gain a better understanding of the perceived barriers and opportunities to solar implementation, including the importance of partner coordination and complementary funding sources, and the next steps for how to get started. Additionally, attendees will hear from a local implementer of solar in WAP about their program and process.

Colorado↗

Addressing Regulatory Challenges to Tribal Solar Deployment: Key Findings

Tribal land in the United States represents approximately 2% of the country's total landmass and holds more than 5% of solar photovoltaic potential (Doris, Lopez, and Beckley 2013). This resource is largely untapped. Many Tribes note that regulatory challenges often are roadblocks to taking advantage of solar potential. This report serves as a summary of a larger project, Addressing Regulatory Challenges to Tribal Solar Deployment. The project seeks to unlock some of this potential by bringing Tribal, regulatory, utility, and other stakeholders together to articulate key barriers to Tribal solar adoption and develop replicable solutions. By increasing institutional capacity and developing frameworks, trainings, and a technical document repository for regulatory bodies, utilities, and Tribes, this project can help expand an emerging market.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗