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Influence of cementation on the yield surface of rocks numerically determined from digital microstructures

Digital Rock Physics has reached a level of maturity on the characterisation of primary properties that depend on the microstructure – such as porosity, permeability or elastic moduli – by numerically solving field equations on μCT scan images of rock. After small deformations or at depth though, most rocks eventually reach their limit of elasticity and the complementary plastic properties are needed to describe the full mechanical behaviour. Currently, determination of a rock’s yield surface from its microstructure is often restricted to semi-analytical criteria derived by limit analysis or numerical simulations performed on idealised geometries. Such simplification lacks representativeness, particularly for processes that affect directly the pore-grain interface such as the cementation phenomenon, happening during diagenesis. Eventually, only direct numerical simulation of elasto-plasticity performed on digitalised microstructures can be used to assess the strength of different cemented materials and its evolution with the alteration of the microstructure. In this study, we provide a comprehensive parametric study on the impact of cementation on rock strength for real microstructures of cemented granular materials. Compared to most previous studies, the whole yield surface is determined numerically (using Finite Element Method) in order to assess the influence of cementation for different stress-paths. The previously known tendency of rock to strengthen with increasing cementation volume is verified. New results on the influence of cement property namely Young’s modulus, friction and cohesion on the rock’s yield surface are explored. The envelopes obtained are compared to the ones obtained by experimental data and existing models. Finally, the framework presented in this study showcases the wider possibility of determining any rock’s or porous material’s yield surface from its microstructure.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Surface and bulk characterization of reservoir and cap-rocks: Past, present, and future

Geologic formations provide potentially some of the largest volume capacities for CO 2 storage or sequestration. Potential storage sites can be deep saline aquifers, depleted oil reservoirs, and coal seams, surrounded by sealing layers to prevent CO 2 from leaking. It is therefore critical to understand mechanisms contributing to CO 2 trapping and CO 2 leaks. Both phenomena are governed by reactions at the interfaces of the reservoir and cap-rocks and are controlled by the complex chemistry and pore structures of rocks. Mechanisms at the macroscale are affected by the processes occurring at the nanoscale. This review highlights the necessity of multitechnique, multiscale characterization of rocks and points to the importance of surface analysis and surface science studies. Two shale rocks (seals) from Niobrara and Agardhfjellet formations with complex surface chemistry are used as examples throughout the paper. Typically, evaluation of rocks with x-ray diffraction, thermogravimetric analysis, Rock-Eval pyrolysis, gas adsorption, and electron microscopy combined with energy dispersive x-ray spectroscopy is conducted to provide valuable information about the bulk mineralogy, elemental composition, pore volume, and adsorbed species on the sample surface. These studies are necessary prior to designing surface sensitive experiments with x-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS), guiding both sample preparation and sample analysis. XPS has been widely used to study the surface composition of rocks during the investigations of their fine-scale wettability, and the main findings are highlighted here. This paper also reviews the existing literature on ambient-pressure XPS, which provides new opportunities to study in situ chemical alteration due to interactions with CO 2 and offers recommendations for adapting this technique to study rock-fluid interactions, allowing for the identification of fundamental interactions during CO 2 sequestration and guide selection of formation sites for improved storage.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

WHOLESCALE Catalog of Rock Samples at San Emidio Nevada collected in January 2021

This submission contains information on thirty-six rock samples collected from San Emidio, Nevada during January, 2021 for Subtask 2.3 of the WHOLESCALE project. The following resources include a .zip of rock sample photos taken in the field, a .zip of rock sample photos taken in the laboratory at UW-Madison, and an excel catalog of rock samples with information on sample name, rock type, coordinates of sample location, structural measurements, field notes, observations for plug preparation (e.g., weathering, ability to be cut and cored), and rock descriptions. It should be noted that not every sample was photographed in the field. Names and descriptions of rock formation units are taken from Rhodes et al. (2011). The README.txt file is a description of this submission.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Combining organic amendments with enhanced rock weathering shifts soil carbon storage in croplands

Enhanced rock weathering (ERW) involves applying crushed silicate minerals to cropland soils to remove carbon dioxide and stabilize the global climate. If practiced widely, ERW has the potential to mitigate climate change and improve soil health and crop productivity. However, most ERW studies emphasize inorganic carbon (IC) chemistry, using model-based estimates and short-term mesocosms. Limited field data exist on how ERW interacts with organic amendments to affect organic carbon (C) cycling in soils. In a three-year field study in conventionally managed, irrigated maize fields, we monitored how key soil variables responded to crushed rock-alone, and in combination with compost and/or biochar. We measured weathering indicators (pH, major cations, and IC contents) and organic fractions, including particulate organic matter (POM), mineral-associated organic matter (MAOM), microbial biomass C, and water-extractable organic C. Rock-alone treatments increased weathering proxies (pH and IC) and showed an increasing trend in POM and MAOM, relative to control. In contrast, combining crushed rock with organic amendments resulted in lower soil organic C and nitrogen (N) concentrations (in both POM and MAOM) compared to organic amendments alone, though IC increased in the rock+compost treatment. Combining rock with both compost and biochar (compost/biochar) significantly lowered MAOM-N compared to compost/biochar alone. Overall, co-applying rock with organic inputs may promote weathering and C accrual but slow the accrual rate of organic C and N relative to organic amendments alone. Quantifying these trade-offs over multiple years and scales is critical to integrating ERW with existing soil health practices and climate mitigation strategies.

Biological and medical sciences↗

Evolution of texture and internal stresses within polycrystalline rock salt using in situ 3D synchrotron computed tomography and 3D X-ray diffraction

Over time rock salt caverns have been extensively used as reliable repositories for hazardous waste such as nuclear waste, oil or compressed gases. Undisturbed rock salt deposits in nature are usually impermeable and have very low porosity. However, rock salt formations under excavation stresses can develop crack networks, which increase their porosities; and in the case of a connected crack network within the media, rock salt may become permeable. Although the relationship between the permeability of rock salt and the applied stresses has been reported in the literature, a microscopic study that investigates the properties influencing this relationship, such as the evolution of texture and internal stresses, has yet to be conducted. This study employs in situ 3D synchrotron micro-computed tomography and 3D X-ray diffraction (3DXRD) on two small-scale polycrystalline rock salt specimens to investigate the evolution of the texture and internal stresses within the specimens. The 3DXRD technique measures the 3D crystal structure and lattice strains within rock salt grains. The specimens were prepared under 1D compression conditions and have shown an initial {111} preferred texture, a dominant {110}$\langle1\bar{1}0\rangle$ slip system and no fully connected crack network. The {111} preferred texture under the unconfined compression experiment became stronger, while the {111}$\langle1\bar{1}0\rangle$ slip system became more prominent. The specimens did not have a fully connected crack network until applied axial stresses reached about 30 MPa, at a point where the impermeability of the material becomes compromised due to the development of multiple major cracks.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Zn uptake by illite and argillaceous rocks

The uptake of Zn by Illite du Puy (IdP) and two argillaceous rocks, Opalinus Clay (OPA) and Boda Claystone (BODA) was investigated. The uptake of Zn by illite was studied in 0.1 M NaCl at near-neutral pH and Zn loadings varying from 2.1 to 42 mmol/kg. The Zn uptake by the two argillaceous rock systems was carried out in 0.1 M NaCl at pH 7.2 and in their respective porewaters at pH 8.0 to evaluate the influence of porewater composition. The Zn loadings varied from 1.8 to 86 mmol/kg and 1.7 to 60 mmol/kg for OPA and BODA, respectively. The simplified “bottom-up approach” to predict the uptake of Zn to natural rocks with different clay mineral contents and porewater compositions was tested. This approach was found to be applicable in the argillaceous rock systems at low Zn equilibrium ([Zn] eql ) concentrations below 10 -7 M. However, at [Zn]eql above 10 -7 M, the model calculations clearly underpredicted the sorption data. The extended X-ray absorption fine structure (EXAFS) results support findings based on wet chemistry calculations using the 2 site protolysis non-electrostatic surface complexation and cation exchange (2SPNE SC/CE) sorption model. In the IdP system with prolonged reaction times of up to two years, formation of Zn precipitates was not observed. This indicates that the Zn surface complexes are stable over a time period of two years, and dissolution and recrystallization processes might not play a significant role in the Zn-IdP uptake process. In addition, the EXAFS results on illite corroborate previous findings on the existence of weak and strong sites types in dioctahedral clay minerals, as assumed in the 2SPNE SC/CE model. In the OPA and BODA systems, precipitation processes could start to begin at metal loadings of 16 mmol/kg and 24 mmol/kg, respectively. The differences between argillaceous rock samples prepared in NaCl and porewater are modest indicating that in the case of Zn the clay minerals play a predominant role in the uptake process, and that the effects originating from the porewater are minor. Furthermore, despite the differences in mineralogy, both argillaceous rocks show the same uptake behaviour, indicating that the clay minerals are predominantly responsible for the sorption at low and the precipitation processes at higher Zn concentrations. The study demonstrates how results on “pure” systems such as IdP can be transferred to predict the uptake by argillaceous rocks at low sorbate concentrations.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Methane generation from low-maturity coals and shale source rocks at low temperatures (80–120 °C) over 14–38 months

This study contributes long-term (14 to 38 months) experimental evidence for geocatalytically mediated methanogenesis in immature to early mature shale and coal source rocks at temperatures from 80 to 120 °C. Borosilicate glass tubes with pre-outgassed coal and shale source rock chips and water were sealed under vacuum, sterilized, heated isothermally, and finally opened in connection with a vacuum line where headspace gases methane (CH 4 ) and carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) were collected. The possibility of admitting pre-existing CH 4 from closed pores into product gases during heating experiments was evaluated by comparative ball milling of original and heated rock chips, followed by quantitation of released gases with a novel closed-circuit laser-based SARAD RTM2200 gas detector system with sub-µmol sensitivity. The yields of produced CH 4 from individual source rocks were corrected by subtracting the amounts of pre-existing CH 4 from formerly closed pores in original source rocks that had leaked during long-term heating. Different shales and coals express contrasting propensities to geocatalytically generate CH 4 and CO 2 , with CH 4 yields ranging from 0.1 to 5.5 µmol g-1 total organic carbon (TOC). CH 4 yields from two petrographically different samples of Springfield Coal with comparable thermal maturity suggest that liptinite expresses a far higher propensity for methanogenesis, but liberates less CO 2 than vitrinite. Shale from the Second White Specks Formation generated approximately 10 times more CH 4 than New Albany Shale per g of TOC, further suggesting complex controls on CH 4 generation during catalytic methanogenesis. Higher temperature can enhance the activities of catalytic methanogenesis. Here, the extrapolation of laboratory-based reaction rates to natural conditions in organic-rich buried sediments suggests that geocatalytic methanogenesis can be fast enough in some source rocks to generate economically sizeable gas plays from immature to early mature source rocks over geologic time.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Complex Electrical Conductivity of a Single‐Fractured Rock: Fracture‐and‐Matrix Coupling Mechanism and Aperture Size Predictions

Fractured rocks play a crucial role in myriad natural and engineered systems, including Earth's critical zone, oil/gas/geothermal reservoirs, and geological CO 2 /H 2 /waste storage systems. While complex electrical conductivity is extensively used to estimate the pore and grain sizes of conventional porous rocks and soils, it is rarely used to predict the aperture size of fractured rocks and this remains poorly understood. Here, integrating theory, simulations, and experiments, we show that under external fields, fractured rocks follow the fracture-and-matrix coupling to make the bulk complex conductivity non-linear with respect to water conductivity. We find that the relaxation time and quadrature conductivity for porous media do not apply to fractured rocks, but, instead, reasonably accurate predictions of aperture size can be made based on the true formation factor. This study unravels the fundamental mechanism governing conduction and polarization of fractured rocks and paves the way for the non-invasive investigation of global fractured rocks.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Fabric controls on fracture surface roughness of an architected rock material

Fluid flow through fractures is intimately linked to the fracture surfaces that define the void geometry through which fluids flow. Thus, an understanding of what controls fracture surface roughness is essential to the development of models for predicting fluid transport through fractured rock. The difficulty in predicting surface roughness arises from the complexity of rock which is inherently heterogeneous and nonuniform in composition, fabric, and structural components, even when samples are acquired from the same rock mass. Here, a benchmarked-simulation approach motivated from geo-architected 3D printed synthetic gypsum rocks is used to provide insight into the competing contributions from fabric and layering on fracture roughness formation. Simulation results from a discrete element model (Particle Flow Code, Itasca Consulting Group, Inc.) clearly indicate that the relative orientation between mineral layers and in-layer mineral fabric, and the variability in mineral bonding strengths determine whether anisotropic corrugated surfaces or isotropic surfaces are formed. Weak mineral layers oriented perpendicular to the applied load resulted in strong roughness anisotropy. Peak failure loads were found to vary up to 30% depending on the strength of the mineral fabric at the location of fracture initiation, which provides insight into the observed high variability in strength values of natural rock. The uniqueness of induced fracture roughness and peak failure load is intimately linked to layering, mineral fabric, and their distribution in the rock. These findings have important implications for any architected material fabricated through serial printing of layers with local compositional heterogeneity.

3D printed rock↗

Geochemical evolution in Cacapon member: Fluid-rock interaction experiments and model insights for Appalachian Basin geothermal development

Here, this study combines recirculated flow-through experimental results conducted for 17 days at 90C and 200 PSI with reactive transport modeling to estimate fluid-rock interactions occurring in a sandy mudstone using an interbedded sandstone-shale sample from the Cacapon Member of the upper Tuscarora Sandstone/lower Rose Hill Formation for the purpose of geothermal exploration. Results suggest that the fluid and rock are likely to be in or near partial-equilibrium after approximately one year. In addition, after >400 h of continuous injection at 0.05 mL/min (5*10 −8 m 3 /min) the reactive front is restricted to the first ∼13% of the 4 cm*1.6 cm experimental rock length, whereas after >9100 h (∼1 year), the reactive front extends to 30% total length. The rate of changes in dissolution or precipitation are however, very minimal, with all major rock-forming minerals having rates <10 −11 mol/L porous media/s. Reservoir rock in the presence of dilute brine as may be the case during operation of an enhanced geothermal system would experience little alteration during the shut-in phase, and possibly up to one year. These results have utility in geothermal exploration for reservoirs at similar temperatures as well as general fluid-sandy mudstone rock interaction geochemistry.

Appalachian Basin↗

Comparative Assessment of U-Net-Based Deep Learning Models for Segmenting Microfractures and Pore Spaces in Digital Rocks

Segmentation of high-resolution X-ray microcomputed tomography (µCT) images is crucial in digital rock physics (DRP), affecting the characterization and analysis of microscale phenomena in the porous media. The complexity of geological structures and nonideal scanning conditions pose significant challenges to conventional image segmentation approaches. Motivated by the recent increasing popularity of deep learning (DL) techniques in image processing, this work undertakes a comparative study of DL models, specifically U-Net and its variants, for segmenting multiple targets with distinguished features in digital rocks, including discrete fracture networks (DFNs), pore spaces, and solid rock. Particularly, DFNs have a smaller volumetric fraction over others, bringing in a substantial challenge of imbalanced segmentation. The primary focus is to evaluate the architecture and feature enhancement strategies of various DL models, including U-Net, attention U-Net, residual U-Net, U-Net++, and residual U-Net++. The models were designed as 2.5D, utilizing a central 2D image and its two adjacent upper and lower 2D images as input to provide a pseudo-3D context. In addition, because the ground truth of segmentation was unknown for real-world digital rocks, we created a benchmark data set following the inverse operations of segmentation. The data synthesis started from the label images (i.e., solid rock, pore spaces, and DFNs), followed by simulating partial volume blurring, adding random background noise, and introducing ring artifacts to mimic real raw X-ray µCT images. The data set, which included various rock types (i.e., sandstone and artificial data), scanning resolution, and magnitudes of noise and artifacts, was divided into training and testing data sets with a 90% and 10% ratio, respectively. Moreover, in addition to the conventional pixel-wise evaluation metrics, the physics-based metric of the lattice-Boltzmann method (LBM) simulated permeability provided more comprehensive assessments. The results demonstrated that the residual connections, nested architectures, and redesigned skip connections contribute to the model performance and give the residual U-Net++ the highest accuracy. The improvements were mainly on the boundaries and small targets, especially the DFNs, which dominate the interconnectivity and therefore affect the permeability greatly. This study also rigorously evaluated the efficiency and generalization of each model, demonstrating that the sophisticated architectures achieved excellent practicability and maintained robust performance on completely unseen data, ensuring their suitability for diverse and challenging DRP applications.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Experimental study of compaction localization in carbonate rock and constitutive modeling of mechanical anisotropy

Abstract Sedimentary rocks are inherently anisotropic and prone to strain localization. While the influence of rock anisotropy on the brittle/dilative regime has been studied extensively, its influence on the ductile/compactive regime is much less explored. This paper discusses the anisotropic behavior of a high‐porosity carbonate rock from central Europe (the Maastricht Tuffeau). A set of triaxial tests with concurrent x‐ray tomography has been performed at different confining pressures. The anisotropic characteristics of this rock have been investigated by testing samples cored at different inclinations of the bedding, thus revealing non‐negligible effects of the coring direction on yielding and compaction behavior. Specifically, samples cored perpendicular to bedding display higher strength and longer stages of post‐yielding deformation before manifesting re‐hardening. Despite such alterations of the inelastic response, Digital Image Correlation has revealed that the strain localization mode is independent of the coring direction, thus being primarily affected by the confinement level. To capture the observed interaction between material anisotropy and compaction behavior at the continuum‐scale, an elastoplastic constitutive law has been proposed. For this purpose, a set of tensorial bases has been introduced to replicate how the oriented rock fabric modulates the yielding and plastic flow characteristics of the material. The analyses show that the impact of the coring direction on yield function and plastic flow rule is fundamentally different, thus requiring the use of distinct projection strategies (a strategy here defined heterotopic mapping). The performance of the model, studied through parametric analyses and by calibrating the experimental results, illustrates the improved capability of the proposed constitutive approach when applied to strongly anisotropic porous rocks.

Shahin, Ghassan↗

Validation of earthquake ground-motion models in southern California, USA, using precariously balanced rocks

Accurate estimates of earthquake ground shaking rely on uncertain ground-motion models derived from limited instrumental recordings of historical earthquakes. A critical issue is that there is currently no method to empirically validate the resultant ground-motion estimates of these models at the timescale of rare, large earthquakes; this lack of validation causes great uncertainty in ground-motion estimates. Here, we address this issue and validate ground-motion estimates for southern California utilizing the unexceeded ground motions recorded by 20 precariously balanced rocks. We used cosmogenic 10Be exposure dating to model the age of the precariously balanced rocks, which ranged from ca. 1 ka to ca. 50 ka, and calculated their probability of toppling at different ground-motion levels. With this rock data, we then validated the earthquake ground motions estimated by the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3 (UCERF3) seismic-source characterization and the Next Generation Attenuation (NGA)-West2 ground-motion models. We found that no ground-motion model estimated levels of earthquake ground shaking consistent with the observed continued existence of all 20 precariously balanced rocks. The ground-motion model I14 estimated ground-motion levels that were inconsistent with the most rocks; therefore, I14 was invalidated and removed. At a 2475 year mean return period, the removal of this invalid ground-motion model resulted in a 2−7% reduction in the mean and a 10−36% reduction in the 5th−95th fractile uncertainty of the ground-motion estimates. Our findings demonstrate the value of empirical data from precariously balanced rocks as a validation tool for removing invalid ground-motion models and, in turn, reducing the uncertainty in earthquake ground-motion estimates.

Geology↗

Time-dependent THMC properties and microstructural evolution of damaged rocks in excavation damage zone

Modeling coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical-chemical (THMC) processes in host rocks near high-level nuclear waste (HLW) repositories at various time scales is an extremely challenging task. The current study integrates experimental, theoretical, and numerical methods in assessing the evolution of excavation damage zone (EDZ) over time and its implication on the long-term migration of hazardous species. Argillite and rock salt and are the focus of this study. The first part of the report presents a novel time-dependent directional microcrack damage theory for generic brittle rocks. It features detailed statistical description of the microcracks within a damaged solid, permitting a direct upscaling of microscale processes such as crack growth kinetics, crack closure/opening, sliding friction to explain the macroscopic creep, nonlinear elasticity, shear dilation, and loading-unloading hysteresis. This provides a basic platform for describing the anisotropic mechanical and transport properties of damaged rocks during excavation and subsequent THMC loadings. The model is validated and numerically implemented to Finite Element (FE) package ABAQUS through the user-defined material (UMAT) interface and have demonstrated great potential in resolving the time-dependent and anisotropic evolution of damage in the EDZ. The second part of the report presents a multi-scale experimental effort in characterizing the thermal, hydraulic, and mechanical properties of Mancos shale and Avery Island salt. For the Mancos shale, triaxial compression tests are performed at different confining pressures and temperatures to probe its thermomechanical properties relevant to HLW repositories. The obtained stress-strain data are interpreted using the proposed directional damage theory. Post-test specimens are subjected to gas permeability tests to reveal the correlation between permeability and the degree of microcracking. At microscale, temperature-controlled nanoindentation tests are performed and found a linear correlation between fracture toughness and elastic modulus from 25°C to 300°C. For Avery Island salt, we have designed and manufactured a novel relative-humidity controlled uniaxial creep device. Long-term creep tests at low stresses (< 5 MPa) are performed at different levels of relative humidity (RH). Besides confirming the much higher creep rates as one would expect through extrapolating the high-stress creep data, the results reveal that the steady-state creep rate of rock salt is strongly dependent on the ambient RH, an aspect that is often neglected in the literature. Both behaviors can be attributed to the pressure-solution creep mechanism which dominates at low stress and high RH levels. The third part of the report explores a set of numerical strategies in modeling the THMC behavior of porous geomaterials. A fully implicit, monolithic FE solution that can flexibly interface with different material models and coupling mechanisms for THMC problems is developed and verified through the ABAQUS user-defined element (UEL) interface. The scheme is used to study the THM response of a hypothetical HLW storage site with reference to an existing in-situ heater test. Strategies for integrating the UEL and the microcrack UMAT are suggested. Another numerical endeavor of this study is to implement a higher-order asymptotic homogenization method to account for the heterogeneous porous structures. The same method is then extended to perform microstructure-informed thermo-mechanical modeling of generalized continua. The above outcomes of this project provide a strong thrust towards enhancing the fundamental understanding and modeling capability of the long-term evolution of host rocks in EDZ, thus helping achieve the design goal of 1-million-year isolation of high-level nuclear wastes.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

3D Time-Lapse Electrical Resistivity Imaging of Rock Damage Patterns and Gas Flow Paths Resulting from Two Underground Chemical Explosions

Abstract Rock damage from underground nuclear explosions (UNEs) has a strong influence on sub-surface gas movement and on seismic waveform characteristics, both of which are used to detect UNEs. Although advanced numerical simulation capabilities exist to predict rock damage patterns and corresponding detection signals, those predictions are dependent on (generally) unknown properties of the host rock. For example, the effects of in-situ mechanical heterogeneities on the explosively generated damage/fractures that provide gas flow pathways to the surface are not well understood, due largely to the difficulty in accessing and characterizing the near-source region. In this paper we demonstrate the emerging use of electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) for imaging rock damage and gas flow patterns resulting from two relatively small-scale underground chemical explosions. Pre-explosion ERT and crosshole seismic imaging revealed a natural fracture zone within the test bed. Post-explosion imaging revealed that the damage zone was non-symmetric and was focused primarily within the pre-existing fracture zone, located 10 m above the first explosion and 5 m above the second explosion. Time-lapse ERT imaging of heated air injected into the detonation borehole revealed the primary gas flow paths to be within the upper margin of the same primary damage zone. These results point to the utility of ERT imaging for understanding rock damage and gas flow patterns under experimental conditions, and to the importance of understanding the effects of geologic heterogeneity on UNE detection signals, particularly gas surface breakthrough times.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Uncertainty quantification of the convolutional neural networks on permeability estimation from micro-CT scanned sandstone and carbonate rock images

Rock permeability is one of the most crucial properties affecting subsurface fluid flow behaviors. To accurately and robustly estimate the permeability, Digital Rock Physics, including micro-CT scanning technology and direct flow simulations on scanned images, has prevailed in recent years. Besides, machine learning techniques such as convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have been widely adopted and achieved success in permeability estimations directly from rock images. However, existing ML methods used for permeability estimation from rock images lack uncertainty quantification that causes unreliable predictions and overconfident estimations on out-of-distribution (OOD) samples. Here, in this work, we propose a PI3NN-CNN framework to address this problem. PI3NN-CNN consists of a CNN model for absolute permeability estimation and a PI3NN method to quantify the estimation uncertainty. It is able to quantify the uncertainty for in-distribution (InD) data with a desired confidence level, and identify OOD samples to avoid overconfident predictions. We demonstrate the method using micro-CT scanned images from two sandstone and two carbonate rocks. We found that PI3NN-CNN generates accurate predictions for InD samples, while producing high-quality prediction uncertainties regardless of the prediction accuracy. Meanwhile, PI3NN-CNN identifies OOD samples using its special network initialization scheme. The unique feature of PI3NN-CNN makes it applicable to more complex real-world image-based data for robust learning and predictions without overconfident estimations when the ground-truth information is unavailable.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Pore connectivity influences mass transport in natural rocks: Pore structure, gas diffusion and batch sorption studies

For this work, six rocks (one granodiorite, one limestone, two chalks, one mudstone, and one dolostone) with different extents of heterogeneity at six different particle sizes (from 75 to 8000 μm) were studied to describe the effects of pore connectivity on mass transport. The methods applied were (i) porosity measurement of granular rocks, (ii) analyses of gas-phase diffusive transport in a bed of packed particles, along with a solid quartz method at these six particle sizes being developed to identify the contribution of intraparticle diffusion, and (iii) batch sorption tests of multiple ions (anions and cations) with subsequent analyses of inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry. Granular porosity measurement results reveal that with decreasing particle sizes, the effective porosities for the “heterogenous” group of rocks (Grimsel granodiorite and Edwards limestone) increase, whereas the porosities of another “homogeneous” group (two Israel chalk samples, Japan mudstone, and Wyoming dolostone) remain constant. Gas diffusion results show that the intraparticle gas diffusion coefficient among these two sample groups, varying in the magnitude of 10 -8 to 10 -6 m 2 /s, are not directly correlated to the porosity differences. Moreover, the batch sorption work displays a different affinity of rocks for various tracers. For Grimsel granodiorite, Japan mudstone, and Wyoming dolostone, the adsorption capacity of Sm 3+ and Eu 3+ increases as the particle size decreases. In general, this integrated research of grain size distribution, granular rock porosity, intraparticle diffusivity, and ionic sorption capacity gives insights into the pore connectivity effect on both physical and chemical transport behaviors for different lithologies and/or different particle sizes.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Evaluation of Nuclear Spent Fuel Disposal in Clay-Bearing Rock - Process Model Development and Experimental Studies

This report represents the milestone deliverable M2SF-23SN010301072 “Evaluation of Nuclear Spent Fuel Disposal in Clay-Bearing Rock - Process Model Development and Experimental Studies” The report provides a status update of FY23 activities for the work package Argillite Disposal work packages for the DOE-NE Spent Fuel Waste Form Science and Technology (SFWST) Program. Clay-rich geological media (often referred as shale or argillite) are among the most abundant type of sedimentary rock near the Earth’s surface. Argillaceous rock formations have the following advantageous attributes for deep geological nuclear waste disposal: widespread geologic occurrence, found in stable geologic settings, low permeability, self-sealing properties, low effective diffusion coefficient, high sorption capacity, and have the appropriate depth and thickness to host nuclear waste repository concepts. The DOE R&D program under the Spent Fuel Waste Science Technology (SFWST) campaign has made key progress (through experiment, modeling, and testing) in the study of chemical and physical phenomena that could impact the long-term safety assessment of heat-generating nuclear waste disposition in clay/shale/argillaceous rock. International collaboration activities comprising field-scale heater tests, field data monitoring, and laboratory-scale experiments provide key information on changes to the engineered barrier system (EBS) material exposed high thermal loads. Moreover, consideration of direct disposal of large capacity dual-purpose canisters (DPCs) as part of the back-end SNF waste disposition strategy has generated interest in improving our understanding of the effects of elevated temperatures on the engineered barrier system (EBS) design concepts. Chemical and structural analyses of sampled bentonite material from laboratory tests at elevated temperatures are key to the characterization of thermal effects affecting bentonite clay barrier performance. The knowledge provided by these experiments is crucial to constrain the extent of sacrificial zones in the EBS design during the thermal period. Thermal, hydrologic, mechanical, and chemical (THMC) data collected from heater tests and laboratory experiments have been used in the development, validation, and calibration of THMC simulators to model near-field coupled processes. This information leads to the development of simulation approaches to assess issues on coupled processes involving porous media flow, transport, geomechanical phenomena, chemical interactions with barrier/geologic materials, and the development of EBS concepts. These lines of knowledge are central to the design of deep geological backfilled repository concepts where temperature plays a key role in the EBS behavior, potential interactions with host rock, and long-term performance in the safety assessment.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗